Este trabalho inicia com uma contextualização histórica e motivação, seguida por revisão bibliográfica nos tópicos discutidos: segurança veicular, crash box, crashworthiness, absorvedores de energia, tubos de impacto, metamodelos, algoritmos genéticos, Planejamento de Experimentos (DoE - Design of Experiments), origami e engenharia, e métodos de otimização na engenharia. Em seguida, o pesquisador propõe um experimento baseado em simulações, avaliando diversas crash box em forma de origami criadas a partir da variação de seus parâmetros dimensionais. Através de um algoritmo baseado em metamodelos, o autor realiza uma análise com o objetivo de maximizar a energia absorvida específica (Specific Energy Absorption - SEA) e a uniformidade de carga (Load Uniformity - LU). A fronteira de Pareto resultante dos dois objetivos é analisada de acordo a exemplos de critérios de decisão, e a configuração escolhida é então comparada a uma crash box da indústria. A configuração escolhida apresenta uma massa quatro vezes menor, e uma uniformidade de carga semelhante à crash box da indústria. Conclui com novas proposições de trabalhos, envolvendo outros métodos de otimização disponíveis. / This research begins with a historical background and motivation, followed by a bibliographic review on the discussed topics: vehicle safety, crash box, crashworthiness, energy absorbers, impact tubes, metamodels, Design of Experiments (DOE), origami and engineering, and optimization in engineering. Next, the researcher proposes a simulation-based experiment, evaluating origami crash boxes created through the variation of several dimensional parameters. Through a metamodel-based algorithm, the author performs an analysis with the objective of maximizing the Specific Energy Absorption (SEA) and the load uniformity (LU). The resultant Pareto frontier of the two objectives is analyzed according to examples of decision criteria, and the chosen design is compared to a crash box from industry. The chosen design presents four times less mass, and a load uniformity similar to the crash box from industry. The research concludes with propositions for new themes, involving other optimization methods available.

Depuis quelques années, l'industrie automobile s'intéresse au développement d'adhésifs crashs. Ces produits donnent aux assemblages collés des performances exceptionnelles en tenue mécanique statique, en fatigue et en tenue au crash. Ces adhésifs sont formulés pour s'adapter de façon optimale aux procédés de mise en œuvre de l'industrie automobile. L'objectif de l'étude est de déterminer les mécanismes d'adhésion, au cours d'un vieillissement humide, pour différentes chimies de surface et la cinétique des phénomènes engendrant des variations des niveaux d'adhérence et des modes de rupture. Dans cette thèse, des systèmes industriels, le test de traction-cisaillement et le cataplasme humide ont été retenus. Une approche combinant chimie et physique de l'adhésif, de l'acier galvanisé et du joint de colle a été menée. Cette approche multi-technique a permis de mettre en évidence les phénomènes responsables de la perte d'adhérence d'un assemblage acier galvanisé/adhésif crash au cours d'un vieillissement hygrothermique. L'interphase apparaît comme la zone la plus sensible aux contraintes mécaniques avant et après quelques jours de vieillissement. En revanche, pour des temps de vieillissement plus importants, la couche de corrosion devient la zone de faible cohésion. L'étude de l'influence de la chimie de surface des substrats d'acier galvanisé sur les propriétés d'adhérence des assemblages collés montre une meilleure réactivité et donc une meilleure tenue mécanique des substrats contenant davantage de zinc et d'hydroxydes que d'aluminium et d'oxydes. Une attention plus particulière a été portée sur la caractérisation fine de la chimie de surface des aciers galvanisés. / Since few years, automotive industry tends to develop crash adhesives. By bonding metal sheets with a continuous bead of crash adhesive, automotive manufacturers can significantly improve both body stiffuess and crashworthiness. The crosslinking conditions of the adhesive on industrial surface (galvanized steel) without cleaning correspond to those used industrially (Electrocoat product). The aim of this work is to determine adhesion mechanisms during hydrothennal ageing for different surface chemistry and kinetics of phenomena generating variations of adhesion levels and failure locus. For this study industrial materials (galvanized steel and epoxy crash adhesive), lap-shear test and humid cataplasm were selected. An approach combining chemistry and physics of the adhesive, substrate and joints was led. This multi-technical approach can be of major interest for the study of phenomena responsible of adhesion loss for adhesively bonded joints in moist environment. So the failure is located in a metal/polymer interphase during the first period of ageing then the failure shifts within a surface layer of corrosion products. The influence of surface chemistry of galvanized steel substrates on metal/polymer adhesion was also studied. The results show a better reactivity and consequently better mechanical properties for substrates with zinc and hydroxides than aluminum and oxides. In this approach, a precise characterization of surface chemistiy was led by XPS methodology.

