The Cairngorm Mountains contain an outstanding assemblage of glacial landforms from both the deglaciation of the last British Irish Ice Sheet and the Younger Dryas readvance. Glaciers are recognised as sensitive indicators of past and present climate change and, thus, these landforms provide information about past climate and glacier-climate interaction that can be used to contextualise the present climate change. Previous interpretations have left doubt over the extent and style of the Younger Dryas readvance. In addition, the pattern and timing of deglaciation in the southern Cairngorms and, particularly, how local and external ice masses interacted is unclear. New geomorphological mapping from aerial images and fieldwork has been compiled in a GIS for a 600km2 area of the Cairngorm Mountains. This has allowed a complex pattern of ice-dammed lakes and local and regionally sourced ice margins to be reconstructed during the retreat of the last British Irish Ice Sheet. The mapping has been combined with new cosmogenic surface exposure ages taken from areas of hummocky moraine previously subject to differing age interpretations. The effect of moraine denudation on apparent 10Be ages has been checked by inverse modelling of the 10Be concentration vs. boulder height. The results indicate more extensive Younger Dryas glaciation, with glacier reconstructions and equilibrium-line altitudes (ELAs) comparable with the surrounding areas. Reconstruction of both valley and plateau-fed glaciers are presented, with modelling of local topoclimatic factors, such as radiation, avalanche and snow drifting, combined with precipitation gradients, explaining most of the variation within the glacier ELAs. The geomorphological evidence and palaeoclimatic inferences are important, alongside a growing number of palaeoglaciological studies, in acting as evaluation areas for current numerical models of ice-sheet growth and decay.

The Greenland ice sheet is the largest Northern Hemisphere store of fresh water, and it is responding rapidly to the warming climate. In situ observations document the changing ice sheet properties in the lower accumulation area, Southwest Greenland. Firn densities from 1840 meters above sea level retrieved in May 2012 revealed the existence of a 5.5-meter-thick, near-surface ice layer in response to the recent increased melt and refreezing in firn. As a consequence, vertical meltwater percolation in the extreme summer 2012 was inefficient, resulting in surface runoff. Meltwater percolated and refroze at six meters depth only after the end of the melt season. This prolonged autumn refreezing under the newly accumulated snowpack resulted in unprecedented firn warming with temperature at ten meters depth increased by more than four degrees Celsius. Simulations confirm that meltwater reached nine meters depth at most. The refrozen meltwater was estimated at 0.23 meters water equivalent, amounting to 25 % of the total 2012 ablation. A surface energy balance model was used to evaluate the seasonal and interannual variability of all surface energy fluxes at that elevation in the years 2009 to 2013. Due to the meltwater presence at the surface in 2012, the summer-averaged albedo was significantly reduced (0.71 in 2012; typically 0.78). A sensitivity analysis revealed that 71 % of the subsequent additional solar radiation in 2012 was used for melt, corresponding to 36 % of the total 2012 surface lowering. This interplay between melt and firn properties highlights that the lower accumulation area of the Greenland ice sheet will be responding rapidly in a warming climate. / Stability and Variations of Arctic Land Ice (SVALI) / Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) / Greenland Analogue Project (GAP)

