Die studie ondersoek die inligtingswaarde van dividende as 'n moontlike verldaring van die waargenome aandeleprysreaksie op dividendaankondigings. Twee algemene hipoteses is getoets, naamlik dat 'n betekenisvolle verandering in 'n maatskappy se dividendbeleid inligting oor daardie maatskappy se toekomstige verdienste per aandeel bevat, en tweedens dat hierdie inligting in die reaksie van aandelepryse na die aankondiging van die verandering gereflekteer word. Die belangrikste bevindinge is soos volg: • Die inligting vervat in huidige dividendaankondigings kan nie deur beleggers gebruik word om die volgende jaar se verdienste per aandeel van 'n maatskappy te voorspel nie. Die aandeleprysreaksie op positiewe, negatiewe en neutrale nuus is statisties beduidend, maar vind hoofsaaklik in dieselfde rigting plaas. Beleggers sou dus nie die inligting vervat in dividendaankondigings kan gebruik om bogemiddelde opbrengskoerse te genereer nie. • Die inligtingswaarde van dividende is dus 'n onwaarskynlike verldaring van die invloed van 'n maatskappy se dividendbeleid op die waarde van sy gewone aandele. / This research investigates the information content of dividends as a possible explanation for the observed share price reaction to dividend announcements. Two hypotheses were tested, namely that a significant change in a company's dividend policy contains information on that company's future earnings per share, and secondly, that this information is reflected in the share price reaction after the announcement of the change. The most important findings are as follows: • Investors cannot use the information contained in current dividend announcements to predict a company's earnings per share for the next year. • Share price reactions to positive, negative and neutral news are statistically significant, but will be in the same direction. Hence investors cannot use this information to generate above-normal returns. The information content of dividends is therefore an unlikely explanation of the influence a company's dividend policy has on the value of its ordinary shares. / Business Management / MCom (Sakebestuur)

Die studie ondersoek die inligtingswaarde van dividende as 'n moontlike verldaring van die waargenome aandeleprysreaksie op dividendaankondigings. Twee algemene hipoteses is getoets, naamlik dat 'n betekenisvolle verandering in 'n maatskappy se dividendbeleid inligting oor daardie maatskappy se toekomstige verdienste per aandeel bevat, en tweedens dat hierdie inligting in die reaksie van aandelepryse na die aankondiging van die verandering gereflekteer word. Die belangrikste bevindinge is soos volg: • Die inligting vervat in huidige dividendaankondigings kan nie deur beleggers gebruik word om die volgende jaar se verdienste per aandeel van 'n maatskappy te voorspel nie. Die aandeleprysreaksie op positiewe, negatiewe en neutrale nuus is statisties beduidend, maar vind hoofsaaklik in dieselfde rigting plaas. Beleggers sou dus nie die inligting vervat in dividendaankondigings kan gebruik om bogemiddelde opbrengskoerse te genereer nie. • Die inligtingswaarde van dividende is dus 'n onwaarskynlike verldaring van die invloed van 'n maatskappy se dividendbeleid op die waarde van sy gewone aandele. / This research investigates the information content of dividends as a possible explanation for the observed share price reaction to dividend announcements. Two hypotheses were tested, namely that a significant change in a company's dividend policy contains information on that company's future earnings per share, and secondly, that this information is reflected in the share price reaction after the announcement of the change. The most important findings are as follows: • Investors cannot use the information contained in current dividend announcements to predict a company's earnings per share for the next year. • Share price reactions to positive, negative and neutral news are statistically significant, but will be in the same direction. Hence investors cannot use this information to generate above-normal returns. The information content of dividends is therefore an unlikely explanation of the influence a company's dividend policy has on the value of its ordinary shares. / Business Management / MCom (Sakebestuur)

