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How the transnational garment will impact on the China governmentLin, Shiao-ya 09 February 2007 (has links)
This research is in terms of the multi-national corporation (MNCs) that is to understand the investment and the overall arrangement of the world, Hong Kong, and Taiwan¡¦s garment marketing in Mainland China. Furthermore, to go deep into how the transnational garment will impact on the China government.
Due to the debut of China-US textiles trade war issue in 2005, now we are about to analyze the triangle relationships among the transnational garment and Sino-America governments in textile trade negotiation, so to the Chinese government¡¦s textile industrial policies and development goal under the competition and changing of the international garment marketing after entering WTO.
At the mean time, this paper studies in quota system of garment, and also assess to the argument of abolishing quota system from WTO recently. Hence to analyze the internal and external factors such like the negotiation to the garment and textile¡¦s quota between China and US government in 2005. With those international and domestic factors eventually predicts the impact on transnational garment.
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Institutions, cooperation, and the quota management systemBoas, Andrew, n/a January 1994 (has links)
The purpose of this thesis is to analyse the evolution of New Zealand�s Quota Management System (QMS) for marine fisheries. Analysis is performed using institutional theory and methodology.
A broad review of institutional theory is made. In contrast to neoclassical economic theory, of which institutionalists have been a major voice of dissent, institutionalism stresses a holistic approach to policy analysis. An understanding of the the forces for institutional change and the structure of that change are the primary focus of institutionalism.
An institutional framework for understanding the common pool nature of fishery resources is adopted. This highlights how the physical and technical characteristics of the resource and related decision-making arrangements influence the patterns of human interaction that determine the outcomes of a management regime such as the QMS.
It is shown that the QMS was adopted in 1986 to address the biological crisis that had occurred because of past open access management policies. The fiscal crisis and the economic ideology prevailing at the time were also influential in promoting the QMS. The system was not able to be expanded as was intended because of a series of challenges from Maori disputing the Crown�s right to fishery resources. The Deed of Settlement signed in 1992, has supposedly settled Maori claims to commercial fisheries and allowed expansion of the QMS.
Assessing the QMS using the institutional framework developed, showed the strong influence that neoclassical ideology has played in determining the outcomes achieved. Inadequate information concerning biophysical, social and economic implications of fishing constrain the ability of the QMS to successfully manage the resource. Inconsistencies and inadequacies in the legislation are only just being addressed as part of a comprehensive legislative review process.
The future development of the QMS is also addressed in terms of the likelihood of cooperative common property management regimes being adopted. The common pool nature of the fisheries makes common property management regimes preferable. Cooperative community cultures are claimed by institutionalists to improve the outcomes achieved in common property regimes. There was considered, however, to be only limited potential for cooperation within the current institutional structure for New Zealand�s fisheries. Although the changes of the legislative review appear to be making some progressive changes, the diversity of interest groups and the prevailing western culture are seen as potential impediments to a comprehensive cooperative regime.
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Institutions, cooperation, and the quota management systemBoas, Andrew, n/a January 1994 (has links)
The purpose of this thesis is to analyse the evolution of New Zealand�s Quota Management System (QMS) for marine fisheries. Analysis is performed using institutional theory and methodology.
A broad review of institutional theory is made. In contrast to neoclassical economic theory, of which institutionalists have been a major voice of dissent, institutionalism stresses a holistic approach to policy analysis. An understanding of the the forces for institutional change and the structure of that change are the primary focus of institutionalism.
An institutional framework for understanding the common pool nature of fishery resources is adopted. This highlights how the physical and technical characteristics of the resource and related decision-making arrangements influence the patterns of human interaction that determine the outcomes of a management regime such as the QMS.
It is shown that the QMS was adopted in 1986 to address the biological crisis that had occurred because of past open access management policies. The fiscal crisis and the economic ideology prevailing at the time were also influential in promoting the QMS. The system was not able to be expanded as was intended because of a series of challenges from Maori disputing the Crown�s right to fishery resources. The Deed of Settlement signed in 1992, has supposedly settled Maori claims to commercial fisheries and allowed expansion of the QMS.
