Social anxiety disorder is the third most common mental disorder with the lifetime prevalence rate of 13.3% in the US population. Typically, it causes significant impairment in a wide range of functioning and follows a chronic, unremitting course if untreated. Over the past two decades, there has been a dramatic increase in clinical research aimed at examining underlying mechanisms maintaining social anxiety. One line of research has investigated attentional biases in social anxiety, using various cognitive experiment paradigms, including the emotional Stroop and the modified dotprobe tasks. However, overall findings are equivocal about the nature of attentional biases in social anxiety and several methodological problems limit the interpretability of the data. The present study examined attentional biases associated with social anxiety using a new research paradigm in the field of anxiety disorders: the inattentional blindness paradigm. This paradigm presents a social cue in the absence of the subjects’ expectation while they are engaged in a cognitively demanding task, thereby enabling the more purely attentional aspect of information processing to be examined reducing the influence of potential response biases or effortful strategies. Two independent experiments were conducted using nonclinical student samples consisting of individuals high in social anxiety (HSAs) versus individuals low in social anxiety (LSAs) based on the static and sustained inattentional blindness tasks. Overall, results revealed that HSAs were more likely to detect or identify a socially-threatening cue, relative to LSAs; whereas LSAs were more likely to detect or identify a non-threatening social cue, relative to HSAs. These findings were observed only in the presence of a bogus-speech manipulation. These data suggest the promising utility of the inattentional blindness paradigm in investigating attentional biases in social anxiety and perhaps other psychopathological conditions. Theoretical and clinical implications are discussed. / text

Children’s social information processing (SIP) encompasses cognitive and behavioral sequence that underlies social responses. SIP in peer interactions is well studied. Less is known about SIP in mother-child interchanges. Youth who show one SIP pattern a hostile attribution of intent (HAI) bias—in peer interactions consistently exhibit externalizing symptoms. This relationship is less consistently observed for HAI biases toward mothers. I hypothesized that this inconsistent association reflects moderating factors; specifically, engaging in foundational parenting practices (monitoring/supervision, consistent discipline) would weaken the relationship between HAI biases toward mothers and externalizing behaviors. Logistic regression yielded limited support for hypotheses. Consistent discipline predicted externalizing behaviors in some contexts; however, moderator effects were not detected. Isolated parenting practices thus may not buffer against the risk of externalizing behaviors linked to HAI biases toward mothers. Future research might examine how different HAI biases (peer, mother, etc.) related to each other and outcome variables.

Research on colorism continues to gain momentum across several disciplines. However, while varied studies have explored the social phenomenon among adult populations, especially those of African ancestry, few have systematically investigated the extent to which African American youth are exposed to or endorse hierarchical perceptions of skin color. The current study addresses this void in colorism literature. Employing a grounded theory approach, the present investigation examines African American female adolescents’ perceptions of skin color, aiming specifically to understand the sociocultural factors that underpin and contribute to colorist socializations as well as sources of skin color messages. Five focus groups and nine interviews were conducted with 30 African American girls ranging in age from 12-16. Participants were recruited from local Boys and Girls clubs, neighborhood centers, and nonprofit organizations. Participants were asked such a priori based questions as: 1) What do people think about light skin Black girls? 2) What do people think about dark skin Black girls? 3) What messages about skin color do you hear from Rap music? and 4) Do Black men and boys prefer girls of certain skin colors. Constant comparison data analysis and coding revealed African Americans girls are, in fact, exposed to and endorse hierarchical perceptions of skin color, the central phenomenon Three core categories related to the central phenomenon emerged: 1) sources of skin color messages, e.g. family and rap music 2) skin color messages, e.g. skin color governs social standing, physical attributes, and personality/behavioral traits and 3) effects of skin color messages, e.g. mate preferences, desires to change one’s appearance, and within-race division. From these three core categories emerged seven subcategories and themes that offer additional information and insight into the central phenomenon. Findings from this study indicate African American young females are significantly influenced by skin color preferences, and thus may stand to gain from the development of curricula or programs designed to counter colorist stereotypes, reduce the effects of skin color biases, and promote a greater sense of self-satisfaction and wellbeing.

