No abstract available

This report, rooted in the conflict over the control of natural resource wealth, departs from the widely-accepted findings of two disparate literatures. First, while recent analyses correctly conclude that natural resources rents play a contingent role in development, this study deviates from the conventional wisdom attributing the variation of the resource curse to formal institutions. Secondly, as opposed to the recent wave of “political insurance” arguments that ascribe the creation of reforms to weak incumbents attempting to tie the hands of their successors, I argue that actors pursue similar institutional reforms for economic and political reasons. I build on these literatures by examining the commitment to a specific government institution—stabilization funds, which manage the fluctuations of natural resource rents and stop natural resource wealth from being a curse—across three natural resource-rich Latin American countries: Chile, Mexico and Venezuela. Paradoxically, because successful stabilization funds provide greater political benefits when rents are saved, I argue that these institutions only tie the hands of political successors from using rents for political purposes when they are created for economic purposes. / text

In the first part of this article, we discuss the time and the probability for the barrier option to become effective, and then employ the risk neutral assumption to derive the pricing formula of the barrier option. Our pricing formula is a closed form solution, and we may calculate the price of the barrier option without considering the Binomial tree of the underlying asset. We also calculate the traditional option price by our pricing formula, and compare the result to the value that is calculated by Binomial pricing formula. Both of them give the same value about the tradition option, and thus we may regard the tradition option as the special case of the barrier option. In the second part of this article, we employ the pricing formula of the barrier to derive the value of the National Finance Stabilization Fund, and then analyze the impact of the NFSF to the market. Our results reveal that when the benchmark market is not shifted by the bad news, then the NFSF may advance and stabilize the stock price index. In fact, many new style derivatives have the characteristics like barrier option, for example, a convertible bond with forced convert clause, which is a up-and-out call. Other course like bankruptcy costs, agency problems, and contingent liabilities etc, which can all be solved by the pricing formula in our discussion. We hope that results and the process in this article are helpful in solving above questions.

This paper firstly constructed an order-driven market probability model of informed trading to analyze the correlation between informed trade and return of assets and the trade-price effect. Secondly, using the probability model of informed trading, we constructed a probability model of arbitrage trading in order-driven call market, which could analyze the stabilization fund and the arbitrage trade, to investigate whether the government¡¦s interference measures were necessary and whether the intervened timepoints conformed to the set-up spirit of the stabilization fund¡Xto intervene while falling and not to while rising. Finally, we set up a ratio empirical model of informed trading which could analyze the intraday trade scale of each trade section of informed traders and uninformed traders, to analyze the change of intraday trade scale of each type of investors while trade frequency changed to explore the factors of market performance. The main results are as follows respectively: Regarding the correlation analysis of informed trading and return of assets and trade-price effect, we found that (1) in the short-term (intraday, day) there was no relationship between probability of informed trading and return of assets, whereas in the mid-term probability of informed trading was correlated with return of assets although the influence impact was not as high as prior researches (Hasbrouck (1991a, b), Glosten and Harris (1988)) expected. (2) The intraday probability of informed trading of good news days was obviously higher than that of bad news days, which indicated that unbalanced buy-sell informed trade phenomenon existed in the market. Regarding the investigation of whether the intervened timepoints of stabilization fund conformed to the set-up spirit of the stabilization fund¡Xto intervene while falling and not to while rising, the main results are: (1) the individual stocks intervened by the stabilization fund had slightly smaller volatility, slightly worse efficiency, better returns and significantly larger liquidity. (2) There was no significant difference in the probability of arbitrage trading between the targets intervened by the stabilization fund and the other companies, nor in the performance (including volatility, efficiency, liquidity and return) between both. (3) The stabilization fund and arbitragers tended to conduct transactions in the opening period, which corresponds with the proposition of Schwartz (1988). (4) We also found that compared with other arbitrage trade, the trade of the stabilization fund was more correlated with the price up-down of the market, but not with that of individual stocks. In the analysis of the intraday trade scale change of each type of investors while trade frequency changed, the main findings are: (1) the slowdown of trade frequency caused smaller intraday trade ratio and worse performance in the opening, but it increased the intraday trade ratio and performance of the closing period, which was especially significant in the high-liquidity companies. (2) The increase of trade frequency could raise the liquidity of the high-liquidity and middle-liquidity companies. As to the low-liquidity companies, although the increase of trade frequency increased the liquidity, it raised their volatility and decreased their price finding speed. The main contributions of this paper¡¦s models are indicated as follows. Regarding a probability model of informed trade: first, it improves the prior ones by bringing the order-driven call market model; second, the addition of informed traders¡¦ possibility to use limit order in the model set-up better corresponds to the real market; third, the model can calculate the probability of informed trading of intraday trade section and thus can analyze the intraday and intraweek behavior or phenomenon of informed traders and the market; fourth, the model estimates the probability of informed trading using trade data, not order data, and thus avoids the probability of informed trade estimation error caused by order trade risk; fifth, the model calculates the probability of informed trade of individual stock after separating good and bad news and thus can analyze buy-sell informed trade behavior. Regarding the probability model of arbitrage trading, it provides a method to analyze whether self-stabilization mechanism-arbitrage trade exists in the market to investigate on the necessity of the stabilization fund and its intraday trade behavior. Finally, regarding the ratio empirical model of informed trading, since this paper calculated the section informed and uninformed trade ratio by simulating uninformed traders¡¦ intraday trade strategy and by extracting the ratio of the trade volume variation of intraday trade section explained by uninformed traders¡¦ intraday behavior variation using regression analysis, it can avoid the deficiency that every trade volume was regarded as from a single trader in the prior order empirical model of informed trading.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2007. / Title from first page of PDF file. Includes bibliographical references (p. 349-371).

