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Site evaluation approach for reforestations based on SVAT water balance modeling considering data scarcity and uncertainty analysis of model input parameters from geophysical dataMannschatz, Theresa 10 August 2015 (has links) (PDF)
Extensive deforestations, particularly in the (sub)tropics, have led to intense soil degradation and erosion with concomitant reduction in soil fertility. Reforestations or plantations on those degraded sites may provide effective measures to mitigate further soil degradation and erosion, and can lead to improved soil quality. However, a change in land use from, e.g., grassland to forest may have a crucial impact on water balance. This may affect water availability even under humid tropical climate conditions where water is normally not a limiting factor. In this context, it should also be considered that according to climate change projections rainfall may decrease in some of these regions. To mitigate climate change related problems (e.g. increases in erosion and drought), reforestations are often carried out. Unfortunately, those measures are seldom completely successful, because the environmental conditions and the plant specific requirements are not appropriately taken into account. This is often due to data-scarcity and limited financial resources in tropical regions. For this reason, innovative approaches are required that are able to measure environmental conditions quasi-continuously in a cost-effective manner.
Simultaneously, reforestation measures should be accompanied by monitoring in order to evaluate reforestation success and to mitigate, or at least to reduce, potential problems associated with reforestation (e.g. water scarcity). To avoid reforestation failure and negative implications on ecosystem services, it is crucial to get insights into the water balance of the actual ecosystem, and potential changes resulting from reforestation. The identification and prediction of water balance changes as a result of reforestation under climate change requires the consideration of the complex feedback system of processes in the soil-vegetation-atmosphere continuum. Models that account for those feedback system are Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere-Transfer (SVAT) models.
For the before-mentioned reasons, this study targeted two main objectives: (i) to develop and test a method combination for site evaluation under data scarcity (i.e. study requirements) (Part I) and (ii) to investigate the consequences of prediction uncertainty of the SVAT model input parameters, which were derived using geophysical methods, on SVAT modeling (Part II).
A water balance modeling approach was set at the center of the site evaluation approach. This study used the one-dimensional CoupModel, which is a SVAT model. CoupModel requires detailed spatial soil information for (i) model parameterization, (ii) upscaling of model results and accounting for local to regional-scale soil heterogeneity, and (iii) monitoring of changes in soil properties and plant characteristics over time. Since traditional approaches to soil and vegetation sampling and monitoring are time consuming and expensive (and therefore often limited to point information), geophysical methods were used to overcome this spatial limitation. For this reason, vis-NIR spectroscopy (visible to near-infrared wavelength range) was applied for the measurement of soil properties (physical and chemical), and remote sensing to derive vegetation characteristics (i.e. leaf area index (LAI)). Since the estimated soil properties (mainly texture) could be used to parameterize a SVAT model, this study investigated the whole processing chain and related prediction uncertainty of soil texture and LAI, and their impact on CoupModel water balance prediction uncertainty.
A greenhouse experiment with bamboo plants was carried out to determine plant-physiological characteristics needed for CoupModel parameterization. Geoelectrics was used to investigate soil layering, with the intent of determining site-representative soil profiles for model parameterization. Soil structure was investigated using image analysis techniques that allow the quantitative assessment and comparability of structural features. In order to meet the requirements of the selected study approach, the developed methodology was applied and tested for a site in NE-Brazil (which has low data availability) with a bamboo plantation as the test site and a secondary forest as the reference (reference site). Nevertheless, the objective of the thesis was not the concrete modeling of the case study site, but rather the evaluation of the suitability of the selected methods to evaluate sites for reforestations and to monitor their influence on the water balance as well as soil properties.
The results (Part III) highlight that one needs to be aware of the measurement uncertainty related to SVAT model input parameters, so for instance the uncertainty of model input parameters such as soil texture and leaf area index influences meaningfully the simulated model water balance output. Furthermore, this work indicates that vis-NIR spectroscopy is a fast and cost-efficient method for soil measurement, mapping, and monitoring of soil physical (texture) and chemical (N, TOC, TIC, TC) properties, where the quality of soil prediction depends on the instrument (e.g. sensor resolution), the sample properties (i.e. chemistry), and the site characteristics (i.e. climate).
Additionally, also the sensitivity of the CoupModel with respect to texture prediction uncertainty with respect to surface runoff, transpiration, evaporation, evapotranspiration, and soil water content depends on site conditions (i.e. climate and soil type). For this reason, it is recommended that SVAT model sensitivity analysis be carried out prior to field spectroscopic measurements to account for site specific climate and soil conditions. Nevertheless, mapping of the soil properties estimated via spectroscopy using kriging resulted in poor interpolation (i.e. weak variograms) results as a consequence of a summation of uncertainty arising from the method of field measurement to mapping (i.e. spectroscopic soil prediction, kriging error) and site-specific ‘small-scale’ heterogeneity. The selected soil evaluation method (vis-NIR spectroscopy, structure comparison using image analysis, traditional laboratory analysis) showed that there are significant differences between the bamboo soil and the adjacent secondary forest soil established on the same soil type (Vertisol). Reflecting on the major study results, it can be stated that the selected method combination is a way forward to a more detailed and efficient way to evaluate the suitability of a specific site for reforestation. The results of this study provide insights into where and when during soil and vegetation measurements a high measurement accuracy is required to minimize uncertainties in SVAT modeling. / Umfangreiche Abholzungen, besonders in den (Sub-)Tropen, habe zu intensiver Bodendegradierung und Erosion mit einhergehendem Verlust der Bodenfruchtbarkeit geführt. Eine wirksame Maßnahme zur Vermeidung fortschreitender Bodendegradierung und Erosion sind Aufforstungen auf diesen Flächen, die bisweilen zu einer verbesserten Bodenqualität führen können. Eine Umwandlung von Grünland zu Wald kann jedoch einen entscheidenden Einfluss auf den Wasserhaushalt haben. Selbst unter humid-tropischen Klimabedingungen, wo Wasser in der Regel kein begrenzender Faktor ist, können sich Aufforstungen negativ auf die Wasserverfügbarkeit auswirken.
In diesem Zusammenhang muss auch berücksichtigt werden, dass Klimamodelle eine Abnahme der Niederschläge in einigen dieser Regionen prognostizieren. Um die Probleme, die mit dem Klimawandel in Verbindung stehen zu mildern (z.B. Zunahme von Erosion und Dürreperioden), wurden und werden bereits umfangreiche Aufforstungsmaßnahmen durchgeführt. Viele dieser Maßnahmen waren nicht immer umfassend erfolgreich, weil die Umgebungsbedingungen sowie die pflanzenspezifischen Anforderungen nicht angemessen berücksichtigt wurden. Dies liegt häufig an der schlechten Datengrundlage sowie an den in vielen Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländern begrenzter verfügbarer finanzieller Mittel. Aus diesem Grund werden innovative Ansätze benötigt, die in der Lage sind quasi-kontinuierlich und kostengünstig die Standortbedingungen zu erfassen und zu bewerten.
Gleichzeitig sollte eine Überwachung der Wiederaufforstungsmaßnahme erfolgen, um deren Erfolg zu bewerten und potentielle negative Effekte (z.B. Wasserknappheit) zu erkennen und diesen entgegenzuwirken bzw. reduzieren zu können. Um zu vermeiden, dass Wiederaufforstungen fehlschlagen oder negative Auswirkungen auf die Ökosystemdienstleistungen haben, ist es entscheidend, Kenntnisse vom tatsächlichen Wasserhaushalt des Ökosystems zu erhalten und Änderungen des Wasserhaushalts durch Wiederaufforstungen vorhersagen zu können. Die Ermittlung und Vorhersage von Wasserhaushaltsänderungen infolge einer Aufforstung unter Berücksichtigung des Klimawandels erfordert die Berücksichtigung komplex-verzahnter Rückkopplungsprozesse im Boden-Vegetations-Atmosphären Kontinuum. Hydrologische Modelle, die explizit den Einfluss der Vegetation auf den Wasserhaushalt untersuchen sind Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere-Transfer (SVAT) Modelle.
Die vorliegende Studie verfolgte zwei Hauptziele: (i) die Entwicklung und Erprobung einer Methodenkombination zur Standortbewertung unter Datenknappheit (d.h. Grundanforderung des Ansatzes) (Teil I) und (ii) die Untersuchung des Einflusses der mit geophysikalischen Methoden vorhergesagten SVAT-Modeleingangsparameter (d.h. Vorhersageunsicherheiten) auf die Modellierung (Teil II).
Eine Wasserhaushaltsmodellierung wurde in den Mittelpunkt der Methodenkombination gesetzt. In dieser Studie wurde das 1D SVAT Model CoupModel verwendet. CoupModel benötigen detaillierte räumliche Bodeninformationen (i) zur Modellparametrisierung, (ii) zum Hochskalierung von Modellergebnissen unter Berücksichtigung lokaler und regionaler Bodenheterogenität, und (iii) zur Beobachtung (Monitoring) der zeitlichen Veränderungen des Bodens und der Vegetation. Traditionelle Ansätze zur Messung von Boden- und Vegetationseigenschaften und deren Monitoring sind jedoch zeitaufwendig, teuer und beschränken sich daher oft auf Punktinformationen.
