We report the discovery of weak yet hard X-ray emission from the Wolf-Rayet (WR) star WR 142 with the XMM-Newton X-ray telescope. Being of spectral subtype WO2, WR 142 is a massive star in a very advanced evolutionary stage shortly before its explosion as a supernova or gamma-ray burst. This is the first detection of X-ray emission from a WO-type star. We rule out any serendipitous X-ray sources within approximate to 1 '' of WR 142. WR 142 has an X-ray luminosity of L(X) approximate to 7 x 10(30) erg s(-1), which constitutes only less than or similar to 10(-8) of its bolometric luminosity. The hard X-ray spectrum suggests a plasma temperature of about 100 MK. Commonly, X-ray emission from stellar winds is attributed to embedded shocks due to the intrinsic instability of the radiation driving. From qualitative considerations we conclude that this mechanism cannot account for the hardness of the observed radiation. There are no hints for a binary companion. Therefore the only remaining, albeit speculative explanation must refer to magnetic activity. Possibly related, WR 142 seems to rotate extremely fast, as indicated by the unusually round profiles of its optical emission lines. Our detection implies that the wind of WR 142 must be relatively transparent to X-rays, which can be due to strong wind ionization, wind clumping, or nonspherical geometry from rapid rotation.

No description available.

The submitted thesis deals with the theme of a neurodegenerative autoimmune disease, the sclerosis multiplex. Although this serious disease has become an object of intensive research in recent decades and there is an inexhaustible quantity of literature available, we haven't yet fully identified the causes of this disease as well as we haven't found such kind of effective treatment that would lead to the permanent recovery of patients. I focused my interest on two main spheres: first, the description and comparison of practices in terms of pharmacotherapy giving priority to its benefits to patients, second, the view of another important but not always appreciated part of therapy, physiotherapy or rehabilitation; the main point is studying of processes and actions from the pedagogical point of view.

學校停課在世界各國的流感大流行應對方案中常被列為一項社區緩疫措施，而這項措施亦在2009年H1N1流感大流行中被廣泛地使用。然而，這項緩疫措施經常被質疑是否恰當，原因是因為停課會對教育構成重大的影響，而且過往的流行病學硏究亦表示這項緩疫措施不一定有效。本論文硏究學校停課對2009年H1N1流感大流行在香港首5個月疫情中降低大流行流感傳播的效能。 / 在香港，在該大流行流感病毒於2009年4月在美國被發現後，香港政府實施了控疫措施(containment phase measures)，並開始對該流感大流行進行監測。為了判定大流行是否已在香港內蔓延，衛生防護中心設定了一個報告準則來讓本地醫生報告疑似大流行流感感染個案，並為每個懷疑個案作確診測試及為每個確診個案追溯感染源頭。當大流行流感在6月開始在香港內蔓延時，香港政府實施了緩疫措施(mitigation phase measures)。在緩疫措施底下，帶有流感病症的病人求診於指定流感診所和公共醫院急症室會被測試是否感染大流行流感，而停課措施亦在此時開始實行去減低大流行流感的傳播。停課措施一直維持至7月直至暑假開始，並經修改後於9月開學時繼續實行。在9月，鑑於已不再需要對流感大流行進行監測，對懷疑感染個案進行確診測試的政策止於該月下旬。確診個案中記錄了的病人資料，與及由學校停課和暑假所引起的學期變化，為這課題提供了一個理想硏究的機會。 / 在2009年的5月至9月，一共確診了27,687宗大流行流感個案。在確診個案中，所有個案都記錄了確診者的年歲和確診日期，而88%確診者提供了一個可定位的住宅地址。為了觀察學校停課的緩疫效果，本硏究定義了5個社會經濟年齡級別(socio-economic age classes) (當中包括有小學生和中學生)，並繪製了年齡級別與地域特定的疫情曲線(age-class-and-district-specific epidemic curves)。所有的疫情曲線在大流行流感在6月開始在香港蔓延後均穩步上升，而在屬於小學生和中學生的疫情曲線中能看到一個不尋常的上升出現在9月新學年開始時，意味著中小學生在學校的活動提升了大流行流感在他們之間的傳播。 / 先前，學校停課對減低2009年H1N1流感大流行在香港的傳播已被Wu et. al (2010a)進行了調查。透過使用一個具年齡結構的SIR模型(age-structured SIR model)來分析收集至8月27日的監測數據，該硏究表示流感大流行的傳播在暑假開始時減低了25%。在這研究中，我應用了Wu et. al (2010a)的方法來分析整個監測期間所收集的數據。在發現到該數學模型不能準確地擬合附加的監測數據後，我在該模型添加了兩個傳播特徵(當中包含兒童和成人之間的傳染在學校停課期間增加)去更準確地代表現實中的疫情。我的硏究顯示，學校停課雖然降低了兒童的感染率，但卻增加了成年人的感染率，令整體傳播在暑假開始時只減低了7.6%。這硏究結果表示，在將來的流感大流行中，封閉學校不大可能延遲流感大流行疫情至一個可令疫苗產生作用的程度，而且封閉學校可能會增加成人的感染率，從而有可能導致社會運作出現更混亂的情況。 / School closure is often included in national pandemic influenza response plans as a community mitigation measure and it was widely applied in Pandemic (H1N1) 2009. However, the appropriateness of this intervention is often questioned, as school closure causes major disruption to the education system and past epidemiological studies reveal this intervention is not necessarily effective. The present thesis evaluates the effect of school closure in mitigating transmission of Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 in Hong Kong in the initial 5 months of the pandemic. / In Hong Kong, following identification of the pandemic virus in US in April 2009, the government implemented containment phase measures and began surveillance on the pandemic. The Centre for Health Protection established a reporting criteria for doctors to report suspected cases of pandemic infection for laboratory confirmation, and the source of infection of confirmed cases was traced to determine if the pandemic was spreading locally. When local transmission of the pandemic began in June, the government began mitigation phase measures, in which patients with influenza-like- illness seeking treatment at designated flu clinics and public hospital emergency departments were tested for pandemic infection, and school closure was implemented for pandemic mitigation. The school closure policy lasted until summer holiday commenced in July, and was revised and continued in September when the new school season started. At the end of September, in view of pandemic surveillance was no longer useful, laboratory testing for suspected pandemic cases was halted. Patient demographic data collected from confirmed pandemic cases, together with temporal changes in school session induced by school closure and summer holiday, provided an ideal opportunity for investigation. / From May through September 2009, a total of 27,687 pandemic cases were confirmed, in which the age and confirmation date were recorded in all cases, and 88% provided a locatable residential address. To visualise the mitigative effect of school closure, 5 socio-economic age classes (which include primary and secondary school-aged children) were defined, and age-class-and-district-specific epidemic curves were constructed. All epidemic curves rose steadily after local transmission began in June, and an unusual upsurge in the epidemic curve of primary and secondary school-aged children is observed when schools resumed session in September, suggesting school session facilitated transmission amongst them. / Previously, the effect of school closure in mitigating Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 transmission in Hong Kong was investigated in Wu et al. (2010a). By analysing surveillance data collected as of 27 August with an age-structured susceptible- infectious-recovered (SIR) model, the study reported transmission was reduced by 25% when summer holiday commenced. In this study, I adapted the methodology in Wu et al. (2010a) to analyse data collected in the entire surveillance period. Upon observing the model fitted poorly to the additional data, I added 2 transmission features to the model (which include increased transmission between children and adults during school closure) to better represent the epidemic in reality. My analysis revealed that while school closure reduced incidence in children, it increased incidence in adults, leading to a reduction in overall transmission by only 7.6% when summer holiday started. The findings of this study suggest that school closure in a future influenza pandemic is unlikely to be able to delay the pandemic for vaccine to arrive in time, and that implementing this intervention may increase incidence in adults, which may lead to causing more disruption on the functioning of society. / Detailed summary in vernacular field only. / Detailed summary in vernacular field only. / Detailed summary in vernacular field only. / Detailed summary in vernacular field only. / Chau, Kwan Long. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2012. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 148-154). / Abstracts also in Chinese. / Chapter Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 1.1 --- Influenza --- p.2 / Chapter 1.2 --- Public health response to pandemic influenza & School closure --- p.8 / Chapter 1.3 --- Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 --- p.13 / Chapter 1.4 --- Hong Kongs response to Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 --- p.17 / Chapter 1.5 --- Data and Research Objective --- p.24 / Chapter Chapter 2 --- Descriptive and Exploratory Analysis of Surveillance Data --- p.31 / Chapter 2.1 --- Introduction --- p.31 / Chapter 2.2 --- Methodology --- p.36 / Chapter 2.3 --- Results --- p.40 / Chapter 2.4 --- Discussion --- p.57 / Chapter Chapter 3 --- Evaluating the effect of School Closure by Modelling --- p.62 / Chapter 3.1 --- Introduction --- p.62 / Chapter 3.2 --- Methodology --- p.90 / Chapter 3.3 --- Results --- p.98 / Chapter 3.4 --- Discussion --- p.105 / Chapter Chapter 4 --- Discussion --- p.108 / Chapter 4.1 --- Study Findings --- p.108 / Chapter 4.2 --- Study Limitations --- p.109 / Chapter 4.3 --- Comments on using school closure in future influenza pandemics --- p.111 / Appendices --- p.116 / Bibliography --- p.148

Proteasome inhibitors bortezomib and carfilzomib are FDA-approved anticancer agents that have contributed to significant improvements in treatment outcomes. However, the eventual onset of acquired resistance continues to limit their clinical utility, yet a clear consensus regarding the underlying mechanisms has not been reached. Bortezomib and carfilzomib are known to target both the constitutive proteasome and the immunoproteasome, two conventional proteasome subtypes comprising distinctive sets of catalytic subunits. While it has become increasingly evident that additional, ‘intermediate’ proteasome subtypes, which harbor non-standard mixtures of constitutive proteasome and immunoproteasome catalytic subunits, represent a considerable proportion of the proteasome population in many cell types, less is known regarding their contribution to cellular responses to proteasome inhibitors. Importantly, previous studies in murine models have shown that individual proteasome subtypes differ in sensitivity to specific proteasome inhibitors. Furthermore, research efforts in our laboratory and others have revealed that proteasome catalytic subunit expression levels and activity profiles are altered when human cancer cells acquire resistance to proteasome inhibitors. We therefore hypothesized that changes in the relative abundances of individual proteasome subtypes contribute to the acquired resistance of cancer cells to bortezomib and carfilzomib. A major obstacle in testing our hypothesis was a lack of chemical probes suitable for use in identifying distinct proteasome subtypes. We addressed this by developing a series of bifunctional proteasome probes capable of crosslinking specific pairs of catalytic subunits colocalized within individual proteasome complexes and compatible with immunoblotting-based detection of the crosslinked subunit pairs. We confirmed the utility of these probes in discerning the identities of individual proteasome subtypes in a multiple myeloma cell line that abundantly expresses catalytic subunits of both the constitutive proteasome and immunoproteasome. Our findings indicate that constitutive proteasomes, immunoproteasomes, and intermediate proteasomes co-exist within these cells and support conclusions drawn from previous studies in other cell types. We also established non-small cell lung cancer cell line models of acquired bortezomib and carfilzomib resistance in which to test our hypothesis. Using immunoblotting and proteasome activity assays, we discovered that changes in the expression levels and activities of individual catalytic proteasome subunits were associated with the emergence of acquired resistance to bortezomib or carfilzomib. These changes were inhibitor-dependent and persisted after the selective pressure of the inhibitor was removed. Finally, results obtained using our bifunctional proteasome probes suggest that the altered abundance of an intermediate proteasome subtype is associated with acquired proteasome inhibitor resistance. Collectively, our results provide evidence linking changes proteasome composition with acquired proteasome inhibitor resistance and support the hypothesis that such changes are involved in resistance mechanisms to these inhibitors.

