Les avalanches sont susceptibles d’affecter le réseau routier et les infrastructures bâties, mettant en péril la population. L’extension des avalanches est généralement évaluée à l’aide de modèles physiques et/ou statistiques. Ces modèles sont très performants pour simuler des événements relativement fréquents, cependant, les incertitudes augmentent dès lors que l’on considère des événements plus rares. Il est donc indispensable de valider les procédures de modélisation afin de confirmer les prédictions qui en découlent. Dans ce travail, la dendrogéomorphologie a été utilisée comme un outil de validation. Cette approche se fonde sur le fait que les arbres forment un cerne de croissance par année et que les individus affectés par des processus naturels enregistrent l’évidence d’une perturbation dans leurs cernes. Cette thèse a permis de proposer une nouvelle approche pour l’identification des événements avalancheux fondée sur l’expertise du dendrogéomorphologue et d’évaluer la qualité de l’approche dendrogéomorphologique. Il a également été possible de réaliser une validation croisée entre des avalanches extrêmes prédites par un modèle statistique-dynamique et des informations sur des périodes de retour d’avalanches similaires obtenues à l’aide de l’approche dendrogéomorphologique. Les résultats montrent une très bonne concordance pour des événements dont la période de retour est égale ou inférieure à 300 ans. Finalement, une analyse des relations statistiques avalanche-climat a montré que les arbres enregistrent préférentiellement les événements qui ont eu lieu durant des épisodes froids associés à des tempêtes hivernales accompagnées de fortes précipitations. / Snow avalanches are a significant natural hazard that impact roads, structures and threaten human lives in mountainous terrain. The extent of avalanches is usually evaluated using topographic or statistic models. These models are well capable to simulate contemporary events, but uncertainties increase as soon as longer return periods are investigated. Thus, there is a real need for validation of modelling procedures to corroborate model predictions. In the present work, dendrogeomorphology has been used as a validation tool. This approach is based on the fact that trees affected by mass movements record the evidence of geomorphic disturbance in their growth-ring series and thereby provide a precise geochronological tool for the reconstruction of past mass movement activity. This PhD thesis presents a new tree-ring-based semi-quantitative approach for the identification of avalanche events based on the analytical skills of the dendrogeomorphic expert and proposes an evaluation of the completeness of tree-ring records. Furthermore, this work proposes the first cross-validation of high return period avalanches derived from a locally calibrated statistical-dynamical model and the long-term, higher-return period information gathered from tree-ring records. Comparison of relations between runout distances and return periods between both approaches shows very good agreement for events with return periods of < 300 yr. Finally, a statistical analysis of avalanche-climate relations suggests that tree rings preferentially record events that occurred during cold winter storms with heavy precipitation.

L'objectif de cette thèse est de produire une méthodologie de restitution spatiale de la susceptibilité torrentielle à une échelle régionale. Les méthodes géomatiques et statistiques mises en œuvre visent à intégrer différents facteurs de prédisposition au phénomène de laves torrentielles, en particulier les caractéristiques morphométriques des tronçons et de leur bassin versant et leur potentiel de fourniture sédimentaire.La définition de modèles statistiques robustes a permis de prédire l'activité torrentielle à partir de la morphométrie des tronçons et de leur bassin versant, et permettent la discrimination des processus de laves torrentielles et de charriage.Au niveau des zones sources, le second facteur de prédisposition qu'est la disponibilité sédimentaire, est cartographié à partir de l'analyse des orthophotographies infrarouges de l'IGN©, puis est combiné à la susceptibilité morphométrique dans un SIG de manière experte. Ainsi, le potentiel sédimentaire des bassins versants sources vient pondérer la probabilité d'activité de lave torrentielle établie à partir du potentiel morphométrique dans le but de prédire la susceptibilité au déclenchement. Plus aval, la prédisposition à la propagation de laves torrentielles dépend des caractéristiques morphométriques et est également contrôlée par la susceptibilité torrentielle des biefs situés juste en amont (approche réseau). L'application de la démarche