After the environmental debate was put firmly into economics literature, an emerging sustainable finance sector attempts to discipline corporate social and environmental behaviour, in which the financial markets and the real estate sector have been stated to play particularly important roles. Research within Swedish real estate financing has identified a growing interest of sustainable financing, mentioning green bonds in particular. Green bonds are based on traditional corporate bonds with the difference that green bonds possess an element of influence. The issuer is obliged to report back to the investor how net proceeds from the issuance have been used to finance green projects, which creates a requirement for transparency. The fact that green bonds is a fairly new financing and investment alternative whilst simultaneously growing incredibly fast has highlighted the significance of reliance for green bonds as a financial product. The aim of this study has been to explore in what ways green bonds in the Swedish real estate market are being initiated and structured and subsequently governed to establish investor reliance.  This research is conducted with a qualitative methodology on the basis of an exploratory nature, and the collection of qualitative data has mainly been performed through semi-structured interviews with all categories of stakeholders currently involved in the use of green bonds in the Swedish real estate market. The empirical results and subsequent analysis have concluded that it is obvious that there are numerous positive incentives related to issuing green bonds. All positive incentives consequently give rise to concerns regarding the true purpose of the issuances and whether or not these are aligned with the original purpose of the product. The more positive incentives, the more the risk of greenwashing increases. The risk of greenwashing could pose a significant threat to the general perception of and reliance in the green bond market. Obviously, all positive incentives do not necessarily entail greenwashing; there has to be positive incentives for the market of green bonds to occur, especially as it is a widely appreciated product with a generally good purpose. However, the issuers must be transparent, and the investors must be aware of the potential risk factors in order to establish investor reliance in green bonds as a financial product. / Sedan miljödebatten introducerades inom den ekonomiska litteraturen har en framväxande sektor för hållbar finansiering arbetat för att disciplinera företags sociala och miljömässiga ansvarstagande, där den finansiella marknaden och fastighetssektorn uppgetts ha särskilt viktiga roller. Forskning inom svensk fastighetsfinansiering har identifierat ett växande intresse för hållbar finansiering och i synnerhet gröna obligationer. Gröna obligationer är baserade på traditionella företagsobligationer, med skillnaden att kapitalet enbart syftar att användas till finansiering eller återfinansiering av hållbara projekt. Emittenten är bunden till att återrapportera hur kapitalet använts, vilket skapar ett krav på transparens. Det faktum att gröna obligationer fortfarande är ett ganska nytt finansierings- och investeringsalternativ, samtidigt som det vuxit oerhört snabbt, har framhävt betydelsen av förtroende för gröna obligationer som finansiell produkt. Syftet med denna studie har varit att undersöka hur gröna obligationer på den svenska fastighetsmarknaden initieras och struktureras och därefter hanteras för att etablera investerarnas förtroende.  Denna forskning har genomförts med en kvalitativ metod av utforskande karaktär och insamlingen av kvalitativa data har i huvudsak utförts genom semistrukturerade intervjuer med alla intressentkategorier som för närvarande är aktiva i användningen av gröna obligationer på den svenska fastighetsmarknaden. Det empiriska resultatet och den efterföljande analysen har påvisat att det är uppenbart att det finns många positiva incitament i samband med emissioner av gröna obligationer. Alla positiva incitament ger följaktligen upphov till oro kring det verkliga syftet med emissionerna och huruvida dessa är anpassade till produktens ursprungliga syfte eller inte. Ju mer positiva incitament, desto mer ökar risken för greenwashing. Risken för greenwashing kan utgöra ett betydande hot mot den allmänna uppfattningen av, och förtroendet för, den gröna obligationsmarknaden. Självklart innebär inte alla positiva incitament nödvändigtvis greenwashing; det måste finnas positiva incitament för att marknaden för gröna obligationer ska finnas, särskilt eftersom det är en mycket uppskattad produkt med ett generellt bra syfte. Emittenterna måste emellertid vara transparenta och investerarna måste vara medvetna om de potentiella riskfaktorerna för att etablera investerarnas förtroende för gröna obligationer som en finansiell produkt.

