Stoft är ett eoliskt, klastiskt silt-material som blåst från exponerade områden via atmosfären och avsätts i form av löss-sekvenser på andra ställen i världen. Dessa sekvenser utgör ett naturligt arkiv som innehåller information om tidigare förändringar i klimatet ända bak till kvartärtidens början för ungefär 2.5 miljoner år sedan.                       Mycket av stoftet i Europa avsattes under senaste istiden som var för cirka hundra tusen till tio tusen år sedan. En löss-sekvens är lokaliserad i Madaras i södra Ungern och är tio meter tjock, för det här projektet har stoft-prover från sekvensen analyserats med röntgenstrålning. Analysen visar vilka och vilken halt av grundämnen som stoftproverna från de olika nivåerna innehåller, vilket i sin tur hjälper till att rekonstruera klimat från den senaste istiden. Röntgenstrålningen har genererats av en apparat som heter Brukar S1 Titan och utför metoden XRF som står för X-ray Flourescence, vilken har utförts på Geocentrum på Uppsala Universitet. Tolkning av resultatet samt jämförelse med tidigare forskning ska hjälpa till att förstå klimatförändringar från senaste istiden genom att undersöka vittring och ursprungskälla. Resultatet indikerar på att information om klimat är bevarat i sekvensen, då slutsatsen är att vittring har haft en svag men tydlig effekt på stoftet som avsatts i Madaras, och att ändringar av stoftets ursprungskälla inte har påverkat den studerade sekvensen. / Dust is aeolian, clastic silt material that has been eroded from exposed land surfaces, blown via the atmosphere and deposited as loess sequences in other areas in the world. Loess contains information about changes in the climate all the way back to the beginning of the Quaternary, approximately 2.5 million years ago.                       Research shows that a lot of the European dust was deposited during the last glacial of the Quaternary period, which was from approximately one hundred thousand to ten thousand years ago. One loess sequence is located in Madaras in southern Hungary and is 10 meters thick, in this project, dust samples from the sequence have been analyzed with XRF (X-ray Flourescence). The analysis shows which and what percentage of elements the samples contain, which in turn will help to reconstruct climate from the last glacial. The analysis was conducted using a XRF machine called Bruker S1 Titan and was done at Uppsala University in Uppsala, Sweden. Interpreting of the results, as well as comparing with earlier research, will help to understand climate changes from the latest glacial by examine weathering and dust source. The result indicates that information about past climate is preserved at the site, because of the conclusion that says that weathering has had a weak but distinct effect on the dust deposited at Madaras, and that the dust source changes do not have affected the studied sequence.

Submitted by Fabio Sobreira Campos da Costa (fabio.sobreira@ufpe.br) on 2017-07-27T12:03:27Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 811 bytes, checksum: e39d27027a6cc9cb039ad269a5db8e34 (MD5) Dissertação_SilviaPereira..pdf: 1700069 bytes, checksum: de95e5af421e528465694aadb5cdee58 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-07-27T12:03:27Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 811 bytes, checksum: e39d27027a6cc9cb039ad269a5db8e34 (MD5) Dissertação_SilviaPereira..pdf: 1700069 bytes, checksum: de95e5af421e528465694aadb5cdee58 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-02-23 / CAPES / Adaptações e mecanismos de tolerância à seca são fatores fundamentais para a sobrevivência das espécies vegetais de clima árido ou semiárido. É devido a adaptações como área foliar, profundidade de raízes, manutenção do status