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Relação entre as projeções e recomendações dos analistas de ações e o comportamento dos gestores de fundos / Relationship between the projections and recommendations of stock analysts and the behavior of fund managersMarcel dos Santos Cabral 18 September 2015 (has links)
Este trabalho investiga a relação entre as revisões das projeções de lucro por ação e do seu preço-alvo, assim como das recomendações feitas pelos analistas de investimentos, especificamente os de ações, e o comportamento dos gestores de fundos de investimento. Para o desenvolvimento dessa pesquisa, foi feita uma revisão bibliográfica das principais teorias que tratam da ideia de investimento, assim como de questões sobre a gestão dos fundos e discussões acerca dos motivos e impactos das informações emitidas pelos analistas. Analisando uma amostra que compreende a composição trimestral da carteira dos fundos de investimento classificados na categoria ações da ANBIMA, entre o terceiro trimestre de 2009 e o primeiro trimestre de 2014, a hipótese principal testada é a de que os gestores seguem as informações emitidas pelos analistas. Para tal análise foi aplicado um modelo econométrico, com o uso de dados em painel, para avaliar como as revisões das recomendações e das projeções de lucro por ação e do retorno implícito, sendo essse calculado a partir do preço-alvo estimado pelos analistas, influenciam a variação da participação trimestral dos ativos nas carteiras dos fundos de investimentos. Os resultados apontam que, na maior parte dos tipos de fundos, os gestores tendem a seguir mais as revisões de recomendações do que as outras, sendo mais presente tal comportamento quando se tem um downgrade das revisões, embora aparente que em tipos específicos, a revisão do lucro por ação é a que influencia em maior intensidade o comportamento dos gestores. Ainda mais, gestores ativos, especificamente do tipo de fundo IBrX tendem a seguir tais recomendações de modo mais intenso que os gestores passivos de tal tipo. Nota-se também que a discordância das opinões dos analistas aparenta influenciar negativamente o comportamento dos gestores, ou seja, quanto mais discordância, menos o gestor tende a seguir o consenso das revisões, especificamente as de lucro por ação e do retorno implícito. Por fim, embora os gestores tendam a seguir mais as revisões de recomendações do que as das projeções de lucro por ação e retorno implícito, são as revisões das projeções, quando seguidas, que aparentam gerar retornos positivos para os trades dos gestores. / This work assesses the relation between the revisions of the forecasts of earning per share and target price, as well as the recommendations made by the investments analysts, specifically the stocks analysts, and the trades of the manager of investment funds. To do so was done a literature review which approached the main theories of investment, even as, some aspects of the funds management and discussions about the reasons and impacts of the information issued by the analysts. Assessing one sample, which involves the quarterly composition of the portfolio of the investment funds classified in the category stocks, according ANBIMA, between the third quarter of 2009 and the first quarter of 2014, the main hypothesis tested is that the funds managers follow the information issued by the analysts. For this purpose, an econometric model using panel data was applied to assess how the revisions of the recommendations and the projections of earning per share and the implied returns, being this calculated from the target price estimated by the analysts, influence the variation of the participation of assets in the portfolio of the investiments funds between the quarters. The results show that, in the most part of kinds of funds, the managers tend to follow more the recommendations, being more present this behavior when there is a downgrade, although appears that in some kinds, the earning per share revision is that which influence with more intensity the manager\'s behavior. Moreover, active managers, specifically of IBrX funds, tend to follow the recommendation revisions with more intensity than the passive managers of this kind of fund. It\'s observable that the disagreement of opinions between analysts seems to influence negatively the managers\' behavior, this is, more disagreement, less the manager tends to follow the consensus of the revisions, specifically the earning per share and implied return revision. Lastly, although the managers tend to follow more the recommendation revisions than the projections of earning per share and the implied return, are the revisions of the projections, when followed, that appear to generate positive returns to the managers\' trades.
