This dissertation investigates the effects of autocorrelation on the performances of various sampling plans for control charts in detecting special causes that may produce sustained or transient shifts in the process mean and/or variance. Observations from the process are modeled as a first-order autoregressive process plus a random error. Combinations of two Shewhart control charts and combinations of two exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts based on both the original observations and on the process residuals are considered. Three types of sampling plans are investigated: samples of n = 1, samples of n > 1 observations taken together at one sampling point, or samples of n > 1 observations taken at different times. In comparing these sampling plans it is assumed that the sampling rate in terms of the number of observations per unit time is fixed, so taking samples of n = 1 allows more frequent plotting. The best overall performance of sampling plans for control charts in detecting both sustained and transient shifts in the process is obtained by taking samples of n = 1 and using an EWMA chart combination with a observations chart for mean and a residuals chart for variance. The Shewhart chart combination with the best overall performance, though inferior to the EWMA chart combination, is based on samples of n > 1 taken at different times and with a observations chart for mean and a residuals chart for variance. / Ph. D.

No description available.

Ce manuscrit se concentre sur l’étude de la dynamique de drainage de gouttes d’eau dans une phase continue d’huile de paraffine. Les gouttes sont de taille millimétrique, déformables et évoluent dans un domaine de simulation carré de 1 cm de coté. La simulation du comportement de tels systèmes pose le problème général de la description numérique des écoulements multiphasiques non stationnaires. Un modèle simplifié dans une géométrie à deux dimensions est proposé et simulé en volumes finis. Il inclut les propriétés physico-chimiques des interfaces et notamment les phénomènes de coalescence et l’évolution d’un tensioactif soluble dans les gouttes. L’effet des conditions aux limites sur le drainage d’une unique goutte est étudié. Le rôle de la coalescence sur ce drainage est également décrit pour un modèle de deux gouttes. Quelques simulations sont enfin proposées avec des systèmes dispersés plus complexes. / This manuscript focuses on the description of the settling dynamics of water droplets in a continuous phase of paraffin oil. Droplets are of millimetre size, deformable and evolve in a square simulation domain of 1 cm side. The simulations of the behaviour of such systems raise the general problem of the numerical description of the flows occurring in multiphase unsteady systems. A simplified model in a two dimensional geometry is used and integrated with a finite volume numerical technique. It includes the interfacial mechanical and chemical properties and in particular the coalescence phenomena and the evolution of a water soluble surfactant. The effect of the boundary conditions on the drainage of a unique droplet is studied. The role of drop-drop coalescence on this drainage is also described for a model with two droplets. Some simulations are finally proposed with more complex dispersed systems.

La problématique de l’homogénéité de traitement mécanique et thermique d’un lit particulaire bi-disperse en tailles ou en densités dans un tambour tournant horizontal a été abordée. Dans la première partie, le mélange des billes sphériques millimétriques dans un tambour de type ‘tranche’ a été observé expérimentalement à l’aide des maquettes originales et simulé numériquement à l’aide d’un code commercial de type DEM. En ajustant le coefficient de frottement entre les billes, un accord satisfaisant a été obtenu entre les résultats des simulations et des expériences. Le lit a été globalement caractérisé par l’indice de ségrégation radial, la répartition des billes dans la couche frontale et l’angle de talus dynamique. Des phénomènes importants de ségrégation radiale et axiale ont été mis en évidence. Une réduction très significative de l’indice de ségrégation radiale a été obtenue dans le cas des ailettes multiples et longues par rapport au cas avec peu d’ailettes courtes ou pas d’ailettes. Dans la deuxième partie, le chauffage des billes par contact avec la paroi périphérique du tambour a été simulé par la méthode DEM. Des lits mono-disperse, bi-disperse (comme dans la partie 1), et à dispersion gaussienne ont été considérés. Les indices de ségrégation mécanique et thermique ont été comparés pour les différents types de lits et différentes configurations d’ailettes. L’intensité de la ségrégation thermique a été renforcée, dans l’ensemble, par la ségrégation mécanique et a été la plus forte pour le lit bi-disperses en densités. L’augmentation de la hauteur et du nombre des ailettes a considérablement amélioré l’homogénéité thermique du lit et la vitesse globale de chauffage / Product homogeneity issue during mechanical and thermal processing of a bi-dispersed bed with two particles’ sizes or two particles’ densities in a horizontal rotary drum was considered. In the first part, the mixing of milli-metric size spherical beads in a two-dimensional