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Mathematical Modelling of Fund Fees / Matematisk Modellering av FondavgifterWollmann, Oscar January 2023 (has links)
The paper examines the impact of fees on the return of a fund investment using different simulation and fee structure models. The results show that fees have a significant expected impact, particularly for well-performing funds. Two simulation models were used, the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) model and Merton Jump Diffusion (MJD) model. Two fee structures were also analysed for each simulation, a High-water mark fee structure and a Hurdle fee structure. Comparing the GBM and MJD models, the two tend to generate very similar fee statistics even though the MJD model's day-to-day returns fit better with empirical data. When comparing the HWM and Hurdle fee models, larger differences are observed. While overall average fee statistics are similar, the performance fee statistics are significantly higher in the Hurdle fee structure for assets achieving higher returns, e.g. at least an 8% annual return. However, the HWM fee structure tends to generate higher performance fees for assets with low returns. Regression models are also developed for each combination of the simulation model and fee structure. The regression models reflect the above conclusions and can for investors serve as simple key indicators to estimate expected fund fee payments. The GBM regression results are likely more useful than the MJD regression results, as the parameters of the former are easier to calculate based on historical return data. / Uppsatsen undersöker effekten av avgifter på avkastningen av en fondinvestering med hjälp av olika simuleringar och avgiftsmodeller. Resultaten visar att avgifter förväntas ha en betydande påverkan, särskilt för fonder som genererar hög avkastning. Två simuleringar användes, Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) och Merton Jump Diffusion (MJD). Två avgiftsstrukturer analyserades också för varje simulering, en High-water mark avgiftsstruktur och en Hurdle avgiftsstruktur. Jämförelse mellan GBM och MJD-modellerna visar att de två tenderar att generera mycket liknande avgiftsstatistik trots att MJD-modellens dagliga avkastning passar bättre med empiriska data. Vid jämförelse av HWM- och Hurdle avgiftsmodellerna observeras större skillnader. Medan den övergripande genomsnittliga avgiftsstatistiken är liknande för avgiftsmodellerna, är resultatbaserade avgifterna betydligt högre i Hurdle avgiftsstrukturen för tillgångar som uppnår högre avkastning, t.ex. minst 8% årlig avkastning. Däremot tenderar HWM-avgiftsstrukturen att generera högre resultatbaserade avgifter för tillgångar med låg avkastning. Regressionsmodeller utvecklades också för varje kombination av simulering och avgiftsstruktur. Regressionmodellerna återspeglar ovanstående slutsatser och kan för investerare fungera som enkla nyckeltal för att uppskatta förväntad kostnad av fondavgifter. GBM-regressionsresultaten är sannolikt mer användbara än MJD-regressionsresultaten, eftersom parametrarna för den förra är lättare att beräkna baserat på historisk avkastningsdata.
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Microstructure et macro-comportement acoustique : approche par reconstruction d'une cellule élémentaire représentativePerrot, Camille January 2006 (has links)
The fundamental issue of determining acoustic properties of porous media from their local geometry is examined in this PhD dissertation thesis, thanks to a sample of open-cell aluminum foam analyzed by axial computed microtomography. Various geometric properties are measured to characterize the experimental sample at the cell size level. This is done in order to reconstruct a porous medium by means of idealized three- and two- dimensional unit-cells.The frequency dependant thermal and velocity fields governing the propagation and dissipation of acoustic waves through rigid porous media are computed by Brownian motion simulation and the finite element method, respectively. Macroscopic behavior is derived by spatial averaging of the local fields. Our results are compared to experimental data obtained from impedance tube measurements. Firstly, this approach leads to the identification of the macroscopic parameters involved in Pride and Lafarge semiphenomenological models. Secondly, it yields a direct access to thermal and viscous dynamic permeabilities. However, the bi-dimensional model underestimates the static viscous permeability as well as the viscous characteristic length; what thus require a three-dimensional implementation.