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Determinantes da rentabilidade dos fundos de investimento imobiliário no BrasilFiorini, Renato Maestre 12 December 2012 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2012-12-12 / This thesis goal is to identify the factors that are determinants of the performance of Brazlian “REITs” (Real Estate Investment Funds) with public traded quotas. It will indicate to a small investor what kind of information to look for in the funds prospect. In order to do so, the observed performances of several different intervals were regressed against determinants found in the existing literature. As a result from this work, the characteristics that statistically mostly contribute to an increased performance are: Investment funds with active management that focuses on office buildings located in the major central districts. / Esta dissertação busca identificar as características indicativas de desempenho superior de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliário (FII) com quotas negociadas em bolsa. Desta maneira visa subsidiar um investidor leigo de quais informações o mesmo deve procurar em um prospecto de um fundo de investimento a fim de selecionar o seu fundo. Para tanto foi aplicada uma metodologia de regressão simples da rentabilidade observada em diversos intervalos de tempo contra variáveis geralmente indicativas de desempenho levantadas na revisão bibliográfica. Como resultado deste trabalho, destacaram-se como características estatisticamente relevantes para uma maior rentabilidade fundos de gestão ativa, sem imóvel definido, cuja política de investimento visa lajes corporativas localizadas nos grandes centros urbanos.
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[en] DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION IN DEFINED CONTRIBUTION FUNDS IN THE PRESENCE OF EXTERNAL WEALTH: THE ASSET LOCATION PROBLEM / [pt] ALOCAÇÃO DINÂMICA EM FUNDOS DE CONTRIBUIÇÃO DEFINIDA NA PRESENÇA DE RIQUEZA EXTERNA: O PROBLEMA DA LOCALIZAÇÃO DE ATIVOSMARCO ANTONIO CUNHA DE OLIVEIRA 24 September 2004 (has links)
[pt] O problema de como alocar ativos de forma eficiente tem
sido uma das questões fundamentais em Finanças. Uma das
mudanças recentes no mercado brasileiro tem sido o
crescimento dos fundos de Contribuição Definida, seguindo
a tendência observada em outros mercados. Entretanto, ao
focalizar decisões de investimento sob o ponto de vista do
investidor individual, surge a necessidade de incluir a
tributação no processo de alocação de carteiras. Neste
contexto, este trabalho analisa a decisão de alocação e
localização preferencial para as classes de ativos, em
veículos de investimento com tributação convencional, ou com
diferimento de imposto, mediante a legislação local. O
investidor possui dois tipos de riqueza, seu capital
financeiro acumulado, e o capital humano, representado pela
capacidade de gerar rendimentos futuros. A solução é obtida
por alocação multiperiódica de recursos, seguindo o
critério de maximização da utilidade esperada da riqueza
final. Face à eficiência tributária dos fundos mútuos de
ações domésticos, estes podem ser priorizados na
localização externa aos planos com tributação diferida,
coerente com resultados recentes para o mercado americano.
Contudo, se existem diferenças nas rentabilidades das
classes de ativos, nos distintos veículos de investimentos,
aquela localização prioritária pode mudar, pelo menos para
aplicações com objetivos a serem atingidos em prazos
reduzidos. / [en] The question of how to allocate assets efficiently has been
one of the central issues in Finance. As perceived in other
markets, one of the recent trends in the Brazilian market
has been the growth of Defined Contribution Funds. However,
when focusing on investment decisions for individual
investors, taxes must be taken into account. In this
context, the asset allocation and location is solved for
brazilian assets, when the investor has to save in both
investment vehicles with conventional, and deferred
taxation, according to the local rules. The investor has
two kinds of wealth, the accumulated financial wealth, and
the human capital, representing the cash-flows that can be
produced in the future. The solution is obtained through
multi-period asset allocation, for an investor maximizing
the expected utility of terminal wealth. Due to the tax
efficiency of domestic equity mutual funds, stocks should
have preferential location outside the deferred account, in
accordance with recent results for the american market.
However, if there are performance differences among the
asset classes, within distinct investment vehicles, that
preferred location may change, at least for short term
investment objectives.
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Strukturální fondy EU a jejich využití ve venkovském cestovním ruchu / Utilizing of The European Structural and Investment Funds in the rural tourismVeselá, Tereza January 2016 (has links)
The master thesis focuses on utilizing of The European Structural and Investment Funds in the rural tourism in the current Programming Period (2014-2020). The main concern of the thesis is defining the options of supporting the rural tourism from the ESI funds in the current Programming Period. In the thesis is introduced a factual exaple of a business plan to create an agrotourism facility in Liberec region using the mentioned funds. The business plan is going to be actualy realized.
