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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Ensaios sobre converg??ncia, crescimento econ??mico e desigualdade entre os estados brasileiros

Almeida, Rubiane Daniele Cardoso de 26 February 2018 (has links)
Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2018-04-05T19:07:10Z No. of bitstreams: 1 RubianeDanieleCardosodeAlmeidaTese2018.pdf: 2952805 bytes, checksum: 4a88fdca452a0b3a9af4375487ae527e (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2018-04-05T19:07:42Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 RubianeDanieleCardosodeAlmeidaTese2018.pdf: 2952805 bytes, checksum: 4a88fdca452a0b3a9af4375487ae527e (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-04-05T19:07:42Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 RubianeDanieleCardosodeAlmeidaTese2018.pdf: 2952805 bytes, checksum: 4a88fdca452a0b3a9af4375487ae527e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-02-26 / This thesis provides a multidimensional view of the convergence for the Brazilian context. The first essay analyzes ??- and ??-convergence of per capita income among Brazilian states in the period from 2001 to 2014. It is important to accentuate that a set of models is estimated in a comparative framework in order to follow the most recent methodology for the dynamic equations. The empirical results indicate the presence of both types of convergence (?? and ??) among the states in the analyzed period. The speed of convergence is greater once the models control for specific factors of each state, ranging from 1.7% in the absolute version to 2.8% in the conditional version, which corroborates the relevance of a conditional convergence process. In addition, there is empirical evidence that current expenditures, financial aid from the federal government through a ???state participation fund??? and fertility negatively affect economic growth in this model. The second essay analyzes the concept of social convergence (?? and ??) among the states for the period from 1990 to 2010, using traditional and spatial econometric techniques for panel data. In most studies, economic growth is typically measured by the growth of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Thus, this indicator is often analyzed as a proxy for the social welfare of the inhabitants of a region. However, is economic growth really in line with human development? Does social convergence occur simultaneously to the income convergence? This essay seeks to fill this gap by analyzing convergence of variables that refer to conditions of life and welfare of the population in the context of the Brazilian states. Life expectancy at birth, literacy, mean years of schooling, infant survival rate, fertility rate, crime, GDP per capita and household income per capita are used as indicators here. In the scenario established through social and economic variables, the empirical evidence shows that economic convergence is accompanied by social convergence, with a peculiar behavior of non-murder and fertility rate variables. / Esta tese busca fornecer uma vis??o multidimensional da converg??ncia para o contexto brasileiro. O primeiro ensaio analisa a hip??tese de ?? e ??-converg??ncia de renda per capita entre os estados brasileiros no per??odo de 2001 a 2014. Vale salientar que se estimou um conjunto de modelos, em um quadro comparativo, a fim de seguir a metodologia mais recente em rela????o ??s equa????es din??micas. Os resultados emp??ricos indicam a presen??a de ambos os tipos de converg??ncia (?? e ??) entre os estados no per??odo analisado. A velocidade de converg??ncia ?? maior quando os modelos controlam fatores espec??ficos de cada estado, variando de 1,7% na vers??o absoluta para 2,8% na vers??o condicional, o que corrobora a relev??ncia de um processo de converg??ncia condicional. Al??m disso, h?? evid??ncias emp??ricas de que as despesas correntes, a ajuda financeira do governo federal atrav??s do Fundo de participa????o estadual - FPE e a fertilidade afetam negativamente o crescimento econ??mico neste modelo. O segundo ensaio analisa o conceito de converg??ncia social (?? e ??) entre os estados para o per??odo de 1990 a 2010, utilizando t??cnicas econom??tricas tradicionais e espaciais para dados de painel. Na maioria dos estudos, o crescimento econ??mico ?? tipicamente medido pelo crescimento do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB). Assim, esse indicador ?? muitas vezes analisado como uma proxy para o bem-estar social dos habitantes de uma regi??o. No entanto, o crescimento econ??mico est?? realmente de acordo com o desenvolvimento humano? A converg??ncia social ocorre simultaneamente ?? converg??ncia de renda? Este ensaio procura preencher essa lacuna analisando a converg??ncia de vari??veis que se referem a condi????es de vida e bem-estar da popula????o no contexto dos estados brasileiros. S??o analisados os seguintes indicadores: expectativa de vida ao nascer, alfabetiza????o, anos de estudo, taxa de sobreviv??ncia infantil, taxa de fecundidade, criminalidade, PIB per capita e renda domiciliar per capita. No cen??rio estabelecido atrav??s de vari??veis sociais e econ??micas, a evid??ncia emp??rica mostra que a converg??ncia econ??mica ?? acompanhada pela converg??ncia social, com um comportamento peculiar das vari??veis n??o-homic??dios e taxa de fecundidade.
2

