Este trabalho apresenta uma alternativa ao controle vetorial de motores de indução, sem a utilização de sensores para realimentação da velocidade mecânica do motor. Ao longo do tempo, diversas técnicas de controle vetorial têm sido propostas na literatura. Dentre elas está a técnica de controle por orientação de campo (FOC), muito utilizada na indústria e presente também neste trabalho. A principal desvantagem do FOC é a sua grande sensibilidade às variações paramétricas da máquina, as quais podem invalidar o modelo e as ações de controle. Nesse sentido, uma estimativa correta dos parâmetros da máquina, torna-se fundamental para o acionamento. Este trabalho propõe o desenvolvimento e implementação de um estimador baseado em um sistema de inferência neuro-fuzzy adaptativo (ANFIS) para o controle de velocidade do motor de indução trifásico em um acionamento sem sensores. Pelo fato do acionamento em malha fechada admitir diversas velocidades de regime estacionário para o motor, uma nova metodologia de treinamento por partição de frequência é proposta. Ainda, faz-se a validação do sistema utilizando a orientação de campo magnético no referencial de campo de entreferro da máquina. Simulações para avaliação do desempenho do estimador mediante o acionamento vetorial do motor foram realizadas utilizando o programa Matlab/Simulink. Para a validação prática do modelo, uma bancada de testes foi implementada; o acionamento do motor foi realizado por um inversor de frequência do tipo fonte de tensão (VSI) e o controle vetorial, incluindo o estimador neuro-fuzzy, foi realizado pelo pacote de tempo real do programa Matlab/Simulink, juntamente com uma placa de aquisição de dados da National Instruments. / This work presents an alternative sensorless vector control of induction motors. Several techniques for induction motor control have been proposed in the literature. Among these is the field oriented control (FOC), strongly used in industries and also in this work. The main drawback of the FOC technique is its sensibility to deviations of the parameters of the machine, which can deteriorate the control actions. Therefore, an accurate determination of the machines parameters is mandatory to the drive system. This work proposes the development of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) estimator to control the angular speed of a three-phase induction motor in a sensorless drive. In a closed loop configuration, several speed commands can be imposed to the motor. Thus, a new frequency partition training of ANFIS is proposed. Moreover, the ANFIS speed estimator is validated in a magnetizing flux oriented control scheme. Simulations to evaluate the performance of the estimator considering the vector drive system were done by the Matlab/Simulink. To determine the benefits of the proposed model a practical system was implemented using a voltage source inverter (VSI) and the vector control including the ANFIS estimator, carried out by the Real Time Toolbox from Matlab/Simulink and a data acquisition card from National Instruments.

Este trabalho apresenta uma alternativa ao controle vetorial de motores de indução, sem a utilização de sensores para realimentação da velocidade mecânica do motor. Ao longo do tempo, diversas técnicas de controle vetorial têm sido propostas na literatura. Dentre elas está a técnica de controle por orientação de campo (FOC), muito utilizada na indústria e presente também neste trabalho. A principal desvantagem do FOC é a sua grande sensibilidade às variações paramétricas da máquina, as quais podem invalidar o modelo e as ações de controle. Nesse sentido, uma estimativa correta dos parâmetros da máquina, torna-se fundamental para o acionamento. Este trabalho propõe o desenvolvimento e implementação de um estimador baseado em um sistema de inferência neuro-fuzzy adaptativo (ANFIS) para o controle de velocidade do motor de indução trifásico em um acionamento sem sensores. Pelo fato do acionamento em malha fechada admitir diversas velocidades de regime estacionário para o motor, uma nova metodologia de treinamento por partição de frequência é proposta. Ainda, faz-se a validação do sistema utilizando a orientação de campo magnético no referencial de campo de entreferro da máquina. Simulações para avaliação do desempenho do estimador mediante o acionamento vetorial do motor foram realizadas utilizando o programa Matlab/Simulink. Para a validação prática do modelo, uma bancada de testes foi implementada; o acionamento do motor foi realizado por um inversor de frequência do tipo fonte de tensão (VSI) e o controle vetorial, incluindo o estimador neuro-fuzzy, foi realizado pelo pacote de tempo real do programa Matlab/Simulink, juntamente com uma placa de aquisição de dados da National Instruments. / This work presents an alternative sensorless vector control of induction motors. Several techniques for induction motor control have been proposed in the literature. Among these is the field oriented control (FOC), strongly used in industries and also in this work. The main drawback of the FOC technique is its sensibility to deviations of the parameters of the machine, which can deteriorate the control actions. Therefore, an accurate determination of the machines parameters is mandatory to the drive system. This work proposes the development of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) estimator to control the angular speed of a three-phase induction motor in a sensorless drive. In a closed loop configuration, several speed commands can be imposed to the motor. Thus, a new frequency partition training of ANFIS is proposed. Moreover, the ANFIS speed estimator is validated in a magnetizing flux oriented control scheme. Simulations to evaluate the performance of the estimator considering the vector drive system were done by the Matlab/Simulink. To determine the benefits of the proposed model a practical system was implemented using a voltage source inverter (VSI) and the vector control including the ANFIS estimator, carried out by the Real Time Toolbox from Matlab/Simulink and a data acquisition card from National Instruments.