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Ressources et Leviers Stratégiques des Fonds d'Investissement Socialement Responsable / Strategic Resources of SRI fundsDimitriadis, Alexandros 24 November 2011 (has links)
Cette thèse traite des fonds d’Investissement Socialement Responsables (ISR) français. D’après la Théorie Moderne du Portefeuille leur performance devrait être inférieure à celle des fonds traditionnels. Cependant des recherches antérieures présentent des résultats contradictoires. Nous choisissons de faire appel à la Resource Based View (RBV) pour interpréter cette incohérence entre théorie et pratique.Nous employons une méthodologie qualitative exploratoire, combinant des entretiens avec une analyse lexicale. Nous validons quantitativement une partie de nos résultats qualitatifs en modélisant la performance d’un fonds ISR par rapport à son indice de référence à l’aide d’une régression linéaire multiple. En se basant sur notre grille de lecture nous pensons avoir identifié deux ressources stratégiques à la disposition des fonds ISR, transformées en avantage compétitif par le biais de deux leviers stratégiques. Les deux ressources sont la compétence du gérant du fonds ISR et la subvention indirecte des frais du fonds ISR par leur Société de Gestion de Portefeuille (SGP). Les deux leviers sont la disposition de la SGP à la différentiation et l’apprentissage organisationnel à l’intérieur de la SGP.Notre recherche présente un triple apport : pour les universitaires, elle offre un cadre théorique alternatif au MEDAF qui expliquerait mieux la performance erratique des fonds ISR ; pour les praticiens, elle nous permet de faire des propositions aux fonds ISR concernant leur organisation ; pour les consommateurs, elle décortique les fonds ISR dans leurs composantes, leur proposant un aperçu non-conventionnel de leurs fonctionnements et leurs motivations. / The focal interest of this doctoral thesis is French Socially Responsible Investment (SRI) funds. According to Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) their performance should be inferior to “traditional” fund performance. The results from previous research however have been contradicting; we have thus chosen to make use of the Resource Based View (RBV) in order to interpret this incoherency between theory and practice and shed some light into the complex interactions that govern their behavior.We approach the field using an exploratory qualitative methodology, combining interviews with lexical analysis. We validate part of our qualitative results quantitatively through a multiple linear regression of SRI funds’ performance relative to their benchmark. Based on our framework, we believe we have identified two strategic resources available to SRI funds, leveraged into competitive advantage by two drivers. The two resources are the fund manager’s competency and the indirect subsidizing of the fund’s fees by its Asset Management (AM) company. The two drivers are the tendency of AM companies to diversify their services and organizational learning inside AM companies.Our research should appeal to three types of readers: researchers, since RBV offers a more compelling (as per Occam’s Razor) interpretation of SRI funds’ erratic performance than MPT; managers, since it enables us to formulate proposals for SRI funds’ organization; and laymen, since it breaks down SRI funds to their components, offering a rarely seen view of their inner workings and ulterior motivations.
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Проблемы коллективного инвестирования на фондовом рынке в условиях макроэкономической неопределенности : магистерская диссертация / Problems of collective investment in the stock market under conditions of macroeconomic uncertaintyХайруллоев, Р. С., Khairulloev, R. S. January 2023 (has links)
Структура магистерской диссертации включает в себя введение, три главы, заключение, список использованных источников. В первой главе рассмотрены теоретические основы функционирования биржевых паевых инвестиционных фондов и институциональные основы коллективного инвестирования. Во второй главе проведен анализ современного состояния российского рынка паевых инвестиционных фондов (ПИФов), в том числе показана деятельность управляющих компаний на данном рынке. В третьей главе показаны пути дальнейшего развития деятельности ПИФов в условиях макроэкономической неопределенности. В заключении сформированы основные выводы. / The structure of the master's thesis includes an introduction, three chapters, a conclusion, and a list of sources used. The first chapter examines the theoretical foundations of the functioning of exchange-traded mutual funds and the institutional foundations of collective investment. The second chapter provides an analysis of the current state of the Russian market for mutual funds (MUIFs), including showing the activities of management companies in this market. The third chapter shows ways to further develop the activities of mutual funds in conditions of macroeconomic uncertainty. In conclusion, the main conclusions are drawn.