中國大陸是世界自然災害發生、災情最嚴重的國家之一，具有災害種類多、發生頻率高、分佈地域廣、造成損失大等特點，對中國的經濟建設與社會發展，造成多方的嚴重破壞與影響。 目前中國大陸的災害管理主要是縱向的災害管理模式，即在中共中央「統一領導」下，主導災害管理，並堅持「政府集體領導、上下分級管理、部門分工負責、以地方為主、中央為輔」的災害管理體制，劃分為國家級減災管理、省級減災管理與地方級（城鄉社區）減災管理等三個層次，凸顯中國災害管理體制出現不少問題，也暴露出中國應急救援工作存在薄弱環節。 因此近年來，中國逐步形成自然災害的管理處置體系，災害危機管理工作也有一定程度的進展，但2008年發生的雪災、川震，是中國在「SARS」危機結束後，所遇到最為嚴重的危機事件，對中國「統一領導、分級負責、條塊結合、屬地管理」的處置體系，進行一次全面性的檢驗。同時，也對中國政權建設在政治、經濟、軍事、社會以及兩岸關係上，產生決定性的影響。所以，中國政府在面對自然災害格外謹慎，深怕直接影響其政府形象及認可度。 儘管中國因著災害事件接踵而來，在管理應處上逐步學習改善，但評估中國在2008年自然災害的應對中，災害管理仍落後於經濟的增長和社會的發展，與中共中央的要求還是有很大的差距，所以中國未來在應對自然災害管理組織、制度、能力和作為等，還需許多改進和完善的地方。 / Mainland China, having many features of disaster such as various species, high happening frequency, extensive distribution, great damage etc., is one of the countries with the most serious natural disaster situation experience in the world. These features also cause serious destruction to the economic construction and social development of China. Presently, Mainland China takes the vertical disaster administration mode to handle the situation. The government directly leads the disaster administration and insists forming a system of central collective leading, classifying administration , responsibility divided and giving region the priority. It is divided into three levels：national, provincial and regional disaster administration. It reveals many problems in disaster administration of China and exposes insufficient ability of China in dealing with emergency and rescuing sufferers. Therefore, in recent years, China gradually forms a administration system in dealing with natural disasters and makes a certain progress. However the snow disaster and the earthquake of Sichuan, occurred in 2008, were the most serious accidents we ever met in China after the SARS crisis, These contingencies urge China to entirely check the processing system of integrated leading, classified responsibility and possession administration. Simultaneously, these experiences also make a decisive influence to the China political power construction on political affairs, economy, military, society and cross-Strait relations. Thus, the China government carefully confront natural disasters and afraid it influences the image and approve of the government. Although China gradually learn and improves the measures in dealing with the continued accidents, but assessing that China in 2008 in response to natural disasters, disaster management is still lagging behind the economic growth and social development. Also it is still a large gap to conform with the requirements of the CPC Central Committee. Therefore in the future, for China it is still needed to be improved and perfected in response to natural disaster management organizations, systems, capabilities, and actions etc.

Are the threshold experiences encountered between waking and sleeping similar to the liminal space between life and death? The sights, sounds, and bodily sensations experienced in the unconscious void blur the lines between the unknown and our conscious existence. Using the figure, I portray how the body might exist in these transitional moments. Through my investigations into sleep paralysis, dream states, and notions of an afterlife and the soul, I explore how we perceive the self in these altered states of consciousness.

L’objectif de ce mémoire est d’acquérir une connaissance détaillée sur l’évolution spatiale de la température de surface du sol (GST) au mont Jacques-Cartier et sur la réponse thermique de son îlot de pergélisol alpin aux changements climatiques passés et futurs. L’étude est basée sur un ensemble de mesures de température (GST, sous-sol) et de neige, ainsi que des modèles spatiaux de distribution potentielle de la GST et des simulations numériques du régime thermique du sol. Les résultats montrent que la distribution de la GST sur le plateau est principalement corrélée avec la répartition du couvert nival. Au-dessus de la limite de la végétation, le plateau est caractérisé par un couvert de neige peu épais et discontinu en hiver en raison de la topographie du site et l’action des forts vents. La GST est alors couplée avec les températures de l’air amenant des conditions froides en surface. Dans les îlots de krummholz et les dépressions topographiques sur les versants SE sous le vent, la neige soufflée du plateau s’accumule en un couvert très épais induisant des conditions de surface beaucoup plus chaude que sur le plateau dû à l’effet isolant de la neige. En raison de la quasi-absence de neige en hiver et de la nature du substrat, la réponse du pergélisol du sommet du mont Jacques-Cartier au signal climatique est très rapide. De 1978 à 2014, la température du sol a augmenté à toutes les profondeurs au niveau du forage suivant la même tendance que les températures de l’air. Si la tendance au réchauffement se poursuit telle que prévue par les simulations climatiques produites par le consortium Ouranos, le pergélisol pourrait disparaître d’ici à 2040-2050. / The objective of the study was to acquire detailed knowledge of the spatial evolution of the ground