本篇論文的主要研究目的是希望探討Didier所發展出的金融危機預測模型是否也能夠適用於預測復甦現象?如同先前許多研究所指出的，美國股市指數波動在崩盤以及復甦下呈現截然不同的現象。當在復甦時，指數成長緩慢，波動程度小。但是當蕭條時，指數波動程度大，並且快速。這些差異增加了使用同一種方法來預測金融復甦與危機的困難度。 / Purpose of this study was to investigate Can the crisis prediction model proposed by Didier Sornette still work on blooming. As previous studies pointed out that the U.S. stock market index fluctuated different when under the blooming stage and the recession stage. When Economic recovery, a change into the positive cycle, the stock market index rose slowly, the index change in the short term rate is small. When recession came, changes in stock market index fiercely. These differences make it hard to using the same way predict the economic recovery and collapse.

Southeastern states have about 26 percent of the nations total fatalities, and are about 24 percent above the national mean over recent years. Descriptive statistics, graphs, and figures are used to illustrate and quantify the crash trends, which depict a comprehensive picture of status and trends of the fatal crashes in southeastern states. The severity of crashes is studied as a function of characteristics of the person involved in the crash, vehicle, traffic condition, physical road geometry, and environmental factors. Detailed geometric feature data were collected for this study, which makes it possible to investigate the relationship between geometric features and crash severity. This study identifies causal factors contributing to the high fatality rate in southeastern states, and sheds light on the differences and similarities among these states for reducing the severity of fatal crashes, by developing multinomial logit models to explain the severity and type of fatal crashes.

The primary objective of the study is to evaluate the safety performance of different freeway exit types used in current practical designs. More specific, the research objectives include the following two parts: 1) to compare the safety performance of different design types at freeway diverge areas and exit ramp sections; and 2) to identify the impact factors contributing to the crashes happening at these two specific segments. The study area includes four subjects, the freeway widely-spaced diverge areas; the freeway closely-spaced diverge areas; the left-side off-ramps and the exit ramp sections. For the freeway diverge areas, design types were defined based on the number of lanes used by vehicular traffic to exit freeways and lane-balance theory. Four exit ramp types were considered for the widely-spaced diverge area, including single-lane exit ramps (Type 1), sing-lane exit ramps without a taper (Type 2), two-lane exit ramps with an optional lane (Type 3), and two-lane exit ramps without an optional lane (Type 4). For the closely-spaced diverge areas, three types, named as Type A, Type B and Type C, are selected to compare the safety performances among the three types. For the left-side off-ramp at the freeway diverge area, this study examined the two most widely used design types at the left-side freeway diverge areas in Florida, which are defined as Type I (one-lane left-side off-ramp), and Type II (two-lane left-side off-ramp). Type I is comparable to Type 1 design type and Type II is comparable to Type 3 design type at widely-spaced freeway diverge area. For the exit ramp sections, four ramp configurations, including diamond, out connection, free-flow loop and parclo loop, were considered. Cross-sectional comparisons were conducted to compare the crash frequency, the crash rate, the crash severity and target crash types between different design groups. Crash predictive models were also built to quantify the impacts of various contributing factors. The results of this study would expectedly help transportation decision makers develop tailored technical guidelines governing the selection of the optimum design combinations at freeway diverge areas and exit ramp sections.

