Um die Auswirkung der Liberalisierung der EU-Erdgasmärkte auf die Macht der Marktteilnehmer zu studieren, entwickeln wir ein disaggregiertes Modell der eurasischen Erdgasversorgung. Wir modellieren die Abhängigkeiten zwischen den Spielern als kooperatives Spiel und berücksichtigen verschiedene Lösungen: den Shapley-Wert, den Nukleolus und den Kern. Im Kapitel 1 untersuchen wir die regionalen Auswirkungen der Liberalisierung des Zugangs zu den Übertragungsnetzen, sowie die Anreize für Fusionen und Kartelle. Im Kapitel 2 untersuchen wir die Auswirkung der Liberalisierung auf die Machtbalance zwischen den lokalen Champions, den Kunden und den Produzenten außerhalb EU. Wir unterscheiden zwischen zwei Schritten der Reform: 1.die Öffnung des Zugangs zu den Übertragungsnetzen und 2.die Öffnung des Zugangs zu den Vertriebssystemen. Für den Shapley-Wert finden wir geringe und heterogene Effekte des ersten Schritts. Die Auswirkungen des zweiten Schritts sind viel größer und ergeben ein klares Muster: alle lokalen Champions verlieren, während alle Kunden und alle externen Produzenten gewinnen. Da ein Drittel der Verluste der Champions innerhalb EU zu den Spielern im Ausland abfließt, können die aktuellen Reformen die Dominanz der bereits starken externen Produzenten verbessern. Wenn wir den Nukleolus heranziehen, profitieren die Produzenten außerhalb EU von der vollen Liberalisierung hingegen nicht. Im Kapitel 3 untersuchen wir die Beziehungen zwischen Shapley-Wert, Nukleolus und Kern. Für unser Modell ist der Shapley-Wert nie im Kern. Um ein Maß der Instabilität von Auszahlungen, die nicht im Kern liegen, zu erhalten, schlagen wir eine Erweiterung des starken epsilon-Kerns vor und betrachten 3 Metriken. Wir finden, daß die Liberalisierung die Instabilität des Shapley-Werts erhöht. Wir zeigen, daß die Liberalisierung den Kern komprimiert. Die Auswirkung auf den Nukleolus korrespondiert jedoch nicht immer mit der Verschiebung von Minimal- und Maximalwerten der Spieler im Kern. / To study the impact of the liberalization of EU natural gas markets on the power of market players we develop a disaggregated model of the Eurasian natural gas supply system. We model interdependenices among the players as a cooperative game for which we consider various solutions: the Shapley value, the nucleolus and the core. In the first paper we study regional impact of liberalization of access to transmission networks, incentives for mergers and cartels. In the second paper we study the impact of liberalization on the balance of power between ''local champions'', customers, and outside producers, such as Russian Gazprom. We distinguish between two steps of the reform: 1. opening access to transit pipes and 2. opening access to distribution systems, hence customers. Using the Shapley value, we find a modest and rather heterogeneous impact from the first step. The impact of the second step is much larger and yields a clear pattern: all local champions lose, while all customers and all outside producers gain. As one third of the losses of champions within EU leaks to players abroad, current reforms might enhance the dominance of already powerful outside producers. When we apply the nucleolus, in contrast, full liberalization does not benefit outside producers at all. In the third paper we focus on the relation of the Shapley value and the nucleolus to the core. For our model the Shapley value is never in the core. To evaluate the degree of instability of a payoff allocation which is not in the core, we propose an extension of the strong epsilon-core and consider three metrics. We find that liberalization increases the degree of instability of the Shapley value for all metrics. We show that liberalization compresses the core, but not always the nucleolus corresponds well to the shifts in the minimal and maximal values of players in the core.

