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Incumbency effects in English Local Elections 1974-2010 : assessing the advantage of electoral defenceTurner, Michael Thomas Eugeniusz January 2014 (has links)
The study of electoral defence and its stated advantages are an integral part of American political science. Post-war, much academic literature has emerged in an attempt to identify and explain rising re-election rates of congressional incumbents and the political consequences of such a phenomenon (Mayhew 1974; Fiorina 1977; Cain, Ferejohn & Fiorina 1987; Gelman & King 1990; King 1991). Conversely, the study of political incumbency in Britain can be attributed to a handful of scholars who tend to consider the repercussions at parliamentary level (Williams 1967, King 1981, Cain, Ferejohn and Fiorina 1984, Norton 1990 & 1994, Norris, Valance & Lovenduski 1992). Consequently, incumbency advantage at the local level remains a relatively under-researched topic in England, confined to the sub-chapters of Rallings & Thrasher (1997). The aim of this thesis is to research and present evidence in support of incumbency effects in English local elections and the extent to which they influence their outcome, in that, incumbent candidates fare better than less experienced candidates, to different degrees across the three major parties. It will do so using survey and electoral data collected by The Elections Centre at Plymouth University, drawing on established methods from the literature and demonstrating via a variety of data and methods, that incumbency advantage is indeed a real phenomenon effecting the outcomes of local elections in England. The research provides substantial evidence for Sophomore Surge and Retirement Slump effects throughout the period examined (1974-2010). These methods of estimation feature alongside a number of others, which are constructed to uncover the significance of defending, rather than challenging for a council seat. A number of influences on the advantage that defending councillors maintain are also presented, including district magnitude, ward size and rural/urban classification. Results reveal a modest advantage for Conservative and Labour incumbent candidates, whilst the effects are shown to be stronger for the Liberal Democrats, a finding that is in step with the existing literature on electoral trends and the local campaign strategy of the party (Dorling et al, 1998; McAllister et al, 2002; Russell & Fieldhouse, 2005; Cutts 2006).
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General elections in the post-devolution period : press accounts of the 2001 and 2005 campaigns in Scotland and EnglandDekavalla, Marina January 2009 (has links)
This thesis examines and compares newspaper coverage of the first two general elections after Scottish devolution, looking at both the Scottish and English/UK press. By considering the coverage of a major political event which affects both countries, it contributes to debates regarding the performance of the Scottish press within an arguably distinct Scottish public sphere as well as that of the press in England within a post-devolution context. The research is based on a content analysis of all the coverage of the 2001 and 2005 elections in seven Scottish and five English and UK daily morning newspapers, a critical discourse analysis of a sample of the coverage of the most mentioned issues in each campaign and a small set of interviews with Scottish political editors. As a framework for its analysis, this thesis focuses on theories of national identity and deliberative democracy in the media. It finds that the coverage of elections in the two countries has a similar issue agenda, however Scottish newspapers appear less interested in the UK aspect of the elections and include debates on Scottish affairs which are discussed in isolation, within an exclusively Scottish mediated space. These issues are constructed as particularly relevant to a Scottish readership through references to the nation, inclusive modes of address to the reader and the inclusion of exclusively Scottish sources, which contrast with the Scottish coverage of “UK” issues. This distinction between “Scottish” and “UK” topics emerges as the key differentiating factor in the discursive construction of election issues in the Scottish press, rather than that between devolved and reserved issues. Newspapers in England on the other hand, report on the two campaigns without taking into consideration the post-devolution political reality. These core questions are contextualized within the thesis by reference to relevant dimensions of Scottish culture and politics, and interpreted in the light of events since 2005.
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Význam midterm elections v politickém systému USA / The Significance of the Congressional Midterm Elections in the U.S. Political SystemKřižanová, Kristýna January 2008 (has links)
The thesis aims to discuss a theoretical framework of the U. S. congressional midterm elections and specify their fundamental funtions and importance. The thesis analyses the transformation of midterm elections as well as their effects on the political system with a special focus on the period 1990-2008. Following the analysis of particular midterm elections, it concludes that some of the theoretical premises need to be revised.
