這篇研究是依據中國過去十數年空調器成長數量為dependent variables，用回歸分析找出這段期間各項經濟指標中與空調器成長有相關性者為independent factors，所產生的數學模式用來預測中國在2020欲達成小康社會目標時空調器數量。這個分析的應用是依照大陸現行空調器EER值推算2020電力的尖峰負荷，因為空調是造成尖峰負荷主因，所以推論如果將空調器耗能標準提高20%，可以省下3.6個三峽水力發電的裝置容量(18GWx3.6)。也就是大陸供電裝置容量從現在的400GW，增長到2020的900~1000GW時，可節省66GW的裝置容量。 / Chinese market opened to the world since the establishment of Shenzhen Special Economic Zone (SEC) in 1978. Its economic growth starts taking off from 1992 when the 2nd SEC at Shanghai was established. China’s yearly Gross Domestic Products (GDP) growth exceeds 9% on average since then. The trend continued after China entered World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001. Their GDP reached Rmb18.232 trillions in 2005. Behind the magnificent growth, is the enormous amount of energy and nature resource consumption, thus lead to the environment damage. In 2003, China announced its plan to build a harmonious society (or well-off society or xiao-kang in mandarin) by 2020. This plan outlined the standard of living for the future Chinese. It will be a society composed mainly by the middle class, with a projected 1.5 billion total population, of which 60% will live in the urban area. GDP will grow to 4 times of what it was at 2000; which will make China the third largest economic in the world. However, can China sustain the growth? Is the supply of energy and resource unlimited? Can the rest of the world afford a developed country with 1.5 billion populations without the shortage of nature resource shortage elsewhere? This study reviewed China’s residential and light commercial unitary air conditioning market growth trend from 1995 to 2005. This segment represents 85%~90% of the total Chinese market. The study used several business forecasting methods, to develop a model for estimating the room air conditioner (RAC) and package air conditioner (PAC) market growth till 2020, by considering various social and economical factors such as GDP growth, construction of new buildings, disposal income (DPI) and retail price changes. The forecast can be used to estimate the peak time electrical power demand with the Energy Efficiency Ratio (EER: rated Cooling Capacity in Watt / Power Input in Watt) of RAC and PAC required by the code. Our study found that China should impose a much more stringent EER code in order to reduce peak electrical power demand and avoid supply shortage during the summer, since the economy is predicted to continue to outgrow the power supply. The alternative is to build more new power plant only to meet the summer peak load, while most other time of the year the plants may stay idle. According to Asia Pacific Economics Cooperation, Energy Standard Information System (APEC ESIS) current China EER requirement is around 25% below Taiwan, and most developed countries. Japan Air Conditioning Journal (JARN) and Building Services Research and Information Association from UK (BSRIA) reported that the size of China’s air conditioning market size exceeded Japan in 2003 to become the world second largest in the world, after only the United States. China now manufactures more mini split than any other places in the world. There should be no technical difficulty to adopt the more stringent code to help reducing the peak load demand from air conditioning, since most advance technologies are now available to the market and local manufacturers. Some Chinese air conditioning manufacturers already have a capacity surplus. Exporting their products to the developed countries such as the US and Japan, will require them to meet the EER code of the country of destination. This may speed up the introduction of higher EER design products in the local Chinese market.