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High-sensitivity tracking of optically trapped particles in gases and liquids : observation of Brownian motion in velocity spaceKheifets, Simon 22 September 2014 (has links)
The thermal velocity fluctuations of microscopic particles mediate the transition from microscopic statistical mechanics to macroscopic long-time diffusion. Prior to this work, detection methods lacked the sensitivity necessary to resolve motion at the length and time scales at which thermal velocity fluctuations occur. This dissertation details two experiments which resulted in velocity measurement of the thermal motion of dielectric microspheres suspended by an optical trap in gases and liquids. First, optical tweezers were used to trap glass microspheres in air over a wide range of pressures and a detection system was developed to track the trapped microspheres' trajectories with MHz bandwidth and <100 fm/rt(Hz) position sensitivity. Low-noise trajectory measurements allowed for observation of fluctuations in the instantaneous velocity of a trapped particle with a signal to noise ratio (SNR) of 26 dB, and provided direct verification of the equipartition theorem and of the Maxwell-Boltzmann velocity distribution for a single Brownian particle. Next, the detection technology was further optimized and used to track optically trapped silica and barium titanate glass microspheres in water and acetone with >50 MHz bandwidth and <3 fm/rt(Hz) sensitivity. Brownian motion in a liquid is influenced by hydrodynamic, time-retarded coupling between the particle and the fluid flow its motion generates. Our measurements allowed for instantaneous velocity measurement with an SNR of up to 16 dB and confirmed the Maxwell Boltzmann distribution for Brownian motion in a liquid. The measurements also revealed several unusual features predicted for Brownian motion in the regime of hydrodynamic coupling, including faster-than-exponential decay of the velocity autocorrelation function, correlation of the thermal force and non-zero cross-correlation between the particle's velocity and the thermal force preceding it. / text
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Translational and rotational diffusion of micrometer-sized solid domains in lipid membranesPetrov, Eugene P., Petrosyan, Rafayel, Schwille, Petra 07 April 2014 (has links) (PDF)
We use simultaneous observation of translational and rotational Brownian motion of domains in lipid membranes to test the hydrodynamics-based theory for the viscous drag on the membrane inclusion. We find that translational and rotational diffusion coefficients of micrometer-sized solid (gel-phase) domains in giant unilamellar vesicles showing fluid–gel phase coexistence are in excellent agreement with the theoretical predictions. / Dieser Beitrag ist mit Zustimmung des Rechteinhabers aufgrund einer (DFG-geförderten) Allianz- bzw. Nationallizenz frei zugänglich.
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Brownian motion under external force field and anomalous diffusion / Etude du mouvement brownien sous champ de force externe et diffusion anormalesSentissi, Oussama 07 December 2018 (has links)
Le travail réalisé dans cette thèse porte sur l’étude du mouvement Brownien d’une suspension colloïdale sous champ de force optique faible et l’étude fondamentale des effets convectifs et de diffusion anormale. Nous avons construit un microscope à fond noir afin de suivre les particules et de reconstruire leurs trajectoires avec une résolution spatiale de 20 nm et une résolution temporelle de 8 ms. Ces trajectoires sont analysées statistiquement afin d’en extraire la contribution balistique induite par la force de pression de radiation appliquée par le laser d’illumination. En plus de l’effet mécanique du laser sur les particules, le fluide absorbe les radiations ce qui le chauffe et crée ainsi une différence de température entre la partie illuminée et la partie non illuminée de l’échantillon.Nous validons aussi les hypothèses de stationnarité et d’érgodicité qui sont fondamentales pour notre stratégie de mesure de force faible. L’analyse statistique fine de notre système nous permet de mettre en évidence et de caractériser des effets de diffusion anormale brownienne. Nos expériences révèlent en effet la présence de trajectoires anormales dont l’origine se comprend comme un effet d’interaction entre la particule suivie et le reste de l’ensemble colloïdal. / The work presented in this thesis deals with the study of the Brownian motion of a colloidal suspension under an external weak optical force, the study of convective effects and anomalous diffusion. We have built a dark field microscope in order to track the particles and reconstruct the Brownian trajectories with a spatial resolution of 20 nm and a temporal resolution of 8 ms.Statistical analysis of the trajectories has allowed us to extract the ballistic contribution induced by the radiation pressure force exerted by irradiating a laser on the particles. In addition to the mechanical effect of the laser on the particles, the fluid absorbs the radiation. Consequently, the temperature of the fluid rises and results in a thermal difference between the illuminated and the non-illuminated areas of the sample. In order to validate our weak force measurement, we have investigated two fundamental hypotheses in statistical physics: ergodicity and stationary aspect. A closer statistical analysis enables us to demonstrate and characterize the effect of anomalous Brownian diffusion. Our experiments have revealed the existence of anomalous trajectories, which can be understood as an effect of the interactions between the particles.