drum was simulated by means of a commercial discrete element software and optically observed in a specially designed laboratory scale device. The spatial distribution of the particles in the front bed section, the radial mechanical segregation index and the dynamic slope angle were analyzed. After adjusting the friction coefficient, the simulation results were close to the experimental ones. Important phenomena of radial and axial segregation have been highlighted. The radial segregation index was found to be significantly decreased by applying an important number of long baffles, while using few short baffles had practically no influence on segregation intensity. In the second part, the heating of the bed of spherical beads in a 2D drum with hot peripheral wall was simulated by means of the discrete element software. Mono-dispersed, gaussian-dispersed and bi-dispersed beds (same as in part 1) were considered. The mechanical segregation and the thermal segregation indexes were calculated for the different types of bed and for different baffles configurations. The thermal segregation was found to be generally enhanced by the mechanical segregation and reached its highest values for the bi-density bed. Increasing the number and the length of the baffles considerably improved the overall heating rate and the thermal homogeneity of the considered beds

Pela necessidade de reverter o atual quadro de degradação da Mata Atlântica, ações de restauração se fazem urgentes e devem ser pensadas a fim de restabelecer a biodiversidade nessas áreas, envolvendo as diversas formas de vida vegetal, animal e suas interações. O restabelecimento da relação planta-frugívoro e consequente dispersão de sementes certamente são essenciais não só para a conservação de uma floresta existente, mas também na aceleração do processo de restauração florestal. Portanto, a atração dos agentes dispersores de sementes deve fazer parte dos esforços empregados em ações restauradoras. Uma forma de avaliar a contribuição destes animais em áreas restauradas é através do estudo da chuva de sementes, mais especificamente aquela que é resultado dos eventos de dispersão pela fauna (zoocoria). Este estudo buscou caracterizar e comparar a composição da chuva de sementes zoocóricas em uma área em processo de restauração florestal na Mata Atlântica, submetidas a duas técnicas de manejo distintas, uma por meio de plantio de restauração em área total e outra, através da indução e condução da regeneração natural, originando uma área de capoeira. Ainda, utilizando a ferramenta de seleção de modelos pelo critério de Akaike, foram avaliadas se variáveis de estrutura e composição da vegetação arbustivo-arbórea influenciaram a riqueza e abundância da chuva de sementes zoocóricas total e imigrantes. O estudo foi conduzido em uma área em processo de restauração florestal, com seis anos de idade, que abrange 28,86 ha da Fazenda Intermontes (24°11\'17\" S, 42°24\'49\" O; 24°12\'47\" S, 42° 26\'15\" O), próximo ao município de Ribeirão Grande, SP. Propágulos depositados nos coletores foram retirados mensalmente pelo período de 1 ano. Utilizou-se um total de 100 coletores de sementes, de 1 m x 1 m. Para a caracterização da vegetação presente, foi realizado um levantamento dos indivíduos arbustivo-arbóreos, num raio de 5 metros no entorno de cada coletor de semente. Os resultados mostraram que a composição da comunidade da chuva de sementes zoocóricas diferiu entre os ambientes de capoeira e plantio, porém a riqueza e abundância médias das sementes não diferiram significativamente entre os ambientes. Apesar da composição da comunidade ter sido diferente, as categorias funcionais das sementes presentes na chuva, em ambas as áreas, foram semelhantes entre si. Avaliando se houve influência de variáveis relacionadas à estrutura e composição da vegetação arbustivo-arbórea na chuva de sementes zoocóricas, os modelos gerados e selecionados indicaram que as variáveis estudadas não influenciaram a riqueza e abundância da chuva de sementes zoocóricas total e imigrantes. O estudo concluiu também que o processo de chegada de propágulos alóctones a área já se iniciou, demonstrando um grande potencial de incremento de novas espécies, pertencentes a outras formas de vida e a diferentes funções ecológicas. Isto possibilita a aceleração do processo de restauração florestal, aumento da complexidade estrutural da vegetação e uma contribuição para a heterogeneidade da floresta implantada, fator este importante para o processo de retorno e incremento da fauna dispersora. / The need to reverse the current degradation of the Atlantic Forest requires urgent restoration actions aimed at reestablishing biodiversity in these areas, involving various plant and animal life forms and their interactions. The reestablishment of plant-frugivore interactions and subsequent seed dispersal are essential not only for the conservation of an existing forest, but also for the acceleration of forest restoration processes. Therefore, seed dispersal agents should be employed in restoration actions. One way to assess animals\' contribution in seed dispersion is through the study of seed rain, more specifically through results of dispersal events by fauna (zoochory). This study aimed to characterize and compare the