Approximately 25% of bats globally are threatened, but limited data on African bats, which account for 20% of bat species, hinders our understanding of their conservation status across this ecologically diverse continent. This study combined: modelling techniques, to predict current species distributions for 58 southern African bat species and project past, current and future distributions of 22 endemic and near-endemic species; bat acoustic surveys, to assess landscape features influencing bat activity in arid and semi-arid regions; and conservation planning software to design a large-scale monitoring network for bats across this subcontinent. Species distribution models were employed using a robust and well established presence-only modelling technique (Maximum Entropy – Maxent) to model the current distributions of 58 species in southern Africa. Although the important eco-geographical variables were species- or in some cases family-specific, overall water availability (both temporary and permanent), seasonal precipitation, vegetation and karst (caves/limestone) areas were the most important factors associated with distribution patterns. These species distributions were then used to identify range-restricted and narrow niche breadth species, alongside other life-history strategies considered to put species at risk, such as Old World pteropodids and cave-dwelling bats to identify species most at risk. Nine of the 58 species in this study were identified as ‘at risk’. Considering range-restriction and endemism separately, the results showed that range-restricted species were a higher proportion (50%) of ‘at risk’ species than endemics (41%) but six of the nine identified species were endemic and range restricted (67%). If only areas of high species richness are prioritised, important areas with low species richness but rare, ‘at risk’ or endemic species would be excluded. Species distributions are not fixed but may shift due to changes in environmental conditions. Accurately predicting changes in species’ distributions due to anthropogenic climate change remains a fundamental challenge for conservation biologists, and this is amplified when dealing with taxa such as bats that are inherently difficult to study and in areas, such as Africa, with sparse ecological data. To better understand endemic bat species risk to climate change in southern Africa and to highlight historical and future likely refugia, Maxent was employed to forecast range-shifts for 22 southern African endemic or near-endemic species. Species distributions were projected during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM ~22,000 BP), present (1950-2000) and future (2070: averaged 2061-2080, using IPCC5 scenarios) climatic conditions. Climate change was predicted to change species composition extensively within a relatively short timescale (within 60 years). By 2070, 86% of species modelled are predicted to have range contractions and six species were highlighted to be most at risk, with range contractions of more than 20%. The majority of southern Africa is composed or arid or semi-arid regions. Generally arid and semi-arid areas are overlooked and understudied due to low species richness, yet these areas are known to have a high proportion of endemic species. As part of this study, driven transects were carried out across arid and semi-arid areas to assess bat activity in these areas. Bat activity was recorded at 94% of the acoustic surveys, demonstrating that driven transects are an effective method of surveying bats in southern Africa. Bat activity increased at lower altitudes and higher latitudes, which characteristically have more rainfall, permanent water and vegetation. Although water has been shown in other studies to be important for bats, temporary water was not shown to influence bat activity and permanent water was positively correlated with bat activity for hipposiderids and rhinolophids and FM bats, which may reflect the fact that water features important for bats at smaller scale. The same two vegetation types that were consistently negatively correlated with bat activity were drier vegetation types (Karoo-Namib shrubland) and high salinity halophytic vegetation. Finally, a systematic conservation planning software tool (Marxan) was used to design multi-species monitoring networks that incorporated all 58 target species across the 11 ecoregions found in southern Africa. To ensure rare, endemic and range-restricted species were monitored at the same level as widespread species, species distributions (mapped using Maxent) were extracted by ecoregion. Monitoring targets (i.e. a percentage of species distribution across ecoregions) were standardised to ensure the same percentage of predicted distribution was included across all species (rare and widespread). To account for different resources and capacity, three optimal monitoring networks (minimum monitoring stations to achieve the monitoring targets) were proposed to survey 1, 5 or 10% of all species distributions within each ecoregion. The optimal solution for monitoring 1% of species distributions within ecoregions was found by monitoring 1,699 stations (survey sites), or for 5% 8,486 stations and finally for 10% 17,867 stations would be needed. In conclusion, the findings presented in this thesis have important conservation implications and have the potential to inform the practical steps required towards the introduction of a bat monitoring programme in southern Africa. While this study has highlighted challenges to African bat conservation, it has also demonstrated that an integrated and multi-disciplinary approach, using emerging techniques and conservation tools (e.g. conservation planning and automated call analysis software) can be used to fill knowledge gaps and inform conservation priorities in the absence of systematically collected data.

