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From Science to Policy : Improving environmental risk assessment andmanagement of chemicalsÅgerstrand, Marlene January 2012 (has links)
A complex process like risk assessment and the subsequent risk management decision makingshould be regularly evaluated, in order to assess the need to improve its workings. In this thesisthree related matters are addressed: evaluation of environmental risk management strategies,evaluation of environmental risk assessments, and how ecotoxicity data from the open scientificliterature can be used in a systematic way in regulatory risk assessments. It has resulted in thefollowing: a publically available database with ecotoxicity data for pharmaceuticals (Paper I); anevaluation and review of the Swedish Environmental Classification and Information System forpharmaceuticals (Papers II and III); a comparison of current reliability evaluation methods and areliability evaluation of ecotoxicity data (Paper IV); and an improved reliability and relevancereporting and evaluation scheme (Paper V).There are three overall conclusions from this thesis:(1) Ecotoxicity data from the open scientific literature is not used to the extent it could be inregulatory risk assessment of chemicals. Major reasons for this are that regulators prefer standarddata and that research studies in the open scientific literature can be reported in a way that affectstheir reliability and the user-friendliness. To enable the use of available data more efficiently actionsmust be taken by researchers, editors, and regulators. A more structured reliability and relevanceevaluation is needed to reach the goal of transparent, robust and predictable risk assessments.(2) A risk assessment is the result of the selected data and the selected methods used in theprocess. Therefore a transparent procedure, with clear justifications of choices made, is necessaryto enable external review. The risk assessments conducted within the Swedish EnvironmentalClassification and Information System for pharmaceuticals vary in their transparency and choice ofmethod. This could come to affect the credibility of the system since risk assessments are notalways consistent and guidelines are not always followed.(3) The Swedish Environmental Classification and Information System for pharmaceuticalscontribute, in its current form, to data availability and transparency but not to risk reduction. Thesystem has contributed to the general discussion about pharmaceuticals’ effect on the environmentand made data publicly available. However, to be an effective risk reduction tool this is not sufficient. / <p>QC 20121119</p> / MistraPharma / Formas - Evaluation of the Swedish Environmental Classification and Information System for Pharmaceutcals.
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Jämförelse av platsspecifika föroreningsrisker i samband med muddringsaktiviteter / Comparison of site-specific risks associated with handling contaminated dredged materialDenninger, Malin January 2009 (has links)
Stora volymer förorenade sediment kommer att behöva tas om hand under de kommande åren då bottensediment i svenska farleder, hamn- och kustområden under lång tid har konta–minerats av både tungmetaller och organiska föroreningar. I examensarbetet studeras fyra möjligheter för hantering av förorenade muddermassor. De tre traditionella metoderna är tippning till havs, utfyllnad i vik eller deponering på land. Stabilisering/solidifiering (s/s) är ytterligare ett alternativ som innebär att muddermassorna kan nyttiggöras i geokonstruktioner genom att massornas hållfasthet ökas. Metoden går ut på att muddermassorna blandas med bindemedel och de eventuella föroreningarna binds då in i matrisen genom kemisk reaktion och fysikalisk inneslutning. Syftet med examensarbetet är att, utifrån ett platsspecifikt perspektiv, undersöka hur föroreningsrisker kan jämföras mellan de fyra olika huvud–alternativen för hantering av muddermassor. Jämförelsen är tänkt att utgöra en del av ett beslutsunderlag som ska ligga till grund för valet av hanteringsalternativ. Arbetet har fokuserat på miljöriskanalys och främst på hur risker kan kategoriseras, värderas och jämföras. Metoden inkluderar en litteraturstudie, en undersökning av tillstånds–ansökningar för hamnutbyggnad, en fallstudie där användning av LCA-metodik, ”ekotoxicitetspotential” och Naturvårdsverkets riktvärdesmodell testats för att jämföra föroreningsrisker mellan olika hanteringsalternativ i Oxelösunds hamn. Avslutningsvis genomfördes en serie intervjuer kring temat karaktärisering och jämförelser av risk i en s.k. Stakeholder Opinion Assessment (SOA). I studien av tillståndsansökningarna för hamnutbyggnad konstaterades att jämförelser av platsspecifika föroreningsrisker mellan olika hanteringsalternativ för förorenade mudder–massor inte görs. Istället är det andra