composition of animal-dispersed seed rain in an area of the Atlantic Forest undergoing a restoration process using two different management techniques. One area comprised of tree planting and another comprising a \"capoeira\" through assisted natural regeneration. We also used an Akaike information criterion of model selection tool to evaluate whether structure and composition variables of arbustive-arboreal vegetation influenced the richness and abundance of total and immigrant animal-dispersed seed rain. The study was conducted in an area undergoing a forest restoration process with six years of age, covering 28.86 ha of the Intermontes Farm (24°11\'17\"S, 42°24\'49\"W; 24°12\'47\"S, 42°26\'15\"W), near Ribeirão Grande city, São Paulo State, Brazil. Propagules deposited in traps were removed monthly for a period of one year. We used 100 seed collectors 1 m x 1 m. To characterize the vegetation in the region, we surveyed the arbustive-arboreal species in a 5-meter radius around each seed collector. The results showed that the community composition of the animal-dispersed seed rain differed between tree planting and \"capoeira\" environments; however, the richness and abundance averages of seeds did not differ significantly between the environments. Although the community composition was different, functional categories of seeds in the rain in both areas were similar. Assessing whether there was influence of variables related to structure and composition of arbustive-arboreal species on animal-dispersed seed rain, generated and selected models indicated that these variables did not influence the richness and abundance of total and immigrant animal-dispersed seed rain. The results also showed the presence of alien propagules in the region, demonstrating great potential for the growth of new species belonging to other life forms with different ecological functions. This allows the acceleration of forest restoration processes, increased structural complexity of vegetation and contribution to heterogeneity of deployed forest, which is important for the return and increase of animal dispersers.

O interesse em escoamento bifásico líquido-líquido aumentou recentemente, em especial devido às grandes perdas de energia envolvidas no transporte de petróleo, onde comumente uma mistura bifásica óleo-água é deslocada ao longo de grandes distancias. Embora este tipo de escoamento seja comum na indústria, não existem tantos trabalhos na literatura quanto os relacionados ao escoamento gás-líquido. Alguns estudos sobre escoamentos óleo-água reportam uma redução de atrito em dispersões e emulsões em regime turbulento sem adição de qualquer tipo de substancia química, mas a física por trás do fenômeno ainda não é bem compreendida. Neste trabalho, foi estudado o padrão de escoamento disperso óleo-água em tubulação horizontal, visando a obtenção de novos dados experimentais e um melhor entendimento do fenômeno de redução de atrito. Uma série de parâmetros considerados importantes para a caracterização do escoamento foi investigada: queda de pressão, fração volumétrica e sub-padrões de escoamento disperso. Apresentam-se dados de distribuição das fases e fração volumétrica in situ, obtidos através de um moderno sensor intrusivo, do tipo wire-mesh, baseado em medidas de capacitância (permissividade). Câmera de alta velocidade e técnica das válvulas de fechamento rápido foram utilizadas para validar os sinais do sensor. Um modelo prospectivo simplificado foi desenvolvido como uma tentativa de explicar a ocorrência do fenômeno de redução de atrito no padrão disperso óleo-água estudado. O modelo sugere que a presença de uma fina película de água rente a parede hidrofílica/oleofóbica do tubo poderia explicar a diminuição no gradiente de pressão bifásico observada. / The interest in two-phase liquid-liquid flow has increased recently mainly due to the petroleum industry where oil and water are often produced and transported together for long distances and the significant frictional pressure gradient involved. Liquid-liquid flows are present in a wide range of industrial processes; however, they have not been studied as intensively as gas-liquid flows. Drag reduction phenomenon in oil-water flows without the addition of any drag reduction agent has been detected in previous works, but the physics behind the phenomenon is yet not well understood. The aim of the research was to study the dispersed oil-water flow pattern in a horizontal pipe in order to better understand the phenomenon and the obtaining of new experimental data of oil-water dispersed flows. Important issues related to oil-water pipe flow were investigated: pressure drop, volume fraction and flow patterns. Phase distribution and holdup data were obtained by a new wire-mesh sensor based on capacitance (permittivity) measurements. A high-speed video camera and the Quick-Closing-Valves technique were used to compare and validate the signals of the wire-mesh sensor. A simplified mathematical model was proposed to explain the drag reduction phenomenon in the oil-water dispersed flow studied. The model suggests that the presence of a thin water film between the homogenously dispersed flow and the pipe wall could explain the observed decreases of the two-phase pressure gradient.