Recent large-scale blackouts revealed that power systems around the world are far from the stability and reliability requirement as they suppose to be. The post-event analysis clarifies that one major reason of the interconnection blackout is lack of wide area information. Frequency dynamics is one of the most important parameters of an electrical power system. In order to understand power system dynamics effectively, accurately measured wide-area frequency is needed. The idea of building an Internet based real-time GPS synchronized wide area Frequency Monitoring Network (FNET) was proposed to provide the imperative dynamic information for the large-scale power grids and the implementation of FNET has made the synchronized observations of the entire US power network possible for the first time. The FNET system consists of Frequency Disturbance Recorders (FDR), which work as the sensor devices to measure the real-time frequency at 110V single-phase power outlets, and an Information Management System (IMS) to work as a central server to process the frequency data. The device comparison between FDR and commercial PMU (Phasor Measurement Unit) demonstrate the advantage of FNET. The web visualization tools make the frequency data available for the authorized users to browse through Internet. The research work addresses some preliminary observations and analyses with the field-measured frequency information from FNET. The original algorithms based on the frequency response characteristic are designed to process event detection, localization and unbalanced power estimation during frequency disturbances. The analysis of historical cases illustrate that these algorithms can be employed in real-time level to provide early alarm of abnormal frequency change to the system operator. The further application is to develop an adaptive under frequency load shedding scheme with the processed information feed in to prevent further frequency decline in power systems after disturbances causing dangerous imbalance between the load and generation. / Ph. D.

Frequency dynamics is one of the most important signals of a power system, and it is an indicator of imbalance between generation and load in the system. The Internet-based real-time GPS-synchronized wide-area Frequency Monitoring Network (FNET) was proposed to provide imperative frequency dynamics information for a variety of system-wide monitoring, analysis and control applications. The implementation of FNET has for the first time made the synchronized observation of the entire U.S. power network possible with very little cost. The FNET is comprised of many Frequency Disturbance Recorders (FDR) geographically dispersed throughout the U.S. and an Information Management System (IMS), currently located at Virginia Tech. The FDR works as a sensor, which performs local measurements and transmits calculations of frequency, voltage magnitude and voltage angle to the remote servers via the Internet. Compared with its commercial counterpart Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU), FDR provides less expensive version for networked high-resolution real-time synchronized. The improved single phase algorithm in the FDRs made it possible to measure at 110V level which is much more challenging than PMUs due to the noise involved at this level. This research work presents the challenges and issues of both software and hardware design for the novel measurement device FDR, which is one of the devices with the highest dynamic precision for power system frequency measurement. The DFT-based Phasor Angle Analysis algorithm has been improved to make sure the high-resolution measuring FDRs are installed at residential voltage outlets, instead of substation high-voltage inputs. An embedded 12-channel timing GPS receiver has been integrated to provide an accurate timing synchronization signal, UTC time stamp, and unit location. This research work also addresses the harmonics, voltage swing and other noise components' impacts on the measurement results, and the optimized design of filters and a coherent sampling scheme to reduce or eliminate those impacts. The verification test results show that the frequency measurement accuracy of the FDR is within +/-0.0005Hz, and the time synchronization error is within +/-500ns with suitable GPS antenna installation. The preliminary research results show the measurement accuracy and real-time performance of the FDR are satisfactory for a variety of FNET applications, such as disturbance identification and event location triangulation. / Ph. D.

The Frequency Disturbance Recorder (FDR) is a specialized data acquisition device designed to monitor fluctuations in the overall power system. The device is designed such that it can be attached by way of a standard wall power outlet to the power system. These devices then transmit their calculated frequency data through the public internet to a centralized data management and storage server. By distributing a number of these identical systems throughout the three major North American power systems, Virginia Tech has created a Frequency Monitoring Network (FNET). The FNET is composed of these distributed FDRs as well as an Information Management Server (IMS). Since frequency information can be used in many areas of power system analysis, operation and control, there are a great number of end uses for the information provided by the FNET system. The data provides researchers and other users with the information to make frequency analyses and comparisons for the overall power system. Prior to the end of 2004, the FNET system was made a reality, and a number of FDRs were placed strategically throughout the United States. The purpose of this thesis is to present the elements of a new generation of FDR hardware design. These elements will enable the design to be more flexible and to lower reliance on some vendor specific components. Additionally, these enhancements will offload most of the computational processing required of the system to a commodity PC rather than an embedded system solution that is costly in both development time and financial cost. These goals will be accomplished by using a Field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA), a commodity off-the-shelf personal computer, and a new overall system design. / Master of Science

