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Adoption of Electric Vehicle and Its Impact on Residential Sector Energy DemandJahan, Md Istiak 01 January 2024 (has links) (PDF)
The adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) represents a transformative change in the automotive industry. As more households make the transition to EVs, the traditional dependence on fossil fuels for transportation is being replaced by electricity as the primary energy source. This transition has the potential to increase the electricity consumption within households as well as the demand on the power grids. To maximize the environmental and economic benefits of EV adoption, strategies regarding efficient energy management, integration of renewable energy source, and grid capacity are becoming essential considerations. The current dissertation research is motivated toward evaluating the adoption of EV and its impact on the US household’s energy demand. In pursuit of these goals, this research has made several contributions. First, we proposed an econometric framework to estimate the factors influencing customers’ vehicle purchase decisions. Second, a comparative analysis is conducted between two econometric frameworks –panel mixed random utility maximization MNL model and panel mixed random regret minimization MNL model to estimate the evolving landscape of EV adoption over time. Third, we employed an advanced econometric framework- Multiple Discrete Continuous Extreme Value (MDCEV) model– to evaluate the factors that influence the energy consumption profile of various household end-uses along with their alternating trends over time. Fourth, we employed a novel fusion approach to the MDCEV model to assess the impact of travel behavior along with several household socioeconomic characteristics on various energy end-uses. Finally, by predicting household EV ownership, projections of total household energy demand for the city of Atlanta for the years 2030, 2040 and 2050 are performed. A set of independent variables including vehicle attributes, socio-economic attributes, travel behavior-related attributes, dwelling attributes, appliance-use related attributes, and climate-related attributes from various data sources are employed in this study. The research concludes with an analysis of different policy implications.
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Incentives for promoting Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) adoption in NorwayBjerkan, Kristin Ystmark, Nørbech, Tom E., Nordtømme, Marianne Elvsaas 21 December 2020 (has links)
Norway has become a global forerunner in the field of electromobility and the BEV market share is far higher than in any other country. One likely reason for this is strong incentives for promoting purchase and ownership of BEVs. The purpose of this study is to describe the role of incentives for promoting BEVs, and to determine what incentives are critical for deciding to buy a BEV and what groups of buyers respond to different types of incentives. The questions are answered with data from a survey among nearly 3400 BEV owners in Norway.
Exemptions from purchase tax and VAT are critical incentives for more than 80% of the respondents. This is very much in line with previous research, which suggests that up-front price reduction is the most powerful incentive in promoting EV adoption. To a substantial number of BEV owners, however, exemption from road tolling or bus lane access is the only decisive factor.
Analyses show that there are clear delineations between incentive groups, both in terms of age, gender, and education. Income is a less prominent predictor, which probably results from the competitive price of BEVs in the Norwegian market. Perhaps most interesting is the assumed relation between incentives and character of transport systems the respondents engage in.
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Understanding factors and addressing concerns for widespread Electric Vehicle (EV) adoption in Sweden: Strategic approaches to foster acceptanceOsadolor, Osagie Alex, Balaniuc, Christian Grimm, Tuei, Leonard Sang January 2023 (has links)
Background: The adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) has been largely discussed and investigated by the industry and researchers as a means to support the transition from fossil-fueled-based vehicles to more environmentally sustainable solutions, as the EVs are. However, adoption is not ramping-up as the industry expected even though the technology proved to be ready for the market. The reason for it could vary, nevertheless common factors have been identified. Purpose: This work aims to understand which factors appear as a concern regarding willingness to purchase EVs in Sweden and what strategies original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) should adopt to enhance the widespread EV adoption. Methodology: A questionnaire based on 5 level Likert scale was distributed to the Swedish population to investigate factors that affect EV adoption such as the high cost of the EVs, lack of charging station infrastructure, EVs’ driving experience, EVs’ driving range, removal of governmental subsidies for EV, availability of different EV models, battery life and EVs safety aspects. Responses were also gathered on the perceived effectiveness of OEMs adoption strategies. A multiple linear regression was used to test 8 hypotheses on willingness to purchase EVs. Results and Analysis: Of the 8 factors analyzed, only two, namely driving experience and range were significant to the model generated on willingness to purchase EV, in which 66% agreed or strongly agreed that they are willing to purchase EVs. On the OEM strategies, the study observed that OEMs should invest in strategies to allow the public to experience driving an EV, as well as educate the population about the technology, its benefits, and the total cost of ownership (TCO). Conclusion: The results indicate that in Sweden factors such as driving experience and range are still relevant to influence the willingness to acquire an EV, on the other hand, the cost of EVs, removal of government subsidies, and the other factors previously mentioned do not impact the respondent’s willingness. To boost adoption, OEMs should focus their strategies on refreshed market segmentation, customer education, test drive experience, and marketing. Recommendation for future research: It is recommended that future research should have a higher sample size that is distributed based on Swedish population density to enhance the statistical significance of the analysis. Additionally, more factors affecting EV adoption could be investigated in the future, such as the sustainability of battery material sourcing.