aspekter, t.ex. ekonomi, som avgör vilket alternativ som väljs. Varken ekotoxicitetspotential eller Naturvårdsverkets riktvärdesmodell visade sig vara lämpliga metoder för att beskriva och jämföra risker i det aktuella fallet. Av intervjuerna i SOA:n framgår att det råder delade meningar om hur risker ska beskrivas och på vilket sätt de kan jämföras och det finns ett stort behov av att utveckla nya sätt att beskriva och jämföra föroreningsrisker mellan olika alternativ och olika platser. Arbetet har visat att det finns ett behov av att utveckla miljöriskanalysens avslutande steg, riskkaraktärisering och riskvärdering, eftersom det idag inte finns några konkreta metoder för att jämföra föroreningsrisker mellan olika hanteringsalternativ för förorenade muddermassor. För att förbättra beslutsunderlag föreslås därför en tydligare problemformulering och att övergripande platsspecifika scenarion för de olika alternativen tas fram. Viktigt aspekter att tydliggöra är skyddsobjekt, tidsskala, spridning och exponering. Jämförelsen av platsspecifika föroreningsrisker får inte heller bli allt för detaljerad, eftersom den bara är en del av ett större beslutsunderlag. / Large amounts of contaminated sediment has to be taken care of within the next few years since the sediment in Swedish sea lanes, ports and coastal areas have been contaminated by both heavy metals and organic pollutants over a long time period. Four options for handling contaminated dredged material were studied within this master thesis project. The three traditional methods are dumping the dredged material at sea, filling a bay with dredged material or putting the dredged material on a land disposal. Stabilization/solidification (s/s) is another option, where the contaminated dredged sediments are mixed with a binder that gives them greater strength, while immobilizing contaminants through chemical reactions or physical confinement in the structure. The aim of this thesis is to examine how risks of contamination can be compared between the four main options for management of dredged materials, in a site-specific perspective. The main tool in the project has been environmental risk assessment with special focus on how risks can be categorized, measured and compared. The study includes a literature review, an examination of permit applications for port development, a case study where the LCA methodology, "potential eco-toxicity" and the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency's guideline value model was tested in order to compare the risks of contamination from the various management options in the port of Oxelösund. Finally a Stakeholder Opinion Assessment (SOA), by the theme risk characterization and risk comparison, was made. The study of permit applications for port expansion has shown that the site-specific risks of contamination are not considered when choosing between management options of dredged materials. Instead other aspects, such as economy, determine the option chosen. Neither potential of eco-toxicity or the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency's guideline value model proved to be appropriate methods in order to describe and compare the risks associates with this case. The interviews in the SOA show that people disagree on how risks should be described and compared. There is a demand for new methods of describing and comparing risks associated with different management options for dredged materials at different sites. This work has shown that well-known methods on how to compare risks of contamination between the different management options for contaminated dredged materials do not exist. There is also a need of developing the latter steps in the environmental risk assessment. To develop a better decision basis, a more explicit definition of the problem is proposed. It is particularly important to make site-specific descriptions of the various systems to be compared. The comparison of the site-specific risks of contamination should not be too detailed, since it is part of a larger decision support. / Stabcon
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A study into the effects and environmental risk of antibiotics used in freshwater aquaculture on environmental bacteriaTello Gildemeister, Alfredo January 2012 (has links)