Introdução: Em 13 de Setembro de 2009, a OMS reportou que existiam mais de 296.471 casos confirmados laboratorialmente de infecção pelo p-H1N1 2009. Ainda assim muitas questões permanecem, incluindo o papel de regras de probabilidade clínica e escores de gravidade de pneumonia adquirida na comunidade nestes pacientes. Nós descrevemos as características clínicas e epidemiológicas de pacientes internados por pneumonia adquirida na comunidade com ou sem infecção pelo p-H1N1. Objetivos: Verificar a incidência e características clínicas da pneumonia adquirida na comunidade associada com infecção pelo p-H1N1 2009, comparado as pneumonias adquiridas na comunidade sem infecção pelo p-H1N1 2009 e a aplicação de regras de probabilidade clínica e escores de gravidade de pneumonia. Métodos: Estudo observacional prospectivo avaliando pacientes consecutivos hospitalizados por pneumonia adquirida na comunidade por mais de 24 horas no HC-FMUSP. A infecção pelo p-H1N1 foi confirmada utilizando ensaios realtime PCR (RT-PCR). Os dados coletados incluíam variáveis clínicas e laboratoriais e 3 escores de gravidade de pneumonia: PSI (Pneumonia Severity Index), CURB-65 e o SMART-COP. Resultados: De 12 de julho a 17 de agosto de 2009, um total de 118 pacientes com pneumonia foram hospitalizados e RT-PCR realizado em 105 pacientes, infecção pelo p-H1N1 foi identificada em 53 pacientes. Comparado com os 52 pacientes sem infecção pelo p-H1N1, o grupo p-H1N1 apresentou significativamente mais coriza [razão de chances (RC): 6,09;intervalo de confiança 95% (IC95%): 1,72-21,52) e infiltrado bilateral (RC: 11,08; IC95%: 3,48-35,2).Um modelo clínico baseado em nossos resultados, incluindo infiltrado bilateral, febre, coriza e idade menor que 65 anos, foi capaz de predizer infecção pelo p-H1N1 2009 com sensibilidade de 90,6% e acurácia de 82% e com uma área sobre a curva (AUC) de 0,82. Nós também verificamos que, em pacientes com infecção pelo p-H1N1 2009, apenas 9,52% com escore SMART-COP entre 0-2 foram admitidos em UTI ou evoluíram para óbito intra-hospitalar comparado a 36,84% dos pacientes com escore PSI 1-2 e 51% dos pacientes com escore CURB-65 de 0-1. O prognóstico da pneumonia foi similar nos grupos com ou sem infecção pelo p-H1N1 2009. Conclusões: A pneumonia associada com infecção pelo p-H1N1 2009 possui apresentação clínica diferente de pacientes sem infecção pelo p-H1N1, entretanto, possuem prognóstico similar. Escores tradicionais de gravidade de pneumonia como PSI e CURB-65 tiveram desempenho ruim em pacientes com infecção pelo p-H1N1 e o escore SMART-COP foi o melhor preditor de internação em UTI em pacientes com pneumonia e infecção pelo p-H1N1. / Introduction: As of September 13, 2009, the WHO had reported over 296.471 laboratory-confirmed cases of p-H1N1 2009. However many questions remain unanswered, including the role of clinical prediction rules and community-acquired pneumonia severity scores. We describe clinical and epidemiologic characteristics of patients hospitalized for pneumonia at our tertiary hospital with laboratory-confirmed and laboratory-excluded H1N1 infection. Objectives: Verify the incidence and clinical characteristics of community-acquired-pneumonia associated with p-H1N1 2009 infection compared with community-acquired pneumonia without p-H1N1 infection and the applicability of clinical prediction rules and pneumonia severity scores. Methods: We prospectively reviewed medical chart in daily basis to collect data on that patients. H1N1 infection was confirmed in specimens using a real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction (RT-PCR) assay. The data collected included clinical and laboratorial variables and three pneumonia severity scores: Pneumonia Severity Index, CURB-65 and the SMART-COP rule. Results: From 12 of July through August 17, 2009, a total of 118 cases of pneumonia were hospitalized, and RT-PCR was performed in 105, indentifying p-H1N1 infection in 53 patients. Compared with the 52 patients without p-H1N1 infection , the p-H1N1 group presented significantly more often with rhinorrhoea (OR 6,09 IC 95 1,72-21,52) and bilateral infiltrates ( OR 11,08 IC 95 3,48-35,2), a clinical model based on our results and using bilateral infiltrates, fever, rhinorrhoea and age less than 65 years was capable of predict p-H1N1 infection with 90,6% sensitivity, 82% accuracy and area under the ROC curve (AUC) being 0.82. We also find that in the patients with pneumonia and p-H1N1 infection, only 9.52% of those with SMART-COP score of 0-2 presented ICU admission/in-hospital mortality, compared with 36.84% of those with PSI score of 1-2 and 51% of those with CURB-65 score of 0-1. The prognosis of pneumonia was similar in the patients with and without p-H1N1 2009 infection. Conclusions: Pneumonia associated with p-H1N1 2009 has different clinical presentation than in pneumonia patients without p-H1N1 infection, but the prognosis is similar. Traditional pneumonia severity scores like PSI and CURB-65 performed poorly in patients with p-H1N1 infection and the SMART-COP rule was the best predictor of ICU admission in pneumonia patients with p-H1N1 infection.

