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Trend Analysis of Automobile Collision Amongst 15-19 year olds in Virginia, 2000-2004Ndem, Imo F. 01 January 2007 (has links)
Purpose. This research study on automobile collision in Virginia amongst fifteen to nineteen (15-19) year olds looked into the trend analysis over a five (5) year period of 2000 to 2004. Trend analysis is usually done for aggregates of all injurieseither intentional or unintentional injuries, or both. The primary objective of this research study was to examine the trend in hospitalization rates and mortality rates for males and females independently. It further looked into the trend, if any, in hospitalization rates, mortality rates, and case-fatality rates, for both males and females combined. The different Tables illustrate the extent and the impact of automobile collision in terms of demographics and characteristics of hospitalizations, types of hospitalizations, hospitalization rates, mortality rates and case-fatality rates among this age group.Methods: An investigation was carried out in a case control manner of 2353 cases using data from the Virginia Department of Health-Division of Injury Prevention & Violence on automobile collision amongst 15-19 year olds, from 2000 to 2004, a (5) five year period. Hospitalization data were obtained from Virginia Health Information, coded in line with International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision (ICD-9); external cause of injury (E)-codes. Mortalityldeath rates and case fatality rates were calculated using U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 for Virginia's population data. Frequency distribution analysis was done with SPSS 14.0, data entry using M.S. Excel, while rate ratio and confidence intervals for hospitalization rates, mortality rates were calculated. Linear trend was analyzed for hospitalization rates, mortality rates and case-fatality rates, using Chi square statistics test for significance. Geographical Information System (GIs) methods were used to display counties in Virginia.Results: Out of 2353 cases of automobile collision in Virginia, amongst 15-19 year olds, from 2000 to 2004, the demographic did not changed much. Males were fairly distributed over the five year period, while automobile collision characteristics showed that 2142 cases (91%) were more likely to be hospitalized on an emergency basis, with males having a higher percentage, fifty-nine (59%) percent, and forty (40%)percent for females. (Table 1 & 2). The hospitalization rates were higher for males than females, with rate ratio (RR>1) greater than one over the five years of study (Table 3). Mortality rates showed increase rates for males, over the five year of study (RR>1.5) (Table 4). Test for linear trend in hospitalization rates (Chi. Sq.=14.127, p-value ≤ 0.001) were significant for both males and females. Mortality rates test for trend were also significant for both males and females. (Chi Sq. = 377.0, p-value ≤ 0.001). Case-fatality rates trend test were significant for both males and females. (Chi sq. = 11.580, p value ≤ 0.001). The trend in hospitalization, mortality and case-fatality rates, showed a decrease over the five year of study.Conclusion: Given the impact of injuries in ,the U.S., mainly automobile collisions, it is socially beneficial to continue research, intervention and prevention programs in this area, particularly directed and targeted to this population - Healthy People 2010 objectives.
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Biomechanická reflexe cervikokraniální oblasti při frontálním nárazu / Biomechanical reflection of the cervicocranial part during frontal impactKozel, Jakub January 2012 (has links)
Title: Biomechanical reflection of the cervicocranial part during frontal impact Objectives: The aim of the work was to analyze in which parameters differs ATD from human participant during frontal impact. Characterize the head movement, compare maximal post impact head speed between ATD and human volunteers and defereneces between volunteer with eye control and without. Methods: Measuring was done with 8 volunteers and ATD (Manikin, 50th percentile man). For each volunteer were done two measurements, first without eye control and second with eye control. ATD was measured twice. It was recorded by Qualisys system, specifically by three optical cameras, on crash simulator. Results were processed in Qualisys Track Manager. There were tracked three markers, two on the body - forehead, shoulder and one on the sledge. Results: Results showed that speed of the head depends on eye control. Volunteer without eye control had higher post impact speed of head (4,94 m/s) than ATD (3,67 m/s) and volunteer with eye contact (3,19 m/s). Quite the same result was observed in change of distance between head and sledge after impact. There was higher value for volunteer without eye contact than for ATD. Keywords: Whiplash, frontal impact, Qualisys, crash simulator, cervicocranial part
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Characteristics and contributory causes related to large truck crashes (phase-II) - all crashesKotikalapudi, Siddhartha January 1900 (has links)
Master of Science / Department of Civil Engineering / Sunanda Dissanayake / In order to improve safety of the overall surface transportation system, each of the critical areas needs to be addressed separately with more focused attention. Statistics clearly show that large-truck crashes contribute significantly to an increased percentage of high-severity crashes. It is therefore important for the highway safety community to identify characteristics and contributory causes related to large-truck crashes. During the first phase of this study, fatal crash data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) database were studied to achieve that objective. In this second phase, truck-crashes of all severity levels were analyzed with the intention of understanding characteristics and contributory causes, and identifying factors contributing to increased severity of truck-crashes, which could not be achieved by analyzing fatal crashes alone. Various statistical methodologies such as cross-classification analysis and severity models were developed using Kansas crash data. Various driver-, road-, environment- and vehicle- related characteristics were identified and contributory causes were analyzed.