Cultural artifacts, such as language, survive and replicate by passing from mind to mind. Cultural evolution always proceeds by an inductive process, where behaviors are never directly copied, but reverse engineered by the cognitive mechanisms involved in learning and production. I will refer to this type of evolutionary change as inductive evolution and explain how this represents a broader class of evolutionary processes that can include both neutral and selective evolution. This thesis takes a mechanistic approach to understanding the forces of evolution underlying change in culture over time, where the mechanisms of change are sought within human cognition. I define culture as anything that replicates by passing through a cognitive system and take language as a premier example of culture, because of the wealth of knowledge about linguistic behaviors (external language) and its cognitive processing mechanisms (internal language). Mainstream cultural evolution theories related to social learning and social transmission of information define culture ideationally, as the subset of socially-acquired information in cognition that affects behaviors. Their goal is to explain behaviors with culture and avoid circularity by defining behaviors as markedly not part of culture. I take a reductionistic approach and argue that all there is to culture is brain states and behaviors, and further, that a complete explanation of the forces of cultural change can not be explained by a subset of cognition related to social learning, but necessarily involves domain-general mechanisms, because cognition is an integrated system. Such an approach should decompose culture into its constituent parts and explore 1) how brains states effect behavior, 2) how behavior effects brain states, and 3) how brain states and behaviors change over time when they are linked up in a process of cultural transmission, where one person's behavior is the input to another. I conduct several psychological experiments on frequency learning with adult learners and describe the behavioral biases that alter the frequencies of linguistic variants over time. I also fit probabilistic models of cognition to participant data to understand the inductive biases at play during linguistic frequency learning. Using these inductive and behavioral biases, I infer a Markov model over my empirical data to extrapolate participants' behavior forward in cultural evolutionary time and determine equivalences (and divergences) between inductive evolution and standard models from population genetics. As a key divergence point, I introduce the concept of non-binomial cultural drift, argue that this is a rampant form of neutral evolution in culture, and empirically demonstrate that probability matching is one such inductive mechanism that results in non-binomial cultural drift. I argue further that all inductive problems involving representativeness are potential drivers of neutral evolution unique to cultural systems. I also explore deviations from probability matching and describe non-neutral evolution due to inductive regularization biases in a linguistic and non-linguistic domain. Here, I offer a new take on an old debate about the domain-specificity vs -generality of the cognitive mechanisms involved in language processing, and show that the evolution of regularity in language cannot be predicted in isolation from the general cognitive mechanisms involved in frequency learning. Using my empirical data on regularization vs probability matching, I demonstrate how the use of appropriate non-binomial null hypotheses offers us greater precision in determining the strength of selective forces in cultural evolution.

Degree thesis deals with behavioral finance with a focus on behavior and psychology of an individual investor. The first part is devoted to the prospect theory that is a descriptive model of behavior of economic agents under the conditions of uncertainty and stands in a stark contrast with the traditional normative expected utility theory. The second part is devoted to the group of behavioral biases that are distortions of human thinking and judgment documented by cognitive psychology. These biases are difficult to eliminate and lead to a biased perception, inaccurate judgments and illogical interpretations. The third and final part is devoted to a questionnaire survey whose goal was to find out whether financial market participants behave according to the axioms of the expected utility theory or whether they systemically deviate from the axioms of this normative theory. The second goal of the survey was to confirm or disprove inferences of academic studies about existence of behavioral biases.

