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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

The day-of-the-week effect as a risk for hedge fund managers / André Heymans

Heymans, André January 2005 (has links)
The day-of-the-week effect is a market anomaly that manifests as the cyclical behaviour of traders in the market. This market anomaly was first observed by M.F.M. Osborne (1959). The literature distinguishes between two types of cyclical effects in the market: the cyclical pattern of mean returns and the cyclical pattern of volatility in returns. This dissertation studies and reports on cyclical patterns in the South African market, seeking evidence of the existence of the day-of-the-week effect. In addition, the dissertation aims to investigate the implications of such an effect on hedge fund managers in South Africa. The phenomenon of cyclical volatility and mean returns patterns (day-of-the-week effect) in the South African All-share index returns are investigated by making use of four generalised heteroskedastic conditional autoregressive (GARCH) models. These were based on Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models. In order to account for the risk taken by investors in the market Engle et al's, (1987) 'in-Mean' (risk factor) effects were also incorporated into the model. To avoid the dummy variable trap, two different approaches were tested for viability in testing for the day-of- the-week effect. In the first approach, one day is omitted from the equation so as to avoid multi-colinearity in the model. The second approach allows for the restriction of the daily dummy variables where all the parameters of the daily dummy variables adds up to zero. This dissertation found evidence of a mean returns effect and a volatility effect (day-of-the- week effect) in South Africa's All-share index returns data (where Wednesdays have been omitted from the GARCH equations). This holds significant implications for hedge fund managers. as hedge funds are very sensitive to volatility patterns in the market, because of their leveraged trading activities. As a result of adverse price movements, hedge fund managers employ strict risk management processes and constantly rebalance their portfolios according to a mandate, to avoid incurring losses. This rebalancing typically involves the simultaneous opening of new positions and closing out of existing positions. Hedge fund managers run the risk of incurring losses should they rebalance their portfolios on days on which the volatility in market returns is high. This study proves the existence of the day-of-the-week effect in the South African market. These results are further confirmed by the evidence of the trading volumes of the JSE's All-share index data for the period of the study. The mean returns effect (high mean returns) and low volatility found on Thursdays, coincide with the evidence that trading volumes on the JSE on Thursdays are the highest of all the days of the week. The volatility effect on Fridays, (high volatility in returns) is similarly correlated with the evidence of the trading volumes found in the JSE's All-share index data for the period of the study. Accordingly. hedge fund managers would be advised to avoid rebalancing their portfolios on Fridays, which show evidence of high volatility patterns. Hedge fund managers are advised to rather rebalance their portfolios on Thursdays, which show evidence of high mean returns patterns, low volatility patterns and high liquidity. / Thesis (M.Com. (Risk Management))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2006.
2

The day-of-the-week effect as a risk for hedge fund managers / André Heymans

Heymans, André January 2005 (has links)
The day-of-the-week effect is a market anomaly that manifests as the cyclical behaviour of traders in the market. This market anomaly was first observed by M.F.M. Osborne (1959). The literature distinguishes between two types of cyclical effects in the market: the cyclical pattern of mean returns and the cyclical pattern of volatility in returns. This dissertation studies and reports on cyclical patterns in the South African market, seeking evidence of the existence of the day-of-the-week effect. In addition, the dissertation aims to investigate the implications of such an effect on hedge fund managers in South Africa. The phenomenon of cyclical volatility and mean returns patterns (day-of-the-week effect) in the South African All-share index returns are investigated by making use of four generalised heteroskedastic conditional autoregressive (GARCH) models. These were based on Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models. In order to account for the risk taken by investors in the market Engle et al's, (1987) 'in-Mean' (risk factor) effects were also incorporated into the model. To avoid the dummy variable trap, two different approaches were tested for viability in testing for the day-of- the-week effect. In the first approach, one day is omitted from the equation so as to avoid multi-colinearity in the model. The second approach allows for the restriction of the daily dummy variables where all the parameters of the daily dummy variables adds up to zero. This dissertation found evidence of a mean returns effect and a volatility effect (day-of-the- week effect) in South Africa's All-share index returns data (where Wednesdays have been omitted from the GARCH equations). This holds significant implications for hedge fund managers. as hedge funds are very sensitive to volatility patterns in the market, because of their leveraged trading activities. As a result of adverse price movements, hedge fund managers employ strict risk management processes and constantly rebalance their portfolios according to a mandate, to avoid incurring losses. This rebalancing typically involves the simultaneous opening of new positions and closing out of existing positions. Hedge fund managers run the risk of incurring losses should they rebalance their portfolios on days on which the volatility in market returns is high. This study proves the existence of the day-of-the-week effect in the South African market. These results are further confirmed by the evidence of the trading volumes of the JSE's All-share index data for the period of the study. The mean returns effect (high mean returns) and low volatility found on Thursdays, coincide with the evidence that trading volumes on the JSE on Thursdays are the highest of all the days of the week. The volatility effect on Fridays, (high volatility in returns) is similarly correlated with the evidence of the trading volumes found in the JSE's All-share index data for the period of the study. Accordingly. hedge fund managers would be advised to avoid rebalancing their portfolios on Fridays, which show evidence of high volatility patterns. Hedge fund managers are advised to rather rebalance their portfolios on Thursdays, which show evidence of high mean returns patterns, low volatility patterns and high liquidity. / Thesis (M.Com. (Risk Management))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2006.
3