From the cross-classification analysis, severity of truck-crashes was found to be related with variables such as road surface (type, character and condition), accident class, collision type, driver- and environment-related contributory causes, traffic-control type, truck-maneuver, crash location, speed limit, light and weather conditions, time of day, functional class, lane class, and Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT). Other variables such as age of truck driver, day of the week, gender of truck-driver, pedestrian- and truck-related contributory causes were found to have no relationship with crash severity of large trucks. Furthermore, driver-related contributory causes were found to be more common than any other type of contributory cause for the occurrence of truck-crashes. Failing to give time and attention, being too fast for existing conditions, and failing to yield right of way were the most dominant truck-driver-related contributory causes, among many others.
Through the severity modeling, factors such as truck-driver-related contributory cause, accident class, manner of collision, truck-driver under the influence of alcohol, truck maneuver, traffic control device, surface condition, truck-driver being too fast for existing conditions, truck-driver being trapped, damage to the truck, light conditions, etc. were found to be significantly related with increased severity of truck-crashes. Truck-driver being trapped had the highest odds of contributing to a more severe crash with a value of 82.81 followed by the collision resulting in damage to the truck, which had 3.05 times higher odds of increasing the severity of truck-crashes. Truck-driver under the influence of alcohol had 2.66 times higher odds of contributing to a more severe crash.
Besides traditional practices like providing adequate traffic signs, ensuring proper lane markings, provision of rumble strips and elevated medians, use of technology to develop and implement intelligent countermeasures were recommended. These include Automated Truck Rollover Warning System to mitigate truck-crashes involving rollovers, Lane Drift Warning Systems (LDWS) to prevent run-off-road collisions, Speed Limiters (SLs) to control the speed of the truck, connecting vehicle technologies like Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) integration system to prevent head-on collisions etc., among many others. Proper development and implementation of these countermeasures in a cost effective manner will help mitigate the number and severity of truck-crashes, thereby improving the overall safety of the transportation system.
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Crash Performance of Pre-Impregnated Platelet Based Molded CompositesRebecca A Cutting (6996419) 13 August 2019 (has links)
Platelets made of slit and chopped unidirectional, carbon-fiber prepreg are becoming a popular option for use as a high performance molding compound because of their high fiber volume fraction and increased ability to flow compared to continuous fiber systems. As this molding compound is newly introduced to industry, increasing amounts of research have gone into understanding how platelets flow during molding and how components perform mechanically based on the final orientation state of platelets. This work investigates the performance of prepreg platelet molding compound (PPMC) as a viable alternative to continuous fiber systems for use with geometrically complex structural members on vehicles subjected to collisions. In doing so, the crash performance, energy absorption, and failure morphology of crush tubes made with PPMC are investigated and quantified. Then, a simulation methodology is developed to obtain manufacturing-informed performance models to predict the effect of platelet orientation state on mechanical behavior of PPMC components. This methodology uses a building block approach where each block in modeling is verified against closed-form solution (when available) and validated against experimental results. Once confidence is developed in a modeling block, the complexity of the simulation is increased until a component with full platelet orientation distribution is captured. The result is PPMC component models that are capable of predicting mechanical performance in orientation regimes that are not investigated experimentally.
