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Understanding and Estimating the Value Travelers Place on Their Trips on Managed LanesPatil, Sunil N. 2009 December 1900 (has links)
Travelers' value of travel time savings (VTTS) are often used to estimate the
benefits of transportation facilities, including managed lanes (MLs). With various
eligibility criteria and time of day pricing on the MLs, the VTTS estimation is
complicated. This is evident by the underestimation of VTTS on MLs in many of the
previous studies. This study investigates stated preference (SP) survey design strategies
and differentiating the VTTS for ordinary and some common urgent situations faced by
the travelers in an attempt to improve on VTTS estimation on MLs.
This study used three different survey design strategies (including a D-efficient
design) in an internet based survey of Katy Freeway travelers. It was found that a
random attribute level generation strategy, where the VTTS presented in the alternative
was adjusted based on the answer to a previous SP question, performs better than the
other two designs with respect to VTTS estimation and other survey design efficiency
criteria.
The analysis to differentiate the VTTS for ordinary and urgent trips was carried
out using the state of art in the mixed logit model estimation. It was found that travelers
value their travel time savings much more when facing most of these urgent situations
rather than ordinary situations. Both peak and off-peak period travelers' VTTS were also found to be significantly greater when on urgent trips. Survey design attribute level
ranges were found to significantly affect the VTTS estimation.
Further, in order to understand the policy implications of these findings it was
demonstrated that classifying all trips as ordinary can significantly underestimate the
VTTS benefits offered by the MLs. Additionally, the VTTS of any urgent trips would be
greatly underestimated. The study also demonstrated that many of the low and medium
income group travelers on urgent trips can have VTTS greater than that of the highest
VTTS traveler from the high income group on an ordinary trip. These findings have
significant policy implications since the benefits of MLs (and of most transportation
investments) are primarily derived from travel time savings. Underestimating the VTTS
and hence the benefits for MLs can result in reducing the likelihood of funding such
facilities. This study provides an important first step in the proper estimation of these
benefits by suggesting modifications to SP surveys to better capture the influence of
urgent trips on the value of a ML facility.
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Managed Lane Choices by Carpools Comprised of Family Members Compared to Non-family MembersPannu, Mandeep S. 2009 December 1900 (has links)
Carpools can be comprised of family members (fampools), non-family members (non-fampools) or a combination of both. Overall, carpool mode share has decreased during the 1980's and 1990's, even as the policies were in place to encourage carpooling, but at the same time the share of fampools increased quite significantly. By analyzing the characteristics of fampools and non-fampools, we can better understand how policies may impact each group. One area of particular interest is the impact of managed lanes on the mode choice of fampools and non-fampools.
For this research, survey data collected from both Houston and Dallas, Texas was used to investigate the mode choice of fampools and non-fampools on managed lanes. The survey data was weighted to better represent the traveler population. The weighted survey data was analyzed to better understand the characteristics of fampools and non-fampools. Non-fampools were formed more frequently in a week than fampools. The average carpool formation time was similar for both fampools and non-fampools at 6.4 minutes and 6.2 minutes, respectively. Fampools rated "drop off kids at school or day care" higher than non-fampools and non-fampools rated "sharing vehicle expenses" higher than fampools as the most important reason for the formation of their current carpool. A majority of travelers from both groups showed an interest in using managed lanes and "travel time reliability" was rated most important factor for this interest. Fampools and non-fampools were split into subgroups based on their current number of passengers. Among these four sub-groups, the majority of respondents were interested in using managed lanes.
Random parameter logit models were developed for both fampools and non-fampools. For the fampools, the value of travel time savings was estimated to be $ 22.80 per hour. Non-fampools were not sensitive to the travel time. Different travel scenarios were simulated for both fampools and non-fampools. The results showed that with increased tolls on the managed lanes the decrease in carpool mode share on managed lanes was compensated by an increase in carpool mode share on the GPLs for both fampools and non-fampools. With an increased toll, both fampools and non-fampools showed less sensitivity to the toll cost. The estimated demand elasticity was fairly inelastic for both fampools and non-fampools.
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A procedure to evaluate the costs and benefits of managing staffing levels in an order picking operationBoddu, Arathi 22 September 2006 (has links)
No description available.
