Zugl.: Regensburg, Universiẗat, Diss., 2008. / Literaturverz. S. 303 - 324.

Denna studie har undersökt förvaltningsberättelsers och revisionsberättelsers innehåll för större svenska bolag gällande information om fortsatt drift innan konkurs. Den teoretiska utgångspunkten har varit att utröna om revisionsbyråns storlek har betydelse för revisorns och bolagens rapportering av fortsatt drift, vilket framkommit i tidigare forskning. För att kunna studera praxis inom rapportering av fortsatt drift, har en population av 146 större svenska bolag som har gått i konkurs mellan 2006 och 2015 använts. Årsredovisningen från året innan konkursen har varit studieobjektet. Den teoretiska metoden utgår från ett abduktivt synsätt där teori har studerats parallellt med insamlandet av sekundärdata från årsredovisningar. Studiens teoretiska antagande utgår från tidigare studier om revisionskvalitet och rapportering av fortsatt drift, mestadels via revisionsberättelsen. Forskningen om förvaltningsberättelsens betydelse härvidlag har, enligt författarens kännedom, undersökts i mindre omfattning vilket förstärker studiens kunskapsbidrag. Studiens empiriska resultat visar att en övervägande del av de bolag där revisorn rapporterade problem med fortsatt drift hade lämnat en upplysning av särskild betydelse. Få fall av avvikande mening eller uppgift med reservation rapporterades, och i sammanlagt 28,8 % rapporterades tvivel på fortsatt drift i revisionsberättelsen. I de fall som tvivel om fortsatt drift rapporterades användes upplysning av särskild betydelse i 88,6 %. Studien kunde inte bekräfta att revisorer som tillhör en större revisionsbyrå rapporterar med bättre kvalitet, något som motsäger tidigare forskning.Det finns dock tendenser som indikerar att förvaltningsberättelsen är ett viktigt dokument att studera för att finna tecken på ett bolags förmåga till fortsatt drift.

In August, 2014, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued an update concerning the disclosure of uncertainties about an entity’s ability to continue as a going concern. The standard requires an entities management to evaluate whether there is substantial doubt about the entity’s ability to continue as a going concern and to provide related footnote disclosures in certain circumstances. One consequence of this regulation is the need for guidance for audit testing of management’s assessments in each phase of the audit. This research evaluates the usefulness of bankruptcy prediction models as analytical tools in the planning stage of an audit for going concern assertions and questions the use of precision as the only measure of a model’s effectiveness. I use simulation to manipulate the fundamental accounting data within five bankruptcy prediction models, explore failure rates in an environment with materiality concerns, and consider the total change in market value due to simulated errors. Given the inherent limitations of the information environment and/or current prediction models, my results indicate auditors’ current failure rates are not an indication of audit failure. The results suggest that bright-line testing using bankruptcy prediction models are sensitive to materiality and that the cost trade-off between Type I and Type II errors is an important indicator of model choice.

The going concern warning and its consequences for auditors and companies have been studied from many different angles. However, the results are conflicting. A going concern warning is issued by an auditor when there is substantial doubt on the company’s ability to continue as a going concern. Studies have shown that most companies survive despite a going concern warning. There are also signs of short-term consequences for the companies. How the consequences unfold in the long run for companies that have received a going concern warning is not well studied. The purpose of this study is to investigate how companies are affected in the long run by the consequences that can arise due to a going concern warning. For this study, a quantitative method has been used. Legitimacy theory, Interest theory and Institutional theory, have the common factor that they all explain how organizations survive in the long run. The theories, together with scientific articles and other relevant literature, have been used to develop the hypotheses. Companies with a going concern warning have been compared with companies that have not received a going concern warning. Empirical data have been collected for 2010-2015 and by using multiple linear regressions the hypotheses of the study have been tested. The result of the study showed that a going concern warning did not adversely affect the company on a long-term basis. On the contrary, the study indicates that companies with a going concern warning improve compared to equivalent companies which did not receive a going concern warning.

