This research aims to examine if a negative relationship exists between the dividend yield and stock price volatility of firms listed on the Swedish Stock exchange market, which is of utter interest and intrinsic for investors and financial analyst in the process of valuing a security’s and a stock portfolio's risk and return. The data that was utilized for this study consists of 52 companies for the period of 2010 to 2019 which makes up for 520 observations. A pooled regression model and a multiple ordinary least squares model was applied to test the relationship. The results show a negative relationship between the dividend yield and stock price volatility. On the other hand, the results indicate that there is a significant positive relationship between earnings volatility and stock price volatility. However, there is a negative relationship for leverage, market value and asset growth with stock price volatility.

[pt] Este trabalho visa replicar os estudos de John Cochrane sobre previsibilidade dos retornos do mercado a partir da relação dividendo-preço para o mercado brasileiro. Utilizando os retornos do índice Bovespa, e estes mesmos retornos diminuídos da taxa Selic, como variáveis dependentes, em relação à série de Dividend Yield que o Núcleo de Estudos Financeiros da USP fornece em seu website para o período entre 2001 e 2021; calculou-se regressões para diversos prazos cumulativos de retorno. A idéia inicial seria confirmar os dois eixos principais de estudo proposto por Cochane : a organização dos apreçamentos dos ativos em torno das taxas de desconto, ou prêmios de risco, e se a previsibilidade dos retornos ganha maior dimensão à medida que se utiliza prazos de retorno crescentes. Para testar a primeira premissa, teríamos que ter obtido dados sobre os pagamentos de dividendos pelas empresas constantes no índice Bovespa ao longo do período, mas isto não foi possível. O trabalho restringiu-se a buscar confirmar se a previsibilidade aumenta conforme os prazos de retorno futuro do índice Bovespa estudados são acumulados. / [en] This work attempts to replicate the studies of John Cochrane on Return Previsibility through the Dividend-Price relationship to the Brazilian Stock Market. Using the Bovespa Stock Market Returns and the Excess Returns calculated from the Stock Market Returns less the risk-free interest in the form of Selic interest series as dependent variables, in relation to the Dividend Yield series provided by the Núcleo de Estudos Financeiros , from Universidade de São Paulo, from 2001 to 2021 as independent variable, a series of regression were calculated, using serveral different periods of future returns. The initial idea would be to confirm the main two propositions in Cochrane s work : the organization of asset pricing around discount- rates and if forecastability gains power as the return periods studied grow in size. In order to study the first idea, data should have been obtained on dividend payment from every Brazilian company that was part of the Brazilian Index, and that proved an impossible task at the moment. The work was restricted in its goal to verify if forecastability increases along increasing return timeframes.

[pt] O Prêmio de Risco do mercado acionário, infelizmente, não possui uma definição universalmente aceita. O material já publicado sobre o tema Prêmio de Risco do mercado acionário é muito vasto e abrangente, abordando desde análises ex- post sobre dados históricos (com diversos períodos amostrais, intervalos de observação, fatores de ajuste e em diversos países) até estimativas do prêmio ex-ante através dos mais variados modelos baseados em variáveis tais como aversão a risco, crescimento do consumo, dados contábeis e dividend yield, entre outros. O objetivo desta dissertação será analisarmos uma condensação das várias abordagens utilizadas, seus resultados e contribuições. Frente as significativas diferenças encontradas ao se computar o prêmio de risco, é fundamental o usuário da estimativa do prêmio de risco saber claramente qual a definição usada na estimativa e por que tal definição seria apropriada para seu propósito particular. No final dessa dissertação realizaremos uma estimativa do prêmio de risco no Brasil com base em um estudo de 1993 realizado pela McKinsey e Company, Inc. / [en] Unfortunately, there is no universally accepted definition of the Equity Risk Premium. Available material on the theme are very broad and deep, ranging from ex-post analysis on historical data -with distinct samples in different time periods- to ex-ante estimates of the equity premium making use of several models based in variables such as risk aversion, consumption growth, accounting data and dividend yield, among others. The objective of this paper will be to analyze a compilation of several approaches taken, their results and contributions. In face of the significant differences presented when computing the equity premium, it is key for the investor who will make use of the equity premium estimate to know clearly which definition of the premium he will be using and why is that definition appropriate for his particular purpose. In the final chapter we will estimate the equity risk premium in Brazil based on a study developed in 1993 by McKinsey and Company, Inc.

Vi undersöker om det finns ett samband mellan utländskt ägande och utdelningsnivå i svenska företag. Urvalet består av de 40 största företagen på Nasdaq OMX Stockholm under perioden 1999-2006. Studien visar att det finns ett negativt samband mellan utländskt ägande och direktavkastning, samt ett positivt samband mellan börsvärde och utländskt ägande. Vidare analys visar inget signifikant samband mellan utländskt ägande och börsvärde, samband beror således på mellanliggande variabler. Studien finner inget samband mellan utdelningsandel och utländskt ägande. / In this paper we examine the relationship between foreign ownership in Swedish firms and dividend yield amongst the 40 largest firms on Nasdaq OMX Stockholm between the years 1999-2006. We find evidence of a negative relation between foreign ownership and dividend yield, and furthermore a relation between foreign ownership and market capitalization. Further analysis shows that foreign ownership does not relate to market capitalization, thus the relation is due to intermediate variables. The paper finds no relation between payout ratio and foreign ownership.