<p>General Aviation (GA) is the foundation of most flying activities and the training ground for civilian pilots, both recreational and professional. However, the safety record for GA is lacking compared to that of commercial aviation. Approximately 75% of accidents each year involve personnel factors, that is, even if the pilot was not the cause of the accident, they could have done something to either prevent it or improve the outcome.<br></p> <p> </p> <p>In this research, I aim to improve GA safety through safety-driven post-flight debrief that encourages pilots to consider the risk in their flights and identify behavioral changes that could make their flying safer. Providing pilots with a debrief tool that they can use with or without a flight instructor requires that we know both what to communicate, and how to communicate it. Risk communication heuristics and biases have not been researched in the context of aviation and flight training and we therefore do not know how pilots understand or respond to debrief.</p> <p> </p> <p>To achieve the goals of this work, I used a three-step process: (1) identify events that may put the safe outcome of a flight at risk, (2) detect those events in flight data, and (3) inform the pilot in a way that helps them improve in their future flights. I use a state-based representation of historical aviation accidents to define a list of events or behaviors that need to be communicated to the pilots, in the form of states and triggers. I use flight data to retrospectively detect these behaviors upon completion of the flight, by mapping parameters or combinations of parameters that can be calculated and tracked in the flight data to the hazardous states and triggers defined. To present these events to pilots, I created a prototype interactive debrief tool with risk information that I use in a survey to evaluate the effectiveness of feedback in different representation formats. Specifically, I evaluate the impact of three factors: representation method (graphical and numerical), parameter type (safety and performance parameters), and framing language (risk-centric and safety-centric). </p> <p> </p> <p>I disseminated the survey via aviation mailing lists, type groups, flying clubs, and flight training providers, end received 268 responses. The survey analysis showed that the feedback representation does affect its effectiveness in terms of risk perception, but not when it comes to pilots’ motivation to change. The lessons learnt from this survey can be used in creating additional surveys that delve further into risk communication biases and our understanding of how pilots perceive risk and feedback.</p>

O mercado de capitais brasileiro tem se desenvolvido ao longo dos anos, e com o fim do longo período inflacionário, houve a possibilidade das pessoas fazerem planejamentos de longo prazo, sem se preocupar apenas com a perda do valor do dinheiro no curto prazo. Alguns fatores levaram à entrada de investidores no mercado de capitais, que tem sido crescente nos últimos anos. Para que se atraia cada vez mais investidores para esse mercado, e de forma sustentável, instruindo-os para que possam ter mais consciência na hora de investir, é essencial conhecer vieses que influenciam suas decisões, pois, diferentemente do que apontam as Teorias Tradicionais e Modernas de Finanças, os investidores (e as pessoas em geral) não agem de forma completamente racional quando fazem escolhas, podendo ser influenciados, de forma mais ou menos intensa, por vieses, como excesso de confiança, falácia de custos irrecuperáveis, aversão à perda, entre outros, que poderão afetar essas escolhas, e por fim, o mercado em geral. Dessa forma, o objetivo deste estudo foi de identificar a intensidade em que vieses estão presentes em decisões de investidores individuais do mercado de capitais brasileiro, e verificar se essa intensidade está relacionada ao sexo e ao tempo como investidor do mercado, fornecendo subsídio para que sejam desenvolvidos programas, focados inicialmente naqueles vieses que se mostram mais presentes nas decisões, para instruir investidores e possíveis investidores sobre essa influência, ajudando-os a identificar padrões em suas escolhas que possam ser prejudiciais a eles. Para isso, o instrumento de pesquisa utilizado foi um questionário com questões múltipla escolha, disponibilizado em provedor de serviços de pesquisas eletrônicas, por meio do qual foi efetuada a coleta de dados. O link do questionário foi enviado a instituições relacionadas ao mercado de capitais para divulgação a investidores e a grupos de