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Global Demand Model to Estimate Supersonic Commercial ServicesFreire Burgos, Edwin Ruben 09 November 2021 (has links)
Not too long ago, commercial supersonic aircraft flights were part of the air transportation system. In the 1970's we had the Russian-built Tupolev Tu-144 and the BAC/Aerospatiale Concorde, the latest being tin operation for 27 years. The work documented in this dissertation focused on the viability of bringing back supersonic aircraft as a transportation mode. Throughout three years, Virginia Tech and a team from NASA have been combining efforts to develop a model capable of predicting future air travel demand for supersonic vehicles. The model can predict future supersonic commercial services and allows aircraft designers from NASA to optimize aircraft performance and characteristics by maximizing the potential air travel demand.
The final product of this study was the development of the Low-Boom Supersonic Aircraft Model (LBSAM). The development progress took three years to be completed, and during each year, a version of the model with the preliminary predictions was made available to NASA. Each of the three versions of the model predicts future supersonic commercial services. What differentiates each version is the data, method, and aircraft type/design implemented; the latest version of the model is more realistic and provides a higher number of functionalities.
The first version of the model predicted the possible supersonic commercial service for three aircraft types: each with two variations. An 18-seat, 40-seat, and 60-seat low-boom and non-low-boom aircraft were analyzed. The second version of the model analyzed a 20-seat and 40-seat low-boom, non-low-boom aircraft with restrictions and non-low-boom aircraft without restrictions. The latest version of the model tries to estimate potential demand for a 43-seat and a 52-seat supersonic low-boom aircraft design. The low-boom concept refers to the implementation of technology that reduces the loudness of a sonic boom. A non-low-boom concept refers to an aircraft flying faster than Mach 1 with the technology's implementation that reduces the loudness of a sonic boom. The final results suggest that for a 52-seat LBSA, the potential worldwide demand is as follows.
• 33.4 million seats worldwide. Assuming an overland range of 3,200 nm., an overland Mach 1.7, and an overland fuel scale factor of 0.98.
• 772 aircraft needed worldwide. Assuming an overland range of 2,800 nm., an overland Mach 1.7, and an overland fuel scale factor of 0.90.
• 1,032 one-way OD pairs where LBSA can operate. Assuming an overland range of 2,800 nm., an overland Mach 1.7, and an overland fuel scale factor of 0.90.
The LBSAM is mainly driven by the cost per passenger mile values calculated for each one-way Origin-Destination (OD) pair. Additional uncertainties in the model include the market share and annual aircraft utilization. The market share refers to the percent of the demand that will switch from current subsonic commercial services to commercial supersonic services. During the three-year work, we considered a market share of 50% and 100%. Aircraft utilization refers to the number of hours that the airline will be able to use the aircraft. The majority of the projections were based on a 3,500-hour aircraft utilization. / Doctor of Philosophy / Not too long ago, commercial supersonic aircraft flights were part of the air transportation system. An aircraft flying faster than the speed of sound is known as an aircraft flying at supersonic speed. Current commercial aircraft fly at subsonic speed. Subsonic speed refers to aircraft flying at a speed lower than the speed of sound. In the 1970's we had the Russian-built Tupolev Tu-144 and the BAC/Aerospatiale Concorde, the latest being tin operation for 27 years. The work documented in this dissertation focused on the viability of bringing back supersonic aircraft as a transportation mode. Throughout three years, Virginia Tech and a team from NASA have been combining efforts to develop a model capable of predicting future air travel demand for supersonic vehicles. The model can predict future supersonic commercial services and allows aircraft designers from NASA to optimize aircraft performance and characteristics by maximizing the potential air travel demand.
The purpose of this dissertation effort is to provide a better understanding of what could be the potential commercial demand for supersonic flight in the near future. We consider all the benefits and characteristics of supersonic flight and studied in detail what percentage of the travelers might be willing to migrate from the current subsonic market to the supersonic market. We estimated this ratio by studying the spending behavior of passengers in the current market. How much more are passengers willing to pay to save time? We can infer how much travelers value their time by comparing direct flights versus flights with an intermediate stop.
The results show that a demand of 33.4 million seats could be reached by the year 2040. The supersonic market would consist of more than one thousand one-way origin-destination pairs worldwide, and more than seven hundred supersonic aircraft are expected to satisfy the forecast demand.
