O presente trabalho investiga a criatividade no contexto da inovação nas organizações. Em diversos campos da vida humana a criatividade tem sido uma questão relevante, em função da complexidade das soluções exigidas em situações e ambientes marcados pelas incertezas, ausência de modelos ou paradigmas e falência de outros. Na esfera dos negócios e das organizações é exatamente esta ambiência que caracteriza o cenário atual, onde predomina a demanda por inovação como fator competitivo. A criatividade surge, então, como força motriz para as inovações, fundamento de sua qualidade e fator diferencial frente aos desafios e problemas do cotidiano e dos negócios. Entendida como potencialidade sempre presente no ser humano, quando aliada à atitude e à ação empreendedora, a criatividade é capaz de contribuir para a inovação. A relação entre criatividade e inovação é aqui estudada, tendo como foco da análise a gênese de empreendimentos inovadores, pois, embora seja conhecida a necessidade de inovar, as organizações devem lidar permanentemente com a chamada ambidestria organizacional, caracterizada como a simultaneidade da manutenção e da inovação de seu negócio. Mesmo reconhecendo necessidade de inovação para garantir o sucesso dos negócios, sua implementação depende da legitimação por parte dos agentes de reconhecimento e sua viabilização, de contextos burocráticos, resistentes e cegos. A investigação foi apoiada em estudo empírico, que teve como sujeitos pessoas que tiveram projetos criativos recusados pelas organizações em que trabalhavam e que, sem abandonar suas idéias, criaram empresas próprias, revelando, nesse processo, a criatividade pessoal, a resiliência, o empreendedorismo e a causalidade pessoal. / This thesis aims at investigating creativity within the context of innovation in organizations. Creativity is a relevant issue in several realms of human life if the requirements stemming from situations and environments characterized by uncertainties, lack or failure of paradigms and models are concerned. This is the prevailing status of innovation nowadays, a condition of competition. Creativity emerges as crucial element of innovation, rooting its quality and differentiating its outcomes. Understood as a potential ever present in human beings, creativity when aligned with entrepreneurship is enabled to contribute to innovation. Here, the relationship between creativity and innovation is scrutinized through the lens of the genesis of innovative entrepreneurship since the recognition of the need of innovation does not free organizations from the manning of the traditional and the new - organizational ambidextry. Although the recognition of innovation is required by the business effectiveness, its implementation relies on legitimacy on the part of organizational agents as well as its achievement faces bureaucracy, resistance and blindness. The analysis here carried out was supported by empirical data surveyed through individuals whose creative projects were rebuked by the enterprises where they had worked. Without giving up their ideas they settled their own enterprises to carry out their projects thus putting into light the creative process grounded on resilience, personal causation and entrepreneurship. In many of the fields of human life creativity has emerged more frequently as a relevant theme of study, due to the complexity of the solutions demanded in situations and environments characterized by uncertainty, absence of frameworks or paradigms and xi breakdown of others. In business and organizational sphere, thats exactly the ambience of present scenario, in which demand for innovation is prevalent as a competitive factor. Creativity comes up, then, as a requisite for innovation, differential element when facing challenges and problems of daily life and business. Assumed as a human potential always present, when allied to entrepreneurial attitude and action, creativity is capable to contribute to innovation. The relationship between creativity and innovation is studied, focused on the genesis of innovative enterprises, because, even knowing the necessity of innovate, organizations have to deal permanently with the so called organizational ambidestry, characterized by simultaneity of maintenance and innovation of the business. Even recognizing that innovation is necessary to guarantee success of business, organizations and society, implementation of any innovative process depend upon facing agents of recognition, in charge of identifying and authorizing it as a way of doing and of making in a certain environment and, for that, the tradition of taylorist and bureaucratic models of management is, sometimes, cause of blindness. The success threat is one of the contingent factors of their refusal of creative proposals, potentially innovative. This factor relates to organizational culture and its flexibility and openness to the new. Present investigation was supported by empirical study, with subjects whose projects were refused by organizations to which they worked for who, then, decided to create own organizations, revealing not only resilience, but, especially, personal causality.

