Afin de répondre au questionnement général de cette thèse qui traite de la viabilité de l'union monétaire européenne, ce travail est divisé en trois parties. Dans la première, nous analysons notre objet d'étude à un niveau méta. Nous montrons ainsi que l'architecture institutionnelle de la zone euro est axée sur la stabilité monétaire sans proposer formellement des mécanismes d'ajustement aux chocs. La deuxième partie s'intéresse à la question de la synchronisation des économies européennes par l'intermédiaire de deux essais. Nous montrons que d'importantes hétérogénéités demeurent. La troisième partie analyse des questions relatives à la transmission de la politique monétaire. Cela se réalise avec deux essais qui montrent d'une part que la transmission de la politique monétaire dans la zone euro a été fortement perturbée par la crise des subprimes et, d'autre part, que l'influence de la BCE sur les actions des marchés européens est faible. Cette thèse insiste par conséquent sur le caractère incomplet du processus d'intégration économique et monétaire européen et sur sa nécessaire réforme. / The main objective of this thesis is to investigate the problematic of the viability of the European monetary union. This work is divided in three parts. In the first one, we analyse our object of research in order to precise several research axes to study in priority. We show that the European monetary union in mainly focused on the monetary stability without any formal adjustments mechanisms. The second part is focused on the question of the European members' economies synchronisation. We show that large heterogeneities remain. Two essays on the monetary policy pass-through compose the third part. We demonstrate that the interest rate pass-through was affected by the subprimes crisis and that the ECB's influence over the European stock markets is weak. This thesis insists on the fact that the European monetary and economic process of integration is incomplete and should be reinforced.

Diploma thesis, European Monetary Union, its Development and the Future, deals with the reasons, which ultimately led to the foundation of the later European Union and afterwards the European Monetary Union. The journey, which leads up to the present where we are now, lasted for several decades. The experience with the two World Wars on the European territory was the sufficient reason why the European countries embarked on this common journey. In the first part this thesis offers the insight into the past. In short, the most important historical milestones on this road, leading towards the European, respectively the European Monetary Union, are suggested here. The second part of this thesis focuses on current problems of the European Monetary Union. The individual European macroeconomic indicators are compared with the results obtained overseas, particularly in the U.S.A. and Japan. Ultimately, it appears that the EU in comparison especially with the U.S.A. is lagging behind in some indicators. Another part of the thesis is dedicated to the optimum currency area. Is therefore the European Monetary Union the optimum currency area? A few indicators give again the answer to this question. The resulting values of the indicators show that the European Monetary Union is not the optimum currency area today. The reasons can be found particularly in the political than the economic area. Therefore, there is lots of work waiting for the European politicians, officials, but also ordinary citizens, and it will be only up to them, which way the European Union sets out.

The diploma thesis identifies and assesses current problems of the European Monetary Union, based on: firstly, theoretic approach which reviews the position of monetary union within the range of alternative exchange rate regimes, secondly, historic approach which explains evolutionary principle in the process of European monetary integration, and thirdly, economic approach which analyses the viability of the euro area by application of the criteria of the optimum currency area theory. Subsequently, the roots and development of today's euro area crisis are described and also future scenarios of development in Greece and entire euro area are briefly outlined. The analysis shows that the European Monetary Union by far does not meet the optimum currency area criteria and thus the euro area is considerably vulnerable to future asymmetric shocks.

Introduced graduation thesis engaged in chosen implications on joining the euro area by the Czech Republic. The main target is to find the response for question: How much contributive is to enter the European Monetary Union (EMU)? The thesis is divided into five chapters. The first one includes historical and political development of European monetary integration, institutional effectiveness and economic development analysis of EMU. Following section considers the topic of EMU as a optimum currency area – objective conditions are also tested by way of Czech Republic example. Here I came to the conclusion that conditions of optimum currency area are not satisfied in many respects. Chapter number three describes the topic of nominal convergence, chapter number four describes the topic of real and price level convergence. Czech Republic is being characterized by low price level whose stepwise fitting is expected to become more complicated by virtue of using common monetary policy. Cost-benefit analysis of joining EMU is mentioned in last chapter. The most significant cost is accounted a loss of independent monetary policy, on the other hand the stable exchange rate is believed to be the most considerable benefit. The recommendation stating that Czech Republic is advised to join EMU later date is mentioned in final conclusion.