Pela necessidade de reverter o atual quadro de degradação da Mata Atlântica, ações de restauração se fazem urgentes e devem ser pensadas a fim de restabelecer a biodiversidade nessas áreas, envolvendo as diversas formas de vida vegetal, animal e suas interações. O restabelecimento da relação planta-frugívoro e consequente dispersão de sementes certamente são essenciais não só para a conservação de uma floresta existente, mas também na aceleração do processo de restauração florestal. Portanto, a atração dos agentes dispersores de sementes deve fazer parte dos esforços empregados em ações restauradoras. Uma forma de avaliar a contribuição destes animais em áreas restauradas é através do estudo da chuva de sementes, mais especificamente aquela que é resultado dos eventos de dispersão pela fauna (zoocoria). Este estudo buscou caracterizar e comparar a composição da chuva de sementes zoocóricas em uma área em processo de restauração florestal na Mata Atlântica, submetidas a duas técnicas de manejo distintas, uma por meio de plantio de restauração em área total e outra, através da indução e condução da regeneração natural, originando uma área de capoeira. Ainda, utilizando a ferramenta de seleção de modelos pelo critério de Akaike, foram avaliadas se variáveis de estrutura e composição da vegetação arbustivo-arbórea influenciaram a riqueza e abundância da chuva de sementes zoocóricas total e imigrantes. O estudo foi conduzido em uma área em processo de restauração florestal, com seis anos de idade, que abrange 28,86 ha da Fazenda Intermontes (24°11\'17\" S, 42°24\'49\" O; 24°12\'47\" S, 42° 26\'15\" O), próximo ao município de Ribeirão Grande, SP. Propágulos depositados nos coletores foram retirados mensalmente pelo período de 1 ano. Utilizou-se um total de 100 coletores de sementes, de 1 m x 1 m. Para a caracterização da vegetação presente, foi realizado um levantamento dos indivíduos arbustivo-arbóreos, num raio de 5 metros no entorno de cada coletor de semente. Os resultados mostraram que a composição da comunidade da chuva de sementes zoocóricas diferiu entre os ambientes de capoeira e plantio, porém a riqueza e abundância médias das sementes não diferiram significativamente entre os ambientes. Apesar da composição da comunidade ter sido diferente, as categorias funcionais das sementes presentes na chuva, em ambas as áreas, foram semelhantes entre si. Avaliando se houve influência de variáveis relacionadas à estrutura e composição da vegetação arbustivo-arbórea na chuva de sementes zoocóricas, os modelos gerados e selecionados indicaram que as variáveis estudadas não influenciaram a riqueza e abundância da chuva de sementes zoocóricas total e imigrantes. O estudo concluiu também que o processo de chegada de propágulos alóctones a área já se iniciou, demonstrando um grande potencial de incremento de novas espécies, pertencentes a outras formas de vida e a diferentes funções ecológicas. Isto possibilita a aceleração do processo de restauração florestal, aumento da complexidade estrutural da vegetação e uma contribuição para a heterogeneidade da floresta implantada, fator este importante para o processo de retorno e incremento da fauna dispersora. / The need to reverse the current degradation of the Atlantic Forest requires urgent restoration actions aimed at reestablishing biodiversity in these areas, involving various plant and animal life forms and their interactions. The reestablishment of plant-frugivore interactions and subsequent seed dispersal are essential not only for the conservation of an existing forest, but also for the acceleration of forest restoration processes. Therefore, seed dispersal agents should be employed in restoration actions. One way to assess animals\' contribution in seed dispersion is through the study of seed rain, more specifically through results of dispersal events by fauna (zoochory). This study aimed to characterize and compare the composition of animal-dispersed seed rain in an area of the Atlantic Forest undergoing a restoration process using two different management techniques. One area comprised of tree planting and another comprising a \"capoeira\" through assisted natural regeneration. We also used an Akaike information criterion of model selection tool to evaluate whether structure and composition variables of arbustive-arboreal vegetation influenced the richness and abundance of total and immigrant animal-dispersed seed rain. The study was conducted in an area