Assessing the QMS using the institutional framework developed, showed the strong influence that neoclassical ideology has played in determining the outcomes achieved. Inadequate information concerning biophysical, social and economic implications of fishing constrain the ability of the QMS to successfully manage the resource. Inconsistencies and inadequacies in the legislation are only just being addressed as part of a comprehensive legislative review process.
The future development of the QMS is also addressed in terms of the likelihood of cooperative common property management regimes being adopted. The common pool nature of the fisheries makes common property management regimes preferable. Cooperative community cultures are claimed by institutionalists to improve the outcomes achieved in common property regimes. There was considered, however, to be only limited potential for cooperation within the current institutional structure for New Zealand�s fisheries. Although the changes of the legislative review appear to be making some progressive changes, the diversity of interest groups and the prevailing western culture are seen as potential impediments to a comprehensive cooperative regime.
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A TRAJETÓRIA DOS ALUNOS AFRODESCENDENTES NOS CURSOS SUPERIORES DO IF SUL-RIO-GRANDENSE CAMPUS PELOTAS: UM OLHAR SOBRE A NECESSIDADE DO SISTEMA DE COTASPereira, Olga Maria Lima 17 September 2010 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2010-09-17 / This work makes a call about the need to implement the quota system or inclusive policies at the Instituto Federal de Educação Sul-rio-grandense, Campus Pelotas. It demonstrates, through research, the history of exclusion experienced by black / African descendants from the colonial Brazil until today. It makes a reading and analyzing various laws of the black support in the pre-and post-abolitionist, and a look at the constitution of 1988, emphasizing many of the objectives listed there, such as: inequalities, cultural diversity, human dignity , and guarantees rights, social rights and basic fundamental, as well as the right to education as a fundamental human right for all and, finally, a critical view on the opinions for and against the quota system, its own Statute of Racial Equality, the which has yet to contemplate, with dignity, equal rights for African descendants. Such approaches have enabled analysis more committed against the black / African descent with respect to the inclusion through the Quota System. Thus, it is intended to deepen and scoring difficulties that make the rules guiding support to the black / African descendants in Brazilian society, something which is increasingly distant from the reality experienced in terms of access to higher education / Este trabalho de pesquisa faz um chamamento sobre a necessidade de implantação do Sistema de Cotas ou de políticas inclusivas no Instituto Federal Sul-rio-grandense, Campus Pelotas. Demonstra, por meio da pesquisa, o histórico de exclusão social sofrida pelo negro/afrodescendente desde o Brasil-Colônia até a atualidade. Faz uma leitura e análise de diversas leis de amparo ao negro no período pré e pós-abolicionista, bem como um olhar sobre o texto constitucional de 1988, procurando enfatizar muito dos objetivos ali elencados, como: desigualdades, diversidade cultural, dignidade da pessoa humana, direitos e garantias, direitos sociais e fundamentais básicos, assim como o direito à educação como um direito humano fundamental a todos e, finalmente, uma abordagem crítica sobre as opiniões favoráveis e contrárias ao Sistema de Cotas e ao próprio Estatuto da Igualdade Racial, o qual ainda não conseguiu contemplar, com dignidade, uma igualdade de direitos para os afrodescendentes. Tais abordagens possibilitaram análises mais comprometidas em relação ao negro/afrodescendente no que se refere à inclusão por meio do Sistema de Cotas. Com isso, pretende-se, aprofundar e pontuar as dificuldades norteadoras que tornam a legislação de amparo ao negro/afrodescendente na sociedade brasileira algo cada vez mais distante da realidade vivenciada em termos de acesso ao Ensino Superior
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Significado do sistema de cotas para o ingresso no ensino superior para estudantes negros de escolas públicas de FortalezaMelo, Janaína Farias de January 2016 (has links)