Finan??as e crescimento: o caso dos munic??pios brasileiros

Vicente, Tadeu Siqueira 13 November 2017 (has links)
Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2018-03-14T14:20:23Z No. of bitstreams: 1 TadeuSiqueiraVicenteDissertacao2017.pdf: 1145025 bytes, checksum: 37bf2e6cfa2795609fcb526b26b99893 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2018-03-14T14:20:36Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 TadeuSiqueiraVicenteDissertacao2017.pdf: 1145025 bytes, checksum: 37bf2e6cfa2795609fcb526b26b99893 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-03-14T14:20:36Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 TadeuSiqueiraVicenteDissertacao2017.pdf: 1145025 bytes, checksum: 37bf2e6cfa2795609fcb526b26b99893 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-11-13 / The literature on the nexus between finance and economic growth brings several results that support a long-term positive relationship between financial development and increases in the output of the economy. In order to test this interaction, we estimated a panel with fixed effects considering the 5,565 Brazilian municipalities in the period from 2003 to 2014. We verified that the relation between the credit growth rates and the average GDP per capita of the cities is positive and that the financial development variables generally have a positive impact on the volatility of economic growth. In addition, we found that the relationship between human development index and interest rate swings negatively correlates the economic growth of cities, which leads us to believe that greater wealth, on average, is related to GDP growth. However, we find that this effect is not so pronounced in wealthier cities, but they are more sensitive to changes in monetary policy. / A literatura sobre o nexo entre finan??as e crescimento econ??mico traz diversos resultados que sustentam uma rela????o positiva de longo prazo entre o desenvolvimento financeiro e incrementos no produto da economia. Com o objetivo de testar essa intera????o estimamos um painel com efeitos fixos considerando os 5.565 munic??pios brasileiros no per??odo de 2003 at?? 2014. Verificamos que a rela????o entre as taxas de crescimento do cr??dito e do PIB per capita m??dio das cidades ?? positiva e que as vari??veis representativas do desenvolvimento financeiro, em geral, impactam positivamente a volatilidade do crescimento econ??mico. Al??m disso, constatamos que a rela????o entre ??ndice de desenvolvimento humano e oscila????es na taxa juros tem uma rela????o negativa com o crescimento econ??mico das cidades, o que nos leva a crer que maior riqueza, na m??dia, est?? relacionada com crescimento do PIB. No entanto, verificamos que tal efeito n??o ?? t??o pronunciado em cidades mais ricas, que, por??m, apresentam maior sensibilidade ??s varia????es da pol??tica monet??ria.
3

Composi????o dos gastos p??blicos e os efeitos sobre o desenvolvimento econ??mico dos Estados da faixa de fronteira no Brasil

Azevedo Junior, Dem??stenes Jonatas de 29 June 2017 (has links)
Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-08-22T19:01:13Z No. of bitstreams: 1 DemostenesJonatasdeAzevedoJuniorDissertacao2017.pdf: 1284691 bytes, checksum: a22076ac22e38f0f7016e679d03de6da (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-08-22T19:01:47Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 DemostenesJonatasdeAzevedoJuniorDissertacao2017.pdf: 1284691 bytes, checksum: a22076ac22e38f0f7016e679d03de6da (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-08-22T19:01:47Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 DemostenesJonatasdeAzevedoJuniorDissertacao2017.pdf: 1284691 bytes, checksum: a22076ac22e38f0f7016e679d03de6da (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-06-29 / In the present work, an empirical study of the composition of public expenditures and its relationship with economic growth in the 11 (eleven) Brazilian states that are part of the border region in Brazil, from 1995 to 2010, was carried out. Border region in Brazil, and its division into the north, central and southern arcs was explained. Public expenditures were segregated by their functional classification and the proportion of expenditures in relation to total expenditures in the Public Security and National Defense, Education, Health and Transportation functions was used in the study, seeking the relation of each function in the economic growth of the states of Border region. In the present study it was verified that the expenses in the functional classification of transport have positive relation and with statistical significance in the economic growth of the border region and the expenses with health have significant, but negative relation with the growth in the period under analysis. There was a non-linear relationship between the economic growth of the border region and the functions of Security and Defense, Transport and Health, with a maximum proportion of security and defense expenditures being 6.79% , 14.78% for transportation expenses, for expenses in health functional classification, there was an opposite effect, since it has a negative effect on economic growth until the percentage of 21.39%, however from this percentage Expenditure has a positive effect. / No presente trabalho realizou-se um estudo emp??rico da composi????o dos gastos p??blicos e sua rela????o com o crescimento econ??mico nos 11 (onze) Estados brasileiros que integram a faixa de fronteira no Brasil, no per??odo de 1995 a 2010. Caracterizou-se a faixa de fronteira do Brasil e explicou-se a sua divis??o nos arcos norte, central e sul. Os gastos p??blicos foram segregados pela sua classifica????o funcional e utilizados no estudo a propor????o das despesas em rela????o aos gastos totais nas fun????es Seguran??a P??blica e Defesa Nacional, Educa????o, Sa??de e Transporte, buscando-se a rela????o de cada fun????o no crescimento econ??mico dos estados da regi??o de fronteira. No presente trabalho verificou-se que os gastos na classifica????o funcional transporte apresentam rela????o positiva e com signific??ncia estat??stica no crescimento econ??mico da faixa de fronteira e os gastos com sa??de possuem signific??ncia, por??m rela????o negativa com o crescimento no per??odo em an??lise. Verificou-se a exist??ncia de uma rela????o n??o linear entre o crescimento econ??mico da regi??o de fronteira e as fun????es Seguran??a e Defesa, Transporte e Sa??de, sendo de 6,79% a propor????o m??xima dos gastos com seguran??a e defesa para que os mesmos sejam produtivos, de 14,78% para as despesas com transporte, para as despesas na classifica????o funcional sa??de, verificou-se um efeito contr??rio, pois possui um efeito negativo sobre o crescimento econ??mico at?? o percentual de 21,39%, por??m a partir deste percentual as despesa possuem um efeito positivo.
4

