Introdução: O Acinetobacter spp. é um cocobacilo gram-negativo de grande importância nas infecções hospitalares, especialmente em pacientes internados em unidades de terapia intensiva (UTI); podendo levar a um aumento na morbidade e mortalidade desses pacientes. Há evidências sustentando associação entre infecção por Acinetobacter baumannii e aumento das taxas de mortalidade bruta e atribuível. Contudo, o papel desse agente como causa direta de mortalidade ainda não está suficientemente caracterizado. Dentre os fatores relacionados com o aumento da mortalidade estão: gravidade do paciente, infecção relacionada à A. baumannii multirresistente, tratamento com antimicrobiano inadequado, tempo de hospitalização com alta permanência, choque séptico e imunossupressão. Objetivos: Estimar a mortalidade bruta e atribuível às infecções hospitalares causadas pelo Acinetobacter baumannii resistente a antimicrobianos carbapenêmicos (CRAB) por meio de revisão sistemática e metanálise de estudos observacionais. Métodos: Foi desenvolvida uma revisão sistemática e metanálise de estudos observacionais publicados nas bases de dados: MEDLINE/Pubmed, CENTRAL/Cochrane Library, EMBASE/Elsevier, SCOPUS/Elsevier, Web of Science/Thomson Reuters e LILACS/BVS, para estimar a mortalidade bruta e atribuível à infecção hospitalar causada pela bactéria A. baumannii resistente a antimicrobianos carbapenêmicos em pacientes adultos e pediátricos internados em unidades de tratamento intensivo e nãointensivo. Os estudos incluídos caracterizaram fatores preditores de mortalidade associada à infecção por CRAB, comparando com pacientes infectados por A. baumannii sensível a carbapenêmicos (CSAB). Primeiramente, foi estimado um modelo de efeitos aleatórios para a medida agregada de mortalidade atribuível não ajustado a fim de avaliar a contribuição direta das infecções na morte. Na sequência, foram avaliados descritivamente os principais aspectos metodológicos necessários aos estudos observacionais, para a análise dos fatores de risco relacionados a mortalidade atribuível em pacientes infectados por CRAB, por meio de instrumento elaborado conforme recomendações internacionais - ORION, TREND, STROBE e CONSORT. Resultados: Com base nos 29 estudos incluídos na metanálise, observou-se um risco atribuível aumentado na mortalidade bruta em pacientes com infecção por CRAB comparativamente aos pacientes com infecção por CSAB (RA = 0,19 (IC95% = 0,14-0,24) com elevada heterogeneidade (I2 = 66,4%, p-valor < 0,001). Como fontes de heterogeneidade investigou-se o tempo de internação, sítio de infecção, gravidade da doença e uso de terapia inapropriada. Entre os estudos que avaliaram exclusivamente pacientes com bacteremia, o risco de mortalidade atribuível foi maior (RA = 0,27; IC95% = 0,19-0,34). Utilizando-se metarregressão foi observada relação linear positiva entre o risco atribuível de mortalidade e a diferença da média padronizada do escore de APACHE II. Para a investigação da presença de risco de viés e confundimento avaliou-se descritivamente os principais aspectos metodológicos necessários aos estudos observacionais que identificam os fatores de risco associados com a mortalidade atribuível em pacientes com infecções por CRAB. Observou-se nesta revisão que os estudos estão sujeitos a confundimento, incluindo a forma inadequada do ajuste para fatores de confusão de variáveis importantes (ex.: seleção de grupo controle, exposição prévia aos antimicrobianos, mensuração do tempo em risco e a gravidade), além da grande heterogeneidade entre os estudos, devido aos desenhos, unidades de análise e abordagens na medida de exposição e desfecho, tornando difícil a comparação e a sumarização das informações. Conclusões: Os dados dessa revisão sistemática fornecem evidências que a mortalidade atribuível relacionada à presença de infecção por CRAB é maior que em pacientes com infecção por CSAB. Contudo, a investigação da mortalidade atribuível apresenta muitas limitações e ainda não é conclusiva em razão da adequação do desenho do estudo aos seus objetivos; definições de medidas de exposição e desfecho; métricas utilizadas na aferição dos resultados; seleção de grupo controle e fatores de confusão. A consciência de todos esses elementos para a interpretação epidemiológica é vital na análise da mortalidade bruta e atribuível. / Introduction: Acinetobacter spp. is a gram-negative coccobacillus of great importance in hospital infections, especially in patients in intensive care units (ICUs); may lead to an increase in morbidity and mortality of these patients. There is evidence supporting association between infection by Acinetobacter baumannii and the increase in crude and attributable mortality rates. However, the role of this agent as a direct cause of death is not sufficiently characterized yet. Among the factors related to the increase of mortality are: severity of the patient, infection related to A. baumannii multidrug-resistant, inappropriate antimicrobial treatment, hospital stay with high permanence, septic shock and immunosuppression. Objectives: To estimate the crude and attributable mortality to hospital-acquired infections caused by carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii through systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. Methods: A systematic review and metaanalysis of observational studies published in the databases has been developed: MEDLINE/PubMed, CENTRAL/Cochrane Library, EMBASE/Elsevier, SCOPUS/Elsevier, Web of Science/Thomson Reuters and LILACS/BVS to estimate the crude and attributable mortality to hospital infection caused by the bacterium carbapenem-resistant A. baumannii (CRAB) in adult and pediatric patients in intensive and non-intensive care units. The studies included characterized predictors of mortality associated to infection with CRAB, compared to patients infected with carbapenem-susceptible A. baumannii (CSAB). First, a random effects model was estimated for the aggregate measure of non-adjusted attributable mortality in order to assess the direct contribution of infections in death. Following were descriptively assessed the main methodological aspects necessary to observational studies for the evaluation of risk factors related to attributable mortality in patients infected with carbapenem-resistant A. baumannii through instrument designed according to international recommendations - ORION, TREND, STROBE and CONSORT. Results: Through the 29 studies included in the meta-analysis, there was an increased attributable risk in the crude mortality in patients with infections by CRAB compared to patients with infections by CSAB (RA = 0.19 (95% CI = 0.14 to 0.24) with high heterogeneity (I2 = 66.4%, p <0.001). As sources of heterogeneity, it was investigated the length of stay, the site of infection, disease severity and use of inappropriate therapy. Among the studies that evaluated only patients with bacteremia, the risk of attributable mortality was higher (RA = 0.27; 95% CI = 0.19 to 0.34). Using meta-regression was observed a positive linear relationship between the attributable mortality risk and the standardized mean difference of APACHE II score. For investigating the presence of bias and confounding risk was evaluated descriptively the main methodological aspects necessary to observational studies evaluating the risk factors associated with attributable mortality in patients with infections caused by carbapenem-resistant A. baumannii. It was observed in this review that these studies are subject to pitfalls, including the inappropriate mode for adjustment for confounding factors of important variables (eg.: control group selection, previous exposure to antimicrobials, measurement of time in risk and gravity); besides the great heterogeneity between studies due the drawings, units of analysis and approaches to the extent of exposure and outcome, making it difficult comparison and summarization of information. Conclusions: The data of this systematic review provide evidence that attributable mortality related to the presence of infection by CRAB is higher than in patients with infection by CSAB. However, the investigation of attributable mortality has many limitations and is not conclusive yet because of the design adequacy of the study to their goals, definitions of exposure and outcome measures, metrics used in measuring results, control group selection and confounding factors. The awareness of all these elements is vital in analyzing the crude and attributable mortality.

Introduction: Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) is a common hospital-acquired infection and a financial burden on the healthcare system. There is a need to reduce its impact on patients and the entire health system. More accurate estimates of the financial impact of CDI will assist hospitals in creating better CDI reduction strategies with limited resources. Previous research has not sufficiently accounted for the skewed nature of hospital cost data, baseline patient mortality risk, and the time-varying nature of CDI. Objective: We conducted a retrospective cohort study to estimate the cost impact of hospital-acquired CDI from the hospital perspective, using a number of analytical approaches. Method: We used clinical and administrative data for inpatients treated at The Ottawa Hospital to construct an analytical data set. Our primary outcome was direct costs and our primary exposure was hospital-acquired CDI. We performed the following analyses: Ordinary least square regression and generalized linear regression as time-fixed methods, and Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox regression models as time-varying methods. Results: A total of 49,888 admissions were included in this study (mean (SD) age of 64.6 ± 17.8 years, median (IQR) baseline mortality risk of 0.04 (0.01-0.14)). 360 (0.73%) patients developed CDI. Estimates of incremental cost due to CDI were substantially higher when using time-fixed methods than time-varying methods. Using methods that appropriately account for the time-varying nature of the exposure, the estimated incremental cost due to CDI was $8,997 per patient. In contrast, estimates from time-fixed methods ranged from $49,150 to $55,962: about a six fold difference. Conclusion: Estimates of hospital costs are strongly influenced by the time-varying nature of CDI as well as baseline mortality risk. If studies do not account for these factors, it is likely that the impact of hospital-acquired CDI will be overestimated.

