[pt] A presente tese apresenta e discute metodologias para prever o volume de óleo recuperável em bacias petrolíferas e explicar a evolução do processo de descoberta. A evolução do processo de descoberta é modelada pelo produto de duas funções matemáticas de tendências opostas: a função seleção de controle, crescente, que representa o grau de conhecimento e informação adquiridos na região de exploração, e a função seleção de condições, decrescente, indicando que a condição de exploração piora em conseqüência da depleção da área considerada. São propostas três novas metodologias que utilizam funções de controle nãolineares para explicar a influência do progresso tecnológico no acréscimo dos volumes recuperáveis. Além disso, utiliza-se o esforço exploratório, representado pela quantidade de poços já perfurados, como variável explicativa para as funções de controle e condição. As metodologias acima mencionadas foram testadas utilizando dados históricos referentes a cinco bacias petrolíferas. Após avaliar a capacidade explicativa dos modelos através do ajuste aos dados históricos, foram feitas previsões (out of sample) para um horizonte de 3 e 10 anos com o objetivo de avaliar a capacidade preditiva. Os testes feitos com dados de quatro diferentes bacias indicam que o uso do esforço de perfuração como variável explicativa pode melhorar a previsão a longo prazo. A análise nos resíduos dos modelos propostos indica que os modelos têm boa capacidade explicativa, pois capturaram a informação contida nos dados descrevendo satisfatoriamente o processo de evolução de descobertas nas séries observadas. / [en] This dissertation presents methodologies to forecast the recoverable oil volume in sedimenary basins and to explain the evolution of the discovery process. The evolution of the discovery process is modeled as the product of two mathematical functions of opposing trends, namely, the control function, increasing, which represents the degree of knowledge and information acquired in the exploration region, and the condition function, decreasing, indicating that the exploration condition worsens with time as a consequence of the area depletion. Three new methodologies are proposed using nonlinear control functions to explain the influence of technological progress in the reserves accrual. Acting as a proxy for exploratory effort, the drilling footage is used as an explanatory variable for both the control and the condition functions. The aforementioned methodologies were tested using a dataset of five petroliferous basins. After evaluating the explicative capacity by fitting the models to the historical data, out of sample forecast were made for a horizon of 3 and 10 years. The results using a dataset of four different basins indicate that the drilling footage can improve the long-term forecast. The analysis in the residues of the proposed models indicates that the models captured the information contained in the data and satisfactorily describes the process of evolution of discoveries in the observed series.

Univ., Diss.--Hamburg, 2006.

Univ., Diss.--Warwick. / Quellen- und Literaturverz. S. [203] - 222.

Esta pesquisa tem por objetivo registrar os empréstimos da língua portuguesa na literatura dos viajantes italianos que tiveram contato com os portugueses. Zolli (1995), Zaccaria (1905, 1927) e DAgostino (1994) consideram que o léxico dos viajantes italianos é uma fonte de empréstimos casuals, ou seja, neologismos que não tiveram a oportunidade momentânea de fazer parte da língua italiana ou o foram introduzidos mais tarde. Muitos casuals são utilizados para descrever as coisas novas que os viajantes encontravam e que não existiam ainda na língua italiana. Podemos comparar os casuais aos cometas, que permanecem nos céus por um curto período de tempo, iluminando e imprimindo a sua beleza, mas que logo em seguida desaparecem. A língua portuguesa tem um importante papel na constituição desse conjunto de empréstimos ocasionais, pois, ao registrar os novos elementos encontrados, os viajantes o faziam através da língua portuguesa, em fenômenos de interferência linguística, caracterizando uma aquisição inconsciente ou outras vezes, conscientemente. Para compor os corpora desta pesquisa escolhemos treze viajantes, dos séculos XVI e XVII, que estiveram em colônias e cidades existentes nas possessões ultramarinas. A seguir, selecionamos as ocorrências dos empréstimos e as analisamos à luz das teorias de Alves e Klajn. Portanto, esta pesquisa de doutorado tem por objetivo fazer um levantamento do registro do léxico casual do português na literatura dos viajantes italianos e examinar como esse léxico servia muitas vezes para dar uma cor local (GUSMANI, 1983; ALVES, 1990; APRILE, 2005) ao texto, subjugando a imaginação do leitor e expressando o desejo do viajante de tornar a sua obra imorredoura, eterna. / This research aims to record the loans of the Portuguese language in the literature of Italian travelers who had contact with the Portuguese. Zolli (1995), Zaccaria (1905, 1927) and D\'Agostino (1994) consider that the lexicon of Italian travelers is a source of loans called casuals. Or: Neologisms that have not had the opportunity to be part of the Italian language, but are used to describe the new things that travelers find - and still do not exist in their own language. We can compare the casuals to comets, which remain in the heavens for a short time, lighting up and printing-up its beauty in the skies and then disappearing. So these loans appear momentarily, but do not vanish: get eternally printed, fulfilling their function: to illuminate and give color to the text. The researchs corpora will comprise the Italian travelers, especially those of the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries who were in colonies and overseas possessions. Soon after, we selected occurrences of loans and analyzed in the light of theories of Alves and Klajn. Therefore, this PhD research aims to survey the record of the casual lexicon of Portuguese literature by Italian travelers and examine how this lexicon often served to give a local color (GUSMANI, 1983; ALVES, 1990; APRILE, 2005) to the text, overwhelming the reader\'s imagination and expressing the desire of the traveler make his work undying, and eternal.