dans les Alpes du Sud a été validée avec 50 observations expertes.Cette thèse a conduit à la production des cartes des zones de déclenchement de laves torrentielles, et à l'identification de leur zone de propagation potentielle, intégrées à une plateforme de services (projet RHYTMME, Irstea et Météo-France). Elles peuvent être superposées avec les aléas de précipitations pour identifier les secteurs susceptibles à l’activité de laves torrentielles lors d'événements de précipitations de forte intensité. / The main objective of this thesis is to produce a methodology spatially characterizing the debris flow susceptibility at a regional scale. The methods used are based on geomatic and statistic fields and aim at integrating the predisposing factors to debris flow activity, especially the morphometry and the potential sediment availability.Robust statistical models allowed to predict the debris flow activity based on the morphometry of the reaches and their catchments in order to discriminate the bedload transport from the debris flow processes.In source areas, the second predisposing factor, i.e. the sediment availability, was first mapped thanks to the analysis of infrared orthophotos (IGN©) and then expertly combined with the morphometric susceptibility within a GIS. The sediment availability potential of upland catchment consequently weights the probability of debris flow activity (firstly established from the morphometric characteristics) in order to predict the susceptibility to debris-flow triggering. More downstream, the predisposition to debris flow propagation depends on morphometric characteristics and is also controlled by the debris flow susceptibility of the upstream reaches. In the Southern French Alps, the entire approach has been validated with 50 expert observations.This work led to the production of new maps of debris flow triggering and propagation, already integrated on a service platform (RHYTMME project, Irstea and Météo-France). They can be superimposed on maps of precipitation hazard during intense events in order to identify the reaches susceptible to debris flow activity.

Cette étude de terrain du massif des Ecrins (Alpes Occidentales, zone externe) montre que le raccourcissement Alpin est essentiellement accommodé dans le socle par des zones de cisaillement inverse top-vers-l'ouest ductile-fragile (probablement localisé par la présence de demi-graben) ainsi que par les nappes de charriage de la Meije et du Combeynot à l'Est du massif. Les failles normales N-S ne semblent pas avoir été réactivées. Ces zones de cisaillement sont caractérisées par une phengitisation des feldspaths le long de bandes anastomosées dont la géométrie traduit un gradient de déformation qui permet d'expliquer la formation des "plis de socle" soulignée par la géométrie des téguments de Trias. Les températures maximum d'enfouissement liées au charriage des unités internes sont proches de l'isotherme 335°C pour un gradient géothermique compris entre 20 et 25°C.km-1 depuis Bourg d'Oisans au Front Pennique. Les zones de cisaillement ont été datées entre 33 et 25 Ma (40Ar/39Ar sur phengites syn-cinématiques), ce qui suggère qu'elles ont été initiées très tôt après l'enfouissement de la zone externe qui débute vers 34Ma. Les phyllonites présentent des âges plus jeunes que les mylonites, ce qui traduit une localisation de la déformation le long de ces bandes anastomosées de faible résistance entre 30 et 25Ma. Le raccourcissement NO-SE observé le long du Front Pennique semble synchrone des déformations E-O à NESO du massif des Ecrins. La présence d'une zone de cisaillement transpressive senestre diffuse entre le massif des Ecrins et les Alpes Ligures, issu de la réactivation d'une zone de transfert Liasique, permettrait d'expliquer en partie la cinématique d'édification Oligocène des Alpes Occidentales. Au Miocène, la déformation se localise le long d'un plan de chevauchement sous le massif de Belledonne, donnant naissance au Vercors, ainsi que le long du Front Pennique réactivé en faille normale. / This field-based study of the Ecrins massif (Western Alps, external zone) show that the Alpine shortening is accomodated within the basement by brittle-ductile top-to-the-west reverse shear zones (probably localized by half-graben) as well as by the thrust sheets of La Meije and Combeynot to the east of the massif. The N-S normal fault do not seems to be reactivated. These shear zones are characterized by a phengitisation of feldspars along anastomosing planes whose geometry reflect a strain gradient which explain the "basement folds" formation underlined by the geometry of Triassic teguments. The maximum temperatures reach by the cover, due to the burial under the