The aim of the thesis is to examine the relationship between the course of the business cycle and the cycle of the Hollywood film industry. In the introductory section are raised theoretical approaches to the economic cycle, which seeks to clarify the causes of decline of economic activity, and compares the different recommendations. The next section is devoted to clarify the specifics of the film industry and provides a better understanding of non-transparent processes within the industry. The analytical part tests the causal relationship between the economic situation of the individual and the Hollywood studios, based on a sample of 90 observations using the Granger causality test and VAR model. Prior to empirical testing is provided a comprehensive analysis of the industry cycles from the inception to the present and is compared to the economic activity of the country. Finally, the confirmation or refutation of dependence and the result is compared with economic theory.

AtravÃs da utilizaÃÃo de instrumentais estatÃsticos e economÃtricos para a anÃlise de sÃries temporais, buscou-se verificar as relaÃÃes entre as taxas de crescimento dos paÃses desenvolvidos e emergentes. Para tanto, utilizou-se de uma amostra contendo a taxa real de crescimento econÃmico desses paÃses no perÃodo de 1970-2007. Com base nesse estudo, verificou-se que existe causalidade, no sentido Granger, do crescimento econÃmico dos paÃses desenvolvidos em direÃÃo aos paÃses emergentes. A funÃÃo de resposta a impulsos mostrou que a resposta dos paÃses emergentes a choques no crescimento dos paÃses desenvolvidos foi a mais significativa e duradoura. / Through the use of statistical and econometric instrumentals for the analysis of time series, this work aims to verify the relationships between the economic growth rate of developed and emergent countries. For so much, it was used of a sample containing the real economic growth rate of those countries in the period of 1970-2007. With base in this study, it was verified that causality exists, in the sense of Granger, of the economic growth rate of the countries developed towards the emerging countries. The impulse response function showed that the answer of the emerging countries to impacts in the economic growth of the developed countries was the most significant and durable.

Este trabalho versa sobre o problema do desencadeamento para a psicanálise e toma por fio condutor alguns casos freudianos. O tema sublinhado foi concebido como um ponto clínico fundamental, que remete o psicanalista tanto à questão diagnóstica quanto à investigação etiológica. Neste sentido, destacamos que o surgimento de sintomas e do surto psicótico mereceu particular atenção ao longo de nossas linhas. Verificamos que, depois de Freud, a presença de uma conversão histérica ou de um delírio paranóico logo indicava uma direção para o tratamento e também indagava a psicanálise acerca das causas precipitadoras de tais quadros. Pois bem, sobretudo nos intrigou a pesquisa sobre as dimensões causais de um desencadeamento. Para realizá-la seguimos primeiro Freud e sua complexa teoria da causalidade psíquica e depois Jacques Lacan, que, de maneira peculiar, soube destacar o inédito freudiano e postular uma noção de causalidade que designamos como própria à psicanálise e pertinente ao desencadeamento. / This work seeks to explore the question of triggering off in psychoanalytic theory by examining some Freudian cases. The theme was conceived as a key clinical aspect which poses for the psychoanalyst the questions of diagnosis and of etiological investigation. In this sense, we highlight that the emergence of symptoms and of psychotic breakdown were particularly important to this work. We verified that since Freud, either the hysterical conversion or the paranoid delirium indicated the direction of the treatment; and raised concerns about the emerging causes of these conditions. In this study the causal dimensions of triggering off was particularly intriguing. To accomplish this investigation, we first drew upon Freuds theories of the psychic causality and proceeded to the study of Jacques Lacan who in a particular manner highlighted Freudians findings and postulated a notion of causality that is central to psychoanalysis and strongly related to the idea of triggering off.