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Réformer le système électoral en Belgique: une mise en cause du modèle consociatif ?l'analyse des fondements de trois réformes électorales débattues entre 1990 et 2005Pilet, Jean-Benoît January 2006 (has links)
Doctorat en Sciences politiques et sociales / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
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Electoral political participation of opposition political parties in Lesotho in the period 1993 to 2006Saoana, Tennyson Teboho Tsokolo 11 March 2013 (has links)
The purpose of this dissertation was to address the problem expressed in the
following question: "Why have the opposition political parties in Lesotho
weakened since 1993?"
A qualitative approach was used. The researcher interviewed officials of twelve
representative parties out of the total of eighteen parties. The responses of the
interviewees are in appendix 5.
This work reveals the problems of the opposition parties in Lesotho. Among
others, the study addressed the following issues: the reform of the electoral
system, political party funding, dominance of the ruling party, prohibitive
legislation and party leadership. The potential strengths and weaknesses of the
opposition parties have been noted.
The MMP electoral model, introduced in 2001 and tested in 2002, created a more
inclusive party system, but it is not the sole solution for the weakness of the
opposition parties. Patronisation and lack of political party funding appear to be
major factors. / Political Sciences / M. A. (Politics)
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The political use of ‘new’ media in the 2014 South African national electionMalherbe, Daniel 04 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MA)--Stellenbosch University, 2015. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Nuwe media het ’n duidelike impak op die manier waarop moderne politieke partye
en partyleiers hulle verkiesingsveldtogte bestuur.
Hierdie studie fokus daarom op die vraag: Hoe is nuwe media tydens die 2014 Suid-
Afrikaanse nasionale verkiesing gebruik? Dit word gedoen deur konteks te gee aan
wat nuwe media behels, hoe dit in die moderne politiek gebruik word, en wat die
impak is wat nuwe media op verkiesings en verkiesingsveldtogte het. Drie
gevallestudies, die Obama-veldtog, asook die 2014 verkiesings in Indië en Brasilië,
word gebruik om spesifieke elemente oor die impak wat nuwe media op verkiesings
het, uit te wys.
Die ontleding word dan gebruik om ’n kriteria-raamwerk te skep waarteen spesifieke
Suid-Afrikaanse politieke partye se gebruik van sosiale media in die 2014 verkiesing
gemeet word, om hulle sukses al dan nie daarmee te bepaal. Die sukseskriteria maak
dit moontlik om politieke partye in ’n rangorde te plaas en punte aan hulle toe te ken.
Die punte-telling, uit ’n totaal van 50, word dan gebruik om te bepaal waarom die
partye sukses behaal het, of nie.
Nog 50 punte word toegeken op die basis van ’n subjektiewe oordeel oor
taalgebruiken aanslag asook geteikende kieserskommunikasie op nuwe media
platforms, meer spesifiek Twitter. Dit word gedoen deur insigte uit ’n studie van
relevante literatuur oor die verkiesingveldtog, Suid-Afrika se demografiese en
geografiese verskille asook om te oordeel of die partye wat in die studie bestudeer
word kommunikasie strategieë benut het om die verskillende groeperings van kiesers
te teiken.
Die studie bevind dat die spesifieke partye, gemeet teen die raamwerk vir kriteria vir
sukses, sowel as die subjektiewe opinie oor taalgebruik en aanslag in kommunikasie,
hulle sleg van hul taak gekwyt het in die 2014 nasionale verkiesing in Suid-Afrika.