A expans?o dos campi federais afeta a economia dos munic?pios?

Bernicker, Lu?s Eduardo dos Santos 27 March 2018 (has links)
Submitted by PPG Economia do desenvolvimento (economia-pg@pucrs.br) on 2018-05-14T21:07:30Z No. of bitstreams: 1 LUIS_EDUARDO_DOS_SANTOS_BERNICKER_DIS.pdf: 1843230 bytes, checksum: c8e933bc53c1c7be486e12138a9c3a6b (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sheila Dias (sheila.dias@pucrs.br) on 2018-05-18T18:52:42Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 LUIS_EDUARDO_DOS_SANTOS_BERNICKER_DIS.pdf: 1843230 bytes, checksum: c8e933bc53c1c7be486e12138a9c3a6b (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-05-18T19:08:48Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 LUIS_EDUARDO_DOS_SANTOS_BERNICKER_DIS.pdf: 1843230 bytes, checksum: c8e933bc53c1c7be486e12138a9c3a6b (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-03-27 / In many countries it is observed that investment in knowledge infrastructure through universities is used as an inducer of economic growth for the regions (Goldstein and Renault, 2004). Thus, the article aims to investigate the expansion policy of the federal campuses held between the years 2000 to 2012 for all municipalities that have benefited from this policy. The effects of the opening of campuses will be measured on economic growth through the logarithm of real GDP per capita, and on the proportion of workers in the service sector, commerce, manufacturing industry and all sectors together. The study period covers two official expansion policies, the first one started in 2003 and was the Phase I Expansion Program that lasted until 2007. The second was the REUNI (Restructuring and Expansion of Federal Universities) that ran from 2007 to 2012. Both plans had as objective the expansion in the number of universities and federal campuses. In the meantime, REUNI focused on expanding existing universities' infrastructures. In 2000, Brazil had 39 universities and 73 federal campuses, and in 2012, the number moved to 59 universities and 219 campuses, more than doubling the number of campuses in the country. It should be noted that most of the municipalities that received new federal campuses are located in the interior of the country, receiving approximately 84% of the new campuses created during this period. The method used was that of difference-differences with propensity score matching that allows to identify the effect of public policy controlling for observable and unobservable characteristics. The results show that there were no positive and significant impacts on the average log of real GDP per capita and the proportion of workers in the manufacturing industry of those municipalities that received a new federal campus, however, in the services, commerce and when analyzed all sectors together is observed a positive effect on the creation of new jobs. / Em muitos pa?ses ? observado que ? usado o investimento em infraestrutura de conhecimento por meio das universidades como polos indutores de crescimento econ?mico para as regi?es (Goldstein e Renault, 2004). Assim, o artigo visa investigar a pol?tica de expans?o dos campi federais realizada entre os anos de 2000 a 2012 para todos os munic?pios que foram beneficiados com essa pol?tica. Os efeitos da abertura de campi ser?o medidos sobre o crescimento econ?mico por meio do logaritmo do PIB real per capita, e sobre a propor??o de trabalhadores do setor de servi?os, com?rcio, ind?stria de transforma??o e todos os setores em conjunto. O per?odo de estudo abrange duas pol?ticas de expans?o oficiais sendo que a primeira foi iniciada em 2003 e foi o Programa Expans?o Fase I que durou at? 2007. A segunda foi o REUNI (Reestrutura??o e Expans?o das Universidades Federais) que funcionou de 2007 a 2012. Ambos os planos possu?am como objetivo a expans?o no n?mero de universidades e campi federais. Entretanto, o REUNI focou em expandir as infraestruturas j? existentes das universidades. No ano de 2000, o Brasil possu?a 39 universidades e 73 campi federais e, em 2012, o n?mero passou para 59 universidades e 219 campi, mais que dobrando a quantidade de campi no pa?s. Cabe destacar que, a maioria dos munic?pios que receberam novos campi federais est?o localizados no interior do pa?s ao receber aproximadamente 84% dos novos campi criados nesse per?odo. O m?todo utilizado foi o de diferen?a-diferen?as com o propensity score matching que permite identificar o efeito da pol?tica p?blica controlando por caracter?sticas observ?veis e n?o observ?veis. Os resultados mostram que, n?o houve impactos positivos e significantes sobre a m?dia do logaritmo do PIB real per capita e na propor??o de trabalhadores da ind?stria de transforma??o daqueles munic?pios que receberam um novo campus federal, entretanto, nos setores de servi?os, com?rcio e quando analisado todos os setores conjuntamente ? observado um efeito positivo na cria??o de novos empregos.
5