就業安定基金（就安基金）屬於政事型基金的特種基金，為勞委會促進國民就業各項舉措的重要經費來源。國內因近年來受到全球經濟不景氣及金融海嘯之影響，企業關廠歇業、政府財政收入減少以及失業率居高不下，對促進國民就業經費需求迫切，也使就安基金經費的運用效益更顯重要。以任務編組附設在勞委會職訓局下的就安基金管理會，肩負有效運用管理就安基金的經費的責任，其現有組織的功能是否能充分發揮，達成任務，值得關切。 本研究針對就安基金管理會組織運作與管理機制、就安基金經費分配妥適性以及就安基金運用效益等議題進行深入探討。本文結合採用文獻探討、次級資料蒐集及個案深度訪談等研究方法，對就安基金之運作與績效評核制度之現況及其面臨的管理議題進行分析。現況分析之主要結果如下： 一、 就安基金之經費執行與成果和上級之使命、願景及施政目標的關聯性有待強化。 二、 就安基金管理會屬任務編組，組織層級低且欠缺專責經營團隊。 三、 就安基金經費運用符合法定設置目的，惟較欠缺中、長程之規劃，資源分配模式有待調整。 四、 就安基金之績效評核機制與績效衡量指標，欠缺考量非財務性之領先指標及顧客回饋指標，無法有效指引成員朝向使命達成的方向前進。 就前述研究結果，本研究嘗試引用平衡計分卡之觀念與精神，對於附設於政府組織下之就安基金管理會，提出建議性之績效評估及管理架構與策略地圖，以作為協助就安基金管理會建構「以策略為核心」運作機制與績效管理之參考。 / The Employment Stabilization Fund (the Fund) is a special fund under the category of governmental funds. The Fund has been an importance resource for the Council of Labor Affairs in promoting domestic employment. The economic downturn and financial tsunami in recent years has severe impacts on Taiwan’s economy. Th shutdown of companies has resulted in the decrease in sources for funding from taxation for government and an increase in domestic unemployment. The Management Council Employment Stabilization Fund (the Management Council), formed as a task force under the Bureau of Employment and Vocational Training, the Council of Labor Affairs (the Bureau), is responsible for the performance of the Fund. As an important resource for promotion of domestic employment, the effective and efficient use of the Fund is essential. Using a case study approach, this thesis analyzes the operation and performance related issues with respect to the Fund. Literature review, the collection of secondary data and in-depth interview has contributed to findings in this study. The major findings of the current operation and management of the Fund are as follows. 1. The linkage between the allocation of funding and mission and policy of the Bureau needs to be enhanced. 2. Operation team should be formed with a higher hierarchy for the Management Council. 3. The allocation of funding is in compliance with the designated uses of the Fund. However, the mid-range and long-range planning is also required to enhance a more effective and efficient use of the Fund. 4. There appears room for improvement of performance management system. Non-financial leading measures such as feedback indicators from service recipients of the agency is not included in the current evaluation system. Based on the findings above and the concepts of the balanced scorecard, this thesis provides a performance management framework for the Fund. The suggestions include a better link between the use of the Fund and the mission of the Bureau, the operation and management action strategy of the Management Council, and the strategy map for the Fund.