Made available in DSpace on 2016-04-26T20:48:59Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Elcio Mitsuhiro Ito.pdf: 840981 bytes, checksum: 47ca5e0b9bbf2d22790cfd1c3800a15e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2009-12-21 / This research analyzes the development of the financial integration in the euro area, a decisive process for the consolidation of the new common currency and the European Union itself. Since the beginning of the monetary union process, it was assigned to the financial integration the fundamental role for the countries to extract the maximum benefits from the monetary union with the least cost possible. Given the low labor mobility and lack of fiscal coordination within the euro zone, the financial integration received special attention as a mechanism to soften macroeconomic asymmetric shocks via reallocation of resources among segments and companies in the financial markets. Moreover, financial integration allows a more efficient transmission of monetary policies and also allows risk sharing within the monetary union. As a result, new members to the European Union do not necessarily need to wait to have symmetric business cycles before joining the euro. This research presents a selective review of main studies about measuring of financial integration and its current situation in the various segments of the financial markets in the euro area. We conclude that material improvements in the financial integration have been achieved after 10 years of the euro however further challenges are still present mainly in the stock market and retail banking sectors. The recent financial turmoil, which was originated in the U.S. during mid 2007, has resulted in inflexion of the trend in some financial integration indicators but it is still premature to affirm whether this is a trend reversal or a temporary movement / A dissertação analisa o desenvolvimento da integração financeira na área do euro, processo decisivo para a consolidação da nova moeda e da própria União Européia. Prevista desde o início do processo de unificação monetária, foi atribuído à integração financeira papel fundamental para que os países do bloco consigam obter o,máximo de benefícios da união monetária, com o menor custo possível. Diante da baixa mobilidade do mercado de trabalho e das dificuldades para a coordenação políticas fiscais na Europa do euro, a integração financeira ganhou destaque como um caminho para atenuar e suavizar os choques macroeconômicos assimétricos, por meio da realocação de recursos entre setores e empresas nos mercados financeiros. Além disso, a integração do mercado financeiro possibilita a transmissão mais eficiente da política monetária única e permite a diversificação de risco dentro de área monetária. Uma decorrência importante é que novos países da comunidade européia não precisariam esperar necessariamente por uma maior simetria dos ciclos de negócios para se unirem ao euro. A dissertação apresenta uma revisão dos principais referenciais sobre mensuração da integração financeira e seu atual estágio nos diversos segmentos dos mercados da área do euro. Conclui-se que houve avanços importantes na integração financeira em vários mercados ao longo de dez anos, maiores dificuldades para o avanço da integração em alguns deles, em especial o mercado de ações e o mercado bancário de varejo. A recente crise financeira mundial, que se originou nos Estados Unidos em meados de 2007, reverteu a tendência de alguns indicadores de integração financeira, mas é prematuro afirmar se a reversão de tendência se manterá ou se há apenas uma retração temporária

No description available.

Il lavoro stima il costo del capitale delle banche italiane alla luce di due antitetici comportamenti di investimento: diversificazione internazionale di portafoglio e concentrazione proprietaria volta alla detenzione di pacchetti azionari rilevanti. L'integrazione dei mercati finanziari e l'adozione della moneta unica determinano la necessità di allargare all'area valutaria il correlato empirico al portafoglio di mercato indicato dal CAPM. La verifica condotta su un campione di banche italiane evidenzia la riduzione dei Beta e del costo del capitale proprio a causa del limitato contributo fornito al rischio sistematico del portafoglio riferito all'area valutaria da parte del mercato azionario nazionale e delle banche italiane. La detenzione del potere decisionale consente agli azionisti rilevanti di ottenere, in termini di private benefits, un sovra-rendimento che giustifica strategie volte alla concentrazione di ricchezza. Questo genera per le banche italiane un incremento del costo del capitale. / This work analyses the techniques to assess the cost of equity of Italian banks in the light of two antithetical investment policies: international portfolio diversification and ownership concentration directed to hold large blocks of shares. Financial market integration and European Monetary Union involve using a broader index, referred to the Euro area, as the proxy for the market portfolio pointed out by CAPM. The analysis carried out on a sample of Italian banks shows this change brings about a reduction of both the estimated Beta and the cost of equity. This is due to the limited contribution that domestic market index makes to the systematic risk of the Euro portfolio. The control of the decision-making process enables the holders of large blocks of shares to extract private benefits and to obtain extra returns compared with other investors. This can explain an investment policy directed to wealth concentration. That causes a higher equity cost of equity.