MELO, Janaína Farias de. Significado do sistema de cotas para o ingresso no ensino superior para estudantes negros de escolas públicas de Fortaleza. 2016. 107f. – Dissertação (Mestrado) – Universidade Federal do Ceará, Programa de Pós-graduação em Psicologia, Fortaleza (CE), 2016. / Submitted by Márcia Araújo (marcia_m_bezerra@yahoo.com.br) on 2016-06-30T16:21:45Z
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Previous issue date: 2016 / This dissertation has as objective to analyze the meaning of Affirmative Action Policity – Quota System for adolescents and young people from public schools in Fortaleza, who declared themselves as African descendants, from the changes in access to public university process. The methodology is qualitative approach, using Focus Group with students from a school in which the students have shown greater knowledge about the Affirmative Action Policity, based on the analysis of responses to a questionnaire, applied on 464 students which participated the survey “Expectativas de futuro de jovens negros do Ensino Médio de escolas públicas de fortaleza: implicações da implantação do Sistema de Cotas no Ceará” (2014-2015). The material registered in the focus group had been interpreted based on the analysis of Bakhtin’s Speech coming from the linguistic theory and the Cultural History that is based on the assumption of language as a dialogical process and producer of human subjectivity. The understanding of the meanings and the sense constructed by subjects in relation to their educational future against of the deployment of the quota system, as well as the regards issues related to ethnic identity had been valorized. Was departed, then the assumption that new meanings was produced by theses students about access to higher education as they know the opportunities arising from the affirmative action’s policy for expanding the admission of black students in higher education. With the Focus Group, we conclude that students demonstrated do not have a meaningfully differentiated knowledge of the Quota System, understanding superficially how it works and the changes it can bring to your entrances in higher education, but not empowering as protagonists of these rights or understanding more deeply of the system implementation reasons. Thus, the significance and the meanings produced by the students regarding the changes related to entrance to the higher education resemble those of common sense, i.e. they are not based on fundamentals that guide the elaboration of the quota policy, which take them to a favorable position to the social quotas and to a rejection of racial quotas, because they believe that the racial one will promote the intensification of prejudice, dissociating the ethnic-racial issue of historical, economic and social factor. We see based on the results the necessity of thinking ways of dissemination and discussion of quotas for students in high school, order to give them the understanding of the historical and political significance of its implementation and they can empower the rights, not moving away from a policy that is being done to the students themselves. / Essa dissertação possui por objetivo analisar, o significado da Política de Ações Afirmativas – Sistema de Cotas para adolescentes e jovens de ensino médio de Escolas Públicas de Fortaleza, que se autodeclaram como negros, a partir das mudanças no processo de acesso à universidade pública. A metodologia é de abordagem qualitativa, utilizando-se de Grupo Focal com estudantes de uma das escolas em que os alunos demonstraram maior conhecimento acerca das Políticas de Ações Afirmativas, a partir da análise das respostas de um questionário, aplicado em 464 estudantes que participaram da pesquisa “Expectativas de futuro de jovens negros do Ensino Médio de escolas públicas de fortaleza: implicações da implantação do Sistema de Cotas no Ceará” (2014-2015). O material registrado no grupo focal foi interpretado com base na Análise do Discurso de orientação bakhtiniana, teoria proveniente da linguística, e na Teoria Histórico Cultural que partem do pressuposto da linguagem como um processo dialógico e produtor da subjetividade humana. Valorizou-se a compreensão dos significados e sentidos construídos pelos sujeitos em relação ao seu futuro educacional diante da implantação do sistema de cotas, bem como em relação às questões referentes à identidade étnica. Partiu-se, então, da hipótese de que novos significados são produzidos por esses estudantes acerca do ingresso no ensino superior, na medida em que conhecem oportunidades surgidas com a política de ações afirmativas voltadas