Ein vielversprechender Ansatz zur Überwindung der räumlichen Einschränkung sind die Nutzung geophysikalischer Methoden. Aus diesem Grund wurden vis-NIR Spektroskopie (sichtbarer bis nah-infraroter Wellenlängenbereich) zur quasi-kontinuierlichen Messung von physikalischer und chemischer Bodeneigenschaften und Satelliten-basierte Fernerkundung zur Ableitung von Vegetationscharakteristika (d.h. Blattflächenindex (BFI)) eingesetzt. Da die mit geophysikalisch hergeleiteten Bodenparameter (hier Bodenart) und Pflanzenparameter zur Parametrisierung eines SVAT Models verwendet werden können, wurde die gesamte Prozessierungskette und die damit verbundenen Unsicherheiten und deren potentiellen Auswirkungen auf die Wasserhaushaltsmodellierung mit CoupModel untersucht. Ein Gewächshausexperiment mit Bambuspflanzen wurde durchgeführt, um die zur CoupModel Parametrisierung notwendigen pflanzenphysio- logischen Parameter zu bestimmen. Geoelektrik wurde eingesetzt, um die Bodenschichtung der Untersuchungsfläche zu untersuchen und ein repräsentatives Bodenprofil zur Modellierung zu definieren.
Die Bodenstruktur wurde unter Verwendung einer Bildanalysetechnik ausgewertet, die die qualitativen Bewertung und Vergleichbarkeit struktureller Merkmale ermöglicht. Um den Anforderungen des gewählten Standortbewertungsansatzes gerecht zu werden, wurde die Methodik auf einem Standort mit einer Bambusplantage und einem Sekundärregenwald (als Referenzfläche) in NO-Brasilien (d.h. geringe Datenverfügbarkeit) entwickelt und getestet. Das Ziel dieser Arbeit war jedoch nicht die Modellierung dieses konkreten Standortes, sondern die Bewertung der Eignung des gewählten Methodenansatzes zur Standortbewertung für Aufforstungen und deren zeitliche Beobachtung, als auch die Bewertung des Einfluss von Aufforstungen auf den Wasserhaushalt und die Bodenqualität.
Die Ergebnisse (Teil III) verdeutlichen, dass es notwendig ist, sich den potentiellen Einfluss der Messunsicherheiten der SVAT Modelleingangsparameter auf die Modellierung bewusst zu sein. Beispielsweise zeigte sich, dass die Vorhersageunsicherheiten der Bodentextur und des BFI einen bedeutenden Einfluss auf die Wasserhaushaltsmodellierung mit CoupModel hatte. Die Arbeit zeigt weiterhin, dass vis-NIR Spektroskopie zur schnellen und kostengünstigen Messung, Kartierung und Überwachung boden-physikalischer (Bodenart) und -chemischer (N, TOC, TIC, TC) Eigenschaften geeignet ist. Die Qualität der Bodenvorhersage hängt vom Instrument (z.B. Sensorauflösung), den Probeneigenschaften (z.B. chemische Zusammensetzung) und den Standortmerkmalen (z.B. Klima) ab.
Die Sensitivitätsanalyse mit CoupModel zeigte, dass der Einfluss der spektralen Bodenartvorhersageunsicherheiten auf den mit CoupModel simulierten Oberflächenabfluss, Evaporation, Transpiration und Evapotranspiration ebenfalls von den Standortbedingungen (z.B. Klima, Bodentyp) abhängt. Aus diesem Grund wird empfohlen eine SVAT Model Sensitivitätsanalyse vor der spektroskopischen Feldmessung von Bodenparametern durchzuführen, um die Standort-spezifischen Boden- und Klimabedingungen angemessen zu berücksichtigen. Die Anfertigung einer Bodenkarte unter Verwendung von Kriging führte zu schlechten Interpolationsergebnissen in Folge der Aufsummierung von Mess- und Schätzunsicherheiten (d.h. bei spektroskopischer Feldmessung, Kriging-Fehler) und der kleinskaligen Bodenheterogenität. Anhand des gewählten Bodenbewertungsansatzes (vis-NIR Spektroskopie, Strukturvergleich mit Bildanalysetechnik, traditionelle Laboranalysen) konnte gezeigt werden, dass es bei gleichem Bodentyp (Vertisol) signifikante Unterschiede zwischen den Böden unter Bambus und Sekundärwald gibt.
Anhand der wichtigsten Ergebnisse kann festgehalten werden, dass die gewählte Methodenkombination zur detailreicheren und effizienteren Standortuntersuchung und -bewertung für Aufforstungen beitragen kann. Die Ergebnisse dieser Studie geben einen Einblick darauf, wo und wann bei Boden- und Vegetationsmessungen eine besonders hohe Messgenauigkeit erforderlich ist, um Unsicherheiten bei der SVAT Modellierung zu minimieren. / Extensos desmatamentos que estão sendo feitos especialmente nos trópicos e sub-trópicos resultam em uma intensa degradação do solo e num aumento da erosão gerando assim uma redução na sua fertilidade. Reflorestamentos ou plantações nestas áreas degradadas podem ser medidas eficazes para atenuar esses problemas e levar a uma melhoria da qualidade do mesmo. No entanto, uma mudança no uso da terra, por exemplo de pastagem para floresta pode ter um impacto crucial no balanço hídrico e isso pode afetar a disponibilidade de água, mesmo sob condições de clima tropical úmido, onde a água normalmente não é um fator limitante. Devemos levar também em consideração que de acordo com projeções de mudanças climáticas, as precipitações em algumas dessas regiões também diminuirão agravando assim, ainda mais o quadro apresentado. Para mitigar esses problemas relacionados com as alterações climáticas, reflorestamentos são frequentemente realizados mas raramente são bem-sucedidos, pois condições ambientais como os requisitos específicos de cada espécie de planta, não são devidamente levados em consideração. Isso é muitas vezes devido, não só pela falta de dados, como também por recursos financeiros limitados, que são problemas comuns em regiões tropicais.
Por esses motivos, são necessárias abordagens inovadoras que devam ser capazes de medir as condições ambientais quase continuamente e de maneira rentável. Simultaneamente com o reflorestamento, deve ser feita uma monitoração a fim de avaliar o sucesso da atividade e para prevenir, ou pelo menos, reduzir os problemas potenciais associados com o mesmo (por exemplo, a escassez de água). Para se evitar falhas e reduzir implicações negativas sobre os ecossistemas, é crucial obter percepções sobre o real balanço hídrico e as mudanças que seriam geradas por esse reflorestamento. Por este motivo, esta tese teve como objetivo desenvolver e testar uma combinação de métodos para avaliação de áreas adequadas para reflorestamento. Com esse intuito, foi colocada no centro da abordagem de avaliação a modelagem do balanço hídrico local, que permite a identificação e estimação de possíveis alterações causadas pelo reflorestamento sob mudança climática considerando o sistema complexo de realimentação e a interação de processos do continuum solo-vegetação-atmosfera. Esses modelos hidrológicos que investigam explicitamente a influência da vegetação no equilíbrio da água são conhecidos como modelos Solo-Vegetação-Atmosfera (SVAT).
Esta pesquisa focou em dois objetivos principais: (i) desenvolvimento e teste de uma combinação de métodos para avaliação de áreas que sofrem com a escassez de dados (pré-requisito do estudo) (Parte I), e (ii) a investigação das consequências da incerteza nos parâmetros de entrada do modelo SVAT, provenientes de dados geofísicos, para modelagem hídrica (Parte II). A fim de satisfazer esses objetivos, o estudo foi feito no nordeste brasileiro,por representar uma área de grande escassez de dados, utilizando como base uma plantação de bambu e uma área de floresta secundária. Uma modelagem do balanço hídrico foi disposta no centro da metodologia para a avaliação de áreas. Este estudo utilizou o CoupModel que é um modelo SVAT unidimensional e que requer informações espaciais detalhadas do solo para (i) a parametrização do modelo, (ii) aumento da escala dos resultados da modelagem, considerando a heterogeneidade do solo de escala local para regional e (iii) o monitoramento de mudanças nas propriedades do solo e características da vegetação ao longo do tempo. Entretanto, as abordagens tradicionais para amostragem de solo e de vegetação e o monitoramento são demorados e caros e portanto muitas vezes limitadas a informações pontuais.