hídrico, espessura da cutícula e densidade estomática que tais espécies obtêm sucesso neste ambiente. Contudo, diante das mudanças climáticas há a necessidade de avaliação da eficiência desses mecanismos diante de uma condição ainda mais limitante. Dessa forma, nosso objetivo foi analisar os principais mecanismos fisiológicos de tolerância a seca de Cynophalla flexuosa (L.) J.Presl., uma espécie lenhosa e sempre verde de uma floresta tropical sazonalmente seca, avaliando de que forma a cera epicuticular (CE) das folhas dessa espécie são eficientes diante das condições do seminário em diferentes épocas do ano. O trabalho foi realizado em três períodos (julho de 2014, dezembro de 2014 e fevereiro de 2015), ao longo de um dia em uma área de Caatinga, utilizando folhas intactas e com parte da CE removida mecanicamente. Foi calculado o balanço hídrico do solo e mensurado o potencial hídrico foliar, trocas gasosas, fluorescência da clorofila a, bioquímica e anatomia foliar. Foi observado que C. flexuosa reduz seu potencial hídrico foliar nos horários mais quentes, sendo uma espécie anisohídrica, capaz de manter sua condutância estomática mesmo diante de um balanço hídrico negativo do solo em todos os períodos de avaliação. A concentração da CE foi maior no mês de fevereiro e seu principal componente foram as cadeias de n-alcanos, compostos muito eficientes em manter a impermeabilidade da cutícula e proteger as folhas. O desempenho fotossintético não mostrou alterações ao longo do dia em folhas que tiveram a CE removida, além da manutenção do metabolismo bioquímico, com poucas variações nos diferentes períodos avaliados. Diante disso, C. flexuosa possui eficientes mecanismos de adaptação à seca, podendo suportar ambientes ainda mais limitantes, como o previsto para as próximas décadas devido às mudanças climáticas. / Adaptations and drought tolerance mechanisms are key factors for the survival of plant species in arid or semi-arid climate. It is due to adaptations such as leaf area, depth of roots, maintenance of water status, cuticle thickness and stomatal density these species succeed in this environment. However, given the climate change there is a need of efficiency evaluation of these mechanisms before a further limiting condition. Therefore, our objective was to analyze the main physiological mechanisms of drought tolerance of Cynophalla flexuosa (L.) J.Presl., a woody and evergreen specie in a seasonally dry tropical forest, assessing how the leaves epicuticular wax (EW) of this species are efficient before the semiarid conditions in different seasons. The study was conducted in three periods (July 2014, December 2014 and February 2015), throughout the one day in an area of Caatinga, using intact leaves and the EW removed mechanically. We calculated the the hydric balance of the soil and measured leaf water potential, gas exchange, chlorophyll fluorescence, biochemistry and leaf anatomy. It was observed that C. flexuosa reduces its leaf water potential at the hottest times, one anisohydric species, able to maintain its stomatal conductance in the face of a negative soil water balance in all evaluation periods, which reduced its xylem potential. The concentration of EW was higher in the month of February and its main component was n-alkane chains, very efficient compounds in maintaining a waterproof cuticle and protect the leaves. The photosynthetic performance showed no change throughout the day in leaves that had the EW removed, as well as maintenance the biochemical metabolism, with few variations in different periods. Therefore, C. flexuosa has efficient mechanisms of adaptation to drought and can withstand even more limiting environments, as predicted in the coming decades due to climate change.