Made available in DSpace on 2015-03-05T19:11:30Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 30 / Nenhuma / Esta pesquisa objetivou examinar qual a influência das mudanças da legislação tributária nas políticas de dividendos das companhias brasileiras, testando a influência da Teoria da Preferência Fiscal sobre as políticas de dividendos das companhias abertas brasileiras. As mudanças na legislação tributária pertinente foram identificadas e o efeito da tributação sobre as políticas de dividendos das companhias foi verificado, investigando as diferenças nas políticas de dividendos entre as ações preferenciais (PN) e ordinárias (ON). Para alcançar este objetivo, foram examinados referenciais teóricos que indicaram modelos, hipóteses, efeitos, legislação societária brasileira sobre dividendos e teorias existentes sobre política de dividendos, posto que a importância da política de distribuição de resultados a ser adotada está diretamente relacionada às decisões sobre os investimentos e financiamentos. Em relação ao método, a taxionomia de pesquisa a classifica como sendo explicativa e experimental. A coleta de dados / This research had the objective to examine what is the influence of tributary legislation changes in Brazilian companies dividends politics, testing Fiscal Preference Theory influence on dividends politics of companies opened Brazilian . Changes in the pertinent tributary legislation were identified and taxation effect on companies dividends politics were verified, investigating differences on dividends politics between preferred stocks (PN) and usual stocks (ON). In order to reach this objective, theoretical references have been examined which have indicated models, hypotheses, effects, Brazilian companies legislation about dividends and theories about dividends politics, because the importance of the results distribution politics that will be adopted is directly related to decisions about investments and financings. In relation to the method, taxonomy classifies the research as being explanatory and experimental. The data gathering was done in Economatica database and the sample was composed by 559 compan

In Chapter 1, we investigate the shareholder and creditor protection and look into the dividend policy implement in the stock market. The investor protection was analyzed based on the China company law and our result shows that the shareholder (creditor) protection is weak (strong) compared with the rest of the world. In China, a firm can issue as many as five different classes of shares: state shares, legal person shares, A-shares, foreign shares and employee shares. Under the weak shareholder protection in China, A-shareholders are categorized to the disadvantage group in corporate structure which demonstrates the classic free-rider problem. With the expertise and knowledge to monitor the management, controlling legal person not only enhance the corporate performance, but also expecting dividend payout as the reward. In our study, we have strong evidence on the legal person share ownership positively related to the dividend payout decision, while the A-shares and state shares ownership are negatively related to the decision on dividend payout. / The Japanese stock market provide a reasonable setting for studying intermediate-horizon price momentum effect, because Japan has the largest equity market aside from the U.S. in terms of both capitalization and number of securities. In Chapter 2, by measuring the relative strength of portfolio on the Japanese market, we found that the price momentum does not exist in the Japanese market. Further, the momentum returns keep always negative on any horizon, which is coherent in keiretsu and non-keiretsu grouping and in different trading volume. The decomposition on the expected average returns of different investment period in Japanese market shows that the price reversals is not capable to overwhelm the losses from the cross-sectional differences in mean returns and cannot yield statistically significant net momentum profits in the Japanese market. / This paper consists of two separate projects: (1) The investor protection and dividend policy in China, (2) Price momentum in Japan. / Wong Chin Pang, Antonio. / "April 2003." / Adviser: Jia He. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-09, Section: A, page: 3413. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2003. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 58-50). / Available also through the Internet via Current research @ Chinese University of Hong Kong under title: Essays in international finance (China, Japan) / Electronic reproduction. Hong Kong : Chinese University of Hong Kong, [2012] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest dissertations and theses, [200-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest Information and Learning Company, [200-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / School code: 1307.