Frequency monitoring network (FNET) is an Internet based GPS synchronized wide-area frequency monitoring network deployed at distribution level. At first part of this thesis, FNET structure and characteristics are introduced. After analysis and smoothing FDR signals, the algorithm of event trigger is present with Visual C++ DLL programming. Estimation of disturbance location method is discussed based on the time delay of arriving (TDOA) in the second part of this work. In this section, author shows the multiply method to calculate event time, which is important when deal with pre-disturbance frequency in TDOA part. Two event kinds are classified by the change of frequency and the linear relationship between change of frequency and imbalance of generation and load power is presented. Prove that Time Delay of Arrival (TDOA) is a good algorithm for estimation event location proved by real cases. At last, the interface of DLL module and the key word to import and export DLL variables and function is described. At last, PSS compensation optimization with a set of nonlinear differential algebraic equations (DAE) is introduced in detail. With combining the bifurcation theory of nonlinear system and the optimization theory, the optimal control of small-signal stability of power electric systems are solved. From the perspective of stability margin, global coordination of controller parameters is studied to ensure the stable operation of power grids. The main contents of this thesis include: ï¼ 1ï¼ Models of power systems and test power electric systems. Tht5e dynamic and static models of the elements of power systems, such as generatorbbs, AVRs, PSSs, loads and FACTS controllers are presented. Method of power system linearization modeling is introduced. Three test power systems, WSCC 9-bus system, 2-area system, New England 39-bus system, are used in thesis. ï¼ 2ï¼ Multi-objective optimizations based on bifurcation theory. The optimization models, damping control-Hopf bifurcation control, voltage control-damping control, are presented. Pareto combined with evolutionary strategy (ES) are used to solve multi-objective optimizations. Based on traditional PSS parameters optimizations, it can be formulated as a multi-objective problem, in which, two objectives should be taken into account. The minimum damping torque should be identified. / Master of Science

La végétation herbacée est un bon indicateur des conditions environnementales, et elle a pour cela été utilisée pour la mise en évidence des changements environnementaux causés par les actions humaines, tels qu'eutrophisation, dépôts atmosphériques acides, changements de l’usage des sols ou de la pression d'herbivorie. Depuis peu, on s’intéresse à la réponse de la végétation aux changements climatiques. Le choix des zones d'étude se porte naturellement sur la montagne, où le gradient thermique induit par le relief y est fort (-0,56°C pour 100 mètres d'altitude), et où l'urbanisation et la pression agricole sont moindres par rapport aux zones de plaine, favorisant ainsi une réponse migratoire des espèces précoce et non biaisée. Afin de s'affranchir des effets potentiels des changements d'usage du sol, une partie de cette thèse est consacrée aux milieux forestiers dans lesquels l'effet du pastoralisme est réduit. Par ailleurs, une méthode basée sur la modélisation des changements de la réponse de la végétation au gradient d'altitude est développée, permettant ainsi d'étendre l'utilisation de données anciennes à des séries de relevés non géolocalisés. En s'appuyant sur cette méthode, deux caractéristiques de la végétation ont été analysées : la position de l'optimum d'espèces prises individuellement d'une part, et les changements de la valeur indicatrice des communautés végétales d'autre part. Par ailleurs, on a étudié les déplacements à long terme de la limite inférieure des espèces, pour tester la réponse des espèces en limite inférieure de leur distribution. Enfin, on a étudié l'évolution de la flore d'une zone très localisée, protégée par une large barrière physique constituée de deux glaciers permettant de s'affranchir des effets potentiels d'autres perturbations anthropiques concomitantes. Chacun des cas étudiés montre une remontée des espèces en altitude. Cependant, d'autres phénomènes expliquant la réponse de la végétation sont clairement mis en cause : fermeture et maturation du couvert forestier, eutrophisation importante, probable fragmentation de l'habitat ou dispersion par les randonneurs. Ces perturbations anthropiques directes jouent à des échelles de temps et d'espace comparables à l'effet anthropique indirect du changement climatique. Il est donc primordial de les prendre en compte dans les changements de végétation observés, avant de conclure à un effet du réchauffement climatique seul / Herbaceous vegetation is a good bio-indicator of environmental conditions, and was often used to detect and to put in evidence environmental changes caused by anthropogenic activities, like eutrophication, acid atmospheric deposit, land-use change and herbivory pressure. More recently, the interest had focused on the response of vegetation to climatic change. Mountains were naturally chosen as study areas, since the thermal gradient induced by the relief is strong (-0.56°C for 100m a.s.l.) and urbanisation and agricultural pressure are weaker than in lowlands, thus promoting early and unbiased migratory response of species. To free oneself from potential effects of land use change, a part of this PhD is devoted to mountain forest habitat, where pastoralism effects are reduced. Moreover, a method is developed, based on the modelling of changes in vegetation response to elevation gradient, allowing extending the use of historical data to non-geolocalized dataset. With this method, two characteristics of vegetation were analysed: the optimum position of individual species on the one hand, and changes in the indicator value of plant communities on the other. Furthermore, the long-term shift of species’ lower limit is studied, to test the species response at their lower limit. The last part focuses on changes in the flora of a really localised area, protected by a broad physical barrier formed by two glaciers, allowing to free from potential effects of other parallel anthropogenic disturbances. Every studied case shows a shift of species toward higher elevations. However, other phenomena explaining vegetation response became also evident in our study: forest closure and maturation, important eutrophication, probable habitat fragmentation and dispersal by hikers. Those direct anthropogenic disturbances play a role comparable in space and time to the indirect anthropogenic impact of climate change. Thus, it is essential to consider them in the observation of vegetation changes, before assigning the effects to climate warming only

