Bakgrund: 1 januari 2013 kommer Direktivet (2009/138/EG) för Solvens II att implementeras. Detta kommer ske samtidigt inom Europeiska Unionen (EU) och kommer leda till en harmonisering av försäkringslagstiftning i medlemsstaterna. Tidigare svensk lagstiftning, Försäkringsrörelselagen (2010:2043), kommer med andra ord att anpassas till det nya regelverket. Regeländring kan komma att påverka svenska försäkringsbolags bedrivna kapitalförvaltning. Syfte: Syftet med studien är att undersöka om svenska försäkringsbolag utifrån rådande lagstiftning kan bedriva en, enligt finansiell teori, rationell kapitalförvaltning och om möjligheten till att bedriva en rationell kapitalförvaltning kommer att förändras i och med implementeringen av Solvens II. Genomförande: En genomgång av dagens regelverk, Försäkringsrörelselagen, samt Direktivet (2009/138/EG) för Solvens II kommer att presenteras. Utöver detta har fem stycken intervjuer med svenska försäkringsbolag genomförts. Slutsats: Dagens lagstiftning ger inte möjligheter till att bedriva en rationell kapitalförvaltning fullt ut. Solvens II kommer att förbättra försäkringsbolagens möjligheter att bedriva en rationell kapitalförvaltning. Försäkringsbolagen bedriver idag en förvaltning som till stor del kan anses vara rationell utifrån finansiell teori. Dock finns det vissa områden inom förvaltningen som skiljer sig från teorins bild. / Background: January 1, 2013, Directive (2009/138/EC) of Solvency II will be implemented. This will take place simultaneously in the European Union (EU) and will lead to a harmonization of insurance laws of the member states. Former Swedish legislation, Försäkringsrörelselagen (2010:2043), will therefore be adapted to the new framework. The rule change may affect Swedish insurance companies’ asset management. Purpose: The purpose of the thesis is to examine if Swedish insurance companies can apply rational asset management theory when Solvency II is implemented and if changes will occur in the asset management strategies. Implementation: A review of current regulations, Försäkringsrörelselagen (2010:2043), and Directive (2009/138/EC) of Solvency II will be presented. In addition, five interviews with Swedish insurance companies have been done. Conclusion: The current legislation does not provide opportunities to fully apply rational asset management. Solvency II will improve the insurance companies' ability to pursue a rational asset management. The asset management in Swedish insurance companies currently adopts strategies that to high extent comply with generally accepted financial theories. However, there are certain areas within the asset management that deviate from these financial theories.

Fear of Crime remains a relevant theme in criminological research. Its associations include damage to psychological well-being, decreases in collective cohesion and trust, and populism. Located in the field of victimology, previous research found that significant predictors for Fear of Crime are: Previous Victimization, Previous Victimization with a Hate-Motive, Severity of Previous Victimization, Perceived Risk and Risk Control. This study will aim to investigate if the dynamics of Fear of Crime established by previous research are applicable in a LGBT population. Subsequently the sub-groups sexual minorities, bisexuals, and trans-people are compared, filling a literature gap. The sample consists of 353 self-identified LGBT people at Malmö University who filled out a self-report survey inquiring about previous victimization, fear of crime, perceived motives of previous victimization, perceived risk of victimization, and tactics to reduce risk of victimization. The predictors were entered into a block-wise multiple regression model as well as a path-analysis. Both Perceived Risk and Risk Control were entered after the other predictors. The results showed that Severity of Previous Victimization was significantly (p < .001) and positively (β = .267) predicting Fear of Crime. Additionally, Severity of Previous Victimization significantly (p < .01) and positively (β = .206) predicted Perceived Risk which in turn predicted (p < .001, β = .208) Fear of Crime. Risk Control did not have a statistically significant effect size (p > .05). In the sub-group comparison, Perceived Risk did not have a significant effect size (p > .05) among the trans-people. The study concludes that Severity of Previous Victimization both has a direct and indirect effect on Fear of Crime, in the LGBT population, but not among the trans-people sub-group, suggesting that future research as well as policy makers need to take such differences into account. Similar conclusions are drawn regarding Risk Control.