internal nappes are close to the isotherms 335°C for a geothermal gradient close to 20-25°C.km-1 from Bourg d'Oisans to the Penninic Frontal Thrust (PFT). The shear zones were dated between 33 to 25 Ma (40Ar/39Ar on syn-kinematics phengites), suggesting that they were initiated slightly after the burial which start close to 34 Ma. The phyllonites show younger ages than mylonite; that argue a localization of the deformation along these anastomosing planes between 30 to 25Ma and traduce a weak crust. The NW-Se shortening observed alonf the PFT seems to be coeval with the E-W to NE-SW shortening of the Ecrins massif. A sinistrial transpressive diffuse shear zones between the Ecrins massif and the Ligurian Alps, which is probably a reactivated Liassic transfer zone, can explaina part of the Oligocene building kinematics of the Western Alps. During Miocence, the deformation is localized along a crustal thrust under the Belledonne massif, which has given the Vercors massif, and along the PFT, reactivated as a normal fault.

Dans le but de déchiffrer l’évolution tectono-métamorphique des massifs de Belledonne, des Grandes Rousses et du Pelvoux nous avons effectué une étude multidisciplinaire (Structures, pétrologies, géochronologies, géochimies, et isotopes radiogéniques). Les résultats obtenus permettent de reconnaitre six évènements tectono-métamorphiques responsables de la structuration de ce segment de la chaîne varisque. Le premier événement, Dx, correspond à un épisode de collision précoce et se produit vers ca.380 Ma. Il est responsable de l’obduction vers l’E du complexe ophiolitique de Chamrousse, ainsi que d’un métamorphisme de MP-BT. Vers 350 Ma, un évènement magmatique permet la formation de l’unité magmatique bi-modal de Rioupéroux-Livet. Entre 350 et 330 Ma, la mise en place de nappes vers l’E (D₁) se caractérisé par un métamorphisme barrovien. Cet événement est également responsable de la mise en place de nombreux granites liés à la fusion partielle de la croûte. L’évènement transpressif senestre D₂ se produit immédiatement après, vers 320-300 Ma. Il se caractérise par le plissement de la pile de nappes non migmatitiques, et par le développement d’une foliation verticale S₂. Dans la croûte partiellement fondue, il est marqué par une fabrique verticales (S₂), par des zones de cisaillements (C₂ et C’₂), qui s’organisent en structure de type S-C-C’. Synchrone à la déformation tardi-D₂ (305-300 Ma), l’événement D₃ est responsable de la formation d.une foliation plate (S₃) à la transition entre les migmatites et les roches non fondues. Les structures D₂ et D₃ sont interprétées comme étant relatives au fluage latéral de la croûte partiellement fondue. L’événement D₂ s’accompagne également de la mise en place de nombreux granites peralumineux, formés lors de la fusion partielle de la croûte. Enfin, l’intrusion d’un granite à cordiérite au Permien constitue le dernier évènement observé dans cette portion de la chaîne varisque. / In order to decipher the Variscan tectono-thermal evolution of the Belledonne-Pelvoux area we perform a multidisciplinary study (structural, petrology, geochronology, geochemistry and radiogenic isotopes). The results allow us to recognize six tectono-thermal events responsible for the building of the studied portion of the Variscan orogen. The first, Dx corresponds to an earlier collisional event at ca. 380 Ma that was responsible for the obduction of the Chamrousse ophiolitic unit toward the East and MP-BT metamorphism. At ca. 350 Ma, a magmatic event is responsible for the formation of the bi-modal magmatism of the Rioupéroux-Livet unit. Between ca.350-330 Ma an eastward nappe-staking event (D₁) responsible of a barrovian metamorphism occurred. It is coeval with the emplacement of numerous continental crust derived plutons. This event is followed at ca. 320-300 Ma by a D2 NW-SE directed shortening in a sinistral transpressive regime. This event is characterized by folding of the unmolten nappe pile and development of a subvertical S₂ foliation. In the partially molten crust, the D₂ event is characterized by the formation of steeply dipping S₂ and shear zones (C₂ and C’₂) organized as S-C-C’-like pattern. Coeval with the late-D₂ deformation (ca. 305-300Ma) a D₃ event responsible for the development of a flat laying S₃ foliation at the boundary between the molten and unmolten domains is documented. The late-D₂ and D₃ events are interpreted to be relative to the lateral flow of the partially-molten crust. The D₂ event is coeval with the emplacement of the manly Stephanian peraluminous granitoids, formed by melting of the continental crust. Finally, a Cordierite- bearing granite indicate the existence of a Permian magmatism.

