摘 要 在2003年波斯灣戰爭之後，中共「中央」軍委會修訂的「中國人民解放軍政治工作條例」中，正式把心理戰、輿論戰和法律戰列為新的作戰樣式，共軍即全面展開「三戰」的研究。除了「中國軍事科學院」率先展開研究，並出版各類型的「三戰」系列叢書之外，中共各大軍區也全面展開學習、研究與訓練的風潮。 事實上，「三戰」屬於「非戰爭軍事行動」的一個領域，共軍區分「軟殺傷」與「硬殺傷」兩種領域，顯示其與戰爭行動的差別，但實質上兩種領域都是戰爭行為，只是「硬殺傷」是指真實武器對抗的戰場，「軟殺傷」是虛擬的心理威懾與感知的戰場，它旨在影響敵人的內在力量，以爭取不戰而屈人之兵的目標。 事實上，中共所提出的「輿論戰」，雖非創新的概念或名詞，但引起外界的關注與疑慮的，是由於中共當局的有心提倡，且經由上下一致的黨國體制的貫徹執行，在操作媒體的手法已愈來愈嫻熟，並且愈來愈重視放出訊息後所形成的宣傳效果，以及它可攫取的實質利益。 中共領導人也認為，藉著媒體威力是無可比擬且只要運用技巧，即可達成於己有利、甚至是自己希望的宣傳效果。因此，自從中國綜合國力提升後，為了害怕各國疑慮中國會在國際間使用其迅速增長的力量，其所提出「和平世界」的口號，其主要目的是為了讓中國崛起的現象能夠在全球公共領域獲得信任與接受，中國不斷地在國際場域宣揚「和諧世界」的理念，並且達到了操控全球輿論、重塑國家形象的一個相當重要的目的。 顯然，中共已不再將輿論戰視為戰場上的非軍事行動而已，它也用於平時對內、對外的宣傳；因此，隨著兩岸關係的和緩，未來輿論戰將不是只用對台威懾、懷柔和分化的手段，而將擴大成為其進行國際宣傳傳播的一種手法。 / Summary After 2003 Persian gulf war, the Communist China" Central " Military Commission meeting will revise of in "Chinese People's Liberation Army political work regulation", formally list as the new battle style to the mental state war, public opinion war and law war, Communist China People's Liberation Army namely launches the research of "three wars" completely. In addition to initiative in" The military in China section college " launches a research, and publishes various "three wars" series cluster book outside, each battalion of Communist China area also launches to learn, study and train an unrest completely. In fact, "three wars" is belong to a realm of "the anti-war contend for a military action", Communist China People's Liberation Army district separately "soft kill harm" and "hard kill harm" two kinds of realms, show the difference that it acts with war, but all of substantially two kinds of realms are act of wars, be just "hard kill harm" mean the battlefield that the true weapon resists, "soft kill harm" is a virtual mental awe, know with feeling of battlefield, its aim is influencing the enemy's inside strength to fight for the target of the soldier that doesn't fight but bend a person. In fact, "public opinion war" put forth by Communist China, although not- creative concept or word, cause the external world concern and worry in uncertainty of, is because having of Communist China's authorities have heart promotes, and through the performance of the carrying through of top and bottom consistent Party country system, after operating the skill of media has already been familiar with more and more, and values to let out a message more and more the publicity effect become, and it can lay hands on of substantial benefit. Communist China leaders are also think, the media power is incomparable, as long as make use of properly, can immediately reached to beneficial to oneself and even is the publicity effect that oneself hopes. Consequently, after China comprehensive national strength promoted, for the sake of frightened all countries worry in uncertainty China will use it quickly increase the strength at international, the slogan of "peaceful world" that it put forth, it the main purpose can acquire trust and accept in the global public realm for the sake of the phenomenon making China grown and China constantly publicizes the principle of "harmonious world" in the international field area, and comes to operate global public opinion and re-establish the national image is a rather important purpose. Obviously, Communist China has already no longer treated public opinion war as the non- military of battlefield act, it is also used for peacetime to inside, outward of publicity; Consequently, alleviate along with the cross-strait relation, in the future the public opinion war will not be only to the Taiwanese awe, keep in mind soft the means, and become extension a kind of skill that it carries on an international publicity dissemination. Key word：Three wars、The public opinion war、Harmonious world、 International dissemination

中共「三戰」概念的形成，主要是因1991年及2003年二次波灣戰爭中，美軍靈活運用輿論戰、心理戰、法律戰的成功實例，促使中共在2003年12月新修訂的「中國人民解放軍政治工作條例」中，明確提出「三戰」為戰時政治工作之重點，開展輿論戰、心理戰、法律戰相關的研發與演訓工作。 中共對台「輿論戰」之用意，在於傳達北京當局處理兩岸問題之能力和決心不容動搖，目的在於營造中共保土衛國之決心不變，凸顯台灣是中國一部份的事實。而「輿論戰」既可用於戰時，亦可用於平時，沒有固定的模式、場域與戰場，不受時空限制，更不限於軍事行動相配合。 中共「輿論戰」開展已提升到國家戰略體系中，在實際操作上，透過政治、經濟、軍事、資訊等作為，對我國展開舖天蓋地的攻擊。中共這種戰略思維，確實指導著國家戰略層級與軍事戰略層級的建立、用力與造勢。因此，我國應該仿傚其做法，動員全國整體力量，進行反制、造勢與佈局，才得以竟全功。

