This thesis is concerned with future trend prediction on capital markets on the basis of neural networks. Usage of convolutional and recurrent neural networks, Elliott wave theory and scalograms for capital market's future trend prediction is discussed. The aim of this thesis is to propose a novel approach to future trend prediction based on Elliott's wave theory. The proposed approach will be based on the principle of classification of chosen patterns from Elliott's theory by the way of convolutional neural network. To this end scalograms of the chosen Elliott patterns will be created through application of continuous wavelet transform on parts of historical time series of price for chosen stocks.

The thesis deals with the possibility of prediction of the exchange rate on forex. The combination of Elliott wave principle and Fibonacci numbers examines to what extent and in what time periods it is possible to predict exchange rate. The thesis use fundamental analysis and MACD oscillator to confirm the accuracy of this prediction.

This diploma thesis compares chaos theory with Elliott wave theory in order to find out whether there is an agreement in the area of prediction. Such formulation of main problem is considered original, new and pioneering issue. By solving an indirect problem of deterministic chaos, existence of the chaos was not proved in a respective time series. The possibility to predict future development of this time series in a short-term period was considered impossible with respect of chaos theory results. Nevertheless, subsequent prediction that used Elliott wave theory showed to be precise. Finally, agreement of both theories was not confirmed. The diploma thesis proved that knowledge of Elliott wave theory and ability to interpret it correctly is a valuable means of prediction.

Intricate Maneuvers is a series of musical works that were composed using movement as a model for compositional processes and forms. This essay presents in-depth analyses of three works from the series; Fidget, Sway: The Mildest Form of Falling, and Swerve for Chamber Ensemble. The analysis of each work highlights correlations between the musical characteristics of that work and the temporal, spatial, contextual, and psychological implications of the motion after which it was modeled. The third chapter also demonstrates the ways in which the creation of Sway was influenced by materials and processes taken from Ruth Crawford's String Quartet 1931. In order to investigate the question of how life experiences can function as models for compositional processes, the essay examines precedents for the compositional modeling of extra-musical ideas and images in the works of Bed?ich Smetana, Elliott Carter and Roger Reynolds. It also discusses approaches to modeling movement in music created for dance. Throughout the Intricate Maneuvers series, movement is modeled not merely to create an association between a musical work and a particular movement pattern, but rather to infuse the compositions with the dynamism that defines a particular kinetic experience.

John Elliott Tullidge was one of a group of early musicians that exerted a considerable influence on the culture of Utah. He was a gentlemen well trained in the musical arts and intensely proud of his profession.He was born November 5, 1807, a son of Edward and Mary Elliott Tullidge, in Weymouth, Dorsetshire, England. His parents were wealthy and realized the value of an education, and he was given the privilege of studying with the finest teachers of his day. He sang at a very early age in church choirs. Many positions were granted him both as a performer and conductor. He was actively engaged in music all of his life in England, and the records reveal that he had no other profession. While in England, he held the title of Professor of Singing and Harmony. He taught, composed, and performed in the field of music.Professor Tullidge came in contact with the influence of the Gospel due to other members of his family coming in contact with the missionaries of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. Because of this influence, he made the move to the United States after spending fifty-six years in England. In 1863, Professor Tullidge, his wife Elizabeth, their son John, and his wife Jane, and daughter Mary sailed on the ship Cynosure for America.

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Made available in DSpace on 2015-05-08T14:45:04Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 arquivototal.pdf: 1848162 bytes, checksum: 8d8c6d6ea96038f73be05f042425a488 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2010-09-17 / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / The prices of securities traded on stock exchanges, as well as any other commodity in the financial market fluctuate naturally with the demand for these products. These oscillations, along with the asymmetry of information about the prices of these products generate volatility processes. Charles Dow in the early twentieth century created sector indexes, in which papers met the same area of activity, according to him, several indicators point to the same direction would be a sign that this really would be a tendency to drive the market, thus characterizing the Dow Theory. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871-1948) studied the average prices of the Dow Jones Industrial and realized repetitions in the market changes, their observations were summarized in what became known as "The Wave Principle." Elliott developed his theory based on so-called Fibonacci sequence, discovered by Leonardo Pizza (Fibonacci) around 1200. In addition to the Dow Theory and the Theory of waves in this work was done using the Theory of Rationality of the agents as a complementary way to explain the decision process of investors, as happens in situations of uncertainty. A rational decision involves selecting the choice which has the largest expected return for a given level of risk. / Os preços dos ativos negociados em bolsas de valores, assim como qualquer outro tipo de commodity do mercado financeiro, oscilam naturalmente com a procura por esses produtos. Essas oscilações, juntamente com a assimetria das informações acerca dos preços desses produtos geram processos de volatilidade. Charles Dow, no início do século XX criou índices setoriais, nos quais reunia papéis da mesma área de atividade, segundo ele, se vários índices apontassem para a mesma direção seria um sinal de que realmente essa seria uma tendência de movimentação do mercado, caracterizando assim a Teoria de Dow. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871-1948) estudou as cotações médias dos índices Dow Jones Industrial e percebeu repetições nas alterações do mercado, suas observações foram resumidas no que ficou conhecido como O Princípio da Onda . Elliott desenvolveu a sua teoria com base na denominada Sequência de Fibonacci, descoberta por Leonardo de Pizza (Fibonacci) por volta de 1200. Além da Teoria de Dow e da Teoria das Ondas, nesse trabalho, fez-se uso da Teoria da Racionalidade dos agentes como uma forma complementar para se explicar o processo de decisão dos investidores, dado que acontecem em situações de incerteza. Uma decisão racional implica em selecionar a escolha que apresente o maior retorno esperado para um dado nível de risco.