Made available in DSpace on 2014-12-17T14:55:11Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 CarlosAGF_TESE.pdf: 1739972 bytes, checksum: 7401db4e68ede642dc9d65e00bd935e6 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2012-12-21 / In this work a modification on ANFIS (Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System) structure is proposed to find a systematic method for nonlinear plants, with large operational range, identification and control, using linear local systems: models and controllers. This method is based on multiple model approach. This way, linear local models are obtained and then those models are combined by the proposed neurofuzzy structure. A metric that allows a satisfactory combination of those models is obtained after the structure training. It results on plant s global identification. A controller is projected for each local model. The global control is obtained by mixing local controllers signals. This is done by the modified ANFIS. The modification on ANFIS architecture allows the two neurofuzzy structures knowledge sharing. So the same metric obtained to combine models can be used to combine controllers. Two cases study are used to validate the new ANFIS structure. The knowledge sharing is evaluated in the second case study. It shows that just one modified ANFIS structure is necessary to combine linear models to identify, a nonlinear plant, and combine linear controllers to control this plant. The proposed method allows the usage of any identification and control techniques for local models and local controllers obtaining. It also reduces the complexity of ANFIS usage for identification and control. This work has prioritized simpler techniques for the identification and control systems to simplify the use of the method / Neste trabalho prop?e-se uma modifica??o na estrutura neurofuzzy ANFIS (Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System) para a obten??o de um m?todo sistem?tico para identifica??o e controle de plantas com ampla faixa de opera??o e n?o linearidade acentuada, a partir de t?cnicas lineares de identifica??o e controle. Este m?todo se baseia na metodologia de m?ltiplos modelos. Dessa forma, obt?m-se modelos lineares locais e esses s?o combinados pela estrutura neurofuzzy proposta. Uma m?trica que permite combinar adequadamente esses modelos ? obtida ap?s o treinamento dessa estrutura, resultando na identifica??o global da planta. Para cada um desses modelos ? projetado um controlador. O controle global ? obtido a partir da combina??o dos sinais dos controladores locais. Essa mistura ? feita pelo ANFIS modificado. A modifica??o na arquitetura do ANFIS permite o compartilhamento do conhecimento adquirido pelo treinamento da estrutura empregada na combina??o de modelos locais. Assim n?o se faz necess?rio o treinamento da estrutura empregada na mistura de controladores. Avaliaram-se as estruturas modificadas atrav?s de dois estudos de caso. Verificou-se que ? poss?vel treinar apenas um ANFIS, para a obten??o de uma m?trica que permita a combina??o adequada dos modelos lineares, v?lidos localmente, e essa estrutura, j? ajustada, pode ser aplicada na combina??o de controladores lineares, projetados para cada um dos modelos, resultando em um sistema de controle que satisfaz as especifica??es de desempenho previamente estabelecidas. O m?todo proposto possibilita a utiliza??o de quaisquer t?cnicas de identifica??o e controle para a obten??o dos modelos e controladores locais, e a redu??o da complexidade de utiliza??o do ANFIS para identifica??o e controle. Neste trabalho priorizaram-se as t?cnicas mais simples de identifica??o e controle de sistemas de forma a simplificar a utiliza??o do m?todo

Made available in DSpace on 2014-12-17T14:55:48Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 MarconiCR.pdf: 3477416 bytes, checksum: 7bf9d3b9014c2ba726d8694085022188 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2006-02-17 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior / A neuro-fuzzy system consists of two or more control techniques in only one structure. The main characteristic of this structure is joining one or more good aspects from each technique to make a hybrid controller. This controller can be based in Fuzzy systems, artificial Neural Networks, Genetics Algorithms or rein forced learning techniques. Neuro-fuzzy systems have been shown as a promising technique in industrial applications. Two models of neuro-fuzzy systems were developed, an ANFIS model and a NEFCON