Market Microstructure and Day-of-the-Week Return Patterns

Maberly, Raylene January 2006 (has links)
This paper documents a major shift in market microstructure during the period 1990 through 1999. In particular, a dramatic change in the pattern of cash flows by individual and institutional investors is documented. The question becomes, what effect this change has on day-of-the-week return patterns for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard and Poor's 500 index, and Standard and Poor's 500 index futures. I find Monday's return pattern has changed in the decade of the 1990's. Not only is Monday's mean return significantly large and positive for all indices, the entire anomalous pattern occurs from Monday's open to Monday's close - an intraday effect. In addition, I find evidence that trading volume is a factor in explaining the anomalous behaviour of Monday's returns. New York Stock Exchange trading volume is significantly lower on Mondays from the trading volume of other days of the week but the trading activity of individual investors is significantly higher. More recently, individual investors have increased their buying activity on Mondays relative to prior periods. Finally, Monday exhibits the largest returns in the first two trading hours when the Dow Jones Industrial Average returns are decomposed into hourly returns. The research emphasizes the dynamic nature of the time series patterns of stock returns and the suggestion day-of-the-week return patterns are not robust over time. Therefore, familiarity with market microstructure issues is just as important as the statistical techniques utilized.
4

Stock Market Anomalies: The Day-Of-The-Week-Effect : An empirical study on the Swedish Stock Market: A GARCH Model Analysis

Abrahamsson, Alexander, Creutz, Simon January 2018 (has links)
Background: The day-of-the-week effect has been a widely studied field ever since the concept was introduced in the early 1970s. Historically, negative returns on Mondays have been the most common finding. In line with improved market efficiency, researchers have started to question the existence of this anomaly. Purpose: The purpose of this study is to examine the weak-form efficiency level within the Swedish stock market by using sophisticated statistical approaches. The authors aim to investigate if the day-of-the-week effect was demonstrated between 2000 and 2017. Method: To properly provide answers to this investigation, a quantitative study has been conducted on the OMXS30. The data has been analysed by using different kind of sophisticated statistical methods such as GARCH and TGARCH. Conclusion: The results show that the day-of-the-week effect was not demonstrated within the OMXS30 during this time period, providing evidence for improved market efficiency.
5

International Day-of-the-Week Effects: An Empirical Examination of iShares

Imtiaz Mazumder, M., Chu, Ting Heng, Miller, Edward M., Prather, Larry J. 01 September 2008 (has links)
Ample evidence suggests that day-of-the-week patterns exist in US and foreign equity returns. We extend the evidence on the day-of-the-week effect in equity returns by examining the return patterns of iShares for 17 countries and Standard and Poor's Depository Receipts (SPDRs) to establish whether previously observed predictabilities in equity returns are reflected in iShares' returns. We utilize a split sample to examine return patterns and develop trading rules using the initial subsample. We then test those trading rules out of sample. Empirical results reveal that iShares exhibit day-of-the-week return patterns that can be exploited by informed traders.
6

Day-of-the-week eects in stock market data

Su, Xun, Cheung, Mei Ting January 2012 (has links)
The purpose of this thesis is to investigate day-of-the-week effects for stock index returns. The investigations include analysis of means and variances as well as return-distribution properties such as skewness and tail behavior. Moreover, the existences of conditional day-of-the-week effects, depending on the outcome of returns from the previous week, are analyzed. Particular emphasis is put on determining useful testing procedures for differences in variance in return data from different weekdays. Two time series models, AR and GARCH(1,1), are used to find out if any weekday's mean return is different from other days. The investigations are repeated for two-day re- turns and for returns of diversified portfolios made up of several stock index returns.
7

The Volatility of Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Dogecoin and Ethereum

