This dissertation examines the role of the fundamental economic variables (price levels, interest rates, and income levels) in the determination of foreign exchange rates during the period 1973-1978. Purchasing power parity, the International Fisher Effect, and the relationship of exchange rates with income levels through the marginal propensity to import were integrated, as suggested by the literature, and a fairly reasonable specification of a model for exchange rate determination was measured. The results of speculation tests indicate destabilizing results for some currencies and stabilizing results for the others; the coefficient of expectation tests, however, lend support to the destabilizing hypothesis. The conclusion of the research, therefore, is that the exchange rates of the major industrial countries which are of prime importance to the international financier and investor, and to the student of international finance and trade, are primarily determined, not by the fundamental economic variables, but by speculative forces which are believed to be of a destabilizing nature.

This study aims to explore how the gendered allocation of tasks within political parties influences the career path for male and female politicians through a case study of the Swedish Center party. A gendered allocation of tasks has earlier been observed in the context of academia and business, where women tend to perform more tasks with low promotability and men more tasks with high promotability. According to the existing research, this contributes to the enduring work place inequality. A survey was conducted among leading politicians in the Center party to determine which tasks have high and low promotability. A parallel survey was then administered among members of the party’s youth organization to determine which tasks male and female members perform. The results show that men are significantly more interested than women in pursuing a political career and perform a significantly larger amount of tasks. The study provides no evidence that female members of the Center party youth organization in general perform more tasks with low promotability than their male colleagues, and more research is required to determine if and why that is so.

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento CientÃfico e TecnolÃgico / Este estudo investiga os efeitos da estabilizaÃÃo da inflaÃÃo no Brasil nos Ãndices de preÃos regionais atravÃs da teoria da Paridade do Poder de Compra. Para tanto, utilizamos o Ãndice Nacional de PreÃos ao Consumidor Amplo, IPCA, abrangendo as nove regiÃes metropolitanas brasileiras durante o perÃodo de 1989 a 2011. Iniciamos nossa anÃlise com o teste de Perron e Yabu (2009) com o objetivo de verificar possÃveis quebras estruturais nas sÃries de cÃmbio real entre as regiÃes metropolitanas. Visando confirmar a hipÃtese da Paridade do Poder de Compra para o Brasil, aplicamos o teste de raiz unitÃria ERS (1996) bem como o teste de Kim (2000) posteriormente modificado por Harvey, Leybourne e Taylor (2006) para verificar possÃveis mudanÃas de persistÃncia nas sÃries. Durante o perÃodo analisado foi detectada uma diminuiÃÃo da persistÃncia das sÃries, creditamos esse fenÃmeno ao controle inflacionÃrio com o implemento do Plano Real, evidenciando que a estabilidade dos preÃos influi positivamente na validaÃÃo da hipÃtese da Paridade do Poder de Compra. / This study investigates the effects of inflation stabilization in Brazil in regional price indices through the theory of Purchasing Power Parity. We used the National Index of Consumer Prices Broad, IPCA, covering nine metropolitan regions during the period of 1989 to 2011. We begin our analysis with the test of Perron and Yabu (2009) in order to check for possible structural breaks in the series of real exchange rates between the metropolitan areas. To confirm the hypothesis of Purchasing Power Parity for Brazil, we apply the unit root test ERS (1996) as well as the test of Kim (2000) later modified by Harvey, Leybourne and Taylor (2006) to check for possible changes of persistence in the series. During the period analyzed was detected a decrease of the persistence of the series, we credit this phenomenon to the implement of the Real Plan, showing that price stability positively influence the validation of the hypothesis of Purchasing Power Parity.