企業處於現今的經濟環境，其所面臨之風險是多變的，若無防範於未然，倒閉危機將可能發生之結果。尤旅行業屬於高度競爭之產業，業者為求永續經營與維護消費者之權益，更應對可能衍生之風險，落實風險管理。 本研究以風險管理觀點出發，分析旅行業如何辨識並衡量其可能面臨之風險，選擇其風險控制之工具，後續進一步針對旅行業者倒閉風險之風險分散機制探討。旅行業除了投保商業履約保證保險外，另外研究自我保證之可行性。 本研究認為若旅行業採用自我保證方式來取代商業性履約保證保險，將可解決旅行業、銀行與保險公司三方爭議，並享有低費率之履約保證，且同時兼顧消費者之權益。實務上，若要將自我保證付諸實行，仍是有待主管機關、業者、學者研議解決有關法源依據、自我保證基金不足以因應賠款之情事及監督管理辦法等問題。 / Under the current economic environment, enterprises face capricious type of risks. In the absence of preventive measures, enterprises might face the risk of insolvency. This is especially true with the travel business because it is in a highly competitive industry. In order to achieve sustainable operation and protect consumers’ rights and interests, the travel business is advised to implement risk management concept for the risks it is likely to derive. From the point of view of the risk management, the study analyzes the method to identify and measure the risks that the travel industry is likely to face, and it also helps to choose the risk control tools. Furthermore, the study discusses the risk diversification mechanism for insolvency. Besides purchasing the commercial performance bond, the study also analyses the possibility of self-insurance. The study believes that by implementing self-insurance instead of the commercial performance bond, the travel industry will not only solve the tripartite dispute among the industry, banks and insurance companies would also benefit from the lower rates. At the same time, it also takes account of consumers’ interests. In order to put self-insurance into practice, we still require the regulator, industry and academics to resolve the legal issues, insolvency problem of self-guarantee fund, management issues, and the supervision measures to such problems.

Le management des risques a été développé au début des années 40. C’est aujourd’hui la pierre angulaire du Système de Management de la Sécurité (SMS) dans de nombreuses industries. Malheureusement, la pratique du management des risques accuse une mauvaise compréhension ainsi que de nombreux problèmes d’ordre méthodologique, terminologique, technique ou organisationnel. Dans une démarche de résolution des problèmes constatés, nous proposons, comme alternative à l’Analyse Préliminaire de Risque, la méthode Management Préliminaire des Risques (MPR). Cette méthode originale est basée sur un processus accidentel générique permettant de canaliser les mécanismes de capitalisation et d’exploitation des connaissances relatives aux scénarios d’accident (causalité, entités, situations, événements, etc.). La méthode MPR, se rattache au Système de Management de la Sécurité (SMS) sur un point d’ancrage essentiel qu’est la gestion des processus techniques et organisationnels. Notre objectif est triple, d’abord montrer les 10 problèmes majeurs que nous avons constatés en matière de management des risques, ensuite présenter la méthode MPR, basée sur un processus accidentel générique, que nous proposons pour résoudre ces difficultés dans le but d’exploiter efficacement l’échange de savoir-faire en matière de management des risques relatifs à différents systèmes issus de différents domaine, et enfin développer un Système Interactif d’Aide à la Décision (SIAD) permettant d’automatiser cette méthode et apporter des éléments d’aide à la décision en matière de management des risques à travers une interface graphique et ergonomique / Risk Management was developed at the beginning of the fourties. Since then, it becomes the cornerstone of the Safety Management System (SMS) building. Unfortunately, the practice of risk management remains problematic and completely beyond any harmonization optics. In a step of resolution of the noticed problems, we propose, as alternative for Preliminary Hazard Analysis, the PRM (Preliminary Risk Management) method. That original method would be based on a generic accidental process allowing to channel the mechanisms of capitalization and exploitation of knowledge related to the accident scenarios (causality, entities, situations, events, etc). The PRM method is attached to the Safety Management System (SMS) via the management of the technical and organisational processes. The purpose of this work is firstly to show the 10 problems that we have noticed in risk management, and secondly to deal with these difficulties through the proposal of the ontological-accidental-process- based Preliminary Risk Management (PRM) method in order to enforce the pertinence of the hazard analysis regarding its predominant status in the SMS (Safety Management System). These proposals have been concretized through the development of an Interactive Decision-Making System (IDMS) in order to perform a complete assisted-management-process through an ergonomic Graphical User Interface (GUI)