Hulle het in meeste gevalle, met die DA as ’n uitsondering, nie geslaag om die nodige
digitale-platforms te vestig en om suksesvol deur die nuwe media platforms te
kommunikeer nie. Hulle het ook nie geslaag om die apatie van die Suid-Afrikaanse
jeug aan te spreek nie en daar was ’n gebrek aan geteikende en relevante
kommunikasie met spesifieke sosiale groepe. Die partye het ook nie daarin geslaag
om die kiesers wat partyloos is, of van party wil verander, ’n beter opsie te bied nie. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: New media is seen as having a big impact on the way modern political parties run
their campaigns during election periods.
This paper focuses on answering the question: How was new media used in the 2014
South African national election? It does this by creating a context regarding the
understanding of what new media is, how it is used in politics, and what impact it has
on electioneering and political campaign strategies. Three case studies, the Obama
campaign and the 2014 Indian and Brazilian elections, are used to highlight how new
media has impacted on elections.
This analysis is then framed into a set of criteria for success that is used to measure
the chosen South African political parties against, to determine whether or not they
used new media well in the 2014 South African national election. A set of criteria for
success thus makes it possible to rank and assign points to each party and from those
points determine whether that party used new media well or poorly. Each party is
given a score out of 50.
The other 50 points were awarded based on a subjective view regarding the actual use
of language and focused voter communication on new media platforms, specifically
Twitter. This was done by looking at the insights garnered from the literature
regarding electoral campaigning, South Africa’s demographic and geographic
differences and seeing if the parties analysed in this study employed communication
strategies to target these voter differences.
This study found that the parties identified, when measured against the set of criteria
for success that was created and the subjective views of the way in which the parties
communicated, did not use new media well in the 2014 South African national
election. They failed in most cases, with the DA being the exception, to build the
necessary online platforms or to communicate effectively through new media
platforms. There was also too little focus on addressing voter apathy in the youth and
there was a lack of targeted communication to specific social groups. Parties also
failed to present themselves as a viable alternative to voters who did not already
identify with a party or those who were looking for an alternative party.
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Comparative democracy : issues of consolidation in South Africa and ZimbabweNelufule, Maanda David 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2002. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Democracy is understood by many to be a government for the people by the people.
As far as academic or scholarly traditions are concerned however, this is a rather
populist depiction of the concept. According to the intellectual tradition, democracy is
such when a system of governance meets several conditions. For the purpose of this
study, the institutionalist tradition or theory of democracy which sees democracy as
being dependent on institutions of contestation (elections) and participation
(parliament) as well as others, is an important variable.
However, the very same theory on democracy is not limited to institutions as the sole
requirements for democracy. For the economic determinists, the point is that whilst
institutions are important for democracy, they are not sufficient. In order for there to
be such, favourable socio-economic conditions are important as well and these
include affluence amongst other issues.
The scientific orientation of this study being comparative, it seeks to take both the
institutionalist variable of elections and the economic determinist variable of
affluence as operational measures of the state of democracy in South Africa and
Zimbabwe. As an additional operationalisation, the issue of civil and political liberties
as per Freedom House classifications is also investigated in a similar comparative
manner.
The outcomes of the study show that at an electoral level, South Africa's model of
proportional representation in the seat allocation system gives minorities a voice as
opposed to Zimbabwe's fast past the post system based on the winner takes all
principle. It was also established that the electoral machinery in Zimbabwe is more
chaotically arranged and thus susceptible to abuse than in South Africa.
At a socio-economic level, conditions have also been found to be a lot more
favourable to the consolidation of democracy in South Africa than in Zimbabwe
because of a wide array of issues, the most serious one being the declining income
patterns for the average Zimbabwean as compared to the South African. Though the
issue of high income inequality in South Africa should be highlighted as a threat, it
should also be noted that in Zimbabwe, the apparent disrespect of the rule of law has
an added negative implication for Zimbabwe as Freedom House has highlighted the declining of the country from partly free of 3.4 in 1980 to a partly free of 6.5 in 2000.
