Objectif : Les traitements répétés des lésions précancéreuses du col utérin (HSIL), nécessaires en cas d’échecs de traitement, sont associés à des issues obstétriques négatives, telle qu’une augmentation de la mortalité néonatale. Nous avons investigué l’association entre un grand nombre de facteurs de risque potentiels pour l’échec de traitement des HSIL dans le but d’identifier des prédicteurs potentiellement modifiables de l’échec de traitement. Méthodes : La population source était constituée de 1 548 femmes canadiennes qui ont subi un premier traitement pour HSIL. L’échec de traitement a été défini comme étant un diagnostic histologique de HSIL ou cancer au cours des deux années suivant le traitement. Nous avons mené une étude cas-témoins nichée incluant les 101 cas d’échec de traitement ainsi que les témoins appariés 1 :1 par centre de traitement et par date d’échec. Nous avons calculé des rapports de cotes (OR) et intervalles de confiance (CI) à 95% à l’aide de régressions logistiques conditionnelles, pour les associations entre l’échec de traitement et l’âge, le nombre d’accouchements, le statut tabagique, le nombre de partenaires sexuels, l’utilisation du condom, la méthode de contraception, les marges, le nombre de passages, le diagnostic sur le spécimen de traitement, le génotype du VPH, et le nombre de types. Nous avons aussi estimé l’association entre la charge virale et les variants du VPH16 et du VPH18 et l’échec de traitement. Résultats : Les marges positives vs négatives (OR ajusté=4.05, 95% CI 1.57-10.48), la positivité pour le VPH16/18 vs autres types (OR ajusté=2.69, 95% CI 1.32-5.49), et avoir un variant similaire au prototype du VPH16 vs le prototype (OR ajusté=2.49, 95% CI 1.07-5.83) étaient des prédicteurs de l’échec de traitement des HSIL. Être plus âgé, avoir des lésions plus sévères, avoir une infection monotype, et avoir une variation à la position 7521 chez celles avec le VPH16 pourraient augmenter le risque d’échec de traitement, mais les associations n’étaient pas statistiquement significatives. Les estimations pour les autres facteurs étaient proches de la valeur nulle. Nous n’avons pas observé de modification d’effet du génotype sur le risque de l’échec de traitement par le tabagisme, ni par les marges. Conclusion : Seules les marges positives, la positivité pour le VPH16/18 et avoir un variant similaire au prototype étaient des prédicteurs d’un échec de traitement au cours des deux années suivant le traitement. Malgré l’aspect non-modifiable des prédicteurs identifiés, ils sont informatifs et pourront éclairer la prise en charge et le suivi clinique. / Objective: Repeated treatments for high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL), which are necessary in the case of treatment failure, are associated with negative obstetric outcomes, such as an increased risk of neonatal death. We investigated the association between a large number of potential risk factors and HSIL treatment failure in an effort to identify potentially modifiable predictors of treatment failure. Methods: The source population included 1,548 Canadian women who received a first treatment for HSIL. Treatment failure was defined as the histological diagnosis of HSIL or cancer within the two years following treatment. We conducted a nested case-control study that included all 101 cases of treatment failure and controls that were matched 1:1 on treatment center and date of failure. We used conditional logistic regression to calculate the odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) between treatment failure and age, parity, smoking status, number of sexual partners, condom use, method of contraception, margins, number of passes, diagnosis on the treatment specimen, HPV genotype and number of types. We also estimated the association between HPV16 and HPV18 viral loads and variants and HSIL treatment failure. Results: Having positive vs. negative margins (adjusted OR=4.05, 95% CI 1.57-10.48), being positive for HPV16 and/or HPV18 vs. any other type (adjusted OR=2.69, 95% CI 1.32-5.49), and having a prototype-like variant of HPV16 vs. the prototype (adjusted OR=2.49, 95% CI 1.07-5.83) were predictors of HSIL treatment failure. Older age, more severe lesions, single-type infections and a variation at the 7521 position of the HPV16 genetic sequence may lead to a higher risk of treatment failure but were not statistically significant. Estimates for all other factors were near the null value. The effect of genotype on the risk of treatment failure was not modified by smoking status, nor by margin status. Conclusion: Only positive margins, HPV16/18 positivity, and having a prototype-like variant of HPV16 were predictors for HSIL treatment failure within two years of treatment. Despite being non-modifiable, the identified predictors are clinically significant in regards to management and follow-up of patients.

