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Two Essays on American Housing Markets: the Determinants of Housing Value Volatility and the Ownership Decision of Manufactured HousingZhou, Yu 02 September 2009 (has links)
No description available.
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Commodity Risk Management in The Airline Industry : A study from EuropeHavik, Jonathan, Stendahl, Emil, Soteriou, Andreas January 2016 (has links)
The airline industry is a major user of jet fuel and this constitutes a large component of the operating costs and is a risk coefficient for airlines. Several studies have been conducted on how oil price volatility affect stock prices and cash flows as well as how, in general, firms that uses derivatives experience lower stock returns volatility and stock s .The impact of oil price volatility on airline stock s and the impact of hedging on airline stock s have not been adequately examined, this paper fills this gap. By gathering daily frequency of oil spot prices to access the quarterly oil price volatility and stock s from 16 European airlines, we correlate quarterly oil price volatility to quarterly airline stock s as well as stock s and hedging percentages between 2010-2015, we reject the hypothesis that oil price volatility has an impact on airline stock s and that hedging reduces stock s. These findings therefore suggest that oil price volatility do not have a large impact on systematic risks or that hedging offset systematic risks. The findings are of interest to investors who want to make well informed investment decisions based on non-diversifiable equity risk since it has become popular for management recently to implement hedging policies to signal competency in risk management in order to attract investments.
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Three Essays on the Impact of Electronic Screen Trading in Futures MarketsHill, Amelia Mary January 2001 (has links)
This dissertation consists of 3 essays that examine the impact of electronic screen trading in futures markets. The research provides empirical evidence on increasingly significant issues given the rapid global advances in technology used in securities markets. Each essay addresses the scarcity of conclusive research in order to aid researchers, regulators, exchange policy makers and systems builders as they confront issues related to electronic trading systems.
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Three Essays on the Impact of Electronic Screen Trading in Futures MarketsHill, Amelia Mary January 2001 (has links)
This dissertation consists of 3 essays that examine the impact of electronic screen trading in futures markets. The research provides empirical evidence on increasingly significant issues given the rapid global advances in technology used in securities markets. Each essay addresses the scarcity of conclusive research in order to aid researchers, regulators, exchange policy makers and systems builders as they confront issues related to electronic trading systems.
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Combined Leverage and the Volatility of Stock PricesLi, Rong-Jen 08 1900 (has links)
Much has been written during the past decade to explain the relationship between financial and operating leverage and stock-price volatility. However, the relationship between combined leverage and stock-price volatility has yet to be fully explored. Mandelker and Rhee's (MR) recent study uses both operating and financial leverage in a regression (equivalent to the traditional total leverage—DTL) and shows that both types of leverage are positively associated with common stock betas. Huffman recently demonstrated that there are interactions between operating leverage and financial leverage. Therefore, MR's model could be oversimplified. This study examines the relationship between firms' combined leverage and their stock-price volatility. The study also examines industry and industry growth to see if the relationship is influenced by these factors. The question is whether DOCL is a better risk measure than DTL and whether there is an interaction between operating and financial leverage. The inferences that can be drawn from the study's results are as follows: (a) Stock risk is a function of combined leverage; (b) Industry significantly influences the relationship between stock risk and DOCL; (c) High growth increases the relationship between stock risk and DOCL; (d) Combined leverage (DOCL) is a better risk measure than total leverage (DTL). Further, the problem with the traditional total leverage measure is the omission of the interaction between DOL and DFL. This is consistent with Huffman's theory and suggests Mandelker and Rhee's model is oversimplified.