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Understanding the Behavior of Travelers Using Managed Lanes - A Study Using Stated Preference and Revealed Preference DataDevarasetty, Prem Chand 1985- 14 March 2013 (has links)
This research examined if travelers are paying for travel on managed lanes (MLs) as they indicated that they would in a 2008 survey. The other objectives of this research included estimating travelers’ value of travel time savings (VTTS) and their value of travel time reliability (VOR), and examining the multiple survey designs used in a 2008 survey to identify which survey design better predicted ML traveler behavior.
To achieve the objectives, an Internet-based follow-up stated preference (SP) survey of Houston’s Katy Freeway travelers was conducted in 2010. Three survey design methodologies—Db-efficient, random level generation, and adaptive random—were tested in this survey. A total of 3,325 responses were gathered from the survey, and of those, 869 responses were from those who likely also responded to the previous 2008 survey.
Mixed logit models were developed for those 869 previous survey respondents to estimate and compare the VTTS to the 2008 survey estimates. It was found that the 2008 survey estimates of the VTTS were very close to the 2010 survey estimates.
In addition, separate mixed logit models were developed from the responses obtained from the three different design strategies in the 2010 survey. The implied mean VTTS varied across the design-specific models. Only the Db-efficient design was able to estimate a VOR. Based on this and several other metrics, the Db-efficient design outperformed the other designs. A mixed logit model including all the responses from all three designs was also developed; the implied mean VTTS was estimated as 65 percent ($22/hr) of the mean hourly wage rate, and the implied mean VOR was estimated as 108 percent ($37/hr) of the mean hourly wage rate.
Data on actual usage of the MLs were also collected. Based on actual usage, the average VTTS was calculated as $51/hr. However, the $51/hr travelers are paying likely also includes the value travelers place on travel time reliability of the MLs. The total (VTTS+VOR) amount estimated from the all-inclusive model from the survey was $59/hr, which is close to the value estimated from the actual usage. The Db-efficient design estimated this total as $50/hr.
This research also shows that travelers have a difficulty in estimating the time they save while using a ML. They greatly overestimate the amount of time saved. It may well be that even though travelers are saving a small amount of time they value that time savings (and avoiding congestion) much higher – possibly similar to their amount of perceived travel time savings.
The initial findings from this study, reported here, are consistent with the hypothesis that travelers are paying for their travel on MLs, much as they said that they would in our previous survey. This supports the use of data on intended behavior in policy analysis.
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Hodnocení změn dělby přepravní práce v souvislosti s výstavbou vysokorychlostní trati Praha-Brno / Assessment of Changes of the Modal Split in Connection with the Construction of High Speed Railway Prague-BrnoKoukal, Martin January 2018 (has links)
The aim of this diploma thesis is to discuss the assessment of changes of the modal split in connection with the construction of high speed railway Prague-Brno. Thesis is aimed on wider context of two theoretical concepts in transportation researches: travel behaviour and the value of travel time. Data collection took place in the form of "Paper and Pencil Interview" method. For a deeper analysis was used the Pivot Table tools. From the collected data was found that economically active people from coaches and trains have higher travel time than students. Among cars users the most important factor influencing the choice of traffic mode is the speed, for coach users it is price and for train users the posibility of work/rest during the journey. Assuming a reduction of travel time between Prague and Brno for about 1 hour while keeping the fare price about CZK 200, high-speed rail connections has the potential to generate more frequent journeys among existing passengers. Keywords: modal split, travel behaviour, the value of travel time savings, competitiveness of railways, high speed railway
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Bus on Shoulder: Local Assessment of Shoulder Transit Lane for Regional Buses in San Luis Obispo CountyBerry, Jessica R 01 March 2010 (has links)
The study looks at the applicability of integrating a Bus Only Shoulder (BOS) into the intermittently congested segment of US 101 in southern San Luis Obispo County. Policy, infrastructure and implementing criteria derived from case studies in Minnesota, Florida and California (San Diego) and the 2007 California Decision Document on BOS are applied to conditions in the region. One measure of performance, time savings, is projected to 2025 to determine the value of integrating the program by that horizon year. Given the substantial potential for time savings in that future year, recommendations are made to create the appropriate policy and infrastructure environment for the program.
