Num mundo onde a competitividade ultrapassa as fronteiras nacionais, onde perturbações políticas e econômicas têm uma repercussão imediata em todo o globo, as empresas precisam cada vez estar preparadas para reagir rapidamente. A dinâmica dos movimentos globais não mais permite que as empresas e organizações possam esperar muito tempo para tomar medidas adaptativas. As respostas devem ser rápidas. O nível de incertezas onde a empresa opera deve ser melhor entendido, de forma que os riscos de uma tomada de decisão inadequada possam ser mitigados. Contudo, melhor que reagir aos fatos é buscar se antecipar aos mesmos. Mas a antecipação requer que os eventos possíveis sejam analisados, não apenas quanto aos seus possíveis impactos, mas também quanto à sua probabilidade de ocorrência. Este trabalho tem como objetivo maior propor um modelo de projeção e análise das demonstrações financeiras das empresas, segundo uma visão não apenas determinística, mas empregando técnicas probabilísticas, que permitam aos gestores das empresas passarem pelo processo de tomada de decisão com um nível de informação que permita a eles terem uma idéia muito clara do nível de risco que envolve as suas decisões. E este modelo torna isto possível ao se utilizar da metodologia de Monte Carlo. Esta metodologia permite que as variáveis críticas de uma empresa sejam tratadas a partir das suas distribuições de probabilidades de ocorrência. Assim, preços de produtos e insumos, variáveis externas tais como a taxa de juros, a taxa câmbio e a taxa da inflação podem ser avaliadas dentro de uma expectativa de ocorrência, como variáveis estocásticas, e não mais como constantes no problema. Com isto, podemos simular os resultados de uma empresa, que serão disponibilizados ao gestor segundo sua distribuição de probabilidade. Este processo permitirá que o gestor possa tomar quaisquer decisões, sejam de investimentos, de política de preços, de endividamento, etc., com um nível de informação muito mais adequado do que quando ele dispõe apenas de informações determinísticas com análise de sensibilidade, visto que esta última nada informa quanto à probabilidade de ocorrência do evento. / In a world where the competitiveness crosses the national borders, where political and economical instabilities have an immediate impact in the whole globe, the companies need to be prepared to give a fast response. The dynamics of the global movements no more allows that the companies and organizations take a long time to implement new alternatives. The answers should be fast. The uncertainties about company environment should be better understood, so the risks of a wrong decision can be mitigated. However, better than to react to the facts, is to anticipate them. The anticipation requests that the possible events must be deeply understood, not just as for their possible impacts, but also for its probability of occurrence. This work has as objective to propose a simulation and analysis financial model of companies, considering probabilistic techniques to allow managers go through decision process with a level of information sufficient enough to permit them to have a clear understanding about the risks involved in their decision. This model turns this possible through the utilization of Monte Carlo’s methodology. This methodology allows the critical variables of a company to be treated as random variables. Prices of products and macroeconomics variables such as interest rate, rate exchange and rate of inflation can be considered as random variables and not as constants in the model. The results of a company will be available to the managers with a statistic treatment and a probabilistic analysis. This process will facilitate the managers decisions process about investments, price policies, loans and others critical subjects to the future of the company with a much more appropriate level of information.

Since the 2008 financial crisis, we have been seen significant changes and movements in the capital markets. As an Investor Relations Officer (IRO) of the listed company, a continuing challenges is to attract and retain the investment funds from the capital market and keep a liquidity. Hence, the effective Investor Relations is very essential for the listed company because an effective investor relations programme is not only save valuable management time, but also can assist to deliver a fair valuation for the equity of enterprise, reduced funding costs and provide a strong shareholder base which will stand the company in good stead if times get tough, such as in low season business cycles or uncontrollable global financial crisis. The Investor Relations would be the eyes and ears of a company in the capital market and would deliver valuable insights into market sentiment, such as to potential investors and shareholders. An effective investor relations must have full commitments and supports of the senior management and C-suite. Investor Relations is a strategic management responsibility that requires an integration of corporate finance, communications, competence, perspective, and compliance to enable the most effective two-way communication between a company, investment community, and all shareholders. The key objective of IR is to achieve optimal valuation of the enterprise. The Investor Relations should articulate in a way that investors could understand the direction of the company and develop reasonable expectations for determining success via investor conference, roadshow, and other communication channels.

The aim of diploma thesis is to determine the value of the company Budějovický Budvar, n.p. In the theoretical part is specified theoretical principle of valuation, which is applied in the practical part of the thesis. The diploma thesis includes financial and strategic analysis, which is used for creating financial plan for future period. The main method of the valuation is DCF Equity. The main method is supported by minor methods (book value and Value/EBITDA).