O efeito da pol?tica industrial sobre o potencial de crescimento brasileiro: uma an?lise voltada para proje??o com ?nfase no per?odo 2016-2025

Rodrigues, Crysl?ine Fl?via da Silva 24 May 2016 (has links)
Submitted by Automa??o e Estat?stica (sst@bczm.ufrn.br) on 2017-04-27T22:03:18Z No. of bitstreams: 1 CryslaineFlaviaDaSilvaRodrigues_DISSERT.pdf: 2522222 bytes, checksum: 4ffc9c19ad77092598451cd33e5b0ec0 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Arlan Eloi Leite Silva (eloihistoriador@yahoo.com.br) on 2017-04-27T22:13:36Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 CryslaineFlaviaDaSilvaRodrigues_DISSERT.pdf: 2522222 bytes, checksum: 4ffc9c19ad77092598451cd33e5b0ec0 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-04-27T22:13:36Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 CryslaineFlaviaDaSilvaRodrigues_DISSERT.pdf: 2522222 bytes, checksum: 4ffc9c19ad77092598451cd33e5b0ec0 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-05-24 / Tendo como motiva??o a discuss?o que vem se desenvolvendo ao longo dos ?ltimos anos acerca da evolu??o da ind?stria brasileira e seus impactos sobre a trajet?ria de crescimento econ?mico do pa?s, nesta disserta??o tivemos como objetivo realizar uma an?lise de simula??o acerca do efeito da implementa??o de uma suposta pol?tica industrial sobre o potencial de desempenho do setor industrial e da economia brasileira no per?odo de 2016-2025. Para dar suporte a esse estudo, desenvolvemos um modelo formal macroecon?mico voltado para proje??o, aqui constru?do a partir de Louren?o e Roos (2015) e dos principais desenvolvimentos te?ricos recentes do modelo de crescimento sob restri??o externa. A simula??o do desempenho da ind?stria e da economia brasileira foi gerada no ?mbito de tr?s diferentes cen?rios, todos condicionados ao atual modelo de gest?o da pol?tica macroecon?mica do pa?s. O Cen?rio 1 representa o desdobramento esperado dos eventos econ?micos na aus?ncia de qualquer pol?tica industrial adicional. No Cen?rio 2, inclu?mos a suposi??o de que, a partir de 2016, o governo implementa uma pol?tica industrial via redu??o da al?quota tribut?ria do setor para 0%. Por fim, no Cen?rio 3 adotamos a suposi??o de que opera uma pol?tica industrial que n?o se manifesta pela mudan?a da al?quota tribut?ria, mas sim por mecanismos de seletividade de cr?dito, pol?tica comercial, cient?fica, tecnol?gica etc., os quais geram um aumento anual de 1,0 ponto percentual no peso das exporta??es industriais no total das exporta??es, e uma redu??o de mesmo ponto percentual no peso das importa??es do referido setor no total das importa??es. Os resultados obtidos sugerem que a implementa??o de uma pol?tica industrial do tipo especificamente considerado no Cen?rio 3, bem como uma mudan?a no atual modelo de gest?o da pol?tica macroecon?mica se fazem importantes para alavancar o crescimento econ?mico brasileiro; caso contr?rio, o pa?s seguir? apresentando baixas taxas de crescimento. / Having as motivation the discussion that has been developing over the past few years about the development of the Brazilian industry and its impacts on the trajectory of economic growth, in this dissertation we aimed perform a simulation analysis on the effect of the implementation of a supposed industrial policy on the potential performance of the industrial sector and the Brazilian economy in the 2016-2025 period. To give support to this study, we developed a formal macroeconomic model oriented to projection, built here from Louren?o and Roos (2015) and the main recent theoretical developments of the growth model under external constraint. The simulation of industry performance and the Brazilian economy was generated under three different scenarios, all conditioned to the current macroeconomic policy management model of the country. The Scenario 1 represent the expected development of economic events in the absence of any further industrial policy. In Scenario 2, we included the assumption that, from 2016, the government implements an industrial policy by reducing to 0% the tax aliquot in the industry. Finally, in Scenario 3 we adopt the assumption that operates an industrial policy that does not manifest itself by changing the tax aliquot, but by credit selectivity mechanisms, trade, scientific and technological policy etc., which generate an annual increase of 1.0 percentage point in the weight of industrial exports in total exports, and a reduction of the same percentage point in the share of imports of that sector in total imports. The results suggests that the implementation of an industrial policy of the type specifically considered in Scenario 3, as well as a change in current macroeconomic policy management model are importante to leverage Brazilian economic growth; otherwise the country will follow featuring low growth rates.
6