Ca2+ is a universal intracellular messenger that regulates many cellular responses. Most cells express inositol 1,4,5-trisphosphate receptors (IP3R) that mediate Ca2+ release from the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) when they bind IP3 produced after activation of cell-surface receptors. Vertebrate genomes encode three closely related subtypes of IP3R (IP3R1-3). High-resolution optical analyses have revealed a hierarchy of IP3-evoked Ca2+ signals that are thought to arise from the co-regulation of IP3Rs by IP3 and Ca2+. The smallest events ('blips') report the opening of single IP3Rs, Ca2+ 'puffs' report the almost simultaneous opening of a few clustered IP3Rs, and as stimulus intensities increase further Ca2+ signals propagate regeneratively as Ca2+ waves. The aim of this study was to establish whether all three IP3R subtypes can generate Ca2+ puffs. I first used a haploid cell line (HAP1 cells) to generate, using CRISPR/Cas9, a line lacking all endogenous IP3Rs. However, for analyses of Ca2+ puffs, I used HEK cells that had been engineered, using CRISPR/Cas9 to disrupt endogenous genes, to express single IP3R subtypes. Local Ca2+ signals evoked by flash-photolysis of caged- IP3 were recorded using Cal520 and total internal reflection fluorescence (TIRF) microscopy in human embryonic kidney (HEK) cells. The Flika algorithm was used, and validated, for automated detection of Ca2+ puffs and to measure their properties. IP3 evoked Ca2+ puffs in wild-type HEK cells and in cells expressing single IP3R subtypes. In wild-type cells, the Ca2+ signals invariably propagated regeneratively to give global increases in cytosolic [Ca2+]. This occurred less frequently in cells expressing single IP3R subtypes, commensurate with their lower overall levels of IP3R expression. The properties of the Ca2+ puffs, including their rise and decay times, durations, the size of the unitary fluorescence steps as channels closed channel during the falling phase, and the estimated number of active IP3Rs in each Ca2+ puff, were broadly similar in each of the four cell lines. The latter observation suggests that despite lower overall levels of IP3R expression (~30%) in cells with single subtypes relative to WT cells, there is a mechanism that ensures formation of similarly sized IP3R clusters. The only significant differences between cell lines were the slower kinetics of the Ca2+ puffs evoked by IP3R2, which may suggest dissociation of IP3 from its receptor contributes to the termination of Ca2+ puffs. My results demonstrate, for the first time, that all three IP3R subtypes can generate Ca2+ puffs. I conclude that Ca2+ puffs are fundamental building blocks of all IP3-evoked Ca2+ signals.