surface temperature (GST) on Mont Jacques-Cartier and the thermal response of its marginal permafrost body to the past and future climate changes. The study is based on temperature (GST, underground) and snow measurements, and spatial modeling of the potential GST distribution and numerical modeling of the ground thermal regime. The result showed that the spatio-temporal variability of the GST over the summit is mainly correlated with the snowpack distribution. On the wind-exposed plateau, the snowpack is thin and discontinuous. The GST is thus closely connected to the very cold air temperature in winter. In the krummholz patches and in the topographic depression on the leeward slope, drifted snow accumulation is significant leading to surface condition warmer than over the wind-exposed plateau. Because of the near snow-free condition of the plateau summit and the highly conductive nature of its bedrock, the response of the permafrost to the climate signal is rapid. From 1978 to 2014, the ground warmed at all depths. If the recent trend continues as predicted by the climate simulations provided by the Ouranos consortium, the complete disappearance of the permafrost body at Mont Jacques-Cartier could occur around 2040-2050.

Le transport de la neige par le vent est une composante importante de l'interaction entre l'atmosphère et la cryosphère. En zone de montagne, il influence la distribution temporelle et spatiale de la couverture neigeuse au cours de l'hiver et a en premier lieu des conséquences sur le danger d'avalanche. La modélisation numérique de ce phénomène permet d'étudier les interactions complexes entre le manteau neigeux et le vent et d'en estimer les conséquences de manière distribuée. Dans ce contexte, cette thèse décrit le développement et l'évaluation d'un modèle couplé atmosphère/manteau neigeux dédié à l'étude du transport de la neige par le vent en zone de montagne reposant sur le modèle atmosphérique Meso-NH et le modèle détaillé de manteau neigeux Crocus. Le transport de la neige par le vent a été étudié sur le site expérimental du Col du Lac Blanc (massif des Grandes Rousses, France). Une base de données d'épisodes de transport couvrant dix hivers a tout d'abord été utilisée pour déterminer les caractéristiques principales de ces épisodes. Des simulations avec le modèle Crocus (non couplé à Meso-NH) ont ensuite montré qu'il était nécessaire de tenir compte des transformations mécaniques des grains de neige induites par le vent afin de simuler une évolution réaliste de la vitesse seuil de transport. Le site expérimental a également été le siège de deux campagnes de mesures en 2011 et 2012 visant à collecter de données de validation pour le modèle. Elles renseignent sur les conditions météorologiques près de la surface, sur les quantités de neige transportées et sur la localisation des zones d'érosion et de dépôt de la neige grâce à l'utilisation d'un laser terrestre. Le modèle de transport de neige par le vent Meso-NH/Crocus a été développé. Il intègre le transport de la neige en saltation et en suspension turbulente ainsi que la sublimation des particules de neige transportée. Un schéma à deux moments permet de simuler l'évolution spatiale et temporelle de la distribution en taille des particules. L'utilisation d'un schéma de couche limite de surface à l'interface entre Meso-NH et Crocus s'est révélé nécessaire pour représenter les forts gradients de concentration en particules de neige observés près de la surface. Meso-NH/Crocus est le premier modèle couplé atmosphère/manteau neigeux capable de simuler de manière interactive le transport de la neige par le vent en zone alpine. Meso-NH/Crocus a été évalué en relief réel grâce aux données collectées lors de la première campagne de mesure en 2011. La simulation d'un épisode de transport sans chute de neige simultanée montre que le modèle reproduit de manière satisfaisante les principales structures d'un écoulement en relief complexe ainsi que les profils verticaux de vitesse de vent et de flux de particules de neige en suspension près de la surface. En revanche, la résolution horizontale de 50 m est insuffisante pour reproduire avec précision la localisation des zones d'érosion et de dépôt autour du Col du Lac Blanc. La prise en compte de la sublimation réduit la quantité de neige déposée de l'ordre de 5%.Les techniques de descente d'échelle dynamique (grid nesting) ont