Educa??o superior no Brasil: efeitos sobre as desigualdades de renda e o crescimento econ?mico de longo prazo

Fernandes, Maria Gilderjane da Silva 29 May 2017 (has links)
Submitted by Automa??o e Estat?stica (sst@bczm.ufrn.br) on 2017-09-05T19:09:39Z No. of bitstreams: 1 MariaGilderjaneDaSilvaFernandes_DISSERT.pdf: 4393083 bytes, checksum: c072105609425e2534b01374670d89dc (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Arlan Eloi Leite Silva (eloihistoriador@yahoo.com.br) on 2017-09-13T00:10:58Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 MariaGilderjaneDaSilvaFernandes_DISSERT.pdf: 4393083 bytes, checksum: c072105609425e2534b01374670d89dc (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-09-13T00:10:58Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 MariaGilderjaneDaSilvaFernandes_DISSERT.pdf: 4393083 bytes, checksum: c072105609425e2534b01374670d89dc (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-05-29 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior (CAPES) / Este trabalho se prop?s a investigar o papel da educa??o superior no desenvolvimento econ?mico brasileiro, bem como seus efeitos sobre a redu??o da desigualdade de renda e da pobreza no longo prazo. Para tanto, al?m de uma revis?o bibliogr?fica, fez-se uso de dados secund?rios do Instituto Nacional de Estudos e Pesquisas Educacionais An?sio Teixeira (INEP) ? a partir dos quais buscou-se mostrar a evolu??o dos principais indicadores ligados ao ensino superior no Brasil ao longo dos ?ltimos anos ?, e da Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domic?lios (PNAD) do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estat?stica (IBGE) ? com o objetivo de verificar o grau de desigualdade de renda, bem como outros indicadores relacionados ? renda e ao n?vel de instru??o da Popula??o Economicamente Ativa (PEA) e da Popula??o Ocupada (POC) relativos aos anos de 2004 e 2014. Os resultados revelam que as desigualdades de renda t?m apresentado uma trajet?ria descendente ao longo da d?cada analisada. No entanto, as pessoas com ensino superior est?o entre os que recebem maiores rendimentos, o que acaba contribuindo para o aumento das desigualdades. N?o obstante, a m?dia de anos de estudo da PEA tem aumentado e consequentemente a renda m?dia tamb?m. Ademais, os diferenciais de sal?rios por anos de estudo diminui de 2004 para 2014, o que pode estar relacionado a um aumento da oferta de m?o de obra mais qualificada, que aumenta a fila dos trabalhadores interessados em ocupar uma vaga de emprego e pressiona os sal?rios para baixo. / This paper aims to investigate the role of higher education in Brazilian economic development, as well as its effects on the reduction of income inequality and poverty in the long term. In addition to a bibliographic review, I use secondary data by the National Institute of Educational Studies and Research An?sio Teixeira (INEP) ? Which I used to show the evolution of the main indicators related to higher education in Brazil over the last few years ?, and National Research for Sample of Domiciles (PNAD) of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) ? in order to check the degree of income inequality, as well as other indicators related to income and level of education of the Economically Active Population (PEA) and of the Population Occupied (POC) for the years 2004 and 2014. Os resultados mostram que as desigualdades de renda apresentaram uma trajet?ria descendente ao longo da D?cada analisada. However, people with higher education are among those who receive higher yields, which ends up contributing to increasing inequalities. Nevertheless, the average years of study of the PEA has increased and consequently the average income as well. In addition, wage differentials by years of study decrease from 2004 to 2014, which may be related to an increase in the supply of more qualified labor, which increases the number of workers interested in occupying a job vacancy and pressures wages down.
7

Organization and distribution of economic activity across Brazilian regions and their impact on regional economic indicators