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The Effects of German Wind and Solar Electricity on French Spot Price Volatility: An Empirical InvestigationHaxhimusa, Adhurim 01 1900 (has links) (PDF)
We examine the relationship between German wind and solar electricity and French spot price volatility. Using hourly data, we find that French imports from Germany driven by German wind and solar electricity sometimes decrease, sometimes increase the volatility of French spot prices. These two opposing effects depend on the shape of the French supply function and on the French demand. We, therefore, estimate different coefficients for imports depending on different demand levels. We acknowledge the endogeneity problem in identifying these effects and employ instrumental variable techniques to circumvent this problem. Our results show the urgent need for further coordination of national energy policies in order to reduce the potential for negative spill over effects of nationally driven energy policies in neighbouring countries as European electricity markets are becoming more integrated. / Series: Department of Economics Working Paper Series
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Maize price volatility in Burkina Faso : Measurement, Causes and Consequences / La volatilité du prix du maïs au Burkina Faso : Mesure, causes et conséquencesNdiaye, Moctar 10 November 2016 (has links)
La volatilité des prix alimentaires est devenue un sujet de préoccupation constante dans les pays en développement suite à la flambée des prix des produits alimentaires en 2007/08 et 2010/11. Cette thèse s’intéresse à la caractérisation de la volatilité des prix au Burkina Faso. La volatilité des prix est définie comme la part imprévisible des variations de prix. Les objectifs de cette thèse sont en particulier i) d’évaluer les caractéristiques de la volatilité des prix du maïs au Burkina Faso, ii) d’analyser ses déterminants et iii) ses impacts sur le comportement des producteurs. Pour répondre à ces questions complémentaires, nous avons combiné des données originales et riches de prix céréaliers sur plusieurs marchés et des données sur l’activité agricole de près de 2000 producteurs sur l’ensemble du territoire Burkinabé. Plusieurs résultats émergent dans cette thèse. Premièrement, ces données ont permis d’isoler le secteur clé du maïs pour ensuite présenter de manière détaillée les données sur les prix du maïs et sur l’activité agricole des ménages utilisés dans la suite de la thèse (chapitre 1). Deuxièmement, l’analyse des séries de prix du maïs sur chaque marché propose le processus ARCH comme modèle de séries chronologiques qui explique le mieux les caractéristiques de la volatilité des prix sur la majorité des marchés. Sur ces marchés les baisses et les hausses de prix ont une contribution similaire sur la volatilité des prix, et seuls les chocs de court terme l’affectent. Les autres marchés sont caractérisés par une persistance de la volatilité avec un effet différencié des variations de prix qui s’expliquent par les caractéristiques géographiques (chapitre 2). Troisièmement, l'analyse des séries de prix en panel révèle que la volatilité des prix du maïs est élevée sur les marchés les plus enclavés (chapitre 3). Quatrièmement, l’analyse des séries de prix du maïs combinés aux données sur l’activité agricole des ménages indiquent qu’une hausse des prix du maïs accroît l'utilisation des engrais chimiques. Toutefois, les variations de prix imprévisibles diminuent le niveau d'utilisation de ces engrais ; tandis que les variations des prix prévisibles n’ont aucun effet significatif sur leur utilisation (chapitre 4). La principale originalité de cette thèse réside dans le traitement des questions relatives à la volatilité des prix à l’échelle des marchés locaux et à un niveau microéconomique avec des données de ménage, alors que cette problématique est généralement perçue sous un angle macroéconomique à l’échelle internationale. / Food price volatility is an ongoing concern in developing countries since the food price spikes in 2007/08 and 2010/11. This dissertation focuses on the patterns of food price volatility in Burkina Faso. Price volatility is defined as the unpredictable component of price variations. The aim of this dissertation is to contribute to a better understanding of three complementary issues i) the nature of maize price volatility in Burkina Faso, ii) its determinants and iii) its impacts on agricultural producers’ behavior. We combine an original database of grain prices on 28 local markets in the last 15 years and a panel database of almost 2,000 farm households’ production choices throughout the. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, these data allowed isolating the key sector of maize and then presenting detailed data on maize price series and the agricultural activity of households used in the remainder of this thesis (chapter 1). Second, the analysis of maize price series in each market suggests that ARCH model as the dominant time-series model to describe price volatility patterns in most markets in Burkina Faso. In these markets, price drops and peaks have a similar contribution to price volatility, and only recent episodes of price variations increase current volatility. Other markets are characterized by long term volatility episodes with a differential effect of price variations due to the geographical position (Chapter 2).Third, the analysis with panel method of maize price series shows that maize price volatility is greater in remote markets (Chapter 3). Fourth, by combining price series on local cereal markets and a panel data set on farm households’ production choices, we find that higher maize prices increase the quantity of chemical fertilizer use. However, unpredictable maize price variations decrease the level of fertilizer use; while predictable maize prices have no significant effect on fertilizer use (Chapter 4). The novelty of this thesis lies in the analysis of price volatility on local markets and at a micro level with household data, whereas this issue is usually perceived at the macroeconomic scale.
