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Decision Support Systems for Water Environment Management in Rural Areas under Hydrological and Socio-Economic Uncertainties / 水文学的および社会経済学的不確実性下にある農村地域の水環境管理に対する意思決定支援システムGoden, Mabaya 23 September 2016 (has links)
京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(農学) / 甲第20005号 / 農博第2189号 / 新制||農||1045(附属図書館) / 学位論文||H28||N5014(農学部図書室) / 33101 / 京都大学大学院農学研究科地域環境科学専攻 / (主査)教授 藤原 正幸, 教授 村上 章, 准教授 宇波 耕一 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Agricultural Science / Kyoto University / DFAM
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Sitting in a Stranger’s BathtubSullivan, Shannon Kerri 09 May 2023 (has links)
Sitting in a Stranger's Bathtub is a collection of poetry interested in the relationship between grief and time. It seems the more grief "happens" or rather, reiterates or transforms itself (a birth provoked by something unknown and can only be attributed to time and its maturing), the more grief splinters and splits off creating alternate dimensions in which things went a little bit differently, where something grand can be imagined like being present for a mother's death. These poems consider these worlds half by choice, in order to let those lives continue in their mundane yet miraculous ways, and half by possession. These poems seek to represent the horrible pang of deja vu that proves the existence of alternate happenings, and also justify deja vu as a sensation intended to fill the fragments of memory. In keeping with the tradition of the Confessional movement, these poems aim toward honesty, toward revealing the truth, only possible by showing the failures of memory, particularly in the presence of grief. / Master of Fine Arts / Sitting in a Stranger’s Bathtub is a poetry collection.
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Jag vill inte vara med : Om förskollärares erfarenheter av att arbeta med barns fysiska aktivitet i förskolan / : Preschool teachers experience of working with physical activity in preschoolRibaeus, Matilda January 2016 (has links)
The purpose of this study was to investigate preschool teacher’s experience of children’s withdrawals during physical activity in preschool. Interviews were used as a method to study the subject. Five preschool teachers was interviewed and recorded for a total of 109 minutes’ witch has been analyzed. The focus of the study is preschool teacher’s experiences accounting children 3-5 years of age. The theory of SOC, sense of coherence, founded by Antonovsky (2005) has been used in the study. The results indicate that the preschool teachers have experience of children’s withdrawals during physical activity in preschool. According to the teachers, it is uncertainty over the activity, not trusting your body and low self-esteem that causes the withdrawals. Not feeling safe, a lack of social skills and disinterest over the activity is also causes for withdrawal. The withdrawals often happen verbally or invisible and quiet. The teachers frequently analyze their work to be able to develop the physical activity’s to be able to include everyone and make the experience of the physical activity motivating and fun. / Syftet med den här studien var att bidra med kunskap gällande förskollärares erfarenheter av barn som drar sig undan planerad fysisk aktivitet i förskolan samt på vilket sätt förskollärare arbetar för att inkludera dessa barn. Kvalitativa intervjuer i form av semistrukturerade intervjuer har använts för att ta reda på förskollärares erfarenheter av att arbeta med planerad fysisk aktivitet. Barn i åldrarna 3-5 år har framförallt varit i fokus. 5 förskollärare intervjuades i sammanlagt 109 minuter vilket har legat till grund för resultatet av studien. Antonovskys (2005) teori KASAM användes som teoretiskt ramverk. Resultatet visade att samtliga förskollärare hade erfarenhet av barn som drar sig undan planerad fysisk aktivitet i förskolan. Barnen drog sig enligt deras erfarenheter undan på grund av osäkerhet inför vad som kommer hända, dålig tilltro till den egna kroppen och låg självkänsla. Även otrygghet, rädsla i sociala sammanhang och helt enkelt ointresse för aktiviteten kunde också göra att barn drar sig undan. Antingen kunde barnen dra sig undan verbalt med ljud eller ickeverbalt och tyst. För att inkludera alla barn arbetar förskollärarna med att stärka de barn som är osäkra samt analysera och ändra i de aktiviteter som utförs så att alla blir motiverade och har möjlighet att delta.