model. Both models were applied to control a ball and beam system and they had their results and needed changes commented. Choose of inputs to controllers and the algorithms used to learning, among other information about the hybrid systems, were commented. The results show the changes in structure after learning and the conditions to use each one controller based on theirs characteristics / Neste trabalho ? mostrado tanto o desenvolvimento quanto as caracter?sticas de algumas das principais t?cnicas utilizadas para o controle inteligente de sistemas. Partindo de um controlador fuzzy foi poss?vel aplicar t?cnicas de aprendizagem, similares ?s utilizadas pelas Redes Neurais Artificiais (RNA's), evoluir para os modelos neuro-fuzzy ANFIS e NEFCON. Estes modelos neuro-fuzzy foram aplicados a uma planta real do tipo ball and beam e tiveram tanto suas adapta??es quanto seus resultados comentados. Para cada controlador desenvolvido s?o especificadas as vari?veis de entrada, os par?metros utilizados para a adapta??o das vari?veis e os algoritmos aplicados em cada um deles. J? os resultados est?o voltados para a obten??o de um comparativo entre a fase inicial e a final da evolu??o dos controladores neuro-fuzzy, assim como, a aplicabilidade de cada um deles de acordo com suas caracter?sticas intr?nsecas

Made available in DSpace on 2014-07-29T15:08:23Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 dissertacaoPriscila.pdf: 645879 bytes, checksum: 1150784f73524c6b5341fd319cc9d608 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2009-01-02 / n the planning of the energetic operation, analysis and forecasts of the flow are very important. A huge difficulty in the forecast of flow is the seasonality presence, due to drought and flood periods in the year. Many scientists, with different methodologies, have been concerned with finding a best model, compared with the utilized by Brazil s system - Markovian Model. The Makovian Model, or selfregressive with order 1, is a Box & Jenkins methodology, and requires data handling to treat non-stationarity, or the use of regular models, requiring a hardly theoretical formulation for the statistical procedures. Therefore, the statistical models, autoregressive model with seasonality and Holt-Winters model, of treatment of temporal series are presented and, carried out the flow s analysis and forecast for three study groups, in two different (historical) horizons. The performance of the models was compared and the results showed that the proposed models presents better adjust than the model adopted by Brazilian system / No planejamento da operação energética, a análise e previsão de vazões são muito importantes. Uma grande dificuldade na previsão de vazões é a presença da sazonalidade, devido aos períodos de seca e cheia no ano. Muitos estudiosos, com metodologias diversas, têm se preocupado em encontrar um modelo de melhor ajuste, em comparação ao utilizado pelo sistema brasileiro, ou seja, o modelo auto-regressivo de ordem 1, que consiste numa metodologia de Box & Jenkins e exige manuseio nos dados para tratar a não-estacionariedade. O presente trabalho analisa e compara os modelo utilizados pelo sistema brasileiro (PAR), com modelo matemático que considera a sazonalidade dos dados (SAR) e o método de Holt-Winters e, modelos amplamente estudados como PARMA e ANFIS. O desempenho dos modelos foi comparado e os resultados mostraram que em muitos estudos os modelos PAR/PARMA e ANFIS apresentam melhor ajuste , no geral, em relação aos demais

Le procédé de distillation est largement utilisé dans de nombreuses applications telles que la production pétrochimique, le traitement du gaz naturel, les raffineries de pétrole, etc. Généralement, la maintenance des réacteurs chimiques est très coûteuse et perturbe la production pendant de longues périodes. Tous ces facteurs démontrent réellement la nécessité de stratégies efficaces de diagnostic et de pronostic des défauts pour pouvoir réduire et éviter le plus grand nombre de ces problèmes catastrophiques. La première partie de nos travaux vise à proposer une méthode de diagnostic fiable pouvant être utilisée dans le régime permanent d’une procédure non linéaire. De plus, nous proposons une procédure modifiée de la méthode MFCM permettant de calculer la variation en pourcentage entre deux classes. L’utilisation de MFCM a pour objectif de réduire le temps de calcul et d’accroître les performances du classifieur. Les résultats de la méthode proposée confirment la capacité de classifier