KOVÁČ, Peter: Business valuation of DUDÁK Strakonice Burgher's Brewery [Diploma thesis] / Peter Kováč. University of Economics Prague. Faculty of Finance and Accounting; Department of Finance and Business valuation. Supervisor: Ing. Pavel Svačina, Ph.D. Qualification degree: Master. Prague : FFÚ VŠE, 2013. 100 pages. This diploma thesis deals with the business valuation of DUDÁK Strakonice Burgher's Brewery. The aim of the diploma thesis is to determine the market value as of 1. 1. 2011. The company is specific in that it is the last brewery in the Czech Republic to still be owned by a town. The purpose of the diploma thesis rests in finding appropriate value for owners and lenders, which can take in the event of a sale an informational character for the seller. The valuation is independently done by DCF Entity method, Multiples method and Book value method. The work is divided into seven chapters that follow on each other and lead to the determination of the enterprise value. The author uses informational and statistical databases that contribute to the greater credibility of the entire valuation.

The aim of this thesis is to define the subjective value of stock company VINSELEKT MICHLOVSKÝ by using selected yield methods of valuation. Valuation will be made to 1. January 2011 and will be used for internal needs of management. The theoretical part explains the main concepts and describes the methodological approaches, related to the valuation of the company. Theoretical basis of literature search are developed and applied to specific business entity in the next section. The practical part is introducing the evaluated company, includes the results of the strategic and financial analysis and in the final stage also the suggestion of valuation.

This diploma thesis is focused on valuation of the firm ABC s. r. o. with using income-based valuation methods, which are based on detailed analysis of the firm.

本論文以77年1月至87年12月為研究期間，選擇這段期間的97家上市公司作為研究樣本。首先探討四種分析指標，淨值/市價比、益本比、市價/銷貨比、企業價值/銷貨比作為投資指標的報酬表現與適用時機；另以三種因子利用迴歸模型預測股價報酬組成投資組合，檢視在未來是否有好的績效表現。本研究實證結果如下: 1、 淨值/市價比是一個好的投資指標，在半年期投資期間與一年投 資期間，高淨值/市價比組合的風險調整後報酬率皆超越低淨值/市價比的組合，而以一年持有期間與多頭時期此情況更為明顯。 2、 低益本比組合報酬率在多頭時期明顯大於高益本比組別，而，而在空頭時期則不明顯。 3、 低價格/銷貨比組合風險調整後報酬率優於高價格/銷貨比組合，而其中以一年為投資期間績效表現較好。 4、 低企業價值/銷貨比組合表現比高企業價值/銷貨比組合好，其中以一年持有的投資績效較好；市價/銷貨比與企業價值/銷貨比投資時機類似，但市價/銷貨比較企業價值/銷貨比更能區分未來股票表現良窳，亦即企業價值/銷貨比的表現並不如市價/銷貨比。 5、 多因子迴歸模型並不能準確預測股票未來表現；高預測報酬組合表現並不如預期，反而是低預測報酬的投資組合表現較為良好。可能是變數解釋能力不夠所致。 第一章 緒論 第一節 研究背景與動機…………………………………………1 第二節 研究目的…………………………………………………3 第三節 研究內容與流程…………………………………………3 第二章 文獻探討 第一節 國外文獻探討………………………………………….…5 第二節 國內文獻探討……………………………………………11 第三章 研究設計與方法 第一節 研究設計………………… …………………….……16 第二節 研究方法…………………………………….……………19 第四章 實證分析 第一節 淨值/市價比法………………………………….………27 第二節 益本比法……………………………………….…………37 第三節 市價/銷貨收入比法………………………………………46 第四節 企業價值/銷貨收入比法…………………………………56 第五節 多因子分析模型.…………………………………………65 第六節 單因子方法比較與投資策略……………………….……71 第七節 投資組合風險控管-風險值研究…………………………75 第五章 結論與建議 第一節 結論………………………………………………….……83 第二節 研究限制…………………………………………………84 第二節 建議……………………………………………….………84 參考文獻 附錄一：研究樣本……………………………………………………A-1 附錄二：淨值/市價比（BE/ME）半年期及一年期各期結果………B-1 附錄三：益本比（E/P）比半年期及一年期各期結果………………C-1 附錄四：市價銷貨比(P/S)半年期及一年期各期結果………………D-1 附錄五：企業價值/銷貨收入比（E/S）比半年期及一年期各期結果.E-1

The aim of this thesis is to estimate the value of the company PCA Slovakia, s.r.o. to the 31st December 2015. The thesis is divided into two parts, in the concrete the theoretical and practical parts. The theoretical part describes the basic concepts necessary for the valuation of the company and it is kind of the point for the practical part. On the other hand, the practical part is focused on the introduction of the company and the application of strategic analysis and financial analysis, the prognosis of revenue and other value drivers, financial plan and finally the actual valuation of the company. There was used the DCF method of valuation in the term of FCFF and EVA for the valuation of the company.