Carneiro, Douglas Mesquita 17 March 2017 (has links)
Submitted by Caroline Xavier (caroline.xavier@pucrs.br) on 2017-06-30T17:19:13Z No. of bitstreams: 1 TES_DOUGLAS_MESQUITA_CARNEIRO_COMPLETO.pdf: 2001668 bytes, checksum: d5fab50a2fcd091718ae1f37bbe8a620 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-06-30T17:19:14Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 TES_DOUGLAS_MESQUITA_CARNEIRO_COMPLETO.pdf: 2001668 bytes, checksum: d5fab50a2fcd091718ae1f37bbe8a620 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-03-17 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES / Esta tese de doutorado compreende tr?s ensaios que abordam quest?es pouco exploradas pela literatura de economia regional no Brasil. No primeiro artigo ? analisada a import?ncia do tamanho das empresas para o crescimento econ?mico das 558 micro-regi?es brasileiras de 1999 a 2009. Estima??es de dados em painel com efeitos fixos (FE) e uma an?lise econom?trica espacial considerando depend?ncia espacial e heterogeneidade espacial foram usadas. As estimativas para o Brasil como um todo mostram que a presen?a de grandes empresas no setor industrial contribuiu positivamente para o crescimento econ?mico das microrregi?es, enquanto que as pequenas empresas apresentaram uma rela??o negativa com o crescimento econ?mico. A presen?a de heterogeneidade espacial na amostra ? caracterizada por dois clusters espaciais diferentes com rela??o ? renda per capita. A an?lise de cada cluster espacial mostra que a rela??o entre tamanho da empresa e crescimento econ?mico nas regi?es mais ricas permanece a mesma, enquanto nas regi?es de menor PIB per capita, o tamanho das empresas n?o influencia o crescimento econ?mico. O segundo artigo utiliza an?lise econom?trica espacial para investigar qual a rela??o entre o tamanho das empresas e os indicadores de desenvolvimento econ?mico dos munic?pios brasileiros de 2000 a 2010. A investiga??o ? motivada pela quantidade de recursos e esfor?os que os governos dedicam a pol?ticas que atraem grandes empresas e apoiam pequenas empresas locais. Os modelos estimados apresentam diferentes resultados entre setores e indicadores de desenvolvimento. O sinal encontrado para a rela??o entre o crescimento do emprego e o tamanho da empresa depende dos setores considerados. Assim, os resultados recomendam uma aten??o especial por parte dos formuladores de pol?ticas p?blicas na elabora??o das suas estrat?gias de desenvolvimento local. No terceiro artigo ? analisado o padr?o de localiza??o do emprego ocupacional no Brasil em 2010, bem como ? testada a hip?tese de especializa??o funcional em fun??o do tamanho dos munic?pios do Brasil e se esta varia de acordo com setor industrial analisado. Os resultados encontrados mostram que existe significativa heterogeneidade espacial na distribui??o das ocupa??es dentro do setor industrial nos munic?pios brasileiros. Tamb?m se confirma a hip?tese de especializa??o funcional em fun??o do tamanho das cidades e a import?ncia de se analisar cada setor separadamente, pois nem todos os setores apresentaram o mesmo padr?o de especializa??o funcional. Esses resultados fornecem informa??es que auxiliam na compreens?o da estrutura setorial e ocupacional das economias regionais, fatores estes que influenciam diretamente o crescimento e desenvolvimento regional. / This dissertation comprises three essays aimed at addressing issues little explored by regional economics literature in Brazil. In the first paper, there is an analysis of the importance of the size of companies for the economic growth of the 558 Brazilian micro-regions from 1999 to 2009. Panel data estimations with fixed effects (FE) and a spatial econometric analysis considering spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity were used. Estimates show that the presence of large companies in the industrial sector has contributed positively to the economic growth of micro-regions, whereas small businesses presented a negative relation to economic growth. The presence of spatial heterogeneity in the sample is characterized by two different spatial clusters regarding per capita income. The analysis of each spatial cluster separately points out that the relation between company size and economic growth in the richest regions remains the same, while in the regions of lower GDP per capita, the size of companies does not influence economic growth. The second paper uses spatial econometric analysis to investigate the relation between size of companies and economic development indicators of Brazilian municipalities from 2000 to 2010. The investigation is motivated by the amount of resources and effort that governments dedicate to policies attracting and supporting local business. The estimated models present dissimilar findings across sectors and development indicators. For instance, the sign of the relationship between employment growth and company size depends on the sectors considered. Thus, the results recommend special attention on the part of policy makers in formulating their local development strategies. In the third paper there is an analysis of the location pattern of occupational employment in Brazil in 2010, as well as a test of the hypothesis of functional specialization according to the size of Brazilian municipalities and if this specialization changes according to the industrial sector. The results show that there is significant spatial heterogeneity in the distribution of occupations in the industrial sector in Brazilian municipalities. In addition, the hypothesis of functional specialization in function of the size of the cities and the importance to analyze each sector separately was confirmed. As not all sectors present the same pattern of functional specialization, especially for occupations related to management and R&D activities. These results provide additional information to understand sectoral and occupational structure of regional economies, factors that have a direct influence in the regional growth and development.
8

Gasto p??blico dos Estados brasileiros: uma an??lise da efici??ncia dos gastos p??s Plano Real