Με το πέρασμα των χρόνων, τα συστήματα των ανανεώσιμων πηγών ενέργειας αποκτούν ολοένα και περισσότερο μέρος στα ηλεκτρικά δίκτυα. Το ενεργειακό πρόβλημα καθώς και οι επιπτώσεις στο περιβάλλον που αυτό δημιουργεί, οδηγούν σε εναλλακτικές μεθόδους παραγωγής ηλεκτρικής ενέργειας. Αυτό σημαίνει ότι προστίθονται στο δίκτυο εξαρτήματα τα οποία πρέπει να λειτουργούν αρμονικά το ένα σε σχέση με το άλλο για τον κατάλληλο χειρισμό της ηλεκτρικής ισχύος. Τέτοια εξαρτήματα είναι η μονάδα μετατροπής ενέργειας, ο μετατροπέας, το φίλτρο στην έξοδο του μετατροπέα καθώς και άλλες μονάδες πολύπλοκες ή πιο απλές. Η διακοπτική λειτουργία του μετατροπέα καθώς και η στοχαστική διαδικασία της παραγωγής ηλεκτρικής ενέργειας από τις ανανεώσιμες πηγές, προκαλούν τάσεις και ρεύματα με ανώτερες αρμονικές. Στην παρούσα διπλωματική εργασία θα εξετάσουμε διάφορες μεδόδους ελέγχου ισχύος στην πλευρά του δικτύου, με διάφορους τύπους φίλτρων και φορτίων στην έξοδο του μετατροπέα με σκοπό να εντοπίσουμε τις ομοιότητες και τις διαφορές ανάλογα με την τοπολογία που χρησιμοποιούμε. Τα συστήματα που θα εξομοιώσουμε περιλαμβάνουν την dc διασύνδεση, έναν μετατροπέα ισχύος που λειτουργεί με την μέθοδο PWM, διάφορες τοπολογίες φίλτρων όπως RL, LC και LCL σε ισχυρό δίκτυο και τέλος με διάφορα είδη φορτίων, δηλαδή σε ασθενές δίκτυο. Οι έλεγχοι θα εφαρμοστούν στο dq σύγχρονα στρεφόμενο σύστημα αναφοράς με την συχνότητα του δικτύου, με την βοήθεια του μετασχηματισμού Park έτσι ώστε να ελέγξουμε την dc τάση διασύνδεσης και να επιτύχουμε μοναδιαίο συντελεστή ισχύος από την πλευρά του δικτύου. Τέλος θα προσομοιώσουμε τα παραπάνω συστήματα στο Simulink του Matlab και θα εξάγουμε τα αντίστοιχα συμπεράσματα από τα αποτελέσματα των προσομοιώσεων. / During the years, systems of renewable energy sources are becoming more a significant part of electrical networks. The energy problem and its impact on the environment, lead to alternative methods of electricity production. This means that components added to the network must operate harmoniously in relation one to another for proper handling of electrical power. Such components are the power conversion unit, the inverter, the filter at the output of converter units and other complex or simple devices. The switching operation of the converter and the stochastic process of producing electricity from renewable sources, can provoke voltages and currents of higher harmonic spectrum. In this paper we will examine various methods to control power injected in the utility network with different types of filters and loads on the output of the converter in order to identify similarities and differences depending on the topology used. The systems will include simulation of dc link, a power converter that operates method PWM, different filter topologies such as RL, LC and LCL and then of different load topologies. The control will be applied in modern dq rotating reference system to the grid frequency, making use of the Park transformation to control the dc link voltage and succeed unit power factor in the grid side. In conclusion, simulations of these systems will be done in Simulink of Matlab and conclusions will be drowned.

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / This work proposes a methodology which is able to accomplish alarms processing and to estimate fault section in electrical power systems. The purpose is to filter alarms generated during a shutdown and indicate which equipment is at fault. To solve this problem, the methods employed are Constructive Heuristic (CH) and Integer Programming (IP) through their integration. Initially, CH method performs an analysis of fault direction in each power system equipment through alarms signaled by protective relays and circuit breakers status. Thus, by having as much information as possible, CH carries out an analysis on the level of equipment (busbars, power transformers and transmission lines) which can or cannot identify the direction in which disturbance occurred. The final processing is performed by IP, which analyzes the response of protection system as a whole (system-level analysis), using post-fault topology of power grid along with response of CH, indicating the fault section (s) and possible failures in the opening of circuit breakers. / Este trabalho propõe uma metodologia capaz de realizar o processamento de alarmes e estimar a seção em falta em sistemas elétricos de potência. A finalidade é filtrar os alarmes gerados durante um desligamento e indicar qual equipamento está sob falta. Para resolver o problema, são utilizados os métodos da Heurística Construtiva (HC) e da Programação Inteira (PI), através de sua integração. Inicialmente, o método da HC realiza, através dos alarmes sinalizados por relés de proteção e estado de disjuntores, uma análise quanto à direção da falta em cada equipamento do sistema de energia elétrica. Assim, a HC na posse de tantas informações quanto possível realiza uma análise em nível de equipamento (barramentos, transformadores de potência e linhas de transmissão), podendo ou não identificar a direção em que o distúrbio ocorreu. O processamento final é feito pela PI, que analisa a resposta do sistema de proteção como um todo (análise em nível de sistema), usando a topologia pós-falta da rede juntamente com a resposta da HC, indicando a(s) seção(ões) em falta(s) e as possíveis falhas de abertura em disjuntores.

