Cette thèse propose l’analyse spatio-temporelle d’un mouvement scientifique au moyen d’une théorie sociologique (Frickel, Gross, 2005), complétée par une approche d’analyse spatiale, combinaison qui fait l’originalité de ce travail. La géographie théorique et quantitative européenne francophone, dont l’évolution temporelle et la configuration spatiale restaient très mal connues, en est l’objet. Elle permet de mettre en perspective les rares auto-analyses qui y sont consacrées. Deux grands types de matériaux sont mobilisés : archivistique (Répertoire des géographes, revues ou listes de communications à des colloques spécialisés) et mémoriel (sur la base de 58 entretiens semi-directifs). L’analyse de ces corpus combine des méthodes quantitatives (de la théorie des graphes à l’analyse de la spécialisation des unités géographiques) et qualitatives (analyse thématique et sémantique des corpus et des entretiens des acteurs). Cette investigation a permis de proposer une périodisation du mouvement, articulée autour de trois grands moments : 1. l’émergence, de 1971-72 à 1984, impliquant un faible nombre d’acteurs et de lieux, moment où des chercheurs isolés entrent en interaction, 2. l’âge d’or, de 1985 à la fin des années 1990, marqué par l’existence d’un collectif structuré, reposant sur de nombreuses interactions entre les lieux européens francophones, qui se reproduit et essaime, 3. la généralisation du cœur de connaissances qui s’accompagne d’un déclin de l’identification au mouvement, des années 2000 à nos jours, selon de nombreuses reconfigurations, voyant la disparition de certains pôles historiques. / The aim of this thesis is to implement a spatio-temporal analysis of a scientific movement based on a sociological theory (Frickel, Gross, 2005), combined with spatial analysis. This combination constitutes the major contribution of the present work. For this analysis, the author has chosen as a subject the European French-speaking theoretical and quantitative geography, whose temporal evolution and spatial configuration remained largely unknown until now. The thesis uses two main kinds of materials: archival (Répertoire des géographes, journals, lists of communications of TQG colloquium) and memorial with 58 semi-structured interviews collected from a sample of actors of the movement. The analysis of the corpus combines quantitative methods (from graph theory to the analysis of geographical units’ specialization), and qualitative ones (thematic and semantic analysis of the corpus and interviews of actors). This investigation has allowed us to propose a periodization of the movement since its beginnings in the 1960’s organized around three main periods: 1. the emergence, from 1971-72 to 1984, involving a small number of actors and locations, and while individual researchers interact in order to give themselves a self training, 2. the Golden Age, from 1985 to the end of the 1990’s, marked by the formation of organized groups based on many interactions between French-speaking places in Europe, self reproducing and spreading. 3. The generalization of the knowledge core which is accompanied by a decline in identification with the movement, from the 2000’s to the present, according to many reconfigurations including the disappearance of certain historical centres.

Os veículos que compõem o tráfego urbano são considerados como o principal agente causador de poluição afetando diretamente a qualidade do ar nas cidades, sendo um desafio ter mecanismos de monitoramento que possibilitem uma visão geral das condições ambientais. Para proporcionar uma visão abrangente seria necessário um grande número de estações fixas de monitoramento da qualidade do ar, além de um incremento constante para acompanhar o crescimento da cidade. Neste cenário, surge a oportunidade de instrumentação de ônibus coletivo com sensores que medem a qualidade do ar durante seu trajeto, assim aproveitando as características de mobilidade do transporte público, o qual transita em áreas povoadas, com postura dinâmica de crescimento, adaptando-se de forma coerente à mutabilidade populacional e geográfica da cidade. A presente tese apresenta novas formas de realizar análises espaçotemporais da qualidade do ar de regiões urbanas. Os modelos cartográficos criados permitem analisar regiões mapeadas usando perspectivas espaciais e temporais com informações obtidas de kits sensores móveis, para análises a cada 100 metros, promovendo uma resolução maior que os modelos tradicionais de monitoramento (escala quilométrica), os quais ainda não oferecem esta possibilidade. Esta maior resolução permite uma nova perspectiva de análises de microrregiões e, desta forma, permite que os especialista ou gestores urbanos possam entender melhor as situações, ao utilizarem as ferramentas e recursos apresentados pela presente tese. Para atingir os objetivos optou-se pela criação e validação de um kit sensor para ser hospedado em ônibus coletivo, o qual foi validado e testado, quanto à sua eficiência de medição. Este kit foi integrado a uma plataforma computacional construída para extrair e processar informações com algoritmos matemáticos. Todos os componentes da plataforma foram legitimados com experimentos que confirmaram as hipóteses inicialmente formuladas para validação. E por fim, mapeamentos com mais de 70 mil pontos foram utilizados na criação de modelos espaçotemporais para realização de estudo de caso de regiões da cidade de São Paulo, os quais demostraram os usos potenciais das proposições desta tese. / The vehicles in urban traffic are considered as the main cause of urban pollution with a direct impact on air quality, being a challenge to have monitoring tools that enable an overview of the environmental conditions influenced by vehicle emissions. One option is to instrument the entire city with low-cost fixed sensors to collect environmental data; however, to provide a comprehensive view would require a large number of sensors, and a constant increase to follow the growth of the city. In this scenario, arises the opportunity for urban bus