O presente trabalho investiga a criatividade no contexto da inovação nas organizações. Em diversos campos da vida humana a criatividade tem sido uma questão relevante, em função da complexidade das soluções exigidas em situações e ambientes marcados pelas incertezas, ausência de modelos ou paradigmas e falência de outros. Na esfera dos negócios e das organizações é exatamente esta ambiência que caracteriza o cenário atual, onde predomina a demanda por inovação como fator competitivo. A criatividade surge, então, como força motriz para as inovações, fundamento de sua qualidade e fator diferencial frente aos desafios e problemas do cotidiano e dos negócios. Entendida como potencialidade sempre presente no ser humano, quando aliada à atitude e à ação empreendedora, a criatividade é capaz de contribuir para a inovação. A relação entre criatividade e inovação é aqui estudada, tendo como foco da análise a gênese de empreendimentos inovadores, pois, embora seja conhecida a necessidade de inovar, as organizações devem lidar permanentemente com a chamada ambidestria organizacional, caracterizada como a simultaneidade da manutenção e da inovação de seu negócio. Mesmo reconhecendo necessidade de inovação para garantir o sucesso dos negócios, sua implementação depende da legitimação por parte dos agentes de reconhecimento e sua viabilização, de contextos burocráticos, resistentes e cegos. A investigação foi apoiada em estudo empírico, que teve como sujeitos pessoas que tiveram projetos criativos recusados pelas organizações em que trabalhavam e que, sem abandonar suas idéias, criaram empresas próprias, revelando, nesse processo, a criatividade pessoal, a resiliência, o empreendedorismo e a causalidade pessoal. / This thesis aims at investigating creativity within the context of innovation in organizations. Creativity is a relevant issue in several realms of human life if the requirements stemming from situations and environments characterized by uncertainties, lack or failure of paradigms and models are concerned. This is the prevailing status of innovation nowadays, a condition of competition. Creativity emerges as crucial element of innovation, rooting its quality and differentiating its outcomes. Understood as a potential ever present in human beings, creativity when aligned with entrepreneurship is enabled to contribute to innovation. Here, the relationship between creativity and innovation is scrutinized through the lens of the genesis of innovative entrepreneurship since the recognition of the need of innovation does not free organizations from the manning of the traditional and the new - organizational ambidextry. Although the recognition of innovation is required by the business effectiveness, its implementation relies on legitimacy on the part of organizational agents as well as its achievement faces bureaucracy, resistance and blindness. The analysis here carried out was supported by empirical data surveyed through individuals whose creative projects were rebuked by the enterprises where they had worked. Without giving up their ideas they settled their own enterprises to carry out their projects thus putting into light the creative process grounded on resilience, personal causation and entrepreneurship. In many of the fields of human life creativity has emerged more frequently as a relevant theme of study, due to the complexity of the solutions demanded in situations and environments characterized by uncertainty, absence of frameworks or paradigms and xi breakdown of others. In business and organizational sphere, thats exactly the ambience of present scenario, in which demand for innovation is prevalent as a competitive factor. Creativity comes up, then, as a requisite for innovation, differential element when facing challenges and problems of daily life and business. Assumed as a human potential always present, when allied to entrepreneurial attitude and action, creativity is capable to contribute to innovation. The relationship between creativity and innovation is studied, focused on the genesis of innovative enterprises, because, even knowing the necessity of innovate, organizations have to deal permanently with the so called organizational ambidestry, characterized by simultaneity of maintenance and innovation of the business. Even recognizing that innovation is necessary to guarantee success of business, organizations and society, implementation of any innovative process depend upon facing agents of recognition, in charge of identifying and authorizing it as a way of doing and of making in a certain environment and, for that, the tradition of taylorist and bureaucratic models of management is, sometimes, cause of blindness. The success threat is one of the contingent factors of their refusal of creative proposals, potentially innovative. This factor relates to organizational culture and its flexibility and openness to the new. Present investigation was supported by empirical study, with subjects whose projects were refused by organizations to which they worked for who, then, decided to create own organizations, revealing not only resilience, but, especially, personal causality.

Made available in DSpace on 2016-04-27T17:26:51Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Auro Key Honda.pdf: 1165962 bytes, checksum: 9595232e5174c5eb282aff0d0157cb97 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2010-10-13 / This Master s thesis aims at translating into Portuguese Peirce s essay Causation and Force, which is part of the Conferences given by him in Cambridge in 1898, as well as to offer some theoretical elements for its reading and understanding. With this in mind, we present different manners on how the issue of causality has been considered historically, particularly Peirce s critical view concerning a one determined world. Herein we also discuss the main questions raised by Peirce regarding the deconstruction of determinism and his defense of chance as an ontological principle operating in the constitution of the reality / Esta dissertação se propõe a efetuar uma versão para o português do ensaio ―Causation and Force‖, incluído nas conferências de Peirce proferidas em Cambridge em 1898, bem como oferecer elementos teóricos para sua leitura e compreensão. Para tanto, apresentamos diferentes formas sobre como a questão da causalidade tem sido considerada historicamente, em particular a visão crítica do próprio autor acerca de um mundo determinado. Discutimos as principais questões levantadas por Peirce sobre a desconstrução do determinismo e sua defesa do acaso como princípio ontológico atuante na constituição da realidade