Aquaculture is the fastest growing food industry in the world and it accounts for roughly half of the world's fish supply. The majority of global aquaculture production occurs in freshwater systems that are increasingly subject to multiple uses by different stakeholders. Given the overall scarcity of freshwater on a global scale, freshwater aquaculture will face increasing environmental constraints that will demand an ever better understanding of its potential impacts on the aquatic environment and human health. This thesis consists of a series of studies that, collectively, contribute to further our understanding on the effects of freshwater aquaculture effluents on aquatic ecosystems, on the effects and environmental safety of antibiotics used in freshwater aquaculture on aquatic bacterial communities and on the link between antibiotic pollution and antibiotic resistance. Chapter 2 reviews the effects of freshwater aquaculture effluents on stream ecosystems using land-based salmonid farms as a case study. In this chapter I discuss relevant considerations related to the temporal and spatial scales of effluent discharge and ecological effects that highlight the need to characterize the patterns of stressor discharge when assessing environmental impacts and designing ecological effects studies. I also discuss the potential role of multiple stressors - with an emphasis on veterinary medicines - in disrupting ecosystem structure and function. Overall, the critical analysis presented in this chapter indicates that further research on the effects of veterinary medicines using relevant exposure scenarios would significantly contribute to our understanding of their impact in relation to other effluent stressors. Chapter 3 is a general methods chapter that describes the stream microcosm system used to assess the effects of erythromycin thiocyanate (ERT) and florfenicol (FFC) on bacterial communities of stream biofilms. This chapter presents the results of preliminary experiments whose results provided relevant information on the overall operation of the microcosms and on the variability of major physical and biological variables. This information guided the experimental designs used to assess the effects of FFC and ERT on the bacterial community structure of stream biofilms. Chapter 4 presents the results of the experiment conducted to assess the effects of FFC on the bacterial community structure of developing biofilms. The objective was to assess changes in bacterial community structure along a gradient of FFC concentrations that could provide insight into the type and magnitude of effects that could be expected from episodic exposure of stream biofilms to FFC in headwater streams. At 10 and 20 days of biofilm development, bacterial community structure differentiated in a pattern consistent with the FFC concentration gradient and there was a positive relationship between bacterial richness and bacterial diversity with FFC concentration. At 15 days of biofilm development there was also a positive relationship between FFC concentration and the surface coverage of bacteria and extracellular polymeric substances. These trends declined as the biofilm developed a more complex architecture, in terms of thickness and in the surface coverage of algae. The results are consistent with an initial stimulatory effect of FFC on biofilm formation that triggered changes in bacterial community structure that were gradually compressed as the development of a complex biofilm architecture increased the relative importance of autogenic ecological processes. The results suggest that the co-occurrence of FFC with bacterial pathogens in effluents and wastewaters may favour their persistence in the environment by enhancing biofilm formation. Chapter 5 presents the results of the experiment conducted to assess the effects of ERT on the bacterial community structure of developing biofilms. Currently, Aquamycin® 100 - a Type A medicated article (i.e., Premix) containing 100 g ERT lb-1 and used to produce a Type C medicated feed - is a candidate drug for approval by the US FDA to control mortality associated with bacterial kidney disease in freshwater salmonids. The objective of this experiment was to assess the effects of ERT on the bacterial community structure of stream biofilms using an exposure period consistent with the 28-day treatment regime suggested for Aquamycin® 100. The results provide no evidence to suggest that a 30-day exposure to ERT concentrations in the range of 10 μg L-1 (i.e., 7.3 ± 3.9 μg L-1) would lead to changes in the bacterial community structure or overall bacterial abundance of stream biofilms, while they suggest that these effects may occur at concentrations in the range of 100 μg L-1 (i.e., 87.2 ± 31.1 μg L-1). Chapter 6 attempts to determine whether environmental concentrations of antibiotics and concentrations representing action limits used in environmental risk assessment may exert a selective pressure on clinically relevant bacteria in the environment. In this chapter I use bacterial inhibition as an assessment endpoint to link antibiotic selective pressures to the prevalence of resistance in bacterial populations. Species sensitivity distributions were derived for three antibiotics by fitting log-logistic models to endpoints calculated from minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) distributions based on worldwide data collated by the European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing (EUCAST). Bacteria represented in these distributions were placed in a broader context by performing a brief phylogenetic analysis. The potentially affected fraction of bacterial genera at measured environmental concentrations of antibiotics and environmental risk assessment action limits was used as a proxy for antibiotic selective pressure. Measured environmental concentrations and environmental risk assessment action limits were also directly compared to wild-type cut-off values. Results suggest that measured environmental concentrations of antibiotics and concentrations representing environmental risk assessment action limits are high enough to exert a selective pressure on clinically relevant bacteria that may lead to an increase in the prevalence of resistance. Chapter 7 presents the results of an exploratory analysis conducted to assess the abundance of class 1 integrons in stream biofilms exposed to FFC and ERT. There was no pattern in the abundance of intI1 genes consistent with the treatment of FFC and ERT, suggesting either the absence of gene cassettes involved in dealing with selective pressures caused by these antibiotics or that the concentrations tested were below those required to give them a selective advantage. Chapter 8 is a brief general discussion that brings together the findings of the thesis and makes suggestions for future research. Key areas identified for future research include assessing in further detail the stimulatory effect of FFC on biofilm formation in complex bacterial communities, the interactive effects of multiple aquaculture effluent stressors on aquatic bacterial communities and their potential effects on the development of antibiotic resistance, the fate of FFC and ERT in stream ecosystems, and further developing the analysis based on MIC distributions presented in chapter 6 to assess the potential effects of antibiotic pollution on the selection of multi-drug resistance in the environment.
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Business at risk : four studies on operational risk managementKallenberg, Kristian January 2008 (has links)
For business organizations the concept of risk has always been important. Lately, this importance has been enhanced due to a number of corporate and societal circumstances. New and previously unconsidered risks are gaining increased significance in the overall risk management of many companies. This doctoral thesis takes a wide approach and examines factors relating to the evolving area of operational risk management. It focuses on risks that concern firms’ operations rather than merely financial risk exposures. The thesis consists of four empirical studies that address diverse but interrelated aspects of operational risk in Swedish industry settings. Building on four sets of independent data collections, they apply both quantitative and qualitative methods. The thesis reports results of operational risk management regarding organizational aspects, perceived challenges, the regulative environment, current societal and business trends, and various stakeholders. Issues like trust, risk perception, risk communication, corporate value, reputation, and brand value are also discussed. On the whole, the empirical findings indicate that a new risk paradigm has emerged. As society has boosted the management of various risks as a corporate responsibility, the costs of failing to manage such risks have increased substantially. / Diss. Stockholm : Handelshögskolan, 2009 Sammanfattning jämte 4 uppsatser
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Wachstumspotentiale erneuerbarer Energien und ihre Implikationen für Klimaschutz, Versorgungssicherheit und Wettbewerbsfähigkeit /Herholz, Ute. January 2006 (has links) (PDF)
Univ., Diss.--Hamburg, 2005. / Zsfassung in dt. Sprache.
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A Multi-Stakeholder Approach to Risk Management, Corporate Sustainability Communication, and Risk Perception: The Case of Tullow Oil in GhanaOfori-Parku, Sylvester 18 August 2015 (has links)
In the West African country Ghana, which has a history of poor natural resource management, discovery of offshore petroleum resources in 2007 and subsequent commercial production in 2010 (with British multinational Tullow Oil as lead operator) is a potential source of potential wealth and inequality. Using the Cultural Theory of Risk, Social Amplification of Risk Framework, and the Corporate Sustainability Framework — a proposed model—as theoretical foundations, this dissertation examines corporate sustainability practices, communication, and their implications for local residents’ risk perceptions, corporate reputation, and risk management. The study also assesses how cultural worldviews and informational networks (e.g., an environmental group, opinion leaders, and media) amplify or attenuate residents’ risks perceptions.