Os serviços públicos de distribuição de gás natural canalizado são de competência estadual, consoante previsão constitucional. Neste contexto, o Estado de São Paulo destaca-se tanto pelo seu histórico de desenvolvimento de serviços de gás canalizando, quanto pela reestruturação realizada em meados da década de 90, os quais permitiram a atual expansão e desenvolvimento do mercado de gás nesse estado. O presente trabalho, ao visualizar essa realidade, examinou os contratos de concessão das três empresas distribuidoras de gás natural existentes no Estado de São Paulo e constatou a existência de uma cláusula que prevê a obrigação de se conceder o livre acesso [by pass comercial] após certo lapso temporal [exceto no que se refere aos usuários residenciais e comerciais] à rede de gasodutos de distribuição, desagregando a comercialização de gás ao serviço de distribuição. Diante disso, após a montagem do referencial teórico, foram realizadas entrevistas semi-estruturadas com um representante do órgão regulador estadual, com funcionários das três distribuidoras locais e de grandes consumidores industriais, no sentido de averiguar a percepção dos agentes a respeito desta cláusula e a ordem de preparativos que irão ser relevantes para a vigência dessa disposição contratual. Portanto, como resultado levantado, tem-se que os atores citados, apesar de considerarem que a cláusula de livre acesso irá gerar impactos no mercado, ainda não desenvolveram estudos nesse sentido para identificá-los e/ou quantificá-los, o que deverá ser feito a partir do presente ano, tem em vista o lapso temporal decorrente de previsão contratual. A relevância da pesquisa é a de contribuir como literatura que tratou de uma problemática que ainda está por vir, dentro de parâmetros fundamentados em um referencial teórico, com vistas à continuidade do desenvolvimento desse setor no Estado de São Paulo. / Public natural gas utilities [especially canalization] are under state jurisdiction, according to Brazilian constitutional provisions. The State of São Paulo is remarkable in this field for its achievements in developing and expanding the infra-structure of canalized gas services, as well as for the reorganization carried through in middle of the decade of 90, which allowed the current expansion and development of the gas market in this state. The present work, considered this context, examined multiple contracts of concession of the three natural gas companies in the State of São Paulo and evidenced the existence of a clause providing the mandatory allowance of open access [commercial by pass] after a determined period of time [excluding the residential and commercial users] to the net of distribution gas-lines, disaggregating the gas commercialization to the distribution service. In view of this, after assembling the theoretical referential, interviews half-structuralized had been carried through with state regulating agency representatives, three local enterprises and major industrial consumers, in order to access how agents are facing this clause and the safeguards, actions and provisions that will be necessary to enforce and validate this contractual disposal. Conclusively, as a obtained result it had that the cited actors however consider that a contract provision of open access will imply several impacts in the market, studies in this direction are yet to be developed, and are also yet to be defined what actions will have to be taken until the end of this year, considered the biggest proximity of the time provisions of those contracts. The relevance of the research is contributing as literature review about issues that are about to come, according to parameters based on a specific theoretical referential, with sights to the development of the State of São Paulo.

Submitted by PPG Engenharia e Tecnologia de Materiais (engenharia.pg.materiais@pucrs.br) on 2018-02-19T14:21:21Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Tese RONALDO SILVESTRE DA COSTA Final Entrega PGETEMA.pdf: 3370134 bytes, checksum: 383fa921245f353cae4a408bd4641901 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Caroline Xavier (caroline.xavier@pucrs.br) on 2018-02-23T17:34:28Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Tese RONALDO SILVESTRE DA COSTA Final Entrega PGETEMA.pdf: 3370134 bytes, checksum: 383fa921245f353cae4a408bd4641901 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-02-23T17:39:49Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Tese RONALDO SILVESTRE DA COSTA Final Entrega PGETEMA.pdf: 3370134 bytes, checksum: 383fa921245f353cae4a408bd4641901 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-11-30 / Funda??o de Amparo ? Pesquisa do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul (FAPERGS) / The transport sector represents a significant responsibility in the pollution emissions. Also, the consumption of fossil fuels is related with the rising of global average temperature due to the greenhouse gas emissions. Biofuels and natural gas are investigated as alternative fuels to mitigate the environmental impacts. However, due to the several source emissions within a product life-cycle, the environmental performance of an environmental friendly product must be verified. This work aims to quantify greenhouse gas emissions during household waste collection by heavy vehicles (trucks) fueled with different fuels. It was proposed the development and implementation of a methodology to compare both pollutant gas emissions and noise for the use of CNG (compressed natural gas) and diesel-B5, aiming to mitigate environmental impacts in captive fleet that travels daily in the Porto Alegre city, Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil. The trucks were monitored using a portable gas analyzer equipment (O2, CO, CO2, NO, NO2, NOx, SO2, HC), and the fuel consumptions and autonomy were obtained from the company that provides the service. With the data collected on established routes, it was applied the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) methodology to carry out the study comparing the environmental performance of the use of CNG and Diesel-B5. The results showed that higher global warming impact (according IPCC method) was observed to CNG, independently of the time horizon considered (20 100 or 500 years). When comparing the contribution of the process stages (from production to use of fuels), CNG presented higher impacts in the collection and venting steps, while diesel -- B5 presented in the collection step. / O setor de transportes apresenta significativos problemas ambientais relacionados ?s emiss?es de poluentes, agravados em regi?es urbanas. A queima e a explora??o de combust?veis f?sseis s?o constantemente relacionadas ao aumento da temperatura m?dia global. O uso de combust?veis, como os de origem vegetal e g?s natural, tem sido uma alternativa frequente na mitiga??o de gases de efeito estufa. No entanto, devido ?s v?rias fontes de poluentes presentes no ciclo de vida do produto, o desempenho ambiental de produtos considerados amig?veis ao meio ambiente deve ser verificado. Este trabalho teve como objetivo quantificar as emiss?es de gases de efeito estufa emitidos durante a coleta de res?duos domiciliares por ve?culos pesados (caminh?es) abastecidos com diferentes combust?veis: g?s natural e diesel-B5. Prop?e-se o desenvolvimento e a implementa??o de uma metodologia para a compara??o das emiss?es de poluentes para o uso de GNV (g?s natural veicular) e Diesel-B5, objetivando a mitiga??o de impactos ambientais em frota cativa que trafega diariamente na cidade de Porto Alegre ? RS. Os caminh?es foram monitorados com um equipamento analisador port?til de gases (O2, CO, CO2, NO, NO2, NOx, SO2, HC), e os consumos e a autonomia dos combust?veis foram obtidos junto ? empresa prestadora do servi?o. Com os dados levantados nas rotas estabelecidas, foi aplicada a metodologia de Avalia??o do Ciclo de Vida (ACV) para realizar o estudo de compara??o do desempenho ambiental entre o uso de GNV e Diesel-B5, considerando todas as etapas desde a produ??o at? o consumo final dos combust?veis. Os resultados mostraram que o maior potencial para aquecimento global (segundo o m?todo IPCC) ocorre para o GNV, considerando per?odos de 20 anos, 100 anos e 500 anos. Quando comparadas as contribui??es das diferentes etapas do processo, desde a produ??o at? o uso do combust?vel, observou-se que o GNV apresenta os maiores impactos nas etapas de transporte e coleta de res?duos, enquanto o Diesel-B5 apresenta impacto significativo apenas na etapa de coleta de res?duos.

Emissions of air pollutants from non-conventional sources have been on the rise in the North Texas area over the past decade. These include primary pollutants such as volatile organic compound (VOC) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) which also act as precursors in the formation of ozone. Most of these have been attributed to a significant increase in oil and gas production activities since 2000 within the Barnett Shale region adjacent to the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex region. In this study, air quality concentrations measured at the Denton Airport and Dallas Hinton monitoring sites operated by the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) were evaluated. VOC concentration data from canister-based sampling along with continuous measurement of oxides of nitrogen (NOx), ozone (O3), particulate matter (PM2.5), and meteorological conditions at these two sites spanning from 2000 through 2014 were employed in this study. The Dallas site is located within the urban core of one of the fastest growing cities in the United States, while the Denton site is an exurban site with rural characteristics to it. The Denton Airport site was influenced by natural gas pads surrounding it while there are very few natural gas production facilities within close proximity to the Dallas Hinton site. As of 2013, there were 1362 gas pads within a 10 mile radius to the Denton Airport site but there were only 2 within a 10 mile radius to Dallas Hinton site. The Dallas site displayed higher concentrations of NOx and much lower concentrations of VOC than the Denton site. Extremely high levels of VOC measured at the Denton site corresponded with the increase in oil and gas production activities in close proximity to the monitoring site. Ethane and propane are two major contributors to the measured VOC concentration, suggesting the influence of fugitive emissions of natural gas. In Dallas, the mean and maximum values of ozone had decreased since 2000 by about 2% and 25%, respectively. Similarly NOx decreased by 50% and 18% in the mean and maximum values. However, the mean VOC value showed a 21% decrease while the maximum value increased by about 46%. In Denton, the change in percentage of ozone and NOx were similar to Dallas but the mean VOC concentration increased by about 620% while the max value increased 1960%. Source apportionment analysis confirmed the findings by identifying the production of natural gas to be the primary source of VOC emissions in Denton, while traffic sources were more influential near the Dallas site. In light of the recent proposal by EPA to revise the ozone standard, the influence of these new unconventional sources should be further evaluated.