Objetivos: Avaliar a imunogenicidade e segurança da vacina anti-influenza A/H1N1 2009 em pacientes com dermatomiosite juvenil (DMJ) comparados com controles saudáveis e a possível associação entre taxas de soroconversão com dados demográficos, enzimas musculares, escores da DMJ, linfopenia e tratamento nos pacientes com DMJ atendidos em dois serviços de Reumatologia Pediátrica. Métodos: Trinta pacientes com DMJ entre 9 e 21 anos e 81 controles saudáveis foram imunizados com a vacina anti-influenza A H1N1/2009 sem adjuvante. Todos foram avaliados pré e 21 dias após a vacinação. As taxas de soroproteção e soroconversão, a média geométrica dos títulos de anticorpos (MGT) e o fator de aumento (FA) na MGT foram calculados. Foram analisados os eventos adversos (EAs), assim como: enzimas musculares, instrumentos de força muscular, presença de linfopenia e tratamento atual da DMJ. Resultados: Pacientes com DMJ e controles foram comparáveis em relação à mediana de idade atual [15,5 (9- 21) vs. 15 (9-21) anos, p=0,511] e frequência do sexo feminino (63% vs. 51%, p=0,286). A mediana do tempo de duração da DMJ foi de 5,5 (2-17) anos. Após a imunização, as taxas de soroconversão foram significantemente menores em pacientes com DMJ comparados com controles saudáveis (86,7% vs. 97,5%, p=0,044), enquanto soroproteção (p=0,121), MGT (p=0,992) e FA na MGT (p=0,827) foram semelhantes entre os grupos. As avaliações clínicas e laboratoriais na DMJ mostraram que as medianas dos escores de avaliação da atividade doença e enzimas musculares permaneceram estáveis no período do estudo (p > 0,05). Uma alta frequência de curso clínico crônico da doença foi observada em pacientes que não apresentaram soroconversão em comparação aos pacientes soroconvertidos (100% vs. 27%, p=0,012). Em relação à influência do tratamento, baixas taxas de soroconversão foram observadas em pacientes em uso de metotrexate (100% vs. 38%, p=0,036) e associação de prednisona, metotrexate e ciclosporina (50% vs. 4%, p=0,039). EAs locais e/ou sistêmicos foram leves e similares entre pacientes e controles (p > 0,05). Conclusão: Este foi o primeiro estudo que avaliou a vacina anti-influenza A H1N1/2009 na DMJ, identificando que o curso crônico da doença e a terapia imunossupressora são fatores que podem prejudicar a resposta humoral nos pacientes. Uma única dose da vacina foi soroprotetora nos pacientes avaliados, sem evidências de efeitos deletérios na atividade da doença / Objectives: To assess the immunogenicity and safety of influenza A H1N1/2009 vaccine in juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM) patients compared to age-matched controls and the possible association of seroconversion rates whith demographic, muscle enzymes, JDM scores, lymphopenia and treatment in JDM patients routinely followed at two Pediatric Rheumatology Units. Methods: Thirty JDM patients between 9 and 21 years old and 81 healthy age-matched controls were vaccinated with non-adjuvanted influenza A H1N1/2009 vaccine. All participants were evaluated pre- and 21 days postvaccination. Seroconversion and seroprotection rates, geometric mean titres (GMT) and factor increase (FI) in GMT were assessed. Adverse events, as well as muscle enzymes, JDM scores, lymphopenia and current treatment in JDM were also evaluated. Results: JDM patients and healthy controls had similar median of current age [15.5 (9-21) vs. 15 (9-21) years, p=0.511] and frequencies of female gender (63% vs. 51%, p=0.286). The median disease duration of JDM was 5.5 (2-17) years. After immunization, seroconversion rate was significantly lower in JDM patients compared to age-matched controls (86.7 vs. 97.5%, p=0.044), whereas seroprotection (p=0.121), GMT (p=0.992) and FI in GMT (p=0.827) were similar in both groups. Clinical and laboratorial evaluations revealed that JDM scores and muscle enzymes remained stable throughout the study (p > 0.05). A higher frequency of chronic course was observed in non-seroconvert compared to seroconverted (100% vs. 27%, p=0.012). Regarding treatment, a lower rate of seroconversion was observed in patients treated with methotrexate (100% vs. 38%, p=0.036) and in those with a combination of prednisone, methotrexate and cyclosporine (50% vs. 4%, p=0.039). Local and systemic adverse events were mild and similar in JDM patients and controls (p > 0.05). Conclusions: This was the first study that evaluated the influenza A H1N1/2009 vaccine in JDM, identified that chronic course and immunosuppressive therapy were factors hampering immune response in patients. A single dose of non-adjuvanted influenza A/H1N1 2009 vaccine was seroprotective in assessed patients with no evident deleterious effect in disease itself