Tam Wai-man Grace. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2001. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 76-77). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract --- p.ii / 序言 --- p.iii / Acknowledgement --- p.iv / Table of Contents --- p.v / Chapter Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter Chapter 2 --- Literature Review --- p.7 / Chapter 2.1 --- Dividend Irrelevance Theory --- p.8 / Chapter 2.2 --- Bird-in-the-hand Theory --- p.9 / Chapter 2.3 --- Clientele Effect Theory --- p.10 / Chapter 2.4 --- Signaling Theory --- p.11 / Chapter 2.5 --- Agency Cost Theory / Chapter 2.5.1 --- Theoretical Models --- p.15 / Chapter 2.5.2 --- The Latest Agency Cost Model --- p.19 / Chapter 2.6 --- Residual Theory --- p.24 / Chapter 2.7 --- Other Studies on Dividend Policy / Chapter 2.7.1 --- Low-Regular-Dividend-Plus-Extras Policy --- p.26 / Chapter 2.7.2 --- Comparison of the Dividend Policies of Japanese and U.S. Firms --- p.27 / Chapter Chapter 3 --- Methodology / Chapter 3.1 --- Model --- p.28 / Chapter 3.2 --- Anti-Signaling Hypothesis --- p.29 / Chapter 3.3 --- Agency Cost Hypothesis --- p.30 / Chapter 3.4 --- Residual Hypothesis --- p.31 / Chapter 3.5 --- Investment Opportunities Hypothesis --- p.32 / Chapter 3.6 --- Industry Control --- p.33 / Chapter 3.7 --- The Four-Hypothesis Model --- p.34 / Chapter Chapter 4 --- Sample and Data Description / Chapter 4.1 --- Sample Description --- p.35 / Chapter 4.2 --- Variable Description --- p.36 / Chapter 4.3 --- Limitations --- p.39 / Chapter 4.4 --- Descriptive Statistics --- p.41 / Chapter Chapter 5 / Chapter 5.1 --- Regression Results and Implications --- p.42 / Chapter 5.2 --- Alternative measurement for Agency Cost Hypothesis --- p.45 / Chapter 5.3 --- Comparison of the Dividend Policies of Hong Kong and the World --- p.47 / Chapter Chapter 6 --- Conclusion --- p.49 / Tables / Table 1 Summary of the Four-Hypothesis Model --- p.50 / Table 2 Construction of Variables --- p.51 / Table 3 Dividend Payout Ratios of 83 Hong Kong Listed Firms from1992 to 1999 --- p.52 / Table 4 Earnings Growth Rate of 33 Hang Seng Index Constituents from 1996to 1999 --- p.54 / Table 5 Dividend Payout Ratio of 33 Hang Seng Index Constituents from 1996 to 1999 --- p.55 / Table 6 Regression Results for Raw Data --- p.55 / Table 7 Regression Results using Substantial Shareholders Concentration as Proxy for Agency Cost Hypothesis --- p.57 / Table 8 Summary of Regression Results --- p.58 / Charts / Chart 1 Dividend Payout Ratios of 83 Hong Kong Listed Firms from1992 to 1999 --- p.59 / Chart 2 Earnings Growth Rate of 33 Hang Seng Index Constituents from 1996 to 1999 --- p.60 / Chart 3 Dividend Payout Ratio of 33 Hang Seng Index Constituents from 1996 to 1999 --- p.60 / Appendices / Appendix 1 The Complete Dataset --- p.61 / Appendix 2 Definition of Variables in Different Sectors --- p.63 / Appendix 3 Non-Nested Tests --- p.54 / Table A3.1 Non-Nested Tests Results --- p.65 / Table A3.2 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria - Anti-signaling Hypothesis vs Agency Cost Hypothesis --- p.66 / Table A3.3 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria - Anti-signaling Hypothesis vs Residual Hypothesis --- p.67 / Table A3.4 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria 一 Anti-signaling Hypothesis vs Investment Opportunity Hypothesis --- p.68 / Table A3.5 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria ´ؤ Residual Hypothesis vs Agency Cost Hypothesis --- p.69 / Table A3.6 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria ´ؤ Agency Cost Hypothesis vs Investment Opportunity Hypothesis --- p.70 / Table A3.7 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria ´ؤ Residual Hypothesis vs Investment Opportunity Hypothesis --- p.71 / Table A3.8 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria ´ؤ Agency Cost Hypothesis vs Anti-signaling Hypothesis --- p.72 / Table A3.9 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria ´ؤ Agency Cost Hypothesis vs Residual Hypothesis --- p.73 / Table A3.10 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria ´ؤ Agency Cost Hypothesis vs Investment Opportunity Hypothesis --- p.74 / Table A3.11 Non-Nested Test Statistics and Choice Criteria 一 Technology Industry Phenomenon vs Anti-signaling Hypothesis --- p.75 / Bibliography --- p.76