Ghaiti, Khaoula 19 April 2021 (has links)
The purpose of this paper is to select the best GARCH-type model for modelling the volatility of Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Dogecoin and Ethereum. GARCH (1,1), IGARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), TGARCH(1,1) and CGARCH(1,1) are used on the cryptocurrencies closing day return. We select the model with the highest Maximum Likelihood and run an OLS regression on the conditional volatility to measure the day-of-the-week effect. The findings show that EGARCH(1,1) model best suits Bitcoin, Litecoin, Dogecoin and Ethereum data and that the GARCH(1,1) model suits best Bitcoin data. The results show a significant presence of day-of-the-week effects on the conditional volatility of some days for Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum. Wednesday has a significant negative effect on Bitcoin conditional volatility. Friday, Saturday and Sunday are found to be significant and positive on Bitcoin Cash conditional volatility. Finally, Saturday is found to be significant and positive on Ethereum conditional volatility.
8

Cryptocurrency Market Anomalies: The Day-of-the-week Effect : A study on the existence of the Day-of-the-week effect in cryptocurrencies and crypto portfolios.

Hinny, Robin, Szabó, Dorottya Kata January 2022 (has links)
This research paper studies the Day-of-the-week effect in the cryptocurrency market. Using multiple regression, we analyze the effect using 12 counterfactual optimized portfolios of the cryptocurrencies, as well as the 10 cryptocurrencies alone. Our findings show that well-optimized cryptocurrency portfolios are not subject to Day-of-the-week effects. A positive Monday and a negative Thursday effect were confirmed in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple, as well as a negative Sunday effect for Ripple.
9

台灣地區證券投資報酬週末效應之研究

盧瑞明, LU,RUI-MING Unknown Date (has links)
長期以來,美國及許多國家的股市中普遍存在一個特殊的現象一一周末效應(weekend effect或day–of–the-week effect),即一週中每日購買的平均報酬率不盡相同, 在星期一時相當低,到週末時卻變得很高。 一般而言,股票報酬的產生過程有二種假設,一為日歷時間假設(Calender Timn Hy- pothesis), 一為交易時間假設(Trading Time Hypothesis)。 前者假設股票投資報 酬是如利息般,隨著時間的經過而持續產生,在此假設下,週一報酬的分配將不同於 一週內其他交易日報酬的分配,因為週一報酬包含了週五收盤至週一收盤三天的時間 ,而其他交易日之報酬僅包含一天的時間。但在交易時間假設下,股票報酬僅產生在 股市交易時間內,則一週內各交易日之報酬的產生均只有一天,故其報酬分配將不會 有所差異。 本研究之主題為「股票投資報酬與週末效應」,除探討有關理論外,其主要目的在研 究台灣地區上市公司股票投資報酬的產生過程及報酬在時間上的分佈狀況。故本研究 以實證方式進行,首先選擇能代表上市公司股票投資報酬的綜合性指標做為初步研究 對象,並收集資料,進行變異數分析,最後對結果加以分析與歸納,得到實證結果。
10

台灣股票市場風險溢酬之星期效應實證研究 / The Day-of-the-Week Effect of the Equity Risk Premium: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Exchange

江佶明, Chiang,Chi-ming Unknown Date (has links)
近年來的研究顯示英美兩國的無風險利率存在著星期效應,但其股市報酬率的星期效應卻逐漸消失、甚至有反轉,因此本研究想探討台灣加權股價指數報酬率與無風險利率,是否存在著星期效應,抑或跟隨英美兩國的腳步,星期效應不再。此外,本研究亦探討風險溢酬的星期效應,試圖從中解開風險溢酬之謎(Equity Risk Premium)。 行政院於1998年至2000年實施「公務人員每月二次週休二日實施計劃」,台灣股票市場因此實施隔週休二日的制度,這特別的休市制度正好提供本研究進行交割效應假說所需的特殊樣本。認售權證正式於2003年7月上市掛牌買賣,因此去年下半年開始發行的認售權證交易量,亦正好提供本研究檢定投機放空假說所需的樣本。 實證結果顯示,大盤指數報酬率與風險溢酬有顯著的星期效應與週末效應,一週之中每日的報酬率並不相等,其中以週五與週六為最高,有顯著為正的報酬。而週一與週二平均報酬率為負但不顯著。而無風險利率有顯著的星期效應,但週末效應卻不顯著,一週之中每日的利率雖不相等但均顯著異於零。 更進一步探究報酬率、風險溢酬之星期效應與週末效應的成因,發現此星期效應、週末效應支持資訊處理假說、正向回饋假說與投機放空假說;但是卻不支持交割效應假說淤測量錯誤假說。因此得知台灣股票市場報酬率與風險溢酬之星期效應與週末效應的成因,乃為投資人在工作日與非工作日資訊處理成本的差異而導致;此外,過多的融券交易量亦為造成星期效應與週末效應的成因之一。 關鍵詞:星期效應、週末效應、風險溢酬、TLS模型、Power Ratio

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