instrumentation with sensors that measure the environmental pollution, to take advantage of the mobility characteristics of public transport, which moves in populated areas, with dynamic attitude of growth, adapting in a coherent way to population and geographic variability of the city. This PhD Thesis proposes the monitoring of air quality inside urban roads by Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN), hosted on city buses. Thus, new ways of performing spatiotemporal analyzes of the air quality of urban regions are possible with the cartographic models created by this thesis. These allow to analyze mapped regions using spatial and temporal perspectives with information obtained from mobile sensor kits, for analyzes every 100 meters, promoting a resolution higher than the traditional monitoring models (kilometer scale), which still do not offer this possibility. This higher resolution allows a new perspective of analyzes of micro regions and, in this way, allows specialists or urban managers to have a better understanding of the urban scenario. Sensor kits are created to be hosted by bus, which has been validated and tested for its efficiency in measurement. This was integrated into a computational platform built to extract and process information with mathematical algorithms. All the components of the platform were validated with experiments that confirmed the hypotheses originally formulated for validation. Finally, mappings with more than 70,000 points were used in the creation of spatiotemporal models for the study of the case of regions of the city of São Paulo, which denoted the potentials constructed by this thesis.

Os veículos que compõem o tráfego urbano são considerados como o principal agente causador de poluição afetando diretamente a qualidade do ar nas cidades, sendo um desafio ter mecanismos de monitoramento que possibilitem uma visão geral das condições ambientais. Para proporcionar uma visão abrangente seria necessário um grande número de estações fixas de monitoramento da qualidade do ar, além de um incremento constante para acompanhar o crescimento da cidade. Neste cenário, surge a oportunidade de instrumentação de ônibus coletivo com sensores que medem a qualidade do ar durante seu trajeto, assim aproveitando as características de mobilidade do transporte público, o qual transita em áreas povoadas, com postura dinâmica de crescimento, adaptando-se de forma coerente à mutabilidade populacional e geográfica da cidade. A presente tese apresenta novas formas de realizar análises espaçotemporais da qualidade do ar de regiões urbanas. Os modelos cartográficos criados permitem analisar regiões mapeadas usando perspectivas espaciais e temporais com informações obtidas de kits sensores móveis, para análises a cada 100 metros, promovendo uma resolução maior que os modelos tradicionais de monitoramento (escala quilométrica), os quais ainda não oferecem esta possibilidade. Esta maior resolução permite uma nova perspectiva de análises de microrregiões e, desta forma, permite que os especialista ou gestores urbanos possam entender melhor as situações, ao utilizarem as ferramentas e recursos apresentados pela presente tese. Para atingir os objetivos optou-se pela criação e validação de um kit sensor para ser hospedado em ônibus coletivo, o qual foi validado e testado, quanto à sua eficiência de medição. Este kit foi integrado a uma plataforma computacional construída para extrair e processar informações com algoritmos matemáticos. Todos os componentes da plataforma foram legitimados com experimentos que confirmaram as hipóteses inicialmente formuladas para validação. E por fim, mapeamentos com mais de 70 mil pontos foram utilizados na criação de modelos espaçotemporais para realização de estudo de caso de regiões da cidade de São Paulo, os quais demostraram os usos potenciais das proposições desta tese. / The vehicles in urban traffic are considered as the main cause of urban pollution with a direct impact on air quality, being a challenge to have monitoring tools that enable an overview of the environmental conditions influenced by vehicle emissions. One option is to instrument the entire city with low-cost fixed sensors to collect environmental data; however, to provide a comprehensive view would require a large number of sensors, and a constant increase to follow the growth of the city. In this scenario, arises the opportunity for urban bus instrumentation with sensors that measure the environmental pollution, to take advantage of the mobility characteristics of public transport, which moves in populated areas, with dynamic attitude of growth, adapting in a coherent way to population and geographic variability of the city. This PhD Thesis proposes the monitoring of air quality inside urban roads by Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN), hosted on city buses. Thus, new ways of performing spatiotemporal analyzes of the air quality of urban regions are possible with the cartographic models created by this thesis. These allow to analyze mapped regions using spatial and temporal perspectives with information obtained from mobile sensor kits, for analyzes every 100 meters, promoting a resolution higher than the traditional monitoring models (kilometer scale), which still do not offer this possibility. This higher resolution allows a new perspective of analyzes of micro regions and, in this way, allows specialists or urban managers to have a better understanding of the urban scenario. Sensor kits are created to be hosted by bus, which has been validated and tested for its efficiency in measurement. This was integrated into a computational platform built to extract and process information with mathematical algorithms. All the components of the platform were validated with experiments that confirmed the hypotheses originally formulated for validation. Finally, mappings with more than 70,000 points were used in the creation of spatiotemporal models for the study of the case of regions of the city of São Paulo, which denoted the potentials constructed by this thesis.