O mercado do milho no Brasil tem demonstrado algumas mudanças nos últimos anos aumentando sua importância no agronegócio. Por esse motivo, tem sido maior a necessidade de estudo de suas características. O objetivo da presente dissertação consiste em verificar como se dá a transmissão de preços entre os mercados regionais dessa commodity no Brasil a nível de produtor, com foco nos estados da região Sul e Centro-Oeste, devido à sua importância para a produção nacional. Além disso, também foi buscado analisar como os preços dos estados analisados reagem ao preço cotado na bolsa de valores para saber qual sua relação com o mercado externo. O método de pesquisa utilizado foi: teste de raiz unitária; teste de cointegração; vetor de correção de erro; teste de causalidade de Granger e teste de impulso-resposta. Os resultados do teste de cointegração indicam que há transmissão de preços entre todos os estados analisados, bem como os estados respondem a oscilações de preços do mercado externo a longo prazo. O fato de existir cointegração entre os estados é condição suficiente para se afirmar que existe relação linear de equilíbrio para a qual o sistema converge, validando os pressupostos da Lei do Preço Único e a integração. Todos os estados apresentaram resposta significativa a mudanças de preços no estado de Santa Catarina pelo vetor de correção de erro (VEC), mostrando que esse estado tem forte influência na formação de preços dos estados das duas regiões analisadas. No curto prazo foi observado que os estados de Mato Grosso e Rio Grande do Sul não recebem influência direta das oscilações de preços dos outros mercados, enquanto os estados de Paraná, Santa Catarina e Goiás parecem ser interdependentes a curto prazo, pois apresentam relativa correlação. Além disso, a função impulso resposta demonstra também que um impulso nos preços do estado de Santa Catarina gera resposta significativa nos preços dos outros estados de forma geral, e um impulso no preço do estado de Goiás também gera uma reação forte no preço do estado do Mato Grosso. / The corn market in Brazil has shown some changes in recent years increasing its importance in agribusiness. For this reason has increased the need for more studies related to this market’s characteristics . The objective of this dissertation is to check how is the price transmission between regional markets in Brazil at producer level for this commodity, focusing on states of the South and Midwest of the country, because of its importance to the national production. Furthermore, it was also sought to analyze how the prices of the analyzed states react to the price quoted on the stock market, looking for understanding how is its relationship with the external market. The research method used was: the unit root test , cointegration test , vector error correction; Granger causality test and impulse response test. The result of the cointegration test indicates that there is price transmission between all the states analyzed as well as states respond to price fluctuations on the stock market in the long run . The existence of cointegration between the states is sufficient to say that there is a linear equilibrium relationship to which converges the sistem, validating the assumptions of the Law of One Price and the integration condition. All states showed significant responses to price changes in the state of Santa Catarina by the vector error correction ( VEC ) , showing that this state has a strong influence on the pricing of the states on the two regions. In the short term it was observed that the states of Mato Grosso and Rio Grande do Sul receive no direct influence from the prices of other markets, while the states of Paraná, Santa Catarina and Goiás seem to be interdependent in the short term because they present a correlation. As well, the impulse response function also shows that a surge in prices in the state of Santa Catarina generates a significant response in prices of other states in general, and a boost in the price of Goias also generates a strong reaction in the price of Mato Grosso.

Relying on computing systems that become increasingly complex is difficult: with many factors potentially affecting the result of a computation or its properties, understanding where problems appear and fixing them is a challenging proposition. Typically, the process of finding solutions is driven by trial and error or by experience-based insights. In this dissertation, I examine the idea of using provenance metadata (the set of elements that have contributed to the existence of a piece of data, together with their relationships) instead. I show that considering provenance a primitive of computation enables the exploration of system behaviour, targeting both retrospective analysis (root cause analysis, performance tuning) and hypothetical scenarios (what-if questions). In this context, provenance can be used as part of feedback loops, with a double purpose: building software that is able to adapt for meeting certain quality and performance targets (semi-automated tuning) and enabling human operators to exert high-level runtime control with limited previous knowledge of a system's internal architecture. My contributions towards this goal are threefold: providing low-level mechanisms for meaningful provenance collection considering OS-level resource multiplexing, proving that such provenance data can be used in inferences about application behaviour and generalising this to a set of primitives necessary for fine-grained provenance disclosure in a wider context. To derive such primitives in a bottom-up manner, I first present Resourceful, a framework that enables capturing OS-level measurements in the context of application activities. It is the contextualisation that allows tying the measurements to provenance in a meaningful way, and I look at a number of use-cases in understanding application performance. This also provides a good setup for evaluating the impact and overheads of fine-grained provenance collection. I then show that the collected data enables new ways of understanding performance variation by attributing it to specific components within a system. The resulting set of tools, Soroban, gives developers and operation engineers a principled way of examining the impact of various configuration, OS and virtualization parameters on application behaviour. Finally, I consider how this supports the idea that provenance should be disclosed at application level and discuss why such disclosure is necessary for enabling the use of collected metadata efficiently and at a granularity which is meaningful in relation to application semantics.