Doctor of Philosophy / Civil Engineering / Sunanda Dissanayake / Safe and efficient flow of traffic through work zones must be established by improving work zone conditions. Therefore, identifying the factors associated with the severity and the frequency of work zone crashes is important. According to current statistics from the Federal Highway Administration, 2,372 fatalities were associated with motor vehicle traffic crashes in work zones in the United States during the four years from 2010 to 2013. From 2002 to 2014, an average of 1,612 work zone crashes occurred in Kansas each year, making it a serious concern in Kansas. Objectives of this study were to analyze work zone crash characteristics, identify the factors associated with crash severity and frequency, and to identify recommendations to improve work zone safety. Work zone crashes in Kansas from 2010 to 2013 were used to develop crash severity models. Ordered probit regression was used to model the crash severities for daytime, nighttime, multi-vehicle and single-vehicle work zone crashes and for work zones crashes in general. Based on severity models, drivers from 26 to 65 years of age were associated with high crash severities during daytime work zone crashes and driver age was not found significant in nighttime work zone crashes. Use of safety equipment was related to reduced crash severities regardless of the time of the crash. Negative binomial regression was used to model the work zone crash frequency using work zones functioned in Kansas in 2013 and 2014. According to results, increased average daily traffic (AADT) was related to higher number of work zone crashes and work zones in operation at nighttime were related to reduced number of work zone crashes. Findings of this study were used to provide general countermeasure ideas for improving safety of work zones.

Suite à l’évolution de la réglementation relative aux dispositifs de retenue pour enfants en juillet 2013, une campagne d’évaluation expérimentale a permis de constater que la situation des plus jeunes impliqués dans un choc latéral était particulièrement critique. Pour y remédier, une méthodologie originale a été développée dans le but de dimensionner les matériaux d’absorption d’énergie « idéaux » à intégrer aux sièges-auto au niveau des zones d’impact de la tête, de l’épaule et du bassin. Une étude paramétrique basée sur ce concept a alors consisté à piloter la retenue de ces trois segments corporels dans le but de minimiser, soit les critères réglementaires (mannequins Q0 et Q1), soit les critères biomécaniques (modèle hybride Q0-6WOC). Les recommandations issues de cette étude ont ensuite été appliquées à un dispositif de retenue existant afin de l’optimiser en choc latéral. Après avoir vérifié que les valeurs d’accélération linéaire résultante de la tête et de HPC étaient bien inférieures aux seuils imposés par la réglementation, un modèle par Eléments Finis (EF) du siège-auto optimisé a été développé puis validé en situation dynamique. Finalement, après couplage de ce modèle EF du dispositif de retenue optimisé avec le modèle hybride Q0-6WOC, il a été montré que les résultats de simulation numérique en choc latéral étaient deux fois plus faibles que ceux obtenus avec le dispositif de retenue de référence. / Following changes in Child Restraint System (CRS) regulation in July 2013, an experimental CRS evaluation campaign has been conducted. Then, it has been noticed that the situation amongst the youngest involved in side impact was particularly critical. An original methodology has been therefore developed in order to define the “best” energy absorption materials to use in child seats for head, shoulder and pelvis areas. A parametric study in which the restraint of each body segments was independently piloted has then been conducted. The aim was to minimize either regulatory criteria of Q0 and Q1 dummies, or biomechanical criteria based on Q0-6WOC hybrid model. Those recommendations have thereafter been applied to improve an existing child restraint system under side impact. First, it has been checked that resultant linear acceleration of the head and HPC criteria were below regulation limits. Second, Finite Element (FE) model of the optimized car seat has been created and validated in several dynamical steps. Third, both reference child restraint system and optimized child seat has been evaluated in side impact with Q0-6WOC hybrid model. Finally, it has been showed that technical changes helped to cut in half the biomechanical results.