Abstact This thesis investigate the impact of smoking on the development of cancer. The main goal of this thesis is to determine the effect of smoking on the development of cancer in Czechia in the years 1978, 1988, 1998, 2008 and 2018 with a focus on differences in time, gender and age groups. The secondary goal of the thesis is to determine the distribution of smoking prevalence by gender, age groups and level of education, as well as the dependence of smoking prevalence on the level of education, social differences in the influence of smoking on cancer. The analytical part of the work uses the method of age-standardized incidence rate, population attributable fraction and the method of binary logistic regression. Data from the Institute of Health Information and Statistics of the Czech Republic, the Czech Statistical Office and Eurostat were used for the analysis. It has been shown that the prevalence of smoking depends on the level of education, where the probability of smoking is higher in people with a lower level of education than in people with a high level of education. In Czechia, between 1978 and 2018, the impact of smoking on the development of cancer decreased. While the impact of smoking on the development of cancer decreased in men, it was possible to observe an increase of the impact of...

Orientador: Ricardo Cordeiro / Tese (doutorado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Ciencias Medicas / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-10T04:52:01Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Dias_Adriano_D.pdf: 1797501 bytes, checksum: effde01c2013242dc07df67485644926 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2007 / Resumo: O objetivo deste estudo foi verificar se a exposição ocupacional ao ruído é um fator de risco relevante para acidentes do trabalho. O resultado desta pesquisa foram três artigos científicos. O primeiro teve por objetivo promover uma revisão da literatura nacional de acesso eletrônico livre divulgada pelo SciELO Brasil desde o início de suas atividades até março de 2006, acerca da exposição ocupacional ao ruído e de seus efeitos sobre a saúde dos trabalhadores. Dos 50 artigos obtidos na revisão apenas 19 deles tratavam do ruído de origem ocupacional como exposição possivelmente causadora de algum dano na saúde de trabalhadores, que foram analisados no tocante ao seu delineamento, objetivos e resultados. O segundo artigo resultou de um estudo caso-controle de base hospitalar, desenvolvido no município de Piracicaba, estado de São Paulo, Brasil, com 600 casos e 822 controles, todos trabalhadores, que estimou o risco de sofrer acidente do trabalho cerca de 2 vezes maior entre trabalhadores expostos ao ruído. O terceiro artigo estimou a fração de acidentes do trabalho atribuível à exposição ocupacional ao ruído, a partir do estudo caso-controle desenvolvido no segundo estudo. e nele obtiveram-se os odds ratio de acidentes do trabalho relacionando trabalhadores expostos ao ruído em três níveis, bem como da prevalência destas exposições. Com estes resultados estimou-se a fração atribuível como 0,3041 (IC95% = 0,2341-0,3676), o que equivale a dizer que mais de 30% dos acidentes do trabalho ocorridos nesta localidade são estatisticamente associados à exposição ocupacional ao ruído. Discute-se a causalidade desta relação e suas implicações para a prevenção dos acidentes do trabalho / Abstract: This study aimed at assessing whether occupational noise exposure is a significant risk factor for work-related accidents. The investigation yielded three scientific papers. The first consisted of a review of the national literature on the effects of occupational noise on the health of workers available for free-access at SciELO Brasil from its beginning through March/2006. Of the 50 articles obtained, only 19 reported exposure to occupational noise as a probable cause of health damage among workers, and were analyzed in terms of design, objective and results. The second paper resulted from a hospital-based case-control study conducted in the municipal district of Piracicaba, state of São Paulo-Brazil that included 600 cases and 822 controls (all workers). The risk of work-related accidents was found to be two-fold higher in workers exposed to noise. The third article reported the fraction of work-related accidents attributable to occupational noise exposure, based on the case-control study mentioned above. The odds ratio of work-related accidents was obtained by relating workers exposed to noise with three noise levels, and the prevalence of such exposures was determined. Thus, the attributable fraction was estimated to be 0,3041 (IC95% = 0,2341-0,3676), i.e., over 30% of the work-related accidents that occurred in the study area are statistically associated with occupational noise exposure. The causes of this relationship are discussed, as well as its implications in the prevention of work-relatedaccidents / Doutorado / Saude Coletiva / Doutor em Saude Coletiva