para a ampliação do ingresso de estudantes negros no ensino superior. Com o Grupo Focal, concluímos que os alunos não demonstraram possuir um conhecimento significativamente diferenciado acerca do Sistema de Cotas, entendendo, de forma superficial como funciona e as mudanças que pode trazer para seus ingressos no ensino superior, mas não se empoderando como protagonistas destes direitos, nem compreendendo de forma mais aprofundada os motivos de implementação do sistema. Assim, os significados e sentidos produzidos pelos alunos em relação às mudanças relacionadas ao ingresso no Ensino Superior se assemelham aos do senso comum, isto é, não estão baseados nos fundamentos que norteiam a elaboração da política de cotas, o que os levam a um posicionamento favorável às cotas sociais e a uma rejeição às cotas raciais, por acreditarem promover o acirramento do preconceito, dissociando a questão étnico-racial dos fatores históricos, econômicos e sociais. Vemos, a partir dos resultados, a necessidade de se pensar em formas de divulgação e debate sobre as cotas para os alunos de Ensino Médio, para que os mesmos compreendam o significado histórico e político de sua implementação e possam se empoderar de seus direitos
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Spain's electricity market design : A case studyBennerstedt, Patrik, Grelsson, Johan January 2012 (has links)
Spain’s rapid implementation of renewable energy has been described as a success but thegovernmental cost associated to this rapid implementation has grown significantly. The purposeof this report is to investigate Spain’s electricity market, its current situation and present it, usingthe Swedish system as a reference.The report commences with a presentation of the Spanish and the Swedish electricity markets,followed by a chapter where they are compared. The renewable electricity production and theassociated development during the last decade is one focus of the comparison. The other focus ishow the costs of the subsidy systems have evolved and how they are connected to the differentenergy sources. Two sources, wind and solar, receives a higher interest than the others.Wind power shows a strong development in electricity production and contributes to asignificant part of the Spanish electricity mix. The costs of subsidies connected to the windpower reflect the produced electricity. Wind power in Sweden has had a rapid development overthe last two years and the subsidies costs are aligned with the electricity production through theuse of a quota system.There are great differences between the two countries regarding solar power. Sweden has hardlyany, while Spain has a noticeable contribution of electricity from solar power to its electricitymix. Solar power has an even more noticeable share in the Spanish subsidy system. The highsubsidies to solar power, which have not followed the reduced investment costs of equipment inrecent years, have led to a high degree of participation which has led to soaring costs for thesystem. Spain’s subsidy system is based on fixed earnings and variable costs and in combinationwith higher than expected costs, an annual deficit between the earnings and cost has been createdfor the government. This yearly deficit has increased and the Spanish government is now in debtto the five largest energy suppliers. The Swedish subsidy system carries its own costs and theSwedish government does not have a financial risk associated with the system.This study shows that the Spanish subsidy system has been too generous towards solar powerwhich is a large part, but not the only one, to the country’s huge deficit and debt. Sweden, withits quota system constructed without fixed earnings, does not risk creating a debt similar toSpain’s. Spain’s large part of wind power and how the volatile power is regulated could be ofinterest for Sweden which aims to increase its share of wind power in the future. This study findthe answer to how Spain copes with its high share of intermittent power production in that itaccepts a lower efficiency in its gas turbines in order to regulate the power output. Sweden, acountry without a large share of gas in its electricity mix, but with a large share of hydro power,uses its hydro capacity to regulate volatility in electricity system. Prior studies have already beenmade in this area with the result that 30 TWh of electricity from wind power, more thanSweden’s goal for 2020 regarding wind power, would be possible to regulate with the presentsystem each year.