Comprendre la réponse des populations aux variations environnementales est un défi central en écologie et est devenu un enjeu indéniable ces dernières années avec le changement climatique. Dans ce contexte, nous pouvons nous attendre à ce que certaines caractéristiques écologiques propres aux espèces, comme le mode de vie, qui ont évolué en réponse à des contraintes environnementales et qui influencent les traits d'histoire de vie des espèces, puissent façonner la démographie des populations en environnement variable. Pourtant, cette influence du mode de vie sur la réponse démographique des populations demeure encore mal comprise. J'ai essayé de combler cette lacune au cours de ma thèse, principalement par l'analyse d'un jeu de données exceptionnel obtenu grâce à un suivi à long terme d'une population de marmottes alpines (Marmota marmota) dans les Alpes Françaises. La marmotte alpine présente un mode de vie très particulier. Les individus vivent au sein de groupes familiaux de taille variable, généralement composés d'un couple de dominants reproducteurs, de subordonnés et de juvéniles. Ils hibernent durant la moitié de l'année, et pratiquent l'élevage coopératif ; les subordonnés mâles participent activement à la survie des jeunes durant l'hibernation, et sont alors appelés helpers. J'ai d'abord étudié comment le mode de vie de la marmotte (qui allie hibernation et socialité) a influencé les effets des fluctuations météorologiques sur les variations de survie de chaque classe d'âge. Les résultats ont alors révélé une forte diminution de la survie des juvéniles au fil des ans, et cela du fait d'effets interactifs entre facteurs environnementaux (i.e., hivers de plus en plus rudes) et sociaux (i.e., diminution de la présence des helpers). Dans un deuxième temps, j'ai étudié la valeur adaptative de l'élevage coopératif au sein de cette population de marmottes alpines et j'ai pu montrer que les effets bénéfiques de la présence des helpers sur la survie des juvéniles tendaient à disparaître du fait du changement climatique. En conséquence de cela, la population de marmottes alpines semble être actuellement en déclin. Cependant, l'impact du changement climatique semble avoir été en partie limité par une plus grande probabilité d'accéder à la dominance pour les subordonnés au cours des dernières années, ce qui démontre une influence complexe de la socialité sur la réponse de cette espèce. Enfin, j'ai comparé la démographie de la population de marmottes alpines avec celle d'une population de chamois (Rupicapra rupicapra) soumise à des variations météorologiques similaires dans les Alpes. J'ai été en mesure de montrer que le mode de vie et la stratégie de reproduction de ces espèces ont façonné différemment leurs réponses démographiques aux variations environnementales, et ainsi au changement climatique / Understanding populations' response to environmental variation is a central issue of ecology, and has become a compelling goal in the last years due to climate change. In this broad context we could expect some species-specific ecological characteristics known to influence life history traits, such as lifestyle, to shape the demography of populations in variable environments as well as structure between-species differences in response to environmental change. Yet, the influence of species' lifestyle on population demographic responses to environmental variation is still poorly understood. During my PhD, I tried to fill this gap primarily through the analysis of an extensive data set of an Alpine marmot (Marmota marmota) population in the Alps. Alpine marmots present a particular lifestyle. 1ndividuals live in family groups of variable size, typically composed of one dominant breeding pair, of sexually mature and immature subordinates and of pups of the year. Half the year, they hibernate together in burrows and practise cooperative breeding with male subordinates acting as helpers for the pups, increasing their survival probability during hibernation. I first investigated how the marmot's lifestyle (hibernation and sociality) mediated the effects of weather fluctuations on age-specific survival variation. I found that juvenile survival strongly decreased over the years because of inter-related effects of harsher winter weather conditions and social factors (i.e., decrease in helpers' presence). In a second step, I studied the adaptive value of cooperative breeding in this Alpine marmot population, and showed that the positive influence of helpers' presence on juvenile survival was vanishing with climate change. The Alpine marmot population is currently decreasing accordingly. However, in parallel to the latter changes, I found a better access to dominance for subordinate individuals over the years, compensating in part this decrease, and highlighting a complex influence of sociality on marmot response to climate change. Finally, I compared the demography of the Alpine marmot population with that of an Alpine chamois (Rupicapra rupicapra) population, subjected to similar weather conditions in the Alps. I was able to show that the difference in lifestyle and reproductive tactic between these species shaped their demographic responses to environmental variation, providing them with differentresistance to current environmental change