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Fundos de investimento no Brasil: análise do ponto de equilíbrio de empresas gestorasOliveira Filho, Bolivar Godinho de 30 March 2001 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2001-03-30 / This work comprehends relevant aspects of investment funds in Brasil and develops
information about investment funds in the United States, which determines the trends of the
sector
The research was made with seventeen Asset Management Companies in Brasil of several
sizes, with the purpose to discover the minimum amount of money necessary to administer a
company. The break-even-point analysis demonstrated that there may be several company
levels, according to the market segments and cost conformation.
The productivity in the companies denotes economic scales in the sector that make the activity an important profit center for the big banks / O presente trabalho abrange os aspectos relevantes dos fundos de investimento no
Brasil e apresenta informações sobre os fundos nos Estados Unidos, cujo mercado determina
as tendências para o setor.
A pesquisa envolveu dezessete administradores de fundos brasileiros de diversos tamanhos,
com a finalidade de obter o volume mínimo administrado para viabilizar uma empresa de
Asset Management. Através da análise do ponto de equilíbrio, constatou-se que existem
diversos tamanhos de empresas economicamente viáveis, dependendo do segmento de mercado
em que atuam e estrutura de custos.
A produtividade nas empresas pesquisadas indicou a presença de economias de escala no setor,
o que torna a atividade um importante centro de lucro para os bancos de grande porte.
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Fundos de investimento: estrutura jurídica e agentes de mercado como proteção do investimento privadoPavia, Eduardo Cherez 05 March 2015 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2015-03-05 / This is a master s dissertation which aims to make a contribution
to the analysis under the legal aspect of the operation of the investment
fund industry in Brazil and the agents who participate in it. Accordingly, we
shall analyze the historical remote precedents and the development of the
structures of collective investment schemes in the world, the history of
invesment funds in Brazil, as well as the financial and capital markets
regulation nowadays, the regulators and the legal nature of investment
funds. Also, we shall decribe the roles of each participant agent of the
industry and the rules and regulation which they are submitted to. Finally,
the liability of the administrator and the investment manager, essential
players of investment funds, will be outlined.
The purpose will be to try to conclude that the existing legal and
regulatory framework, as well as self-regulation and court decisions, work
as a network for investor protection and private investments / Trata-se de dissertação de mestrado que tem como objetivo
trazer uma contribuição para a análise, sob o aspecto jurídico, do
funcionamento da indústria de fundos de investimento no Brasil e dos
agentes que dela participam. Nesse sentido, serão analisados os
precedentes históricos remotos e o desenvolvimento de estruturas de
investimento coletivo no mundo, o histórico dos fundos de investimento no
Brasil, bem como a regulação dos mercados financeiro e de capitais
atualmente vigentes, os órgãos reguladores e a natureza jurídica dos
fundos de investimento. Serão descritos, ainda, os papéis de cada agente
participante da indústria e as normas a que se submetem. Finalmente, será
delineado o fundamento da responsabilidade civil do administrador e do
gestor, agentes essenciais no fundo de investimento.
A finalidade será tentar concluir que o arcabouço jurídico
existente, legal e regulatório, bem como a autorregulação e as decisões
judiciais, funcionam como uma rede de proteção do investidor e da
poupança privada
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Le capital risque islamique en droit français : analyse juridique / No English title availableMatri, Dorsaf 10 December 2014 (has links)
Devenue en l'espace d'une trentaine d'années un segment à part entière de la finance internationale, la finance islamique trouve désormais tout son sens dans l'économie contemporaine. La crise de 2008 et ses conséquences dramatiques sur le tissu économique et entrepreneurial ont donné un attrait aux financements islamiques et notamment aux opérations de capital risque. Apparu au début des années 2000, le capital risque islamique consiste à prendre des participations au capital de sociétés non cotées considérées comme conformes à l'éthique musulmane afin de financer leur création et leur démarrage. Dans cette opération, il existe un lien incontestable entre l'éthique religieuse et la notion d’investissement. Si les prescriptions du droit musulman garantissent un équilibre entre les partenaires financiers, elles soumettent néanmoins l’investisseur à certaines contraintes. La structuration d'une opération financière islamique commande en effet le respect de certains principes d'essence religieuse tels que la prohibition de la spéculation, l'aléa et toute forme de rémunération par l'intérêt. Se pose alors la question