As glaciações do Quaternário moldaram os padrões filogeográficos das espécies em geral. Em algumas regiões da América do Sul, (e.g. Cerrado e Caatinga) a mudança estrutural foi mais acentuada, havendo o predomino de savanas, ao passo que em outras regiões (e.g. Amazônica e Mata Atlântica) as mudanças foram menores, formando áreas de refúgios florestais. A Modelagem Preditiva de Distribuição de espécies usa associações entre variáveis ambientais e registros de ocorrência da espécie para estimar modelos que representam as condições ambientais favoráveis à espécie. Neste trabalho foram estudadas três espécies de figueiras Neotropicais com características ecológicas distintas, representando duas linhagens filogenéticas independentes, i.e., seções Americana (Ficus citrifolia) e Pharmacosycea (Ficus adhatodifolia e Ficus insipida). Foram gerados modelos para os cenários passados (Interglacial 140.000 e Glacial 21.000 anos atrás), presente e futuro (2050 e 2070, nos cenários otimistas e pessimistas) para as três espécies estudadas usando o programa Maxent 3.3.3k. Os resultados obtidos mostram que para F. adhatodifolia as variáveis mais importantes nos modelos foram temperatura mínima do mês mais frio e precipitação do mês mais seco. Para F. insipida as variáveis mais importantes nos modelos foram temperatura mínima do mês mais frio e precipitação anual. Para F. citrifolia as variáveis mais importantes nos modelos foram temperatura mínima do mês mais frio e precipitação do mês mais chuvoso. Os modelos projetados no cenário interglacial, para as três espécies estudadas, apresentaram áreas de adequabilidade ambiental próximas ao cenário atual. Durante o período glacial F. adhatodifolia mostrou uma mudança considerável em sua área de ocorrência, ocorrendo em regiões consideradas refúgios para algumas espécies. Ficus insipida apresentou uma retração na sua adequabilidade ambiental, porém mantendo-se na região amazônica, enquanto que F. citrifolia teve um aumento na sua área de adequabilidade. Nos cenários futuros (2050 e 2070) F.adhatodifolia apresentou uma diminuição em sua área de ocorrência em ambos os cenários otimista e pessimista, F. insipida apresentou um aumento em sua área de adequabilidade ambiental e F.citrifolia apresentou uma diminuição e fragmentação na região Amazônica nos cenários otimista e pessimista de 2050 e otimista de 2070. As exigências ambientais e os possíveis padrões filogeográficos das três espécies são discutidos no contexto dos modelos preditivos gerados. / The Quaternary glaciations shaped the phylogeographic patterns of species in general. In some regions of South America (e.g.Cerrado and Caatinga) structural change was more pronounced and savannas predominated, whereas in other regions (e.g. Amazon and Atlantic Forest) changes were minor, forming areas of forest refuges. Species distribution Predictive Modeling uses associations between environmental variables and species occurrence records to estimate models that represent the environmental conditions favorable to the species. In the present study we chose three species of Neotropical Ficus with different ecological characteristics, representing two independent phylogenetic lineages, i.e., sections Americana (Ficus citrifolia) and Pharmacosycea (F.adhatodifolia and F.insipida). We generated models for the past (interglacial 140,000 years ago and Glacial 21,000 years ago), present and future scenarios (2050 and 2070 in optimistic and pessimistic scenarios) for the three study species using Maxent 3.3.3k program. Our results showed thatfor F. adhatodifolia the most important variables in the models were minimum temperature in the coldest month and precipitation in the driest month. For F.insipida the most important variables in the models were minimum temperature in the coldest month and annual precipitation. For F. citrifolia the most important variables in the models were minimum temperature in the coldest month and precipitation in the wettest month. The models designed for the interglacial stage showed areas of environmental suitability similar to the current scenario of the three species. During the glacial period F. adhatodifolia showed a considerable change in its range, occurring in regions considered refuges for some species. Ficus insipida had its environmental suitability decreased, but remained in the Amazon region, while F. citrifolia increased its area of suitability. In the future models (2050 and 2070) F.adhatodifolia showed a decrease in its range on both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, F.insipida showed an increase in its area of environmental suitability and F.citrifolia has been decreasing and fragmentation in the Amazon region in the optimistic and pessimistic scenarios 2050 and optimistic 2070. The environmental requirements and the potential phylogeographic patterns of the study species are discussed in the context of the generated predictive models.