O planejamento da operação energética do sistema interligado nacional brasileiro é realizado por uma cadeia de modelos computacionais de otimização e simulação da operação. Entretanto, o risco de déficit, um importante indicador de segurança energética no setor elétrico, é tratado como uma variável de saída dos modelos computacionais. No planejamento de médio prazo é utilizado o software NEWAVE, que utiliza uma representação agregada em subsistemas equivalentes. Este trabalho propõe a implementação de um modelo de otimização linear para o planejamento da operação de médio prazo capaz de considerar o risco de déficit em sua formulação. Para o controle de risco de déficit, é proposta a utilização da métrica de risco conhecida por CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk), por se caracterizar como uma métrica de risco coerente, além de poder ser implementada por meio de um conjunto de restrições lineares. / The energetic operation planning of the Brazilian interconnected system is performed by a chain of computational models for the system optimization and simulation. However, the deficit risk, an important energy security indicator for the electric sector, is treated as an output variable on the computational models. In the medium-term of the energetic planning is used the software NEWAVE, which uses equivalent systems on aggregated representation. This work proposes the implementation of a linear optimization model for the medium-term of the energetic planning able to consider the deficit risk in its own formulation. To control the deficit risk is proposed the use of the risk metric known as CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk), because it is characterized as a coherent risk metric, and can be implemented through a set of linear constraints.

O planejamento da operação energética do sistema interligado nacional brasileiro é realizado por uma cadeia de modelos computacionais de otimização e simulação da operação. Entretanto, o risco de déficit, um importante indicador de segurança energética no setor elétrico, é tratado como uma variável de saída dos modelos computacionais. No planejamento de médio prazo é utilizado o software NEWAVE, que utiliza uma representação agregada em subsistemas equivalentes. Este trabalho propõe a implementação de um modelo de otimização linear para o planejamento da operação de médio prazo capaz de considerar o risco de déficit em sua formulação. Para o controle de risco de déficit, é proposta a utilização da métrica de risco conhecida por CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk), por se caracterizar como uma métrica de risco coerente, além de poder ser implementada por meio de um conjunto de restrições lineares. / The energetic operation planning of the Brazilian interconnected system is performed by a chain of computational models for the system optimization and simulation. However, the deficit risk, an important energy security indicator for the electric sector, is treated as an output variable on the computational models. In the medium-term of the energetic planning is used the software NEWAVE, which uses equivalent systems on aggregated representation. This work proposes the implementation of a linear optimization model for the medium-term of the energetic planning able to consider the deficit risk in its own formulation. To control the deficit risk is proposed the use of the risk metric known as CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk), because it is characterized as a coherent risk metric, and can be implemented through a set of linear constraints.

Audito rizikos įvertinimas yra vienas iš svarbiausių ilgalaikio materialiojo turto audito elementų. Audito rizika – tai rizika, kad audito metu nebus atskleisti melagingi duomenys finansinėse ataskaitose. Auditorius iki numatydamas testus ir procedūras, atlieka audito rizikos įvertinimą ir prognozuoja, kuriame ilgalaikio materialiojo turto apskaitos proceso etape gali būti daugiausia klaidų ir netikslumų. Nuo audito rizikos dydžio nustatymo priklauso audito apimtis, nuoseklumas, įrodymų rinkimas, procedūrų skaičius ir pobūdis. Didėjant auditoriaus atsakomybei prieš informacijos vartotojus, kartu didėja ir ilgalaikio materialiojo turto audito rizika. Todėl labai svarbu skirti pakankamai dėmesio ilgalaikio materialiojo turto audito rizikos įvertinimui. / Audit is attributed to these spheres of activity, for which inevitable risk is characteristic. Every auditor has to analyse himself the size of acceptable risk. Audit volume, consistency, gathering of the arguments, preparing of work documents, number and character of tests and procedures depends on the right accepted audit risk size. Audit risk evaluation is one of the most important elements of audit process. Investigating factors, having influence of audit, it is purposeful to distribute them according two the most important features: 1) according to dependency on auditor (dependent and independent on auditor) and 2) according to the types of audit risks (inherent, control and detection risk). It is important to investigate fixed factors in the early stages of audit.