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A TRAJETÓRIA DOS ALUNOS AFRODESCENDENTES NOS CURSOS SUPERIORES DO IF SUL-RIO-GRANDENSE CAMPUS PELOTAS: UM OLHAR SOBRE A NECESSIDADE DO SISTEMA DE COTAS.Pereira, Olga Maria Lima 17 September 2010 (has links)
Made available in DSpace on 2016-03-22T17:26:31Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
OLGA Pereira.pdf: 1606396 bytes, checksum: eccb92b8f0255c62fd4905a87d676334 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2010-09-17 / This work makes a call about the need to implement the quota system or inclusive policies at the Instituto Federal de Educação Sul-rio-grandense, Campus Pelotas. It demonstrates, through research, the history of exclusion experienced by black / African descendants from the colonial Brazil until today. It makes a reading and analyzing various laws of the black support in the pre-and post-abolitionist, and a look at the constitution of 1988, emphasizing many of the objectives listed there, such as: inequalities, cultural diversity, human dignity , and guarantees rights, social rights and basic fundamental, as well as the right to education as a fundamental human right for all and, finally, a critical view on the opinions for and against the quota system, its own Statute of Racial Equality, the which has yet to contemplate, with dignity, equal rights for African descendants. Such approaches have enabled analysis more committed against the black / African descent with respect to the inclusion through the Quota System. Thus, it is intended to deepen and scoring difficulties that make the rules guiding support to the black / African descendants in Brazilian society, something which is increasingly distant from the reality experienced in terms of access to higher education / Este trabalho de pesquisa faz um chamamento sobre a necessidade de implantação do Sistema de Cotas ou de políticas inclusivas no Instituto Federal Sul-rio-grandense, Campus Pelotas. Demonstra, por meio da pesquisa, o histórico de exclusão social sofrida pelo negro/afrodescendente desde o Brasil-Colônia até a atualidade. Faz uma leitura e análise de diversas leis de amparo ao negro no período pré e pós-abolicionista, bem como um olhar sobre o texto constitucional de 1988, procurando enfatizar muito dos objetivos ali elencados, como: desigualdades, diversidade cultural, dignidade da pessoa humana, direitos e garantias, direitos sociais e fundamentais básicos, assim como o direito à educação como um direito humano fundamental a todos e, finalmente, uma abordagem crítica sobre as opiniões favoráveis e contrárias ao Sistema de Cotas e ao próprio Estatuto da Igualdade Racial, o qual ainda não conseguiu contemplar, com dignidade, uma igualdade de direitos para os afrodescendentes. Tais abordagens possibilitaram análises mais comprometidas em relação ao negro/afrodescendente no que se refere à inclusão por meio do Sistema de Cotas. Com isso, pretende-se, aprofundar e pontuar as dificuldades norteadoras que tornam a legislação de amparo ao negro/afrodescendente na sociedade brasileira algo cada vez mais distante da realidade vivenciada em termos de acesso ao Ensino Superior
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Implantação de políticas públicas de ações afirmativas no contexto da UFAL: estudo de caso de 2005 a 2006 / Implemation of public policies of affirmative action in the context of UFAL: case study of the 2005 a 2006Santos, Marizângela Melo dos 14 March 2014 (has links)
Education changes through time according to the socioeconomic and political context in relation to the society in which it therefore applies variable. The concept of education is a goal to achieve and Brazil has been making major investments in the area to raise their level of basic and higher education, however, still insufficient to show a real increase in international education development index. With so many differences Brazil has been investing in public policies, as a means of providing to reduce inequality, whether social, racial and gender order, giving the needy a new perspective on life. The public policy of affirmative action for admission to higher education are fair and necessary, represent part of the government's investment and at the same time raise a big difference in the quality and lack of elementary and secondary education of needy social layer in relation to the wealthy. Thus this dissertation shows how the implementation of quotas in the Federal University occurred, analyzing how this deployment is providing access to the upper level. Evidently the quota system is positive about many aspects both for the institution, and for the teachers and students. / A Educação muda através do tempo de acordo com o contexto socioeconômico e político em relação à sociedade em que se aplica, portanto, variável. O conceito de Educação representa um objetivo a se alcançar e o Brasil, vem fazendo grandes investimentos na área para elevar seu nível de educação de base e superior, porém, ainda insuficientes para evidenciar um aumento real dos índices internacionais de desenvolvimento da educação. Com tantas diferenças o Brasil vem apostando nas políticas públicas, como meio de proporcionar a diminuição das desigualdades, seja de ordem social, racial e gênero, propiciando a população necessitada uma nova perspectiva de vida. A política pública das ações afirmativas de acesso ao ensino superior são justas e necessárias, representam parte dos investimentos do governo e ao mesmo tempo suscitam a grande diferença da qualidade e carência do ensino fundamental e médio da camada social carente em relação à abastada. Dessa forma a presente dissertação mostra como ocorreu a implantação das cotas na Universidade Federal, analisando como essa implantação está proporcionando o acesso ao nível superior. Evidentemente que o sistema de cotas é positivo sobre diversos aspectos tanto para a Instituição, quanto para o corpo docente e discente.