undergoing a forest restoration process with six years of age, covering 28.86 ha of the Intermontes Farm (24°11\'17\"S, 42°24\'49\"W; 24°12\'47\"S, 42°26\'15\"W), near Ribeirão Grande city, São Paulo State, Brazil. Propagules deposited in traps were removed monthly for a period of one year. We used 100 seed collectors 1 m x 1 m. To characterize the vegetation in the region, we surveyed the arbustive-arboreal species in a 5-meter radius around each seed collector. The results showed that the community composition of the animal-dispersed seed rain differed between tree planting and \"capoeira\" environments; however, the richness and abundance averages of seeds did not differ significantly between the environments. Although the community composition was different, functional categories of seeds in the rain in both areas were similar. Assessing whether there was influence of variables related to structure and composition of arbustive-arboreal species on animal-dispersed seed rain, generated and selected models indicated that these variables did not influence the richness and abundance of total and immigrant animal-dispersed seed rain. The results also showed the presence of alien propagules in the region, demonstrating great potential for the growth of new species belonging to other life forms with different ecological functions. This allows the acceleration of forest restoration processes, increased structural complexity of vegetation and contribution to heterogeneity of deployed forest, which is important for the return and increase of animal dispersers.

The explosion of information and information technology has led many firms to evolve a dispersed product development process with people and organizations spread throughout the world. To coordinate such dispersed processes managers attempt to establish a culture that implicitly rewards product development teams based on their ability to perform against a set of strategic metrics such as customer satisfaction, time to market, defect reduction, or platform reuse. Many papers have focused on selecting the right metrics and establishing the culture. In this paper we focus on a practical method to fine-tune a firm's relative emphasis on the metrics that they have chosen. In particular, we seek to advise a firm whether to increase or decrease their emphasis on each metric such that the change in emphasis improves profits. Using a thermostat analogy we apply an adaptive control feedback mechanism in which we estimate the incremental improvements in priorities that will increase profits. Iterations of adaptive control seek to maximize profits even if the environment is changing. We demonstrate the metric thermostat’s use in an application to a firm with over $20 billion in revenue. In developing the metric thermostat we recognize that there are hundreds of detailed actions, such as the use of the house of quality and the use of robust design, among which the product development team must choose. We also recognize that they will act in their own best interests to choose the actions that maximize their own implicit rewards as determined by the metrics. Management need not observe or dictate these detailed actions, but rather control the process by establishing the culture that sets the implicit weights on the metrics. The thermostat works by changing those implicit weights. We define the problem, introduce the adaptive control mechanism, modify “agency” theory to deal with incremental changes about an operating point, and derive methods that are practical and robust in light of the data that firms have available. Our methods include statistical estimation and internal surveys. The mathematics identify the critical few parameters that need be determined and highlight how to estimate them. Both the measures and the estimation are illustrated in our initial application to a large officeequipment firm. The metrics thermostat suggests that this firm has about the right emphasis on timeto- market, but has overshot on platform reuse and has lost its focus on customer satisfaction. We describe how the firm reacted to the recommendations and changed its organization. We describe additional ongoing applications with the US Air Force, the US Navy, and a major automobile and truck manufacturer. / This research was funded by the Center for Innovation in Product Development (CIPD) and the International Center for Research on the Management of Technology (ICRMOT), M.I.T.