ensuite été utilisées pour simuler un second épisode de transport avec chute de neige. L'augmentation de la résolution horizontale intensifie les contrastes de vitesse de vent entre versants au vent et sous le vent. En revanche, elle modifie peu les quantités et les structures spatiales des précipitations solides autour du Col du Lac Blanc. Lorsqu'il est activé, le transport devient la principale source d'hétérogénéités des accumulations neigeuses / Blowing and drifting snow are crucial components of the interaction between the cryosphere and the atmosphere. In mountainous areas, it affects the temporal and spatial distribution of snow depth throughout the winter season and influences avalanche formation. Numerical modeling offers a solution for studying the complex interaction between the snowpack and the wind field and to assess the related processes in a spatially distributed way. In this context, this PhD describes the development and the validation of a coupled snow/atmosphere model which is dedicated to the study of blowing and drifting snow in alpine terrain. The coupled model consists in the atmospheric model Meso-NH and the detailed snowpack model Crocus. Blowing and drifting snow have been monitored at the Col du Lac Blanc (Grandes Rousses range, French Alps) experimental site. A database consisting of blowing snow events observed over 10 years allowed us to identify the main features of these events. Numerical simulations using Crocus illustrated the necessity of taking the wind-dependence of snow grain characteristics into account in order to simulate satisfactorily the occurrence of blowing snow events. We also carried out two measurement campaigns at our experimental site in 2011 and 2012 in order to collect validation data for the model. This includes measurements of vertical profiles of wind speed and snow particle fluxes near the surface and the mapping of areas of erosion and deposition using terrestrial laser scanning. The coupled Meso-NH/Crocus model has been developed in order to account for blowing and drifting snow. It simulates snow transport in saltation and in turbulent suspension and includes the sublimation of suspended snow particles. In the atmosphere, a double-moment scheme allows the model to simulate the spatial and temporal evolution of the snow particle size distribution. The implementation of a surface boundary layer scheme at the interface between Meso-NH and Crocus turned out to be necessary to reproduce the strong vertical gradient of snow particle concentration near the surface. Meso-NH/Crocus is the first coupled snow-atmosphere model that can simulate snow transport in alpine terrain in an interactive way.Meso-NH/Crocus has been evaluated against data collected near Col du Lac Blanc during the first measurement campaign in 2011. The simulation of a blowing snow event without concurrent snowfall showed that the model captures the main structures of atmospheric flow in complex terrain, the vertical profile of wind speed and the snow particle fluxes. However, the horizontal resolution of 50 m is found to be insufficient to simulate the location of areas of snow erosion and deposition observed around Col du Lac Blanc. Blowing snow sublimation leads to a reduction in snow deposition of approximately 5%.We used downscaling techniques (grid nesting) to simulate a second blowing event with concurrent snowfall. The increase in horizontal resolution enhanced the contrast of wind speed between windward and leeward slopes. However, it only slightly affects the amount and the spatial pattern of snow precipitation around Col du Lac Blanc. When activated, blowing and drifting snow are the main sources of spatial variability of snow accumulation

Global consumption of organophosphate esters (OPs), which are used as flame retardants and plasticizers, is rapidly increasing. Their use as additives in diverse applications poses a risk as they may be emitted from the products they are added to and be further transported in the environment. Therefore, the levels, distribution, and possible sources of 15 OPs, some of which are reported to be toxic, were investigated in indoor and outdoor environments. An exposure assessment was performed, and the exposure to OPs via inhalation was examined for five occupational groups. In addition, based on the findings of the studies, the total flow of OPs in Sweden was estimated. In