This thesis compares Norway, Botswana and Venezuela and their sovereign wealth funds. The first two countries are referred to as exceptions to the theory of the resource curse, which explains the phenomenon that shows that countries with a high dependence on income from the export of natural resources have a slower rate of economic, political and institutional development. On the contrary, Venezuela (although it was considered an exception in the past) is severely affected by this phenomenon and thus serves as a negative example in this thesis. The thesis focuses on state sovereign wealth funds and examines whether and under what conditions these funds have an effect on reversing the resource curse. Based on the theoretical part, five key characteristics are identified that the fund must meet in order to function against the negative manifestations of the curse of natural resources - (1) offsetting the effects of volatility, (2) diversifying the economy, (3) budgetary policy, (4) controlling the allocation of expenditure, (5) transparency of funds. Based on these characteristics, it is possible to observe that the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund works best from selected funds as a defense against the resource curse, followed by the Botswana fund and third by the Venezuelan fund. Norway and Botswana...

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我國在民國81年時，正式於保險法中立法規範保險安定基金之相關事項，迄今已逾十五年。在民國96年修法後，我國保險安定基金制度更有了重大變革：不但產壽險安定基金合併且組織實體化成為專責機構，保險法第143條之3也增訂了第一項第四～六款，擴大保險安定基金得辦理之事項，未來的角色不再只是單純的資金之收付、管理，而是更積極參與保險業之監理與退場機制之運作。而保險安定基金經歷如此大幅度的變革，無可避免將會面臨許多問題。 因此本研究將保險安定基金與金融制度完善之英國的金融服務補償計畫，以及處理我國存款金融機構退場事件經驗豐富，功能與組織皆堪稱完備的中央存款保險公司進行制度比較，並對於保險安定基金各層面改革之相關問題，諸如法律規範、組織架構、資金之徵收、資金不足之處理、各項工作執掌及作業、與其他單位之配合等事項，提出具體建議以供主管機關參考。 / The Insurance Stabilization Fund system of Taiwan, found in 1992, has operated for more than 15 years according to the Insurance Act. After the amendment of 2007, some major differences were brought to the system. First of all, the two originally independent foundations for life and non-life insurance stabilization fund would be merged and organized with substantial structure. Moreover, by amending article 143-3 of the act, the legislature expanded more functions for the stabilization fund. As a result, the Fund would no longer be just a “pay box”, but instead, handling the liquidation procedures, and providing constructive assistance to the regulation of insurers. However, with the scale and level of the reform, it is inevitable to face lots of challenges and problems. The following study dedicated to the introduction of the Insurance Stabilization Fund in Taiwan, the Financial Services Compensation Scheme of the UK and Central Deposit Insurance Corporation in Taiwan, then make thorough comparison over main aspects among the three systems. Through the analysis with these three systems, this study will provide solutions and recommendations to the conflicts that may occur.