Por esta razão, métodos geofísicos como a espectroscopia visível e infravermelho próximo (vis-NIR) e sensoriamento remoto foram utilizados respectivamente para a medição de propriedades físicas e químicas do solo e para derivar as características da vegetação baseado no índice da área foliar (IAF). Como as propriedades estimadas de solo (principalmente a textura) poderiam ser usadas para parametrizar um modelo SVAT, este estudo investigou toda a cadeia de processamento e as incertezas de previsão relacionadas à textura de solo e ao IAF. Além disso explorou o impacto destas incertezas criadas sobre a previsão do balanço hídrico simulado por CoupModel. O método geoelétrico foi aplicado para investigar a estratificação do solo visando a determinação de um perfil representante. Já a sua estrutura foi explorada usando uma técnica de análise de imagens que permitiu a avaliação quantitativa e a comparabilidade dos aspectos estruturais. Um experimento realizado em uma estufa com plantas de bambu (Bambusa vulgaris) foi criado a fim de determinar as caraterísticas fisiológicas desta espécie que posteriormente seriam utilizadas como parâmetros para o CoupModel.
Os resultados do estudo (Parte III) destacam que é preciso estar consciente das incertezas relacionadas à medição de parâmetros de entrada do modelo SVAT. A incerteza presente em alguns parâmetros de entrada como por exemplo, textura de solo e o IAF influencia significantemente a modelagem do balanço hídrico. Mesmo assim, esta pesquisa indica que vis-NIR espectroscopia é um método rápido e economicamente viável para medir, mapear e monitorar as propriedades físicas (textura) e químicas (N, TOC, TIC, TC) do solo. A precisão da previsão dessas propriedades depende do tipo de instrumento (por exemplo da resolução do sensor), da propriedade da amostra (a composição química por exemplo) e das características das condições climáticas da área. Os resultados apontam também que a sensitividade do CoupModel à incerteza da previsão da textura de solo em respeito ao escoamento superficial, transpiração, evaporação, evapotranspiração e ao conteúdo de água no solo depende das condições gerais da área (por exemplo condições climáticas e tipo de solo).
Por isso, é recomendado realizar uma análise de sensitividade do modelo SVAT prior a medição espectral do solo no campo, para poder considerar adequadamente as condições especificas do área em relação ao clima e ao solo. Além disso, o mapeamento de propriedades de solo previstas pela espectroscopia usando o kriging, resultou em interpolações de baixa qualidade (variogramas fracos) como consequência da acumulação de incertezas surgidas desde a medição no campo até o seu mapeamento (ou seja, previsão do solo via espectroscopia, erro do kriging) e heterogeneidade especifica de uma pequena escala. Osmétodos selecionados para avaliação das áreas (vis-NIR espectroscopia, comparação da estrutura de solo por meio de análise de imagens, análise de laboratório tradicionais) revelou a existência de diferenças significativas entre o solo sob bambu e o sob floresta secundária, apesar de ambas terem sido estabelecidas no mesmo tipo de solo (vertissolo). Refletindo sobre os principais resultados do estudo, pode-se afirmar que a combinação dos métodos escolhidos e aplicados representam uma forma mais detalhada e eficaz de avaliar se uma determinada área é adequada para ser reflorestada. Os resultados apresentados fornecem percepções sobre onde e quando, durante a medição do solo e da vegetação, é necessário se ter uma precisão mais alta a fim de minimizar incertezas potenciais na modelagem com o modelo SVAT.
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Υπολογιστική και πειραματική διερεύνηση φαινομένων μεταφοράς μάζας και θερμότητας σε πρότυπη εργαστηριακή εγκατάσταση μηχανικής ξήρανσηςΤζεμπελίκος, Δημήτριος 24 June 2015 (has links)
Αντικείμενο της διατριβής είναι η υπολογιστική και πειραματική διερεύνηση των φαι-νομένων μεταφοράς θερμότητας και μάζας σε πρότυπη εργαστηριακή μονάδα μηχανικής ξήρανσης δια συναγωγής, η οποία σχεδιάσθηκε, κατασκευάσθηκε και εξοπλίσθηκε με μετρητικό εξοπλισμό και ολοκληρωμένο σύστημα ελέγχου, συλλογής και επεξεργασίας των πειραματικών μετρήσεων. Στην εργαστηριακή μονάδα ξήρανσης παρέχεται η δυνατότητα μεταβολής και ελέγχου των βασικών παραμέτρων από τις οποίες επηρεάζεται η θερμική διεργασία της ξήρανσης, όπως η ταχύτητα, η θερμοκρασία και η υγρασία του αέρα ξήρανσης. Η μέτρηση της αποβολής της περιεχομένης υγρασίας στο υπό ξήρανση προϊόν πραγματοποιείται μέσω δυναμοκυψελών υψηλής ακρίβειας, ενώ η χωρική κατανομή της ταχύτητας ροής στην είσοδο του θαλάμου ξήρανσης κατά τη διεξαγωγή κάθε κύκλου πειραμάτων συνεχώς μετρείται με συστοιχία σωλήνων pitot και ενός συστήματος συγκροτούμενου από ηλεκτροβαλβίδες και μορφομετατροπέα πίεσης. Η χωρική κατανομή της θερμοκρασίας και της ταχύτητας στον θάλαμο ξήρανσης είναι δυνατή μέσω αισθητηρίων που προσαρμόζονται σε καρτεσιανό σύστημα μετακίνησης ελεγχόμενου από υπολογιστή το οποίο σχεδιάσθηκε, κατασκευάσθηκε και τοποθετήθηκε στην έξοδο του κατακόρυφου θαλάμου ξήρανσης αποτελώντας πλέον αναπόσπαστο τμήμα της εργαστηριακής μονάδας. Όλες οι μετρήσεις πραγματοποιήθηκαν στον κατακόρυφο θάλαμο ξήρανσης, ενώ παρέχεται η δυνατότητα διεξαγωγής μετρήσεων και στο θάλαμο ξήρανσης οριζόντιας διάταξης.
Στα πλαίσια της διατριβής, έγινε συστηματική πειραματική διερεύνηση της ξήρανσης δια συναγωγής σε φέτες κυδωνιών και μελετήθηκε η επίδραση διαφόρων παραμέτρων που επηρεάζουν τη θερμική διεργασία της ξήρανσης σε αυτό το αγροτικό προϊόν, για θερμοκρασίες αέρα 40, 50 και 60οC και ταχύτητες αέρα 1, 2 και 3 m/s. Σκοπός των με-τρήσεων ήταν ο προσδιορισμός: (i) της επίδρασης της θερμοκρασίας και της ταχύτητας του αέρα στις καμπύλες ξήρανσης κυλινδρικών φετών κυδωνιού, (ii) της επίδρασης του πάχους των κυλινδρικών φετών του κυδωνιού στις καμπύλες ξήρανσης, (iii) της επίδρασης του προσανατολισμού των κυλινδρικών φετών κυδωνιού, ως προς τη διεύθυνση της προσπίπτουσας ροής, στις καμπύλες ξήρανσης, (iv) της προσαρμογής των καμπύλων ξήρανσης σε διάφορα απλά μοντέλα ξήρανσης λεπτού στρώματος, v) των ενεργών συντελεστών διάχυσης υγρασίας για την κάθε περίπτωση με την μέθοδο της κλίσης (slope method) και οι οποίοι συσχετίστηκαν με τη θερμοκρασία του αέρα ξήρανσης έτσι ώστε ο συντελεστής διάχυσης της υγρασίας να εκφρασθεί με την εξίσωση μορφής τύπου Arrhenius και vi) των διεπιφανειακών συντελεστών μεταφοράς θερμότητας και μάζας οι οποίοι στη εκφράζονται ως συνάρτηση των αδιάστατων αριθμών Nu, Re και Pr με τη μορφή Nu=aRebPr1/3.
Η προσομοίωση του ρευστοθερμικού πεδίου στο θάλαμο ξήρανσης και ο υπολογισμός των διεπιφανειακών συντελεστών μεταφοράς θερμότητας και μάζας γύρω από την επι-φάνειας του προϊόντος πραγματοποιήθηκε με χρήση της εργαλείων της υπολογιστικής ρευστοδυναμικής (CFD). Έγιναν προσομοιώσεις CFD μόνιμης κατάστασης (steady-state), θεωρώντας τυρβώδη ροή ενώ ο θάλαμος ξήρανσης και η κυλινδρική φέτα του κυδωνιού εξιδανικεύθηκε ως μια δισδιάστατη αξονοσυμμετρική διαμόρφωση. Ως μοντέλο τύρβης χρησιμοποιήθηκε το μοντέλο SST (Shear Stress Transport) k-ω, ενώ για την προσέγγιση του οριακού στρώματος στα τοιχώματα του προϊόντος επιλέχθηκε το μοντέλο LRNM (Low Reynolds Number Model). Από την επίλυση των πεδίων ροής και θερμοκρασίας προσδιορίσθηκαν οι κατανομές των διεπιφανειακών συντελεστών στην προσήνεμη και στην υπήνεμη πλευρά της κυλινδρικής φέτας του κυδωνιού για όλες τις πειραματικές συνθήκες. Από τον υπολογισμό του μέσων σταθμισμένων τιμών του διεπιφανειακού συντελεστή μεταφοράς θερμότητας συνάγεται μια συσχέτιση των αδιάστατων αριθμών Nu, Re και Pr, στη μορφή Nu=aRebPr1/3, που ως εύρημα εμπλουτίζει την υφιστάμενη βιβλιογραφία.