Made available in DSpace on 2014-07-29T15:08:15Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 dissertacaoRaulWCalaca.pdf: 389248 bytes, checksum: cb60b52936f41e68078c960a1cf097e6 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2008-08-06 / The Elliott Wave analysis is a technique developed for the prediction of prices of financial assets (stocks, exchange rates etc.). This work introduces the basic concepts of the financial market, focusing mainly on the Elliott Wave principle, which differs from other techniques for providing direction and intensity of changes in shares / stocks prices in the financial market. The Elliott Wave detection usually employs manual methods, since automated systems present high costs and are apparently based on trial and error method associated with Statistics. Manual methods assess, following some rules, the waves prospected by trial and error, and requires specialized training and experience. To automatically detect the waves of Elliott, this work suggests, develops and tests a computational system based on Genetic Algorithms, an Artificial Intelligence technique inspired on Biology. Genetic Algorithms are used to evolve answers to problems by assessing candidates, which are coded as chromosomes. Tests of the system were performed based on BM&FBOVESPA stocks with high daily liquidity. Simulations have indicated that the detected waves are satisfactory, with error rate below 3% in each inflection point. / A análise das Ondas de Elliott é uma técnica desenvolvida para a previsão dos preços de ativos financeiros (ações, taxas de câmbios etc). O presente trabalho introduz conceitos básicos do mercado financeiro, focando principalmente nas Ondas de Elliott que diverge das outras técnicas por prever direção e intensidade da mudança do valor de ações/papéis no mercado financeiro. A detecção das Ondas de Elliott usa geralmente metodologia manual, visto que os sistemas automáticos possuem custos elevados e são aparentemente baseados em métodos de tentativa e erro associados à Estatística. O método manual avalia, seguindo algumas regras, as ondas prospectadas por tentativa e erro, exigindo treinamento especializado e experiência. Para detectar automaticamente as Ondas de Elliott no mercado financeiro, este trabalho propõe, desenvolve e testa um sistema computacional baseado em Algoritmos Genéticos, uma técnica de Inteligência Artificial baseada na seleção natural da Biologia. Algoritmos Genéticos são utilizados para evoluir respostas a problemas que permitem avaliar candidatos a soluções, codificados como cromossomos. Os testes do sistema foram realizados com base nos dados de ações pertencentes à Bolsa de Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros (BM&FBOVESPA) e possuidoras de alta liquidez diária. As simulações indicaram que as ondas detectadas pelo sistema foram satisfatórias, possuindo índice de erro abaixo de 3% por ponto de inflexão.

Nesta dissertação, a partir da minha produção prática intitulada Em busca de Elliot Erwit, viso verificar conceitos em relação à fotografia e sua inclusão no campo da arte contemporânea. Inicialmente realizado em uma viagem a Nova Iorque, Em busca de Elliot Erwit contempla a fotografia a partir de sua relação com uma busca de imagens e um imaginário urbano, busca incentivada por um desejo despertado de meu encontro casual com um livro de fotografias. Com isso, questões como viagem, olhar e documento serão indispensáveis para refletir a ação de fotografar e o desenvolvimento de uma narrativa textual que acompanha as fotos, acalentando a ideia de que o fotografar seria um ato de ficção. / In this research, I intend to verify, from my praccal producon tled In search of Elliot Erwit, concepts in relaon to photography and its inclusion in the field of contemporary art. Inially conducted on a trip to New York, In search of Ellio Erwi contemplates photography from its relaonship with a search for urban images and a imagery urban, pursued fueled by a desire aroused by the chance encounter between me and a photo book. With this, issues such as travel, look and document will be indispensable to reflect the acon of photography and the development of a textual narrave that accompanies the photos, cherishing the idea that photographing it would be an act of ficon.

This thesis examines the use of the pastoral form in recent Canadian literature. As the pastoral constitutes a literary site where a concern for landscape converges with a search for community, it has been employed as a myth in nationalist discourses whose functioning depend heavily on symbolized landscapes and idealized social types. The philosophical basis of the pastoral is the classical opposition between nature and culture. For this reason, its representations are often coded as 'natural'. To this extent, the pastoral participates in a hegemonic myth-making system, constituting a limited semiotic field in which certain representations are privileged while others are negated. Following Marx and Barthes, the thesis contends that an attack the nature/culture opposition is essential to undermining the hegemony of the myth-making process. In the context of nationalism, a pastoral can articulate a critique of dominant a 'naturalized' representations when it questions its own use of the nature/culture opposition.