The main aim of the thesis is to perform the financial analysis of company E.ON Energie, a.s. based on the accounting data from 2006-2010, to critically assess the development of the data and important ratios and to compare the results with the best company in the industry sector. The thesis is divided into two main parts: the theory and the practical application. The theory explains the methods that I decided to choose for the financial analysis -- horizontal and vertical analysis, ratios of profitability, leverage, liquidity and activity, the DuPont analysis and selected bonity and bankruptcy models. In the theoretical part I also assess the explanatory power of financial statements and its main threats. In the practical part I present the company as an electricity and natural gas retailer. The energy industry has recently undergone a market liberalization, which had a large impact on the energy companies. As the sector analysis of Michael Porter confirmed, the industry faces greater competition than before. The energy companies are also influenced by macroeconomic developments, e.g. GDP and energy consumption, prices in the electricity market and the euro exchange rate. The main result of the performed financial analysis is the fact that E.ON Energie, a.s. follows its strategy to become a leader in the electricity market. In the years 2009 and 2010 E.ON Energie, a.s. caught up with CEZ Prodej, s.r.o. in the liquidity, leverage and activity ratios. In addition to this, it improved its profitability. Moreover, the revenues grow at a faster pace than in CEZ Prodej, s.r.o. In the future it will be interesting to see how the company will develop despite the increasing competition in the market.

Nas últimas décadas, a fonte eolielétrica é a que sinaliza maior crescimento mundial dentre as demais. A curva de aprendizagem tecnológica do setor mostra queda do custo entre 15% a 20% a cada 3 anos. Países ativos no setor eólico se esforçam pela meta de 12% de participação na produção elétrica mundial em 2020. A contribuição da geração eolielétrica offshore é fundamental para essa meta, pela proximidade aos centros de carga, com ganhos de eficiência, de escala e reduzido impacto ambiental e visual. Apesar do crescimento do parque gerador nacional em 2006, há carência na produção no curto prazo. Contraditoriamente, há ventos abundantes para geração eolielétrica e o prévio arcabouço industrial que seria necessário para desenvolver o setor. Apesar do incentivo governamental (PROINFA), o setor eólico brasileiro ainda não decolou como esperado. O objetivo deste trabalho é reforçar o debate sobre a importância da diversificação da matriz, em prol da estratégia de segurança do suprimento energético nacional e da redução da emissão de gases de efeito estufa. Em rumo a esse objetivo, são colocados argumentos com abordagem ampla e com abordagem específica. Na abordagem ampla, esta pesquisa propõe uma maior inserção da fonte eólica na matriz elétrica nacional como uma das opções a serem consideradas de maneira mais relevante nas táticas de diversificação da matriz, a exemplo do que já fazem países com maior abundância de gás natural que o Brasil, como o Reino Unido. Sob um ponto de vista específico, a investigação exemplifica possibilidades de contribuição da fonte eolielétrica, na sua versão offshore, para as táticas de diversificação da matriz nacional que se entendem importantes, a exemplo do já fazem países com maior predominância da fonte hidráulica que o Brasil, como a Noruega. O método utilizado para se alcançar o objetivo desta dissertação envolve os seguintes passos: (1) esclarecer quanto aos principais aspectos do setor energético a nível mundial e o problema ambiental que está vinculado à produção de energia por fontes fósseis; (2) esclarecer quanto aos aspectos do desenvolvimento de sistemas eolielétricos onshore no Brasil e no mundo e também do desenvolvimento de sistemas offshore em países de interesse; (3) explorar exemplos de articulação dos sistemas eólicos offshore com projetos de produção de energia