indoor environments, the OPs detected in air and dust varied between the sites, but generally reflected the building materials, furniture etc. used in the premises. A majority of the analysed OPs were detected in all samples, and public buildings tended to have higher levels than domestic buildings. The chlorinated OPs dominated in indoor air and wipe samples from vehicles. They were also abundant in the dust samples. Some occupational groups were significantly more exposed to OPs than others. Aircraft technicians, for example, were exposed to about 500 times more tributyl phosphate than day care centre personnel. Upon domestic and industrial cleaning, OPs are discharged with the wastewater via the sewage system to sewage treatment plants (STPs). Irrespective of the size of the STPs investigated, they had similar levels of OPs in their influents, indicating that products containing OPs are widely used by the communities they serve. In some cases, it was possible to trace elevated levels of individual OPs to specific sources. The OPs were poorly removed from the wastewater, and the chlorinated OPs especially tended to pass through the STPs without being removed or degraded. Thus, levels of OPs in their effluents were also similar, as were the levels in their sludge. Of the total amounts of OPs entering the STPs, 50% was emitted to the recipients via the effluent. Hence, there is room for significant improvement in the treatment processes. Carps living in a pond, receiving STP effluent were found to contain relatively high levels of OPs compared to perch collected in lakes from background locations. Air and road traffic were also identified as sources of OPs: the concentration of total OPs in snow samples decreased with increasing distance from a major road intersection, and OPs were detected in aircraft lubricants and hydraulic fluids and in waste oil from cars and lorries. OPs are emitted from both diffuse and direct sources to the environment and may then be spread by long-range air transport, rivers and streams. This probably explains why OPs were also detected in air and fish from background locations. Finally, OPs are ubiquitous substances in both indoor and outdoor environments. The possibility that prolonged exposure to OPs at the levels found may cause adverse effects, for instance in aqueous organisms, cannot be excluded. For example, the OP levels in snow were of the same magnitude as reported effect concentrations. Similarly, in some premises, indoor exposure to OPs was close to the suggested guideline value. However, since these studies include only a limited number of samples, and data regarding the health and environmental effects of OPs are sparse, no definitive conclusions regarding their possible environmental effects can be drawn. / Den globala konsumtionen av organiska fosfatestrar (OP) för användning som flamskyddsmedel och mjukgörare har ökat kraftigt på senare tid. Det breda användningsområdet för dessa additiv medför en risk att de kan avges från de produkter de är satta till och transporteras vidare ut i miljön. Följaktligen undersöktes källor till, halter av, och fördelning i inom- och utomhusmiljöer av 15 OP, varav en del har toxiska effekter. Vidare har exponering för OP i bl.a bostäder och offentliga byggnader beräknats. Utöver detta undersöktes exponeringen för OP via inandning hos 5 yrkesgrupper. Slutligen användes resultaten för att uppskatta det totala flödet av OP i Sverige. I de olika inomhusmiljöerna uppmättes ett flertal OP i varierande halter i damm och luft, men generellt speglade halterna byggnadsmaterial, möbler etc. som fanns i lokalerna. De offentliga lokalerna tenderade att uppvisa högre halter än privata hus, förmodligen beroende på högre brandskyddskrav. Klorerade OP dominerade i inomhusluft samt i avstrykningsprov från fordon och förekom även i höga halter i damm. Vissa yrkesgrupper var exponerade för betydligt högre halter OP än andra, t.ex. exponerades flygtekniker för upp till 500 ggr högre lufthalter av tributylfosfat jämfört med förskollärare. I samband med våtskurning i inomhusmiljöer (hushåll, industrilokaler, osv.) släpps avsevärda mängder OP ut i avloppet och når till sist reningsverk. Oberoende av storlek på reningsverken var halterna av OP relativt lika, i vardera ingående vatten och slam, vilket indikerar en bred användning av OP i samhället. I vissa fall kunde specifika källor till