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Significado do sistema de cotas para o ingresso no ensino superior para estudantes negros de escolas pÃblicas de FortalezaJanaÃna Farias de Melo 29 April 2016 (has links)
Essa dissertaÃÃo possui por objetivo analisar, o significado da PolÃtica de AÃÃes Afirmativas â Sistema de Cotas para adolescentes e jovens de ensino mÃdio de Escolas PÃblicas de Fortaleza, que se autodeclaram como negros, a partir das mudanÃas no processo de acesso à universidade pÃblica. A metodologia à de abordagem qualitativa, utilizando-se de Grupo Focal com estudantes de uma das escolas em que os alunos demonstraram maior conhecimento acerca das PolÃticas de AÃÃes Afirmativas, a partir da anÃlise das respostas de um questionÃrio, aplicado em 464 estudantes que participaram da pesquisa âExpectativas de futuro de jovens negros do Ensino MÃdio de escolas pÃblicas de fortaleza: implicaÃÃes da implantaÃÃo do Sistema de Cotas no CearÃâ (2014-2015). O material registrado no grupo focal foi interpretado com base na AnÃlise do Discurso de orientaÃÃo bakhtiniana, teoria proveniente da linguÃstica, e na Teoria HistÃrico Cultural que partem do pressuposto da linguagem como um processo dialÃgico e produtor da subjetividade humana. Valorizou-se a compreensÃo dos significados e sentidos construÃdos pelos sujeitos em relaÃÃo ao seu futuro educacional diante da implantaÃÃo do sistema de cotas, bem como em relaÃÃo Ãs questÃes referentes à identidade Ãtnica. Partiu-se, entÃo, da hipÃtese de que novos significados sÃo produzidos por esses estudantes acerca do ingresso no ensino superior, na medida em que conhecem oportunidades surgidas com a polÃtica de aÃÃes afirmativas voltadas para a ampliaÃÃo do ingresso de estudantes negros no ensino superior. Com o Grupo Focal, concluÃmos que os alunos nÃo demonstraram possuir um conhecimento significativamente diferenciado acerca do Sistema de Cotas, entendendo, de forma superficial como funciona e as mudanÃas que pode trazer para seus ingressos no ensino superior, mas nÃo se empoderando como protagonistas destes direitos, nem compreendendo de forma mais aprofundada os motivos de implementaÃÃo do sistema. Assim, os significados e sentidos produzidos pelos alunos em relaÃÃo Ãs mudanÃas relacionadas ao ingresso no Ensino Superior se assemelham aos do senso comum, isto Ã, nÃo estÃo baseados nos fundamentos que norteiam a elaboraÃÃo da polÃtica de cotas, o que os levam a um posicionamento favorÃvel Ãs cotas sociais e a uma rejeiÃÃo Ãs cotas raciais, por acreditarem promover o acirramento do preconceito, dissociando a questÃo Ãtnico-racial dos fatores histÃricos, econÃmicos e sociais. Vemos, a partir dos resultados, a necessidade de se pensar em formas de divulgaÃÃo e debate sobre as cotas para os alunos de Ensino MÃdio, para que os mesmos compreendam o significado histÃrico e polÃtico de sua implementaÃÃo e possam se empoderar de seus direitos / This dissertation has as objective to analyze the meaning of Affirmative Action Policity â Quota System for adolescents and young people from public schools in Fortaleza, who declared themselves as African descendants, from the changes in access to public university process. The methodology is qualitative approach, using Focus Group with students from a school in which the students have shown greater knowledge about the Affirmative Action Policity, based on the analysis of responses to a questionnaire, applied on 464 students which participated the survey âExpectativas de futuro de jovens negros do Ensino MÃdio de escolas pÃblicas de fortaleza: implicaÃÃes da implantaÃÃo do Sistema de Cotas no CearÃâ (2014-2015). The material registered in the focus group had been interpreted based on the analysis of Bakhtinâs Speech coming from the linguistic theory and the Cultural History that is based on the assumption of language as a dialogical process and producer of human subjectivity. The understanding of the meanings and the sense constructed by subjects in relation to their educational future against of the deployment of the quota system, as well as the regards issues related to ethnic identity had been valorized. Was departed, then the assumption that new meanings was produced by theses students about access to higher education