Submitted by Nadir Basilio (nadirsb@uninove.br) on 2015-07-27T17:17:12Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Veronica do Nascimento Nadruz.pdf: 1356309 bytes, checksum: ed51603b2d566238f8577ee2ab275df9 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2015-07-27T17:17:12Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Veronica do Nascimento Nadruz.pdf: 1356309 bytes, checksum: ed51603b2d566238f8577ee2ab275df9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-02-24 / The evaluation of the extent of the issue of climate change through the Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) has been the subject of research at the International Academy, with a view to the requirement of the Sea and the need to meet the greenhouse gas reduction targets (GHG) in European countries. In Brazil, the Sea is not mandatory and experiences with the use of the instrument are rare in the country, known only about 40 SEA reports. Regarding climate change, although the national commitments to reduce emissions across the world are few, the country has been structuring in the public and private sector to face its consequences: in 2009 we established the National Climate Change Policy that among a number of resolutions and guidelines for 2020 provides a reduction in the emission of greenhouse gases by 36.1% to 38.9%. In this context, this research has as main objective to analyze the issue of climate change in the Brazilian practice of SEA applied to national planning (energy, regional development, transport and tourism). Thus, we selected 35 studies of SEA from the 40 studies known in the country. As a method was adopted and tested a published script, the criterion proposed by Wende et al. (2011), and performed the analyzes under four perspectives: 1) individual of each SEA report; 2) comparative between different categories of planning; 3) time on the legal framework of the promulgation of National Climate Change Policy and 4) overall on the scope of climate change in the practice of Brazilian SEA. The survey results show that, in general, the transport sector is the best performer among the four categories analyzed, as 8 out of 10 reports of this sector considered climate issues. The research also concludes that in Brazil the issue of climate change is not widely considered in national planning subsidized by the SEA. / A avaliação da extensão do tema mudanças climáticas, por meio da Avaliação Ambiental Estratégica (AEE), tem sido motivo de pesquisa na academia internacional, tendo em vista à obrigatoriedade da AEE e a necessidade de se cumprir as metas de redução de gases de efeito estufa (GEE) nos países europeus. No Brasil, a AEE não é obrigatória e as experiências com o uso do instrumento são raras no país, sendo conhecidos apenas cerca de 40 relatórios de AEE. No que tange às mudanças climáticas, embora os compromissos nacionais para redução de emissões frente ao mundo sejam poucos, o país vem se estruturando no âmbito público e privado para enfrentar suas consequências: em 2009, foi estabelecida a Política Nacional de Mudança do Clima (Pnmc), que, entre uma série de deliberações e orientações, prevê para 2020 uma redução na emissão dos GEE de 36,1% a 38,9%. Diante desse contexto, essa pesquisa tem como objetivo geral analisar o tema mudanças climáticas na prática brasileira de AEE aplicada ao planejamento nacional (energia, desenvolvimento regional, transporte e turismo). Para tanto, foram selecionados 35 estudos de AEE entre os 40 estudos conhecidos no país. Como método, adotou-se um roteiro publicado e testado. O critério foi proposto por Wende et al. (2011), e as análises foram realizadas sob 4 perspectivas: 1) individual de cada relatório de AEE; 2) comparativa entre diferentes Categorias de planejamento; 3) temporal quanto ao marco legal da promulgação da Pnmc e 4) global quanto à abrangência das mudanças climáticas na prática de AEE brasileira. Os resultados da pesquisa demonstraram que, de maneira geral, o setor de transporte apresenta os melhores resultados entre as quatro categorias analisadas, pois 8 dos 10 relatórios desse setor consideraram as questões climáticas. A pesquisa conclui, ainda, que no Brasil o tema mudanças climáticas não está amplamente considerado no planejamento nacional subsidiado pela AEE.