Water quality monitoring (WQM) is crucial for managing and protecting riverine ecosystems. There has been a plethora of methods to select the monitoring sites, water quality parameters (WQPs), and monitoring frequencies; however, no standard method or strategy has been accepted for the river systems. Water managers have faced difficulties in adopting appropriate WQM network design methods to their local boundary conditions, monitoring objectives, monitoring costs, and legal regulations. With the elevated cost and time consumption of monitoring, approaches to evaluate and redesign the monitoring networks based on monitoring goal achievements are crucial for water managers. Hence, the overall aim of this thesis is to develop and employ a reliable yet straightforward approach to optimise and quantify the effectiveness of the WQM network in rivers. The objectives are to (i) identify the commonly used methods and the boundary conditions to apply these methods in assessing and designing of WQM networks in rivers; (ii) optimise river WQM network design based on compliance criteria; (iii) optimise river WQM network design based on the trade-offs between information provided by the monitoring network versus the monitoring expenses. A systematic review of the commonly used design methods and their resulting monitoring setups in Chapter 2 shows that multivariate statistical analysis (MVA) is a promising tool to contract the number of monitoring sites and water quality parameters. Most of the reported studies often overlook small streams and trace pollutants such as heavy metals and organic microcontaminants in the analysis. Data availability and expertise’s judgments seem to affect the selection of design methods rather than river size and the extent of the monitoring networks. The commonly found statistical methods are applied to the case study of the Freiberger Mulde (FM) river basin in eastern Germany to optimise its current monitoring network. Chapter 3 dedicates to redesign the monitoring network for compliance monitoring purposes. In Chapter 3, 82 non-biological parameters are initially screened and analysed for their violations to the environmental quality standards. The subsequent result suggests that polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, heavy metals, and phosphorus have been the abundant stressors that caused more than 50% of the streams in the FM river basin failing to achieve good status. The proposed approach using hierarchical cluster analysis and weighted violation factor from 22 relevant WQPs allows a reduction of 42 monitoring sites from the current 158 sites. The Mann-Kendall trend test recommends an increase in monitoring frequency of the priority substances by 12 times per annual, and a decrease in the number of sampling events for metals and general physicochemical parameters by quarterly. Overall, the results suggest that the authorities of the Saxony region should develop proper management measures targeting heavy metals and organic micropollutants to be able to achieve good WQ status by 2027 at the latest. In Chapter 4, regularly monitoring parameters with less than 15% of censored data are analysed. A combination of principal component analysis and Pearson’s correlation analysis allows the identification of 14 critical parameters that are responsible for explaining 75.1% of data variability in the FM river basin. Weathering processes, historical mining, wastewater discharges, and seasonality have been the leading causes of water quality variability. Both sampling locations and periods are observed, with the resulting mineral contents vary between locations, and the organic and oxygen content differs depending on the time period that was monitored. The monitoring costs are estimated for one monitoring event and based on laboratory, transportation, and sampling costs. The results show that under the current monitoring-intense conditions, preserving monitoring variables rather than sites seems to be more economical than the opposite practice. The current study provides and employs two statistical approaches to optimise the WQM network for the FM river basin in eastern Germany. The proposed methods can be of interests to other river basins where the historical data are available, and the monitoring costs become a constraint. The presented research also raises some concerns for future research regarding the applications of statistical methods to optimise WQM networks, which are presented in Chapter 5.

