Since the 1970s voting behaviour has changed. Party identification and class voting has declined. As the electorate becomes more volatile, campaign strategy and party image becomes essential. Political communication and mass media now play an important role in election campaigns. Therefore, researchers take an interest in the impact of media on public opinion. The agenda-setting theory maintains that media influence what voters think about and that there is a link between media coverage and voting intentions. This minor thesis focuses on the early election campaign prior to the French presidential election in 2007. For the first time, the socialist party organised a primary election in order to nominate their candidate. The aim is to study if media has an impact on public opinion in election campaigns. To reach the aim, I posed the two following research questions: Did the primary election of the socialist party result in higher media coverage of the party than of other political parties? If the media favoured the socialist party during this time, did this have an impact on the voting intentions for the socialist candidate Ségolène Royal?  In order to reach the aim and answer the questions, I performed a quantitative study. I measured the media coverage of the different political parties in the newspapers during the socialist primary campaign, to find out if the socialist party was favoured by the media. The primary source of information was the two French newspapers Le Monde and Le Figaro, complemented by opinion polls performed by the institute Ipsos. The results show that the socialist party was privileged by the press coverage prior to the presidential election. The newspapers wrote more and longer articles about the socialist party than of any other political party at the time of this study. At the same time, voting intentions for Ségolène Royal increased. The media exposure seems to have had a short effect on the public opinion in favour of the socialist candidate. By the results of this study, I conclude that the socialist party was able to influence the agenda-setting in the media by organizing primary elections. I find support for the hypothesis that media coverage during an election campaign has an effect on public opinion.

The thesis deals with activities of Czech parliamentary parties during EU-affairs discussion in the Chamber of Deputies, Parliament of the Czech Republic. The main focus is on three characteristic features of political parties during their activities on the parliamentary level: stability (rhetorical, voting, and programmatic), use of parliamentary oversight tools, and fulfilling their systemic function. The parties are seen through the prism of behavioural approach. EU-affairs are a rather new topic with a variable salience for national parties. EU-affairs influence party competition in extra-parliamentary arena. Conflict, however non-salient topics in parliamentary arena are ousted by governmental parties in order for them to keep governmental stability. The parties do not act according to their party manifestoes (low level of Europeanization); instead, their voting behaviour indicates that the parties follow logic of parliamentary competition between government and opposition. Parliamentarization of EU governance (engagement of national parliaments in broader institutional setting of the EU) leads to spreading of party competition on the national level to a new policy area. Political parties use tools of parliamentary scrutiny in a rather limited extent and according to their actual position within the system. The thesis also deals with party nomination and composition of the Committee on European affairs which holds oversight powers. The empirical analysis is based on the analysis of voting behaviour of parliamentary party groups (roll-call data), stenographic records, Committee and plenary session resolutions and quantitative analysis of composition of the Committee.

​Does political information lower the incidence of ethnic voting in Africa? Even though a significant amount of research has been dedicated to African ethnic voting behaviour,​not much capacity has been dedicated to studying the function of ethnic cues as informational shortcuts. Considering voters use cognitive shortcuts like party affiliations or ideology when making decisions, it is also plausible that voters in elections characterized by ethnic voting use demographic cues in lieu of more comprehensive information. The aim of this thesis was therefore to contribute to the existing research on how informational context affects ethnicity as a determinant for voting behaviour, testing a theory developed by Conroy-Krutz suggesting more political information reduces the incidence of ethnic voting. Using Afrobarometer survey data from 2016-2018, regression analysis was conducted measuring the effects of access to and consumption of political information on ethnic voting in Kenya. The results are ambiguous and do not lend support to the theory in its current form, but instead suggests that what kind of political information and how it is perceived might affect the relationship with ethnic voting. Another possibility is that the content of the political information, bringing about factors like media coverage and press freedom, should be accounted into the model. More research is needed to dismiss or develop the theory, and so this thesis opens up for more research to be made concerning our understanding on the effects of political information on ethnic voting behavior.