Purpose - This study explores how Covid-19 may affect audit quality and provide early insights if the pandemic has already affected audit quality in Sweden. Design/methodology/approach - This paper uses qualitative data obtained through semi-structured interviews with eight Swedish authorized auditors within Big Four to explore possible impacts on three key aspects for audit quality. These include Going-concern assessments, Auditor-client relationship, and Auditor-independence. Findings - Even though the Covid-19 pandemic is not over, it has had fewer effects on audit quality than experts and researchers predicted. Even though the pandemic has changed the communication and the relationship between the auditor and client, the findings state no significant effect on audit quality within the auditor-client relationship. The same goes for auditor-independence. However, the findings of this study indicate that making accurate going-concern assessments has and will be more complex and thus threaten audit quality. Practical contribution – We anticipate that auditors need to provide a greater focus on GC assessments as stakeholders require greater disclosure. Further, auditors and clients should gain on the increased use of digital communication by using it as a complement to physical meetings in the future. Originality/Value - This study is, to the best of our knowledge, one of the first studies that explore the potential impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on audit quality with empirical evidence. Since this study is conducted in the middle of the pandemic (Spring 2021), the results can be seen as indications for future researchers that beyond the pandemic seek to explain how the Covid-19 pandemic affected audit quality as it is crucial for the audit community to follow the consequences of the pandemic.

Rough set prediction capability was compared with actual auditor signaling rates for a large sample of United States companies from 1991 to 1997 time period. Prior bankruptcy prediction research was carefully reviewed to identify 11 possible predictive factors which had both significant theoretical support and were present in multiple studies. Rough sets theory was used to develop two different bankruptcy prediction models, each containing four variables from the 11 possible predictive variables. In contrast with prior rough sets theory research which suggested that rough sets theory offered significant bankruptcy predictive improvements for auditors, the rough sets models did not provide any significant comparative advantage with regard to prediction accuracy over the actual auditors' methodologies.

Auditors must assess their clients' ability to function as a going concern for at least the year following the financial statement date. The audit profession has been severely criticized for failure to 'blow the whistle' in numerous highly visible bankruptcies that occurred shortly after unmodified audit opinions were issued. Financial distress indicators examined in this study are one mechanism for making such assessments. This study measures and compares the predictive accuracy of an easily implemented two-variable bankruptcy model originally developed using recursive partitioning on an equally proportioned data set of 202 firms. In this study, we test the predictive accuracy of this model, as well as previously developed logit and neural network models, using a realistically proportioned set of 14,212 firms' financial data covering the period 1981-1990. The previously developed recursive partitioning model had an overall accuracy for all firms ranging from 95 to 97% which outperformed both the logit model at 93 to 94% and the neural network model at 86 to 91%. The recursive partitioning model predicted the bankrupt firms with 33-58% accuracy. A sensitivity analysis of recursive partitioning cutting points indicated that a newly specified model could achieve an all firm and a bankrupt firm predictive accuracy of approximately 85%. Auditors will be interested in the Type I and Type II error tradeoffs revealed in a detailed sensitivity table for this easily implemented model.

Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht empirisch die Unabhängigkeit des Abschlussprüfers bei nicht kapitalmarktorientierten Unternehmen - im Folgenden private Unternehmen genannt - im Kontext von Prüfungs- und Nichtprüfungshonoraren in Deutschland. Als Surrogat für die Prüfungsqualität wird die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Going-Concern-Modifikation („GCM“) herangezogen. GCM können als Indikator für die Prüfungsqualität besonders geeignet sein, da sie ein direktes Ergebnis der Tätigkeit des Abschlussprüfers sind und von ihm formuliert und verantwortet werden. Für das Surrogat GCM existiert für Deutschland im Bereich der privaten Unternehmen bislang keine Studie. International ist lediglich die Untersuchung von HOPE/LANGLI (2010) vorhanden. Die Unabhängigkeit ist von anhaltender Relevanz, wird jedoch immer wieder in Frage gestellt. Der Fokus von Regulierungsbehörden und Forschung liegt auf kapitalmarktorientierten Unternehmen. Die Unabhängigkeit des Abschlussprüfers kann besonders gefährdet sein, wenn Schutzmechanismen, wie z.B. die Haftung oder das Risiko eines Reputationsverlustes, besonders schwach ausgeprägt sind. Aus vorangegangenen Forschungsarbeiten kann abgeleitet werden, dass bei privaten Unternehmen das Risiko eines Reputationsverlustes im Vergleich zu kapitalmarktorientierten Unternehmen geringer ist. Auch weitere Schutzmechanismen, wie z.B. die Prüferrotation, sind in Deutschland überwiegend für kapitalmarktorientierte Unternehmen vorgesehen. Weiterhin ist das Haftungsrisiko für den Abschlussprüfer in Deutschland verglichen mit angelsächsischen Ländern geringer. Damit erfolgt die empirische Analyse in einem Umfeld, in dem die Unabhängigkeit des Abschlussprüfers besonders gefährdet ist. Die Untersuchungsgruppe für die multivariate Regressionsanalyse besteht aus 245 Beobachtungen von privaten Unternehmen mit GCM im Zeitraum von 2009 bis 2012. Der Untersuchungsgruppe werden zwei unterschiedlich abgegrenzte Kontrollgruppen mit 1.921 bzw. 396 Beobachtungen von Unternehmen in finanziellen Schwierigkeiten ohne GCM gegenübergestellt. Im Ergebnis können für die Einflussgrößen, die auf den Prüfungs-, Nichtprüfungs- und Gesamthonoraren basieren, keine Indizien für die Gefährdung der Unabhängigkeit identifiziert werden. Für die Prüfungs- und Gesamthonorare wird mit beiden Kontrollgruppen ein signifikant positiver Zusammenhang beobachtet. Der positive Zusammenhang kann auf den höheren Prüfungsaufwand durch die zusätzlichen Prüfungshandlungen bei einer GCM zurückgeführt werden. Trotz der geringeren Ausprägung bei privaten Unternehmen können Reputations- und Haftungsrisiken als alternative Erklärung nicht ausgeschlossen werden. Weniger eindeutig, und abhängig von den Modellspezifikationen, ist der positive Zusammenhang für die Nichtprüfungshonorare. Grundsätzlich gelten die Ergebnisse auch für die abnormalen Honorare. Die Ergebnisse bestätigen sich im Wesentlichen in den durchgeführten Sensitivitätsanalysen. / This study empirically examines whether the provision of audit and non-audit services impairs auditor independence among a sample of firms which are not publicly traded - hereinafter named as private firms - in Germany. The auditor’s propensity to issue a going concern opinion ("GCM") is used as a proxy for audit quality. GCM are a natural indicator for audit quality, since GCM are a direct outcome of the auditor's decision and actions taken during the audit. No study on audit quality approximated by the GCM surrogate for German private firms was found. Internationally only the study of HOPE/LANGLI (2010) examines the issue for Norway private firms. Auditor independence plays a crucial role in the audit process, but it is repeatedly called into question. The focus of regulators and research is on publicly traded firms. The auditor's independence can be particularly impaired if protective mechanisms, such as auditor litigation or the risk of a reputation loss, are particularly weak. Previous studies show that the auditor’s risk of a reputation loss is lower for the auditor of private firms than of publicly traded firms. In Germany other protective mechanisms, such as auditor rotation, are also forseen predominantly for publicly traded firms. Furthermore, the litigation risk for auditors in Germany is lower than in Anglo-Saxon countries. This means that the empirical analysis takes place in an environment in which auditor independence is particularly at risk. The sample for the multivariate logistic regression analysis comprises 245 observations of private firms that received a GCM in the period 2009 - 2012. Two different control samples of 1,921 and 396 observations of private firms under financial stress without receiving a GCM were identified. The results do not indicate that auditor independence is impaird when they receive (large) audit and non-audit fees. Furthermore the analysis shows a significant positive association between the magnitude of audit fees respectively total fees and the auditor’s propensity to issue a going concern opinion. The positive correlation can be explained by the higher audit effort caused by the additional audit procedures due to the GCM. Despite their lower magnitute it cannot be ruled out that institutional incentives, such as reputation loss and litigation cost are alternative explanations. Less clear, and depending on the specifications of the regression model, is the association of non-audit fees and the auditor’s propability to issue a GCM. In principle, the same results are found when using abnormal audit fees and abnormal total fees. The results are also robust to several alternative research design specifications and sensitivity tests. / Die Unabhängigkeit des Abschlussprüfers ist von anhaltender Relevanz, wird jedoch immer wieder in Frage gestellt. Der Fokus von Regulierungsbehörden und Forschung liegt auf kapitalmarktorientierten Unternehmen. Die Unabhängigkeit kann besonders gefährdet sein, wenn Schutzmechanismen, wie z. B. die Haftung oder das Risiko eines Reputationsverlustes, besonders schwach ausgeprägt sind. Es kann abgeleitet werden, dass bei privaten Unternehmen das Risiko eines Reputationsverlustes im Vergleich zu kapitalmarktorientierten Unternehmen geringer ist. Weiterhin ist das Haftungsrisiko für den Abschlussprüfer in Deutschland verglichen mit angelsächsischen Ländern geringer. Damit untersucht die Arbeit die Unabhängigkeit in einem Umfeld, in dem diese besonders gefährdet ist. Als Surrogat wird die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Going-Concern-Modifikation („GCM“) herangezogen. GCM können als Indikator für die Prüfungsqualität besonders geeignet sein, da sie ein direktes Ergebnis der Tätigkeit des Abschlussprüfers sind und von ihm formuliert und verantwortet werden. Für das Surrogat GCM ist für Deutschland im Bereich der privaten Unternehmen bislang keine Studie bekannt.