Avian influenza H5N1 is one kind of important bird flu. Unfortunately, this virus has swiftly evolved and become highly pathogenic to humans and poultry, resulting in 100% of death in infected poultry and over 60% of mortality among infected human population. Moreover, the virus tends to reassort with other influenza viruses, such as the current swine flu H1N1, to establish themselves in environments and further this epidemic all over the world. The World Health Organization (WHO) has in fact warned that highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 poses a graver risk of a global human pandemic than at any time since the Hong Kong outbreak (H3N2) in the 1960s. / Finally, avian influenza is an inter-disciplinary issue across virology, medical geography, and spatial epidemiology. How to quantify and integrate knowledge from different disciplines remains a challenge in fully understanding the disease. We propose a method to formally integrate genetic analysis that identifies the evolution of the H5N1 virus in space and time, epidemiological analysis that determines socio-environmental factors associated with H5N1 occurrence and statistical analysis that identifies outbreak dusters. Our integrated results show a significant advance in findings over reports in, for instance, Gilbert et al. (2008) and we believe our findings are more precise and informative in representing the occurrence and the space-time dynamics of H5N1 spread. Overall, unlike traditional influenza studies, our work sets up a solid foundation for the inter-disciplinary study of this and other spatial infectious diseases. / First, we apply multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis to determine the temporal scaling behavior of outbreaks in Asia, Europe, Africa, and the whole of the world between December 2003 to March 2009. Long-range correlation and multifractality, two important properties characterizing the scaling behavior of complex dynamics, are first detected in the outbreak time series. In addition, this study identifies different temporal scaling behaviors of outbreaks of these continents 8,nd specific seasonal patterns in Asia. These findings confirm our perspective that avian-influenza outbreak behaviors are self-similar over time and are spatially heterogeneous. / One key to preventing such a calamity is to obtain a thorough understanding of the mechanisms of avian influenza transmission and its spatio-temporal patterns of dispersal. The issues at stake are outbreaks' spatial and temporal patterns, the interrelationship of these with the evolution of influenza viruses in such a way that geography is understood as a dimension of the disease's virology, and the human and avian behaviors and socio-ecological environments associated with H5Nl spread. This thesis sets out to study these problems in detail and propose solutions. / Second, we conduct a spatial analysis for global trends and local clusters of H5N1 outbreaks at multiple geographical scales. Currently, the local K function used in a point pattern analysis searches outbreak clusters, assuming the disease is spatially homogeneous. The thesis proposes a much more efficient method to measure the degree of clusters accurately. The modified function works by weighting outbreaks through distances, counting the number of the weighted outbreaks for each lattice point no matter whether the disease emerges in a grid. This weighted local K function extends cluster analysis from a point pattern to lattice data. Spatial representation in these terms then seeks to explore local patterns of H5N1 over a continuous space. / Third, we study a set of socio-environmental factors, which are plausibly associated with the occurrence of H5N1. Spatial epidemiological models are built for predicting the disease at both continental and national levels, covering Indonesia, China, and the whole of East-Southeast Asia. We evaluate the statistical models using 1,000 bootstrap replicates, showing a consistently high rate of prediction, assessed by statistics: AUC, Kappa Index, and pseudo R square. / Ge, Erjia. / Advisers: Yee Leung; Tung Fung. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 73-06, Section: A, page: . / Thesis (Ph.D.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2011. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 169-197). / Electronic reproduction. Hong Kong : Chinese University of Hong Kong, [2012] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Electronic reproduction. [Ann Arbor, MI] : ProQuest Information and Learning, [201-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Abstract also in Chinese.