An integrating approach, including knowledge about whole systems of processes, is essential in order to reach both development and environmental protection goals. In this thesis Geographical Information Systems (GIS) are suggested as a tool to realise such integrated models. The main hypothesis in this work is that several natural technical and social systems that share a time-space can be compared and analysed in a GIS. My first objective was to analyze how GIS can support research, planning, and, more specifically, bring a broad scattering of competence together in an interdisciplinary process. In this process GIS was ivestigated as a tool to achieve models that give us a better overview of a problem, a better understanding for the processes involved, aid in foreseeing conflicts between interests, find ecological limits and assist in choosing countermeasures and monitor the result of different programs. The second objective concerns the requirement that models should be comparable and possible to include in other models and that they can be communicated to planners, politicians and the public. For this reason the possibilities to communicate the result and model components of multidimensional and multi-temporal data are investigated. Four examples on the possibilities and problems when using GIS in interdisciplinary studies are presented. In the examples, water plays a central role as a component in questions about development, management and environmental impact. The first articles focus on non-point source pollutants as a problem under growing attention when the big industrial and municipal point sources are brought under control. To manage non-point source pollutants, detailed knowledge about local conditions is required to facilitate precise advices on land use. To estimate the flow of metals and N(itrogen) in an area it is important to identify the soil moisture. Soil moisture changes over time but also significantly in the landscape according to several factors. Here a method is presented that calculate soil moisture over large areas. Man as a hydrologie factor has to be assessed to also understand the relative importance of anthropogen processes. To offer a supplement to direct measurements and add anthropogen factors, a GIS model is presented that takes soil-type, topography, vegetation, land-use, agricultural drainage and relative position in the watershed into account. A method to analyse and visualise development over time and space in the same model is presented in the last empirical study. The development of agricultural drainage can be discussed as a product of several forces here analyzed together and visualized with help of colour coded "Hyper pixels" and maps. Finally a discussion concerning the physiological and psychological possibilities to communicate multidimensional phenomena with the help of pictures and maps is held. The main conclusions in this theses are that GIS offer the possibilities to develop distributed models, e.g., models that calculate effects from a vide range of factors in larger areas and with a much higher spatial resolution than has been possible earlier. GIS also offer a possibility to integrate and communicate information from different disciplines to scientists, decision makers and the public. / <p>Diss. (sammanfattning) Umeå : Umeå universitet, 1993, härtill 6 uppsatser.</p> / digitalisering@umu

The marbled murrelet (Brachyramphus marmoratus) is listed as threatened in both Canada and the United States due to logging of old-growth forest stands, their primary nesting habitat. Existing research is primarily focused on this terrestrial aspect of the species’ ecology. Our understanding of their at-sea foraging ecology, however, is limited to broad-scale studies of population abundance and dynamics. In order to further understand the spatial and temporal variations of marbled murrelet at-sea foraging behaviour and habitat use, bi-weekly surveys of marbled murrelets were conducted in Clayoquot Sound, BC, between May 1 and September 1, 2007 and 2008. Data were first analysed using a Getis-Ord Gi* spatial analysis to identify high-use foraging areas. Total marbled murrelet presence was consistent between years, but spatial distribution varied significantly in both years. A subsequent analysis of oceanic environmental variables found that temperature, salinity and phytoplankton densities (measured as chl a) were spatially ubiquitous, with no significant variation in measures across the study area. Chl a levels showed significant temporal variation, though similar trends in marbled murrelet abundance over time in both seasons suggest that phytoplankton levels do not directly affect murrelet presence. Marbled murrelets were also observed foraging within several metres of gray whales (Eschrictius robustus) feeding on epibenthic zooplankton in 2006 and 2008, a previously undocumented relationship. Join count statistics identified significant clustering of murrelets up to 300m from 39 feeding gray whales in 2006, and no association with 5 gray whales in 2008, marking a foraging association conditional on the abundance of both gray whales and their prey, but potentially significant to marbled murrelet survival and fecundity.