Electrical energy is a very important part of our society. Every household needs electrical energy for its daily routine, every company needs it for its production, our entire society can not do without electrical energy, it is literally the spine, the alpha and omega of everything. Modern products, such as mobile phones, storage media, computer sets, but also light, all of this is possible thanks to electrical energy, which is an integral part of life and no one can imagine a life without it anymore. Electrical energy is very important for the operation of a country, it is integrated in critical infrastructure and an electrical power blackout will endanger everything across our society. It is for this reason that society should learn to use electricity sparingly, and it also should ready itself for the possibility of a blackout coming at any moment, hitting anyone. The topic of this thesis is electrical energy. The thesis explores the question whether the Police of the Czech Republic is capable of an appropriate response in the event of a blackout in the wider area (ORP) of České Budějovice and whether the readiness for such an event is high. The goal of the work is the creation of a safety study on possible risks in the wider area (ORP) of České Budějovice. The research question of the thesis has been articulated as "In what manner will the wider area (ORP) of České Budějovice be secured in the event of a electrical power blackout?" In its theoretical part, the thesis discusses crisis control in general, the terms Crisis Situation, Regional Crisis Plan, Crisis Command are explained, components of the integrated rescue services (IZS) and their main activities are listed, the definition of responsibilities of the hetman and the scope of his authority within the IZS, his conduct during threat periods, the explanation of terms such as infrastructure and critical infrastructure. The current legislature in all the mentioned fields is listed here. The next part deals with electrical energy, how it is created, what types of power plants produce electricity, electric power transmission and distribution networks, what companies produce and distribute electrical energy, the activity of the Ministry of Industry and Trade, regulatory authority and state energy inspection activities, the activity of energy producers in the event of an electrical power failure during a crisis threat period or when a crisis situation arises, the activity of electrical energy operators when a crises situation arises, the activity territorial administration authorities during crisis situation threat periods and when crises arise. The practical part of the thesis discusses police procedures in extraordinary events, the number of district departments in the wider area (ORP) of České Budějovice, approximate numbers of police officers in the district departments, the definition of basic procedures within Police Law. The research part of the thesis focuses on the wider area (ORP) of České Budějovice, which contains various companies, selected for this thesis, which are compared using multiple-criteria assessment, with regards to possible safety risks in the extraordinary event of an electrical power blackout. The next point of the research was the approaching of experts from the ranks of the Police of the Czech Republic, Regional Section České Budějovice, who were then asked about police readiness, police material supplies, possible reinforcements which could secure buildings in the wider area (ORP) of České Budějovice, in the event of an electrical power blackout. The conclusion of this thesis focuses on the research question, which was to the effect of "Safety Study for the Event of an Electrical Power Blackout on the Wider Area Municipality of České Budějovice".

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / O objetivo deste trabalho é contribuir com o desenvolvimento de uma técnica baseada em sistemas inteligentes que possibilite a localização exata ou aproximada do ponto de origem de uma Variação de Tensão de Curta Duração (VTCD) (gerada por uma falta) em um sistema de distribuição de energia elétrica. Este trabalho utiliza um Phase-Locked Loop (PLL) com o intuito de detectar as faltas. Uma vez que a falta é detectada, os sinais de tensão obtidos durante a falta são decompostos em componentes simétricas instantâneas por meio do método proposto. Em seguida, as energias das componentes simétricas são calculadas e utilizadas para estimar a localização da falta. Nesta pesquisa, são avaliadas duas estruturas baseadas em Redes Neurais Artificiais (RNAs). A primeira é projetada para classificar a localização da falta em um dos pontos possíveis e a segunda é projetada para estimar a distância da falta ao alimentador. A técnica aqui proposta aplica-se a alimentadores trifásicos com cargas equilibradas. No desenvolvimento da mesma, considera-se que há disponibilidade de medições de tensões no nó inicial do alimentador e também em pontos esparsos ao longo da rede de distribuição. O banco de dados empregado foi obtido através de simulações de um modelo de alimentador radial usando o programa PSCAD/EMTDC. Testes de sensibilidade empregando validação-cruzada são realizados em ambas as arquiteturas de redes neurais com o intuito de verificar a confiabilidade dos resultados obtidos. Adicionalmente foram realizados testes com faltas não inicialmente contidas no banco de dados a fim de se verificar a capacidade de generalização das redes. Os desempenhos de ambas as arquiteturas de redes neurais foram satisfatórios e demonstram a viabilidade das técnicas propostas para realizar a localização de faltas em redes de distribuição. / The aim of this work is to contribute to the development of a technique based on intelligent systems that allows the accurate location of the Short Duration Voltage Variations (SDVV) origin in an electrical power distribution system. Once the fault is detected via a Phase-Locked Loop (PLL), voltage signals acquired during the fault are decomposed into instantaneous symmetrical components by the proposed method. Then, the energies of the symmetrical components are calculated and used to estimate the fault location. In this work, two systems based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are evaluated. The first one is designed to classify the fault location into one of predefined possible points and the second is designed to estimate the fault distance from the feeder. The technique herein proposed is applies to three-phase feeders with balanced loads. In addition, it is considered that there is availability of voltage measurements in the initial node of the feeder and also in sparse points along the distribution power grid. The employed database was made using simulations of a model of radial feeder using the PSCAD / EMTDC program. Sensitivity tests employing cross-validation are performed for both approaches in order to verify the reliability of the results. Furthermore, in order to check the generalization capability, tests with faults not originally contained in the database were performed. The performances of both architectures of neural networks were satisfactory and they demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed techniques to perform fault location on distribution grids.