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Predeterminantes de sobrevivência em vítimas de acidentes de trânsito submetidas a atendimento pré-hospitalar de suporte avançado à vida / Survival determinant factors in motor vehicle crash victms submitted to prehospital advanced life supportMalvestio, Marisa Aparecida Amaro 15 December 2005 (has links)
O Atendimento Pré Hospitalar (APH) é um importante recurso no atendimento à vítimas de trauma. No entanto, há muitas dificuldades para demonstrar o efeito benéfico das intervenções do APH na sobrevivência das vítimas, sobretudo as de suporte avançado à vida (SAV). A proposta deste estudo é caracterizar as vítimas de acidentes trânsito, com Revised Trauma Score (RTS) <11, atendidas pelo SAV municipal e encaminhadas a hospitais terciários em São Paulo, além de identificar as variáveis da fase pré-hospitalar associadas à sobrevivência e avaliar o valor predeterminante dessas variáveis sobre o resultado obtido pelas vítimas. As variáveis avaliadas foram: sexo, idade, mecanismos do acidente, procedimentos de suporte básico e SAV realizados, repercussão fisiológica do trauma na cena do acidente, (considerando o RTS , seus parâmetros e flutuações), o tempo consumido no APH, gravidade do trauma segundo o Injury Severity Score (ISS),a Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale (MAIS) e número de lesões para cada segmento corporal. Os resultados obtidos por 175 vítimas entre 12 e 65 anos, foram submetidos a "Análise de Sobrevivência de Kaplan Meier" e ao Modelo de Riscos Proporcionais de Cox". A variável dependente foi o tempo de sobrevivência após o acidente, considerando os intervalos até 6h,12h, 24h, 48h, até 7 dias e até o término da internação. Os homens (86,9%) e a faixa etária de 20 a 29 anos (36,0%) foram as mais freqüentes. Os atropelamentos (45,1%) e o envolvimento de motocicletas e seus ocupantes (30,9%) foram os destaques dentre os mecanismos de trauma. A média do RTS na cena e do ISS, foram respectivamente 8,8 e 19,4.Os segmentos corpóreos mais atingidos foram: cabeça (58,8%), membros inferiores (45,1%) e superfície externa (40%). A média de tempo consumido na fase de APH foi 41min (tempo de cena 20,2min). Ocorreram 36% de óbitos, (metade em até 6 horas). A análise estatística revelou 24 fatores associados à sobrevivência, dentre eles, os procedimentos respiratórios avançados e os circulatórios básicos, as variáveis relativas ao RTS e a gravidade (ISS, MAIS e o número de lesões). No modelo final de Cox, ter sido submetido a procedimentos respiratórios avançados, compressões torácicas, apresentar lesão abdominal e ISS>25, foi associado a maior risco para o óbito até 48h após o trauma. Até 7 dias, a compressão torácica não se manteve no modelo final e a PAS de zero a 75mmHg apresentou associação com a morte após o acidente. Até a alta hospitalar, a ausência de PAS na avaliação inicial permaneceu no modelo. A reposição de volume foi o único fator com valor protetor para o risco de óbito presente em todos os momentos / The prehospital care (PH) is an important resource to trauma victims care. Nevertheless, there is great difficulty in demonstrating the PH interventions positive effect in victims survival, especially when concerning the advanced life support (ALS). The aim of this study is to characterize motor vehicle crash victims with Revised Trauma Score (RTS) <11 cared by municipal ALS and moved to tertiary hospitals in São Paulo in addition to identifying the prehospital variables associated to survival, and to evaluate their values as victim survival outcome determinant. The variables evaluated were: sex, age, trauma mechanism, basic life support and ALS procedures, physiological measures in the accident scene (considering the RTS, its parameters and fluctuations), the time consumed in PH phase, trauma severity by Injury Severity Score (ISS), the Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale (MAIS) and number of lesions in each body region. The main results obtained by 175 victims between 12 e 65 years of age were submitted to the Kaplan Meier Survival Analysis and to Cox Proportional hazards Regression Analysis. The dependent variable was the survival time after the motor vehicle accident considering the intervals up to 6,12,24 and 48hs , up to 7 days and until the time of hospital discharge. Men (86,9%) and the 20 to 29 aged group (36%) were the most frequent. The pedestrians struck by car (45,1%) and the motorcycles (and their riders) (30,9%)were the highlight in trauma mechanisms. The RTS and the ISS average were 8,8 and 19,4 respectively. The more damaged body regions were head (58,8%), lower limbs (45,1%) and external surface (40%).The prehospital time average was 41 min (scene time 20,2min).Death rate was 36% (half of which up to 6hs).The statistical analysis revealed 24 survival associated factors. The ALS and the circulatory basic procedures, the RTS variables and the trauma severity (ISS,MAIS and number of lesions) were within them. In the final Cox Model were associated to higher risk of death up to 48hs after trauma: the submission to ALS respiratory procedures, chest compressions, the presence of abdominal injuries and ISS>25 .Until the 7th day the chest compression was not sustained in a final model and the systolic blood pressure (SBP) from zero to 75mmHg revealed statistical association with death after trauma. Until hospital discharge the SBP absence in scene evaluation remained in the model. The prehospital intravenous fluid refilling was the only factor of protector value to death risk in all moments
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Aplicação do modelo de previsão de acidentes do HSM em rodovias de pista simples do Estado de São Paulo / Application of the HSM crash prediction method for two lane highways of the state of Sao PauloSilva, Karla Cristina Rodrigues 24 January 2012 (has links)