entre les différentes classes de défaillances considérées. Le calcul de la durée de vie du système est extrêmement important pour éviter les pannes catastrophiques. Notre deuxième objectif est de proposer une méthode fiable de pronostic permettant d’estimer le chemin de dégradation d’une colonne de distillation et de calculer le pourcentage de durée de vie de ce système. Le travail présente une approche basée sur le système d’inférence neuro-fuzzy adaptatif (ANFIS) combiné avec (FCM) pour prédire la trajectoire future et calculer le pourcentage de durée de vie du système. Les résultats obtenus démontrent la validité de la technique proposée pour atteindre les objectifs requis avec une précision de haut niveau. Pour améliorer les performances d’ANFIS, nous proposons la distribution de Parzen comme nouvelle fonction d’appartenance de l’algorithme ANFIS. Les résultats ont démontré l’importance de la technique proposée car elle s’est avérée efficace pour réduire le temps de calcul. En outre, la distribution de Parzen présentait la plus petite erreur quadratique moyenne (RMSE). La dernière partie de cette thèse se concentrait sur la proposition d’un nouvel algorithme pouvant être appliqué pour obtenir un système de surveillance en temps réel s’appuyant sur la prédiction de défauts ; cela signifie que cette méthode permet de prédire l’état futur du système, puis de diagnostiquer quelle est la source d’erreur probable. Elle permet d’évaluer la dégradation d’une colonne de distillation et de diagnostiquer par la suite les défauts ou accidents pouvant survenir à la suite de la dégradation estimée. Cette nouvelle approche combine les avantages d’ANFIS à ceux de RNA permettant d’atteindre un haut niveau de précision. / The distillation process is largely used in many applications such a petrochemical production, natural gas processing, and petroleum refineries, etc. Usually, maintenance of the chemical reactors is very costly and it disrupts production for long periods of time. All these factors really demonstrate the fundamental need for effective fault diagnosis and prognostic strategies that they are able to reduce and avoid the greatest number of thes problems and disasters. The first part of our work aims to propose a reliable diagnostic method that can be used in the steady-state regime of a nonlinear procedure. Moreover, we propose a modified procedure of the fuzzy c-means clustering method (MFCM) where MFCM calculates the percentage variation between the two clustered classes. The purpose of using MFCM is to reduce the computing time and increase the performance of the classifier. The results of the proposed method confirm the ability to classify between normal mode and eight abnormal modes of faults. Our second goal aims to propose a prognosis reliable method used to estimate the degradation path of a distillation column and calculate the lifetime percentage of this system. The work presents an approach based on adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) combined with (FCM) to predict the future path and calculate the lifetime percentage of the system. The results obtained demonstrate the validity of the proposed technique to achieve the needed objectives with a high-level accuracy. To improve ANFIS performance we propose Parzen windows distribution as a new membership function for ANFIS algorithm. Results demonstrated the importance of the proposed technique since it proved to be highly successful in terms of reducing the time consumed. Additionally, Parzen windows had the smallest Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The last part of this thesis was focusing on the proposing of new algorithm which can be applied to obtain real-time monitoring system which relies on the fault production module to reach the diagnosis module in contrast to the previous strategies ; this means this method predict the future state of the system then diagnosis what is the probable fault source. This proposed method has proven to be a reliable process that can evaluate the degradation of a distillation column and subsequently diagnose the possible faults or accidents that can emerge as a result of the estimated degradation. This new approach combines the benefits of ANFIS with the benefits of feedforward ANN. The results were demonstrated that the technique achieved with a high level of accuracy, the objective of prediction and diagnosis especially when applied to the data obtained from automated distillation process in the chemical industry.