Syfte: Klimatförändringarna bidrar till att Sverige kommer att få ett förändrat regnmönster. Vilket leder till att större krav ställs på dagvattenhaneringen och dess funktion. När grönytor bebyggs ökar risken för översvämningar vid stora skyfall. Det är därför viktigt att anpassa städerna efter de framtida skyfallen samt att dagvattenhanteringen utvecklas och inte nedprioriteras. Syftet med studien är att ge svar på vilka lösningar som används mest och är framgångsrika i kommunerna, vilka faktorer som påverkar kommunernas beslut vid val av dagvattenlösning och hur kommunerna tar hänsyn till klimatförändringarna när det väljer dagvattenlösning.  Metod: Litteraturstudien har gett rapporten forskningsfronten inom ämnet och en bra vetenskaplig grund att baseras på. Sex olika interjuver har utförts med respondenter från VA- och samhällsbyggnadsavdelningen på tre kommuner i Skaraborg. Studiens deltagande kommuner är Lidköpings kommun, Skövde kommun och Falköpings kommun. Intervjuerna var indelade i olika huvudkategorier för att kunna besvara studiens frågeställningar. En dokumentanalys har gjorts utifrån ritningar och dokument på nyexploaterade bostadsområden från kommunernas hemsidor. Resultat: Den dagvattenhantering som används mest i kommunerna är öppna dagvattenlösningar så som öppna diken, fördröjningsytor och dammar. Vilket gör lösningarna till de mest framgångsrikaste. Genom öppna dagvattenlösningar säkras samhället från översvämningar då lösningen kan reglera vatten. Faktorer som påverkar kommuners val av lösning är kunskap om dagvatten, samarbetet mellan avdelningarna, teknisk funktion, tid, kapital, lagar och rekommendationer. Utformning av vägar, vattenvägar och höjdsättning i nyexploaterade bostadsområden är viktiga faktorer som kommunerna tar hänsyn till för att klara av de pågående klimatförändringarna. Konsekvenser: Slutsatser som kan tas av studien är att öppna dagvattenlösningar är det som kommunerna strävar efter att använda. Dessutom är lösningen bäst tillämpningsbar för att klara av klimatförändringarna. Genom att använda öppna dagvattenlösningar behöver inte avkall på funktion göras för att använda den billigaste lösningen. Bostadsområdena utformas med vattenvägar, strategiska utlopp och utefter klimatfaktorn. För att uppnå bra dagvattenhantering är personalens kunskapsläge och samarbete mellan avdelningar en viktig del. Rekommendationer som kommunerna kan arbeta vidare med för att få en bättre hållbar dagvattenhantering är utöka kunskap bland de anställda, förbättra samarbetet, granska konsulternas arbete och öka tillsyn samt uppföljningen i produktionen.  Begränsningar: Studien har avgränsats till tre kommuner med samma geografiska läge i Sverige. Det går att generalisera studien för att det finns städer i Sverige som har liknande antal invånare. / Purpose: The climate changes contribute to Sweden’s future change in rain pattern. This leads to a higher demand on the stormwater management and its function. When green areas are built upon the risk for flooding increase when heavy rains occur. It is therefore important to adapt the cities according to future heavy rains and the stormwater management should not be downgraded. The goal of this study is to answer what solutions are used the most and are successful in the municipalities, what factors that affect the municipalities choice of stormwater solution and how the municipalities account for climate changes when choosing stormwater solutions. Method: The literature review has given the report the research front within the subject and a good scientific base to be based upon. Six different interviews have been held with respondents from the water and plant-department and the community building department withing three municipalities in Skaraborg. The participating municipalities are Lidköpings municipality, Skövdes municipality and Falköpings municipality. The interviews are split into different main categories to answer the questions at issue. A document analysis has been done based upon blueprints and document of newly exploited residential areas from the municipalities’ websites. Findings: The stormwater management solution that is used the most in the municipalities are open stormwater solutions, such as trenches, delay surfaces and ponds. This makes these solutions the most successful. Through open stormwater solutions the society is secured from flooding since the solution can regulate the water. Factors that affect the municipalities choice of solution are knowledge of stormwater, the cooperation between departments, technical function, time, money, laws, and recommendations. The design of roads, waterways, and elevation in newly exploited residential areas are important factors that the municipalities consider, in order to manage the ongoing climate changes. Implications: Conclusions that can be drawn from the study is that open stormwater solutions are what the municipalities strive towards using. In addition, the solution is best suited to manage the climate changes. Through using open stormwater solutions, a need to waiver on function is not needed to use the cheapest solution. The residentials areas are designed with waterways, strategic outlets and along the climate factor. To achieve good stormwater management the level of knowledge within the staff and the cooperation between departments are important. Recommendations that the municipalities could continue to work with to get a more sustainable stormwater management is to expand the knowledge between the staff, improve the cooperation, review the consultants work, increase supervision and to follow up in production. Limitations: The study has been delimited to three municipalities with the same geographic location in Sweden. It is possible to generalize the study since there are cities in Sweden with similar a amount of residents.