Στο τελικό στάδιο της διατριβής, αναπτύχθηκε και αποτιμήθηκε σε σύγκριση με τις πειραματικές μετρήσεις ένα μονοδιάστατο αριθμητικό μοντέλο μη-μόνιμης μεταφοράς θερμότητας και μάζας για την προσομοίωση των καμπυλών ξήρανσης σε κυλινδρικές φέτες κυδωνιών. Στο μοντέλο, η μεταφορά θερμότητας εντός του προϊόντος γίνεται με αγωγή ενώ η μεταφορά μάζας γίνεται με υγρή διάχυση, με την εξάτμιση του περιεχόμενου νερού στις φέτες του κυδωνιών να λαμβάνει χώρα από την προσήνεμη και την υπήνεμη επιφάνεια. Στο αριθμητικό μοντέλο, λαμβάνεται υπόψη η συρρίκνωση της κυλινδρικής φέτας του κυδωνιού, θεωρώντας ότι ο όγκος της προϊόντος μειώνεται κάθε φορά κατά τον όγκο του νερού που εξατμίζεται τις δύο επιφάνειες της φέτας. Στον αριθμητικό κώδικα, οι θερμοφυσικές ιδιότητες του κυδωνιού και του αέρα προσδιορίζονται από σχέσεις που συναντώνται στη βιβλιογραφία, ο ενεργός συντελεστής διάχυσης της υγρασίας εισάγεται ως αποτέλεσμα της επεξεργασίας των πειραματικών μετρήσεων, ενώ για τους συντελεστές μεταφοράς χρησιμοποιήθηκαν οι μέσες σταθμισμένες τιμές των διεπιφανειακών συντελεστών μεταφοράς θερμότητας και μάζας, ως αποτέλεσμα των CFD προσομοιώσεων και για περίπτωση μη-συζυγούς προσέγγισης (non-conjugated approach). Στοχεύοντας στην καλύτερη προσαρμογή των πειραματικών μετρήσεων και των υπολογιστικών αποτελεσμάτων, χρησιμοποιήθηκε η ανάλυση μη-γραμμικής παλινδρόμησης, με τους αλγόριθμους SQP (Sequential Quadratic Programming) και εσωτερικού σημείου (internal point), για τον προσδιορισμό των συντελεστών της εξίσωσης διάχυσης της υγρασίας, με μικρή όμως βελτίωση των υπολογιστικών αποτελεσμάτων, σε συνδυασμό με τη σημαντική αύξηση του χρόνου υπολογισμού.
Συμπερασματικά, από τη συνολική αξιολόγηση των αποτελεσμάτων του αριθμητικού κώδικα αποδείχθηκε ότι το προτεινόμενο αριθμητικό μοντέλο που βασίζεται στη διάχυση είναι ικανό να περιγράψει αποτελεσματικά τη σύζευξη της μεταφοράς της θερμότητας και της μάζας όπως και να αποτυπώσει ικανοποιητικά τη χρονική εξέλιξη της περιεχόμενης υγρασίας και θερμοκρασίας εντός του προϊόντος, με την ελάχιστη χρήση πειραματικών μεταβλητών εισόδου ενώ έχει ελάχιστες υπολογιστικές απαιτήσεις. Για αυτούς τους λόγους μπορεί να θεωρηθεί κατάλληλο για την ανάλυση της διαδικασίας της ξήρανσης δια συναγωγής σε οποιοδήποτε οργανικό ή μη-οργανικό προϊόν. / The objective subject of this thesis is the computational and experimental investigation of heat and mass transfer phenomena in a new laboratory mechanical convection drying unit, which was designed, constructed and equipped with measuring equipment and an integrated control system of collection and processing of experimental measurements. In laboratory drying unit there is an option to change and control the main parameters of which affected the thermal drying process, such as speed, temperature and humidity of the drying air. Measurement of the removal of moisture content in the dried product is carried out through high-precision load cells, and the spatial distribution of the flow velocity at the entrance of the drying chamber during of each experiment, is continuously measured by pitot tube array and a system composed of solenoids and a pressure transducer. The spatial distribution of temperature and velocity in the drying chamber is possible by means of sensors fitted to a computer controlled cartesian motion system which is designed, constructed and placed at the outlet of the vertical drying chamber, constituting an integral part of the facility. All measurements were performed on the vertical drying chamber while it is possible to conduct measurements in a horizontal layout of the drying chamber.
In this thesis became systematic experimental investigation of convective drying sliced quince and studied the effect of various parameters affecting the thermal drying process in this agricultural product, for air temperatures of 40, 50 and 60°C and air velocities 1, 2 and 3 m/s. The purpose of the measurements was to determine: (i) the effect of temperature and air velocity in drying curves of cylindrical quince slice, (ii) the effect of the thickness of the cylindrical slice of quince in drying curves, (iii) the effect of the orientation of the cylindrical quince slice, in the direction of incident flow, in the drying curves (iv) the adjusting of the drying curves in several simple thin layer drying models v) the effective moisture diffusivity coefficients for each case with the slope method which correlated with the temperature of the drying air so that the diffusion coefficient of moisture be expressed by Arrhenius type equation form and vi ) the interfacial heat and mass transfer coefficients which expressed as a function of dimensionless numbers Nu, Re and Pr in the form Nu = aRebPr1/3.
The simulation of the flow and temperature fields in the drying chamber and the calcu-lation of the interfacial heat and mass transfer coefficients around the surface of the product were performed using the tools of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD). CFD simulations were steady state, considering turbulent flow while drying chamber and cy-lindrical slice of quince specialized as an axisymmetric two-dimensional configuration. As turbulence model was used the SST k-ω model while on the approximation of the boundary layer near the walls of the product the LRNM was chosen. By solving the flow and temperature fields determined distributions of interfacial heat and mass transfer coefficients in front and rear of the cylindrical slice of quince for all experimental conditions. The calculation of the weighted average prices of the interfacial heat transfer coefficient indicates a correlation between dimensionless numbers Nu, Re and Pr, in the form Nu = aRebPr1/3, which as finding enriches the existing literature.
In the final stage of the thesis, developed and evaluated in comparison with the experi-mental measurements, a one-dimensional transient numerical model of heat and mass transfer to simulate drying curves in cylindrical slices of quince. The heat transfer inside the quince is considered to be by conduction while the moisture transfer is considered to be governed solely by liquid diffusion. Evaporation is considered to take place only from the windward and leeward surface of the quince slice. The numerical model takes into account the shrinkage of the cylindrical slice of quince, assuming that the cylindrical volume decreases each time as much as the volume of water that evaporates on both surfaces of the slice. The numerical code used the thermophysical properties of quince and air from the literature, the effective diffusion coefficient of moisture experimentally determined by the method of the slopes, while the transfer coefficients used the weighted average prices of interfacial heat and mass transfer coefficients derived from the simulations with CFD (non-conjugated approach). In order to achieve higher accuracy between experimental data and predictions, a non-linear regression analysis, using an Arrhenius type effective diffusion equation, was also performed. However, preliminary result, obtained using the SQP (Sequential Quadratic Programming) and Interior Point algorithms for the minimization of the Chi-square function (χ2) showed only small improvement of the calculated results with a significant increase of the computational cost.
In conclusion, the overall assessment of the results of the numeric code shown that the proposed numerical model based on diffusion is able to effectively describe the coupling of heat transfer and mass, as to capture the time evolution of moisture content and temperature within the product, with minimum use of experimental input variables and minimum computational requirements. For these reasons it may be considered appropriate to analyze the convective drying process in any organic or non-organic product.
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Contribution au renvoi de tension et à la reconstitution du réseau. Identification des paramètres d'un réseau. Estimation des flux rémanents dans un transformateur / Contribution to the power plant re-energization and the network restoration. Parameters identification of a network. Estimation of the residual flux in a transformer.Cavallera, Didier 03 November 2011 (has links)
Lors de la réalimentation des auxiliaires d’une tranche nucléaire, l’étape la plus à risque est la remise sous tension brusque du transformateur à cause des surtensions. Dans un soucis perpétuel d’amélioration de la modélisation de ces transitoires, les modèles et techniques doivent évoluer. Le but de ces travaux de thèse est de proposer de nouvelles méthodologies permettant d’évaluer les paramètres mal connus de la modélisation. Lors des mises sous tension des lignes électriques, une méthodologie s’appuyant sur l’identification (optimisation ou techniques issues du traitement du signal) permet de déterminer les paramètres variables de la modélisation. Cependant, un des paramètres influents pour les surtensions est le flux rémanent. Face aux problèmes actuels rencontrés pour l’estimer (méthode non directe, dérive, …), une nouvelle méthode basée sur la mesure des flux de fuites du circuit magnétique est proposée. Des mesures réelles utilisant des capteurs de technologie « fluxgate » sont réalisées et permettent d’estimer le flux rémanent. / During the re-energization of the auxiliaries of a nuclear power plant, the more dangerous step is the re-energization of the power transformer, because of the temporary overvoltages. In order to improve the transient modeling, models and techniques may be improved. The purpose of this thesis is to suggest new methodologies to identify the uncertain parameters of the model. When the line re-energization occurs, an identification methodology (optimization or methods using signal processing) allows determining the model variable parameters. However, one of the most important parameters in the overvoltages is the residual flux. Given the actual problems found on estimation strategies (no direct method, derivation,…), a new method established for the leakage flux measurement of the magnetic circuit is proposed. Real measurements using « fluxgate » technology sensors were realized, permitting to estimate the residual flux.