as they know the opportunities arising from the affirmative actionâs policy for expanding the admission of black students in higher education. With the Focus Group, we conclude that students demonstrated do not have a meaningfully differentiated knowledge of the Quota System, understanding superficially how it works and the changes it can bring to your entrances in higher education, but not empowering as protagonists of these rights or understanding more deeply of the system implementation reasons. Thus, the significance and the meanings produced by the students regarding the changes related to entrance to the higher education resemble those of common sense, i.e. they are not based on fundamentals that guide the elaboration of the quota policy, which take them to a favorable position to the social quotas and to a rejection of racial quotas, because they believe that the racial one will promote the intensification of prejudice, dissociating the ethnic-racial issue of historical, economic and social factor. We see based on the results the necessity of thinking ways of dissemination and discussion of quotas for students in high school, order to give them the understanding of the historical and political significance of its implementation and they can empower the rights, not moving away from a policy that is being done to the students themselves.
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Bedeutung der Milchleistungsmerkmale bei Wegfall der Milchquotenregelung in der Europäischen UnionHenze, Carsten 06 October 2004 (has links)
Die Milchgarantiemengenregelung der EU hat nur noch eine vorgesehene Laufzeit bis 2008, welche Regelungen danach gelten werden, ist noch unklar. Um für die Zuchtplanung bei Milchrindern die ökonomisch-genetische Gewichtung der Milchleistungsmerkmale bei zukünftigen wirtschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen zu erhalten, wurde ein Selektionsindexes erstellt. Als Datenmaterial dienten die Ergebnisse der Milchleistungsprüfungen der Kühe des Rinderzuchtverbandes Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Hieraus wurden die genetischen Parameter für die Milchleistungsmerkmale Fettmenge, Eiweißmenge, Fettgehalt und Eiweißgehalt sowie für die Verzögerungszeit mit den Computerprogrammen SAS, PEST und VCE4 geschätzt. Diese Merkmale wurden dann in Selektionsindices aufgenommen, welche die derzeitige genetische Struktur der Rinderpopulation in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern und die zukünftig zu erwartenden politischen Rahmenbedingungen berücksichtigen. Zur Aufstellung der Selektionsindices wurden mehrere Varianten einer Liberalisierung des EU-Milchmarktes mit Hilfe des SWOPSIM-Marktmodels simuliert und für die Milchinhaltsstoffe Milchfett und Milcheiweiß die Marktpreise geschätzt. Das Preisniveau wird nach diesen Schätzungen nach einer Marktliberalisierung für Rohmilch bei ca. 0,22-0,25 €/kg liegen, für Milchfett bei ca. 2,05-2,25 €/kg und für Milcheiweiß bei ca.3,89-4,45 €/kg. / The Milk-Quota-System of the European Union will probably end in 2008. It is not clear which arrangement will prevail afterwards. A selection index was built to get the economic-genetic weights of different traits for the breeding-planning of dairy-cattle for future conditions. The data was taken from the milk-yield-testings of the cattle breeding organisation of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. From these data the genetic parameters for fat yield, protein yield, fat content, protein content and the time from the first to the successfully insemination was estimated with the computer programs SAS, PEST and VCE4. With these traits a selection index was built which contains the actual genetic structure of the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern cattle population and the future economic and political conditions. To get the future economic parameters, different variants of liberalization of the European milk market had been simulated with the SWOPSIM-framework. Market prices for milk fat and milk protein have been estimated. After a liberalization in the EU the price level will be 0,22-0,25 €/kg for raw milk, 2,05-2,25 €/kg for milk fat and 3,89-4,45 €/kg for milk protein.
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