Made available in DSpace on 2016-03-15T19:25:35Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Neilson Soares Lopes.pdf: 983372 bytes, checksum: 2233d489295cd76cb2d8dcbd78e1e5de (MD5) Previous issue date: 2011-08-08 / Fundo Mackenzie de Pesquisa / This study applied the techniques of traditional parametric discriminant analysis and logistic regression analysis of credit real estate financing transactions where borrowers may or may not have a payroll loan transaction. It was the hit rate compared these methods with the non-parametric techniques based on classification trees, and the methods of meta-learning bagging and boosting that combine classifiers for improved accuracy in the algorithms.In a context of high housing deficit, especially in Brazil, the financing of real estate can still be very encouraged. The impacts of sustainable growth in the mortgage not only bring economic benefits and social. The house is, for most individuals, the largest source of expenditure and the most valuable asset that will have during her lifetime.At the end of the study concluded that the computational techniques of decision trees are more effective for the prediction of payers (94.2% correct), followed by bagging (80.7%) and boosting (or arcing , 75.2%). For the prediction of bad debtors in mortgages, the techniques of logistic regression and discriminant analysis showed the worst results (74.6% and 70.7%, respectively). For the good payers, the decision tree also showed the best predictive power (75.8%), followed by discriminant analysis (75.3%) and boosting (72.9%). For the good paying mortgages, bagging and logistic regression showed the worst results (72.1% and 71.7%, respectively). Logistic regression shows that for a borrower with payroll loans, the chance to be a bad credit is 2.19 higher than if the borrower does not have such type of loan.The presence of credit between the payroll operations of mortgage borrowers also has relevance in the discriminant analysis. / Neste estudo foram aplicadas as técnicas paramétricas tradicionais de análise discriminante e regressão logística para análise de crédito de operações de financiamento imobiliário. Foi comparada a taxa de acertos destes métodos com as técnicas não-paramétricas baseadas em árvores de classificação, além dos métodos de meta-aprendizagem BAGGING e BOOSTING, que combinam classificadores para obter uma melhor precisão nos algoritmos.Em um contexto de alto déficit de moradias, em especial no caso brasileiro, o financiamento de imóveis ainda pode ser bastante fomentado. Os impactos de um crescimento sustentável no crédito imobiliário trazem benefícios não só econômicos como sociais. A moradia é, para grande parte dos indivíduos, a maior fonte de despesas e o ativo mais valioso que terão durante sua vida. Ao final do estudo, concluiu-se que as técnicas computacionais de árvores de decisão se mostram mais efetivas para a predição de maus pagadores (94,2% de acerto), seguida do BAGGING (80,7%) e do BOOSTING (ou ARCING, 75,2%). Para a predição de maus pagadores em financiamentos imobiliários, as técnicas de regressão logística e análise discriminante apresentaram os piores resultados (74,6% e 70,7%, respectivamente). Para os bons pagadores, a árvore de decisão também apresentou o melhor poder preditivo (75,8%), seguida da análise discriminante (75,3%) e do BOOSTING (72,9%). Para os bons pagadores de financiamentos imobiliários, BAGGING e regressão logística apresentaram os piores resultados (72,1% e 71,7%, respectivamente).A regressão logística mostra que, para um tomador com crédito consignado, a chance se ser um mau pagador é 2,19 maior do que se este tomador não tivesse tal modalidade de empréstimo. A presença de crédito consignado entre as operações dos tomadores de financiamento imobiliário também apresenta relevância na análise discriminante.