Data were collected via interviews with key actors including a non-governmental organization (NGO), a survey of a representative sample of Half Assini residents in one of the six coastal districts that adjoin Ghana’s offshore petroleum region, and analyses of Tullow’s corporate social responsibility (CSR) reports and other communication texts. Extant worldview and corporate reputation measures were also developed/adapted and tested.
The study finds support for the view that cultural worldview and affect are associated with public risk perceptions. Thus, individuals who (a) do not subscribe to the worldview that government ought to regulate corporate behaviors, (b) show a relatively high sense of attachment to their communities, (c) rate the images associated with Ghana’s offshore oil production favorably, and (d) rate the images associated with Tullow Oil positively are more likely to be worried that Ghana’s offshore oil production poses significant risks for the country and their local communities. Regarding corporate sustainability communication, the study observes that Tullow uses a predominantly technical, expert-driven approach, which seeks to discursively position it as an aspirational, engaged, and responsible organization. While critiquing Tullow’s corporate sustainability and communication approach, the research also argues that corporate sustainability (CSR and risk) communication has the potential to constitute desirable corporate practices and could ultimately culminate in meaningful social change. Theoretical contributions to risk perception, risk management/communication, corporate reputation, and CSR communication are discussed. Practical implications for advocacy, corporate practices, and public participation in environmental decision-making are discussed.
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Riscos Ambientais Associados ao Transporte de Produtos Perigosos na Área de Influência da ETA Guandu. / Environmental Risks Associated with the Transport of Dangerous Goods in the Area of Influence of ETA Guandu.Viviane Japiassú Viana 30 March 2009 (has links)
No Estado do Rio de Janeiro, a atividade de transporte rodoviário de produtos
perigosos foi responsável por aproximadamente 40% dos atendimentos a emergências
realizados pela FEEMA (hoje INEA) nos últimos anos. Dentre as diversas rotas de tráfego
desses produtos, destaca-se a rodovia Presidente Dutra que percorre as imediações dos rios
Paraíba do Sul e Guandu, e seus principais afluentes. A exposição a riscos ambientais da ETA
Guandu é, portanto, bastante alta, pois compreende a Bacia do rio Paraíba do Sul, a montante
da transposição, bem como a Bacia do rio Guandu, a montante do ponto de captação da Cedae
(área de influência da ETA Guandu). Este trabalho identifica riscos de acidentes ambientais
associados ao transporte terrestre de produtos perigosos em parte da área territorial de
influência da ETA Guandu, buscando fornecer subsídios para a elaboração de um plano de
contingência das Bacias dos rios Paraíba do sul e Guandu. A ETA Guandu, que abastece cerca
de 9 milhões de habitantes da RMRJ, capta águas do rio Guandu que, por sua vez, depende
principalmente das águas transpostas do rio Paraíba do Sul e do rio Piraí, situados em outra
bacia hidrográfica. Além de um mapeamento de pontos de alta e média gravidade das
principais rodovias e ferrovias na área de influência da ETA Guandu, a principal contribuição
deste estudo foi a identificação de vários trechos de alto risco de acidentes ambientais ao
longo da rodovia Presidente Dutra, em território fluminense, que podem efetivamente
comprometer a qualidade das águas dos rios Paraíba do Sul e Guandu. / In the State of Rio de Janeiro, roadway transportation of hazardous products was
responsible for approximately 40% of emergency attendances by FEEMA (hereafter INEA) in
the last past years. From the diverse traffic routes, the Roadway Presidente Dutra, that runs
the adjacencies of Paraíba do Sul River and its affluents, comes away. The environmental
risks exposition from Guandu ETA is, therefore, quite high, since it comprises the Paraíba do
Sul River Basin, upwards its transposition, and Guandu River Basin, upwards CEDAE water
collection point (Area of influence of Guandu ETA). This essay identifies environmental
accident risks associated to hazardous products roadway transportation in part of the Guandu
ETA influence area, trying to offer assistance on the contingency plan elaboration for the
Paraíba do Sul and Guandu Basins. The Guandu ETA, that supplies water do 9 million
inhabitants of Rio de Janeiro Municipality, collects water from Guandu River, which depends
on the transposed waters from Paraíba do Sul and Piraí Rivers, located in another basin.