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Battery supported charging infrastructure for electric vehicles : And its impact on the overall electricity infrastructure / Laddinfrastruktur för elbilar kopplat till stationära batterilager : Och dess inverkan på elnätetSvensson Dahlin, Marcus January 2019 (has links)
The Paris Agreement was formed in 2015 to reduce the environmental impact and limit the increase in temperature to 2°C compared to pre-industrial levels. It is believed that an electrification of the transport sector will reduce its negative environmental impact. To reach the goals set by the Paris Agreement we are in need of quick development towards an electrified fleet of vehicles. Despite this urgency electric vehicles (EVs) have failed to reach the majority of the market, instead it has stuck in the chasm between the early adopters and the early majority of the markets. This is due to three main challenges; EVs are relatively expensive compared to conventional petrol- and diesel-powered vehicles, EVs have an inadequate driving range, and the access to a functional charging infrastructure is limited. This thesis focuses on the third challenge regarding charging infrastructure. The charging infrastructure is dependent on the existing electricity distribution infrastructure, i.e. the grid. It is rather time-consuming and costly to strengthen the grid, which is deemed necessary for enabling a roll-out of a charging infrastructure that meets the needs of current and near-future EV operators. This research provides an alternative way of approaching the issues. Instead of strengthening the grid by digging up old cables it looks into the opportunities of incorporating stationary battery storages as a buffer between the EV charging stations and the grid connection point. This battery solution can reduce the power outtake and smoothen out the load from EV charging, thus limiting the impact of EV charging from a grid perspective. The research assesses what type of pathways this solution could follow to successfully drive the adoption of EVs. Furthermore, the study tries to understand how these solutions could be designed to deliver the necessary values regarding EV charging and reducing the overall power outtake from grid connection points. The thesis is carried out by analyzing collected quantitative and qualitative data through the lens of three main theories. These are transition theory, theory on eco-innovations, and theory on the diffusion of innovations. The thesis finds that the two pathways for a battery supported charging infrastructure that will be most efficient in speeding up the adoption rate of EVs is within a workplace and public charging setting in city and urban environments. For both pathways it is expected that a centralized concept, with one battery solution connected to several charging points, will be most feasible in the short-term, which is important as the need for developments are very urgent. The workplace charging will provide 3,6 kW AC-charging while the public charging provides 150 kW DC-charging. The solution is expected to be cost-efficient for specific locations, especially for public charging in city environments with strained grid infrastructures. The study provides an initial assessment for the city of Stockholm which indicates that the power outtake can be reduced by 63,5–112,2 MW in 2030. This means that the current grid infrastructure could support a larger number of EVs, thus reducing the greenhouse-gas emissions from the transport sector and bringing us closer to reaching the goals set by the Paris Agreement. / Parisavtalet utformades år 2015 för att reducera vår klimatpåverkan och begränsa temperaturökningen till 2°C jämfört med nivåerna som rådde innan den industriella revolutionen. Förhoppningen är att en elektrifiering av transportsektorn kan reducera dess negativa klimatpåverkan. För att nå målen i Parisavtalet behövs en snabb omställning mot en elektrifiering av fordonsflottan. Trots situationens brådskande karaktär har elbilar fastnat i en klyfta mellan den begränsade tidiga marknaden och den sena marknaden, vilken utgör majoriteten av kunderna. Det finns tre primära anledningar till detta; elbilar är dyra jämfört med bensin- och dieseldrivna bilar, räckvidden för elbilar är otillräcklig, och det råder begränsad tillgång till en funktionell laddinfrastruktur. Den här studien fokuserar på den tredje anledningen kring otillräcklig laddinfrastruktur. Laddinfrastrukturen är beroende av det existerande elnätet och dess distributionskapacitet. En förstärkning av elnätet är i många fall nödvändig för att möjliggöra en utrullning av en laddinfrastruktur som möter dagens och morgondagens behov. Istället för att förstärka elnätet genom att gräva ner tjockare kablar så fokuserar denna studie på en alternativ lösning kring laddinfrastruktur sammankopplat med stationära batterilager. Batterilagret agerar som en buffert mellan anslutningspunkten till elnätet och laddningspunkten för elbilar. Genom att reducera effektuttaget och jämna ut lastkurvan för elbilsladdning kan en batterilösning begränsa den negativa påverkan det förväntas ha på elnätet. Studien undersöker vilka vägar denna batterilösning kan ta för att öka antalet elbilar i fordonsflottan. Efter att ha förstått vilka dessa lösningsvägar är så analyserar studien hur dessa lösningar kan vara uppbyggda för att erbjuda de efterfrågade och nödvändiga värdena för elbilsladdning och elnätets fortsatta funktionalitet. Studien bygger på analys av kvalitativa och kvantitativa data. Analysen utförs genom att applicera koncept hämtade från teorier kring teknologiska övergångar, miljöinnovationer och spridning av innovationer. De två lösningsområden som förväntas vara mest effektiva i att driva en ökning av antalet elbilar i Sverige är arbetsplatsladdning samt offentlig laddning i stadsmiljöer. En lösning med ett centraliserat batterisystem där en batterilösning är kopplat till flera laddstationer antas vara mest genomförbar på kort sikt, vilket anses vara centralt på grund av utmaningarnas brådskande karaktär. För arbetsplatsladdning tillhandahålls 3,6 kW AC-laddning och för offentlig laddning tillhandahålls 150 kW DC-laddning. Lösningarna förväntas vara kostnadseffektiva for specifika platser och användarprofiler, speciellt för offentlig laddning i stadsområden med ansträngda elnät. En initial uppskattning visar att en laddinfrastruktur kopplat till stationära batterilager inom de två lösningsområdena kan minska Stockholms effektuttag för elbilsladdning med 63,5–112,2 MW år 2030. Detta betyder att dagens elnät kan tillgodose ett ökat antal elbilar, vilka genererar färre utsläpp av växthusgaser och ger oss en bättre chans att nå Parisavtalets mål.
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