This study examines the effect of ownership structure on dividend policy of 284 firms listed on the OMX Stockholm Exchange in Swedenfrom 2010-2015. Specifically, the purpose of the study is to investigate therelationship betweendifferentinvestor types and dividend policies of firms, measured as dividend yield and dividend payout ratio.Also, the study aims to predict dividend behaviours based on ownership structure which may be useful inthe future since ownership structures of listed Swedish firms havebeen changing over time, with an increased consolidation of ownership and a sharpincrease in institutional ownership. The sample consistsof 1046 observations and was gathered from Thomson Reuters’ Datastream and Eikon databases. This is the first study to examine the relationship between ownership structure and dividend policy in Sweden.The dividend policy is measured using two dependent variables; dividend payout ratio anddividend yield and a multiple regression has been used in orderto test the hypotheses whether any relationships exist between 17 different types of ownership structure used as independent variables, four additional control variables and dividend policy.The findings indicated significant positive relationships between institutional ownership and dividend yield and dividend payout, with one exception being private equity which exhibited a negative relationship with dividend yield. Furthermore, market capitalization, return on assets and price to book value are positively related to dividend payout while debt/equity ratio showed a negative relationship with dividend yield. The results contradict those of the most recent research conducted in Turkey (Al-Najjar & Kilincarsla, 2016) but adds supportin the debateto existing theories of dividends’ relevance to the value of firms developed by Gordon (1963), Lintner (1962) and Walter (1963). Limitations of the study include the geographical delimitation to Sweden which creates some constraints to wider generalization ofthe results to other geographical settings. Furthermore, the datacollected from Thomson Reuters Eikon hadmissing values, showed signs of heteroscedasticity and relevant investor variables such as family ownership were unavailable.

This paper aims to examine if firms listed on Nasdaq Stockholm with dividend exposure yield higher risk-adjusted returns than firms without dividend exposure. Using a data set consisting of observations between 2000-2017 we test the difference in mean risk-adjusted return, measured by the Sharpe ratio, between securities with different levels of dividend exposure. We divide our sample into portfolios, categorized in the first stage independently of investment style, size and book-to-market ratio, and in the second stage on dividend exposure, that are regrouped annually. We measure the performance in terms of the geometric mean monthly returns, the risk as standard deviation of returns and the risk-adjusted performance measured with the Sharpe ratio. Following our empirical study, we find indications of a value effect in the Swedish capital market and draw upon three main conclusions. First, for all but one portfolio, the risk decreases with an increased degree of dividend exposure. Second, securities with high-dividend exposure tend to yield higher risk-adjusted returns relative to securities with no-dividend exposure. Third, the effect of dividend exposure on risk-adjusted performance appears to be most significant on mid firms and growth firms

This study is to examine the phenomenon of stock prices drop around the ex-dividend day in Taiwan. Investors purchasing the security before the ex-dividend date will receive the current dividend, whereas investors purchasing the security on or after this date will not receive the dividend. Consequently, the stock price should fall on the ex-dividend date. In a perfect market, the stock price is expected to fall by the amount of the dividend. I show that share prices do not fall by the full amount of dividend, on average. I focus on falling ratio of stock prices, along with stock return. I also study the factors which may influence stock price behavior and find that the drop of stock price is smaller than the amount of the dividend. That is, the stock price tends to rise on the ex-dividend day. The price drop ratio on the ex-dividend day is higher for firms with greater financial leverage, higher dividend pay out ratio and higher dividend yield. Finally, I also observe that stock return and trading volume increase around the ex-dividend day.

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Submitted by Bruno Pereira Pinto (brunopereira.p@petrobras.com.br) on 2017-08-16T21:46:35Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Dividend Yield e os Retornos das Ações Brasileiras.pdf: 337408 bytes, checksum: db0110b730ea5d14f64c7c6cb1ba9c1a (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by GILSON ROCHA MIRANDA (gilson.miranda@fgv.br) on 2017-08-25T13:38:18Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Dividend Yield e os Retornos das Ações Brasileiras.pdf: 337408 bytes, checksum: db0110b730ea5d14f64c7c6cb1ba9c1a (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-08-31T13:19:02Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Dividend Yield e os Retornos das Ações Brasileiras.pdf: 337408 bytes, checksum: db0110b730ea5d14f64c7c6cb1ba9c1a (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-05-19 / This paper checks for the predictability of stocks negotiated in Sao Paulo Stock Exchange index from aggregate dividend yield. It examined a multiple regression of the excess return (Risk Premium) and return in relation to the dividend yields of prior periods and changes in dividends for the preceding year. The results show the predictive capacity of the dividend yield, especially for a one year lag. In this case, the coefficient with respect to the dividend yield is statistically and economically significant. However, this is gradually reduced over time until it became null. / Este trabalho verifica a previsibilidade dos retornos das ações cotadas na BM&FBovespa a partir do dividend yield. Foi elaborada uma regressão dos excessos de retorno (prêmios de risco) e retornos com relação ao dividend yield de períodos anteriores e das variações nos dividendos do ano imediatamente anterior. Os resultados evidenciam a capacidade preditiva do dividend yield, sobretudo para um ano de defasagem. Neste caso, o coeficiente com relação ao dividend yield é estatisticamente e economicamente significativo. No entanto, de maneira oposta ao obtido em estudos análogos realizados em outros países, a capacidade preditiva é gradativamente reduzida ao longo do tempo até se tornar nula.

As the existence of value premium has been showed in previous studies, this paper focuses on studying strategies for capitalizing this value premium in Swedish stock market. This paper studies the possible gains and risks of value investing strategies constructed with dividend yield, price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratios in Swedish stock market during 2006-2016.The findings show that the studied value portfolios offered abnormal returns during the studied time-period. Moreover, value stocks performed better than growth stocks when dividend yield and P/B-ratio were used as criteria. However, the paper could not confirm the same effect in P/E-ratio as high P/E tended to work better than low P/E. Out of the studied ratios, the best risk-adjusted returns were received from companies with the lowest P/B-ratios.The findings in this paper also indicate that including more ratio-based criteria in to an investment strategy does not offer more risk-adjusted returns.