fóssil em ambiente marítimo, como forma de produzir sinergia útil a ambos os setores; (4) analisar e debater sobre as propostas do governo brasileiro para o futuro da matriz elétrica do país; (5) propor algumas possibilidades de desenvolvimento de sistemas eólicos offshore no Brasil, partindo de pequenos projetos-piloto. Caso as propostas deste trabalho se tornem realizadas, os resultados para este país líder em energia limpa e renovável seriam: a criação de valor nas operações offshore de produção de energia fóssil, o ganho de aprendizagem sobre a tecnologia eólica, o alívio parcial da oferta energética para centros litorâneos no curto prazo; a racionalização do uso, transporte e dependência externa do gás natural; a dinamização dos Mecanismos de Desenvolvimento Limpo (CDM / MDL) e de novos mercados e empregos para a indústria. / In the last decade wind power source was the fastest-growing energy source. Technological learning curves for this sector fall down by a 15% a 20% rate each 3 years. Countries which are committed with wind power are running after the target of 12% wind into the worlds electrical production by 2020. The contribution of the offshore wind power (OWP) source is fundamental on covering such target, due to the proximity to load centers, efficiency & scale savings and reduced environmental and visual impact. Although the growth of the Brazilian power generation system in 2006, there is a gap on fulfilling demand in the short run. Nevertheless, Brazil has abundance of winds suitable for power generation, as a previous industrial framework, necessary on developing this sector. Even that a governmental program has come (PROINFA), wind power sector has not risen as expected yet. The goal of this thesis is to reinforce the debate about the importance on diversifying the Brazilian power matrix, towards the strategy of energy security supply as the reduction of greenhouse gases emissions. On reaching such a goal, this thesis states arguments by a generic approach and also by a specific approach. In the generic approach, it proposes a larger share for wind into the Brazilian electrical matrix as one of the options that should be considered in a more relevant manner for the tactics of diversifying the electrical matrix, following the example given by countries with larger abundance than Brazil regarding on natural gas production, as it is the case of the United Kingdom. In the specific approach, this investigation exemplifies possibilities of contributions from the OWP for the tactics of diversifying the matrix, following the example given by a country with higher predominance than Brazil regarding on using large hydropower as the main national power source, which is the case of Norway. The method taken for reaching the thesis goal involves the following steps: (1) to clarify on some aspects regarding energy production and its respective environmental problem related to the greenhouse gases emissions;(2) to clarify some aspects about the development of wind energy systems in Brazil and in the world and also some aspects about the development of OWP projects in selected countries; (3) to explore examples of articulation between OWP systems with offshore fossil energy production systems, in order to argue about the synergy that is possible between them; (4) to analyze and debate about the Brazilian governments proposal for the electrical matrix in the long run; (5) to propose some possibilities of developing OWP systems in Brazil, starting by small-scale pilot projects. If the case the propositions of this thesis come true in the future, the earnings for this country, which a world leader in clean & renewable energy, would be the following: value creation into the offshore fossil energy production; growth of learning about the OWP technologies; the partial relief of power supply for the coastal load centers; rationalization on the use, transport and foreign dependence of natural gas resources; pushing dynamics for Clean Development Mechanisms (CDM), as for industrial markets and employment.