Made available in DSpace on 2016-12-23T13:51:55Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 kmila Gomes da Silva.pdf: 1840290 bytes, checksum: 71792d0ca0267bf6f9206f3a5d471245 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-03-12 / The analysis of the plant covering behavior on a temporal scale addresses practices that make forest remnant sustainability possible. The present study seeks to analyze the dynamics of the forest fragments in the hydrographic subbasin of the Alegre river, Espirito Santo state, based on the alterations of the plant covering and the structure of the forest landscape on a space-time scale, through two chapters. The first is based on the hypothesis that vegetation indexes can express similar vegetative or differentiated vigor of canopies of a specific area. To test the hypothesis, the objective was to to compare three vegetation indexes: TVI (Transformed Vegetation Index), CTVI (Corrected Transformed Vegetation Index) and RATIO (Ratio Vegetation Index), in relation to the behavior of NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), regarding the discrimination of the vegetative vigor, as well as the alterations in the forest cover between 1987 and 2010. Through the obtained results, it was verified that the vegetation indexes allowed to estimate the vegetative vigor of the plant covering. A 4.90% (NDVI) increase and one of 7.78% (TVI) of forest covering, a pasture reduction of 3.34% (NDVI) and 5.53% (TVI) and a reduction of nonvegetated areas of 5.93% (NDVI) and 3.35% (TVI), in the period between 1987 and 2010 were evidenced. The natural regeneration process might have been the decisive factor for the area increrease and the changes in the forest vegetation of the area. The second chapter was based on the hypotheses that:1) In the forest landscape the predominance of fragments of small area occured during the years studied (1975, 2002 and 2007); 2) there is a predominance of forest fragments with complex forms and with smaller central area; 3) The forest remnants are isolated and with a larger border area. Based on the above, the aim was to characterize the space and temporal evolution of the forest fragment structures using landscape ecology metrics applied in the years of 1975, 2002 and 2007; the structural analysis of the forest fragments was conducted contemplating area parameters, form, nucleus, border and proximity by size classes. Based on the obtained results, a 7% increase was verified in the total area of the forest covering with the appearance of 645 new fragments. The number of fragments increased and the area of contribution small, which implied in the high border/area ratio. The smallest fragments (< 1 ha.) presented simple geometric form in relation to the others. The largest forest fragments (> 20 ha.) were shown proximate, presenting a tendency towards reduction of the proximity measure values / A análise do comportamento da cobertura vegetal numa escala temporal direciona práticas que viabilizam a sustentabilidade dos remanescentes florestais. O presente estudo visa analisar a dinâmica dos fragmentos florestais na sub-bacia hidrográfica do rio Alegre-ES, com base nas alterações da cobertura vegetal e na estrutura da paisagem florestal em uma escala espaço temporal, por meio de dois capítulos. O primeiro deles com base na hipótese de que índices de vegetação podem expressar vigores vegetativos semelhantes ou diferenciados, de dosséis de uma determinada região. Para testar a hipótese, objetivou-se comparar três índices de vegetação: TVI (Transformed Vegetation Index), CTVI (Corrected Transformed Vegetation Index) e RATIO (Ratio Vegetation Index), em relação ao comportamento do NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Índex), quanto à discriminação do vigor vegetativo, bem como as alterações na cobertura florestal entre 1987 e 2010. Por meio dos resultados obtidos, verificou-se que os índices de vegetação permitiram estimar o vigor vegetativo da cobertura vegetal. Evidenciou-se o aumento da cobertura florestal de 4,90% (NDVI) e 7,78% (TVI), redução de pastagens de 3,34% (NDVI) e 5,53% (TVI), e redução de áreas não vegetadas de 5,93% (NDVI) e 3,35% (TVI), entre o período de 1987 e 2010. O processo de regeneração natural pode ter sido o fator determinante para o incremento de área e as mudanças na vegetação florestal da região. Já o segundo capítulo, baseou-se nas hipóteses de que: 1) Na paisagem florestal ocorre a predominância de fragmentos de pequena área durante os anos estudados (1975, 2002 e 2007); 2) Há predominância de fragmentos florestais com formas complexas e com menor área