2005年3月14日通過「反分裂國家法」，把廿多年來對台方針政策法律化，不僅上升為國家意志，且規範兩岸關係，使反分裂、維護國家主權領土完整有法可依。中共的「反獨」政策是配合國際戰略，為其「和平崛起」創造穩定的週邊環境，以「爭取談、準備打、不怕拖」作為「反獨」的最高原則。因此，我們可發現，中共制定「反分裂國家法」後，對台是以「底線清晰、彈性務實」與「軟硬兼施、分而治之」為指導方針，更特別強調如何與台灣推展交流合作。所以在對台交流作法上更趨靈活細緻，如釋放選擇性利益，拉攏我特定地域、黨派、階層、行業，以及擴大交流，深化兩岸經貿關係，更強調「主動出撃、區別對待、軟硬兼施、入島入心」，積極推動兩岸交流、給予我國民待遇以及廣邀我青年學子赴大陸交流等等。 本論文共分六章，茲將其內容分述如下： （一）第一章為緒論，主要說明本文的研究動機與目的，相關文獻回顧、研究途徑與研究方法、研究範圍與限制以及研究架構等。 （二）第二章探討中共對台交流策略的環境因素，先以中國大陸內部因素加以分析，再對國際因素以及台灣因素進行探討。 （三）第三章敘述胡錦濤主政下「反分裂國家法」制定之內容與意涵，首先分析胡錦濤主政下對台政策新思維，其次探討「反分裂國家法」之內容及意涵，最後分析「反分裂國家法」之意涵。 （四）第四章是探討中共制定「反分裂國家法」後對台交流策略與作法，首先探討「反分裂國家法」之目標，再討論中共制定「反分裂國家法」後對台交流策略。最後探討中共制定「反分裂國家法」後對台交流作法。 （五）第五章探討中共對台交流策略之評估，如中共在「反分裂國家法」後對台交流作法更趨務實，企圖打開兩岸僵局，並且以國民待遇化爭取民間，以及造成我政府壓力。 （六）第六章結論，探討中共對台交流策略之研究發現與建議，為使台海地區保持和平，應繼續爭取美國的支持以及加強兩岸交流合作。 / Ever since the “Anti-Secession Law” passed on March 14, 2005, it has legalized Taiwan policy in the last twenty years, which has not only elevated national volition but also confined the cross-Straits relations to gain a legal ground for “anti-secession” and to preserve national right and its territorial intact. The “anti-idependence”policy of Chinese Communists is tied in international strategy to create stable surroundings for its “peace initiatives,” and to observe the ultimate principle of “anti-independence” in the context of “negotiation first, ready for war and no fears of prolonging.” Therefore we found out that after Chinese Communists have set their“Anti-Secession Law,”with provided guidelines to treat Taiwan under“clear bottom line, flexible and practical” and “hard and soft play, splitting will rule” principles and a strong emphasis on promoting interexchange collaborations with Taiwan. Therefore the execution of interexchange collaborations with Taiwan are seen rather flexible and thorough in terms of optional interest concerns with an intention to release preferential to certain regions, parties, bureaucracy and industries and expanding interexchange scope, deepening cross-Straits economic relations. Furthermore stressed on the propaganda of “making initiatives, discrepancy treatments, hard and soft play, penetrating island to win hearts” with such aggressive interexchange activity promotions and an offer of national treatment and wide open policy for academics exchange in Mainland China to our youngsters. This thesis contains six chapters and the descriptions of each chapter as follows: A. Chapter One is a preface, which mainly describes research motive and objective of this article, and it includes the related literatures with research channels and methods, scope and limitation and the research restructure. B. Chapter Two is discovering the environmental factors of Taiwan interexchange strategy by the Chinese Communists, first part will analyze the internal factor of Mainland China and then global and Taiwan accordingly. C. Chapter Three describes the contents and meanings of “Anti-Secession Law” led by Hu Jintao, first will be the analysis of new aspirations toward Taiwan by Hu Jintao, second will discuss the contents and meanings of “Anti-Secession Law” and last will be the analysis of the meanings of “Anti-Secession Law.” D. Chapter Four is discussing the Taiwan interexchange strategy and execution of “Anti-Secession Law” set by the Chinese Communists. It will discuss the objective of “Anti-Secession Law” first and then Taiwan interexchange strategy after the setting of “Anti-Secession Law” by the Chinese Communists, finally, it will discuss the implementation of Taiwan interexchange of “Anti-Secession Law” set by the Chinese Communists. E. Cheaper Five is a discussion of Taiwan interexchange strategy assessment by the Chinese Communist such as pragmatic ways of dealing Tawain interexchange after setting “Anti-Secession Law” by the Chinese Communists in order to break the deadlock of the cross-Straits and treat our civil with national treatment to put pressures on our government. F. Chapter Six will be the conclusion of this thesis; the main emphasis will be on exploring the discovery and proposition of Taiwan interexchange strategy research by the Chinese Communist with an objective in maintaining peaceful state of Taiwan Strait and continuously rallying for the support form the United States and reinforce the collaborations of cross-Straits interexchange.