Submitted by JÉSSICA ANTONIO DELGADO null (jessica_dellgado@hotmail.com) on 2016-08-05T13:36:45Z No. of bitstreams: 1 DISSERTACAO_FINAL0308.pdf: 4117025 bytes, checksum: 0bc23567e553d5dba25e546bbeba3e55 (MD5) / Rejected by Ana Paula Grisoto (grisotoana@reitoria.unesp.br), reason: Solicitamos que realize uma nova submissão seguindo as orientações abaixo: A data de defesa informada na capa e folha de rosto do trabalho está diferente da data que consta na folha de aprovação. Corrija estas informações e realize uma nova submissão contendo o arquivo correto. Agradecemos a compreensão. on 2016-08-09T17:15:33Z (GMT) / Submitted by JÉSSICA ANTONIO DELGADO null (jessica_dellgado@hotmail.com) on 2016-08-09T20:16:39Z No. of bitstreams: 1 DISSERTACAO_FINAL0908.pdf: 4117292 bytes, checksum: 2fa555b044c52407e59e19d3d51f664d (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Ana Paula Grisoto (grisotoana@reitoria.unesp.br) on 2016-08-10T14:41:21Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 delgado_ja_me_bauru.pdf: 4117292 bytes, checksum: 2fa555b044c52407e59e19d3d51f664d (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2016-08-10T14:41:21Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 delgado_ja_me_bauru.pdf: 4117292 bytes, checksum: 2fa555b044c52407e59e19d3d51f664d (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-06-10 / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES) / Este trabalho propõe uma abordagem que utiliza uma combinação de métodos baseados na função barreira logarítmica e barreira logarítmica modificada para a resolução do problema de Fluxo de Potência Ótimo Reativo. Na abordagem proposta as restrições de desigualdade são transformadas em igualdade introduzindo as variáveis de folga, as quais são tratadas pela função barreira logarítmica ou pela função barreira logarítmica modificada e as restrições de igualdade são tratadas pelos multiplicadores de Lagrange. Estes métodos são utilizados em duas etapas. Inicialmente aplica-se o método baseado na função barreira logarítmica até que um critério de transição seja satisfeita. Depois aplica-se o método baseado na função barreira logarítmica modificada até que a condição de convergência seja satisfeita. Testes numéricos utilizando os sistemas elétricos de 3 barras e IEEE 14, 30, 57 e 118 barras indicam que o método é eficiente na resolução do problema Fluxo de Potência Ótimo Reativo. Uma comparação dos resultados obtidos pela abordagem proposta com os dos métodos de barreira logarítmica e de barreira logarítmica modificada separadamente é realizada. / This work proposes an approach that uses a combination of methods based on loga-rithmic barrier function and modi˝ed logarithmic barrier function for the resolution of the reactive optimal power ˛ow problem. In this proposed approach the inequality cons-traints are transformed into equalities by adding the slack variables, which are handled by logarithmic barrier function or modified logarithmic barrier function, and the equality constraints are handled by means of Lagrange multipliers. These methods are used in two steps. Initially, the method based on the logarithmic barrier function is applied until the stop condition is satisfied. After the method based on modified logarithmic barrier function is used until the convergence condition is satisfied. Numerical tests carried out with the 3 bus, IEEE 14, 30, 57 and 118 bus electrical systems indicate that the proposed approach is efficient in the resolution of the reactive optimal power flow problem. The results obtained by the proposed approach were compared with the logarithmic barrier method and the logarithmic barrier method modified, separately.