[pt] A análise das ideias de Günther Anders e a relação destas com teses de pensadores contemporâneos preocupados com a questão das mudanças climáticas é o objeto deste trabalho, baseado sobretudo em seu livro mais significativo, Die Antiquiertheit des Menschen (A Obsolescência do Homem). Ainda pouco divulgado nos meios acadêmicos e praticamente inédito no Brasil, Anders cria conceitos filosóficos densos e carregados de consequências morais e políticas, ao descrever e buscar entender a perplexidade e o horror diante da possibilidade de aniquilamento da humanidade pela própria humanidade, que tornou-se evidente após os campos de extermínio nazistas e o lançamento das bombas atômicas sobre Hiroshima e Nagasaki, em 1945. Conceitos como tempo do fim , defasagem prometeica , cegueira apocalíptica e prorrogação (délai) se mantêm atuais e pertinentes (ainda que com algumas diferenças inevitáveis), para se pensar um problema igualmente inescapável e onipresente: a crise ambiental global devida ao aquecimento do Sistema Terra, decorrente da queima de combustíveis fósseis pela ação humana, a qual se acelerou exponencialmente desde a Revolução Industrial. / [en] The present dissertation aims to analyse some of Gunther Anders ideas, extracted mainly from his most important book Die Antiquiertheit des Menschen (The Outdateness of Human Beings), referring them to those of other contemporary philosophers. Still very much unknown in the Brazilian academic world and mostly unpublished in Brasil, Anders, in his effort to understand the perplexity and horror of those facing the possibility of the anihilation of humanity by humanity itself, which became evident after the nazist s extermination camps and the launching of the atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, in 1945, creates many philosophical concepts with important moral and political consequences. Concepts such as Endtime , Promethean discrepancy , apocalyptic blindness and delay are still up to date and relevant (although with some inescapable differences) when thinking of such an astounding and omnipresent problem as the global environmental crisis due to the heating of the Earth System caused by the human action of burning fossil fuels, which has exponentially increased since the Industrial Revolution.

Thesis (Ph.D. (Geography)) -- University of Limpopo, 2020 / Agriculture in South Africa, particularly in the summer rainfall areas, faces the challenge of optimal crop production in the face of climate change. Climate change scenarios for South Africa have been predicted to have a negative impact on agriculture particularly in the summer rainfall areas because of its dependence on climate variables. Within the context of the South African agricultural sector, it has become important to identify who and what is most vulnerable to impacts of climate change, so that support for adaptation can be targeted appropriately. The aim of this study was to assess the hazard of climate change in relation to the production of selected dryland crops, namely: sunflower, soybean, and groundnut in the summer rainfall areas and to model their vulnerability and response to climate change as well as to develop coping and adaptation strategies. A survey of 800 farmers was carried out in three agro-ecological zones of Limpopo and Free State. The population was purposively selected and were present for focus group discussions and questionnaire administration. Questions on agronomic practices, cost of production, climate change impact on productivity, coping and adaptation methods used in the face of climate change were asked. The response showed that farm production was not at the optimum, not only because of the influence of climate but as a result of the poor agronomic practices by the farmers. Following a factor analysis, 70% of the decline in crop yield was attributed to poor farming decisions. A further look at climatic factors affecting farmers indicated that frost with a 0.989 loading was the most climate extreme affecting most of the farmers. In order to buffer the effects of climate change, the farmers undertook various changes in their farm management and also received some support from the various governmental and non-governmental institutions. It was however, found that though there were policies in place for farmer support, such supports were not administered in a timely fashion and some support types were not adequate for the farmers. A correlation between the number of supports received and yields showed an increase in yield for farmers who received more than one type of support and with such variations evident across the agroecological zones. Physical modelling was conducted to model crop suitability based on downscaled data from the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A2, (SRES A2) for the time periods centred on 2020, 2050 and 2080. The results showed areas which were not suitable for either soybean, sunflower or groundnut production in the future over time with some areas gaining and losing under different farm input regimes. To establish the effects of climate change on yield, a field experiment was carried out for two consecutive seasons and the results obtained were used to feed the AquaCrop