L’efficacité de la prise de décision au sein du conseil des gouverneurs de la BCE fait l’objet de nombreux débats en raison d’un degré d’hétérogénéité élevé parmi les pays européens et en raison du manque de transparence de la BCE. Ce contexte génère des incertitudes sur la répartition du pouvoir au sein du conseil des gouverneurs. L’objectif de notre travail est d’analyser dans quelle mesure le manque de transparence peut affecter la prise de décision au sein du conseil. Afin de traiter cette problématique ce travail se scinde en deux parties. La première partie tente d’appréhender le risque de biais régional dans les décisions de politique monétaire. Notre analyse révèle que d’importantes hétérogénéités persistent au sein de la zone monétaire entraînant de nombreuses incertitudes au niveau de la gouvernance monétaire de la BCE. La deuxième partie s’attache à identifier les interactions susceptibles d’apparaître au sein du conseil des gouverneurs et s’intéresse principalement à la propension à former des coalitions au sein du comité décisionnel. Notre analyse en termes de pouvoir de vote soutient que les membres du directoire disposent d’une faible influence lors de la prise de décision. Ce travail insiste sur les insuffisances de la structure décisionnelle de la BCE et sur la nécessité d’une réforme. / The lack of transparency of the European Central Bank (ECB), as well as the heterogeneity among European member states have generates many debates about the effectiveness of the decision-making process within the ECB’s governing council. Such a context creates uncertainties about the distribution of power inside the governing council. The purpose of this thesis is to analyse to what extent the decision-making process within the council responds to such lack of transparency. In the first part, we focus on the effect of the regional bias on monetary policy decisions. Our analysis shows that persistent heterogeneities among members generate uncertainties with regard to the effectiveness of the ECB’s monetary governance. In the second part, we analyse the ability of the governing council to generate strategic interactions among its members, and we focus in particular on coalitions formation. Our analysis based on voting power demonstrates that board members have only a weak impact on the decision-making process. Our thesis focuses on the inadequacies of the current ECB’s decision-making framework and on its necessary reform.

From recent research on optimum currency areas it is clear that the European Monetary Union does not represent an optimum currency area. Since 2008 the countries of southern part of the eurozone have found themselves in a financial, economic and debt crisis. Therefore a question about the economic importance of splitting the European Monetary Union arises. The aim of this thesis is to give answer to the question of how to divide the eurozone so that the newly formed monetary unions could be considered optimum currency unions, alternatively, so that the newly formed monetary unions are more optimal than currently the eurozone is. Using the method of analysis and synthesis we have reached a decision to divide the eurozone into two parts. One part comprising the southern countries -- Portugal, Spain, Italy, Greece, Malta and Cyprus and the other part comprising the rest of the eurozone.

Diplomová práce se zabývá problematikou měnové politiky v Evropské unii, respektive v Evropské měnové unii. Samotnému vzniku Evropské měnové unie předcházelo dlouhé období integračních procesů a je spojováno se dvěma mezníky. Prvním mezníkem byl vznik Evropské centrální banky, která představuje jednu z nejdůležitějších institucí a je zodpovědná za provádění jednotné měnové politiky v eurozóně. Druhým důležitým momentem bylo zavedení společné evropské měny, eura. Navzdory podstatným obchodním výhodám spojených s přijetím eura se brzy ukázalo, že jednotná měnová politika nemusí vyhovovat všem zemím kvůli jejich odlišným ekonomickým potřebám a schopnostem, které vyžadují různou měnovou politiku. Tato práce se soustředí na současnou ekonomickou situaci v eurozóně se zvláštním důrazem na otázku dluhové krize.