The overall analysis comes to the conclusion that given the findings above, it seems
South Africa's democracy can still hold stronger given an accelerated equitable
distribution of wealth whilst for Zimbabwe, the revitalisation of democracy needs to
start from the re-engineering of institutions to the regeneration of the concept of
respect for the rule of law. Thus the comparison seems to show a democracy better
suited for consolidation than the other. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Demokrasie word deur talle verstaan as regering van die volk deur die volk. Hierdie is
egter 'n populêre voorstelling van die konsep. Volgens intellektuele tradisies, moet 'n
demokrasie aan sekere vereistes voldoen. Vir die doel van hierdie studie, word die
institusionele denke aanvaar wat die demokrasie as afhanklik van sulke instellings
soos mededinging (verkiesings) en deelname ('n parlement) beskou.
Dieselfde denke beklemtoon ook dat instellings nie die enigste vereistes is me,
byvoorbeeld vir ekonomiese deterministe, is instellings nodig maar nie genoegsaam
nie. Dit beteken dat gunstige sosio-ekonomiese toestande ook moet geld, spesifieke
relatiewe hoë welvaartspeile.
Die wetenskaplike orientasie van hierdie studie is vergelykend. Dit vergelyk sowel
ekonomiese as institusionele kriteria, asook twee state, Suid-Afrika en Zimbabwe. 'n
Addisionele saak word ook geoperasionaliseer, te wete burgerlike vryhede en
politieke regte. Hier word Freedom House se klassifikasies aanvaar.
Die studie toon dat op die vlak van verkiesings, Suid-Afrika se proporsionele
verteenwoordigingstelsel kleiner partye en minderheidspartye verteenwoordiging
bied, teenoor Zimbabwe se wenner-vat-alles-stelsel. Die Zimbabwiese stelsel was
meer vatbaar vir wanbestuur en onvrye en onregverdige verkiesings.
Op die sosio-ekonomiese vlakke is toestande vir die konsolidasie van demokrasie in
Suid-Afrika veel beter as in Zimbabwe, waarvan die vernaamste die afname in
welvaartspeile in Zimbabwe is. Hierteenoor is die styging van ongelykheidsvlakke in
Suid-Afrika 'n negatiewe faktor. In Suid-Afrika is vryheidsindekse van Freedom
House egter steeds op 'n hoë vlak, terwyl die Zimbabwiese vlakke drasties
agteruitgaan, byvoorbeeld vanaf 3.4 in 1980 tot 'n onvrye vlak van 6.5 in 2000 waar
'n punt van 7 totaal onvry is.
Die konklusie is dat demokrasie in Suid-Afrika konsolideerbaar is, terwyl Zimbabwe
ook instellings sal moet red van ondergang. Die herstel van regsoewereiniteit kan 'n
beginpunt wees. Die vergelykings wys dus uit dat Suid-Afrika veel beter daaraan toe
is as Zimbabwe.
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Political Agenda-Setting in Cable News as a Possible Technique for Securing an Audience NicheMott IV, W.E. 08 1900 (has links)
In an effort to better understand the motivations behind perceived biases in the US cable news industry, 72 hours of CNN, FOX, and MSNBC during the week preceding the 2006 congressional election were analyzed. First- and second-level agenda-setting theories are used to examine how long and in what way federal politicians are portrayed. The results indicate distinct differences in political presentations between the three networks.