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Rekonstrukce blízkého pole antén / Reconstruction of the Antenna Near-FieldPuskely, Jan January 2011 (has links)
Cílem disertační práce je navrhnout efektivně pracující algoritmus, který na základě bezfázového měření v blízkém poli antény bude schopen zrekonstruovat komplexní blízké pole antény resp. vyzařovací diagram antény ve vzdáleném poli. Na základě těchto úvah byly zkoumány vlastnosti minimalizačního algoritmu. Zejména byl analyzován a vhodně zvolen minimalizační přistup, optimalizační metoda a v neposlední řadě i optimalizační funkce tzv. funkcionál. Dále pro urychlení celého minimalizačního procesu byly uvažovány prvotní odhady. A na závěr byla do minimalizačního algoritmu zahrnuta myšlenka nahrazující hledané elektrické pole několika koeficienty. Na základě předchozích analýz byla navržená bezfázová metoda pro charakterizaci vyzařovacích vlastností antén. Tato metoda kombinuje globální optimalizaci s obrazovou kompresní metodou a s lokální metodou ve spojení s konvečním amplitudovým měřením na dvou površích. V našem případě je globální optimalizace použita k nalezení globálního minima minimalizovaného funkcionálu, kompresní metoda k redukci neznámých proměnných na apertuře antény a lokální metoda zajišťuje přesnější nalezení minima. Navržená metoda je velmi robustní a mnohem rychlejší než jiné dostupné minimalizační algoritmy. Další výzkum byl zaměřen na možnosti využití měřených amplitud pouze z jednoho měřícího povrchu pro rekonstrukci vyzařovacích charakteristik antén a využití nového algoritmu pro rekonstrukci fáze na válcové geometrii.
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Site evaluation approach for reforestations based on SVAT water balance modeling considering data scarcity and uncertainty analysis of model input parameters from geophysical dataMannschatz, Theresa 05 June 2015 (has links)
Extensive deforestations, particularly in the (sub)tropics, have led to intense soil degradation and erosion with concomitant reduction in soil fertility. Reforestations or plantations on those degraded sites may provide effective measures to mitigate further soil degradation and erosion, and can lead to improved soil quality. However, a change in land use from, e.g., grassland to forest may have a crucial impact on water balance. This may affect water availability even under humid tropical climate conditions where water is normally not a limiting factor. In this context, it should also be considered that according to climate change projections rainfall may decrease in some of these regions. To mitigate climate change related problems (e.g. increases in erosion and drought), reforestations are often carried out. Unfortunately, those measures are seldom completely successful, because the environmental conditions and the plant specific requirements are not appropriately taken into account. This is often due to data-scarcity and limited financial resources in tropical regions. For this reason, innovative approaches are required that are able to measure environmental conditions quasi-continuously in a cost-effective manner.
Simultaneously, reforestation measures should be accompanied by monitoring in order to evaluate reforestation success and to mitigate, or at least to reduce, potential problems associated with reforestation (e.g. water scarcity). To avoid reforestation failure and negative implications on ecosystem services, it is crucial to get insights into the water balance of the actual ecosystem, and potential changes resulting from reforestation. The identification and prediction of water balance changes as a result of reforestation under climate change requires the consideration of the complex feedback system of processes in the soil-vegetation-atmosphere continuum. Models that account for those feedback system are Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere-Transfer (SVAT) models.
For the before-mentioned reasons, this study targeted two main objectives: (i) to develop and test a method combination for site evaluation under data scarcity (i.e. study requirements) (Part I) and (ii) to investigate the consequences of prediction uncertainty of the SVAT model input parameters, which were derived using geophysical methods, on SVAT modeling (Part II).
A water balance modeling approach was set at the center of the site evaluation approach. This study used the one-dimensional CoupModel, which is a SVAT model. CoupModel requires detailed spatial soil information for (i) model parameterization, (ii) upscaling of model results and accounting for local to regional-scale soil heterogeneity, and (iii) monitoring of changes in soil properties and plant characteristics over time. Since traditional approaches to soil and vegetation sampling and monitoring are time consuming and expensive (and therefore often limited to point information), geophysical methods were used to overcome this spatial limitation. For this reason, vis-NIR spectroscopy (visible to near-infrared wavelength range) was applied for the measurement of soil properties (physical and chemical), and remote sensing to derive vegetation characteristics (i.e. leaf area index (LAI)). Since the estimated soil properties (mainly texture) could be used to parameterize a SVAT model, this study investigated the whole processing chain and related prediction uncertainty of soil texture and LAI, and their impact on CoupModel water balance prediction uncertainty.
A greenhouse experiment with bamboo plants was carried out to determine plant-physiological characteristics needed for CoupModel parameterization. Geoelectrics was used to investigate soil layering, with the intent of determining site-representative soil profiles for model parameterization. Soil structure was investigated using image analysis techniques that allow the quantitative assessment and comparability of structural features. In order to meet the requirements of the selected study approach, the developed methodology was applied and tested for a site in NE-Brazil (which has low data availability) with a bamboo plantation as the test site and a secondary forest as the reference (reference site). Nevertheless, the objective of the thesis was not the concrete modeling of the case study site, but rather the evaluation of the suitability of the selected methods to evaluate sites for reforestations and to monitor their influence on the water balance as well as soil properties.
The results (Part III) highlight that one needs to be aware of the measurement uncertainty related to SVAT model input parameters, so for instance the uncertainty of model input parameters such as soil texture and leaf area index influences meaningfully the simulated model water balance output. Furthermore, this work indicates that vis-NIR spectroscopy is a fast and cost-efficient method for soil measurement, mapping, and monitoring of soil physical (texture) and chemical (N, TOC, TIC, TC) properties, where the quality of soil prediction depends on the instrument (e.g. sensor resolution), the sample properties (i.e. chemistry), and the site characteristics (i.e. climate).
