For the first time, Mid-Late Holocene insect fossil assemblages were studied from inland northern Sweden, producing new evidence relating to both natural environmental changes and human impacts. The insect fossil assemblages from natural deposits indicated extensive woodland with old and dead wood and a deep litter layer of decaying matter. Human impacts became apparent from the 1st millennium AD, when the landscape around many sites became more open, with elements of heath. It is difficult to determine whether these changes were driven purely by human activity, indicating subtle landscape change as a result of periodic exploitation, or if natural influences were significant in creating this landscape structure. If connected with human use, then the impacts of periodic exploitation can be seen to be subtle and localised, but notable enough to leave tell-tale signs in the insect fossil record. These relatively subtle changes in the environment can be compared with the more severe effects found during periods of historically known permanent settlement, where extensively open and disturbed habitats are suggested in the insect fossil record. Species associated with arable and pasture land are restricted to the last few hundred years, in association with settled occupation. The climate signal in the insect fossil record has been weak, and use of the Mutual Climatic Range method (MCR) has not revealed evidence of climatic fluctuations during the Late Holocene period.

Particulate matter (PM) is one of the most studied and problematic pollutants due to its toxicity and relati­vely high concentrations. This thesis aims to clarify the main sources and exposures of PM in Tallinn and Tartu, study the associations with health effects, and estimate the extent of those effects with health impact assessment (HIA). It appeared that the main sources of particulate air pollution in Tallinn (the capital of Estonia) and Tartu (the second largest city of Estonia) are local heating and traffic, inclu­ding road dust. In addition to local emissions, particulate levels are affected by transboundary pollution. If the transboundary air masses originated from the Eastern European areas, the concentration as well as the oxidative capacity of fine particles was significantly higher in urban background air in Tartu compared to air masses coming from Scandinavian areas (Paper I). During the last 15 years, traffic increase has been very fast in Tartu. However, due to the improvement in vehicle technology during this period, there has been only a slight increase in concentration of exhaust particles (Paper II). Nevertheless, a greater increase in road dust emissions was detected. A statistically significant relationship between long-term exposure to those traffic induced par­tic­les and cardiac disease in the RHINE (Respiratory Health in Northern Europe) Tartu cohort was shown (Paper III). However, no significant associations with respira­tory health were found. The HIA in Tallinn demonstrated 296 (95% CI = 76–528) premature deaths annually, because of PM (Paper IV). The average decrease in life expectancy was predicted to be 0.64 (95% CI 0.17–1.10) years. However, among risk groups it can be higher. In addi­tion, several cardiovascular hospitalizations are related. The costs to society be­cause of health effects reach up to €150 million annually (95% CI = 40–260) from pre­mature deaths and hospitali­zation constitute an additional €0.3 million (95% CI = 0.2–0.4). The special HIA scenario, when more pollution fuel peat will be used in boiler houses was analysed as well (Paper V). It indicated that peat bur­ning would result in up to 55.5 YLL per year within the population of Tartu. However, the health effects of pollution from current traffic, local heating, and industry are at least 28 times bigger. In conclusion, exposure to PM cause considerable health effects in the form of cardio­pulmo­nary diseases in main Estonian cities.

A major concern affecting the efficient use of composite laminates in aerospace industry is the lack of understanding of the effect of low-velocity impact (LVI) damage on the structural integrity. This project aims to develop further knowledge of the response and damage mechanisms of composite laminates under LVI, and to explore the feasibility of assessing the internal impact damage with a visually inspectable parameter. The response and damage mechanisms of composite laminates under LVI have been investigated experimentally and numerically in this project. Various parameters including the laminates thickness, lay-up configuration, repeated impact, and curing temperature have been examined. The concept and the phenomena of delamination threshold load (DTL) have been assessed in details. It was found that DTL exists for composite laminates, but the determination of the DTL value is not straightforward. There is a suitable value of range between the impact energy and the laminates stiffness/thickness, if the sudden load drop phenomenon in the impact force history is used to detect the DTL value. It is suggested that the potential menace of the delamination initiation may be overestimated. The composite laminates tested in this project demonstrate good damage tolerance capacity due to the additional energy absorption mechanism following the delamination initiation. As a result, the current design philosophy for laminated composite structure might be too conservative and should be reassessed to improve the efficiency further. To explore the feasibility of linking the internal damage to a visually inspectable parameter, quasi-static indentation (QSI) tests have been carried out. The dent depth, as a visually inspectable parameter, has been carefully monitored and assessed in relation to the damage status of the composite laminates. It is proposed that the damage process of composite laminates can be divided into different phases based on the difference in the increasing rate of dent depth. Moreover, the internal damage has been examined under the optical microscope (OM) and the scanning electron microscope (SEM). Residual compressive strength of the damaged specimen has been measured using the compression-after-impact (CAI) test. The results further confirm the findings with regard to the overestimated potential menace of the delamination initiation and the proposed damage process assumption. The proposed damage process assumption has great potential to improve the efficiency and accuracy of both the analytical prediction and the structural health monitoring for damages in composite laminates under low-velocity impact.

Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited / This thesis evaluates the impact of spending by the Department of Defense and the Federal Government upon the economic growth of the states in which funds are expended. A pooled cross-section and time-series analysis is performed on a data base describing the period 1976-1985 and including the forty-eight contiguous states. Personal income is used as a proxy to measure economic growth. The econometric models are estimated using three separate regression methodologies. Consistent parameter estimates permit the author to conclude that Defense Investment spending is highly associated with economic growth. Defense Expense spending is less highly associated with growth. Federal spending other than for defense or intergovernmental aid to state and local governments exhibits an inconclusive relationship with economic growth. / http://archive.org/details/effectsofdepartm00anas / Lieutenant Commander, United States Navy

Cette thèse porte sur les capacités d'extraction d'une mousse déposée sur un support poreux dans le but d'y déloger un contaminant ayant imprégné la porosité. Nous avons donc considéré l'imprégnation forcée de fluides dans un pore unique, étudiée pour deux cas particuliers : (i) lors de l'impact d'une goutte de liquide à l'aplomb d'un pore unique vertical cette situation visant à modéliser l'imprégnation du poreux par le contaminant, et (ii) lors de l'aspiration d'une mou sse liquide à travers le pore qui illustre la compétition d'aspiration entre la mousse et le poreux. Dans chaque cas, le diamètre du pore est inférieur à celui des gouttes ou des bulles.Pour le premier cas, nous nous sommes intéressés au volume et à la profondeur d'imprégnation pour des surfaces hydrophiles et hydrophobes. Nous établissons les diagrammes d'imprégnation en fonction du diamètre du pore et de la vitesse d'impact et un travail de modélisation nous permet de déterminer les limites entre les différentes régions de ces digrammes.Pour le second cas, nous montrons que lors de l'aspiration, la mousse entre dans le pore uniquement dans un domaine bien déterminé dans le diagramme fraction liquide, rapport de taille pore/bulle et débit d'aspiration. En dehors de ce domaine, l'aspiration peut faire entrer soit le gaz seul, soit le liquide seul. La encore, un travail de modélisation nous permet de prédire les limites des différentes zones du diagramme. Dans une dernière partie, nous revenons à un problème pratique d'imprégnation sur support textile et quantifions les capacités d'extraction d'une mousse dans cette configuration dans le but d'y déloger un contaminant / This thesis is about the ability of foam to extract a pollutant trapped in a fabric. We studied the forced impregnation of fluids into a single pore, in two particular cases : (i) when a liquid droplet impact vertically on the pore (this situation corresponds to the model of the impregnation of the pollutant into the fabric), and (ii) when a foam is sucked through a pore, which illustrate the competition between the suction on the foam and those of the porous media. For each case, the diameter of the pore is smaller than the diameter of droplet or bubble. At first, we studied the volume and how deep penetrates the liquid penetrates, for hydrophobic and hydrophilic surfaces. We established diagrams of impregnation as a function of the pore diameter and impact velocity, and a model determines the limits between the different areas of the diagram. For the second case, we showed that during the suction, the foam go into the pore only for one delimited area of the diagram liquid fraction, ration pore diameter / bubble diameter. Out of this area, suction force solely liquid or solely gas into the pore. Again, a model determines the limits between the different areas of the diagram. Finally an applied part of our work is about the ability of foam to extract a pollutant trapped in a fabric

La circulation routière toujours croissante est à l’origine d’un nombre grandissant de collisions entre les véhicules et les piliers de ponts. Pourtant, les impacts causés par les camions sur les ponts ont fait état de très peu d’études et les normes de dimensionnement comportent donc de nombreuses lacunes à leur égard. Des solutions visant à prévenir et réparer les dommages causés par ces charges d’impact sont actuellement à l’étude dont le confinement des piles par des polymères renforcés de fibres (PRF). L’objectif de ce projet est de déterminer les effets d’un tel recouvrement sur le comportement des piles de ponts lorsqu’elles sont préalablement soumises à des charges d’impact. L’effet doit être déterminé tant sur la capacité de la pile que sur sa détérioration à long terme. Afin d’atteindre cet objectif, des essais dynamiques sont effectués, en laboratoire, sur des piles avec et sans recouvrement de PRF. Ces résultats expérimentaux permettent de créer un modèle d’éléments finis à l’aide du logiciel LS-Dyna. Grâce à ce modèle, les avantages et inconvénients d’utiliser le recouvrement de PRF sont évalués. La méthode par sous-structure est utilisée afin d’analyser les effets sur l’ensemble du pont et non seulement sur la pile elle-même. Il faut s’attendre à obtenir de nombreux avantages sur le comportement des piles à suite de la pose d’un recouvrement de PRF. Toutefois, il est difficile de prévoir si ces avantages sont suffisants pour justifier le coût de construction engendré. Ce projet est donc hautement pertinent afin de quantifier les bienfaits d’une solution possible à une cause majeure d’effondrement des ponts. À plus grande échelle, cette recherche contribuera à perfectionner la norme canadienne de calculs des ponts routiers.