The main goal of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of two biological control agents in reducing population growth and spread of the invasive tree Melaleuca quinquenervia, a subtropical tree native to Australia, and invasive in Florida, Puerto Rico, and the Bahamas. While in Florida two insects Oxyops vitiosa (weevil), and Boreioglycaspis melaleucae (psyllid) have been established as biocontrol agents, in Puerto Rico only psyllids are present, and in the Bahamas no biocontrol agents are present. This study combined demographic data, experiments and mathematical models to investigate the influence of the biocontrol agents on M. quinquenervia's spatial population dynamics. In the field, permanent plots were established and demographic data was collected in populations in the native and exotic ranges. Australian populations are comprised mostly of tall adult trees, while in the exotic ranges populations are comprised mostly of short trees (<1.3m in height), and small adult trees. In a shade-house, I performed an experiment to investigate the effects of insect type and density on survival and growth of M. quinquenervia seedlings. I found that high density of insects, independently or in combination, reduce seedling performance, thus having the potential to alter the seedling-short plant transition of the M. quinquenervia life cycle. Based on the demographic data, I developed integral projection models (IPMs) to determine population growth rates in each region. Populations in Australia and the Bahamas are increasing, while populations in Florida and Puerto Rico are decreasing. Population growth is most sensitive to the seedling-short plant transition in all regions, except Florida, where it is most sensitive to survival of tall plants. Simulations combining the results of the IMPs and experiment indicated the biocontrol damage results in reductions in population growth rate in Puerto Rico and the Bahamas. Seed dispersal and demographic data was combined to develop an integrodifference structured model of population spread. Simulations indicated that by reducing seedling performance, insects have the potential to reduce the rate of population spread. Overall this study shows that individual-level effects of biocontrol agents have translated into reductions in population growth rate and rate of spread of M. quinquenervia.

Current trends in electric power consumption indicate an increasing use of dc in end-user equipment, such as computers and other electronic appliances used in households and offices. With a dc power system, ac/dc conversion within these loads can be avoided, and losses reduced. AC/DC conversion is instead centralized, and by using efficient, fully controllable power-electronic interfaces, high power quality for both ac and dc systems during steady state and ac grid disturbances can be obtained. Connection of back-up energy storage and small-size generation is also easier to realize in a dc power system. To facilitate practical application, it is important that the shift from ac to dc can be implemented with minimal changes. Results from measurements carried out on common household appliances show that most loads are able to operate with dc supply without any modifications. Furthermore, simple, and yet sufficiently accurate, load models have been derived using the measurement results. The models have been used for further analysis of the dc system, both in steady state and during transients. AC microgrids have gained research interest during the last years. A microgrid is a part of power systems which can operate both connected to the ac grid, and autonomously in island mode when the loads are supplied from locally distributed resources. A low-voltage dc microgrid can be used to supply sensitive electronic loads, since it combines the advantages of using a dc supply for electronic loads, and using local generation to supply sensitive loads. An example of a commercial power system which can benefit from using a dc microgrid is data center. The lower losses due to fewer power conversion steps results in less heat which need to be cooled, and therefore the operation costs are lowered. To ensure reliable operation of a low-voltage dc microgrid, well-designed control and protection systems are needed. An adaptive controller is required to coordinate the different resources based on the load-generation balance in the microgrid, and status of the ac grid. The performance of the developed controller has been studied and evaluated through simulations. The results show that it is possible to extend use of the data center dc microgrid to also support a limited amount of ac loads close to the data center, for example an office building. A protection-system design for low-voltage dc microgrids has been proposed, and different protection devices and grounding methods have been presented. Moreover, different fault types and their impact on the system have been analyzed. The type of protection that can be used depends on the sensitivity of the components in the microgrid. Detection methods for different components have been suggested in order to achieve a fast and accurate fault clearing. An experimental small-scale dc power system has been used to supply different loads, both during normal and fault conditions. A three-phase two-level voltage source converter in series with a Buck converter was used to interconnect the ac and the dc power systems. Together the converters have large controllability, high power quality performance, and allow bi-directional power flow. This topology can preferably be used together with energy storage. The tests confirm the feasibility of using a dc power system to supply sensitive electronic loads. / QC 20100908