O presente trabalho apresenta um modelo de aplicação de ferramentas de projeto integradas ao longo das fases de desenvolvimento de produto, neste caso, aplicadas na melhoria do produto suporte para fixação de cilindro de gás natural veicular. O foco do trabalho é apresentar a integração de ferramentas nas fases de Projeto Informacional, Projeto Conceitual e Projeto Detalhado do Processo de Desenvolvimento de Produtos. Entende-se por integração a escolha de ferramentas que permitam conduzir o fluxo de informação ao longo das fases de desenvolvimento de produtos, de tal forma que a informação de saída de uma ferramenta seja a informação de entrada da ferramenta subseqüente. As ferramentas integradas a partir da fase de Projeto Informacional foram a Pesquisas de Mercado Qualitativa e Quantitativa, com a finalidade de identificar as demandas dos clientes. As demandas dos clientes foram os dados de entrada da Matriz da Qualidade (Quality Function Deployment - QFD), resultando nos requisitos do produto e suas respectivas especificações-meta. A partir dos requisitos do produto, diferentes conceitos (configurações) foram gerados, apoiados pela Matriz Morfológica no Projeto Conceitual. Na seqüência utilizou-se a ferramenta de Projeto de Experimentos (Design of Experiments - DOE) para avaliar a estimativa de preço frente às possíveis configurações do produto. Com a Matriz de Pugh, alternativas de conceito de produto foram avaliadas possibilitando a escolha do melhor conceito de produto. No Projeto Detalhado, foi aplicada ferramenta de Análise dos Modos de Falha e seus Efeitos (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis - FMEA), utilizado de forma integrada com o QFD, para identificar as falhas atuais e potenciais e seus efeitos em sistemas e processo. Em função das demandas identificadas, foram definidas e implementadas melhorias no produto. Observou-se a adequabilidade destas ferramentas de projeto para aplicação de forma integrada, garantindo um fluxo contínuo de informações rastreáveis e que tendem a levar à uma reduzida chance de perdas ao longo do processo. / There are few examples in literature about the integration of project tools along the product development phases. The main research objective in thesis is to integrate some tools that facilitate the information flow along the product development phases, more specifically in Informational Project, Conceptual Project and Detailed Project phases. The product improvement “support for Vehicular Natural Gas” was the object of study in thesis. The main idea is that the information output from one tool is the input information of the subsequent tool. Starting from the Informational Project phase it was performed qualitative and quantitative market researches with the purpose of identifying the customers' demands for the studied product. The customers’ demands were the entrance data of the QFD (Quality Function Deployment) tool resulting in the product requirements and their respective specifications-goal. In Concept Project the product requirements were converted in functions and further different concepts were generated through the Morphologic Analysis. In the sequence, it was used the DOE (Design for experiments) tool to evaluate the estimate price to the possible products' configurations. The Pugh Matrix tool was used for concepts evaluation and choice. The FMEA (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis) tool integrated with QFD was useful for current and potential failures identification and impact analysis in the system and process. With the application of these five tools the users’ demands were identified and improvements to the product were performed. The chosen tools proved to be adequate for integration, assuring that a continuous trackable information flow was attained with presumable reduced information loss, along the Product Development Process phases.

Esta dissertação busca analisar a eficiência econômica da forma de classificação das usinas geradoras nos leilões de contratação de energia elétrica por disponibilidade. Historicamente, o Brasil tem apresentado uma matriz de geração de energia elétrica predominantemente hídrica, que, embora mais econômica do que as matrizes de geração prevalentemente térmicas, pode resultar em déficits de geração em períodos de escassez hidrológica. O ano de 2001 evidenciou tal perigo. Nele, uma série de baixas afluências hidrológicas, sem o prévio incremento adequado do parque gerador, resultou no Programa de Redução do Consumo e, através desse, num decréscimo de 20% na demanda por energia elétrica à época, acentuando a preocupação pela incorporação de empreendimentos termelétricos para diversificar a matriz de geração do País. Entre as modificações realizadas, destaca-se a alteração da estrutura de comercialização de energia elétrica no Brasil visando a favorecer à expansão da oferta termelétrica, concebendo-se a modalidade de contratação por disponibilidade. Tal modalidade transfere o risco da operação e do preço do combustível dos ombros do gerador para os do