[pt] Os polissacarídeos constituintes da biomassa lignocelulósica podem ser beneficiados através de processos industriais. Entretanto, para manipulá-los é necessário que a biomassa seja submetida ao processo de pré-tratamento. Esta é uma das etapas mais caras e relevantes para a disposição e aplicação das frações lignocelulósicas. O presente estudo consiste em uma investigação detalhada do processo de pré-tratamento da biomassa lignocelulósica com H2O2, a qual foi realizada através de tecnologias inteligentes que viabilizaram a otimização deste processo. Ferramentas de inteligência artificial revelam-se vantajosas na solução dos gargalos associados aos avanços tecnológicos. Possibilitam a modelagem matemática de um processo com máxima eficiência, otimizando sua produtividade, transformando dados experimentais em informações úteis e demonstrando as infinitas possibilidades das relações das variáveis envolvidas. As variáveis independentes estudadas foram a temperatura (25 – 45 graus Celsius) e a concentração de peróxido de hidrogênio (1.5 – 7.5 porcento m/v). Técnicas analíticas qualitativas (Raman e FTIR) e quantitativa (Método de Klason) foram aplicadas para produzir um banco de dados referente a extração da lignina com H2O2, o qual foi utilizado no desenvolvimento de modelos neurais aplicando Redes Neurais Artificiais (ANN, do inglês Artificial Neural Networks) e Sistema de Inferência Adaptativa Neuro-Difusa (ANFIS, do inglês Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system). E modelos polinomiais, os quais tiveram seus parâmetros estimados por Algoritmos Genéticos (GA, do inglês Genetic Algorithms). Os modelos desenvolvidos conseguiram predizer: o Teor de Lignina Extraída (porcento) por Espectroscopia Raman, o Teor de Lignina Oxidada (porcento) por FTIR, o Teor de Lignina Residual (porcento) pelo Método de Klason, e por último, dois modelos para a comparação da resposta analítica qualitativa com a resposta analítica quantitativa. Os modelos polinomiais, que tiveram seus parâmetros estimados por GA foram avaliados estatisticamente através da ANOVA e pelo coeficiente de correlação (R2). E os modelos neurais desenvolvidos foram avaliados pelo coeficiente de correlação (R2), número de parâmetros e índices de erro (SSE, MSE e RMSE). Para cada modelo polinomial e neural proposto, quando coerente, superfícies de resposta e curvas de contorno foram plotadas permitindo a identificação da região operacional mais indicada para a realização do pré-tratamento com H2O2. Dentre as estratégias inteligentes propostas, os modelos desenvolvidos com ANN mostraram-se mais eficientes para as predições relacionadas à extração da lignina. / [en] Industrial processes benefit the polysaccharides constituting the lignocellulosic biomass. However to manipulate them it is necessary that the biomass is submitted to the pre-treatment process. This is one of the most expensive and relevant steps for the arrangement and application of lignocellulosic fractions. The present study consists of a detailed investigation of the pretreatment process of lignocellulosic biomass with H2O2, applying intelligent technologies that enabled the optimization of this process. Artificial intelligence tools prove to be advantageous in solving the bottlenecks associated with technological advances. They enable the mathematical modeling of a process with maximum efficiency, optimizing its productivity, transforming experimental data into useful information and demonstrating the infinite possibilities of the relationships of the variables involved. The independent variables studied were the temperature (25-45 Celsius degrees) and the concentration of hydrogen peroxide (1.5 - 7.5 percent m / v). Qualitative analytical techniques (Raman and FTIR) and quantitative (Klason method) were applied to produce a database for the extraction of lignin with H2O2, which was used in the development of neural models applying Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). And polynomial models, which had their parameters estimated by Genetic Algorithms (GA). The models developed were able to predict: the Extracted Lignin Content (percent) by Raman Spectroscopy, the Oxidized Lignin Content (percent) by FTIR, the Residual Lignin Content (percent) by the Klason Method, and lastly, two models for the comparison of the qualitative analytical response with the quantitative analytical response. The polynomial models, which had their parameters estimated by GA, were statistically evaluated using ANOVA and correlation coefficient (R2) evaluated the polynomial models developed by GA statistically. And the neural models developed were evaluated by the coefficient of correlation (R2), number of parameters and error indexes (SSE, MSE and RMSE). For each proposed polynomial and neural model, when coherent, response surfaces and contour curves were plotted allowing the identification of the most suitable operational region for the pretreatment with H2O2. Among the proposed intelligent strategies, the models developed with ANN proved to be more efficient for the predictions related to lignin extraction.