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Stock price volatility and dividend policy: The German stock exchangeKarlsson, Christopher, von Renteln, Alexander January 2021 (has links)
The objective of this research is to analyse if there is a negative relationship between dividend policy and stock price volatility in the German stock market. The data that was collected for this research consists of the 30 biggest companies listed on the German stock exchange Deutscher Aktienindex known as DAX 30 for the period 2000-2020. Fixed effect model estimated by panel data was applied to find the results of this research. The findings showed that the main variables of dividend policy (dividend yield and payout ratio) were negatively significant correlated with stock price volatility which provides evidence for our hypothesis. The results showed that the control variable earnings volatility had a positive significant relationship with stock price volatility. However, asset growth resulted in an insignificant relationship but the rest of the control variables such as leverage, market value and free float percentage showed a significant negative relationship with stock price volatility.
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Implementation of water electrolysis in Växjö´s combined heat and power plant and the use of excess heat : A techno-economic analysisvon Hepperger, Florian January 2021 (has links)
Renewable energies are fluctuating and the bigger its share on the Swedish energy market, the more fluctuating are the prices. Therefore, CHP plant operators as VEAB in Växjö, are more and more struggling to be competitive. There is, hence, a need of alternative options for the use of produced electricity, rather than being dependent on such a volatile and unclear market. Hydrogen production through water electrolysis could therefore be an alternative to be decoupled from the electricity business and instead being part of a promising, future hydrogen economy. Since state-of-the-art electrolysers have efficiencies between 51% and 75%, it was assessed that some of the efficiency losses could be recuperated by implementing the excess heat in an existing District heating (DH) grid. Calculations of the base scenario electrolyser with a power input of 870 kW showed, that an increase of the overall temperatures of the returning mass flow of the DH grid from 0,05°C to 0,23°C should be achievable. The economic analysis showed, that for this size of hydrogen production unit, the minimum hydrogen selling price (MHSP) would be 6,64 €/kg, which is not competitive on today’s market. However, the sensitivity analysis showed, that by a decreased investment cost, lower electricity prices and especially by scaling up the base scenario, the MHSP could be lowered significantly. Assuming a reduction of investment costs of 20% and scaling up the electrolyser by 1000% to 8700 kW, the MHSP resulted in 1,9 €/kg, a competitive price on the market. This study revealed that hydrogen production could be part of the future business model of CHP plant operators and provides a guideline on the feasibility of such a project.
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Volatility- An investigation of the relationship between price- and yield volatilityNasir, Samia January 2020 (has links)
This report investigates the relationship between the yield volatility and the price volatility in the Swedish market. The method given in our report can be used to analyze any market with appropriate data set. We have used a time-series data of interest rate yield curves from Swedish government bonds. The curves are bootstrapped from the bills and bonds. The linear interpolation on these curves results in the nodes i.e. 1Y, 2Y,..., 10Y. We also need prices for instruments. A good choice is to use the synthetic government bonds namely SE GVB 2Y, SE GVB 5Y, and SE GVB 10Y. They are issued every day with maturity 2, 5, and 10 years. We also use the time-series of these bonds. These bonds have a yearly coupon of 6%. We can get zero-coupon values of these bonds by stripping their coupons using the interest rate yield curves. We have time-series data of zero-coupon prices with maturities 2, 5, and 10 years and time-series data of interest rates with the same tenors. We can use our data to calculate their respective volatilities to investigate how they are related to each other.
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