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Optimal provisioning for deposit withdrawals and loan losses in the banking industry / F. GideonGideon, Frednard January 2008 (has links)
With the acceptance of the new Basel II banking regulation (implemented in South Africa in January 2008) the search for improved ways of modeling the most important banking activities has become very topical. Since the notion of Levy-process was introduced, it has emerged as an important tool for modeling economic variables in a Basel II framework. In this study, we investigate the stochastic dynamics of banking items that are driven by such processes. In particular, we discuss bank provisioning for loan losses and deposit withdrawals.
The first type of provisioning is related to the earnings that the bank sets aside in order to cover loan defaults. In this case, we apply principles from robustness to a situation where the decision maker is a bank owner and the decision rule determines the optimal provisioning strategy for loan losses. In this regard, we formulate a dynamic banking loan loss model involving a provisioning portfolio consisting of provisions for expected losses and loan loss reserves for unexpected losses. Here, unexpected loan losses and provisioning for expected losses are modeled via a compound Poisson process and an exponential Levy process, respectively. We use historical evidence from OECD (Organization for Economic Corporation and Development) countries to support the fact that the provisions for loan losses-to-total assets ratio is negatively correlated with aggregate asset prices and the private credit-to-GDP ratio.
Secondly, we construct models for provisioning for deposit withdrawals. In particular, we build stochastic dynamic models which enable us to analyze the interplay between deposit withdrawals and the provisioning for these withdrawals via Treasuries and reserves. Further insight is gained by considering a numerical problem and a simulation of the trajectory of the stochastic dynamics of the sum of the Treasuries and reserves. Since managing the risk that depositors will exercise their withdrawal option is an important aspect of this thesis, we consider the idea of a hedging provisioning strategy for deposit withdrawals in an incomplete market setting. In this spirit, we discuss an optimal risk management problem for a commercial bank whose main activity is to obtain funds through deposits from the public and use the Treasuries and reserves to cater for the resulting withdrawals. Finally, we provide a brief analysis of some of the issues arising from the dynamic models of the banking items derived. / Thesis (Ph.D. (Computer, Statistical and Mathematical Sciences))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2008.
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Optimal provisioning for deposit withdrawals and loan losses in the banking industry / F. GideonGideon, Frednard January 2008 (has links)
With the acceptance of the new Basel II banking regulation (implemented in South Africa in January 2008) the search for improved ways of modeling the most important banking activities has become very topical. Since the notion of Levy-process was introduced, it has emerged as an important tool for modeling economic variables in a Basel II framework. In this study, we investigate the stochastic dynamics of banking items that are driven by such processes. In particular, we discuss bank provisioning for loan losses and deposit withdrawals.
The first type of provisioning is related to the earnings that the bank sets aside in order to cover loan defaults. In this case, we apply principles from robustness to a situation where the decision maker is a bank owner and the decision rule determines the optimal provisioning strategy for loan losses. In this regard, we formulate a dynamic banking loan loss model involving a provisioning portfolio consisting of provisions for expected losses and loan loss reserves for unexpected losses. Here, unexpected loan losses and provisioning for expected losses are modeled via a compound Poisson process and an exponential Levy process, respectively. We use historical evidence from OECD (Organization for Economic Corporation and Development) countries to support the fact that the provisions for loan losses-to-total assets ratio is negatively correlated with aggregate asset prices and the private credit-to-GDP ratio.
Secondly, we construct models for provisioning for deposit withdrawals. In particular, we build stochastic dynamic models which enable us to analyze the interplay between deposit withdrawals and the provisioning for these withdrawals via Treasuries and reserves. Further insight is gained by considering a numerical problem and a simulation of the trajectory of the stochastic dynamics of the sum of the Treasuries and reserves. Since managing the risk that depositors will exercise their withdrawal option is an important aspect of this thesis, we consider the idea of a hedging provisioning strategy for deposit withdrawals in an incomplete market setting. In this spirit, we discuss an optimal risk management problem for a commercial bank whose main activity is to obtain funds through deposits from the public and use the Treasuries and reserves to cater for the resulting withdrawals. Finally, we provide a brief analysis of some of the issues arising from the dynamic models of the banking items derived. / Thesis (Ph.D. (Computer, Statistical and Mathematical Sciences))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2008.