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / O objetivo deste trabalho é contribuir com o desenvolvimento de uma técnica baseada em sistemas inteligentes que possibilite a localização exata ou aproximada do ponto de origem de uma Variação de Tensão de Curta Duração (VTCD) (gerada por uma falta) em um sistema de distribuição de energia elétrica. Este trabalho utiliza um Phase-Locked Loop (PLL) com o intuito de detectar as faltas. Uma vez que a falta é detectada, os sinais de tensão obtidos durante a falta são decompostos em componentes simétricas instantâneas por meio do método proposto. Em seguida, as energias das componentes simétricas são calculadas e utilizadas para estimar a localização da falta. Nesta pesquisa, são avaliadas duas estruturas baseadas em Redes Neurais Artificiais (RNAs). A primeira é projetada para classificar a localização da falta em um dos pontos possíveis e a segunda é projetada para estimar a distância da falta ao alimentador. A técnica aqui proposta aplica-se a alimentadores trifásicos com cargas equilibradas. No desenvolvimento da mesma, considera-se que há disponibilidade de medições de tensões no nó inicial do alimentador e também em pontos esparsos ao longo da rede de distribuição. O banco de dados empregado foi obtido através de simulações de um modelo de alimentador radial usando o programa PSCAD/EMTDC. Testes de sensibilidade empregando validação-cruzada são realizados em ambas as arquiteturas de redes neurais com o intuito de verificar a confiabilidade dos resultados obtidos. Adicionalmente foram realizados testes com faltas não inicialmente contidas no banco de dados a fim de se verificar a capacidade de generalização das redes. Os desempenhos de ambas as arquiteturas de redes neurais foram satisfatórios e demonstram a viabilidade das técnicas propostas para realizar a localização de faltas em redes de distribuição. / The aim of this work is to contribute to the development of a technique based on intelligent systems that allows the accurate location of the Short Duration Voltage Variations (SDVV) origin in an electrical power distribution system. Once the fault is detected via a Phase-Locked Loop (PLL), voltage signals acquired during the fault are decomposed into instantaneous symmetrical components by the proposed method. Then, the energies of the symmetrical components are calculated and used to estimate the fault location. In this work, two systems based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are evaluated. The first one is designed to classify the fault location into one of predefined possible points and the second is designed to estimate the fault distance from the feeder. The technique herein proposed is applies to three-phase feeders with balanced loads. In addition, it is considered that there is availability of voltage measurements in the initial node of the feeder and also in sparse points along the distribution power grid. The employed database was made using simulations of a model of radial feeder using the PSCAD / EMTDC program. Sensitivity tests employing cross-validation are performed for both approaches in order to verify the reliability of the results. Furthermore, in order to check the generalization capability, tests with faults not originally contained in the database were performed. The performances of both architectures of neural networks were satisfactory and they demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed techniques to perform fault location on distribution grids.

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico / This work introduces some proposals for the design of harmonic filters from a harmonic penetration computer program. Such procedures are developed by means of optimized techniques, taking in account, among other aspects, the filtering performance, the filter detuning as well as international guides referring to the supportability of the filter components, as far as voltage, current and power are concerned. The work shows the need for designing filters through a harmonic penetration program. Therefore, the filter parameters can be calculated not only from harmonic currents driven from a single harmonic source (as usually it is made), but also from other existing (and unwanted) harmonic sources eventually present in the system, which could eventually be attracted by the harmonic filter. The work also introduces some studies of cases, in which single tuned filters are compared to damped filter. This study is made in a typical industrial plant, where an arc furnace (that produces characteristic and non-characteristic harmonic) is present. The study shows, among other aspects that, depending on some important requirements made in the design of the filters, a damped filter arrangement can be more advantageous than a single tuned one. / Este trabalho propõe diretrizes para a elaboração de procedimentos sistemáticos que conduzem ao projeto de filtros harmônicos, a partir de um programa de fluxo harmônico. Tais procedimentos são desenvolvidos por meio de técnicas otimizadas, levando-se em conta, dentre outros aspectos, o desempenho de filtragem, a dessintonia dos filtros, bem como normas referentes à suportabilidade dos componentes frente às grandezas elétricas do sistema. A elaboração de um projeto de filtros a partir de um programa de fluxo harmônico