Le risque attribuable est un outil épidémiologique apparu dans les années 1950 aujourd’hui encore assez peu utilisé. Il permet d’estimer la proportion de cas d’une maladie potentiellement évitable par suppression ou réduction de l’exposition d’une population à un facteur de risque. Son principal intérêt réside dans la prise en compte concomitante de l’ampleur d’effet du facteur de risque et de la distribution de ce facteur au sein de la population. Après une présentation des caractéristiques essentielles du risque attribuable et des principes de son estimation à partir d’une étude cas-témoins, nous proposons un cadre conceptuel qui permet d’estimer l’impact d’une intervention de santé publique dans une nouvelle population dont l’exposition à certains facteurs de risque diffère de celle observée dans la population d’étude. Une décomposition du risque attribuable permet alors de prendre en compte l’action combinée, ou synergie, des facteurs de risque dans la survenue de la maladie. Parce qu’il donne une dimension populationnelle à l’estimation de l’effet d’une variable, le risque attribuable est particulièrement intéressant pour quantifier l’importance relative des différentes variables explicatives d’un modèle de régression. La question de l’importance relative des biomarqueurs classiques et de ceux issus des technologies à haut débit dans les modèles diagnostiques est actuellement centrale pour établir les apports respectifs de ces deux niveaux d’information. À partir de simulations, nous montrons comment l’apport des nouvelles technologies, quantifié en termes de risque attribuable, peut être faussé par l’utilisation de méthodologies inadaptées / The attributable risk is an epidemiologic tool that dates back to the fifties but is still relatively seldom used. It estimates the proportion of cases of a given disease that could be avoided if the exposure to a specific risk factor was removed or reduced. Its major interest is that it combines the magnitude of the effect of the risk factor to the distribution of this factor within the population. After a review of the attributable risk main features and the principles of its estimation from case-control studies data, we propose a conceptual framework that allows estimating the impact of a public health intervention in a new population with different exposure to certain risk factors than those observed in the study population. To reach this goal, we used a splitting of the attributable risk that takes into account the combined action –or synergy– of the risk factors on the occurrence of the disease. Because the attributable risk allows estimating the effect of a variable at the population level, it is particularly interesting to quantify the relative importance of the covariates of a regression model. In diagnostic models, the estimation of the relative importance of classic biomarkers and biomarkers obtained from high-throughput technologies is currently crucial in establishing the contribution of each of these two levels of information. Using simulations we have demonstrated the way the role of high-throughput-technologies –quantified in terms of attributable risk– may be wrongly assessed through the use of unsuitable methodology

Madagascar fait partie de la zone de haute endémicité pour l‟hépatite B dont le profil de circulation varie selon la ruralité de la zone d‟habitation. De par son insularité et les origines de ses peuplements, nous avons supposé que ce profil de circulation du VHB était dû à la variabilité du VHB et à l‟hétérogénéité du profil de transmission. Ce projet de thèse a pour objectif principal de déterminer les facteurs épidémiologiques et moléculaires influençant la dynamique de transmission et l‟évolution vers les complications de l‟infection par le virus de l‟hépatite B à Madagascar. Résultats : la séroprévalence globale pondérée en Ag HBs est de 6,9% avec des variations allant de 0% à 26% selon les zones géographiques considérées. La prévalence augmente en s‟éloignant des grandes villes et des principales routes nationales les reliant et chez les individus à faible statutsocio-économique. L‟étude du flux génétique des souches virales de l‟hépatite B montre que les zones les plus reculées représentent un réservoir pour la dissémination du virus. L‟infection par le virus de l‟hépatite B est responsable de 31% des maladies hépatiques chroniques rencontrées dans les services hospitaliers investigués à Antananarivo. L‟introduction du VHB s‟est probablement faite au cours du XIXème siècle. Sa propagation à l‟intérieur du pays a pris une allure exponentielle durant les années 80s probablement durant les épidémies de paludisme et suite à des réutilisations des matériels d‟injections. Conclusion : Les résultats de ces différents travaux nous ont permis de plaider pour une politique de lutte visant en particulier les zones très reculées de l‟île où la prévalence en AgHBs est la plus importante. / Madagascar is part of endemic region of HBV. Distribution is different in rural and urban area. The historic of human settlement