Kommersiella fastigheter är en kapitalintensiv tillgång, i behov av externt kapital, med flertalet intressenter. Syftet med uppsatsen är att studera effekten av regelverket Basel III genom att se hur fastighetsbolagens finansiering av kommersiella fastigheter har förändrats mellan år 2014 och år 2019. Tidigare har kommersiella fastigheter till största del finansierats med banklån men även andra former av finansiering blir allt vanligare, till exempel genom obligationer, certifikat, crowdfunding och direktfinansiering. Traditionella banklån är beroende av hur bankernas utlåning sker, vilket genom Basel regelverket har blivit mer reglerat de senaste åren. Baselkommittén för banktillsyn främjar den globala finansiella stabiliteten genom att samordna bankregleringar och tillsyn inom den finansiella sektorn. Basel III innebär skärpta kapitalkrav för bankerna och begränsningar för hur exponerade banken får vara mot en bransch eller motpart vid kreditgivning. Undersökningen baserades på elva fastighetsbolag noterade på Stockholmsbörsen i ”large cap”-kategorin. Resultatet visade på en förändring av finansieringskällor för fastighetsbolagen mellan år 2014 och år 2019 där banklån i snitt minskade med 27 procentenheter medan obligationer i snitt ökade med 23 procentenheter. Användningen av certifikat som finansieringskälla ökade marginellt mellan 2014 och 2019. Fastighetsbolagen hade även under denna tidsperiod sänkt sina finansieringskostnader och uppnått en längre kapitalbindningstid samt har idag lägre belåningsgrader. Sammantaget leder detta till att fastighetsbolagens finansiella ställning har blivit bättre. / Commercial real estate is a capital-intensive asset, in need of external capital. The purpose of the thesis is to study the effect of the Basel III by looking at how the real estate companies' financing of commercial real estate has changed between 2014 and 2019. Previously, commercial real estate has largely been financed with bank loans, but other forms of financing are becoming more common, for example bonds, certificates, crowdfunding and direct financing. Traditional bank loans are depending on different aspects such as risk weighted assets, which through the Basel regulations has become more regulated in recent years. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision promotes global financial stability by coordinating banking regulations and supervision in the financial sector. Basel III entails stricter capital requirements for the banks and limits on how exposed the bank may be to an industry or counterparty when granting credit. The study was based on eleven real estate companies listed on the Stockholm Stock Exchange in the “large cap” category. The result showed a change in funding sources for the real estate companies between 2014 and 2019 where bank loans on average decreased by 27 percentage points while bonds on average increased by 23 percentage points. The use of certificates as a source of financing increased marginally between 2014 and 2019. During this period, the real estate companies had also lowered their financing costs and achieved a longer capital commitment period and today have lower loan-to-value ratios. To summarize, this means that the real estate companies' financial position has improved. TRITA-ABE-MBT-20479

The aim of the thesis is to evaluate an investment in refurbishment and subsequent maintenance of the property as accommodation facilities for students, and to give investors a recommendation on whether to implement the project. A market analysis in the thesis is used to identify a suitable area for the project implementation. Next part of the thesis introduces the investment project and its parameters in line with the investor's strategy. Last part of the thesis is dedicated to the evaluation of the financial plan and a sensitivity analysis.

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The capital market, with financial instruments such as corporate bonds, has over the last years emerged as an alternative financing source for Swedish real estate companies. A seemingly unexplored market which given the real estate companies the possibility to diversify their loan stock and limit their exposure towards the bank. In Sweden, unlike more market-oriented countries such as the US, commercial banks have historically almost exclusively supplied debt capital to Swedish corporations. Assessing credit risk is crucial in debt investments, and therefore, this thesis focuses on the Swedish capital market the current and potential future role of credit ratings in the emerging market for corporate bonds issued by real estate companies. We examine why only a limited number of real estate companies are credit rated today and the importance of credit rating for the capital market. The study is based on interviews with Swedish real estate companies, institutional investors and banks- all that in one-way ore an other is affected by credit rating. The Swedish financial system is undergoing a growth process where the real estate companies to a greater extent in using bonds and certificates to finance their investments. A financing method more widely used by government entities in the past. The transition from bank financing to funding investments through institutional investors and private equity appears to be permanent. The market aftermath is an increased demand for credit risk evaluations. Information retained from the banks’ Shadow ratings or the rating institutions. We can conclude that extended credit risk information is inescapable with a transition to a more market oriented financial system- the remaining question is- who should preform the valuation of the credit risk. If the banks