In the post Bretton Woods era, the volatile nature of exchange rates has been the focus of many researchers. Although some previous studies suggest that variations in an exchange rate has the potential to affect a country’s economic performance, LDC’s (Less Developed Countries’) have received less attention compared to industrialized or developed economies. In this thesis we analyse the nature of exchange rate behaviour in three LDCs: Ghana, Mozambique and Tanzania. These countries have gone through comparable policy engagements with the IMF, have followed similar floating exchange rate regimes since early 1990s and currently all adhere to the IMF convention of free current account convertibility and transfer (Ghana and Tanzania accepted Article VIII of IMF “Articles of Agreement” in 1994. Mozambique began floating in 1992 under the SAP reforms of IMF; Article IV consultation was completed in 2009 and acceptance of Article VIII seems imminent).The main content of the thesis can be summarised as follows.I. We examine whether exchange rate behaviour in these three countries are influenced by similar factors. In order to justify the applicability of a number of volatility modelling techniques, we also examine the data to find if they exhibit the empirical regularities found in other exchange rate/financial markets such as volatility clustering, non-linearity, non-normality and asymmetry. Our results suggest that exchange rate behaviour in these countries is generally influenced by similar factors. In particular, we find that the series exhibit the empirical regularities found in other exchange rate/financial markets, justifying the application of the ARCH methodology which we use to estimate the volatility of exchange rate in these countries. We however observed that the ARCH family of models does not always produce the best fit. For instance, volatility forecasts generated by an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) model based on the RiskMetricsTM estimation technique produces the best fit for the daily Ghanaian exchange rate series under consideration compared to volatility forecasts from our estimated ARCH family of models.II. We explore the causal relationship between exchange rate depreciation and uncertainty/volatility using the VAR toolkit. Our main motivation for this study is to analyse whether the changes in the levels of exchange rate as a result of appreciation or depreciation in an underlying currency changes the level of exchange rate uncertainty (volatility). Further, we also analyse the reverse causal relationship; whether increasing uncertainty feeds back into the exchange rate market. We find a bi-directional Granger causal relationship between the level of exchange rate and uncertainty in the foreign exchange markets. Despite adopting similar macro-policies since the mid 1980s and early 1990s, uncertainty in the Tanzanian exchange rate as a response to changes in the level of exchange rate takes a shorter length of time to dissipate. We attribute this to the macroeconomic policies undertaken by Tanzanian policymakers which have ensured price and currency stability.The reverse causality reflects the effectiveness of the Tanzanian macro-policies and the confidence in them; we observed that intervention reduces uncertainty in the Tanzanian exchange rate, whereas for Ghana and Mozambique, macro-policies intending to mitigate undesired exchange rate changes rather create further uncertainty in their exchange rate markets. For all three LDCs under consideration, we observed that effects of shocks to exchange rate from innovations in uncertainty for each country is fleeting III. We investigate the relationship between exchange rate volatility and economic performance (via trade) for each of these countries and some of their biggest trade partners. Exchange rate volatility resulting from a depreciating underlying currency of trade can potentially affect the economic performance of a country. Using a gravity model augmented with variables that are deemed to influence earnings from trade, we observe that earnings from trade are not significantly affected by exchange rate volatility. We conjecture that in periods of uncertainty, traders increase the volume of trade to compensate for the ill effects of currency volatility.

This bachelor’s thesis examines the causes behind the support of radical right and anti-immigration parties by those with a non-native background. Building on findings of previous research and the funnel of causality, a set of variables consisting of anti-immigration views and socio-economic factors are examined to determine their causal effect on the support for the Sweden Democrats among the non-native swedish population. Utilising data from Syd-SOM 2015 and Väst-SOM 2015, no support were found for the hypothesis that those with a non-native background support the Sweden Democrats on the basis of socio-economic factors. Support were found however for the hypothesis that anti-immigration views among non-natives are an important cause for their support of the Sweden Democrats.