La investigación comprende un análisis sobre el aumento de tasa de morosidad en la agencia de San Juan de Miraflores y tiene como objetivo determinar las variables que influyen en incremento de ratio de morosidad de la cartera de los clientes de la Caja Municipal de Ahorro y Crédito de Huancayo desde el mes de agosto del año 2017 al mes de agosto del año 2019. Sobre la base del párrafo anterior, se utiliza la metodología de la Ciencia de datos. La fuente de datos está compuesta por los estados de cuentas por cobrar, en la recolección de datos se empleó las hojas de registro de crédito, informes de asesores de crédito e información estadística de la Caja Huancayo durante el período 2017-2019 publicados por la Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros y el Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. No ha sido considerado en el presente estudio el éxito de la empresa a nivel nacional, sino por el contrario su deterioro comercial financiero en la agencia de San Juan de Miraflores. Se concluye que de las veintidós variables de la base de datos estructurada tres son relevantes e influye en el aumento de la mora; tiempo de servicio del asesor, incumplimiento del proceso crediticio, exceso de liquidez. El presente estudio establece propuestas de mejora y es una buena base para que la empresa pueda realizar un estudio formal para que el área de sistemas tenga un enfoque más hacia los datos que pueda contribuir a la mejora económica y análisis. / The research includes an analysis of the increase in the delinquency rate in the agency of San Juan de Miraflores and aims to determine the variables that influence the increase in the delinquency ratio of the portfolio of clients of the Municipal savings and credit bank of Huancayo from the month of August of the year 2017 to the month of August of the year 2019. Based on the previous paragraph, the methodology of data science is used. The sample was composed of the accounts receivable statements, in the data collection the credit record sheets, reports of credit advisors and statistical information of the CMAC Huancayo were used during the 2017-2019 period published by the Superintendence of Banking and Insurance and the Central Reserve Bank of Peru. The success of the company at the national level has not been considered in the present study, but on the contrary its financial commercial risk in the agency of San Juan de Miraflores. It is concluded that of the twenty-two variables of the structured database four are relevant and can influence the increase in default; service time, credit process, overdraft, indefinite zoning. The present study establishes proposals for improvement and is a good basis for the company to carry out a formal study for the systems area to have a more focus on data that can contribute to economic improvement and analysis. / Trabajo de investigación

Стабильность и эффективность работы коммерческого банка зависит от того, насколько грамотно сформирована его организационная структура, где огромную долю занимает организация кредитного процесса. Основной задачей банков является выдача кредитов, а кредит – это безусловно опора для современной экономики, неотъемлемый элемент экономического развития страны. Кредитование на сегодняшний используют как физические, так и юридические лица, иными словами кредитами пользуются все, начиная с государства и правительства и заканчивая гражданами. Целью выпускной квалификационной работы является исследование теоретических и практических аспектов управления кредитным портфелем и оценка эффективности данного процесса в ПАО Сбербанк. Теоретическая значимость диссертационного исследования заключается в том, что его результаты расширяют теоретическую базу для комплексного подхода исследования эффективности управления портфеля потребительского кредитования. Практическая значимость ВКР обусловлена тем, что содержащиеся в нем выводы, предложения и экономически обоснованные рекомендации позволяют улучшить финансовое состояние ПАО Сбербанк, усовершенствовать эффективность управления кредитным портфелем. / The stability and efficiency of a commercial bank depends on how well its organizational structure is formed, where a huge share is taken by the organization of the credit process. The main task of banks is to issue loans, and credit is certainly a support for the modern economy, an integral element of the country's economic development. Lending today is used by both individuals and legal entities, in other words, loans are used by everyone, starting with the state and the government and ending with citizens. The purpose of the final qualification work is to study the theoretical and practical aspects of credit portfolio management and to evaluate the effectiveness of this process in Sberbank. The theoretical significance of the dissertation research lies in the fact that its results expand the theoretical basis for a comprehensive approach to the study of the effectiveness of consumer credit portfolio management. The practical significance of the WRC is due to.

The impact of climate change on the financial performance of companies is of concern to bank credit processes. The main objective of this research was to develop a South African contextualised credit process that incorporates environmental risk. The research methodology comprised of a mixed-method being content analysis – the qualitative portion and the Probability of Default prediction using a Merton Model and the Hoffmann and Busch (2008) carbon risk analysis model - the quantitative portion. A content analysis of the banks’ Annual Reports, Integrated Reports and Sustainability Reports showed that, while South African banks follow a qualitative approach to embedding environmental risk into their credit process, none of the four banks that formed part of the study divulged their quantitative approach to embedding environmental risk. The study used a proximity matrix method to examine the level of embedding. The second part of the study, which used prior studies as the benchmark, adopted the following: (1) a simulated carbon tax regime as a proxy for an environmental risk, and (2) the Hoffmann and Busch (2008) carbon risk analysis tool and the Merton Model (1974) as the bank credit process proxies. The second part of the study used a sample of 33 JSE-listed Carbon Disclosure Project reporting companies out of a population of 107. The carbon risk analysis showed that the companies in the materials and energy sector have a high carbon risk. However, the results from the Merton Model showed that the companies have enough profit to cushion the additional carbon tax liability, given the insignificant shift in probability of default between the three scenarios, where financial data had (1) no carbon tax, (2) was adjusted for a carbon tax with incentives, and (3) adjusted for carbon tax without incentives. Triangulation of the results from the content analysis, carbon risk analysis and the probability of default analysis confirms that South African banks do not fully integrate environmental risk across the credit value chain or process in the 2010 to 2017 period. However, the carbon risk analysis shows a heavy dependency on carbon sources for critical inputs into the South African companies’ production processes, which if not checked, will affect the credit portfolios of banks. / Finance, Risk Management and Banking / D. Phil (Management Studies)