de l'acculturation de ce modèle dans la finance française. En ce sens, l'hypothèse principale de cette recherche vise à analyser l'adaptabilité du capital risque islamique en vue de sa structuration dans le cadre juridique français. A travers une analyse approfondie des exigences de la loi islamique et du cadre de la gestion collective en France, la présente étude met en perspective les structures juridiques permettant d'atteindre la flexibilité requise pour mettre en œuvre une opération de capital risque islamique en droit français. Outre les enjeux économiques qui sont attachés à la réception d'une activité à haute valeur ajoutée, la modélisation d'un « capital risque islamique à la française » pourrait renforcer l'attractivité de la place de Paris en permettant l'inclusion d'une catégorie d'entrepreneurs et d'investisseurs à la recherche d'une alternative plus éthique et solidaire pour le financement d'entreprise. / In the space of 30 years, Islamic finance has become a full segment of international finance and has proved its value in the contemporary economy. The 2008 crisis and its dramatic consequences on the economic and business fabric raised attractiveness of Islamic finance transactions, in particular venture capital. The latter was created in the early 2000’s and consists in taking equity participations in unlisted companies that are considered compliant with Islamic ethics to finance their creation and startup. Thus, religious ethics and investment are indisputably linked. If the Islamic law requires ensuring a balance between financial partners, the investor is nevertheless subject to certain constraints. Indeed, the legal structuring of Islamic financial transactions obliges compliance with certain religious principles such as prohibition of speculation, hazard and any form of remuneration by interest. This raises the question of the acculturation of this model within the French finance. To this end, the main hypothesis of this research aims to analyze the adaptability of Islamic venture capital in view of its implementation in the French legal framework. Through in-depth analysis of the requirements of Islamic law and the framework of collective management in France, this study puts into perspective the legal structures that could provide the flexibility required to implement an Islamic venture capital transaction into French law. In addition to the economic benefits attached to the receipt of an activity with high added value, modeling a "French Islamic venture capital" could increase the attractiveness of the financial place of Paris by allowing the inclusion of a class of entrepreneurs and investors looking for ethical and cooperative alternatives for corporate finance.
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[en] THE IMPACT OF TAXATION ON THE CHOICE OF LONG TERM WEALTH ACCUMULATION PRODUCTS / [pt] O IMPACTO DA TRIBUTAÇÃO NA ESCOLHA DE PRODUTOS DE ACUMULAÇÃO DE RECURSOS DE LONGO PRAZOMARIANA AROZO BENICIO DOS SANTOS 28 September 2005 (has links)
[pt] O propósito deste trabalho é analisar o impacto da
tributação na seleção de
produtos de acumulação de recursos de longo prazo sob o
ponto de vista de um
investidor individual. Para o investidor tributado e
avesso a risco é realizada uma
simulação de seu patrimônio final líquido de impostos sob
três estratégias
distintas: aplicação em fundo de investimento, aplicação
em plano de previdência
PGBL e aplicação em seguro de vida com cobertura por
sobrevivência VGBL.
Além da hipótese de resgate total dos recursos, é
realizada a comparação dos
veículos sob a ótica do recebimento de uma renda mensal
após o período de
acumulação. São examinados diferentes horizontes de
investimento, saldos
acumulados iniciais, faixas de renda, taxas de retorno e
tipos de fundos onde
estarão aplicados os recursos. O trabalho incorpora as
alterações das regras
tributárias divulgadas no final de 2004 e início de 2005
(Leis 11.033/2004 e
11.053/2004 e suas regulamentações) e se propõe a auxiliar
os investidores na
escolha do melhor veículo de investimento. / [en] The purpose of this research is to analyze the impact of
taxation on the
selection of long term wealth accumulation products under
an individual investor's
point of view. For the tax paying and risk averse
investor, a simulation of his final
after-tax net worth is accomplished under three different
strategies: investments in
mutual funds, investments in retirement plans similar to
Individual Retirement
Account (IRA) in the USA and investments in life insurance
with coverage for
survival. Besides the hypothesis of total redemption of
the accumulated balance, a
comparison of the three vehicles above is accomplished
under the assumption of
reception of a monthly income after the accumulation
period. The analysis is
performed under different investment horizons, initial
invested balances, levels of
income and profiles of funds where the resources will be
invested. The research
incorporates the new tax rules alterations published in
late 2004 and early 2005
(Laws 11.033/2004 and 11.053/2004 and their regulations)
and it intends to aid
investors on how to choose the best investment vehicle.
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