and its insularity might impact distribution and molecular characteristic of HBV in Madagascar, we then supposed that difference observed in distribution and prevalence of HBV were due to viral variability and different pattern of viral transmission. Therefore, the main objective of this thesis was to determine molecular and epidemiological pattern that may influence dynamic transmission and complications of infection. Results: weighted prevalence of HBsAg was 6.9%. It varied from 3% to 26% according to area of sampling. Populations with a low socio-economic status and those living in rural areashad a significantly higher seroprevalence of HBsAg. Gene flow study showed rural area remain important in virus diffusion.HBV infection was found to be responsible of 31% of chronic liver disease encountered in the main public hospital in the capital of the country. Because of its recent emergence, its introduction dated from XIX century during colonization period. Its expansion during 1980s might be due to use of unsafe injection material mainly during malaria epidemic. Conclusion: The result of these work allowed us to advocate for a policy of struggle, in particular in the very remote areas of the island where the HBsAg prevalence is the most important and where care and preventive measures such as vaccinations are scarce.

Il est bien établi que l'exposition à court terme aux particules fines dans l’air ambiant en milieu urbain a des effets sur la santé. Toutefois, peu d'études épidémiologiques ont évalué la relation entre les particules fines (PM2.5) de sources spécifiques comme celles dérivées de feux de forêt et les effets sur la santé. Pour l’instant, les risques de mortalité et de morbidité associés aux PM2.5 résultant de la combustion de végétation semblent similaires à ceux des PM2.5 urbaines. Dans le présent mémoire, nous avons comparé deux méthodes pour quantifier les risques de mortalité et de morbidité associés à l'augmentation des niveaux de PM2.5 à Montréal, dérivées de deux épisodes des feux de forêts majeurs dans le Nord du Québec. La première approche consistait à comparer les décès et les visites aux urgences observées enregistrées au cours des deux épisodes à Montréal à leurs moyennes respectives attendues durant des jours de référence. Nous avons également calculé la surmortalité et la surmorbidité prédites attribuables aux PM2.5 lors des épisodes, en projetant les risques relatifs (RR) rapportés par l’Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) des États-Unis pour les PM2.5 urbaines, ainsi qu’en appliquant des fonctions de risque estimées à partir des données estivales spécifiques à Montréal. Suivant la première approche, nous avons estimé une surmortalité de +10% pendant les deux épisodes. Cependant, aucune tendance claire n'a été observée pour les visites à l'urgence. Et suivant la 2e approche, la surmortalité prédite attribuable aux niveaux des PM2.5 dérivées des feux de forêt étaient moins élevés que ceux observés, soit de 1 à 4 cas seulement. Une faible surmortalité attribuable aux niveaux élevés des PM2.5 issues de feux de la forêt boréale du Québec a été estimée par les fonctions de risque ainsi que par la méthode de comparaison des décès observés aux moyennes attendues, sur l’Île de Montréal, située à des centaines de km des sites de feux. / The association between adverse health effects and short term exposure to urban particulate matter in ambient air is well established. Few epidemiological studies have assessed the relation between fine particles (PM2.5) of specific sources like forest fires, and health effects. According to the published literature to date, risks of mortality and morbidity associated with PM2.5 from combustion sources appear similar to those of urban PM2.5. In the present thesis, we compared two methods to quantify mortality and morbidity risks associated with the increase in PM2.5 levels in Montreal, due to two major forest fire episodes in Northern Quebec. In the first approach we compared mortality and emergency room visits counts recorded during the episodes to their respective averages expected on “usual” days. We also calculated deaths and emergency room visits attributable to PM2.5 levels on episode days, using the range of relative risks (RRs) reported by the United-States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for urban PM2.5 levels, as well as specific risk functions developed with Montreal summer data. With the first method, increases of deaths of more than 10% were observed for both episodes. However no clear tendency was observed in emergency room visits. Estimated attributable deaths associated with the increase in PM2.5 levels were smaller than those observed and ranged between 1 to 4 cases. PM2.5 from Quebec boreal forest fires were associated with small increases in mortality estimated either with the risk function method or by contrasting observed deaths on “episode” days to“usual” days, on the Island of Montreal, hundreds of kilometers away from the fire sites.