Besides mapping points of high or medium gravity of the main roadways and railroads in the
area of influence of the Guandu ETA, the main contribution of this study was to identify
several excerpts with high risk of environmental accidents along Presidente Dutra roadway, in
Rio de Janeiro State territory, that may impact water qualities of Paraíba do Sul and Guandu
rivers.
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Riscos Ambientais Associados ao Transporte de Produtos Perigosos na Área de Influência da ETA Guandu. / Environmental Risks Associated with the Transport of Dangerous Goods in the Area of Influence of ETA Guandu.Viviane Japiassú Viana 30 March 2009 (has links)
No Estado do Rio de Janeiro, a atividade de transporte rodoviário de produtos
perigosos foi responsável por aproximadamente 40% dos atendimentos a emergências
realizados pela FEEMA (hoje INEA) nos últimos anos. Dentre as diversas rotas de tráfego
desses produtos, destaca-se a rodovia Presidente Dutra que percorre as imediações dos rios
Paraíba do Sul e Guandu, e seus principais afluentes. A exposição a riscos ambientais da ETA
Guandu é, portanto, bastante alta, pois compreende a Bacia do rio Paraíba do Sul, a montante
da transposição, bem como a Bacia do rio Guandu, a montante do ponto de captação da Cedae
(área de influência da ETA Guandu). Este trabalho identifica riscos de acidentes ambientais
associados ao transporte terrestre de produtos perigosos em parte da área territorial de
influência da ETA Guandu, buscando fornecer subsídios para a elaboração de um plano de
contingência das Bacias dos rios Paraíba do sul e Guandu. A ETA Guandu, que abastece cerca
de 9 milhões de habitantes da RMRJ, capta águas do rio Guandu que, por sua vez, depende
principalmente das águas transpostas do rio Paraíba do Sul e do rio Piraí, situados em outra
bacia hidrográfica. Além de um mapeamento de pontos de alta e média gravidade das
principais rodovias e ferrovias na área de influência da ETA Guandu, a principal contribuição
deste estudo foi a identificação de vários trechos de alto risco de acidentes ambientais ao
longo da rodovia Presidente Dutra, em território fluminense, que podem efetivamente
comprometer a qualidade das águas dos rios Paraíba do Sul e Guandu. / In the State of Rio de Janeiro, roadway transportation of hazardous products was
responsible for approximately 40% of emergency attendances by FEEMA (hereafter INEA) in
the last past years. From the diverse traffic routes, the Roadway Presidente Dutra, that runs
the adjacencies of Paraíba do Sul River and its affluents, comes away. The environmental
risks exposition from Guandu ETA is, therefore, quite high, since it comprises the Paraíba do
Sul River Basin, upwards its transposition, and Guandu River Basin, upwards CEDAE water
collection point (Area of influence of Guandu ETA). This essay identifies environmental
accident risks associated to hazardous products roadway transportation in part of the Guandu
ETA influence area, trying to offer assistance on the contingency plan elaboration for the
Paraíba do Sul and Guandu Basins. The Guandu ETA, that supplies water do 9 million
inhabitants of Rio de Janeiro Municipality, collects water from Guandu River, which depends
on the transposed waters from Paraíba do Sul and Piraí Rivers, located in another basin.
Besides mapping points of high or medium gravity of the main roadways and railroads in the
area of influence of the Guandu ETA, the main contribution of this study was to identify
several excerpts with high risk of environmental accidents along Presidente Dutra roadway, in
Rio de Janeiro State territory, that may impact water qualities of Paraíba do Sul and Guandu
rivers.