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ASSESSMENT OF WATER USE AND INDIRECT WATER REUSE IN A LARGE SCALE WATERSHED: THE WABASH RIVERMaria Julia Wiener (9465605) 16 December 2020 (has links)
<p>In
the context of climate change, increasing demands for freshwater make it
necessary to manage our water resources in a sustainable way and find
innovative ways to extend their life. An integrated water management approach
needs to consider anthropogenic water use and reuse which represent major
components of the current water cycle. In particular, unplanned, or de facto,
indirect water reuse occurs in most of the U.S. river systems; however, there
is little real-time documentation of it. Despite the fact that there are
national and state agencies that systematically collect data on water
withdrawals and wastewater discharges, their databases are organized and
managed in a way that limits the ability to combine reported water data to
perform large scale analysis about water use and indirect reuse. To better
document these issues and to demonstrate the utility of such an analysis, I
studied the Wabash River Watershed located in the U.S. Midwest. Existing data
for freshwater extraction, use, discharge, and river streamflow were collected,
curated and reorganized in order to characterize the water use and reuse within
the basin. Indirect water reuse was
estimated by comparing treated wastewater discharges with stream flows at
selected points within the watershed. Results show that during the low flow
months of July-October 2007, wastewater discharges into the Wabash River basin
contributed 82 to 121% of the stream flow, demonstrating that the level of
water use and unplanned reuse is significant. These results suggest that
intentional water reuse for consumptive purposes such as landscape or
agricultural irrigation could have substantial ecological impacts by
diminishing stream flow during vulnerable low flow periods. This research also
completed a time series watershed-scale analysis of water use and unplanned
indirect reuse for the Wabash River Watershed from 2009 to 2017. Results
document the occurrence of indirect water reuse over time, ranging from 3% to
134% in a water-rich area of the U.S. The time series analysis shows that
reported data effectively describe the water use trends through nine years,
clearly reflecting both anthropogenic and natural events in the watershed, such
as the retirement of thermoelectric power plants, and the occurrence of an extreme
drought in 2012. Results demonstrate the feasibility and significance of using
available water datasets to perform large scale water use analysis, describe
limitations encountered in the process, and highlight areas for improvement in
water data management.</p>
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L’irrigation dans le bassin du Rhône : gestion de l’information géographique sur les ressources en eau et leurs usages / Irrigation in the Rhône basin : geographic information system about freshwater resources and water usesRichard-Schott, Florence 06 December 2010 (has links)
L’irrigation a connu de grands changements dans le bassin du Rhône français durant les trente dernières années du vingtième siècle. La mise en œuvre d’un Système d’Information sur le bassin du Rhône (SIR) montre l’existence de quatre grands systèmes d’irrigation qui s’individualisent au sein de plusieurs « régions d’irrigation ». Ces dernières révèlent des dynamiques contrastées, mettant à mal l’idée que l’irrigation aurait connu une expansion continue et homogène, même si les superficies irriguées augmentent globalement. Ces dynamiques spatiales s’expliquent par les profondes transformations d’une pratique modernisée, utilisant des techniques toujours plus économes en eau. C’est d’ailleurs le deuxième enseignement de la recherche : l’accroissement général des superficies irriguées n’a pas entraîné une augmentation des demandes en eau. Celles-ci ont plutôt tendance à diminuer, de l’ordre de 30 % en trente ans. Sous l’impulsion des gestionnaires, les irrigants font un usage de plus en plus raisonné des ressources en eau et, à terme, il ne faut certainement pas considérer l’irrigation comme une menace généralisée pour les équilibres environnementaux... Le mémoire de thèse s’accompagne d’un système de gestion de l’information géographique et d’un atlas en version électronique. / Over the last thirty years of the twentieth century, irrigation in the French basin of the Rhône river has undergone substantial change. The implementation of a Geographic Information System on the Rhône basin (SIR) demonstrates the existence of four main irrigation systems individualized within several “irrigation regions.” These reveal in turn a series of contrasted dynamics, putting into question the idea that irrigation expansion had been both continuous and homogeneous, even though the total surface area irrigated actually increased. These spatial dynamics can be accounted for by the deep transformations due to a modernised practice that relies on techniques ever more sparing with water. This is in fact the second lesson one can draw from this study : the general increase in irrigated surface areas did not lead to an increase in water demand. On the contrary, water demand has tended to diminish, in the order of 30% over thirty years. Driven by management, the cultivators’ use of water resources is more and more reasoned, so that in the long run irrigation is surely no global threat to environmental balance. The thesis includes a system for managing geographic information as well as an electronic atlas.