Nesta dissertação é feita uma avaliação dos resultados da aplicação do modelo de previsão de acidentes apresentado no Highway Safety Manual - HSM, publicado pela American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) no ano de 2010, para o caso de trechos de rodovia de pista simples localizados no interior do estado de São Paulo. São analisados o método original do HSM, o método do HSM calibrado para os trechos de rodovias estudados e o método empírico de Bayes. Os resultados apresentados pelo método original do HSM são bastante distintos dos valores reais observados, o que exclui a possibilidade do seu emprego direto no universo analisado. No entanto, os valores resultantes da aplicação do método do HSM calibrado e do método de Bayes, em todas as análises realizadas, aproximam-se de maneira satisfatória dos valores observados (com resultados melhores no método de Bayes) - o que mostra que esses métodos podem ser utilizados para a previsão de acidentes no universo analisado, bem como em outras situações com condições similares. Ainda que seja recomendada a realização de estudos específicos para a aplicação do modelo em outras regiões do país, na ausência desses estudos, os valores obtidos neste trabalho podem ser empregados como primeira aproximação. / This research conducts an evaluation of the results achieved by means of the application of crash prediction method presented by the Highway Safety Manual - HSM, published by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) in 2010, for the case of two lane highway segments situated in the state of Sao Paulo. The analyses were aimed at the original method of the HSM, the method calibrated to the studied highways segments and with the use of the empirical Bayes method. The results obtained by application of the HSM original method are quite distinct from the actual crash values observed, which excludes the possibility of its direct employment in the universe analyzed. However, the values resulting from application of the calibrated HSM method and the method of Bayes, in all data analysis, approach satisfactorily the observed values (with better results with the use of Bayes method) - which shows that these methods can be used for the prediction of accidents in the universe analyzed, as well as in other situations with similar conditions. Although it is recommended to perform specific studies for the application of the method in other regions of the country, in the absence of these studies, the values provided by this research study can be used as a first approximation.
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Intersection Safety Analysis Methodology for Utah RoadwaysGibbons, Joshua Daniel 01 May 2018 (has links)
Roadway safety continues to be a priority for the Utah Department of Transportation (UDOT) Traffic and Safety Division. UDOT has participated in and managed several research projects in recent years to determine the roadway segments of highest safety concern in the state. This research has provided UDOT with more tools to assist in safety project prioritization. Researchers in Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Brigham Young University (BYU) have worked with UDOT and the Statistics Department at BYU to create two network screening statistical tools called the Utah Crash Prediction Model (UCPM) and the Utah Crash Severity Model (UCSM) to analyze roadway segment safety. The Roadway Safety Analysis Methodology (RSAM) was developed as a process to run these segment models. Because a significant portion of crashes occur at intersections, there is a need to analyze roadway safety specifically at intersections. This research focuses on the development of the Utah Intersection Crash Prediction Model (UICPM) and the Intersection Safety Analysis Methodology (ISAM). The UICPM is a Bayesian generalized linear model that determines crash distributions for each intersection based on roadway characteristics and historical crash data. The observed number of crashes at each intersection is compared with the crash distribution, and a percentile value is calculated as the probability that the number of crashes occurring at an intersection in a particular year is less than or equal to the average annual number of crashes. A high percentile value indicates that more crashes were observed than expected and the intersection is a hot spot and should be considered for safety improvements. All intersections are ranked at the state, UDOT Region, and county levels based on the percentile value, the higher ranks having higher percentile values. The ISAM is the three-step process that was developed to execute the UICPM. The first step is to prepare the model input by formatting and combining the roadway characteristics and crash data files. Crashes are assigned to intersections if they fall with the functional area of an intersection. Due to data limitations, the ISAM is currently being used only for intersections of at least two state routes. It is anticipated that, as more data are made available, the ISAM will function properly for intersections of non-state routes as well. The second step is to execute the UICPM using the R GUI tool and R software. The third step is to create a two-page Intersection Safety Analysis Report (ISAR) for intersections of interest and maps of the state, UDOT Regions, and counties with the model results. Parts of the ISARs are auto-generated and the rest is entered manually by an analyst. The two-page ISARs will be used by UDOT Regions to prioritize intersection safety projects in their respective areas.