continue making the credit risk reports of real estate companies international investors might refrain from establishing a position as an investor in the Swedish market. In the contrary the banks shaded ratings is more favourable for Swedish real estate companies with more qualitative and marked adjusted reports. The market will require independent credit information in the future but if it will be the banks or the rating institutions that provide this information is still uncertain. / Kapitalmarknaden med finansiella instrument som företagsobligationer och –certifikat har de senaste åren vuxit fram som en alternativ lånemarknad för svenska fastighetsbolag. Från att ha varit en förhållandevis outforskad marknad har de senaste årens utveckling gett fastighetsbolagen en bättre möjlighet att diversifiera sin lånestock och begränsa sin exponering mot bankerna. Till skillnad från mer kapitalmarknadsorienterade länder, som exempelvis USA, har företags behov av lånefinansiering i Sverige historiskt sett nästan uteslutande försetts av bankerna. Denna uppsats fokuserar på den svenska kapitalmarknadens fortsatta utveckling och officiell kreditratings betydelse på en växande kapitalmarknad. Vi utreder varför så få fastighetsbolag idag valt att införskaffa ett officiellt kreditbetyg och vilken betydelse kreditbetyget har för kapitalmarknaden. Undersökningen bygger på intervjuer med svenska fastighetsbolag, investerare och banker som alla, på ett eller annat sätt, berörs av kreditvärderingar. Det svenska finansiella systemet genomgår nu en utveckling där fastighetsbolagen använder obligationer och certifikat för att finansiera sina investeringar. Ett finansieringssätt som tidigare mestadels använts av statliga och kommunala fastighetsbolag. Övergången från bankfinansiering till att söka kapital bland privata och institutionella investerare förefaller vara bestående. Marknaden kan till följd av detta få behov av ytterligare information om kreditrisken i företagen. Information som erhålls från bankernas skuggratingar eller från kreditvärderingsinstituten. Vi kan konstatera att utökad kreditinformation är ofrånkomlig vid en övergång mot ett mer marknadsorienterat finansiellt system, frågan som kvarstår är vem som ska utföra kreditvärderingen. Fortsätter bankerna utföra kreditvärderingen av fastighetsbolag kan det resultera i en avhållsamhet från internationella investerare att etablera sig i Sverige och motsatt för fastighetsbolagen är det mer gynnsamt att bankerna, med sina mer kvalitativa och för svenska marknaden anpassade värderingar blir den framtida normen .

[pt] O modelo de monitoração, registro e valoração de investimentos, adotado por investidores institucionais em países desenvolvidos e em especial o americano, juntamente com todos os seus agregados financeiros - índices de bolsas, indicadores de performance, precificação de ativos, ratings, standards, etc...- é sem dúvida um forte elemento direcionador e influenciador dos modelos adotados no Brasil para administração de carteiras de investimento. Surgiu no próprio mercado americano, após o término da recessão do inicio dos anos 90, uma profunda remodelagem dos instrumentos, veículos, indicadores de performance e standards dos investimentos de base imobiliária, que até então seguiam seus próprios e diversificados padrões, desvinculados dos modelos propalados e adotados pelo mercado financeiro. O conhecimento dos modelos de gestão adotados por investidores institucionais brasileiros, em especial os fundos de pensão é básico para se desenhe uma nova estratégia futura de alocação e respectiva gestão de recursos em carteiras de base imobiliária de investidores institucionais. O foco do presente trabalho é dar início a este processo de conhecimento pela identificação e interpretação dos principais fatores que modelam a gestão imobiliária dos fundos de pensão brasileiros, propondo a partir daí algumas reflexões iniciais sobre estes fatores e por conseguinte sobre estes modelos, visando padronizações, aperfeiçoamentos e um maior alinhamento com práticas já consagradas em mercados mais desenvolvidos e eficientes. / [en] It is common knowledge that the models of monitoring, registering and valuating investments, accepted by institutional investors in many developed countries, especially the US - together with financial ratios adopted in the stock market, in assets price evaluation and performance, in risk ratings, in account standards - have great influence in the models implemented by investment portfolio managers in Brazil. After the recession in the beginning of 1990 s, took place in the US Real Estate market a major restructure of Real Estate instruments, vehicles, performance indices, and standards. The Real Estate community agreed that their market could no longer have dissimilar and diverse methods for measuring and evaluating Real Estate assets if compared with those used currently by the financial market. Knowing and understanding the relationship between models adopted by brazilian institutional investors and the positioning of pension funds when allocating resources to real state, is fundamental to trace any new future allocation and management strategy for real state investments by institutional investors. The main purpose of this paper is to begin this process of knowledge by identifying and interpreting the main factors that model the real estate portfolio management adopted by Brazilian pension funds, followed by some reflexion over those factors and conseqüently over those models, mainly focused on standardization and refinement of such current models, and also on aligning current practices to those already approved and implemented by more developed and efficient markets.