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População e riscos as mudanças ambientais em zonas costeiras da Baixada Santista = um estudo socio-demografico sobre os municipios de Bertioga, Guaruja e São Vicente / Population and risks to environmental changes in Baixada Santista coastal zoner : a socio-demographic study on the municipalities of Bertioga, Guaruja and São VicenteSilva, César Augusto Marques da, 1985- 15 August 2018 (has links)
Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Filosofia e Ciencias Humanas / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-15T21:24:43Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
Silva_CesarAugustoMarquesda_M.pdf: 4288587 bytes, checksum: 7047af8acde22f0055c700f95c46522f (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2010 / Resumo: Durante as últimas décadas a demografia discutiu importantes conceitos ao tratar da relação entre dinâmica populacional e mudança ambiental. Surgiram novos caminhos, buscando compreender essa relação em análises centradas no entendimento do papel do espaço, dos padrões de produção e consumo, do risco e da vulnerabilidade. Recentemente, com a confirmação das estimativas das mudanças climáticas, a demografia é novamente desafiada a elucidar os elementos da dinâmica populacional que afetam o clima e que por ela são afetados. Nessa pesquisa objetiva-se compreender elementos desse segundo ponto, analisando riscos ambientais às mudanças climáticas em populações residentes em zonas costeiras. Mais especificamente, analisamos a dinâmica de três municípios costeiros do Estado de São Paulo, na Região Metropolitana da Baixada Santista: Bertioga, Guarujá e São Vicente. Tais municípios, majoritariamente urbanos, abrigam espaços diferenciados e desiguais, tanto do ponto de vista geográfico como social. Geograficamente, a presença de morros, rios, estuários e do próprio mar, condicionam a formação de riscos ambientais diferenciados. Socialmente, com a ocupação dos espaços para usos diversos (residenciais, turísticos e industriais), e por grupos com perfis sócio-econômicos particulares, cada um desses riscos atinge populações também específicas. A partir desses fatores a hipótese do trabalho é que populações com características distintas passam por diferentes riscos ambientais. Desse modo, os riscos que selecionamos são relativos às mudanças ambientais: a elevação do nível do mar, as inundações e os deslizamentos. Para cada um desses riscos, e de suas possíveis combinações, foram criadas zonas de risco, utilizando os dados de setores censitários. Os resultados indicaram a confirmação da nossa hipótese: populações mais pobres estão nas imediações de corpos d'água e morros, áreas onde a possibilidade das intensificações de inundações e deslizamentos é maior, enquanto as mais ricas localizam-se próximas ao mar, onde o maior risco é o da elevação do nível médio do mar / Abstract: Demography has discussed important concepts in concern with the relation between population dynamics and environmental change through last decades. New ways were developed and the role of space, patterns of production and consumption, risk and vulnerability were incorporated in theses analysis. Recently, with more accuracy estimates of climate change, demography is again challenged to elucidate the elements of population dynamics that affect climate and vice-versa. This research aims to understand this elements, analyzing risks of climate change on populations living in coastal areas. More specifically, we analyze the dynamics of three coastal municipalities of Sao Paulo State, in the Metropolitan Area of Baixada Santista: Bertioga, Guarujá and São Vicente. These municipalities, mostly urban, harbor differentiated and uneven spaces, both geographically and socially. Geographically, the presence of hills, rivers, estuaries and the sea, influence different environmental risks. Socially, space has been transformed according to several social uses (residential, tourist and industrial), resulting in specific groups, with particular socio-economic profiles, living in distinct risks zones. Based on these factors, the hypothesis adopted is that populations with different characteristics are replaced by different environmental risks. Therefore, the risks selected represent some of the environmental changes dangers: rising sea levels, more intensive flooding and landslides. For each of these risks, and their possible combinations were created risk areas, using data from census tracts. The results indicated the poorest are in the vicinity of ponds and hills, where the possibility of intensification of floods and landslides is higher, while the richest are sited near sea, where the greatest risk is the elevation of the average sea level / Mestrado / Demografia / Mestre em Demografia