Les contraintes des marchés et les attentes de la société vis-à-vis des systèmes industriels en termes économique, sécuritaire, environnementaux requièrent de considérer les performances de ces derniers de façon globale sur l'ensemble de leur cycle de vie. Cela nécessite de mettre en synergie, par exemple avec des ingénieries couplées dès la conception, le système principal et ses systèmes contributeurs, et notamment celui de soutien avec son processus pivot de maintenance. Cette focalisation intégrative sur la maintenance a conduit à évoluer d'anciennes pratiques de maintenance vers de nouvelles plus proactives faisant émerger des stratégies prévisionnelles dont le processus clé est le pronostic. Cependant ce processus fait l'objet d'un réel manque de formalisation et les travaux existants restent principalement centrés sur les composants, sans prendre en compte les performances des systèmes. Ainsi notre contribution porte sur la proposition d'architectures génériques de pronostic système permettant d'obtenir les évolutions futures des dégradations/défaillances des composants et des performances de niveaux système/sous-systèmes/composants : soit directement par un pronostic adapté, soit par modélisation de la causalité dysfonctionnelle sous forme de relations logiques supportées par un réseau de neurones flou ANFIS. Une méthodologie est associée pour définir les indicateurs de dégradation et de performance, aboutissant à la réalisation des architectures. Enfin la faisabilité de cette approche est démontrée sur un système de déroulage/pressage de la plateforme TELMA / Today requirements and constraints on industrial systems about economic, safety, ecological points of view lead to consider their performances with a global view taking into account all the system lifecycle. Thus the design of the system-of-interest has to be connected as soon as possible with the enabling systems designs, and more particularly the logistic support based on the key process of maintenance. This new consideration about maintenance allowed to change practices from reactive to predictive ones with the emergence of the proactive maintenance built on the prognostic process. However this process still lacks of generic formalization and existing works focus mainly on component level without tackling system performances. Therefore our contribution is related to the modelling of generic architectures for the systems prognostic which assesses future evolution of degradation/failure components and system/subsystem/component level performances: either by prognosticating with an adapted model, or by modelling the dysfunctional causality with logical relations supported by a neuro-fuzzy tool ANFIS. A methodology is given to define indicators for degradations and performances and to build architecture. Finally, the feasibility of this approach is shown on the manufacturing TELMA platform

Over the past of decade, the bullwhip effect has increasingly become a popular topic for researchers and practitioners in the area of supply chain management since it negatively influences cost, inventory, reliability and other important business processes in supply chain agents. Although there are many remedies for the bullwhip effect summarised in existing literature, it still occurs in several industries. This is partly because it is difficult to apply the results from existing research which analyse the bullwhip effect mainly in a simple supply chain. In addition, several tools and methodologies developed are used for analysing the bullwhip effect in a simple supply chain with several constraints. Therefore, this research aims to develop a unique simulation approach based on system dynamics modelling and Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) for quantifying and reducing the bullwhip effect in a multi-product, multi-stage supply chain. System dynamics modelling which is a powerful simulation approach for studying and managing complex feedback system was selected as a main tool in this research. In addition, ANFIS was implemented in system dynamics modelling in order to increase the reliability of a system dynamics model for modelling soft variables. The proposed model covers variables influencing the bullwhip effect which are the structure of supply chain network, supply chain contributions and supply chain performances. As a result, a two layer simulation with three generic models was developed. The flexibility of this proposed model is the ability to model various types of ordering policies which are basic inventory policies, Material requirement planning (MRP) system and Just in time (JIT) approach. Three actual manufacturing supply chains were used as case studies to validate and demonstrate the flexibility of the model developed in this research. This model satisfactorily quantifies the bullwhip effect and the bullwhip effect levels identified in these case studies are significantly decreased by using the proposed simulation model. The successful results indicate that the model can be a useful alternative tool for supply chain managers to quantify and reduce the bullwhip effect in multi-product, multi-stage supply chains.

Wikipedia is a free, web-based, collaborative, multilingual encyclopedia project supported by the non-profit Wikimedia Foundation. Due to the free nature of Wikipedia and allowing open access to everyone to edit articles the quality of articles may be affected. As all people don’t have equal level of knowledge and also different people have different opinions about a topic so there may be difference between the contributions made by different authors. To overcome this situation it is very important to classify the articles so that the articles of good quality can be separated from the poor quality articles and should be removed from the database. The aim of this study is to classify the articles of Wikipedia into two classes class 0 (poor quality) and class 1(good quality) using the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and data mining techniques. Two ANFIS are built using the Fuzzy Logic Toolbox [1] available in Matlab. The first ANFIS is based on the rules obtained from J48 classifier in WEKA while the other one was built by using the expert’s knowledge. The data used for this research work contains 226 article’s records taken from the German version of Wikipedia. The dataset consists of 19 inputs and one output. The data was preprocessed to remove any similar attributes. The input variables are related to the editors, contributors, length of articles and the lifecycle of articles. In the end analysis of different methods implemented in this research is made to analyze the performance of each classification method used.