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A participação de usuários de serviços de saúde mental em pesquisas acadêmicas é uma tendência recente que vem, de forma incipiente, sendo adotada no Brasil. São iniciativas interessantes na medida em que promovem a democratização da produção de conhecimento, conferindo a grupos populares a oportunidade de ter se colocarem frente às suas necessidades específicas. Rose (2003) coloca que existem vários níveis de participação e essas iniciativas não representam necessariamente a emancipação dos usuários, sendo necessário que se observe e qualifique o protagonismo dos participantes. A presente tese visa avaliar quais os efeitos do envolvimento de uma associação de usuários (a AFLORE) junto a uma aliança internacional de pesquisa (a ARUCI-SMC). Nos utilizamos da metodologia da pesquisa ação participante afim de que os membros da associação pudessem se envolver diretamente em diferentes etapas desta pesquisa, como a formulação de perguntas de pesquisa e a sistematização da experiência. As análises aqui propostas baseiam-se no conceito de paridade participativa em Nancy Fraser, que é composto por três dimensões interligadas: o reconhecimento, a redistribuição e a representação. Partiremos destas dimensões para avaliar em que medida a parceria de pesquisa promove a paridade participativa dos envolvidos. A participação de usuários em pesquisas na aliança em questão parte do reconhecimento dos mesmos enquanto sujeitos portadores de um saber único, que advém da experiência. No entanto o contrato entre universidade e comunidade e reforça estruturas sociais que bloqueiam a paridade participativa, promovendo a desigualdade. É necessário que a academia se disponha a rever aspectos como a vinculação formal com a universidade e a possibilidade de remuneração para pesquisadores comunitários. Além disso a linguagem é apresentada como aspecto que dificulta a participação de membros da comunidade. Uma estratégia de linguagem adotada nesta pesquisa é a produção audiovisual realizada de forma dialógica entre técnico do audiovisual e pesquisadores, potencializando a sistematização do conhecimento a partir das demandas do grupo de pesquisadores comunitários / The participation of mental health service consumers in academic research is a recent trend that has being adopted in Brazil. Such initiatives promote the democratization of knowledge production. This way popular groups have the opportunity to put forward their specific needs. Rose (2003) states that there are several levels of participation and these initiatives do not necessarily represent the empowerment of consumers, being necessary to observe and qualify the role of the participants. This thesis aims to assess what effects the involvement of an association of consumers (AFLORE) next to an international research alliance (the ARUCISMC). The use of participatory action research methodology enables consumers to be directly involved at different stages of this research. Consumers were involved in the formulation of research questions and the systematization of experience. The analysis proposed here is based on the concept of participatory parity in Nancy Fraser, which consists of three interrelated dimensions: recognition, redistribution and representation. We leave these dimensions to assess to what extent the research partnership promotes participatory parity of those involved. Consumers participation in the alliance research is based on the recognition that they are subjects with a unique knowledge that comes from experience. However, the contract between the university and community reinforces social structures that block the participatory parity, promoting inequality. Academy has to review aspects such as the formal link between the university and community researchers. Also the language is presented as an aspect that hinders the participation of community members. A language strategy adopted in this research is the audiovisual production

Ce travail de thèse sur les masculinités du métier politique au temps de la paritéentend répondre à la question de la convertibilité des propriétés masculines en capitalpolitique, question d'autant plus intéressante à poser que ces masculinités sontproduites dans un contexte marqué par les critiques des manières masculinesd'endosser les rôles de représentant. Ces masculinités sont diverses. Leursproductions et leurs usages dépendent des propriétés sociales, politiques et sexuellesde ceux qui les incarnent. Surtout, ces identités masculines peuvent faire l'objet d'uneadaptation aux critères de légitimité liés à l'émergence d'un second individualisme –pourtant symboliquement associé au féminin. Elles contribuent alors à la légitimationdu personnel politique en général et des établis du champ politique en particulier. Danssa variante conservatrice-progressiste, le registre de la masculinité participe encore àla légitimation des ordres politique, social et sexuel dans leur ensemble ; il s'agit donclà d'une masculinité hégémonique au sens fort du terme. / This dissertation on professional politicians' masculinities in a context of parity aims atadressing the question of convertibility of masculine properties into political capitalwhile occuring in a context of criticism towards the masculine ways of assuming arepresentative role. Such masculinities are diverse. Their productions and uses dependupon the social, political and sexual properties of those who embody them. Above all,these masculine identities can be adapted to meet the legitimacy criteria related to theemerging second individualism - yet symbolically linked to femininity. They thencontribute to the legitimization of professional politicians in general and to thelegitimization of those who are members of the political establishment in particular. Inits conservative-progressive version, the use of masculinity still participates to thelegitimization of the political, social and sexual orders as a whole. This type ofmasculinity is an hegemonic masculinity in the strongest understanding of the term.