In the field of sustainable finance, Environmental-, Social- and Governance-ratings (ESG) have become an acknowledged measurement of a firm's sustainability performance. The increased awareness of sustainability issues in today's society is undeniable. However, based upon contradicting results from previous research, it was uncertain if investors were rewarding a firm’s sustainability efforts in the form of a lower cost of equity. The purpose of this thesis has therefore been to examine the relationship between sustainability, risk and valuation as well as stock-price behavior in times of crisis regarding large firms publicly listed in the Nordic countries. In order to fulfil the purpose, various multiple regression models have been conducted on quarterly data from the period between 2011 to 2020. The approach chosen to examine if ESG has a relation to the cost of equity has been to calculate the implied cost of equity inferred from consensus forecasts of future financial development and stock price at each point in time, also known as the ex-ante cost of equity. Since the independent variable ESG-score was not likely to be the sole variable to affect the independent variables in our multivariate regression models, we have followed previous studies in the choice of control variables. The empirical results of this study showed a significantly negative relationship between a firm’s ESG-score and the cost of equity. In addition, our results showed a significantly positive relationship between a firm’s ESG-score and both the price-to-earnings ratio as well as the price-to-book ratio while no significant relationship between a firm’s ESG-score and the enterprise value to earnings before interest and taxes ratio could be established. Finally, the results of this thesis showed that firms with a greater ESG-score generated excess returns during the latest market turmoil of 2020 caused by the Covid-19 outbreak. This thesis challenges the value-destruction view of ESG-efforts since our results indicate that investors are pricing sustainability risk with a negative risk premium in line with the value creation approach. No causality test has been performed during this study, however several possible mechanisms by which ESG impacts the valuation and crisis resistance have been discussed based upon previous research and the theoretical framework. We argue for the reduced cost of equity to reflect diminished information asymmetry, a larger investor base, improved growth and cash-flow opportunities as well as reduced risk for litigations as aconsequence of a more sustainable business conduct. To the best of our knowledge, no previous study on the topic has been conducted on the Nordic markets. This study fills thus a research gap on the relation between sustainability, risk andequity market valuation and we sincerely hope to have contributed to academia with new approaches.

Made available in DSpace on 2016-04-25T18:40:39Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Mario Cordeiro Filho.pdf: 9981225 bytes, checksum: 565a2d3dad4737a7a20f562e323becab (MD5) Previous issue date: 2009-06-18 / The purpose of this dissertation this to the study the problems related to applying valuation methods for highway concessions companies in Brazil. It is justified by the economic importance that this sector is assuming in Brazil with respect to investments in infrastructure that have already been and are going to be made. The highway concession segment in Brazil has expanded since the second half of the 1990s. Until this date there are more than 50 highway concession companies throughout the country, responsible for investment commitments of more of them R$ 10 billion related to improving and expanding the brazilian highway network. The highway concessions are specific purpose entities with a defined service life and holders of a concession right that permits them to commercially exploit segments of highways through charging tolls from the users, in exchange for assuming commitments to provide determined services and to implement investments for improvement and expansion during the concession agreement. In some cases the concession also assumes the commitment of payment of a right of concession to a Granting Authority. In this dissertation the application of valuation methods for companies, based on discounted cash flows, dividend flows, internal rate of return, payback and value multiples such as the ratio between enterprise value and its EBITDA are considered. These methods were used in the valuation of the five highway concessions granted by the Government of the State of São Paulo in the public auction that took place in October 2008. The results of this valuation as well as a critical analysis of the adequacy of the above-mentioned valuation methods are presented in chapter V and the conclusions are presented in chapter VI of this dissertation / Este trabalho tem por objetivo estudar os problemas relativos a aplicação de métodos de avaliação de empresas em concessões de rodovias no Brasil, e justifica-se pela importância econômica que esse setor vem assumindo no país no que tange aos investimentos de infraestrutura realizados e a realizar. O setor de concessões de rodovias no Brasil tem se expandido desde a segunda metade da década de 90. Existe até esta data mais de 50 empresas de concessões de rodovias em todo o país, responsáveis por compromissos de investimentos de mais de R$ 10 bilhões relativos a melhoria e expansão da malha viária brasileira. As concessões de rodovias são Sociedades de Propósito Específico com vida útil definida. Detentoras de um direito de concessão que lhes permite explorar comercialmente trechos de rodovias por meio da cobrança de tarifas de pedágio dos usuários, em contrapartida, assumem o compromisso de prestar determinados serviços e implantar investimentos de melhoria e de expansão ao longo do contrato. Em alguns casos, a concessão encarrega-se do encargo de pagar direito de outorga a algum Pode Concedente. Este trabalho considerou a aplicação dos métodos de avaliação de empresas baseados em Fluxos de Caixa Descontados, Fluxos de Dividendos, Taxa Interna de Retorno, Payback e Múltiplo de Valor como, por exemplo, a relação Valor da Empresa / EBITDA. Os métodos acima foram aplicados na avaliação das cinco concessões de rodovias outorgadas pelo Governo do Estado de São Paulo no leilão público ocorrido em outubro de 2008. Os resultados dessas avaliações, assim como a análise crítica da adequação dos referidos métodos de avaliação, são apresentados no Capítulo V e as conclusões, no Capítulo VI deste trabalho