crop simulation model to model the effects of climate change on yield under different management conditions.The results obtained from the survey, field experiments and climate indices guided the development of vulnerability indicators in a spatial manner. Using the socioeconomic and biophysical results, the vulnerability of the summer rainfall area was calculated. The results showed that areas in Limpopo, North West, Eastern Cape, and Northern Cape were the most vulnerable. Based on the types of adaptation options employed by farmers which included a change in planting dates, employing support from institutions, other sources of income, farming practices and recommendations for future adaptation, various scenarios were run in a crop simulation model to determine the cropping regimes suitable for the study area. Options included technology, on-farm management, out of farm management, human and social factors. The results indicated that coping and adaptation measures are place specific and the effects of a climate extreme are felt differently by different farming communities and farmers in the same community. It is hence recommended that the government in its policies towards alleviating the risk of farmers to climate change should look at site-specific options and not a one model fits all. Farmers should also play a role in enhancing their adaptive capacity as well. It is only when barriers are bridged and a proper network of communication established alongside resource provision, will there be a change in farmer’s attitude toward implementing suggested adaptation options. / University of Limpopo VLIR-IUC

[pt] A presente dissertação tem como objeto o estudo sobre a contribuição do plano de contingência para minimizar os impactos e vulnerabilidades nos desastres causados por chuvas intensas. O objetivo deste estudo é contribuir para a compreensão dos mecanismos e instrumentos utilizados para o enfrentamento de desastres nas fases de preparação e resposta de emergência relativo a eventos de chuvas intensas. Para tanto foram analisados os planos de contingência do município de Petrópolis/RJ para chuvas intensas, referentes aos períodos de 2021/2022 e 2022/2023 (PLANCON). As principais conclusões indicam que, no período observado, foi necessária a incorporação e o amadurecimento da gestão de riscos de desastres (GRD), considerando a necessidade de orientação no que se refere a ações para resposta a emergências e para tomada de decisão frente a ocorrência de um evento extremo. Em síntese, os resultados demostram que os planos de contingência são ferramentas primordiais frente aos desastres em busca da resiliência. Ao final, apresentam-se conclusões e sugestões que têm em vista acelerar e ampliar a realização de ações mais assertivas na resposta a eventos de chuvas intensas. / [en] This dissertation aims to study the contribution of the contingency plan to minimize the impacts and vulnerabilities in disasters caused by heavy rains. The objective of this study is to contribute to the understanding of the mechanisms and instruments used to address disasters during the emergency preparation and response phases, particularly related to heavy rainfall events. Therefore, the contingency plans of Petrópolis/RJ municipality for heavy rains, referring to the periods of 2021/2022 and 2022/2023 (PLANCON), were analyzed. The main conclusionsindicate that during the observed period, it was necessary to incorporate and mature disaster risk management (DRM), considering the need for guidance regarding emergency response actions and decision-making in the face of an extreme event. In summary, the results demonstrate that contingency plans are essential tools in managing disasters and seeking resilience. Finally, conclusions and suggestions are presented with the aim of accelerating and expanding the implementation of more assertive actions in response to heavy rainfall events.

[pt] A integração e computação de co-benefícios da preservação de ecossistemas florestais é pré-condição para o sucesso, eficiência e sustentabilidade de longo prazo de iniciativas de REDD+. Inclusive para atingir reduções de emissões em larga escala e de forma permanente, é fundamental que as iniciativas de REDD+ promovam uma ampla gama de benefícios sociais, ambientais e de governança. Com base em uma concepção holística de integridade ambiental, o presente trabalho deseja oferecer contribuições sobre a definição de co-benefícios, sua tipificação e potenciais indicadores que podem ser utilizados para integrá-los e contabilizá-los na operacionalização de iniciativas de REDD+. / [en] The integration and accounting of co-benefits of forest ecosystem preservation is a precondition for the long-term success, efficiency, and sustainability of REDD + initiatives. Even to achieve large-scale and permanent reductions of emissions, it is critical that REDD+ initiatives promote a broad range of social, environmental and governance benefits. Based on a holistic conception of environmental integrity, the present paper offers contributions on the definition of co-benefits, their typification and potential indicators that can be used for their integration and accounting in the operationalization of REDD + initiatives.