OBJETIVO: O objetivo deste estudo foi analisar a concordância entre o esfregaço anal e a biópsia guiada por anuscopia de alta resolução no diagnóstico da displasia anal em pacientes infectados pelo HIV. MÉTODO: Conduzimos uma análise transversal de pacientes infectados pelo HIV submetidos a rastreamento de displasia anal rotineiro. A concordância entre mensurações foi estimada por índice de kappa ponderado através de sistema de avaliação citológica e histológica de três categorias (normal, displasia de baixo grau, e displasia de alto grau). Estimativas de sensibilidade, especificidade e valores preditivos foram calculados através de sistema de avaliação citológica e histológica de duas categorias (ausência de displasia e displasia de qualquer grau). Estimativas foram calculadas também para a detecção de displasia de alto grau. RESULTADOS: No decorrer de um ano, 222 pacientes foram submetidos a 330 esfregaços anais seguidos de biópsias guiadas por anuscopia de alta resolução. Trezentos e onze (311) esfregaços com biópsias concomitantes foram satisfatórios. Considerando-se a histologia como padrão, a freqüência de displasia anal foi de 46%. O índice kappa ponderado para concordância entre o esfregaço anal e a biópsia foi de 0,20. Para detecção de displasia anal de qualquer grau, o esfregaço anal demonstrou sensibilidade de 61%, especificidade de 60%, valor preditivo positivo de 56% e valor preditivo negativo de 64%. Para displasia de alto grau, o esfregaço anal demonstrou sensibilidade de 16% e especificidade de 97%. CONCLUSÃO: Os resultados obtidos no presente estudo, em que comparamos os achados da citologia dos esfregaços com os achados histológicos das biópsias dirigidas pela anuscopia de alta resolução em pacientes infectados pelo HIV permitiram concluir que houve baixa concordância entre eles / Purpose: To analyze the agreement between anal Pap smear and high resolution anoscopy guided biopsy to diagnose anal dysplasia in HIV-infected patients. Methods: Cross sectional analysis of HIV-infected patients receiving anal dysplasia screening as part of routine care. Agreement between measures was estimated by weighted kappa-statistics, using 3-tiered cytologic and histologic grading system (normal, low grade dysplasia, and high grade dysplasia). Estimates of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were calculated using a 2-tiered cytologic and histologic grading system (without dysplasia, and with dysplasia of any grade). Estimates were also calculated for the detection of high grade dysplasia. Results: Two hundred and twenty-two patients underwent 330 anal Pap smears followed by high resolution anoscopy guided biopsies in one year period. There were 311 satisfactory Pap smears with concurrent biopsy. Considering histology the standard, the frequency of anal dysplasia was 46 percent (95 percent confidence interval: 40-51 percent). Kappa-agreement between anal Pap smear and biopsy was 0.20 (95 percent confidence interval: 0.10 0.29). Anal Pap smear showed sensitivity of 61 percent, specificity of 60 percent, positive predictive value of 56 percent, and negative predictive value of 64 percent for detection of anal dysplasia of any grade. For high grade dysplasia, anal Pap smear showed sensitivity of 16 percent, and specificity of 97 percent. Conclusion: The present study showed a low concordance between anal Pap smears and high resolution anoscopy-guided biopsy

OBJETIVO: O objetivo deste estudo foi analisar a concordância entre o esfregaço anal e a biópsia guiada por anuscopia de alta resolução no diagnóstico da displasia anal em pacientes infectados pelo HIV. MÉTODO: Conduzimos uma análise transversal de pacientes infectados pelo HIV submetidos a rastreamento de displasia anal rotineiro. A concordância entre mensurações foi estimada por índice de kappa ponderado através de sistema de avaliação citológica e histológica de três categorias (normal, displasia de baixo grau, e displasia de alto grau). Estimativas de sensibilidade, especificidade e valores preditivos foram calculados através de sistema de avaliação citológica e histológica de duas categorias (ausência de displasia e displasia de qualquer grau). Estimativas foram calculadas também para a detecção de displasia de alto grau. RESULTADOS: No decorrer de um ano, 222 pacientes foram submetidos a 330 esfregaços anais seguidos de biópsias guiadas por anuscopia de alta resolução. Trezentos e onze (311) esfregaços com biópsias concomitantes foram satisfatórios. Considerando-se a histologia como padrão, a freqüência de displasia anal foi de 46%. O índice kappa ponderado para concordância entre o esfregaço anal e a biópsia foi de 0,20. Para detecção de displasia anal de qualquer grau, o esfregaço anal demonstrou sensibilidade de 61%, especificidade de 60%, valor preditivo positivo de 56% e valor preditivo negativo de 64%. Para displasia de alto grau, o esfregaço anal demonstrou sensibilidade de 16% e especificidade de 97%. CONCLUSÃO: Os resultados obtidos no presente estudo, em que comparamos os achados da citologia dos esfregaços com os achados histológicos das biópsias dirigidas pela anuscopia de alta resolução em pacientes infectados pelo HIV permitiram concluir que houve baixa concordância entre eles / Purpose: To analyze the agreement between anal Pap smear and high resolution anoscopy guided biopsy to diagnose anal dysplasia in HIV-infected patients. Methods: Cross sectional analysis of HIV-infected patients receiving anal dysplasia screening as part of routine care. Agreement between measures was estimated by weighted kappa-statistics, using 3-tiered cytologic and histologic grading system (normal, low grade dysplasia, and high grade dysplasia). Estimates of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were calculated using a 2-tiered cytologic and histologic grading system (without dysplasia, and with dysplasia of any grade). Estimates were also calculated for the detection of high grade dysplasia. Results: Two hundred and twenty-two patients underwent 330 anal Pap smears followed by high resolution anoscopy guided biopsies in one year period. There were 311 satisfactory Pap smears with concurrent biopsy. Considering histology the standard, the frequency of anal dysplasia was 46 percent (95 percent confidence interval: 40-51 percent). Kappa-agreement between anal Pap smear and biopsy was 0.20 (95 percent confidence interval: 0.10 0.29). Anal Pap smear showed sensitivity of 61 percent, specificity of 60 percent, positive predictive value of 56 percent, and negative predictive value of 64 percent for detection of anal dysplasia of any grade. For high grade dysplasia, anal Pap smear showed sensitivity of 16 percent, and specificity of 97 percent. Conclusion: The present study showed a low concordance between anal Pap smears and high resolution anoscopy-guided biopsy