OP i avloppsvattnet spåras. Exempelvis hade två av reningsverken högre halter av en klorerad OP jämfört med övriga reningsverk. Dessa behandlade vatten från en skumplastfabrik, respektive en fabrik som tillverkar flamskyddad färg. Avskiljningsgraden av OP från avloppsvatten visade sig generellt vara dålig, i synnerhet klorerade OP tenderade att passera genom reningsverken utan att degraderas eller avskiljas från vattnet. Av den mängd OP som nådde reningsverken släpptes 50 % ut till miljön via utflödet. Som ett resultat av detta uppvisade karpar från en damm påverkad av utflödet från ett reningsverk höga halter OP jämfört med abborrar från referenssjöar. Det finns därför anledning att förbättra tekniken på reningsverken. Flyg- och vägtrafik kunde också identifieras som källor till OP i miljön. OP uppmättes i hydrauloljor och smörjmedel för flygplan samt i spillolja från bilar och lastbilar. Vidare minskade totalhalten OP i snöprov med ökat avstånd från en större vägkorsning. OP släpps således ut från både diffusa och direkta källor och kan sedan spridas vidare via luft och vattendrag. Därmed var det inte förvånande att OP även påträffades i luft och fisk från bakgrundslokaler. Avslutningsvis förekommer OP i varierande halter i såväl inom- som utomhusmiljöer. Det kan inte uteslutas att långvarig exponering för de halter av OP som uppmätts skulle kunna orsaka negativa effekter hos t.ex vatten- eller jordlevande organismer. I smälta snöprov från en flygplats uppmättes exempelvis halter av OP i samma storleksordning som rapporterade effektkoncentrationer. Dessutom visade sig den beräknade exponeringen av OP, i några av de provtagna inomhuslokalerna, uppgå till halter nära det föreslagna riktvärdet för OP i Tyskland. Dessa studier inkluderar dock ett begränsat antal prov och provtyper och kunskapen om dessa föreningars miljö- och hälsoeffekter är bristfällig. Därför bedöms underlaget som för litet för att några definitiva slutsatser ska kunna dras angående OPs eventuella effekter på miljön.

The precipitation falling as rain or snow has different impact on regional water resources and their annual distribution. Shift from solid to liquid form of precipitation following the increase of the surface air temperatures could be important because such change could influence the timing of spring runoff and cause water scarcity in summer. In this study, the spatial and temporal variations of ratio of snowfall to total precipitation (Sf), mean air temperature, day of year of melt-out and winter and spring runoff is analysed. Data were examined for 11 meteorological and 6 hydrological stations in the mountains catchment in Czechia for November-April 1965-2014. Data were analyzed using the Mann-Kendall trend test. Major results show that Sf has been decreasing strongly throughout the whole examined area, with the strongest decrease in the foothill area of the northern mountains of Czechia. Stronger decrease is observed in lower elevations, at the stations with meant air temperature close to melt temperature. Strongest decrease was observed in March and the weakest decrease was observed in December and April, The significant decreases in Sf are associated with large increase in mean winter air temperatures. Due to the increasing mean air temperature in the cold season, the total rainfall is...

Avalanche forecasters need precise knowledge about avalanche activity in large remote areas. Manual methods for gathering this data have scalability issues. Synthetic aperture radar satellites may provide much needed complementary data. This report describes Avanor, a system presenting change detection images of such satellite data in a web map client. Field validation suggests that the data in Avanor show at least 75 percent of the largest avalanches in Scandinavia with some small avalanches visible as well. / Lavinprognosmakare är i stort behov av detaljerad data gällande lavinaktivitet i stora och avlägsna områden. Manuella metoder för observation är svåra att skala upp, och rymdbaserad syntetisk aperturradar kan tillhandahålla ett välbehövt komplement till existerande datainsamling. Den här rapporten beskriver Avanor, en mjukvaruplattform som visualiserar förändringsbilder av sådan radardata i en webbkarta. Fältvalidering visar att datan som presenteras i Avanor kan synliggöra minst 75 procent av de största lavinerna i Skandinavien och även vissa mindre laviner.