Sensor networks are made up of small battery-powered sensing devices with wireless communication capabilities, enabling the network to monitor the environment in which it is deployed. Through their flexible and cable-free design these networks open up for new deployment scenarios that were previously not plausible such as during a natural disaster. Motivated by scenarios where centralized oversight is not possible the focus of this thesis is to equip nodes with further adaptability to changes in the links it has with other nodes. This is achieved through contributions in three areas focusing on observations from a node-link perspective. First, the impact the local environment has on the nodes is explored by deploying a sensor network outdoors next to a meteorological station to correlate the variations in link quality to the changes in the environment. The work identifies temperature as the main factor, where through further investigations in a controlled setting, a linear relationship between the decrease in signal quality and the increase in temperature is described. Secondly, the thesis address how nodes in a sensor network can be motivated to exchange data by modeling it as a game. The game theoretic design is motivated by the absence of any centralized control and focus on the nodes as individual users in the network. The presented design motivates the selfish nodes to participate in the exchange of sensor data, showing that it is the best strategy. Lastly, by exploring and understanding how connections in a mobile sensor network occur, nodes are given more flexibility to determine how to send and sample sensor data. This adaptability to contact occurrences is shown to provide better ways of sending data by selecting higher quality links as well as making sampling more energy preserving by reducing the rate in the vicinity of other nodes. / CNDS / WISENET

Injuries have emerged as one of the biggest public health issues of the 21th century. Yet, the causal effects of injury control strategies are often questioned due to a lack of randomized experiments. In this thesis, a set of quasi-experimental methods are applied and discussed in the light of causal inference theory and the type of data commonly available in injury surveillance systems. I begin by defining the interrupted time series design as a special case of the regression-discontinuity design, and the method is applied to two empirical cases. The first is a ban on the sale and production of non-reduced ignition propensity (RIP) cigarettes, and the second is a tightening of the licensing rules for mopeds. A two-way fixed effects model is then applied to a case with time-varying starting dates, attempting to identify the causal effects of municipality-provided home help services for the elderly. Lastly, the effect of the Swedish bicycle helmet law is evaluated using the comparative interrupted time series and synthetic control methods. The results from the empirical studies suggest that the stricter licensing rules and the bicycle helmet law were effective in reducing injury rates, while the home help services and RIP cigarette interventions have had limited or no impact on safety as measured by fatalities and hospital admissions. I conclude that identification of the impact of injury control interventions is possible using low cost means. However, the ability to infer causality varies greatly by empirical case and method, which highlights the important role of causal inference theory in applied intervention research. While existing methods can be used with data from injury surveillance systems, additional improvements and development of new estimators specifically tailored for injury data will likely further enhance the ability to draw causal conclusions in natural settings. Implications for future research and recommendations for practice are also discussed. / Injuries have emerged as one of the biggest public health issues of the 21th century. Yet, the causal effects of injury control strategies are rarely known due to a lack of randomized experiments. In this thesis, a set of quasi-experimental methods are discussed in the light of causal inference theory and the type of data commonly available in injury surveillance systems. I begin by defining the identifying assumptions of the interrupted time series design as a special case of the regression-discontinuity design, and the method is applied to two empirical cases. The first is a ban on the sale and production of non-fire safe cigarettes and the second is a tightening of the licensing rules for mopeds. A fixed effects panel regression analysis is then applied to a case with time-varying starting dates, attempting to identify the causal effects of municipality-provided home help services for the elderly. Lastly, the causal effect of the Swedish bicycle helmet law is evaluated using a comparative interrupted time series design and a synthetic control design. I conclude that credible identification of the impact of injury control interventions is possible using simple and cost-effective means. Implications for future research and recommendations for practice are discussed.