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Expected Maximum Drawdowns Under Constant and Stochastic VolatilityNouri, Suhila Lynn 04 May 2006 (has links)
The maximum drawdown on a time interval [0, T] of a random process can be defined as the largest drop from a high water mark to a low water mark. In this project, expected maximum drawdowns are analyzed in two cases: maximum drawdowns under constant volatility and stochastic volatility. We consider maximum drawdowns of both generalized and geometric Brownian motions. Their paths are numerically simulated and their expected maximum drawdowns are computed using Monte Carlo approximation and plotted as a function of time. Only numerical representation is given for stochastic volatility since there are no analytical results for this case. In the constant volatility case, the asymptotic behavior is described by our simulations which are supported by theoretical findings. The asymptotic behavior can be logarithmic for positive mean return, square root for zero mean return, or linear for negative mean return. When the volatility is stochastic, we assume it is driven by a mean-reverting process, in which case we discovered that if one uses the effective volatility in the formulas obtained for the constant volatility case, the numerical results suggest that similar asymptotic behavior holds in the stochastic case.
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Optimal Stopping and Switching Problems with Financial ApplicationsWang, Zheng January 2016 (has links)
This dissertation studies a collection of problems on trading assets and derivatives over finite and infinite horizons. In the first part, we analyze an optimal switching problem with transaction costs that involves an infinite sequence of trades. The investor's value functions and optimal timing strategies are derived when prices are driven by an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (XOU) or Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process. We compare the findings to the results from the associated optimal double stopping problems and identify the conditions under which the double stopping and switching problems admit the same optimal entry and/or exit timing strategies. Our results show that when prices are driven by a CIR process, optimal strategies for the switching problems are of the classic buy-low-sell-high type. On the other hand, under XOU price dynamics, the investor should refrain from entering the market if the current price is very close to zero. As a result, the continuation (waiting) region for entry is disconnected. In both models, we provide numerical examples to illustrate the dependence of timing strategies on model parameters. In the second part, we study the problem of trading futures with transaction costs when the underlying spot price is mean-reverting. Specifically, we model the spot dynamics by the OU, CIR or XOU model. The futures term structure is derived and its connection to futures price dynamics is examined. For each futures contract, we describe the evolution of the roll yield, and compute explicitly the expected roll yield. For the futures trading problem, we incorporate the investor's timing options to enter and exit the market, as well as a chooser option to long or short a futures upon entry. This leads us to formulate and solve the corresponding optimal double stopping problems to determine the optimal trading strategies. Numerical results are presented to illustrate the optimal entry and exit boundaries under different models. We find that the option to choose between a long or short position induces the investor to delay market entry, as compared to the case where the investor pre-commits to go either long or short. Finally, we analyze the optimal risk-averse timing to sell a risky asset. The investor's risk preference is described by the exponential, power or log utility. Two stochastic models are considered for the asset price -- the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and XOU models to account for, respectively, the trending and mean-reverting price dynamics. In all cases, we derive the optimal thresholds and certainty equivalents to sell the asset, and compare them across models and utilities, with emphasis on their dependence on asset price, risk aversion, and quantity. We find that the timing option may render the investor's value function and certainty equivalent non-concave in price even though the utility function is concave in wealth. Numerical results are provided to illustrate the investor's optimal strategies and the premia associated with optimally timing to sell with different utilities under different price dynamics.