consumidor. Contudo, fez-se necessário, para viabilizar tal modalidade de contratação, o uso de ferramental diferenciado para classificação dessa nova oferta de energia nos leilões, e a ferramenta adotada foi o Índice de Custo Benefício (ICB). Nesse contexto, o objetivo deste trabalho é analisar os resultados econômicos decorrentes do uso do ICB na contratação de usinas termelétricas por disponibilidade, verificando se ele se mostrou ou não adequado a tal fim. Para isso, analisam-se os resultados dos leilões para a contratação da energia de novos empreendimentos, destacando a participação de cada fonte energia e os valores financeiros exercidos por meio dos preços, das receitas fixas e dos respectivos ICBs. Além disso, é feita uma análise das operações das usinas termelétricas após a contratação. Dessa forma, são utilizados os anos operativos de 2014 e 2015, nos quais foi registrada uma profunda escassez hidrológica, como base na comparação de cenários de geração de energia elétrica com diferentes participações entre empreendimentos termelétricos a óleos derivados do petróleo e a gás natural. Os cenários utilizados são quatro: dois com composição real entre as dessas duas fontes termelétricas (óleos derivados do petróleo e a gás natural) para os anos de 2014 e 2015; e dois simulados, com 100% da geração termelétrica sendo realizada apenas a gás natural para os mesmos anos. Os resultados financeiros encontrados indicam que a potencial economia no custo da energia elétrica gerada no cenário simulado comparado ao cenário real seria da ordem de 6 bilhões de reais nos anos de 2014 e 2015. Assim, considerando as 59 usinas que integraram o universo da análise, o resultado que indica ineficiência no uso ICB, o qual apontou vantagem econômica de certos empreendimentos no momento de suas contratações que não se concretizaram nos cenários testados de baixa hidrologia. Ademais, fica clara a necessidade de aprimorar a metodologia de classificação de empreendimentos de geração de modo que tal metodologia leve em conta os efeitos de eventuais anos de baixa hidrologia, buscando tornar a contratação de energia elétrica no Brasil mais econômica e mais aderente à volatilidade hidrológica do País. / This thesis seeks to analyze the economic efficiency of the classification method for power plants in power availability contracts. Historically Brazil has presented a predominantly hydroelectric power generation matrix, which, though more economical than predominantly thermal generation matrix, can result in the generation deficits in hydrological scarcity periods. The year 2001 showed such danger. In it a number of low hydrological inflows, without adequate prior increase in generating capacity, resulted in rationing of 20% in demand for electricity at the time, stressing the concern by incorporating thermal power projects to diversify the country generation matrix. Among the changes made, it altered the electricity market structure in Brazil in order to favor the expansion of the thermoelectric supply, creating the availability contracts modality. This mode transfers the risk of the operation and the price of fuel from generator to the consumer. However, it was necessary to enable this type of contract, the use of different tools for classification in the auctions, and the tool adopted was the Cost Benefit Index (CBI). The objective of this study is to analyze the economic results from the use of CBI in hiring thermoelectric plants using availability contracts, checking if was or not suitable for this purpose. In this sense, we analyze the results of the auctions for new energy projects, highlighting the contribution of each energy source and the financial figures exercised through prices, the fixed income and ICBS. Moreover, it is also made an analysis of the operations of power plants after hiring. Thus, operating years used were 2014 and 2015, in which it was registered a profound hydrological shortage, based on the comparison of electricity generation scenarios with different interests between thermal power projects to petroleum oils and natural gas. The scenarios used were four: two with real composition between these two thermal sources for the years 2014 and 2015, petroleum oils and natural gas; and two simulated, with 100% of thermal generation with natural gas for the same years. The financial results indicate that the potential savings in the cost of the electricity generated in the simulated scenario compared to the real scenario would be around 6,1 billion reais in the years 2014 and 2015. Thus, considering the 59 plants that integrated the universe of analysis, the result indicates the inefficiency of the use ICB, which pointed out the economic advantage contracts that were not hired in low hydrology scenario tested. In addition, it is a clear the need to improve the classification methodology for generation projects in a way that takes into account the effects low hydrology year, trying to make the electricity contracts more economical to Brazil and more adherent to hydrological volatility of the country.