This research aims to understand the natural and human influences on erosion in three tributary watersheds to the Mekong River, Yunnan Province, China and to assess the utility of a novel application of isotopic indicators of erosion. It explores how erosion varies through time and space as a function of physical characteristics of the landscape, tectonic forces, and human alteration of the landscape for forestry and agriculture. To accomplish these goals, I use four sediment-associated radionuclides: in situ 10Be, meteoric 10Be, 210Pbex, and 137Cs. These isotopes accumulate in or on sediment grains, and each accumulates to a different depth on the landscape and has a different half-life. Thus, the isotopes can be used to track sediment as it moves across Earth's surface, each providing unique insight into processes occurring over a certain time period (from ~50 to 50,000 years) or eroding to a certain depth on the landscape. The studied watersheds range from 22° to 27° N latitude, and from 200 to 2500 km2 in area. I collected 54 samples of river-borne sediment within the three study watersheds, and measured the concentration of each isotope in every sample. In addition to the measured isotopic concentrations, I utilize on over 20 years of daily sediment yield data at the outlet of each watershed, hillslope steepness, normalized channel steepness (ksn), contemporary land-use data, elevation, and 56 years of mean annual precipitation data (MAP). Long-term erosion rates scale with topographic parameters in two of the three study basins, indicating that topography, or the underlying tectonic forces responsible for topography, control erosion rates over the past 6,000 to 50,000 years. Isotopic data also show that contemporary erosion is higher in cultivated areas than un-cultivated areas, a direct result of agricultural practices. Contemporary sediment yield, however, has not increased notably due to land-use change; however, under-representation of large stochastic events and sediment trapped by agriculture have reduced sediment yield relative to the long-term average in two of the studied watersheds. Overall, the data imply changes in contemporary erosion that are consistent with Chinese policies that promoted deforestation from the 1950's to the late 1980's and conservation from the late 1990's to present. This proves to be a significant finding, as the result of the top-down approach China has taken with conservation policy has been widely called into question in previous studies. While each isotope has the potential to provide unique information regarding erosional processes, in situ 10Be and 210Pbex proved to be the most useful, while meteoric 10Be was the most challenging to utilize. Though interpretation is complex, measuring all four isotopes on the same sediment samples helps to fully realize the potential of in situ 10Be to estimate background erosion by simultaneously allowing for assessment of contemporary and human induced erosion.

Doctor of Philosophy / Department of Mechanical and Nuclear Engineering / Youqi Wang / Ballistic performance of textile fabric is affected by numerous elements, such as fabric architecture, material property, and projectile characteristics. Near fiber-level microstructures of soft body armor composed of multi-layer Kevlar KM-2 fabrics are generated for numerical simulation. The modified digital element approach (DEA) is applied to determine the ballistic limit of textile fabrics against fragment simulating projectiles (FSP). Different from other numerical models, the DEA takes a considerable amount of fiber-level detail into consideration and models the fabric at filament-level. In this approach, fabric is an assembly of yarns weaved and relaxed into pre-arranged pattern; yarn is simulated as a bundle of digital fibers. When the number of digital fibers per yarn reaches the number of actual fibers per yarn, fiber-level simulation is achieved. The DEA model successfully simulates real scale multi-layer fabric impacted by spherical projectile and accurately predicted fabric displacement and failure mechanism. It was assumed that the digital fiber is fully flexible and its bending rigidity is negligible. Shear force was thus neglected. However, for projectiles with sharp edge(s), such as FSP, due to resultant shear force, fabric failure starts where it interacts with projectile edge. As a result, the numerical results derived from the previous DEA overestimated the impact strength of fabrics against projectiles with shape edges. Therefore, shear force and fiber bending rigidity must be considered. In the modified DEA approach, numerical tests are employed to determine the effective bending rigidity of digital fiber. A combined tension-shear failure model is then incorporated into the DEA in order to calculate the shear force applied to fibers. The 3-D microscope is applied to measure the radius of FSP along the edge. The surface of the FSP is meshed into triangle elements. A unique algorithm is developed and employed to search contacts between textile fabric and projectile of arbitrary shape. In this research, first, an overview of ballistic impact analysis is discussed; the previous DEA model used in simulating ballistic impact and penetration process is presented. Second, the modified DEA approach used in simulating arbitrary shape projectile perforation process is established and verified. The method of searching and calculating contacts between textile fabric and solid body projectile is explained. The convergence and accuracy of digital element mesh are investigated statistically using tension-shear failure model. Third, fabric shear force and fiber bending rigidity are investigated using tension-shear failure model. The effective digital fiber area moment of inertia is numerically determined. Fourth, standard ballistic tests of real scale multi-layer Kevlar KM2 fabrics are simulated using FSP. Numerical results are compared to high-resolution experimental test data. The modified DEA is validated.