The purpose of this project is two-fold. The first purpose is to explore the benefits of incorporating the arts in the education of all students. Incorporating the arts into other curricular areas enhances learning and makes it more meaningful to the student. The second purpose is to develop a performance program that brings the California Gold Rush era and the cultural diversity of that period of history alive.

The common elements which emerge from this study are: Melchizedek was a priest-king, ruling a small city-state and presiding over the cult. He lived among a people far advanced from the primitive. There is no consensus among scholars concerning the meaning of his name but "Sedeq (a name for God) is my King" is a possible translation. Melchizedek's city-state was named Salem and of the four plausible geographical locations postulated, the Salem-Shechem theory leaves fewer problems. Abraham and Melchizedek worshiped the same God who was known by several names, among which were 'El 'elyon, God Most High and Yahweh. All of these names point to a superlative god above all others. Jewish traditions identify Melchizedek with Shem and Salem with Jerusalem. They also subordinate Melchizedek to Abraham and see the priesthood lost by Melchizedek and passing to Abraham. The Christians claimed Melchizedek as the type for Christ and his priesthood, and thus forged their own link to antiquity. Joseph Smith's teachings parallel the early Christian traditions of Melchizedek as a type of Christ and other traditions on priestly kingship and ritual. He also defines orders in the priesthood.

Thesis (D. Litt. et Phil. (Biblical Studies)) / The Fertile Crescent, due to its geographical characteristics, has always been an area troubled with conflict and warfare. The men who participated in these wars, from ca 2000 BCE to 1000 BCE operated from an ethos which was governed by a system of rules, all which were conceived to be the creation of divine will, to which kings and their warriors (keymen) were subject. The cuneiform texts from Mari, Ugarit, Ebla, Amarna and others, have not only thrown light on the political, social, religious and military aspects of those turbulent times, but have also given insight into the formation of armies as well as the commanders who led those armies and the royal officials who governed cities and provinces, all appointed by the monarch in order to effect the smooth running of his kingdom. They also shed light on the formation of coalitions and alliances in order to promote peace, arrange marriages to the daughters of other ruling powers and to promote trade relations. These were no easy tasks, considering the diversity of peoples, the birth and fall of kingdoms and empires, and the ever shifting and changes of loyalties of greedy kings and their men, to attain power and conquest for themselves.. However, these texts also give glimpses of the human side of the king and the close relationships between himself and his men of authority, whilst the women of the court also played their role in some areas of the social field. The responses, of these people towards matters and events, whether they were confrontations, marriage alliances, trade ventures or hunting expeditions, occurred within an ever changing world yet, it was also a world with an ethos of ancient traditions, which did not disappear but instead remained, albeit in adapted or altered form, to be a part of their contextual reality. / Biblical Studies

Mortality in the Czech countries in the years 1920-1937 with emphasis on selected infectious diseases Abstract The aim of this work is to analyze mortality rates in the czech countries in the years 1920-1937. We focus on a group of infectious diseases that had in this period in terms of cause of death still a high proportion. The rate of mortality due to infectious diseases is dependent on many aspects, such as the correct detection of the disease, effective vaccines and the level of medicine. It is these causes that brought about the sharp decline in mortality due to infectious diseases in the late 19th century. Hovewer, the First World War interupted this permanent decline and the newly created Czechoslovak state had to deal with relatively high mortality due to these diseases. The inter-war period saw recurrent epidemies of infectious deseases, nevertheless until the Second World War we can see the change in mortality due to causes. The infectious diseases are gradually replaced by modern diseases, especially cancers and diseases of the circulatory system. Key words: mortality, causes of death, infectious diseases, decomposition, classification of causes of death, medical discoveries, the level of health