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O princípio da precaução no direito internacional do meio ambiente / The precautionary principle in international environmental lawGabriela Bueno de Almeida Moraes 09 May 2011 (has links)
O propósito do princípio da precaução é evitar danos irreversíveis ao meio ambiente e à saúde humana ao permitir a ação preventiva, mesmo na ausência de certeza científica sobre as causas ou conseqüências de determinada atividade. A precaução é uma resposta às novas tecnologias e aos fenômenos que podem provocar impactos irreparáveis e incomensuráveis e que, portanto, precisam ser revistos pela comunidade internacional, Estados e indivíduos. Significa, também, envolver a participação popular nas decisões sobre quais riscos são aceitáveis em determinada sociedade e quais devem ser evitados. A base sociológica sob a qual está baseado o trabalho é a teoria de Ulrich Beck sobre a sociedade de risco global. O princípio da precaução é analisado sob os prismas dogmático e funcional: as principais características do princípio são apresentadas, bem como as críticas ao instituto; também são expostas as funções do princípio da precaução, sua eficácia social e status jurídico. A fim de explicar as dificuldades que circundam o tema dos princípios do direito internacional do meio ambiente, as principais teorias dos princípios são analisadas, concluindo-se que os princípios do DIMA necessitam de uma teoria própria. Na última parte, o trabalho procura demonstrar como o princípio da precaução pode ser operacionalizado através do fortalecimento institucional, sobretudo da Convenção-Quadro das Nações Unidas sobre Mudança do Clima. O tema das mudanças climáticas é paradigmático, já que exige ação internacional preventiva a fim de evitar os impactos do aquecimento global, mesmo face à inexistência de consenso científico sobre as causas e consequências desse fenômeno. Ao permitir maior participação democrática e abrir espaço para que a percepção pública sobre os riscos possa refletir em decisões jurídico-políticas, o arranjo institucional criado pela Convenção permite, ainda que com algumas falhas, uma discussão maior sobre os desafios que circundam o tema. Considerando os fundamentos da teoria de Beck sobre a modernização reflexiva, a origem política dos riscos e a democratização das discussões sobre eles, o papel da subpolítica na sociedade atual e a irreversibilidade de catástrofes ambientais, conclui-se que o princípio da precaução é indispensável ao direito e à política ao inserir a responsabilização a priori dos possíveis danos e a participação social nas decisões futuras / The purpose of the precautionary principle is to avoid irreversible damage to the environment and human health by allowing preventive action, even in the absence of scientific certainty regarding the causes or consequences of certain activity. Precaution is an answer to new technologies and phenomena that may promote irreparable and incommensurable impacts and, therefore, need to be reviewed beforehand by the international community, states and individuals. Furthermore, it nurtures popular participation in decision-making regarding what risks are acceptable in a given society and what risks should be avoided. The sociological foundation of this work is Ulrich Becks world risk society. The precautionary principle is analysed under the dogmatic and functional viewpoints: the principles main characteristics and critiques are presented, and I also explore the precautionary principles functions, social efficacy, and legal status. In order to explain the difficulties pertaining to the subject of international environmental law, this thesis analyzes the main theories on legal principles, and concludes that a more suitable theory for international environmental law principles is needed. In the last part, this work demonstrates how the precautionary principle can be operationalized through institutional strengthening, especially of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Climate change is a paradigmatic case, since it demands international preventive action in order to avoid the impacts of global warming, even in the absence of scientific consensus regarding its causes and consequences. By allowing greater democratic participation and by creating space for communication so that public perception can be reflected in legal and political decisions, the institutional arrangement created by the Convention allows for, if imperfectly, a wider discussion about the challenges of climate change. Considering the foundations of Becks theory about reflexive modernization, the political origin of risks and the democratization of discussions on risks, the role of subpolitics in modern society and irreversibility of environmental catastrophes, this work concludes that the precautionary principle is indispensable to law and politics by adding a priori responsibility of possible damages and social participation in future decisions.
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