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Roadway Safety Analysis MethodologyMineer, Samuel Thomas 01 May 2016 (has links)
The Utah Department of Transportation (UDOT) Traffic and Safety Division continues to advance the safety of the state roadway network through network screening and decision making tools. In an effort to aid UDOT in meeting this goal, the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Brigham Young University (BYU) has worked with the Statistics Department in developing analysis tools for highway safety, specifically the Utah Crash Prediction Model (UCPM) and the Utah Crash Severity Model (UCSM). Additional tools and methodologies, such as the "Hot Spot Identification and Analysis," have been created to summarize the roadway characteristics, crash data, and possible countermeasures of roadway segments with safety problems.This research focuses on the creation of a three part "Roadway Safety Analysis" methodology, which applies and automates the cumulative work of recently completed highway safety research conducted for UDOT. The first part is to prepare the roadway data and crash data for the statistical analysis. The second part is to perform the network screening statistical analysis; rank the segments by state, UDOT Region, and county; and select segments of interest. The third part is to compile and publish the Roadway Safety Analysis reports for the selected segments of interest. These parts are accomplished using the automation tools and graphical user interfaces (GUIs), which are documented in three respective volumes of user manuals. The automation tools and GUIs were developed with checks and processes to allow the Roadway Safety Analysis methodology to be completed with new, updated roadway and crash datasets.The Roadway Safety Analysis methodology allows future iterations of the UCPM and UCSM analysis and compilation of the Roadway Safety Analysis reports to be conducted in a user friendly environment. A series of critical data columns were identified to communicate the need for data consistency for future iterations of this safety research. An example of the entire process of the Roadway Safety Analysis methodology is given to illustrate how the three parts tie together. The overall process has automated data processing tasks, which saves time and resources for the analyst to investigate possible safety measures for segments of interest. Recommendations for future highway safety research are given, including continued development of the Roadway Safety Analysis methodology, an analysis of intersections and horizontal curves, the implementation of the Roadway Safety Analysis methodology to other states, and the advancement of safety countermeasures and geospatial tools for highway safety research.
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Exploring the Determinants of Vulnerable Road Users' Crash Severity in State RoadsCaviedes Cómbita, Àlvaro Alfonso 08 December 2017 (has links)
Pedestrians and bicyclists are the most vulnerable road users and suffer the most severe consequences when crashes take place. An extensive literature is available for crash severity in terms of driver safety, but fewer studies have explored non-motorized users' crash severity. Furthermore, most research efforts have examined pedestrian and bicyclist crash severity in urban areas. This study focuses on state roads (mostly outside major urban areas) and aims to identify contributing risk factors of fatal and severe crashes involving pedestrians and bicyclists in state roads. Two ordinal regression models were developed (one for pedestrian and the other for bicyclist crashes) to examine crash severity risk factors. Additional models were developed to investigate road and traffic characteristics that could increase the likelihood of fatal crashes. In the model for pedestrian crash severity risk factors such as age, vehicle type and movement, light conditions, road classification, traffic control device, posted speed limit, location of the pedestrian and wet road surface during clear weather conditions are statistically significant. The bicyclist crash severity model indicates that age, crash location, vehicle movement and alcohol intoxication during dark conditions are statistically significant. In terms of road characteristics and traffic conditions, the models suggested risk factors such as arterials, light conditions, posted speed limit, roadways, and high heavy vehicle volume, increased the odds of a crash being fatal.
The results seem to suggest that besides improvements in roadway characteristics, additional countermeasures to reduce crash severity for vulnerable users should include separation of vulnerable users from traffic, educational campaigns, more strict control of alcohol intoxicated drivers, and protection strategies of senior pedestrians.
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Prehospital Staffing and Road Traffic Accidents: Physician Versus Trained Nonphysician RespondersGrant, Timothy A. 01 January 2015 (has links)
Road traffic deaths, which affect people in their productive years, are projected to be the third leading cause of death by the year 2030. While most studies have focused on road infrastructure and vehicle safety, this study examined something new: the impact of prehospital response to road traffic accidents on the rate of death. Some countries send physicians to the scene of an accident; some send paramedics or registered nurses. The question this research sought to answer was whether the use of physician responders resulted in a lower rate of death compared to the use of nonphysician responders. The literature makes it clear that rate of road traffic death is related to country income and governance indicators, so first those variables needed to be equalized. My conceptual framework for this cross-sectional correlation study was the Haddon matrix, which organizes injuries by temporal (pre-event, event, and postevent) and epidemiological (host, agent, and environment) factors. Using World Health Organization data on road traffic injury and country income, World Bank data on governance indicators, and a literature search of 67 countries' prehospital response profiles, significant negative correlations (p > 0.001) were found for road traffic deaths and income, r (65) = -0.68, and governance indicators, r (65) = -0.646. No significant difference in the rate of road traffic death was found between physician and nonphysician prehospital staffing. Because increasing countries' income and improving governance are long-term, ambitious goals for developing countries, training nonphysician prehospital responders appears to be the most effective social change to decrease the burden of road traffic deaths.
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