This thesis examined vegetation change over the last 43 years in Australia's largest contiguous alpine area, the Kosciuszko alpine zone in south-eastern Australia. Using historical and current data about the state of the most common vegetation community, tall alpine herbfield, this thesis addressed the questions: (1) what were the patterns of change at the species/genera and life form levels during this time period; (2) what were the patterns of recovery, if recovery occurred, from anthropogenic disturbances such as livestock grazing or trampling by tourists; (3) what impacts did natural disturbances such as drought have on the vegetation and how does it compare to anthropogenic disturbances; and (4) What are the benefits, limitations and management considerations when using long-term data for assessing vegetation changes at the species/genera, life form and community levels? The Kosciuszko alpine zone has important economic, cultural and ecological values. It is of great scientific and biological importance, maintaining an assemblage of vegetation communities found nowhere else in the world. It is one of the few alpine regions in the world with deep loamy soils, and contains endemic flora and fauna and some of the few periglacial and glacial features in Australia. The area also forms the core of the Australian mainland's most important water catchment and is a popular tourist destination, offering a range of recreational opportunities. The vegetation of the Kosciuszko alpine zone is recovering from impacts of livestock grazing and is increasingly exposed to pressures from tourism and anthropogenic climate change. At the same time, natural disturbances such as drought and fire can influence the distribution, composition and diversity of plants. Thus, there is a need for detailed environmental data on this area in order to: (1) better understand ecological relationships; (2) understand existing and potential effects of recreational and management pressures on the region; (3) provide data against which future changes can be assessed; and (4) provide better information on many features of this area, including vegetation, for interpretation, education and management. The research in this thesis utilised three types of ecological information: (1) scientific long-term datasets; (2) photographic records; and (3) a comparison of disturbed and undisturbed vegetation. This research analysed data from one of the longest ongoing monitoring programs in the Australian Alps established by Alec Costin and Dane Wimbush in 1959. Permanent plots (6 transects and 30 photoquadrats) were established at two locations that differed in the time since grazing and have been repeatedly surveyed. Plots near Mt Kosciuszko had not been grazed for 15 years and had nearly complete vegetation cover in 1959, while plots near Mt Gungartan showed extensive impacts of grazing and associated activities which only ceased in 1958. Some transect data from 1959 to 1978 have been analysed by the original researchers. The research presented in this thesis extends this monitoring program with data from additional surveys in 1990, 1999 and 2002 and applies current methods of statistical evaluation, such as ordination techniques, to the whole data set for the first time. Results indicated that the recovery from livestock grazing and the effects of drought have been the main factors affecting vegetation. Recovery from livestock grazing at the three transects at Gungartan was slow and involved: (1) increasing genera diversity; (2) increasing vegetation cover; (3) decreasing amounts of bare ground; and (4) a directional change over time in species composition. Patterns of colonisation and species succession were also documented. In 2002, 44 years after the cessation of grazing, transects near Mt Gungartan had similar vegetation cover and genera diversity to the transects near Mt Kosciuszko, but cover by exposed rock remained higher. A drought in the 1960s resulted in a temporary increase of litter and a shift in the proportional cover of life