Drawing upon the theories of complexity and complex adaptive systems and the Singerian Inquiring System from C. West Churchman's seminal work The Design of Inquiring Systems the dissertation herein develops a systems design theory for continuous auditing systems. The dissertation consists of discussion of the two foundational theories, development of the Theory of Complex Adaptive Inquiring Organizations (CAIO) and associated design principles for a continuous auditing system supporting a CAIO, and instantiation of the CAIO theory. The instantiation consists of an agent-based model depicting the marketplace for Frontier Airlines that generates an anticipated market share used as an integral component in a mock auditor going concern opinion for the airline. As a whole, the dissertation addresses the lack of an underlying system design theory and comprehensive view needed to build upon and advance the continuous assurance movement and addresses the question of how continuous auditing systems should be designed to produce knowledge--knowledge that benefits auditors, clients, and society as a whole.

The Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) has recently begun inspecting foreign audit firms. An important policy concern is that several foreign jurisdictions have refused to allow the PCAOB to conduct inspections of their audit firms. In this dissertation, I investigate (1) whether audit quality is higher for client firms (henceforth "complying" clients) whose foreign auditors have been inspected by the PCAOB, compared to client firms (henceforth "blacklisted" clients) of foreign auditors whose governments have refused inspections by the PCAOB, and (2) whether audit quality improves in the post inspection period for clients of inspected foreign auditors. I use abnormal accruals, total accruals, value relevance, and the likelihood of receiving a going concern opinion as proxies for audit quality. I conduct empirical tests on two samples, a cross-sectional sample consisting of blacklisted and complying clients, and a longitudinal sample of clients of inspected foreign auditors before and after PCAOB inspections. For the going-concern models, the samples are confined to financially distressed firms, which are either clients with negative net income or negative operating cash flows or clients in the top quartile in the bankruptcy probability distribution. The cross-sectional models indicate that blacklisted clients have significantly higher abnormal and total accruals, lower value relevance and a lower likelihood of receiving a going concern opinion, than complying clients, suggesting that clients of PCAOB-inspected auditors seem to have higher audit quality. Moreover, longitudinal analyses of clients of inspected foreign auditors show that abnormal accruals and total accruals are lower after PCAOB inspections than before inspections, and value relevance is greater after inspections than before. The likelihood of receiving a going concern opinion is higher after PCAOB inspections than before inspections for one of the two distressed-firm samples. Overall, the results are generally consistent with the PCAOB's claim that the clients of foreign audit firms that have undergone PCAOB inspections have benefited from the inspections. Further analyses indicate that the benefits are concentrated in jurisdictions where the PCAOB has conducted joint inspections with local authorities, in countries where legal traditions follow common law, and for clients of Big 4 auditors. / Business Administration/Accounting