investidores por meio de redes sociais. No total, 178 pessoas responderam à pesquisa, sendo que 80 são investidores no mercado de capitais, cujas respostas foram analisadas. Para efetuar a interpretação das respostas foi utilizada análise descritiva. Observou-se que, dos 13 vieses analisados, apenas 4 se mostraram com alta intensidade na escolha de investidores, sendo eles os vieses de excesso de confiança, excesso de negociação, contabilização mental e ancoragem, e que, para maioria dos vieses não se observa diferença significativa de intensidade entre sexo masculino e feminino, mas é possível perceber que para alguns dos vieses quanto maior o tempo como investidor, menor a intensidade do viés. As respostas de não investidores também foram analisadas, como forma de identificar a intensidade em que vieses estariam presentes em pessoas que poderiam em algum momento ser investidores, e percebeu-se que, comparativamente aos investidores, eles apresentaram maior intensidade dos vieses. Para pessoas que estão envolvidas com o mercado de capitais a intensidade dos vieses não foi tão alta, mas para aqueles que não são investidores a alta intensidade foi predominante para um maior número de vieses, o que poderia estar relacionado à experiência adquirida no mercado de alguma forma, e que mostra a necessidade de apresentar situações a que as pessoas poderiam estar expostas e cuidados a serem tomados para mitigar as influências que podem sofrer ao investir no mercado. / The Brazilian capital market has developed over the years, and with the end of a long inflationary period, there was the possibility of people making long-term plans, instead of only being worried about the loss of value of money in the short term. Some factors have led to the entry of investors in the capital market, which has been growing in recent years. In order to attract more and more investors to this market, and in a sustainable way, instructing them so they can be more aware when investing, it is essential to know the biases that influence their decisions, since, unlike what the Traditional and Modern Finance Theories describe, investors (and people in general) do not act completely rationally when they make choices and may be influenced more or less intensely by biases such as overconfidence, sunk cost fallacy, loss aversion, among others, which may affect these choices, and ultimately, the market. Thus, the aim of this study was to identify the intensity in which biases are present in the decisions of individual investors in the Brazilian capital market, and verify if this intensity is related to sex and time as market investor, providing information so that programs can be developed, focused initially on those biases that are more present in decisions, to instruct investors and potential investors of this influence, helping them to identify patterns in their choices that may be harmful to them. For this, the research instrument was a questionnaire with multiple choice questions, available in electronic research services provider, through which was collected the data. The link to the questionnaire was sent to the capital market related institutions, so they could send it to investors, and groups of investors through social networks. 178 people responded to the survey, of which 80 are investors in the capital market, whose responses were analyzed. To analyze the responses it was used descriptive analysis. It was observed that, of the 13 biases analyzed, only 4 showed up with high intensity in the choice of investors, namely the bias of overconfidence, excessive trading, mental accounting and anchor, and that for, most biases, no significant difference in intensity is observed between males and females, however, for some biases, it is possible to see that when higher the period the person has been an investor, lower the intensity of the biases. The responses of non-investors were also analyzed as a way to identify the intensity in which biases were present in people who might be, at some point, investors, and it was noticed that, compared to investors, they showed greater intensity of biases. For those people who are involved with the capital market the intensity of biases was not as high as for those who are not, for whom the high intensity was prevalent for a larger number of biases. This could be related, somehow, to the experience gained in the market, and shows the need to present situations that people could be exposed and be careful about, being aware of steps that could be taken to mitigate the influences that they can suffer when investing in the market.