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Le quinquennat. Les nouveaux équilibres de la République présidentielle / The five-year term. A new balance of power in the presidential republicReynes, François 26 June 2013 (has links)
La question de la durée du mandat présidentiel est indissociable de la réflexion sur l’équilibre des pouvoirs et sur la nature de la Ve République. Le quinquennat présidentiel, envisagé en1973 puis définitivement adopté par référendum le 24 septembre 2000, s’inscrit dans un mouvement de présidentialisation des institutions entamé depuis 1962 et l’élection du Président de la République au suffrage universel. En prévoyant une durée de mandat égale pour le chef de l’Etat et l’Assemblée nationale, le quinquennat entend redéfinir la dyarchie exécutive et mettre fin à l’arythmie électorale et à la cohabitation. Alors que la Constitution de 1958 privilégiait la souplesse pour répondre à toutes les situations politiques, le quinquennat fait le choix de l’efficacité en favorisant la concordance des majorités parlementaire et présidentielle. Mais le quinquennat est davantage un commencement qu’une fin. Poursuivi par l’inversion du calendrier électoral en 2001 et par une révision constitutionnelle majeure en 2008, le quinquennat a ouvert la voie à un régime présidentiel dont les effets se font déjà sentir à travers la reconfiguration du rôle du chef de l’Etat, le renforcement du poids de l’élection présidentielle, la présidentialisation des partis politiques et la bipolarisation de l’espace partisan. Dix ans après son entrée en vigueur, le quinquennat place la Ve République face à un choix : corriger le présidentialisme majoritaire dans le cadre des institutions actuelles ou achever la transition vers la VIe République et le régime présidentiel. / The issue of the length of the presidential term of office cannot be separated from the question of the balance of power in the Fifth Republic, and thus the question of its very essence. The five-year term of presidency, foreseen in 1973 and definitively enacted by referendum on September 24, 2000, comes out of a tendency toward expansion of presidential powers since1962, as well as from the decision to elect the President of the Republic by direct popular vote. Aligning the five-year term with that of the Assemblée nationale redefines shared governance between the President and the Prime Minister by removing the electoral unbalance that created the “cohabitation” (i.e. opposing camps of political goals and parties inpower) as in the past. Although the 1958 Constitution stressed its ability to adapt to any political situation, the five-year term makes the clear choice of effectively favoring concurrent majorities, both parliamentary and presidential. However, this choice is more of a beginning than an end. In 2001 a new electoral agenda followed the five-year term reform. Subsequently, there was a major revision of the Constitution in 2008. As a result we have seen a reconfiguration of the President’s role, a net increase in the importance of presidential election, and finally, political and partisan polarization. Ten years after its inception, the five year term forces the Fifth Republic to choose either to adapt the majoritarian presidentialism within and among existing divisions of government or to initiate a transition toward a Sixth Republic and a purely presidential regime.
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Les municipalités rémoises de 1919 à 1959 / The municipalities of Reims from 1919 to 1959Royer, Michel 28 November 2011 (has links)
De 1919 à 1939, les municipalités rémoises sont marquées par la domination des radicaux, alliés d'abord à la SFIO puis ensuite à la droite et largement dominées par la personnalité de Paul Marchandeau. Après 1945, la situation apparaît beaucoup plus fluctuante. De 1945 à 1959 on a affaire à des municipalités fragiles qui voient se succéder à leur tête successivement un communiste, un RPF, un radical et deux MRP. C’est là le résultat cumulé du scrutin proportionnel et de l’isolement du PCF qui fait que les majorités ne peuvent se constituer qu’entre les partis non communistes aux rivalités incessantes. Mais les municipalités, ce sont aussi des individus. Deux générations d’édiles peuvent être individualisées. Celle de l’entre-deux-guerres qui vieillit progressivement en fonctions, sans se renouveler, et celle de la Quatrième République qui connaît un renouvellement plus important et apparaît davantage en phase avec la société rémoise des années 1950. / From 1919 to 1939, the municipalities of Reims were marked by the domination of radical party allied to the SFIO and then to the right and largely dominated by the personality of Paul Marchandeau. After 1945 the situation appeared much more variable. From 1945 to 1959 we are dealing with fragile municipalities headed successively by a communist, an RPF, a radical and two members of MRP. This is the cumulative result of proportional representation and isolation of the FPC which led to the fact that majorities could be formed only between the non-communist parties in which was incessant rivalry.. But municipalities are represented by individuals. Two generations of councilors can be individualized. The one that was in office between the two world wars who remained in office without any significant change and the one of the Fourth Republic, who experienced a larger renewal and appeared to be more in line with the Reims society of the time.
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