En stor del av Sveriges energiproduktion kommer från vattenkraftverken. Dessa kraftverk använder sig av vattenmagasin för att hålla kvar vattenmassa och dammar för att reglera det vattenflöde som ger upphov till energiproduktionen. Efter vinterperioderna uppstår vårfloder, tillfälligt stora mängder vatten från snösmältningen, som kraftigt påverkar vattenmängden i kraftverkens vattenmagasin. Därför behöver regleringar av vattenmängden göras för att kunna ta emot den nya mängd vatten som tros tillkomma under vårfloden. Att göra korrekta prognoser för den rätta regleringen är idag svårt då de tillhörande avrinningsområdena är  tusentals kvadratkilometer stora och endast ett fåtal mätstationer finns tillgängliga. Syftet med detta projekt är att utveckla en metod för att bestämma fördelningen av snömängden i ojämn terräng, med vindriktningen som den största faktorn, för att kunna förutse avrinningens förändring under smältsäsongen.  De huvudsakliga arbetsverktyg som har använts är ArcGIS, Matlab, Excel och geostatiska metoder i kombination. Projektet är kopplat till ett nytt forskningsprojekt (SNODDAS, 2018) finansierat av Energimyndigheten som syftar till att ta fram bättre prognosmodeller för snökapaciteteten i avrinningsområden till vattenkraftsdammar. Det är ett samarbete mellan Uppsala universitet, SMHI och Vattenregleringsföretagen. Var snön kommer att hamna beror på terrängen och den dominerande vindriktningen. Därför kommer denna modell att definiera den del av terrängen som ligger upp-vind mot den dominerande vindriktningen som Sx. Modellens syfte är att beräkna snödistributionen och dess ackumulering i ett områdes höjddata med hjälp av 8 framtagna filer med olika Sx-värden för olika vindriktningar, också kallat Sheltering Index, med vindriktningar från 0º-360º med steg om 45º och sammanställda mätdata för vinterperioden 2017/2018 (19 oktober till 14 april). Det slutliga resultatet blev 61%, 63% och 90% jämfört med beräknad snövattenekvivalent av SeNorge (Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, 2019). / A large part of Sweden's energy production comes from hydroelectric power plants. These power plants use water reservoirs to retain water mass and dams to regulate the water flow that generates energy production. After the winter periods the large spring rivers, water from the snow melt, greatly affect the amount of water in the power plants' water reservoirs which makes it necessary to make regulations in order to be able to receive the amount of water that is believed to be added during the spring flows. Making accurate forecasts for the right regulations is difficult today as the associated river basins are several thousand square kilometers large and only a few measuring stations are available. This project aims to develop a method for determining the distribution of snow in uneven terrain, with the wind direction being the largest factor, in order to be able to foresee the change of runoff during the melting season. Main work tools are ArcGIS, Matlab, Excel and geostatic methods in combination. The project is linked to a new research project (SNODDAS, 2018) funded by the Swedish Energy Agency, which aims to develop better forecast models for the snow capacity in river basins to hydroelectric power dams. It is a collaboration between Uppsala University, SMHI and water regulation companies. Where the snow will end up depends on the terrain and the dominant wind direction. Therefore, this model will define the part of the terrain that lies up against the dominant wind direction as Sx. The purpose of the model is to calculate the snow distribution and its accumulation in the height data of an area with the aid of 8 files produced with different Sx values for different wind directions, also called the Sheltering Index, with wind directions from 0º-360º with steps of 45º and aggregated measurement data for the winter period 2017/2018 (19 October to 14 April). The results after calculations were 61%, 63% and 90% compared to the snow water equivalent from SeNorge (Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, 2019).