central; 3) Os remanescentes florestais estão isolados e com maior área de borda. Diante disso, objetivou-se caracterizar a evolução espacial e temporal das estruturas dos fragmentos florestais, utilizando as métricas da ecologia da paisagem aplicadas nos anos de 1975, 2002 e 2007; a análise estrutural dos fragmentos florestais foi realizada contemplando parâmetros de área, forma, núcleo, borda e proximidade em classes de tamanho. Com base nos resultados obtidos, verificou-se um aumento de 7% na área total da cobertura florestal com o surgimento de 645 novos fragmentos. O número de fragmentos foi elevado e a área de contribuição pequena, o que implicou na alta relação de borda/área. Os menores fragmentos (< 1 ha) apresentaram forma geométrica simples, em relação aos demais. Os maiores fragmentos florestais ( > 20 ha) mostraram-se próximos, apresentando uma tendência de redução nos valores da métrica de proximidade

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico / The monitoring of the use and coverage is very important when studying determined regions, just because it helps knowing the environmental reality and contributes to solve problems that can probably appear. This research was done from the images of ALOS and LANDSAT satellites. Its main objective was to have a multi-temporal analysis of Arroio Grande micro watershed, central region of Rio Grande do Sul. The specific purposes were to identify and to quantify the different classes of land use found in this micro watershed along the 1987, 1998, 2002, 2005, 2007 and 2009 periods, as well as cross the land use information to show the forest coverage changes during the 22 years of analysis. The software SPRING 5.1.7 was employed to classify the supervised images through Bhattacharya, a sorter algorithm, and the map spatial analysis was done through the Spatial Language of Algebraic Geoprocessing program with the same computational application. The classes of land use as forest, field, agriculture, irrigated agriculture, exposed soil and water layer were observed in the images of each year in this analysis. These classes were utilized in the spatial analysis of the forest coverage in which forest monitoring parameters have been defined (forest maintenance and regeneration, deforestation). In this research the principal results that have been noticed were the increase of 17,98% on the distributed forest coverage, mainly in the areas of bigger declination, and the reduction of 16,32% on the field area. The analysis of the spatial forest coverage has presented stability with the landscape, in a gradual progression, because the area of forest maintenance, found in these 22 years, was 12.252,60ha, the forest regeneration was 4.389,12ha and only 1.853,82ha of deforested area. / O monitoramento do uso e cobertura da terra faz-se importante no estudo de determinadas regiões, pois auxilia no conhecimento da realidade ambiental e contribui na busca por soluções de problemas que possam se apresentar. A partir do uso de imagens dos satélites, ALOS e LANDSAT, foi realizada esta pesquisa com o objetivo principal de fazer uma análise multitemporal na microbacia do Arroio Grande, região central do Rio Grande do Sul, cujos objetivos específicos foram: Identificar e quantificar as diferentes classes de uso da terra encontradas na microbacia nos períodos de 1987, 1998, 2002, 2005, 2007 e 2009; além de cruzar as informações de uso da terra, evidenciando a cobertura florestal que sofreu alterações no decorrer dos 22 anos de análise. Para tanto, foram utilizados o software SPRING 5.1.7 para a classificação supervisionada das imagens, com a adoção do algoritmo classificador Bhattacharya, e a análise espacial dos mapas com a programação LEGAL do mesmo aplicativo computacional. Para esta análise, foram observadas as classes de uso do solo: floresta, campo, agricultura, agricultura irrigada, solo exposto e lâmina d água, nas imagens de cada ano. Estas classes foram empregadas na análise espacial da cobertura florestal em que foram definidos parâmetros para o monitoramento florestal (manutenção florestal, regeneração florestal e desmatamentos). Os principais resultados notados, nesta pesquisa, foram o aumento de 17,98% na cobertura florestal distribuída, principalmente, nas áreas de maiores declividade, e a redução de 16,32% sobre a área de campo. Quanto à análise espacial da cobertura florestal, esta mostrou-se em estabilidade com a paisagem, e em gradual progressão, pois a área de manutenção florestal encontrada, nestes 22 anos, foi de 12.252,60 ha, a regeneração florestal foi de 4.389,12 ha e apenas 1.853,82 ha de área desmatada.