Ich habe in meiner Dissertation die Frage gestellt, ob Euroskeptizismus in Folge der Staats-schulden- und Finanzkrise in Europa zugenommen hat. Weiterhin habe ich gefragt, ob Euros-keptizismus als Antwort auf die Krisenpolitik der EU verstanden werden kann oder ob es sich um ein persistentes Phänomen handelt. Ich habe argumentiert, dass die Krise als externes Schockereignis, die Menschen wirtschaftlich verunsichert hat. Insbesondere in den Staaten, die aufgrund der Krise beispielsweise Pensionen kürzen mussten oder in denen die Arbeitslosigkeit anstieg. Aber auch in den Ländern, die nicht direkt von der Krise betroffen waren, da zumin-dest zeitweise die Gefahr eines Spillover bestand. Neben dieser wirtschaftlichen Verunsiche-rung habe ich argumentiert, dass die Krise den Europäern in bisher einmaliger Weise die Inter-dependenzen zwischen den Staaten aufgezeigt hat. Denn die Krise konnte von den Staaten, in denen sie die stärksten Auswirkungen hatte weder alleine gelöst werden, noch konnten sich die übrigen Mitgliedsländer aus der Verantwortung ziehen, indem sie sich nicht z. B. finanziell soli-darisch zeigten. Als Reaktion auf die Krisenpolitik, die in den Medien oft als undemokratisch dargestellt wurde, können Menschen mit Kritik an der EU reagieren und eine Kursänderung der europäischen Politik, sowie die Beschränkung des Einflusses der EU auf den Nationalstaat, fordern. Ein niederschwelliger und rationaler Weg dies zu tun, ist über die Wahl einer euroskep-tischen Partei bei einer nationalen Wahl. Zusammenfassend komme ich zu folgenden Ergebnissen: Euroskeptizismus hat in der Folge der Staatsschulden- und Finanzkrise in Europa zu-genommen, kann allerdings nicht als Antwort auf die Krisenpolitik der EU verstanden werden, zumindest nicht in den von der Krise betroffenen Staaten, sondern vielmehr in den Geberlän-dern. Das spricht dafür, dass die Krisenpolitik in den betroffenen Staaten, trotz der rigiden Sparauflagen, nicht als politisch übergriffig eingeschätzt wurde, sondern, dass das Gefühl vom solidarischen Europa profitiert zu haben überwiegt. Gleichzeitig können die Ergebnisse ein Hinweis auf eine negative Berichterstattung zu Lasten der Nehmerländer in den Geberländern sein, in denen als Reaktion euroskeptisches Wahlverhalten ansteigt. Die Trendanalyse zeigte allerdings auch, dass Euroskeptizismus kein neues Phänomen ist, sondern, dass die Anteile eu-roskeptischer Wähler im gesamten Beobachtungszeitraum, das bedeutet seit 2002, relativ hoch sind. Es schließt sich deswegen die Frage an, ob Euroskeptizismus in den Nach-Krisen-Jahren eine andere Qualität hat, als davor. Eine Frage, die mit dieser Untersuchung nicht geklärt wer-den konnte. Durch die Fallstudienartige Analyse der Länder nach Beitrittszeitpunkt konnte ich jedoch Variationen in den Ursachen finden und diese auf die jeweiligen Parteienlandschaften beziehen. So begünstigen große nicht euroskeptische Volksparteien möglicherweise die Bildung von kleinen euroskeptischen Parteien. Insbesondere in Ländern, die eine hohe Anzahl Regio-nalparteien haben, adaptieren diese europakritische Themen um Wähler für sich zu gewinnen. Dieses Ergebnis lässt zwei Lesarten zu: Entweder besetzen die kleinen Parteien das Thema aus strategischen Gründen, als Antipol zu den Großparteien oder Euroskeptizismus ist für die grö-ßeren Parteien (noch) nicht salonfähig. Auch hier müssen zukünftige Untersuchungen weitere Erkenntnisse bringen.