Objetivo: Determinar potenciales factores de riesgo para diabetes mellitus gestacional (DMG). Métodos: Estudio de casos y controles realizado en el Hospital Alberto Sabogal mediante recolección de historias clínicas del 2009 a 2014. Se define como caso las gestantes con diagnóstico de DMG mediante una prueba de tolerancia oral a la glucosa (PTOG), previa glucosa en ayunas anormal y control a la gestante sin valores indicativos de DMG. Las variables de interés fueron paridad, antecedente de cesáreas, abortos y recién nacido con mayor peso. Modelos de regresión logística fueron calculados para estimar odd ratios (OR) e intervalos de confianza al 95% (IC95%). Resultados: Se incluyeron 84 casos y 336 controles. En el modelo multivariado, la multiparidad incrementó el riesgo de DMG (OR= 3,54; IC95% 1,55 – 8,14). También, antecedente de abortos, a partir del segundo aborto (OR= 3,40, IC95% 1,55 – 7,44) y cesáreas previas (1 cesárea OR= 3,5 IC95% 1,89 – 6,47 y 2+ cesáreas OR=8,35 IC95% 3,50 – 19,95). La multiparidad, dos o más abortos y mayor número de cesáreas son factores de riesgo para DMG. / Objectives: To identify risk factors for gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Methods: A case-control study was performed in Alberto Sabogal Hospital, collecting medical records from 2009 to 2014. A case was defined as a pregnant women diagnosed with GDM by an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) after an abnormal fasting glucose and control was defined as a pregnant women without GDM indicative values. The study outcome was GDM. The variables of interest were multiparity, previous cesarean section, abortions, newborn with the greatest weight. Logistic regression were used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and a confidence interval of 95% (IC95%). Results: 84 cases and 336 controls were included. In the multivariate model, multiparity increased risk of GDM (OR= 3.54, 95% CI 1.55 to 8.14). As well history of abortions, from the second abortion (OR= 3.40, 95% CI 1.55 to 7.44) and previous cesarean section are also related (cesarean section 1 OR= 3.5 95% CI 1.89 to 6.47 and 2+ cesarean OR= 8.35 95% CI 3.50 to 19.95). Multiparity, two or more abortions, a biggest number of cesarean sections are GDM risk factors.

This thesis concerns with speculative carry trade strategy. Carry trade is based on breach of Uncovered Interest Parity. The theoretical part is focused on traditional fundamental analysis. This thesis deals with the identification of carry trade existence and capture their expressions in the financial markets, verification profitability and attractiveness of carry trade operations, analysis of conditions for carry trade on financial markets before and after global financial crisis 2008. Important part of the work was also description of the consequences of carry trade transactions and their effects on the exchange rate and financial situation