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico / Agribusiness has high importance in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, with the incorporation of fundamental importance to maintain its competitiveness and attractiveness factor technologies. Irrigation has become among the leading technologies available, featuring as main advantages to increase productivity and reduce risks associated with droughts. The determination of productive crop responses via simulation models has elevated in recent years, combining the agricultural sector the possibility of predictions about various scenarios, among these, water availability, reducing time and costs. In the same way, performing historical analyzes of production and profitability are essential for decision making related to incorporeal technologies in agricultural practice. This study aims to determine, via simulation models, productive responses of soybean, maize and beans, grown under different water regimes by performing temporal and risk analysis of the results obtained for the region of Santiago, RS. The study was conducted in the municipality of Santiago (29° 09 'S and 54 ° 51 ' O), with crops of soybeans, corn and beans, calibration and validation of models for these cultures in the DSSat system being performed, and subsequent evaluation and compared to the available models for soybean and beans in RSAP system. In the models considered fit after evaluation, sequences of climatic data (1961-2010) and certain productive responses related to growing conditions in rainfed and under great water conditions being held temporal and annual profitability analysis were included. The Cropgro - Soybean, Ceres-Maize - and Cropgro Drybean, framed models obtained performance as very good, very good and good for simulation of the production of grain (PG) of soybean, corn and beans, respectively, and great for simulation maximum production of dry matter (MSM) for all cultures. In comparison to the productive field responses versus models available in the DSSat system and RSAP, it was observed that for soybean and bean, the simulations obtained with the DSSat minor variations for soybeans, and RSAP for beans, however, both systems showed variations considered satisfactory. For historical simulations, the upland, the three studied crops (soybean, maize and beans), showed significant reductions in production and consequent income due to the drought. In both conditions of crops (dryland and irrigated) the higher costs, income and income were associated with maize, followed by soy beans. Comparing irrigated with dryland, the bean crop showed the greatest increases in profit complementation function of water, followed by corn and soybeans. Conclude that the simulation models were presented as useful tools for determining the yield response of crops under study, and compared with rainfed crops irrigated, the last were more interesting technically and economically. / O agronegócio apresenta elevada importância no Estado do Rio Grande do Sul, sendo a incorporação de tecnologias fator fundamental para manter a sua competitividade e atratividade. A irrigação apresenta-se dentre as principais tecnologias disponíveis, apresentando como principais vantagens a elevação da produtividade e a redução de riscos associados as estiagens. A determinação das respostas produtivas das culturas via modelos de simulação tem elevado-se nos últimos anos, aliando ao setor agropecuário a possibilidade de previsões sobre diversos cenários, dentre estes, os de disponibilidade hídrica, com redução de tempo e custos. Neste mesmo sentido, a realização de análises históricas de produções e rentabilidades são essenciais para tomadas de decisão relacionadas a incorpação de tecnologias na prática agrícola. O presente trabalho tem como objetivo determinar, via modelos de simulação, as respostas produtivas das culturas da soja, milho e feijão, cultivadas sob diferentes regimes hídricos, realizando análise temporal e de risco dos resultados obtidos, para a região de Santiago, RS. O trabalho foi realizado para o município de Santiago (29°09 S e 54º51 O), com as culturas da soja, milho e feijão, sendo realizada a calibração e validação dos modelos relativos a estas culturas presentes no sistema DSSat; e posterior avaliação e comparação com os modelos disponíveis para as culturas da soja e feijão no sistema RSAP. Nos modelos considerados aptos após a avaliação, foram inseridas sequencias de dados climáticos (1961-2010) e determinadas as respostas produtivas referentes às condições de cultivo em sequeiro e sob ótima disponibilidade hídrica, sendo realizada análise temporal e de rentabilidade anual. Os modelos Cropgro-Soybean, Ceres-Maize e Cropgro-Drybean, obtiveram desempenho enquadrado como muito bom, muito bom e bom, para simulação da produção de grão (PG) das culturas da soja, milho e feijão, respectivamente e ótimo para simulação da produção de matéria seca máxima (MSM) de todas as culturas. Na comparação entre respostas produtivas à campo versus modelos disponíveis no sistema DSSat e no RSAP, observou-se que para as culturas da soja e feijão, as simulações realizadas com o DSSat obtiveram menores variações para a soja, e o RSAP para o feijão, porém, ambos os sistemas apresentaram variações consideradas satisfatórias. Para as simulações históricas, na condição de sequeiro, as três culturas estudadas (soja, milho e feijão), apresentaram significativas reduções de produção e consequente lucro em função do déficit hídrico. Em ambas as condições de cultivos (sequeiro e irrigado) os maiores custos; renda e lucro estiveram associado a cultura do milho, seguidos pelo feijão e soja. Comparando cultivo irrigado com o de sequeiro, a cultura do feijão foi a que apresentou maiores elevações de lucro em função da complementação hídrica, seguidas pelas culturas do milho e soja . Conclui-se que os modelos de simulação apresentaram-se como ferramentas úteis para a determinação das respostas produtivas das culturas em estudo, sendo que comparado cultivos de sequeiro com irrigados, os últimos apresentaram-se mais interessantes técnica e economicamente.