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) is an important source of funds for firms and provides opportunities for investors. However, the economic boom of 1990-1996, the Asian Economic Crisis and the recession of 1997-2002 have affected the performance of firms listed at SET. The dividend policies of listed firms have also been influenced by these fluctuations in the business cycle.This study investigates the phenomenon of disappearing dividends in the developing capital market of Thailand. It adopts a similar methodology to Fama and French (2001) by classifying listed firms in line with changes in their dividend polices over the period 1990 to 2002. More specifically, the study explores the characteristics of firms which pay dividends, non-payers, former payers and firms which have never paid dividends. These characteristics include profitability, investment opportunities and firm size. The analysis uses firm characteristics for predicting the dividend policies of listed firms. Changes in firm characteristics and the propensity to pay dividends are identified in this process.The analysis suggests that firms which pay dividends tend to be large and highly profitable, although they possess low investment opportunities. The study also suggests that the characteristics of firms which paid dividends changed slightly before the crisis of 1997 and changed markedly during the crisis. However, after the crisis (1998-2002) the characteristics of firms are similar to those observed before the crisis. This result is attributed to the fact that some firms have resumed paying dividends after briefly ceasing this payment during the crisis. More importantly, when firm characteristics are held constant, the propensity to pay dividends of listed firms declined slightly before the crisis and declined strongly after the crisis. Consequently, the majority of new firms and many mature firms do not pay dividends.The findings of this study are consistent with the results of Fama and French (2001), particularly with regard to the characteristics of firms and changes in the propensity to pay dividends. However, this study extends the knowledge on the phenomenon of disappearing dividends by focussing on a developing economy, Thailand. Finally, this study suggests that investors should consider the characteristics of firms, changes in these characteristics and the propensity to pay dividends when identifying opportunities for investment.

我以台灣資本市場在1991至2010年之上市公司作為樣本，研究資 本市場發展程度對於企業現金股利之資訊內涵的影響。我們首先觀察支 付公司數占整體上市公司數比重以及加權平均股利發放率，發現台灣資 本市場並不存在消失股利的現象。接著透過羅吉斯模型、Life Regression Tobit Model以及多變量迴歸分析，分別對台灣上市公司發放股利傾向、 股利發放率，以及現金股利宣告效果進行分析。我發現儘管我國不存在 股利消失現象，資本市場發展程度的確負向影響公司發放股利傾向、股 利支付率，以及宣告增發股利時的宣告效果，代表現金股利的資訊意涵 卻隨資本市場發展而弱化。另外機構投資人持股比率上升，顯著降低了 現金股利的宣告效果。唯本土機構投資人持股比例越高，公司發放股利 的傾向隨之增加，呼應了我國資本市場對於股利仍有一定的重視程度及 偏好。 / The main contribution of this article is that I use the variable of development of capital market as the main reason resulting in the decrease of the likelihood of companies to pay cash dividends and cash dividends payout ratio, and it also weakens the announce effect of cash dividends. There are some results we can see in this investigation. First, through observing the trend of the percentage of cash-dividend –payer firms to all TWSE firms and the trend of market value weighted payout ratio, we can see there is no “disappearing dividends” phenomenon in Taiwan capital market from 1991 to 2010. Second, the development of capital market not only decreases the likelihood of companies to pay cash dividends and cash dividends payout ratio, but also weakens the announce effect of cash dividends. Third, the more shares held by institutional investors, the weaker announce effect caused by cash dividends announcement. However, firms with higher percentage of shares held by local institutional investors are much likely to pay dividends. It somehow means that cash dividends are preferred and respected.

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) is an important source of funds for firms and provides opportunities for investors. However, the economic boom of 1990-1996, the Asian Economic Crisis and the recession of 1997-2002 have affected the performance of firms listed at SET. The dividend policies of listed firms have also been influenced by these fluctuations in the business cycle.This study investigates the phenomenon of disappearing dividends in the developing capital market of Thailand. It adopts a similar methodology to Fama and French (2001) by classifying listed firms in line with changes in their dividend polices over the period 1990 to 2002. More specifically, the study explores the characteristics of firms which pay dividends, non-payers, former payers and firms which have never paid dividends. These characteristics include profitability, investment opportunities and firm size. The analysis uses firm characteristics for predicting the dividend policies of listed firms. Changes in firm characteristics and the propensity to pay dividends are identified in this process.The analysis suggests that firms which pay dividends tend to be large and highly profitable, although they possess low investment opportunities. The study also suggests that the characteristics of firms which paid dividends changed slightly before the crisis of 1997 and changed markedly during the crisis. However, after the crisis (1998-2002) the characteristics of firms are similar to those observed before the crisis. This result is attributed to the fact that some firms have resumed paying dividends after briefly ceasing this payment during the crisis. More importantly, when firm characteristics are held constant, the propensity to pay dividends of listed firms declined slightly before the crisis and declined strongly after the crisis. Consequently, the majority of new firms and many mature firms do not pay dividends.The findings of this study are consistent with the results of Fama and French (2001), particularly with regard to the characteristics of firms and changes in the propensity to pay dividends. However, this study extends the knowledge on the phenomenon of disappearing dividends by focussing on a developing economy, Thailand. Finally, this study suggests that investors should consider the characteristics of firms, changes in these characteristics and the propensity to pay dividends when identifying opportunities for investment.

Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 1999. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: This is a comparative study to determine the accuracy of the cumulative factors calculated and used by INET and the University of Stellenbosch, Graduate School of Business (USB). These factors are calculated whilst taking into account the changes in capital structure due to the effects of share splits (splits), consolidations and capitalisation issues in the calculation of dividends per share (both interim and final), and closing share prices. For this purpose the data of 350 listed industrial companies on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange was evaluated over a 28-year period (1970-1997). In cases where a company was delisted before the date of the financial year-end 1997, that company was deleted from the study for the full period. The analysis of share splits, consolidations and capitalisation issues in the calculation of a cumulative factor for the determination of dividends per share and closing share prices, is therefore of critical importance. It is important to the companies as well as parties who are involved in maintaining data of listed companies on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. It is also important to those who use this data for research purposes. South African studies using dividends per share and share prices from INET or the USB assume that the data is accurate. This study is an effort to verify the accuracy of the two mentioned databases. The results of the study clearly suggest or indicate that there are indeed numerous inaccuracies (differences) between the data kept by both INET and USB databases. It is therefore important that the data be revisited so that these anomalies can be rectified. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Hierdie is 'n vergelykende studie om die akkuraatheid te bepaal van die kumulatiewe faktore soos deur INET en die Universiteit van Stellenbosch se Nagraadse Bestuurskool (USB) bereken en gebruik. Hierdie faktore word bereken om die effek van die onderverdeling en konsolidasie van aandele, asook kapitalisasie-uitgifte op die dividend per aandeel (beide interim en finaal) en sluitingsaandeelpryse te bepaal. Vir hierdie doel was die data van 350 industriele maatskappye wat op die Johannesburgse Aandelebeurs genoteer is oor 'n 28-jaar periode (1970-1997) geevalueer. In gevalle waar die maatskappye voor die finansiele jaareinde 1997 gedenoteer is, is die maatskappy uit die studie weggelaat. Die analise van onderverdeling en konsolidasie van aandele en kapitalisasie-uitgifte in die berekening van 'n kumulatiewe faktor vir die bepaling van dividend per aandeel en die sluitingsaandeelpryse, is van kritiese belang. Dit is belangrik vir die maatskappye en ander belanghebbendes wat gemoeid is met die instandhouding van data van genoteerde maatskappye op die Johannesburgse Aandelebeurs. Dit is ook van belang vir diegene wat die data vir navorsingsdoeleindes gebruik. Suid-Afrikaanse studies wat op dividend per aandeel en aandeelpryse van INET of die USB gebaseer is, veronderstel dat die data korrek is. Hierdie studie poog om die akkuraatheid van die genoemde twee databasisse te verifieer. Die resultate van die studie toon duidelik aan dat daar 'n hele aantal onakkuraathede (verskille) tussen die data onderhou deur beide INET en die USB bestaan. Dit is dus belangrik dat die data weer ondersoek word ten einde verskille uit die weg te ruim.

Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 2000. / Dividends are probable the most controversial subject in the finance literature. Dividends are paid cent for cent from company profits. Besides having tax implications on the company, they reduce sources of internal finance for the company. On the other hand, the value of a company is the net present value of cash flows. Theoretically a company that does not pay dividends now and at anytime in the future has a value of zero. Companies have dividend policies applicable to themselves. It is therefore valid to argue that the revision of the dividend policy has an underlying reason. This study was done to investigate the effect of unexpected dividend policy changes to daily share price movement. This study seeks to establish the validity of the much-debated subject of information significance of dividends. Past studies at most failed to converge to an agreement on information significance of dividends. The investigation revealed that there were no significant abnórmal returns earned on the announcement date on three out of four instances. However the results of the cumulative abnormal returns revealed that share prices react to dividend changes during the period of investigation i.e. twenty days before and twenty days after the announcement. The overall adjustment in share prices over the period studied is in the same direction as the dividend charge. The investigation also revealed that price adjustments take place before and after the announcement date. Price adjustments on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange were not efficient as compared to adjustments on the New York Stock Exchange. Share price adjustments on the New York Stock Exchange took place during the period of a day before and a day after the announcement. The lack of similarity can be attributed to either sophistication of the market participants or efficiency of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.