Thesis (D. Litt. et Phil. (Biblical Studies)) / The Fertile Crescent, due to its geographical characteristics, has always been an area troubled with conflict and warfare. The men who participated in these wars, from ca 2000 BCE to 1000 BCE operated from an ethos which was governed by a system of rules, all which were conceived to be the creation of divine will, to which kings and their warriors (keymen) were subject. The cuneiform texts from Mari, Ugarit, Ebla, Amarna and others, have not only thrown light on the political, social, religious and military aspects of those turbulent times, but have also given insight into the formation of armies as well as the commanders who led those armies and the royal officials who governed cities and provinces, all appointed by the monarch in order to effect the smooth running of his kingdom. They also shed light on the formation of coalitions and alliances in order to promote peace, arrange marriages to the daughters of other ruling powers and to promote trade relations. These were no easy tasks, considering the diversity of peoples, the birth and fall of kingdoms and empires, and the ever shifting and changes of loyalties of greedy kings and their men, to attain power and conquest for themselves.. However, these texts also give glimpses of the human side of the king and the close relationships between himself and his men of authority, whilst the women of the court also played their role in some areas of the social field. The responses, of these people towards matters and events, whether they were confrontations, marriage alliances, trade ventures or hunting expeditions, occurred within an ever changing world yet, it was also a world with an ethos of ancient traditions, which did not disappear but instead remained, albeit in adapted or altered form, to be a part of their contextual reality. / Biblical Studies

Orientador: Paulo Miceli / Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Filosofia e Ciências Humanas / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-18T03:45:40Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Souza_CamilaFernandade_M.pdf: 1111417 bytes, checksum: f585cdec7b39b0e1bbc57d4821952df7 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2011 / Resumo: Nosso foco nesta dissertação está em perceber como são rompidas, continuadas ou transformadas as tradições de pensamento do final do século XV e início do XVI na obra O Esmeraldo de Situ Orbis, de Duarte Pacheco Pereira. Para tanto, fizemos uso de conceitos como revolução científica, paradigmas e ciência normal, tais como definidos por Thomas Kuhn, para entendermos como o autor do Esmeraldo possa ter subvertido formas de pensar que se encontravam então latentes na mentalidade portuguesa do momento que estudamos. Dividimos nosso trabalho em três partes. Na primeira discutimos o que era ciência no período proposto e também a definição de paradigma segundo o encaminhamento teórico de Thomas Kuhn, assim como a relação da universidade portuguesa com as navegações. No segundo capítulo buscamos compreender se O Esmeraldo de Situ Obis expressou o sintoma de uma crise de paradigmas vigentes na época de sua escrita e qual postura Pacheco adotou em relação às autoridades clássicas no que se refere ao modo como representaram o mundo físico em seus escritos. No terceiro capítulo analisamos duas formas de transposição da escrita, o manuscrito e o impresso, consideramos suas particularidades e fizemos um balanço acerca da impressão tardia do Esmeraldo no século XIX / Abstract: Our focus in this dissertation is to understand how the traditions of thought from the late fifteenth and early sixteenth centuries in the book Esmeraldo de Situ Orbis, of Duarte Pacheco Pereira are broken, continued or converted. For this purpose, we use concepts such as scientific revolution, paradigm and normal science, as defined by Thomas Kuhn, to understand how the Esmeraldo's author might have subverted the manners of thinking which were then in course in the Portuguese mentality of the moment we have studied. We divided our work into three parts. At first, we discuss what science was in the period studied and we have also discussed the definition of paradigm according to the Thomas Kuhn's theory, as well as the Portuguese university's relationship with the navigations. In the second chapter we seek to understand whether the Esmeraldo de Situ Orbis expressed the symptom of a crisis of paradigms at the time of its writing and which posture was adopted by Pacheco in relation to classical authorities in order to conceive the physical world. In the third chapter we examine two forms of transposition of writing, the manuscript and the impress, we have considered its particularities and made a balance about the Esmeraldo's late impression in the Nineteenth Century / Mestrado / Historia Cultural / Mestre em História