Voter decision-making about which political party to support in the elections is a very complex process. One of the key factors influencing our voting behaviour is the effect of particular candidates in terms of their local activities. Many Czech and also foreign studies show that candidates gain significantly higher preferences in the municipality of their residence and its surroundings. Within the analyzed parliamentary elections, this is reflected not only by the territorial concentration of preferential votes, but also by higher local electoral support of the political parties or movements represented by these candidates. This diploma thesis examines, among other things, differences in the strength of the described effect (technically called the friends and neighbours effect) between candidates from different political parties and in different regions of Czechia. Quantitative research has shown greater local strength and spatial extent of friends and neighbours effect for leading candidates from non-metropolitan areas who have experiences from local or regional politics, such as mayors or regional councilors. In the 2017 parliamentary elections, the friends and neighbours effect mostly influenced the spatial patterns of electoral support of the KDU-ČSL and the STAN movement and on the other...

The thesis deals with elderly people as voters and their attitudes towards slogans about social security. It examines electoral behaviour and preferences of elderly people and the influence od age on their voting decisions. Part of the thesis is devoted to the slogans od political parties, which are an important part of the campaigns and provides an comparison of election programes of parties in context of social security. The aim of the empirical work was to ascertain the views and attitudes of elderly people to particular slogans about social securities used in election campaign to the Chamber of Deputies in 2010.

The objective of the Ph.D. thesis "Analysis of the Elections and Electoral Behaviour to the Senate of the Parliament of the Czech Republic" is an analysis of Senate elections on a micro- level of districts in regular terms from 1996 to 2012, including by-elections. Data file comprises a total of 2153 candidates and their election results at the municipal level aggregated to five defined categories by number of registered voters. Analysis is mainly focused on the differences in electoral support for candidates in municipalities up to 999 voters, in municipalities between 1000 and 4999 voters, in municipalities between 5000 to 9999 voters, in municipalities over 10 000 voters and finally in districts covering territory of the four largest cities in the Czech Republic (the Capital City of Prague and cities Brno, Ostrava and Pilsen). In the theoretical part, the Ph.D. thesis presents the Senat as the second house of Parliament of the Czech Republic and deals with the majority run-off system. A quantitative research of Senate elections is performed in the analytical part, where electoral success of candidates conditioned by their political parties, socio-economic and political circumstances in districts and individual profile of candidates is examined. The analysis describes differences among...

This PhD thesis explores the question how citizens react when they are confronted with complex institutional questions related to politics. Specifically, we look at how citizens vote when they are asked for their opinion in a referendum on amending the electoral system of their country. Traditionally, electoral systems have been considered the political playing ground of political elites. It is hence interesting to see what happens when the ‘power of decision’ shifts to citizens, who are supposed to have little interest in, or knowledge about, electoral systems. We observe that citizens partially mimic political elites in their behaviour, by following partisan considerations: citizens judge electoral reforms on the consequences for their favoured parties. Moreover, citizens tend to incorporate values when judging electoral reforms: a particular effect is caused by the left-right-distinction, with left-wing voters being more attracted towards more proportional systems. Finally, we observe that how citizens react to electoral systems is affected by their baseline knowledge on politics. More knowledgeable citizens tend to judge more on substantial grounds, while less knowledgeable citizens rather tend to judge on miscellaneous grounds. We conclude by arguing that citizens can and do form substantial opinions on complex subjects like institutional reforms, but that some baseline knowledge is nonetheless required in order to substantially participate in the democratic decision-making process. / Doctorat en Sciences politiques et sociales / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished

Eine umfangreiche Literatur zu Framing-Effekten legt nahe, dass Bürger nur über begrenzte politische Präferenzen verfügen. Wenn die öffentliche Meinung so offen für Einflussnahme ist, stellt sie ein wackliges Fundament für den demokratischen Prozess dar. Diese Dissertation stellt daher die Frage, wie sich vorherige experimentelle Erkenntnisse auf komplexe, reale Situationen übertragen lassen und ob Framing auch Wahlabsichten beeinflussen kann. Sie entwickelt eine Methode zur automatischen Identifizierung von Nachrichtenframes. Die Dissertation präsentiert Original- und Sekundärdaten und untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen Nachrichten-Framing, Migrationseinstellungen und Wahlabsichten. Sie bietet einen Überblick über die Darstellung der Einwanderung in den deutschen Nachrichtenmedien und zeigt, dass weder die Aufmerksamkeit noch das Framing von Migration den Aufstieg der rechtsradikalen AfD erklären können. Anschließend nutzt sie eine Änderung in der Migrationsberichterstattung Deutschlands größter Boulevardzeitung, Bild, und zeigt begrenzte Auswirkungen auf politische Einstellungen und Wahlabsichten ihrer Leser auf. Das letzte empirische Kapitel präsentiert experimentelle Daten, die aufzeigen, dass Framing lediglich die Wahlabsichten eher uninformierter Bürger beeinflusst. Die Ergebnisse tragen zum besseren Verständnis von Framing-Effekten bei und legen nahe, dass Einstellungen von Bürgern nicht so leicht manipuliert werden können und die Macht der Nachrichtenmedien begrenzter ist als oft angenommen. Stattdessen finden Framing-Effekte unter sehr spezifischen Bedingungen statt, die häufig nicht erfüllt sind. Das sich abzeichnende Bild der öffentlichen Meinung zeichnet sich durch kristallisierte Einstellungen aus, die ausschliesslich auf neuartige Ereignisse reagieren. Aus dieser Sicht ist Politik ein Muster aufeinander folgender kritischer Ereignisse, von denen jedes eine einzigartige Gelegenheit bietet, das vorherrschende Verständnis eines Themas zu ändern. / A large experimental literature on framing effects suggests that citizens form rather limited political preferences, open to severe manipulation. If citizens’ attitudes were always so easily malleable for media outlets and political actors, it would not constitute a very meaningful input for the democratic process. This dissertation asks how these experimental findings translate into complex, realworld news environments and whether news frames structure citizens’ voting intentions. It provides a clear conceptualization of frames, on which it builds a method to identify news frames automatically, and theorises a link between news frames and voting intentions. The dissertation presents original and secondary data, exploring the relationship of news framing, immigration attitudes, and voting intentions. Providing a broad overview of immigration framing in the German news media, it shows that neither immigration attention nor framing can explain the rise of the radical-right AfD. It then exploits a change in the immigration framing of Germany’s largest tabloid, Bild, showing that this shift had no effects on immigration attitudes or voting intentions among its readers. The final empirical chapter presents experimental evidence revealing that framing only affects voting intentions among rather uninformed citizens. The findings contribute to the study of framing and public opinion, suggesting that citizens’ attitudes are not as easily manipulated and the power of the news media more limited than often thought. Instead, framing effects take place under highly specific conditions, which are often not fulfilled. The emerging picture of public opinion is one of crystallized and resistant attitudes, which only respond to novel events. In other words: whoever gets to the voter first, wins. Politics, in this view, is a pattern of critical events following upon each other, each presenting a unique opportunity to change the dominant understanding of an issue.