Submitted by Fabio Sobreira Campos da Costa (fabio.sobreira@ufpe.br) on 2017-05-08T14:34:09Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 1232 bytes, checksum: 66e71c371cc565284e70f40736c94386 (MD5) Debora_Pereira_thesis.pdf: 4477202 bytes, checksum: 0af71560a8db492ecea51ebedad76427 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-05-08T14:34:09Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 1232 bytes, checksum: 66e71c371cc565284e70f40736c94386 (MD5) Debora_Pereira_thesis.pdf: 4477202 bytes, checksum: 0af71560a8db492ecea51ebedad76427 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-08-01 / FACEPE / CAPES / In Brazil, since 2000, approximately 50,000 people are murdered every year. In a span of 30 years (1980 – 2010), more than 1 million homicides were registered. In 2012, the homicide rate in Brazil was 29 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants. All Brazilian states exceed the threshold of epidemic established by World Health Organization. In this context, the present study has the objective of to investigate homicides in Recife, taking into account temporal, spatial, environmental, and multicriteria analysis. The temporal analysis shows that the difference of homicides between seasons and months is not statistically significant. However, there is a significant increase in homicides during the weekends (42 percent of all homicides) and evenings (62 percent). Moreover, the spatial results show that the spatial patterns are different within the temporal dimensions in many cases. The findings from spatial analysis reveal that homicides are very concentrated in the city of Recife and in a time span of five years (20092013) all the homicides occurred in less than 10 percent of the street segments. In addition, our test showed that the spatial pattern was not stable over the years. However, when we consider the temporal dimensions (as suggested by temporal analysis), the patterns were stable along the years – except for weekdays and night/dawn. Furthermore, through the environmental analysis, we found that inequality, rented houses, and number of residents have a positive relationship with homicide. On the other hand, income, education, public illumination, population density, and street network density have a negative relationship. The findings of these analyses indicate that homicide in Recife can be understood by the perspective of social disorganization theory and routine activity theory. Finally, multicriteria approach was applied to highlight vulnerable areas to homicide in Recife. We considered six variables to evaluate vulnerability and the areas were identified by PROMETHEE II method and local Moran’s I. Other application was made in Boa Viagem neighborhood, so we were able to perform a more detailed analysis. Three different approaches were tested for Boa Viagem and we suggested some actions in order to reduce criminality in long term. / No Brasil, desde 2000, aproximadamente 50,000 foram mortas todos os anos. Em um espaço de 30 anos (1980 – 2000), mais de 1 milhão de homicídios foram registrados. Em 2012, a taxa de homicídio no Brasil era 29 homicídios para cada 100,000 habitantes. Todos os estados brasileiros excedem o limite de epidemia estabelecido pela Organização Mundial de Saúde. Nesse contexto, o presente estudo tem o objetivo de investigar os homicídios em Recife, levando em consideração análises temporal, espacial, ambiental e multicritério. A análise temporal mostra que a diferença de homicídios entre estações do ano e meses não é estatisticamente significativa. Porém, existe um aumento significante de homicídios durante os finais de semana (42 por cento de todos os homicídios) e noites (62 por cento). E ainda, os resultados espaciais mostram que os padrões espaciais são diferentes dento das dimensões temporais em muitos casos. Os achados da análise espacial revelam que homicídios são muito concentrados na cidade do Recife e que em um espaço de tempo de cinco anos (2009-2013) todos os homicídios ocorreram em menos de 10 por cento dos segmentos de rua. E ainda, o teste do padrão dos pontos espaciais mostrou que os padrões espaciais não foram estáveis no decorrer dos anos. Porém, quando se considera das dimensões temporais (como sugerido pela análise temporal), os padrões foram estáveis ao longo dos anos – com exceção de dias de semana e noites/madrugadas. Além disso, através da análise ambiental encontrou-se que desigualdade, casas alugadas e número de residentes têm uma