forms, as grasses died and herb cover increased at both locations. Proportions of cover for life forms reverted to pre-drought levels within a few years. The results also highlighted the spatial variability of tall alpine herbfield. The photoquadrats were surveyed in the years 1959, 1964, 1968, 1978 and 2001 and are analysed for the first time in this thesis. After comparing a range of methods, visual assessment using a 130 point grid was found to be the most suitable technique to measure vegetation cover and genera diversity. At the 18 quadrats near Mt Gungartan, there was a pattern of increasing vegetation cover as bare areas were colonised by native cudweeds and the naturalized herb Acetosella vulgaris. Revegetation from within bare areas largely occurred by herb species, while graminoids and shrub species predominately colonised bare ground by lateral expansion from the edges, eventually replacing the colonising herbs. At the 12 quadrats near Mt Kosciuszko, vegetation cover was almost complete in all years surveyed except 1968, which was at the end of a six year drought. Similar to the results from the transect study, the drought caused an increase in litter at both locations as graminoid cover declined. Initially herb cover increased, potentially as a result of decreased competition from the graminoids and a nutrient spike from decaying litter, but as the drought became more severe, herb cover also declined. Graminoid cover rapidly recovered after the drought, reaching pre-drought levels by 1978, and was at similar levels in 2001. Herb cover continued to decline after peaking in 1964. The photoquadrat study also documented the longevity and growth rates of several species indicating that many taxa may persist for several decades. It further provided insights into replacement patterns amongst life forms. In addition to assessing vegetation change following livestock grazing and drought at the long-term plots, recovery from tourism impacts was examined by comparing vegetation and soils on a closed walking track, with that of adjacent undisturbed tall alpine herbfield at a series of 22 paired quadrats. Fifteen years after the track was closed there was limited success in restoration. Over a quarter of the closed track was still bare ground with non-native species the dominant vegetation. Plant species composition differed and vegetation height, soil nutrients and soil moisture were lower on the track which had a higher compaction level than adjacent natural vegetation. The results presented in this thesis highlight that tall alpine herbfield is characterised by nearly entire vegetation cover which is dominated by graminoids, followed by herbs and shrubs in the absence of disturbance by livestock grazing, trampling or drought. The studies also showed that under quot;average" conditions, the relative cover of herbs and graminoids remained fairly stable even though there can be considerable cycling between them. Spatial variability in terms of taxa composition was high. The only common introduced species in unrehabilitated sites was Acetosella vulgaris, which was effective at colonising bare ground but was eventually replaced by other native species. However, in areas actively rehabilitated, such as on the closed track, non-native species introduced during revegetation efforts still persist with high cover 15 years after their introduction. Monitoring of vegetation change is also important at the landscape scale. This thesis provides a review of the potential use, the limitations and the benefits of aerial photography to examine vegetation change in the Kosciuszko alpine zone. Numerous aerial photography runs have been flown over the area since the 1930s for government agencies, industry and the military. Some of these records have been used to map vegetation communities and eroding areas at a point in time. Other studies compared different types and scales of photographs, highlighting in particular the benefits and potential of large scale colour aerial photography to map alpine vegetation. However, despite their potential to assess vegetation change over time, a temporal comparison of vegetation in the Kosciuszko alpine zone from aerial photographs has not been completed to this date. Historical photographs may not be easy to locate or access and difficulties with vegetation classification may restrict the practicality of using historical aerial photographs to assess vegetation change. Despite these issues, aerial photography may provide a very useful and efficient tool to assess changes over time when applied appropriately, even in alpine environments. The development of digital classification techniques, the