foi introduzida com o intuito de se determinar os filtros não somente a partir das correntes harmônicas oriundas de uma determinada carga harmônica (como usualmente é feito), mas também para outras fontes harmônicas porventura existentes no sistema e que, eventualmente, poderão ser indesejavelmente (porém, inevitavelmente) atraídas pelo filtro harmônico. O trabalho também apresenta alguns estudos de casos, nos quais há a comparação de desempenho entre filtros sintonizados e amortecidos. Neste sentido, o trabalho usa o programa digital desenvolvido para apresentar uma análise sobre o uso de filtros sintonizados ou amortecidos, em uma instalação industrial típica de usinas siderúrgicas, que produz correntes harmônicas de ordens não-características, inclusive. Nesse tocante, este estudo de casos mostra, dentre outros aspectos, que, dependendo de certas considerações feitas no projeto dos filtros sintonizados, estes podem até dispensar somas de potência reativa maiores do que os filtros amortecidos. / Mestre em Ciências

Nowadays, national and international electric utilities and end users are becoming more and more concerned about the quality of the electrical power. Such concerns are related with the occurrence of electric disturbances capable to effect the operation and the life expectance of equipments and devices, as well as affecting and interrupting varied industrial processes. Of the above mentioned phenomena, short-duration voltage variations deserve special attention once they are the disturbances that cause the largest damages to the consumers. As a consequence of that, there are several devices available that minimize the effects of such disturbances on the equipments. Among those devices, the Dynamic Voltage Restorer (DVR) represents a modern proposal for the solution of the problems caused by voltage sags and swells. In this work, three different system topologies for DVRs are analysed throughout computer implementations. Comparisons are made between these topologies, with focus on both the general performance and on the electrical power quality of the entire system. / As preocupações com os diversos assuntos relacionados à Qualidade da Energia Elétrica têm sido cada vez mais comuns às empresas de energia e aos consumidores em geral, e vêm assumindo importância destacada nos cenários nacional e internacional. Tais preocupações são voltadas para a ocorrência de distúrbios elétricos capazes de comprometer o desempenho e a vida útil de equipamentos e dispositivos, além de afetar ou interromper variados processos industriais. Desses distúrbios, as VTCDs (Variações de Tensão de Curta Duração) são consideradas as que mais causam prejuízos aos consumidores. Com isso, já existe na literatura técnica uma série de metodologias de prevenção e variados dispositivos de atenuação dos efeitos das VTCDs. Destes dispositivos, destaca-se o Restaurador Dinâmico de Tensão (DVR Dynamic Voltage Restorer) que é um compensador estático série avançado aplicado à distribuição de energia elétrica e que representa hoje o que há de mais moderno em termos de mitigação de afundamentos e elevações de tensão. O presente trabalho visa contribuir para o estudo do desempenho de algumas topologias de DVR, comparando a atuação de três opções de configuração através de simulações computacionais em plataforma SABER. A análise comparativa do desempenho das topologias não considera apenas a eficiência na compensação dos distúrbios elétricos, mas também os efeitos que causam na qualidade da tensão do sistema elétrico, sejam por injeção de harmônicos ou por oscilações transitórias. / Mestre em Ciências

Este trabalho apresenta um estudo sobre o método da continuação aplicado ao problema de fluxo de potência. Definições e conceitos de estabilidade de tensão são descritos de forma a explicitar as diferenças e semelhanças existentes com relação ao estudo de máximo carregamento em sistemas de energia elétrica. Uma síntese da teoria da bifurcação aborda sua importância em estudos de colapso de tensão. É proposta uma técnica de controle do tamanho do passo para o método da continuação com o objetivo de determinar o ponto de máximo carregamento (PMC) sem a necessidade de especificar, por meio do usuário, um valor para o tamanho inicial do passo. Os resultados dos estudos realizados em sistemas testes do IEEE (14, 30, 57 e 118 barras) mostram a aplicação do método da continuação convencional e de sua associação à técnica de controle do tamanho do passo. / This work presents a research about the continuation method applied to the power flow problem. Voltage stability definitions and concepts are described in a way to highlight and point out the differences and the similarities among several methods used to determine the maximum loading of electrical power systems. A short description of the bifurcation theory is also presented in order to show its importance to the voltage collapse studies. A technique based on automatically controlling the step size is proposed as an innovation of the continuation method. The objective of this technique is to determine the maximum loading point without the traditional need of asking the user for the initial step size. The results compare the performance between the conventional and the new method. These methods are analyzed using IEEE test systems (14, 30, 57 and 118-bus).