Additionally, also the sensitivity of the CoupModel with respect to texture prediction uncertainty with respect to surface runoff, transpiration, evaporation, evapotranspiration, and soil water content depends on site conditions (i.e. climate and soil type). For this reason, it is recommended that SVAT model sensitivity analysis be carried out prior to field spectroscopic measurements to account for site specific climate and soil conditions. Nevertheless, mapping of the soil properties estimated via spectroscopy using kriging resulted in poor interpolation (i.e. weak variograms) results as a consequence of a summation of uncertainty arising from the method of field measurement to mapping (i.e. spectroscopic soil prediction, kriging error) and site-specific ‘small-scale’ heterogeneity. The selected soil evaluation method (vis-NIR spectroscopy, structure comparison using image analysis, traditional laboratory analysis) showed that there are significant differences between the bamboo soil and the adjacent secondary forest soil established on the same soil type (Vertisol). Reflecting on the major study results, it can be stated that the selected method combination is a way forward to a more detailed and efficient way to evaluate the suitability of a specific site for reforestation. The results of this study provide insights into where and when during soil and vegetation measurements a high measurement accuracy is required to minimize uncertainties in SVAT modeling.:I. Development of method combination for site evaluation for reforestations in data-scarce regions .... 23
2. Motivation, objectives and study approach .... 24
2.1. Introduction and study motivation .... 24
2.1.1. Research objectives and hypotheses ..... 27
2.1.2. Study approach ..... 28
3. Site selection and characterization procedure .... 32
3.1. On large scale – landscape segmentation .... 32
3.2. On local scale - case study site selection and characterization .... 34
3.2.1. Available data and characterization of identified case study site .... 34
3.2.2. Spatial distribution of soil properties - soil structure, bulk density and porosity .... 37
4. Eco-hydrological modeling - deriving plant-physiological model parameters .... 50
4.1. Introduction .... 50
4.2. Motivation and objectives ..... 52
4.3. Methods ... 53
4.3.1. Design of greenhouse experiment .... 53
4.3.2. Derivation of climate time-series .... 56
4.3.3. Plant variables and response to water availability .... 59
4.4. Results and discussion .... 62
4.4.1. Soil sample analysis .... 62
4.4.2. Measured time-series .... 63
4.4.3. Plant response to drought stress ..... 67
4.4.4. Water balance approach and estimated time-series of plant transpiration .... 71
4.4.5. Derived SVAT model plant input parameter .... 73
5. Near-surface geophysics .... 75
5.1. Vis-NIR spectroscopy of soils .... 76
5.1.1. Methods and materials .... 77
5.1.2. Results and discussion .... 79
5.2. Geoelectrics ..... 88
5.2.1. Methods and materials .... 89
5.2.2. Results and discussion .... 94
6. Remote sensing of vegetation .... 102
6.1. Introduction .... 102
6.2. Methods and materials .... 103
6.2.1. RapidEye images and ATCOR description .... 103
6.2.2. Satellite image preparation and atmospheric correction .... 104
6.2.3. LAI field measurement and computation of vegetation indices .... 105
6.2.4. Establishment of empirical LAI retrieval model .... 106
6.3. Results and discussion .... 108
6.3.1. Vegetation index ranking .... 108
II. Uncertainty analysis of model input parameters from geophysical data .... 110
7. Deriving soil properties - vis-NIR spectroscopy technique .... 111
7.1. Motivation .... 111
7.2. Materials and methods .... 113
7.2.1. Study sites .... 113
7.2.2. Samples used for uncertainty analysis .... 114
7.2.3. Vis-NIR spectral measurement, chemometric spectral data transformation and spectroscopic modeling .... 116
7.2.4. Assessment statistics .... 118
7.2.5. Inter-instrument calibration model transferability for soil monitoring .... 119
7.2.6. Analysis of SVAT model sensitivity to soil texture .... 121
7.3. Results and discussion .... 124
7.3.1. Effect of pre-processing transformation methods on prediction accuracy .... 124
7.3.2. Effect of spectral resampling .... 125
7.3.3. Accuracy of soil property prediction .... 127
7.3.4. Spectrometer comparison .... 133
7.3.5. Inter-instrument transferability .... 134
7.3.6. Precision of spectroscopic predictions in the context of SVAT modeling ....139
7.4. Conclusion .... 146
8. Deriving vegetation properties - remote sensing techniques .... 149
8.1. Motivation .... 149
8.2. Materials and methods .... 150
8.2.1. Study site .... 150
8.2.2. RapidEye images .... 150
8.2.3. Satellite image preparation .... 152
8.2.4. Atmospheric correction with parameter variation .... 152
8.2.5. Investigation of two successive images .... 154
8.2.6. LAI field measurement and computation of vegetation indices .... 155
8.2.7. Establishment of empirical LAI retrieval model .... 155
8.2.8. Sensitivity of SVAT model to LAI uncertainty .... 157
8.3. Results and discussion .... 157
8.3.1. Influence of atmospheric correction on RapidEye bands .... 158
8.3.2. Uncertainty of LAI field measurements and empirical relationship .... 161
8.3.3. Influence of ATCOR parameterization on LAI estimation .... 161
8.3.4. LAI variability within one image .... 167
8.3.5. LAI differences within the overlapping area of successive images recorded on the same date .... 171
8.3.6. Evaluation of LAI uncertainty in context of SVAT modeling ... 174
8.4. Conclusion .... 176
III. Synthesis .... 178
9. Summary of results and conclusions .... 179
10. Perspectives .... 185 / Umfangreiche Abholzungen, besonders in den (Sub-)Tropen, habe zu intensiver Bodendegradierung und Erosion mit einhergehendem Verlust der Bodenfruchtbarkeit geführt. Eine wirksame Maßnahme zur Vermeidung fortschreitender Bodendegradierung und Erosion sind Aufforstungen auf diesen Flächen, die bisweilen zu einer verbesserten Bodenqualität führen können. Eine Umwandlung von Grünland zu Wald kann jedoch einen entscheidenden Einfluss auf den Wasserhaushalt haben. Selbst unter humid-tropischen Klimabedingungen, wo Wasser in der Regel kein begrenzender Faktor ist, können sich Aufforstungen negativ auf die Wasserverfügbarkeit auswirken.
In diesem Zusammenhang muss auch berücksichtigt werden, dass Klimamodelle eine Abnahme der Niederschläge in einigen dieser Regionen prognostizieren. Um die Probleme, die mit dem Klimawandel in Verbindung stehen zu mildern (z.B. Zunahme von Erosion und Dürreperioden), wurden und werden bereits umfangreiche Aufforstungsmaßnahmen durchgeführt. Viele dieser Maßnahmen waren nicht immer umfassend erfolgreich, weil die Umgebungsbedingungen sowie die pflanzenspezifischen Anforderungen nicht angemessen berücksichtigt wurden. Dies liegt häufig an der schlechten Datengrundlage sowie an den in vielen Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländern begrenzter verfügbarer finanzieller Mittel. Aus diesem Grund werden innovative Ansätze benötigt, die in der Lage sind quasi-kontinuierlich und kostengünstig die Standortbedingungen zu erfassen und zu bewerten.
Gleichzeitig sollte eine Überwachung der Wiederaufforstungsmaßnahme erfolgen, um deren Erfolg zu bewerten und potentielle negative Effekte (z.B. Wasserknappheit) zu erkennen und diesen entgegenzuwirken bzw. reduzieren zu können. Um zu vermeiden, dass Wiederaufforstungen fehlschlagen oder negative Auswirkungen auf die Ökosystemdienstleistungen haben, ist es entscheidend, Kenntnisse vom tatsächlichen Wasserhaushalt des Ökosystems zu erhalten und Änderungen des Wasserhaushalts durch Wiederaufforstungen vorhersagen zu können. Die Ermittlung und Vorhersage von Wasserhaushaltsänderungen infolge einer Aufforstung unter Berücksichtigung des Klimawandels erfordert die Berücksichtigung komplex-verzahnter Rückkopplungsprozesse im Boden-Vegetations-Atmosphären Kontinuum. Hydrologische Modelle, die explizit den Einfluss der Vegetation auf den Wasserhaushalt untersuchen sind Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere-Transfer (SVAT) Modelle.
Die vorliegende Studie verfolgte zwei Hauptziele: (i) die Entwicklung und Erprobung einer Methodenkombination zur Standortbewertung unter Datenknappheit (d.h. Grundanforderung des Ansatzes) (Teil I) und (ii) die Untersuchung des Einflusses der mit geophysikalischen Methoden vorhergesagten SVAT-Modeleingangsparameter (d.h. Vorhersageunsicherheiten) auf die Modellierung (Teil II).
Eine Wasserhaushaltsmodellierung wurde in den Mittelpunkt der Methodenkombination gesetzt. In dieser Studie wurde das 1D SVAT Model CoupModel verwendet. CoupModel benötigen detaillierte räumliche Bodeninformationen (i) zur Modellparametrisierung, (ii) zum Hochskalierung von Modellergebnissen unter Berücksichtigung lokaler und regionaler Bodenheterogenität, und (iii) zur Beobachtung (Monitoring) der zeitlichen Veränderungen des Bodens und der Vegetation. Traditionelle Ansätze zur Messung von Boden- und Vegetationseigenschaften und deren Monitoring sind jedoch zeitaufwendig, teuer und beschränken sich daher oft auf Punktinformationen.
Ein vielversprechender Ansatz zur Überwindung der räumlichen Einschränkung sind die Nutzung geophysikalischer Methoden. Aus diesem Grund wurden vis-NIR Spektroskopie (sichtbarer bis nah-infraroter Wellenlängenbereich) zur quasi-kontinuierlichen Messung von physikalischer und chemischer Bodeneigenschaften und Satelliten-basierte Fernerkundung zur Ableitung von Vegetationscharakteristika (d.h. Blattflächenindex (BFI)) eingesetzt. Da die mit geophysikalisch hergeleiteten Bodenparameter (hier Bodenart) und Pflanzenparameter zur Parametrisierung eines SVAT Models verwendet werden können, wurde die gesamte Prozessierungskette und die damit verbundenen Unsicherheiten und deren potentiellen Auswirkungen auf die Wasserhaushaltsmodellierung mit CoupModel untersucht. Ein Gewächshausexperiment mit Bambuspflanzen wurde durchgeführt, um die zur CoupModel Parametrisierung notwendigen pflanzenphysio- logischen Parameter zu bestimmen. Geoelektrik wurde eingesetzt, um die Bodenschichtung der Untersuchungsfläche zu untersuchen und ein repräsentatives Bodenprofil zur Modellierung zu definieren.
Die Bodenstruktur wurde unter Verwendung einer Bildanalysetechnik ausgewertet, die die qualitativen Bewertung und Vergleichbarkeit struktureller Merkmale ermöglicht. Um den Anforderungen des gewählten Standortbewertungsansatzes gerecht zu werden, wurde die Methodik auf einem Standort mit einer Bambusplantage und einem Sekundärregenwald (als Referenzfläche) in NO-Brasilien (d.h. geringe Datenverfügbarkeit) entwickelt und getestet. Das Ziel dieser Arbeit war jedoch nicht die Modellierung dieses konkreten Standortes, sondern die Bewertung der Eignung des gewählten Methodenansatzes zur Standortbewertung für Aufforstungen und deren zeitliche Beobachtung, als auch die Bewertung des Einfluss von Aufforstungen auf den Wasserhaushalt und die Bodenqualität.