Essa tese foi desenvolvida com vistas a responder ao seguinte problema de pesquisa:as heurísticas e os vieses influenciam o processo decisório dos indivíduos quando confrontados com demonstrações financeiras e contábeis publicadas pelas empresas? Baseando-se na Prospect Theory de Kahneman e Tversky, buscou-se verificar como as heurísticas da ancoragem, representatividade e disponibilidade geravam vieses e influenciavam o modo como os usuários tomam suas decisões utilizando informações de cunho contábil e financeiro. Para tanto, foram submetidos questionários contendo situações de decisão junto aos estudantes de graduação da Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade da Universidade de São Paulo e aos analistas profissionais de uma grande instituição financeira brasileira. 369 estudantes e 55 analistas responderam o questionário proposto. Para evitar com que os resultados pudessem não ser confiáveis, nenhum dos respondentes sabiam que o questionário buscava identificar vieses no processo de tomada de decisão. Para os colaboradores, foi exposto que a pesquisa versava sobre o processo de tomada de decisão com base na divulgação de informações contábeis e financeiras, sem fazer qualquer menção ao estudo das finanças comportamentais ou vieses. Os resultados obtidos divergiram quando foram comparados os dois públicos estudados nessa tese: analistas de mercado de capitais e estudantes de uma das melhores faculdades de negócio do Brasil. Os resultados sugeriram que o uso da heurística da ancoragem não se mostrou significativa nem para os analistas e nem para os estudantes. Entretanto, o uso da heurística da disponibilidade se mostrou estatisticamente significativa, assim como a presença da noção de correlação ilusória e o efeito isolamento. Por sua vez, o efeito reflexão e a não observação da regressão à média foram percebidos somente na amostra composta pelos analistas profissionais da instituição financeira. Finalmente, o uso da heurística da representatividade só teve efeito estatístico na presença dos alunos. / This thesis has been developed in order to answer the following research problem: the heuristics and biases influence the decision-making process of individuals when faced with financial and accounting statements published by the companies? Based on the Prospect Theory of Kahneman and Tversky, this research sought to determine how the heuristics of anchoring and adjustment, representativeness and availability generated biases and influenced how users make decisions using accounting and financial nature information. To this end, questionnaires containing decision situations were submitted to undergraduate students of the School of Economics, Business and Accounting of the University of São Paulo and the professional analysts of a large Brazilian financial institution. 369 students and 55 analysts answered the proposed questionnaire. To avoid that the results could not be trusted, none of the respondents knew that the questionnaire sought to identify biases in the decision-making process. It was explained that the survey questionnaire was about the decision-making process based on the disclosure of accounting and financial information, without making any mention of the study of behavioral biases. The results diverged when both public studied were compared in this thesis: capital market analysts and students of one of the best business schools in Brazil. The results suggested that the use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic was not significant neither for the analysts and neither for the students. However, the use of the availability heuristic was statistically significant, as the presence of the concept of illusory correlation and the isolation effect. In turn, the reflection effect and no observation of regression to the mean were perceived only in the sample of the professional analysts of the financial institution. Finally, the use of the representativeness heuristic only had statistical effect in the student\'s sample.

La théorie économique standard postule que les préférences individuelles sont stables. Cependant, de nombreux résultats en psychologie et en économie expérimentale montrent que le comportement humain contrevient régulièrement à ce principe fondamental. Certains facteurs connus pour influencer la valeur, comme le contexte affectif, ne sont pas pris en compte en économie. Leurs effets sont encore considérés comme des phénomènes contingents– des anomalies en marge de la rationalité, qui en tant que telles n’informent pas la théorie. Aujourd’hui que l’imagerie cérébrale permet de formuler et tester de nouvelles hypothèses, nous interrogeons le caractère contingent de l’influence du contexte sur les préférences, avec en tête l’idée que ces « biais » découleraient de propriétés inhérentes à la structure physique qui génère le comportement, à savoir le cerveau. Parce qu’ils reflètent les conditions a priori de tout jugement de valeur, ils ne sont pas contingents mais nécessaires, ce qui explique leur prévalence. Notre première étude fait la preuve de cette hypothèse dans le cas des biais de contexte : nous montrons que l’inertie de l’activité cérébrale combinée à l’automaticité de l’évaluation permet d'expliquer les effets du contexte sur la valeur chez le singe et l’être humain. Notre deuxième étude montre que la confiance est codée dans la même région cérébrale que la valeur, suggérant que la peut être comprise comme un jugement de valeur de second ordre. Enfin, notre troisième étude montre un biais d’attribution comportemental menant à des interférences entre valeur et confiance, ce qui était prédit par la combinaison des résultats de la première et de la deuxième étude. / Standard economic theory postulates that individual preferences are stable. However, numerous psychology and experimental economics findings show this fundamental principle is often violated in actual human behavior. Some factors known to influence value, such as affective context, are not taken into account. Their effects are still considered contingent phenomena – anomalies observed on the margins of rationality – and as such do not inform economic theories. As modern neuroimaging techniques enable us to formulate and test new hypotheses, we propose to examine the contingent nature of this instability, in the light of the idea that these "biases" are in fact directly related to the inherent properties of the physical structure that generates behavior, namely the brain. Because they reflect the a priori conditions of any value judgment, they are not contingent but necessary, which explains their prevalence in observed behavior. Our first study proves this hypothesis in the case of context‐induced valuation biases: we show that the inertia of cerebral activity combined with the automaticity of evaluation can explain the effects of context on valuation in macaque monkeys and humans. Our second study shows that confidence is encoded in the same brain region as value in humans, suggesting that confidence judgments can be understood as second‐order value judgments. Our third study behaviorally demonstrates an attribution bias leading to interferences between value and confidence judgments, as predicted by combining the results of the first and the second study in humans.