Esta dissertação analisa a viabilidade técnico-econômica de pequenas centrais de cogeração a gás natural no setor terciário do estado de São Paulo, os estudos de cogeração foram baseados em casos reais de estabelecimentos comerciais dos principais segmentos do setor terciário com demanda elétrica e térmica compatível ao balanço energético para a configuração de cogeração. A análise dos resultados inclui o fator de utilização de energia (FUE), investimentos iniciais, economia operacional (fluxo de caixa), retorno dos investimentos (Payback), taxa interna de retorno (TIR) e valor presente líquido (VPL). As tecnologias empregadas nos estudos foram gerador do tipo Motor a Combustão Interna (MCI) e Microturbina (TG), resfriador de líquido por absorção (ABS) e resfriador de líquido elétrico convencional. Foi realizada análise do potencial de mercado para aplicação de cogeração através do mapeamento dos principais segmentos do setor terciário e realizado o levantamento do estado da arte. Foram estudadas as legislações brasileiras tanto no que se refere à cogeração qualificada como geração distribuída, realizado análise de emissões com destaque ao comparativo entre emissão de CO2 das centrais de cogeração e a emissão de CO2 das termelétricas a gás natural. Foi realizado estudo do cenário energético brasileiro do ponto de vista geração e distribuição de energia elétrica, cenário da oferta de gás natural no Brasil e a sua estrutura de distribuição no estado de São Paulo e, por fim, foram destacados os benefícios e barreiras da cogeração no Brasil. Os resultados alcançados apontam para um revés na viabilidade financeira da cogeração devido aos consecutivos aumentos no preço da tarifa de gás natural, apesar de bastante racional e com benefícios diretos ao meio ambiente e ao país, fazem-se necessários incentivos específicos relacionados à tarifa do gás natural para o crescimento da aplicação de cogeração no setor terciário do estado de São Paulo. / This dissertation examines the technical and economic feasibility of small cogeneration plants powered by natural gas in the tertiary sector of the state of São Paulo. Cogeneration studies were based on real cases of commercial facilities of the main segments of the tertiary sector with electrical and thermal demands compatible for energy usage in cogeneration configuration. The analysis results include energy utilization factor (EUF), initial investments, operational savings (cash flow), return on investment (payback), internal rate of return (IRR) and net present value (NPV). The technologies investigated in the study were Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) and Microturbine (TG) generator, absorption chiller (ABS) and conventional electrical chiller. It was carried out an analysis of the potential market for application of cogeneration by mapping the main segments of the tertiary sector and conducted a survey of the state of the art. Brazilian laws were studied both with regard to qualified cogeneration and distributed generation, performed emissions analysis with emphasis on the comparative between CO2 emission from cogeneration plant and CO2 emission from power plants by natural gas. It was made a study of Brazilian energy scenario from the viewpoint of generating and distributing of electricity, scenario of supply of natural gas in Brazil and its distribution structure in the São Paulo state and, finally, it was appointed the benefits and barriers of cogeneration in Brazil. The results indicate a setback on the financial viability of cogeneration due to consecutive increases in the price of natural gas, although quite rational and with direct benefits to the environment and the country, it\'s necessary specific incentives related to the natural gas price for the growth of the application of cogeneration in the tertiary sector of the state of São Paulo.

This dissertation examines the relationship between resource nationalism and energy integration, and uses Bolivia and Brazil as a test case. Essentially, does resource nationalism affect energy integration? The findings nest within more expansive questions on international political economy and export-driven models of development. Why do populist regimes, historically operating under an economic nationalist cum protectionist paradigm, simultaneously pursue policies of economic integration? What is the relationship between resource nationalists and open markets, especially in the hydrocarbons sector? What is the relationship between populists, who are typically resource nationalists, and their decision to choose policies of energy integration? The most common responses to the above are that resource nationalists pursue protectionist policies in the hydrocarbon sector. This dissertation demonstrates that once in power, resource nationalists do not always pursue protectionist policies in the hydrocarbon sector, but instead rely on market forces. Another common response is that populists pursue policies of resource nationalism in the hydrocarbon sector. This dissertation demonstrates that populists do not always pursue policies of resource nationalism in the hydrocarbon sector, but instead choose policies of integration. Policies of integration are compelled by market forces, and at times ironically provide the foundation for resource nationalism to later flourish. This dissertation develops a case-study of Bolivia and Brazil to assess the relationship between resource nationalism and energy integration. The case is selected based on each country having energy resources or derivative products for exploitation and use, an energy trade relationship between the countries, the presence of government-run natural resource firms in each country, and a specific period where resource nationalism is present. Bolivia and Brazil are important for this study because of their proximity, particularly where the supply of natural gas is concerned. Proximity is of great importance as natural gas infrastructure is concomitant with energy integration, particularly supply.