Vieira Neto, Francisco Gomes 30 March 2016 (has links)
Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-04-12T18:03:48Z No. of bitstreams: 1 FranciscoGomesVieiraNetoDissertacao2016.pdf: 1226070 bytes, checksum: 5b212e08fbb65d015366c55920d841e3 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-04-12T18:03:58Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 FranciscoGomesVieiraNetoDissertacao2016.pdf: 1226070 bytes, checksum: 5b212e08fbb65d015366c55920d841e3 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-04-12T18:03:58Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 FranciscoGomesVieiraNetoDissertacao2016.pdf: 1226070 bytes, checksum: 5b212e08fbb65d015366c55920d841e3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-03-30 / This study evaluates the impact of the components of public spending on the Product growth, for the Brazilian states between 1994-2006, using a model AK of endogenous growth with 3 arguments, where it is assumed as given the stock of private capital and divides public spending into two types: a productive, ????1, and another unproductive, ????2. From this modeling, the pubic expenditure was divided according to its classification (Current expenditures and capital expenditures) and according to the four main Functional categories (health, education, defense, transport and communication), and was Estimating a fixed-effects model (linear and non-linear) with a robust estimator to see the capacity of each component to influence the per capita growth rate of the economy. The results suggest that current expenditures have a economic growth, while capital expenditures have the relation. Expenditures on health, education, transportation and communication positive relationships in relation to economic growth, although it is observed the "size effect" in these variables when linear. / Esse trabalho avalia o impacto dos componentes dos gastos p??blicos na taxa de crescimento do produto, para os estados brasileiros entre 1994-2006, utilizando um modelo AK de crescimento end??geno com 3 argumentos, onde se sup??e como dado o estoque de capital privado e divide-se o gasto p??blico em dois tipos: um produtivo, ????1, e outro improdutivo, ????2. A partir dessa modelagem, o gasto p??bico foi dividido de acordo com sua classifica????o econ??mica (gastos correntes e gastos de capital) e de acordo com as 4 principais categorias funcionais (sa??de, educa????o, defesa, transporte e comunica????o), e, foi estimado um modelo de efeitos fixos (linear e n??o linear) com estimador robusto para ver a capacidade de cada componente influenciar a taxa de crescimento per capita da economia. Os resultados sugerem que os gastos correntes possuem uma rela????o negativa com o crescimento econ??mico, enquanto os gastos com capital possuem a rela????o inversa. Os gastos com sa??de, educa????o, transporte e comunica????o apresentam rela????es positivas em rela????o ao crescimento econ??mico, embora seja observ??vel o ???efeito tamanho??? nessas vari??veis quando analisadas de forma n??o linear.
9

Educa??o tecnol?gica e pr?-sal: necessidades e urg?ncias

Maciel, Patricia de Souza 26 September 2011 (has links)
Made available in DSpace on 2014-12-17T14:34:41Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 PatriciaSM_DISSERT.pdf: 2102476 bytes, checksum: 576a6a57ecb7e7caa5ddda32af5b2d46 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2011-09-26 / The purpose of this dissertation is whether the demand for manpower trained in technical school for the sector of Oil and Gas (O&G) is in balance with the offer of that training in the Brazilian education system. The methodology used to obtain such information was based on School Census 2000 and 2008 where data were worked out in order to clarify the numbers of enrollments in secondary technical level demanded by the sector of O&G. The demand for manpower with that qualification as a data source was the 2010-2014 Business Plan Program for Mobilization of the National Oil and Natural Gas (PROMINP). This Program identified the future demand for manpower for the Sector of the O&G until 2014 where the occupational categories are mapped prerequisite training and experience. In order to better understand the object of this study was dome a review of the literature with regard to technical education in Brazil but also the importance of the education to economic growth and the peculiarities of the oil economy in different countries possessors of those mines, or that is, developed and underdeveloped countries. Analysis showed that enrollment in technical education in Brazil had a significant increase between the dates 2000 and 2008. It also don?t bring balance with the characteristic of the dynamics of the productive sectors of the economy mainly due to heating of the economy before the global growth especially in the Construction Industry as well as in the Oil and Natural Gas Engineering and a Naval account of the discovery of oil in the Pre-Salt. Another important aspect is that one of the major problems of qualification of manpower in Brazil is due to a bad quality of the student?s school and high school which makes difficult a good performance in office work and also this ability to learn new functions. The rapprochement between the supply of the education system and the demand for manpower with training mid-level technical support for the sector O&G showed that most technical courses demanded or had no enrollment in 2008, had few enrollment in 15 states with demand expect to occur and those enrollment were unevenly distributed among states. The analysis therefore signalize the needed of a public policy that enables the adequacy of the education system (Secondary Technical Education) to Sector of O&G in terms of enrollment and its distribution between the oil producing states and in relation to technical expertise offered / O objetivo desta disserta??o de mestrado ? verificar se a demanda de m?o-de-obra com forma??o no ensino m?dio t?cnico para o setor de Petr?leo e G?s (P&G) est? em conson?ncia com a oferta daquela forma??o no sistema educacional brasileiro. A metodologia aplicada para obter tal informa??o foi baseada no Censo Escolar 2000 e 2008, em que os dados foram trabalhados de maneira a explicitar o n?mero de matr?culas nos cursos de n?vel m?dio t?cnico, demandados pelo setor de P&G. A demanda de m?o-de-obra com aquela qualifica??o teve como fonte de dados o Plano de Neg?cios 2010-2014 do Programa de Mobiliza??o da Ind?stria Nacional de Petr?leo e G?s Natural (PROMINP). Este Programa identificou a demanda futura de m?o-de-obra para o setor de P&G at? 2014, onde as categorias ocupacionais mapeadas possuem pr?-requisitos de forma??o e experi?ncia. Com o intuito de entender melhor o objeto deste estudo foi feita uma revis?o de literatura no que diz respeito ao ensino t?cnico no Brasil, como tamb?m a import?ncia da educa??o para o crescimento econ?mico e as peculiaridades da economia do petr?leo nos diferentes pa?ses possuidores daquelas jazidas, ou seja, pa?ses subdesenvolvidos e desenvolvidos. As an?lises demonstraram que as matr?culas no ensino t?cnico no Brasil apresentaram um significativo aumento entre as datas de 2000 a 2008. Traz tamb?m como caracter?stica a desarmonia com a din?mica dos setores produtivos da economia, devido principalmente ao aquecimento da economia antes da crise mundial de 2008, e a retomada recente do crescimento notadamente no Setor de Constru??o Civil, bem como no setor de Petr?leo e G?s Natural e Engenharia Naval por conta da descoberta de petr?leo na camada Pr?-sal. Outro aspecto relevante ? que um dos grandes problemas da qualifica??o de m?o-de-obra no Brasil se deve a m? qualidade do ensino fundamental e m?dio, que dificulta para o futuro profissional um bom desempenho nas suas fun??es laborais e na capacidade de aprender novas fun??es. A aproxima??o entre a oferta no sistema educacional e a demanda de m?o-de-obra com a forma??o de n?vel m?dio t?cnico para o setor de P&G, demonstraram que a maioria dos cursos t?cnicos demandados n?o apresentava matr?culas em 2008, ou possu?am poucas matr?culas nos 15 estados com demanda prevista, e aquelas matr?culas estavam mal distribu?das entre os estados. A an?lise aponta para a necessidade de uma pol?tica p?blica que possibilite a adequa??o do sistema educacional (Ensino M?dio T?cnico) ao setor de P&G, tanto no que se refere ao n?mero de matr?culas e a sua distribui??o entre os estados produtores de petr?leo quanto no que se refere ? especialidade t?cnica oferecida
10