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Experimentation on dynamic congestion control in Software Defined Networking (SDN) and Network Function Virtualisation (NFV)Kamaruddin, Amalina Farhan January 2017 (has links)
In this thesis, a novel framework for dynamic congestion control has been proposed. The study is about the congestion control in broadband communication networks. Congestion results when demand temporarily exceeds capacity and leads to severe degradation of Quality of Service (QoS) and possibly loss of traffic. Since traffic is stochastic in nature, high demand may arise anywhere in a network and possibly causing congestion. There are different ways to mitigate the effects of congestion, by rerouting, by aggregation to take advantage of statistical multiplexing, and by discarding too demanding traffic, which is known as admission control. This thesis will try to accommodate as much traffic as possible, and study the effect of routing and aggregation on a rather general mix of traffic types. Software Defined Networking (SDN) and Network Function Virtualization (NFV) are concepts that allow for dynamic configuration of network resources by decoupling control from payload data and allocation of network functions to the most suitable physical node. This allows implementation of a centralised control that takes the state of the entire network into account and configures nodes dynamically to avoid congestion. Assumes that node controls can be expressed in commands supported by OpenFlow v1.3. Due to state dependencies in space and time, the network dynamics are very complex, and resort to a simulation approach. The load in the network depends on many factors, such as traffic characteristics and the traffic matrix, topology and node capacities. To be able to study the impact of control functions, some parts of the environment is fixed, such as the topology and the node capacities, and statistically average the traffic distribution in the network by randomly generated traffic matrices. The traffic consists of approximately equal intensity of smooth, bursty and long memory traffic. By designing an algorithm that route traffic and configure queue resources so that delay is minimised, this thesis chooses the delay to be the optimisation parameter because it is additive and real-time applications are delay sensitive. The optimisation being studied both with respect to total end-to-end delay and maximum end-to-end delay. The delay is used as link weights and paths are determined by Dijkstra's algorithm. Furthermore, nodes are configured to serve the traffic optimally which in turn depends on the routing. The proposed algorithm is a fixed-point system of equations that iteratively evaluates routing - aggregation - delay until an equilibrium point is found. Three strategies are compared: static node configuration where each queue is allocated 1/3 of the node resources and no aggregation, aggregation of real-time (taken as smooth and bursty) traffic onto the same queue, and dynamic aggregation based on the entropy of the traffic streams and their aggregates. The results of the simulation study show good results, with gains of 10-40% in the QoS parameters. By simulation, the positive effects of the proposed routing and aggregation strategy and the usefulness of the algorithm. The proposed algorithm constitutes the central control logic, and the resulting control actions are realisable through the SDN/NFV architecture.
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Movimento browniano, integral de Itô e introdução às equações diferenciais estocásticasMisturini, Ricardo January 2010 (has links)
Este texto apresenta alguns dos elementos básicos envolvidos em um estudo introdutório das equações diferencias estocásticas. Tais equações modelam problemas a tempo contínuo em que as grandezas de interesse estão sujeitas a certos tipos de perturbações aleatórias. Em nosso estudo, a aleatoriedade nessas equações será representada por um termo que envolve o processo estocástico conhecido como Movimento Browniano. Para um tratamento matematicamente rigoroso dessas equações, faremos uso da Integral Estocástica de Itô. A construção dessa integral é um dos principais objetivos do texto. Depois de desenvolver os conceitos necessários, apresentaremos alguns exemplos e provaremos existência e unicidade de solução para equações diferenciais estocásticas satisfazendo certas hipóteses. / This text presents some of the basic elements involved in an introductory study of stochastic differential equations. Such equations describe certain kinds of random perturbations on continuous time models. In our study, the randomness in these equations will be represented by a term involving the stochastic process known as Brownian Motion. For a mathematically rigorous treatment of these equations, we use the Itô Stochastic Integral. The construction of this integral is one of the main goals of the text. After developing the necessary concepts, we present some examples and prove existence and uniqueness of solution of stochastic differential equations satisfying some hypothesis.
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Higher-order numerical scheme for solving stochastic differential equationsAlhojilan, Yazid Yousef M. January 2016 (has links)
We present a new pathwise approximation method for stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion which does not require simulation of the stochastic integrals. The method is developed to give Wasserstein bounds O(h3/2) and O(h2) which are better than the Euler and Milstein strong error rates O(√h) and O(h) respectively, where h is the step-size. It assumes nondegeneracy of the diffusion matrix. We have used the Taylor expansion but generate an approximation to the expansion as a whole rather than generating individual terms. We replace the iterated stochastic integrals in the method by random variables with the same moments conditional on the linear term. We use a version of perturbation method and a technique from optimal transport theory to find a coupling which gives a good approximation in Lp sense. This new method is a Runge-Kutta method or so-called derivative-free method. We have implemented this new method in MATLAB. The performance of the method has been studied for degenerate matrices. We have given the details of proof for order h3/2 and the outline of the proof for order h2.
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