Student Number : 0106532X - PhD thesis - School of Education - Faculty of Humanities / Managerialism and collegiality are employed in this thesis as constructs through which to make sense of the changing nature of management in a South African university. The rise and dominance of the managerialism discourse is examined with respect to organisational change and restructuring. As principally a qualitative research project, a single case study of the University of the Witwatersrand (Wits) is investigated using interviews, documentary analysis and focus group discussions as the main sources of data from 2001 to 2004. The study is exploratory and strives to establish how and why management has changed. It does so by investigating the underpinning changes in the organisational regime and the different levels of management; the role of the Senior Executive Team, the changing nature of the deanship and the head of school position as a consequence of the merger of departments and the creation of a school structure. Although management in higher education is recognised as having existed for as long as the establishments themselves, the thesis is concerned with the changes in power and authority of academic leaders, the struggle with their ‘lived’ tension between academic leadership or collegiality and managerialism and the implications of this for academic practice. The thesis illustrates that changes in management at Wits demonstrate efforts towards an era of post-managerialism, in this specific case best described as ‘contrived collegial managerialism’. The concept of ‘contrived collegial managerialism’ refers to how the domination of managerial practices from above has altered collegial relations from below. This has resulted in the weakening of academic leadership with profound implications for academic work and practice. Only through strengthened academic leadership at the different levels of university management and primarily school and disciplinary levels, can the university survive the indignities of the increasing corporatisation of its strategies, processes and management practices which constrain the opportunities for meaningful engagement and development of intellectual projects. It is only at disciplinary level, through strengthening the position of heads of department as academic leaders, that collegial relations can be developed and pressure towards upward accountability structures counteracted. Without this, the university risks being consumed by corporate practices at the expense of its unique quality and contribution to society, academic and intellectual advancement.

Objective: The Affordable Care Act (ACA) has influenced increasing interests in population health and population health outcomes. The purpose of this study was to exemplify the importance of using existing vital statistics data for understanding and monitoring health outcomes and consequentially health disparities at the population level. Data from birth records for two geographic regions from 2009-2014 were compared; low birth weight (LBW) and preterm delivery (PD) were used as surrogates for population health outcomes. Methods: A population-based, multi-year, cross-sectional study design using a pooled dataset of birth records from Tennessee (TN) was the framework for the analyses. A sub-population from North East TN (NE TN) was compared to TN. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios. Attributable risks were calculated to translate the findings from conditional associations to population-level associations to help inform public health policy decision-making. Results: Using birth records (vital statistics), we demonstrated that the period prevalence of cigarette smoking before and during pregnancy remained unchanged with approximately one in three women in NE TN (from 37% in 2009 to 32% in 2014) and one in five women in TN (from 23% in 2009 to 20% in 2014) reporting smoking pre-pregnancy. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that mothers who were at each end of the age spectrum, of very low household income level and reported cigarette smoking pre-pregnancy or during pregnancy had increased risk of a LBW or PD infant. During the years of observation, 39 to 50% of the total incidence of LBW in the group of women who smoked cigarettes prior to pregnancy was attributable to smoking cigarettes. Conclusions: Existing data, such as vital statistics data, should be used routinely to identify geographic areas for which programs or policies can be implemented to reach large portions of populations. Reducing prenatal smoking, for example, has the potential to reduce a large fraction of adverse birth outcomes such as LBW and PD. For the geographic area we evaluated, 39 to 50% of LBW could be prevented by devising population-based smoking cessation programs or policies for women of child-bearing age. With recent emphasis on prevention and well-baby care in the ACA, there is potential to increase attention to this problem, implement evidence-based prevention programs and monitor program effectiveness with existing birth record data. Following this model, we can attain population health goals and address health disparities.