Background Major road traffic crashes (RTCs) can have a significant impact on the survivors, their family, and their friends, as well as on emergency personnel, volunteers, and others involved. However, survivors’ perspectives are rare or missing in research on major RTCs in Sweden. A comprehensive understanding of the survivors and their experiences is also lacking. By studying what it is like to survive a major RTC, the care and support provided to survivors can be adapted and improved. The overall aim is to broaden the understanding of the short- and long-term consequences and experiences of surviving a major bus crash. Methods The contexts are two bus crashes that occurred in Sweden, in February 2007 and December 2014. In total, the participants are 110 out of the 112 survivors, and the data is collected through telephone interviews, official reports, and medical records at one month, three months, and five years after the crashes. Analysis methods include qualitative content analysis, descriptive statistics, thematic analysis, and mixed methods research analysis. Results One month after the crash, most of the survivors were experiencing minor or major physical and/or psychological stress in their everyday lives (Study I). Four main findings were identified regarding their experiences of immediate care (Study II): prehospital discomfort, lack of compassionate care, dissatisfaction with crisis support, and satisfactory initial care and support. The importance of compassion and being close to others was also highlighted. Five years after the bus crash in Rasbo (Study III), survivors were still struggling with physical injuries and mental problems. Other long-term consequences were a lasting sense of connectedness among fellow passengers, a gratitude for life, as well as feelings of distress in traffic, especially in regard to buses. The main findings from study IV indicated that injury severity did not seem to affect mental health, and that social aspects were important to the recovery process. There was an interconnection among survivors in which they seemed to be linked to each other’s recovery. Conclusion A strong need for short- and long-term social and psychological support in terms of compassion and community is evident in all the studies. The survivors ought to be acknowledged as capable and having the resources to contribute to their own and their fellow survivors’ recovery and health. There is a need for greater understanding of how different the survivors are, with each one of them having various physical, psychological, social, and existential needs. / Bakgrund Stora trafikskadehändelser kan ha en betydande inverkan på de överlevande och deras närståendes liv, likaså på sjukvårdspersonal, vittnen, och andra som är involverade. Trots detta så är de överlevandes perspektiv sällsynta eller saknas i forskning om stora trafikskadehändelser i Sverige. Det saknas även en helhetsförståelse av överlevande och deras erfarenheter. Genom att studera hur det är att överleva en busskrasch kan omhändertagande och stöd anpassas och förbättras. Det övergripande syftet är att öka förståelsen av kort- och långsiktiga konsekvenser och erfarenheter av att överleva en stor busskrasch. Metod Kontexten är två busskrascher som inträffade i februari 2007 och december 2014 i Sverige. Antal deltagare är 110 av 112 överlevande och data samlades in en månad, tre månader och fem år efter krascherna, via telefonintervjuer, officiella rapporter och medicinska journaler. Analysmetoder inkluderar kvalitativ innehållsanalys, deskriptiv statistik, tematisk analys och mixad metod. Resultat En månad efter kraschen upplevde överlevande fysiskt obehag och/eller psykisk stress i varierande grad i sin vardag (Studie I). Gällande upplevelser av det initiala omhändertagandet (Studie II) identifierades fyra huvudresultat; obehag på skadeplats, brister i omhändertagande och bemötande, missnöje med krisstöd, och tillfredsställande initialt omhändertagande och stöd. Betydelsen av empati och medkänsla från personal och frivilliga samt samhörighet med medpassagerare lyftes fram av de överlevande. Fem år efter busskraschen i Rasbo (Studie III) fanns det överlevande som fortfarande kämpade med fysiska skador och psykiska problem. Andra tydliga långsiktiga konsekvenser var en bestående gemenskap mellan medpassagerare, en tacksamhet över livet, samt oro och rädsla i trafiken, speciellt vid bussåkande. Uppföljningen efter busskraschen i Tranemo (Studie IV) indikerade att sociala aspekter var betydelsefulla för återhämtningsprocessen hos överlevande och att skadornas svårighetsgrad inte var betydande för det psykiska välbefinnandet. En stark samhörighet upplevdes bland de närstående som reste tillsammans och de verkade följa varandras återhämtning. Slutsatser Ett starkt behov av kort- och långsiktigt socialt och psykologiskt stöd i form av gemenskap och empati är tydligt i samtliga studier. De överlevande bör uppmärksammas som aktörer med kapacitet och resurser till att bidra till sin egen och medpassagerares återhämtning och hälsa. Det behövs en ökad förståelse för hur olika de överlevande är, med varierande fysiska, psykologiska, sociala, och existentiella behov.

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The diploma thesis deals especially with basic crash test conducted by the organizations Euro NCAP and RCAR. On basis of RCAR standard for low speed crash test is designed crush element for a car Ford Taurus by using a virtual simulation. Thesis describes the selection, editing, and creating a finite element model and impact simulation to the barrier. The purpose was use a real vehicle, design into it a new crush element, try different shape and material implementation of crush element and make their comparison.