Pol?ticas governamentais e redistributivismo no Brasil (2001 ? 2011)

Santos, Anderson Cristopher dos 16 July 2015 (has links)
Submitted by Automa??o e Estat?stica (sst@bczm.ufrn.br) on 2016-05-30T23:30:20Z No. of bitstreams: 1 AndersonCristopherDosSantos_TESE.pdf: 1302259 bytes, checksum: 747afde5b921e6708e663caf00967614 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Arlan Eloi Leite Silva (eloihistoriador@yahoo.com.br) on 2016-06-02T20:01:57Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 AndersonCristopherDosSantos_TESE.pdf: 1302259 bytes, checksum: 747afde5b921e6708e663caf00967614 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2016-06-02T20:01:57Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 AndersonCristopherDosSantos_TESE.pdf: 1302259 bytes, checksum: 747afde5b921e6708e663caf00967614 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-07-16 / Analisamos o crescimento da classe trabalhadora consumidora na sociedade brasileira durante a d?cada de 2000, entre 2001 e 2011, identificados pelo Crit?rio Brasil de Classifica??o Econ?mica como Faixa C. A tem?tica tem sido terreno f?rtil para uma s?rie de controv?rsias, principalmente por causa de questionamentos quanto ?s suas caracter?sticas, dado o fato de que este ? um grupo socialmente heterog?neo, reunido por uma estratifica??o econ?mica. Analisaremos o crescimento desta Faixa C atrav?s de fontes oficiais pertinentes, como o IPEADATA, a Pesquisa de Or?amentos Familiares (POF) e a Pesquisa Nacional por Amostragem de Domic?lio (PNAD). Mobilizaremos autores e institui??es favor?veis ? classifica??o do Crit?rio Brasil, e as institui??es e os autores cr?ticos ao mesmo. Defendemos a tese de que o Brasil experimentou uma ascens?o horizontal fruto de um processo de incrementalismo social, n?o a ponto de serem consideradas classes m?dias, mas classes trabalhadoras consumidoras. Al?m disso, procuraremos demonstrar que o processo de inser??o social pode ser definido como inser??o dependente, em que se faz necess?rio novas pol?ticas p?blicas no sentido de garantir o acesso a servi?os p?blicos por gera??es e consolidar um processo de inclus?o social. / This thesis analyzed the growth of the working class in Brazilian society during the 2000s, identified by the Brazil Economic Classification Criteria as ?Classe C? (social class C). The thematic range has been fertile ground for a number of disputes, mainly because of questions as their characteristics, given the fact that this is a socially heterogeneous group, assembled by an economic stratification. We analyze the growth of this ?classe C? through relevant official data, as IPEADATA and the National Survey by Household Sampling (PNAD). Mobilize authors and institutions favorable to the classification Criterion Brazil, and institutions and critical at the same authors. We defend the thesis that Brazil experienced a social mobility by a process of social incrementalism. Also, we try to show that the social insertion process can be defined as insertion dependent, where it is necessary new public policies to ensure access to public services for generations and consolidate a process of social inclusion.

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