Die Ergebnisse (Teil III) verdeutlichen, dass es notwendig ist, sich den potentiellen Einfluss der Messunsicherheiten der SVAT Modelleingangsparameter auf die Modellierung bewusst zu sein. Beispielsweise zeigte sich, dass die Vorhersageunsicherheiten der Bodentextur und des BFI einen bedeutenden Einfluss auf die Wasserhaushaltsmodellierung mit CoupModel hatte. Die Arbeit zeigt weiterhin, dass vis-NIR Spektroskopie zur schnellen und kostengünstigen Messung, Kartierung und Überwachung boden-physikalischer (Bodenart) und -chemischer (N, TOC, TIC, TC) Eigenschaften geeignet ist. Die Qualität der Bodenvorhersage hängt vom Instrument (z.B. Sensorauflösung), den Probeneigenschaften (z.B. chemische Zusammensetzung) und den Standortmerkmalen (z.B. Klima) ab.
Die Sensitivitätsanalyse mit CoupModel zeigte, dass der Einfluss der spektralen Bodenartvorhersageunsicherheiten auf den mit CoupModel simulierten Oberflächenabfluss, Evaporation, Transpiration und Evapotranspiration ebenfalls von den Standortbedingungen (z.B. Klima, Bodentyp) abhängt. Aus diesem Grund wird empfohlen eine SVAT Model Sensitivitätsanalyse vor der spektroskopischen Feldmessung von Bodenparametern durchzuführen, um die Standort-spezifischen Boden- und Klimabedingungen angemessen zu berücksichtigen. Die Anfertigung einer Bodenkarte unter Verwendung von Kriging führte zu schlechten Interpolationsergebnissen in Folge der Aufsummierung von Mess- und Schätzunsicherheiten (d.h. bei spektroskopischer Feldmessung, Kriging-Fehler) und der kleinskaligen Bodenheterogenität. Anhand des gewählten Bodenbewertungsansatzes (vis-NIR Spektroskopie, Strukturvergleich mit Bildanalysetechnik, traditionelle Laboranalysen) konnte gezeigt werden, dass es bei gleichem Bodentyp (Vertisol) signifikante Unterschiede zwischen den Böden unter Bambus und Sekundärwald gibt.
Anhand der wichtigsten Ergebnisse kann festgehalten werden, dass die gewählte Methodenkombination zur detailreicheren und effizienteren Standortuntersuchung und -bewertung für Aufforstungen beitragen kann. Die Ergebnisse dieser Studie geben einen Einblick darauf, wo und wann bei Boden- und Vegetationsmessungen eine besonders hohe Messgenauigkeit erforderlich ist, um Unsicherheiten bei der SVAT Modellierung zu minimieren.:I. Development of method combination for site evaluation for reforestations in data-scarce regions .... 23
2. Motivation, objectives and study approach .... 24
2.1. Introduction and study motivation .... 24
2.1.1. Research objectives and hypotheses ..... 27
2.1.2. Study approach ..... 28
3. Site selection and characterization procedure .... 32
3.1. On large scale – landscape segmentation .... 32
3.2. On local scale - case study site selection and characterization .... 34
3.2.1. Available data and characterization of identified case study site .... 34
3.2.2. Spatial distribution of soil properties - soil structure, bulk density and porosity .... 37
4. Eco-hydrological modeling - deriving plant-physiological model parameters .... 50
4.1. Introduction .... 50
4.2. Motivation and objectives ..... 52
4.3. Methods ... 53
4.3.1. Design of greenhouse experiment .... 53
4.3.2. Derivation of climate time-series .... 56
4.3.3. Plant variables and response to water availability .... 59
4.4. Results and discussion .... 62
4.4.1. Soil sample analysis .... 62
4.4.2. Measured time-series .... 63
4.4.3. Plant response to drought stress ..... 67
4.4.4. Water balance approach and estimated time-series of plant transpiration .... 71
4.4.5. Derived SVAT model plant input parameter .... 73
5. Near-surface geophysics .... 75
5.1. Vis-NIR spectroscopy of soils .... 76
5.1.1. Methods and materials .... 77
5.1.2. Results and discussion .... 79
5.2. Geoelectrics ..... 88
5.2.1. Methods and materials .... 89
5.2.2. Results and discussion .... 94
6. Remote sensing of vegetation .... 102
6.1. Introduction .... 102
6.2. Methods and materials .... 103
6.2.1. RapidEye images and ATCOR description .... 103
6.2.2. Satellite image preparation and atmospheric correction .... 104
6.2.3. LAI field measurement and computation of vegetation indices .... 105
6.2.4. Establishment of empirical LAI retrieval model .... 106
6.3. Results and discussion .... 108
6.3.1. Vegetation index ranking .... 108
II. Uncertainty analysis of model input parameters from geophysical data .... 110
7. Deriving soil properties - vis-NIR spectroscopy technique .... 111
7.1. Motivation .... 111
7.2. Materials and methods .... 113
7.2.1. Study sites .... 113
7.2.2. Samples used for uncertainty analysis .... 114
7.2.3. Vis-NIR spectral measurement, chemometric spectral data transformation and spectroscopic modeling .... 116
7.2.4. Assessment statistics .... 118
7.2.5. Inter-instrument calibration model transferability for soil monitoring .... 119
7.2.6. Analysis of SVAT model sensitivity to soil texture .... 121
7.3. Results and discussion .... 124
7.3.1. Effect of pre-processing transformation methods on prediction accuracy .... 124
7.3.2. Effect of spectral resampling .... 125
7.3.3. Accuracy of soil property prediction .... 127
7.3.4. Spectrometer comparison .... 133
7.3.5. Inter-instrument transferability .... 134
7.3.6. Precision of spectroscopic predictions in the context of SVAT modeling ....139
7.4. Conclusion .... 146
8. Deriving vegetation properties - remote sensing techniques .... 149
8.1. Motivation .... 149
8.2. Materials and methods .... 150
8.2.1. Study site .... 150
8.2.2. RapidEye images .... 150
8.2.3. Satellite image preparation .... 152
8.2.4. Atmospheric correction with parameter variation .... 152
8.2.5. Investigation of two successive images .... 154
8.2.6. LAI field measurement and computation of vegetation indices .... 155
8.2.7. Establishment of empirical LAI retrieval model .... 155
8.2.8. Sensitivity of SVAT model to LAI uncertainty .... 157
8.3. Results and discussion .... 157
8.3.1. Influence of atmospheric correction on RapidEye bands .... 158
8.3.2. Uncertainty of LAI field measurements and empirical relationship .... 161
8.3.3. Influence of ATCOR parameterization on LAI estimation .... 161
8.3.4. LAI variability within one image .... 167
8.3.5. LAI differences within the overlapping area of successive images recorded on the same date .... 171
8.3.6. Evaluation of LAI uncertainty in context of SVAT modeling ... 174
8.4. Conclusion .... 176
III. Synthesis .... 178
9. Summary of results and conclusions .... 179
10. Perspectives .... 185 / Extensos desmatamentos que estão sendo feitos especialmente nos trópicos e sub-trópicos resultam em uma intensa degradação do solo e num aumento da erosão gerando assim uma redução na sua fertilidade. Reflorestamentos ou plantações nestas áreas degradadas podem ser medidas eficazes para atenuar esses problemas e levar a uma melhoria da qualidade do mesmo. No entanto, uma mudança no uso da terra, por exemplo de pastagem para floresta pode ter um impacto crucial no balanço hídrico e isso pode afetar a disponibilidade de água, mesmo sob condições de clima tropical úmido, onde a água normalmente não é um fator limitante. Devemos levar também em consideração que de acordo com projeções de mudanças climáticas, as precipitações em algumas dessas regiões também diminuirão agravando assim, ainda mais o quadro apresentado. Para mitigar esses problemas relacionados com as alterações climáticas, reflorestamentos são frequentemente realizados mas raramente são bem-sucedidos, pois condições ambientais como os requisitos específicos de cada espécie de planta, não são devidamente levados em consideração. Isso é muitas vezes devido, não só pela falta de dados, como também por recursos financeiros limitados, que são problemas comuns em regiões tropicais.
Por esses motivos, são necessárias abordagens inovadoras que devam ser capazes de medir as condições ambientais quase continuamente e de maneira rentável. Simultaneamente com o reflorestamento, deve ser feita uma monitoração a fim de avaliar o sucesso da atividade e para prevenir, ou pelo menos, reduzir os problemas potenciais associados com o mesmo (por exemplo, a escassez de água). Para se evitar falhas e reduzir implicações negativas sobre os ecossistemas, é crucial obter percepções sobre o real balanço hídrico e as mudanças que seriam geradas por esse reflorestamento. Por este motivo, esta tese teve como objetivo desenvolver e testar uma combinação de métodos para avaliação de áreas adequadas para reflorestamento. Com esse intuito, foi colocada no centro da abordagem de avaliação a modelagem do balanço hídrico local, que permite a identificação e estimação de possíveis alterações causadas pelo reflorestamento sob mudança climática considerando o sistema complexo de realimentação e a interação de processos do continuum solo-vegetação-atmosfera. Esses modelos hidrológicos que investigam explicitamente a influência da vegetação no equilíbrio da água são conhecidos como modelos Solo-Vegetação-Atmosfera (SVAT).