Objetivos: Avaliar a imunogenicidade e segurança da vacina anti-influenza A/H1N1 2009 em pacientes com dermatomiosite juvenil (DMJ) comparados com controles saudáveis e a possível associação entre taxas de soroconversão com dados demográficos, enzimas musculares, escores da DMJ, linfopenia e tratamento nos pacientes com DMJ atendidos em dois serviços de Reumatologia Pediátrica. Métodos: Trinta pacientes com DMJ entre 9 e 21 anos e 81 controles saudáveis foram imunizados com a vacina anti-influenza A H1N1/2009 sem adjuvante. Todos foram avaliados pré e 21 dias após a vacinação. As taxas de soroproteção e soroconversão, a média geométrica dos títulos de anticorpos (MGT) e o fator de aumento (FA) na MGT foram calculados. Foram analisados os eventos adversos (EAs), assim como: enzimas musculares, instrumentos de força muscular, presença de linfopenia e tratamento atual da DMJ. Resultados: Pacientes com DMJ e controles foram comparáveis em relação à mediana de idade atual [15,5 (9- 21) vs. 15 (9-21) anos, p=0,511] e frequência do sexo feminino (63% vs. 51%, p=0,286). A mediana do tempo de duração da DMJ foi de 5,5 (2-17) anos. Após a imunização, as taxas de soroconversão foram significantemente menores em pacientes com DMJ comparados com controles saudáveis (86,7% vs. 97,5%, p=0,044), enquanto soroproteção (p=0,121), MGT (p=0,992) e FA na MGT (p=0,827) foram semelhantes entre os grupos. As avaliações clínicas e laboratoriais na DMJ mostraram que as medianas dos escores de avaliação da atividade doença e enzimas musculares permaneceram estáveis no período do estudo (p > 0,05). Uma alta frequência de curso clínico crônico da doença foi observada em pacientes que não apresentaram soroconversão em comparação aos pacientes soroconvertidos (100% vs. 27%, p=0,012). Em relação à influência do tratamento, baixas taxas de soroconversão foram observadas em pacientes em uso de metotrexate (100% vs. 38%, p=0,036) e associação de prednisona, metotrexate e ciclosporina (50% vs. 4%, p=0,039). EAs locais e/ou sistêmicos foram leves e similares entre pacientes e controles (p > 0,05). Conclusão: Este foi o primeiro estudo que avaliou a vacina anti-influenza A H1N1/2009 na DMJ, identificando que o curso crônico da doença e a terapia imunossupressora são fatores que podem prejudicar a resposta humoral nos pacientes. Uma única dose da vacina foi soroprotetora nos pacientes avaliados, sem evidências de efeitos deletérios na atividade da doença / Objectives: To assess the immunogenicity and safety of influenza A H1N1/2009 vaccine in juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM) patients compared to age-matched controls and the possible association of seroconversion rates whith demographic, muscle enzymes, JDM scores, lymphopenia and treatment in JDM patients routinely followed at two Pediatric Rheumatology Units. Methods: Thirty JDM patients between 9 and 21 years old and 81 healthy age-matched controls were vaccinated with non-adjuvanted influenza A H1N1/2009 vaccine. All participants were evaluated pre- and 21 days postvaccination. Seroconversion and seroprotection rates, geometric mean titres (GMT) and factor increase (FI) in GMT were assessed. Adverse events, as well as muscle enzymes, JDM scores, lymphopenia and current treatment in JDM were also evaluated. Results: JDM patients and healthy controls had similar median of current age [15.5 (9-21) vs. 15 (9-21) years, p=0.511] and frequencies of female gender (63% vs. 51%, p=0.286). The median disease duration of JDM was 5.5 (2-17) years. After immunization, seroconversion rate was significantly lower in JDM patients compared to age-matched controls (86.7 vs. 97.5%, p=0.044), whereas seroprotection (p=0.121), GMT (p=0.992) and FI in GMT (p=0.827) were similar in both groups. Clinical and laboratorial evaluations revealed that JDM scores and muscle enzymes remained stable throughout the study (p > 0.05). A higher frequency of chronic course was observed in non-seroconvert compared to seroconverted (100% vs. 27%, p=0.012). Regarding treatment, a lower rate of seroconversion was observed in patients treated with methotrexate (100% vs. 38%, p=0.036) and in those with a combination of prednisone, methotrexate and cyclosporine (50% vs. 4%, p=0.039). Local and systemic adverse events were mild and similar in JDM patients and controls (p > 0.05). Conclusions: This was the first study that evaluated the influenza A H1N1/2009 vaccine in JDM, identified that chronic course and immunosuppressive therapy were factors hampering immune response in patients. A single dose of non-adjuvanted influenza A/H1N1 2009 vaccine was seroprotective in assessed patients with no evident deleterious effect in disease itself