The climate changes have arguably been one of the main concerns during the last centuries.The largest contribution of the climate change derives from humanly created greenhouse gases.One third of the greenhouse gas emissions in Sweden comes from domestic transportation.This has led the government to set a taxation on fuels to reduce the carbon dioxide emissionsfrom transportation. The Swedish government has set a target of reducing the CO2 fromdomestic transportation by 70% of 2010th level by 2030 as a part of the long run target of zeronet emissions by 2045.This thesis aims to develop the knowledge about the relation between fuel taxation and carbonemissions from domestic car traveling in Sweden. One previous study has been conductedcovering the same problem. The previous study analyzed older data which creates theopportunity for this thesis to give updated results about the issue. This analysis is based ontime-series data from Sweden between 1990-2019. Regression models will be estimated usingordinary least squares (OLS) estimates to find the coefficient values. The results indicate anegative relationship between fuel taxation and carbon emission from cars in Sweden with a99% confidence level. An increase by the fuel tax by 1 SEK/liter would save approximately600 kilotons CO2 from domestic car traveling on a year. The value of the CO2 saved by anincrease of fuel tax by 1 SEK would be approximately 4 178 062 000 SEK. However, the resultshould not be interpreted as a recommendation for a policy. A more comprehensive analysisabout the effects of fuel taxation is needed to make decisions about whether the policy shouldbe implemented. The extended analysis should account for more ecological effects but also,economic, cultural, and social effects of the fuel tax. / Klimatkrisen är onekligen ett av de oftast debatterade problemen i modern tid. Klimatetsförändringar hotar flera arters överlevnadsmöjligheter, inte minst människan. Utsläpp avväxthusgaser är i dagsläget den största orsaken till de pågående klimatförändringarna. AvSveriges växthusgasutsläpp kommer en tredjedel från inrikestransporter. För att reduceraväxthusgaserna från inrikestransporter skattesätter staten drivmedel. Staten har en målsättningom att CO2 utsläppen från inrikestransporter ska minska med 70% av 2010 års nivå till år 2030.Detta är ett etappmål för att nå det långsiktiga målet om obefintliga nettoutsläpp avväxthusgaser år 2045.Denna studie avser att undersöka sambandet mellan drivmedelsskatten och koldioxidutsläppfrån inrikes biltransporter i Sverige. Liknande studier har genomförts tidigare, men då dessastudier analyserat äldre data kan denna studie ge en mer uppdaterad bild av problemet.Analysen bygger på tidsseriedata från Sverige mellan 1990–2019. Regressionsmodellerkommer att skattas med minsta kvadratmetoden (OLS) för att finna drivmedelsskattenssamband med koldioxidutsläppen från inrikes biltransporter. Resultatet visar att det finns ensignifikant negativ relation mellan drivmedelsskatten och koldioxidutsläpp från bilar i Sverigepå 99% konfidensnivå. En ökning av drivmedelsskatten med 1 krona per liter leder till enminskning av CO2 utsläpp från bilar med cirka 600 kiloton under ett år. Denna minskningmotsvarar ett värde av cirka 4 178 062 000 SEK. Resultatet bör dock inte tolkas som enrekommendation angående drivmedelsskatt. Vid beslutsfattande kring drivmedelsskatten bören mer omfattande analys genomföras. Den mer omfattande analysen bör innehålla flerekologiska effekter, men även ekonomiska, kulturella och sociala effekter avdrivmedelsskatten.