Contexto: O Acinetobacter spp. é um cocobacilo gram-negativo, considerado patógeno oportunista e de grande importância nas infecções hospitalares. Estão envolvidos em amplo espectro de infecções nosocomiais, incluindo bacteremia, meningite secundária e infecção do trato urinário, mas sua maior prevalência é como agente de pneumonia associada à ventilação mecânica em pacientes internados em unidades de terapia intensiva (UTIs); podendo ocasionar um agravamento do quadro clínico e o óbito desses pacientes. Considera-se como um patógeno de baixa virulência, podendo permanecer sobre a pele ou dentro do corpo humano sem causar doença. A disseminação pelas mãos dos profissionais de saúde geralmente não é detectada e quando as infecções pelo Acinetobacter tornam-se aparentes o número de pacientes colonizados é, provavelmente, muito elevado. Assim sendo, as precauções para prevenir um surto tornam-se tardias. Estudos prévios indicaram como fatores de risco para aquisição de infecção por Acinetobacter a gravidade da doença dos pacientes, uso prévio de antimicrobiano, número de dias com procedimento invasivo, tempo de permanência no hospital, contaminação ambiental. Os fatores de risco associados à mortalidade de pacientes com A. baumannii ainda não foram totalmente elucidados pela literatura, mas a idade, colonização prévia por esta bactéria, neutropenia, escore de gravidade APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) elevado, procedimentos como ventilação mecânica, terapia antimicrobiana inapropriada são apontados como alguns dos fatores relacionados. Objetivos: Caracterizar a mortalidade atribuível a infecções causadas por Acinetobacter baumannii resistente à carbapenêmicos (CRAB) em um surto no 13 Centro de Terapia Intensiva adulto de um hospital universitário. Métodos: Foi realizado um estudo de coorte retrospectivo pareado como parte da investigação do surto de pacientes no Centro de Tratamento Intensivo (CTI) Adulto infectados com a bactéria Acinetobacter baumannii apresentando resistência à carbapenêmicos. Os pacientes foram selecionados entre 01/01/2007 a 31/07/2008 e foram considerados como casos os pacientes com cultura positiva para CRAB. Os controles foram pacientes internados no CTI no mesmo período que os casos, mas que não apresentaram infecção na qual foi isolada a presença da bactéria em questão. Os fatores avaliados como possível associação com o risco de mortalidade foram avaliados. Determinou-se a mortalidade atribuível a infecções causadas por CRAB e através da curva de sobrevivência avaliou-se essa distribuição entre casos e controles. Resultados: Foram selecionados 90 pacientes como casos e 179 pacientes pareados como controles. A média de idade, as proporções de pacientes com Escore de Chalson ³ 2, de pacientes internados não eletivamente, as reinternações e a freqüência de realização de cirurgias foram muito semelhantes entre os grupos estudados. Entre os casos, houve maior proporção de pacientes transferidos de outro hospital (P<0,001), internados em área contígua à presença de casos de colonização ou infecção por CRAB (P<0,001), de pacientes submetidos a alimentação parenteral (P<0,001); ventilação mecânica (P<0,001), cateteres urinários (P=0,031), cateteres para acesso vascular central (P=0,006) e cateteres para hemodiálise (P<0,001) comparativamente aos controles. Da mesma maneira, casos apresentaram maior freqüência de exposição prévia a antimicrobianos, comparativamente aos controles: penicilinas (P<0,001), cefalosporinas de 1ª e/ou 2ª gerações (P<0,001), carbapenêmicos (P<0,001), aminoglicosídeos (P=0,046), quinolonas (P=0,004) e 14 glicopeptídeos (P=0,001). Os casos apresentaram tempo médio de internação superior aos controles, incluindo duração total da internação (P=0,002), permanência na CTI (P<0,001) e permanência na CTI antes da infecção por CRAB (P=0,03). O escore de APACHE II por ocasião da admissão no CTI também teve média significativamente maior entre os casos comparativamente aos controles (P<0,001). Houve diferença na taxa de mortalidade bruta intra-hospitalar entre casos e controles, respectivamente, 58,9% (53/90) e 36,9% (66/179) (P=0,001). A mortalidade atribuível foi 22% (IC 95%; 8,8%-35,2%) e as curvas de sobrevivência cumulativa para casos e controles não apresentaram diferença significativa entre os grupos (P=0,207; log rank test) A análise multivariável indica que pacientes com escore de APACHE II maiores e que mais freqüentemente foram submetidos a procedimentos invasivos como ventilação mecânica, suporte nutricional (dieta parenteral) e que permaneceram um período maior no hospital estiveram mais propensos a risco de mortalidade associada à infecção por CRAB. Conclusões: Nesse estudo os fatores associados com a mortalidade e a taxa de mortalidade atribuível identificados vão ao encontro da literatura e indica que pacientes mais graves estão mais propensos a risco de morte associada à infecção por CRAB. A literatura enfatiza também a necessidade de consistentes estratégias de controle de infecção para prevenir