A síndrome dos ovários policísticos (SOP) é o distúrbio endócrino-metabólico mais frequente na menacme, com prevalência de 7 a 10 %, contribuindo com o aumento do risco cardiovascular e/ou diabetes mellitus tipo II nessas mulheres. OBJETIVOS: Identificar as características epidemiológicas e os diferentes fenótipos da SOP, a prevalência da síndrome metabólica encontrada em cada fenótipo e os fatores associados ao risco metabólico dessas pacientes. CASUÍSTICA E MÉTODO: Estudo observacional com 566 mulheres entre 14 e 39 anos portadoras de SOP, segundo o consenso de Rotterdam. O risco metabólico foi avaliado pela análise descritiva com intervalo de confiança de 95%. As variáveis quantitativas foram testadas pelo método de Shapiro-Wilk e teste não paramétrico de Mann-Whitney. Para a análise multivariada usou-se a razão de prevalências entre as diversas variáveis independentes e o desfecho risco metabólico. Identificamos os fatores associados ao risco metabólico empregando a regressão de Cox com variância robusta. RESULTADOS: Das 566 pacientes, 27,9% tinham entre 20 e 24 anos; 84,5% eram afrodescendentes; 90,6% apresentavam irregularidade menstrual; 91,8% hirsutismo; 77,7% ovários aumentados e/ou policísticos; 15,7% com pelo menos um filho; IMC elevado em 66,5%; CA superior a 88 em 51%; pressão arterial sistólica e diastólica elevadas em 38,9% e 20% das pacientes respectivamente; 7,7% intolerância a carboidratos, 40,8% de HDL-colesterol reduzido, 8,8% de triglicerídeos elevados. Encontramos risco metabólico em 21%, com predomínio dos fenótipos E (28,4%), B (25%) e A (22%). Antecedentes familiares de diabete, hipertensão arterial, câncer ginecológico e câncer não ginecológico não contribuíram, com significância estatística, para o aumento de eventos metabólicos. O acréscimo de um ano na idade elevou o risco em 5%. A cada subida de uma unidade no IMC foram adicionados 8%. A presença de hirsutismo triplicou o risco. Pacientes com pelo menos um filho apresentaram duas vezes mais síndrome metabólica do que as sem filhos. CONCLUSÕES: Foi observada maior frequência de síndrome metabólica entre os fenótipos que apresentam em comum oligoanovulação e hirsutismo (E, B e A). Em pacientes com SOP a idade, a paridade, a presença de hirsutismo e obesidade foram os fatores independentemente relacionados ao aumento do risco metabólico / Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is an endocrine and metabolic disorder that is more frequent in premenopausal, affecting 7 to 10% of women, contributing to the increase of cardiovascular and/or type II diabetes mellitus risk. OBJECTIVES: To identify the epidemiological characteristics and different phenotypes of PCOS, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome found in each phenotype and metabolic risk factors associated with these patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Observational study of 566 women between 14 and 39 years with PCOS according to the Rotterdam criteria. The metabolic risk was assessed by descriptive analysis with a confidence interval of 95%. Quantitative variables were tested by using Shapiro-Wilk method and nonparametric Mann-Whitney test. For the multivariate analysis the prevalence ratio between several independent variables and the outcome metabolic risk were used. Factors associated with the metabolic risk were identified by using Cox regression with a robust variance. RESULTS: Of 566 patients, 27.9% were between 20 and 24 years, 84.5% were of African descents; 90.6% had oligoanovulation; 91.8% hirsutism; 77.7% enlarged ovaries and/or polycystic, 15.7% with at least one child in high BMI 66.5%, CA 88 exceeding 51%; systolic and diastolic blood pressure elevated by 38.9% and 20% of patients, respectively, 7.7% carbohydrate intolerance, 40.8% HDL-cholesterol changed, 8.8% triglyceride levels. Metabolic risk found in 21%, with a predominance of E phenotypes (28.4%), B (25%) and A (22.1%). Family history of diabetes, hypertension, gynecological cancer and gynecological cancer does not contribute with statistical significance for increased metabolic events. The one-year increase in age raised the risk by 5%. Every increase of one unit in BMI 8% were added. Presence of hirsutism tripled the risk. Patients with at least one child were twice as metabolic syndrome than those without children. CONCLUSIONS: A higher frequency of metabolic syndrome phenotypes that have in common oligoanovulation and hirsutism (E, B and A) were observed. Independently associated factors with the metabolic risk in PCOS patients were age, parity, hirsutism and obesity