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Napojení nového nádraží v Brně na systém veřejné dopravy / Public transport connection of the new Brno Railway stationBartoň, Daniel January 2018 (has links)
The diploma thesis deals with the issue of the availability of the new Main Railway Station in Brno, its transfer to other location, modernization or reconstruction and its connection to the public transport system. It focuses in particular on the public transport in Brno affected by the transfer of the railway station and on regional passenger railway transport in the vicinity of Brno. It describes, evaluates and assesses various variants of the transfer of the new railway station in terms of time savings for passengers traveling through the Main Railway Station and their source or destination of travel is in Brno or in the vicinity of Brno. The most suitable appears variant B - the transfer of the station under Petrov.
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Measuring, analysing and explaining the value of travel time savings for autonomous drivingKolarova, Viktoriya 29 October 2021 (has links)
Autonomes Fahren (AF) wird potenziell die Präferenzen für die im Auto verbrachte Zeit stark beeinflussen und dementsprechend den Wert der Reisezeit, der ein Schlüsselelement von Kosten-Nutzen-Analysen im Verkehr ist. Die Untersuchung dieses Aspekts des AF ist daher entscheidend für die Analyse potenzieller Auswirkungen der Technik auf die zukünftige Verkehrsnachfrage. Trotz der steigenden Anzahl an Studien zu diesem Thema, gibt es noch erhebliche Forschungslücken.
Der Fokus der Dissertation ist die potenziellen Änderungen des Reisezeitwerts, die durch das AF entstehen, zu messen sowie ihre Determinanten zu analysieren. Es wurden sowohl qualitative Ansätze als auch quantitative Methoden verwendet. Dabei wurden zwei Konzepte von AF betrachtet: privates und geteiltes autnomes Fahrzeug.
Die Ergebnisse der Analysen zeigen einen niedrigeren Wert der Reisezeitersparnis beim AF im Vergleich zum manuellen Fahren, allerdings nur auf Pendelwegen. Das private Fahrzeug wird als eine attraktivere Option als ein geteiltes Fahrzeug wahrgenommen, jedoch unterscheiden sich die Nutzerpräferenzen für geteilte Fahrzeug stark zwischen den durchgeführten Studien. Individuelle Charakteristiken, wie Erfahrung mit Fahrassistenzsystemen, beeinflussen stark die Wahrnehmung der Zeit im AF; andere sozio-demographischen Faktoren, wie Alter und Geschlecht haben vor allem einen indirekten Effekt auf den Reisezeitwert indem sie Einstellungen potenzieller Nutzer beeinflussen. Die Verbesserung des Fahrterlebnisses durch das AF und das Vertrauen in die Technik sind wichtige Determinanten der Reisezeitwahrnehmung. Fahrvergnügen und andere wahrgenommene Vorteile vom manuellen Fahren gleichen in einem gewissen Ausmaß den Nutzen vom AF aus. Es wurden Reisezeitwerte für unterschiedliche potenzielle Nutzersegmente berechnet. Abschließend wurden politische Implikationen, Empfehlungen für die Entwicklung von AF sowie Empfehlungen für künftige Studien und potenziellen Forschungsgebiete abgeleitet. / Autonomous driving will potentially strongly affect preferences for time spent in a vehicle and, consequently, the value of travel time savings (VTTS). As VTTS is a key element of cost-benefit analysis for transport, these interrelations are crucial for analysing the potential impact of the technology on future travel demand. Despite the increasing number of studies dedicated to this topic there are still many unanswered questions.
The focus of the thesis is to measure potential changes in the VTTS resulting from the introduction of autonomous driving and analyse their determinants. Qualitative approaches and quantitative methods were used. Two concepts of AVs were considered: a privately-owned AV (PAV) and a shared AV (SAV).
The analysis results suggest lower VTTS for autonomous driving compared to manual driving, but only on commuting trips. A PAV is perceived as a more attractive option than an SAV, but user preferences for SAVs vary between the conducted studies. Individual characteristics, such as experience with advanced driver assistance systems, strongly affect the perception of time in an AV; other socio-demographic factors, such as age and gender, affect mode choices and the VTTS mainly indirectly by influencing the attitudes of potential users. The improvement in travel experiences due to autonomous driving and trust in the technology are important determinants of the perception of travel time. Enjoyment of driving and other perceived benefits of manual driving partially counterbalance the utility of riding autonomously. VTTS for different potential user segments were calculated. In conclusion, several policy implications, development recommendations for AVs as well as recommendations for future studies and potential research avenues are derived from the findings.
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