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A spatial decision support system for groundwater abstraction impact assessment and licensingBasson, F. C. (Frederick Christoffel) January 2005 (has links)
Thesis (MSc)--Stellenbosch University, 2005. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Water resources in South Africa are limited and groundwater plays an important role in
supporting basic human needs, sustaining ecosystems and enabling industrial and agricultural
development. Sound management practices are necessary to ensure sustainable development
of water resources. All groundwater usage must be licensed in compliance with the National
Water Act of 1998. A Spatial Decision Support System (SDSS) can be used to assist in the
groundwater usage licensing process of the Department of Water Affairs and Forestry
(DWAF).
The main aim of this study was to develop a SDSS, named Groundwater Abstraction &
Licence Evaluation Tool (GALET), that could assist in the process of allocating water use
licences and determining the local impact of abstraction, based on existing theory and data.
The development was done within ArcView 3.2 using the scripting language Avenue. The
Sandveld, an arid stretch of land along the west coast of South Africa that is heavily impacted
by groundwater abstraction, was the chosen study area. The data collected for this study
included existing borehole, recharge, rainfall and geological information.
GALET proved to be capable of calculating essential information needed to evaluate
groundwater abstraction, which included drawdown in the water table, zone of influence and
the possible effects on features such as rivers and wetlands. Targeted potential users regarded
GALET as a useful tool in the process of licensing and groundwater abstraction impact
assessment and plans are under way to implement GALET or a derivative thereof at the
DWAF regional offices. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Waterhulpbronne in Suid-Afrika is beperk en grondwater speel 'n belangrike rol in die
ondersteuning van basiese menslike behoeftes, volhouding van ekosisteme asook industriële
en landbou-ontwikkeling. Betroubare bestuurspraktyke is noodsaaklik om die volhoubare
ontwikkeling van waterhulpbronne te verseker. Alle grondwatergebruik moet volgens die
Nasionale Waterwet van 1998 gelisensieer word. 'n Ruimtelike Besluitnemings
Ondersteuning Stelsel (RBOS) kan as 'n hulpmiddel gebruik word in die lisensiëringsproses
van die Departement van Waterwese en Bosbou.
Die hoofdoel van hierdie studie was om 'n RBOS, genoem Groundwater Abstraction &
Licence Evaluation Tool (GALET), te ontwikkel wat as hulpmiddel gebruik kan word in die
allokeringsproses van watergebruiklisensies en die bepaling van die impak van
grondwateronttrekking op die omgewing, gebaseer op bestaande teorie en data. Die
ontwikkeling is in ArcView 3.2 met die programmeringstaal Avenue gedoen. Die Sandveld,
'n ariede streek aan die weskus van Suid-Afrika wat onderhewig is aan grootskaalse
grondwateronttrekking, is gekies as die studie area. Die data wat vir hierdie studie ingesamel
is sluit bestaande boorgat, grondwateraanvulling, reënval en geologiese inligting in.
GALET was in staat om belangrike inligting aangaande die evaluering van
grondwateronttrekking te bereken, o.a. die daling van die grondwatervlak, die impaksone en
die moontlike effekte op landvorms soos riviere en vleilande. Die teikengroep potensiële
gebruikers het GALET as 'n nuttige hulpmiddel in die proses van lisensiëring en
grondwateronttrekking impakbepaling beskou en planne is onderweg om dit of 'n aangepaste
program by die streekskantore van die Departement van Waterwese en Bosbou te
implementeer.
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