application of statistical measures of error to both methodology and data, and the application of geographic information systems are likely to further improve the practicality of historical aerial photographs for the detection of vegetation change and assist in overcoming some of the limitations. The results presented in this thesis highlight the need for limiting disturbance, for ongoing rehabilitation of disturbed areas and for long-term monitoring in the Kosciuszko alpine zone. The results contribute to our understanding of how vegetation may change in the future and may be affected by new land use activities and climate change. This type of information, which otherwise would require the establishment of long-term studies and years of monitoring, can assist land managers of this and other important protected areas. The study highlights how the use and expansion of already existing datasets to gather ecological information can save considerable money and time, providing valuable data for current and emerging issues.

This thesis examines the role of rock avalanches in tectonically active terrains including the effects of the deposits on glacier behaviour and their contribution to moraine formation. The chronologies of mountain glacier fluctuations, based on moraine ages, are widely used to infer regional climate change and are often correlated globally. In actively uplifting mountain ranges rock avalanches that travel onto the ablation zone of a glacier can reduce ice-surface melting by insulating the ice. This can cause buried ice to thicken due to slower ablation and can significantly alter the overall glacier mass balance. This glacier response to supraglacial rock avalanche deposits can confound apparent climatic signals extracted from moraine chronologies. This thesis investigates the processes through which rock avalanche deposits may affect glaciers and develops a new technique to identify the presence of rock avalanche debris in glacial moraines. From laboratory experiments on the effects of debris on ice ablation it is demonstrated that the rate of underlying ice ablation is controlled by diurnal cyclicity and is amplified at high altitude and in lower latitudes. The relatively low permeability of rock avalanche sediment in comparison with non-rock avalanche supraglacial debris cover contributes to the suppression of ablation, at least partly because it greatly reduces the advection of heat from rain water to the underlying ice. The laboratory findings are supplemented by field investigations of two recent rock avalanche deposits on glaciers in the Southern Alps of New Zealand. This work demonstrates that the rock avalanche deposits are very thick (10 m at Aoraki/Mt. Cook and 7m at Mt. Beatrice) and almost stopped the ablation of the overlying ice. This resulted in the formation of an ice-platform more than 30 m high. This led to a reduction of the existing negative mass balance of the affected Tasman and Hooker Glaciers. There was little noticeable alteration of the overall glacial regime due to the small scale of the debris covered area (4 and 1% of the ablation zones for the Tasman and Hooker Glaciers, respectively) but there is a significant contribution to supraglacial debris, which is passively transported toward the terminus. A conceptual model of the response of mountain valley glaciers to emplacement of extensive rock avalanche debris on the ablation zone has been proposed for the effect of this type of debris on terminal moraine formation based on enhanced ‘dumping’ of supraglacial sediments. A new technique has been developed to distinguish rock-avalanche-derived sediment from sediment of glacial origin, based on the sedimentary characteristics of the finest fraction. Examination of rock avalanche sediment under the Scanning Electron Microscope showed that finer particles tend to form strong clumps, which comprise many smaller (down to nanometre-scale) clasts, named here ‘agglomerates’. These agglomerates are present in the fine fraction of all examined rock avalanche deposits and absent in known non-rock-avalanche-derived glacial sediments. The agglomerates are characteristics of sediment produced under the high-stress conditions of rock avalanche emplacement and contrast with lower-stress process sub- and en-glacial environments. It is demonstrated that these agglomerates are present in some moraines in the Southern Alps of New Zealand that have been attributed to climate fluctuation. Consequently, this technique has the potential to resolve long-standing arguments about the role of rock avalanches in moraine formation, and to enhance the use of moraines in palaeoclimatological studies.