Cette thèse s'intéresse au lien qui existe entre le système électoral et deux comportements importants de la vie civique, soit la participation à une élection et la désertion stratégique du candidat préféré vers un autre candidat. Ces thèmes sont abordés dans de nombreux et de très importants ouvrages en science politique. En passant par la théorie (Downs, 1957) jusqu'à des études de terrain par l'entremise de sondages (Abramson, 2010; Blais, 2010), diverses méthodologies ont été employées pour mieux expliquer les choix des électeurs. Ma contribution à l'avancement des connaissances dans ce domaine passe par l'usage de la méthode expérimentale pour mieux saisir les similitudes et différences dans les comportements des électeurs sous le système uninominal à un tour (UT) et la représentation proportionnelle (RP) ainsi que les mécanismes au niveau individuel qui produisent ces similitudes et différences. Le cœur de la thèse est composé des trois articles dont voici les résumés : Article 1. Des élections expérimentales faites à Montréal, Paris et Bruxelles permettent d'estimer l’influence directe du mode de scrutin sur la décision des électeurs de voter ou non, et de voter pour leur parti préféré ou non. En tout, 16 groupes de 21 électeurs votent sous différents systèmes électoraux, soit le UT et la RP. Les préférences sont attribuées aléatoirement et connues de tous les participants. Nos résultats indiquent que le vote n'est pas globalement plus sincère et que la participation électorale n'est pas plus élevée sous le système proportionnel. Toutefois, nous observons moins de désertion d'un petit parti sous le système proportionnel. Article 2. Les expériences permettent également d'expliquer pourquoi les électeurs votent parfois pour un parti autre que leur parti préféré. La conclusion principale est que la décision de voter de façon sincère ou non est influencée par les préférences individuelles, mais aussi par les perceptions des chances de gagner des candidats ainsi que des chances que son propre vote puisse décider le résultat de l'élection. Les électeurs qui désertent leur premier choix prennent en considération quel candidat est le plus près de leurs positions politiques, mais également de la viabilité de cette alternative. De plus, les électeurs qui aiment prendre des risques ont davantage tendance à déserter. Article 3. Le modèle de l'électeur pivot est mis à l'épreuve pour mieux comprendre la décision de voter ou non lors d'une élection. Nos expériences permettent de répliquer, avec un devis expérimental différent, les résultats importants des travaux de Duffy et Tavits (2008). Nos résultats confirment que la perception d'être pivot augmente la participation, que ces perceptions sont sujettes à la surestimation et que cette surestimation ne décline pas complètement dans le temps. Nous allons également plus loin que les recherches de Duffy et Tavits et nous trouvons que la participation n'est pas plus forte sous RP que sous UT et que la probabilité d'être pivot a un impact plus important chez les électeurs évitant de prendre des risques. / This thesis focuses on the relationship between the electoral system and two important behaviors of civic life: participation in an election and the strategic desertion of the preferred candidate. These topics are addressed in very important books in political science. From theory (Duverger, 1954; Downs, 1957) to empirical research using surveys (Abramson, 2010; Blais, 2010), various methodologies have been used to better explain voter's choices. My contribution to knowledge is the use of experimental methods to better understand both similarities and differences in voter behavior under the plurality system (PLU) and the proportional representation (PR) system and the individual level mechanisms that produce these similarities and differences. The core of the thesis consists of three articles summarized below: Article 1. Experimental elections conducted in Montreal, Paris and Brussels estimate the direct influence of the voting system on the voters' decision whether to vote or not, and vote for their preferred party or another party. In all, 16 groups of 21 voters take part in elections under different electoral systems. The systems are simple plurality and proportional representation. Preferences are randomly assigned and known by all participants. Our results indicate that voting is globally not more sincere and that voter turnout is not higher under the proportional system. However, we observe less desertion of small parties under the proportional system. Article 2. We perform a laboratory experiment to explain why voters sometimes vote for a party other than the preferred one. The main conclusion of the paper is that in addition to voter preferences, perceptions of winning chances and belief in the possibility of affecting the outcome are key factors in the voter’s decision to vote sincerely or not. When they desert their first choice, voters consider their preferences and the viability of the alternatives. Voters who like to take risks are more prone to desert. Article 3. This paper examines the decision to vote or not in experimental elections. We replicate the important findings of Duffy and Tavits (2008) with a different design. Our results support their finding, that is, turnout is affected by the belief that one's vote counts and overestimation of the probability that one's vote counts does not decrease completely over time. Going beyond previous research, we also find that turnout is not higher under a proportional system than under a plurality system, and beliefs about being in a pivotal disposition have a greater impact on turnout among the risk averse.