Nowadays, rail transport has become one of the most widely utilised forms of transport thanks to its high safety level, large capacity, and cost-effectiveness. With the railway network's continuous development, including urban rail transit, one of the major areas of increasing attention and demand is ensuring safety or risk management in operation long-term remains for the whole life cycle by scientific tools, management of railway operation (Martani 2017), specifically in developed and developing countries like Vietnam. The situation in Vietnam demonstrates that the national mainline railway network has been built and operated entirely in a single narrow gauge (1000mm) since the previous century, with very few updates of manual operating technology. This significantly highlights that up to now, the conventional technique for managing the safety operation in general, and collision in particular, of the current Vietnamese railway system, including its subsystems, is only accident statistics which is not a scientific-based tool as the others like risk identify and analyse methods, risk mitigation…, that are already available in many countries. Accident management of Vietnam Railways is limited and responsible for accident statistics analysis to avoid and minimise the harm caused by phenomena that occur only after an accident. Statistical analysis of train accident case studies in Vietnam railway demonstrates that, because hazards and failures that could result in serious system occurrences (accidents and incidents) have not been identified, recorded, and evaluated to conduct safety-driven risk analysis using a well-suited assessment methodology, risk prevention and control cannot be achieved. Not only is it hard to forecast and avoid events, but it may also raise the chance and amount of danger, as well as the severity of the later effects. As a result, Vietnam's railway system has a high number of accidents and failure rates. For example, Vietnam Rail-ways' mainline network accounted for approximately 200 railway accidents in 2018, a 3% increase over the previous year, including 163 collisions between trains and road vehicles/persons, resulting in more than 100 fatalities and more than 150 casualties; 16 accidents, including almost derailments, the signal passed at danger… without fatality or casual-ty, but significant damage to rolling stock and track infrastructure (VR 2021). Focusing and developing a new standardised framework for safety management and availability of railway operation in Vietnam is required in view of the rapid development of rail urban transport in the country in recent years (VmoT 2016; VmoT 2018). UMRT Line HN2A in southwest Hanoi is the country's first elevated light rail transit line, which was completed and officially put into revenue service in November 2021. This greatly highlights that up to the current date, the UMRT Line HN2A is the first and only railway line in Vietnam with operational safety assessment launched for the first time and long-term remains for the whole life cycle. The fact that the UMRT Hanoi has a large capacity, more complicated rolling stock and infrastructure equipment, as well as a modern communica-tion-based train control (CBTC) signalling system and automatic train driving without the need for operator intervention (Lindqvist 2006), are all advantages. Developing a compatible and integrated safety management system (SMS) for adaption to the safety operating requirements of this UMRT is an important major point of concern, and this should be proven. In actuality, the system acceptance and safety certification phase for Metro Line HN2A prolonged up to 2.5 years owing to the identification of difficulties with noncompliance to safety requirements resulting from inadequate SMS documents and risk assessment. These faults and hazards have developed during the manufacturing and execution of the project; it is impossible to go back in time to correct them, and it is also impossible to ignore the project without assuming responsibility for its management. At the time of completion, the HN2A metro line will have required an expenditure of up to $868 million, thus it is vital to create measures to prevent system failure and assure passenger safety. This dissertation has reviewed the methods to solve the aforementioned challenges and presented a solution blueprint to attain the European standard level of system safety in three-phase as in the following: • Phase 1: applicable for lines that are currently in operation, such as Metro Line HN2A. Focused on operational and maintenance procedures, as well as a training plan for railway personnel, in order to enhance human performance. Complete and update the risk assessment framework for Metro Line HN2A. The dissertation's findings are described in these applications. • Phase 2: applicable for lines that are currently in construction and manufacturing, such as Metro Line HN3, Line HN2, HCMC Line 1 and Line 2. Continue refining and enhancing engineering management methods introduced during Phase 1. On the basis of the risk assessment by manufacturers (Line HN3, HCMC Line 2 with European manufacturers) and the risk assessment framework described in Chapter 4, a risk management plan for each line will be developed. Building Accident database for risk assessment research and development. • Phase 3: applicable for lines that are currently in planning. Enhance safety requirements and life-cycle management. Building a proactive Safety Culture step by step for the railway industry. This material is implemented gradually throughout all three phases, beginning with the creation of the concept and concluding with an improvement in the attitude of railway personnel on the HN2A line. In addition to this overview, Chapters 4 through Chapter 9 of the dissertation include particular solutions for Risk assessment, Vehicle and Infrastructure Maintenance methods, Inci-dent Management procedures, and Safety Culture installation. This document focuses on constructing a system safety concept for railway personnel, providing stringent and scientific management practises to assure proper engineering conditions, to manage effectively the metro line system, and ensuring passenger safety in Hanoi's metro operation