infecções por Acinetobacter multirresistente. A investigação da mortalidade atribuível ao A. baumannii apresenta muitas limitações e ainda não é conclusiva. / Context: Acinetobacter spp. is a bacilli gram-negative considered an opportunistic pathogen and of great importance in nosocomial infections. They are involved in a wide spectrum of nosocomial infections, including bacteremia, secondary meningitis and urinary tract infection, but is prevalent as an agent of mechanical ventilatorassociated pneumonia in patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs); this factor can lead to an increase morbidity and mortality of these patients. It is considered as a pathogen of low virulence and may remain on or within the human body without causing disease. The spread by the hands of clinical staff is often not detected and when Acinetobacter infections become apparent, the number of colonized patients is probably very high, therefore, precautions to prevent an outbreak are late. Previous studies have observed as risk factors for acquisition of Acinetobacter infection by the disease severity of patients, prior use of antimicrobials, number of days with invasive procedures, length of stay in hospital environmental contamination. Risk factors associated with mortality of patients with A. baumannii have not been fully elucidated in the literature, but showed that age, previous colonization by this bacterium, neutropenia, high severity score APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation), procedures such as mechanical ventilation, inappropriate antimicrobial therapy as some of the factors related to mortality. Objectives: To characterize attributable mortality to infections caused by Acinetobacter baumannii resistant to carbapenem (CRAB) in an outbreak in the adult intensive care unit of a university hospital. 16 Methods: We performed a matched retrospective cohort as part of outbreak investigation of patients in the ICU adult infected with the bacteria Acinetobacter baumannii exhibiting resistance to carbapenems. Patients were selected from 01/01/2007 to 31/07/2008 and the cases were considered patients with positive culture for CRAB. Controls were patients admitted to the ICU during the same period as cases, but showed no infection in which was isolated the presence of the bacterium in question. Factors evaluated as possible association with the risk of mortality were evaluated. Determined the attributable mortality to infections caused by CRAB and through the survival curve was evaluated this distribution between cases and controls. Results: 90 patients were selected as cases and 179 patients matched as controls. The average age, the proportions of patients with a Chalson score ³ 2 from inpatients not elective, the frequency of hospitalizations and surgeries were similar among studied groups. Among the cases, a greater proportion of patients transferred from another hospital (P <0.001), admitted in an area contiguous to the presence of cases of colonization or infection by CRAB (P <0.001) in patients undergoing parenteral nutrition (P <0.001) ; mechanical ventilation (P <0.001), urinary catheters (P = 0.031), central catheters for vascular access (P = 0.006) and catheters for hemodialysis (P <0.001) compared to controls. Likewise, cases had higher frequency of prior exposure to antimicrobials, compared with controls: penicillin (P <0.001), cephalosporins of 1st and / or 2nd generation (P <0.001), carbapenems (P <0.001), aminoglycosides (P = 0.046), quinolones (P = 0.004) and glycopeptides (P = 0.001). The cases presented mean length of stay higher than controls, including total duration of hospitalization (P = 0.002), stay in ICU (P <0.001) and stay in the ICU before 17 infection by CRAB (P = 0.03). The APACHE II score on admission to the ICU was also significantly higher average among cases compared with controls (P <0.001). There was a difference in the rate of in-hospital crude mortality among cases and controls, respectively, 58,9% (53/90) e 36,9% (66/179) (P = 0.001). The attributable mortality was 22% (95% CI 8.8% -35.2%) and cumulative survival curves for cases and controls showed no significant difference between groups (P = 0.207, log rank test) Multivariate analysis indicates that patients with APACHE II score higher and more frequently underwent invasive procedures such as mechanical ventilation, nutritional support (parenteral nutrition) and remained a longer period in hospital were more likely to risk of mortality associated with infection by CRAB. Conclusions: In this study the factors associated with mortality and the attributable mortality rate identified are in line with the literature and indicates that more severe patients are more prone to risk of mortality associated with infection by CRAB. The literature also emphasizes the need for consistent infection control strategies to prevent infection by multidrug resistant Acinetobacter. The investigation of attributable mortality to A. baumannii has many limitations and is not conclusive yet.