relação positiva com homicídio. Por outro lado, renda, educação, iluminação pública, densidade populacional e densidade da rede de ruas têm uma relação negativa. Os achados dessas análises indicam que os homicídios em Recife podem ser entendidos pela perspectiva da teoria da desorganização social e da teoria das atividades de rotina. Finalmente, abordagem multicritério foi aplicada para destacar áreas vulneráveis aos homicídios em Recife. Considerou-se seis variáveis para avaliar a vulnerabilidade e as áreas foram identificados pelo PROMETHEE II e pelo índice local de Moran. Outra aplicação foi feita no bairro de Boa Viagem e foi possível realizar uma análise mais detalhada. Três diferentes abordagens foram testadas para Boa Viagem e sugeriu-se algumas ações no sentido de reduzir a criminalidade no longo prazo.

L’objectif principal de cette thèse est d’instruire l’organisation des successions culturales, à l’échelle de la France et sur un recul décennal, tant en terme de cinétiques localisées qu’en terme de dynamiques liées à des variables explicatives du milieu physique et socio-technico-économiques. Ce travail de « fouille de données » est appliqué en France métropolitaine, en utilisant les bases de données publiques disponibles. Notre étude couvre la période 1992-2003 où s’implémenta la réforme de 1992 de la Politique Agricole Commune européenne et l’agenda 2000 en France. A partir d’une fouille de données sur l’ensemble des points Terruti sur cette période, 2549 successions culturales de trois ans furent identifiées. Ensuite, 21 clusters de l’ensemble des 430 régions agricoles (RA) françaises, quatre systèmes de culture, 90 RA, parangons des 430 RA, et trois régions principales appartenant à cinq des 21 clusters, regroupant les cultures de céréales, oléagineux et protéagineux, ont été définis. Deux approches de cinétiques des successions ont été réalisées : Une étude envisageant les successions de culture qui suivent les retournements de prairies permanentes. Une recherche des dynamiques d’évolution de successions culturales en lien avec des conditions externes. Nous proposons une utilisation ultérieure des méthodes mobilisées qui ont montré leur capacité à cartographier les grandes tendances d’évolution en France et à identifier les principales variables explicatives de ces évolutions. Les apports de cette thèse contribuent à améliorer notre compréhension des processus qui organisent les successions culturales en France et construisent par ces pratiques agricoles très dynamiques des impacts forts sur le territoire agricole français / In the context of changing agricultural policy, the development of agricultural production systems, increasing concern for agricultural sustainability and shifts in agricultural land management practice-related land-use change, the main objective of this thesis was to mine crop sequence patterns (CSP) and the relationships between CSP and the biophysical and socio-technical-economic conditions in mainland France from historical census data (e.g. land-cover survey, agricultural censuses, population census). Our study period 1992-2003 covers the implementation period of the 1992 European Union Common Agricultural Policy reform and Agenda 2000 in France. Both the classical statistical and data mining technique were applied in alone or combined ways in this thesis. First, we proposed an innovative approach to representing CSP within a given area and period at a large regional scale in a stationary way. The 2549 3-year crop sequences (CSs) were first identified as major CSs within all 430 agricultural districts (ADs) in mainland France during this period. Next, 21 clusters of ADs , four types of cropping systems, 90 representative ADs and three principal planting zones of cereals, oilseeds, and protein crops belonging to five clusters identified previously were further defined. We then explored CSP in a dynamic way by investigating CSP after grassland-to-cropland conversion, the temporal variability of CSP, and the evolution of the relationships between CSP and the external conditions over the study period. We conclude that the approaches developed here permit the representation of CSP at the large regional scale in both stationary and dynamic ways using time series land-cover data denoting specific agricultural cover types. The findings of this thesis contribute to improving the understanding of the process and pattern of human land management practices by agriculture affecting the terrestrial biosphere