Esta pesquisa focou em dois objetivos principais: (i) desenvolvimento e teste de uma combinação de métodos para avaliação de áreas que sofrem com a escassez de dados (pré-requisito do estudo) (Parte I), e (ii) a investigação das consequências da incerteza nos parâmetros de entrada do modelo SVAT, provenientes de dados geofísicos, para modelagem hídrica (Parte II). A fim de satisfazer esses objetivos, o estudo foi feito no nordeste brasileiro,por representar uma área de grande escassez de dados, utilizando como base uma plantação de bambu e uma área de floresta secundária. Uma modelagem do balanço hídrico foi disposta no centro da metodologia para a avaliação de áreas. Este estudo utilizou o CoupModel que é um modelo SVAT unidimensional e que requer informações espaciais detalhadas do solo para (i) a parametrização do modelo, (ii) aumento da escala dos resultados da modelagem, considerando a heterogeneidade do solo de escala local para regional e (iii) o monitoramento de mudanças nas propriedades do solo e características da vegetação ao longo do tempo. Entretanto, as abordagens tradicionais para amostragem de solo e de vegetação e o monitoramento são demorados e caros e portanto muitas vezes limitadas a informações pontuais.
Por esta razão, métodos geofísicos como a espectroscopia visível e infravermelho próximo (vis-NIR) e sensoriamento remoto foram utilizados respectivamente para a medição de propriedades físicas e químicas do solo e para derivar as características da vegetação baseado no índice da área foliar (IAF). Como as propriedades estimadas de solo (principalmente a textura) poderiam ser usadas para parametrizar um modelo SVAT, este estudo investigou toda a cadeia de processamento e as incertezas de previsão relacionadas à textura de solo e ao IAF. Além disso explorou o impacto destas incertezas criadas sobre a previsão do balanço hídrico simulado por CoupModel. O método geoelétrico foi aplicado para investigar a estratificação do solo visando a determinação de um perfil representante. Já a sua estrutura foi explorada usando uma técnica de análise de imagens que permitiu a avaliação quantitativa e a comparabilidade dos aspectos estruturais. Um experimento realizado em uma estufa com plantas de bambu (Bambusa vulgaris) foi criado a fim de determinar as caraterísticas fisiológicas desta espécie que posteriormente seriam utilizadas como parâmetros para o CoupModel.
Os resultados do estudo (Parte III) destacam que é preciso estar consciente das incertezas relacionadas à medição de parâmetros de entrada do modelo SVAT. A incerteza presente em alguns parâmetros de entrada como por exemplo, textura de solo e o IAF influencia significantemente a modelagem do balanço hídrico. Mesmo assim, esta pesquisa indica que vis-NIR espectroscopia é um método rápido e economicamente viável para medir, mapear e monitorar as propriedades físicas (textura) e químicas (N, TOC, TIC, TC) do solo. A precisão da previsão dessas propriedades depende do tipo de instrumento (por exemplo da resolução do sensor), da propriedade da amostra (a composição química por exemplo) e das características das condições climáticas da área. Os resultados apontam também que a sensitividade do CoupModel à incerteza da previsão da textura de solo em respeito ao escoamento superficial, transpiração, evaporação, evapotranspiração e ao conteúdo de água no solo depende das condições gerais da área (por exemplo condições climáticas e tipo de solo).
Por isso, é recomendado realizar uma análise de sensitividade do modelo SVAT prior a medição espectral do solo no campo, para poder considerar adequadamente as condições especificas do área em relação ao clima e ao solo. Além disso, o mapeamento de propriedades de solo previstas pela espectroscopia usando o kriging, resultou em interpolações de baixa qualidade (variogramas fracos) como consequência da acumulação de incertezas surgidas desde a medição no campo até o seu mapeamento (ou seja, previsão do solo via espectroscopia, erro do kriging) e heterogeneidade especifica de uma pequena escala. Osmétodos selecionados para avaliação das áreas (vis-NIR espectroscopia, comparação da estrutura de solo por meio de análise de imagens, análise de laboratório tradicionais) revelou a existência de diferenças significativas entre o solo sob bambu e o sob floresta secundária, apesar de ambas terem sido estabelecidas no mesmo tipo de solo (vertissolo). Refletindo sobre os principais resultados do estudo, pode-se afirmar que a combinação dos métodos escolhidos e aplicados representam uma forma mais detalhada e eficaz de avaliar se uma determinada área é adequada para ser reflorestada. Os resultados apresentados fornecem percepções sobre onde e quando, durante a medição do solo e da vegetação, é necessário se ter uma precisão mais alta a fim de minimizar incertezas potenciais na modelagem com o modelo SVAT.:I. Development of method combination for site evaluation for reforestations in data-scarce regions .... 23
2. Motivation, objectives and study approach .... 24
2.1. Introduction and study motivation .... 24
2.1.1. Research objectives and hypotheses ..... 27
2.1.2. Study approach ..... 28
3. Site selection and characterization procedure .... 32
3.1. On large scale – landscape segmentation .... 32
3.2. On local scale - case study site selection and characterization .... 34
3.2.1. Available data and characterization of identified case study site .... 34
3.2.2. Spatial distribution of soil properties - soil structure, bulk density and porosity .... 37
4. Eco-hydrological modeling - deriving plant-physiological model parameters .... 50
4.1. Introduction .... 50
4.2. Motivation and objectives ..... 52
4.3. Methods ... 53
4.3.1. Design of greenhouse experiment .... 53
4.3.2. Derivation of climate time-series .... 56
4.3.3. Plant variables and response to water availability .... 59
4.4. Results and discussion .... 62
4.4.1. Soil sample analysis .... 62
4.4.2. Measured time-series .... 63
4.4.3. Plant response to drought stress ..... 67
4.4.4. Water balance approach and estimated time-series of plant transpiration .... 71
4.4.5. Derived SVAT model plant input parameter .... 73
5. Near-surface geophysics .... 75
5.1. Vis-NIR spectroscopy of soils .... 76
5.1.1. Methods and materials .... 77
5.1.2. Results and discussion .... 79
5.2. Geoelectrics ..... 88
5.2.1. Methods and materials .... 89
5.2.2. Results and discussion .... 94
6. Remote sensing of vegetation .... 102
6.1. Introduction .... 102
6.2. Methods and materials .... 103
6.2.1. RapidEye images and ATCOR description .... 103
6.2.2. Satellite image preparation and atmospheric correction .... 104
6.2.3. LAI field measurement and computation of vegetation indices .... 105
6.2.4. Establishment of empirical LAI retrieval model .... 106
6.3. Results and discussion .... 108
6.3.1. Vegetation index ranking .... 108
II. Uncertainty analysis of model input parameters from geophysical data .... 110
7. Deriving soil properties - vis-NIR spectroscopy technique .... 111
7.1. Motivation .... 111
7.2. Materials and methods .... 113
7.2.1. Study sites .... 113
7.2.2. Samples used for uncertainty analysis .... 114
7.2.3. Vis-NIR spectral measurement, chemometric spectral data transformation and spectroscopic modeling .... 116
7.2.4. Assessment statistics .... 118
7.2.5. Inter-instrument calibration model transferability for soil monitoring .... 119
7.2.6. Analysis of SVAT model sensitivity to soil texture .... 121
7.3. Results and discussion .... 124
7.3.1. Effect of pre-processing transformation methods on prediction accuracy .... 124
7.3.2. Effect of spectral resampling .... 125
7.3.3. Accuracy of soil property prediction .... 127
7.3.4. Spectrometer comparison .... 133
7.3.5. Inter-instrument transferability .... 134
7.3.6. Precision of spectroscopic predictions in the context of SVAT modeling ....139
7.4. Conclusion .... 146
8. Deriving vegetation properties - remote sensing techniques .... 149
8.1. Motivation .... 149
8.2. Materials and methods .... 150
8.2.1. Study site .... 150
8.2.2. RapidEye images .... 150
8.2.3. Satellite image preparation .... 152
8.2.4. Atmospheric correction with parameter variation .... 152
8.2.5. Investigation of two successive images .... 154
8.2.6. LAI field measurement and computation of vegetation indices .... 155
8.2.7. Establishment of empirical LAI retrieval model .... 155
8.2.8. Sensitivity of SVAT model to LAI uncertainty .... 157
8.3. Results and discussion .... 157
8.3.1. Influence of atmospheric correction on RapidEye bands .... 158
8.3.2. Uncertainty of LAI field measurements and empirical relationship .... 161
8.3.3. Influence of ATCOR parameterization on LAI estimation .... 161
8.3.4. LAI variability within one image .... 167
8.3.5. LAI differences within the overlapping area of successive images recorded on the same date .... 171
8.3.6. Evaluation of LAI uncertainty in context of SVAT modeling ... 174
8.4. Conclusion .... 176
III. Synthesis .... 178
9. Summary of results and conclusions .... 179
10. Perspectives .... 185
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