Výzkum prezentovaný v této práci je zaměřen na evoluční optimalizaci vybraných komponent síťových aplikací určených pro monitorovací systémy vysokorychlostních sítí. Práce začíná studiem současných monitorovacích systémů. Jako experimentální platforma byl zvolen systém SDM (Software Defined Monitoring). Detailně bylo analyzováno zpracování síťového provozu, protože tvoří důležitou součást všech monitorovacích systémů. Jako demonstrační komponenty pro aplikaci optimálních technik navržených v této práci byly zvoleny klasifikátor aplikačních protokolů a hashovací funkce pro síťové toky. Evoluční algoritmy byly zkoumány s ohledem nejen na optimalizaci kvality zpracování dat danou síťovou komponentou, ale i na čas potřebný pro výpočet dané komponenty. Byly zkoumány jednokriteriální i vícekriteriální varianty evolučních algoritmů.     Byl navržen nový přístup ke klasifikaci aplikačních protokolů. Přesná i aproximativní verze klasifikátoru byla optimalizována pomocí CGP (Kartézské Genetické Programování). Bylo dosaženo výrazné redukce zdrojů a zpoždění v FPGA (Programovatelné Logické Pole) oproti neoptimalizované verzi. Speciální síťové hashovací funkce byly navrženy pomocí paralelní verze LGP (Lineární Genetické Programování). Tyto hashovací funkce vykazují lepší funkcionalitu oproti moderním hashovacím funkcím. S využitím vícekriteriální optimalizace byly vylepšeny výsledky původní jednokriteriální verze LGP. Paralelní zřetězené verze hashovacích funkcí byly implementovány v FPGA a vyhodnoceny za účelem hashování síťových toků. Nová rekonfigurovatelná hashovací funkce byla navržena jako kombinace vybraných hashovacích funkcí.  Velmi konkurenceschopná obecná hashovací funkce byla rovněž navržena pomocí multikriteriální verze LGP a její funkčnosti byla ověřena na reálných datových sadách v provedených studiích. Vícekriteriální přístup produkuje mírně lepší řešení než jednokriteriální LGP. Také se potvrdilo, že obecné implementace LGP a CGP jsou použitelné pro automatizovaný návrh a optimalizaci vybraných síťových komponent. Je však důležité zvládnout vícekriteriální povahu problému a urychlit časově kritické operace GP

Progressive download video services, such as YouTube, are responsible for a major part of the transmitted data volume in the Internet and it is expected, that they also will strongly affect mobile networks. Streaming video quality mainly depends on the sustainable throughput achieved during transmission. In order to achieve an acceptable video quality in mobile networks (with limited capacity resources), traffic engineering mechanisms have to be applied. For that, the streaming video quality needs to be measured and monitored permanently. Therefore, the video timestamps which are encoded within the payload of the TCP segments have to be extracted. For that it is necessary to decode the video within the transported payload. Algorithms for decoding Flash Video, MP4 and WebM Video have already been implemented as a demonstration implementation in support of the network based measurement contribution to SG12 by Chemnitz University for TCP encoded progressive download Internet services. In the demonstration, the derived play out buffering from the monitored traffic is being output internally. A second application is then used to graphically display the estimation result. The measurement and estimation is solely done within a measurement point of an operator network without access to the client’s end device.

The aim of this master's thesis is to design a language through which it would be possible to monitor a stream of network flows in order to detect network policy violations in the local network. An analysis of the languages used in the data stream management systems and an analysis of tasks submitted by the potential administrator were both carried out. The analysis specified resulted in the language design which represents pipelining consisting of filtering and aggregation. These operations can be clearly defined and managed within security rules. The result of this thesis also results in the Policer modul being integrated in the NEMEA system, which is able to apply the main commands of the proposed language. Finally, the module meets the requirements of the specified tasks and may be used for further development in the area of monitoring network policies.