Essa tese foi desenvolvida com vistas a responder ao seguinte problema de pesquisa:as heurísticas e os vieses influenciam o processo decisório dos indivíduos quando confrontados com demonstrações financeiras e contábeis publicadas pelas empresas? Baseando-se na Prospect Theory de Kahneman e Tversky, buscou-se verificar como as heurísticas da ancoragem, representatividade e disponibilidade geravam vieses e influenciavam o modo como os usuários tomam suas decisões utilizando informações de cunho contábil e financeiro. Para tanto, foram submetidos questionários contendo situações de decisão junto aos estudantes de graduação da Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade da Universidade de São Paulo e aos analistas profissionais de uma grande instituição financeira brasileira. 369 estudantes e 55 analistas responderam o questionário proposto. Para evitar com que os resultados pudessem não ser confiáveis, nenhum dos respondentes sabiam que o questionário buscava identificar vieses no processo de tomada de decisão. Para os colaboradores, foi exposto que a pesquisa versava sobre o processo de tomada de decisão com base na divulgação de informações contábeis e financeiras, sem fazer qualquer menção ao estudo das finanças comportamentais ou vieses. Os resultados obtidos divergiram quando foram comparados os dois públicos estudados nessa tese: analistas de mercado de capitais e estudantes de uma das melhores faculdades de negócio do Brasil. Os resultados sugeriram que o uso da heurística da ancoragem não se mostrou significativa nem para os analistas e nem para os estudantes. Entretanto, o uso da heurística da disponibilidade se mostrou estatisticamente significativa, assim como a presença da noção de correlação ilusória e o efeito isolamento. Por sua vez, o efeito reflexão e a não observação da regressão à média foram percebidos somente na amostra composta pelos analistas profissionais da instituição financeira. Finalmente, o uso da heurística da representatividade só teve efeito estatístico na presença dos alunos. / This thesis has been developed in order to answer the following research problem: the heuristics and biases influence the decision-making process of individuals when faced with financial and accounting statements published by the companies? Based on the Prospect Theory of Kahneman and Tversky, this research sought to determine how the heuristics of anchoring and adjustment, representativeness and availability generated biases and influenced how users make decisions using accounting and financial nature information. To this end, questionnaires containing decision situations were submitted to undergraduate students of the School of Economics, Business and Accounting of the University of São Paulo and the professional analysts of a large Brazilian financial institution. 369 students and 55 analysts answered the proposed questionnaire. To avoid that the results could not be trusted, none of the respondents knew that the questionnaire sought to identify biases in the decision-making process. It was explained that the survey questionnaire was about the decision-making process based on the disclosure of accounting and financial information, without making any mention of the study of behavioral biases. The results diverged when both public studied were compared in this thesis: capital market analysts and students of one of the best business schools in Brazil. The results suggested that the use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic was not significant neither for the analysts and neither for the students. However, the use of the availability heuristic was statistically significant, as the presence of the concept of illusory correlation and the isolation effect. In turn, the reflection effect and no observation of regression to the mean were perceived only in the sample of the professional analysts of the financial institution. Finally, the use of the representativeness heuristic only had statistical effect in the student\'s sample.