Text in English / Violent crime and more specifically armed robberies constitute a growing threat to shopping centres in terms of their vulnerability to such criminal acts. These violent crimes are becoming ever more organised and sophisticated. Shopping centres across South Africa have become the latest targets for these syndicates. Due to the increasing number of armed robberies and violent crimes at shopping centres and the nature of violence used in these attacks, it points to a need for improvements to be made to the security measures that are in place at shopping centres. This study explored the risks and vulnerabilities at shopping centres that have led to the phenomenon of armed robberies at shopping centres in Gauteng; evaluated the current physical protection systems that are in place at shopping centres in Gauteng in order to assist with the reduction of shopping centre armed robberies; and recommendations were made for the implementation of effective security risk control measures at shopping centre’s across South Africa and specifically the province of Gauteng. Self-administered questionnaire surveys were used to explore the phenomenon from the perspectives of both retail employees and customers. The data collected from the questionnaires, utilising the non-experimental research design, were quantitatively analysed. Based on the findings from the study recommendations for the improvement of shopping centre security were formulated along with recommendations for future research. / Security Risk Management / M.Tech. (Security Management)

企業之興衰可概分為導入期、成長期、成熟期、衰退期。本研究發現，台灣地區保全業目前處於「成熟期」。隨著微利時代之來臨，保全之傳統服務業勢必將面臨極大之挑戰，若無長遠規劃及有效興革，日後將被跨國性大保全公司所併購之可能，最後從而步入「衰退期」。因此，保全業必須重視研發與管理，方能因應市場之快速變遷與挑戰。 由於社會大眾對保全業之運作缺乏正確觀念，總以為安排保全後即無須另行安排保險保障，因此時常有保障缺漏之產生。就現況而言，保全業者素質良莠不齊，常因業務競爭而忽視風險管理之重要性，且普遍未能落實損害防阻之工作，造成保全重大事故時有所聞，甚至引發社會各界之非難與抨擊。再者，法令要求保全業必須利用保險以分散風險。然而因為認知上之差距，時常發生理賠責任界定之糾紛，造成消費者不諒解、保險業不願繼續承保之困窘，影響保全業之形象與聲譽甚鉅。 本研究主要探討台灣地區保全業風險管理與保險之相關問題，架構上係以風險管理原理為基礎，輔以實務運作現況，以求有系統地分析保全業經營管理之相關風險，並藉此歸納保全業風險管理之核心原則。其次，本研究亦針對保全業運用產物保險（保全業責任保險、銀行業綜合保險、員工誠實信用保證保險）時所衍生紛爭，以案例研究方式解析其爭議所在，期能界定消費者、保全業、保險業三方之權利義務關係。最後，根據發現與結論，本研究提出若干建議供相關單位參考，期能全面提升保全業風險管理與保險運用之水平。 / In terms of the life cycle, an enterprise may experience the following stages: introduction stage, growth stage, maturity stage and decline stage. It is observed that the security industry in Taiwan is currently situated in the maturity stage. Due to severe market competition and narrow margin of profits, the security industry is forced to meet the magnificent challenge, locally or internationally. Without a long-term planning and efficient reform, it is likely to see many security companies merged by multi-national security companies in the future. Under such a scenario, the security industry in Taiwan will eventually step into the decline stage. Misunderstanding the operation of security industry, many people ignore the necessity of insurance coverage after security protection is arranged. It leads to the leakage in protection and coverage. In practice, many security companies also take less care of risk management and loss prevention due to business competition. In addition, a security company is required to transfer its risks through insurance. Because of the perceptional gap, many claim disputes arise among the security industry, the insurance industry and the clients. Under such circumstances, all of the above have deteriorated the reputation of security industry and result in many criticisms from the general public. The main theme of this research is to explore the issues related to risk management and insurance of the security industry in Taiwan. Based on the fundamental theories of risk management and market practices, the relevant risks are systematically analyzed and core risk management principles for the industry are developed. In addition, it undertakes several case studies to examine the controversial issues of certain insurance products often associated with the security business. It is hoped to clarify these issues and define the rights and obligations among different players. In the final part, the conclusion and recommendation is submitted to relevant institutions to upgrade and enhance the risk management and insurance arrangement of the security industry.