On-going population growth and urbanization increasingly force people to occupy environments where natural processes intensely affect the landscape, by way of potentially hazardous natural events. Tectonic plate boundaries, active volcanic regions and rapidly uplifting mountain ranges are prominent examples of geomorphically hazardous areas which today accommodate some of the world’s largest cities. These areas are often affected by more than one hazard such as volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, landslides, tsunamis, floods, storms and wildfires, which frequently interact with each other increasing the total impact on communities. Despite progress in natural hazards research over the last two decades, the increasing losses from natural disasters highlight the limitations of existing methodologies to effectively mitigate the adverse effects of natural hazards. A major limitation is the lack of effective hazard and risk assessments incorporating hazard interactions and cascade effects. Most commonly, the assessment of risks related to different hazards is carried out through independent analyses, adopting different procedures and time-space resolutions. Such approaches make the comparison of risks from different hazard sources extremely difficult, and the implicit assumption of independence of the risk sources leads to neglect of possible interactions among hazard processes. As a result the full hazard potential is likely to be underestimated and lead to inadequate mitigation measures or land-use planning. Therefore there is a pressing need to improve hazard and risk assessments and mitigation strategies especially in highly dynamic environments affected by multiple hazards. A prominent example of such an environment is the western Southern Alps of New Zealand. The region is located along an actively deforming plate boundary and is subject to high rates of uplift, erosion and orographically-enhanced precipitation that drive a range of interrelated geomorphic processes and consequent hazards. Furthermore, the region is an increasingly popular tourist destination with growing visitor numbers and the prospect for future development, significantly increasing societal vulnerability and the likelihood of serious impacts from potential hazards. Therefore the mountainous landscape of the western Southern Alps is an ideal area for studying the interaction between a range of interrelated geomorphic hazards and human activity. In an effort to address these issues this research has developed an approach for the analysis of geomorphic hazards in highly dynamic environments with particular focus on tectonically-active mountains using the western Southern Alps as a study area. The approach aims to provide a framework comprising the stages required to perform multi-hazard and risk analyses and inform land-use planning. This aim was approached through four main objectives integrating quantitative geomorphology, hazard assessments and GIS. The first objective was to identify the dominant geomorphic processes, their spatial distribution and interrelationships and explore their implications in hazard assessment and modelling. This was achieved through regional geomorphic analysis focusing on catchment morphometry and the structure of the drainage networks. This analysis revealed the strong influence and interactions between frequent landslides / debris-flows, glaciers, orographic precipitation and spatially-variable uplift rates on the landscape evolution of the western Southern Alps, which supports the need for hazard assessment approaches incorporating the interrelationships between different processes and accounting for potential event cascades. The second and third objectives were to assess the regional susceptibility to rainfall-generated shallow landslides and river floods respectively, as these phenomena are most often responsible for extensive damage to property and infrastructure, injury, and loss of lives in mountainous environments. To achieve these objectives a series of GIS-based models was developed, applied and evaluated in the western Southern Alps. Evaluation results based on historical records indicated that the susceptibility assessment of shallow landslides and river floods using the proposed GIS-based models is feasible. The output from the landslide model delineates the regional spatial variation of shallow landslide susceptibility and potential runout zones while the results from the flood modelling illustrate the hydrologic response of major ungauged catchments in the study area and identify flood-prone areas. Both outputs provide critical insights for land-use planning. Finally, a multi-hazard analysis approach was developed by combining the findings from the previous objectives based on the concepts of interaction and emergent properties (cascade effects) inherent in complex systems. The integrated analysis of shallow landslides, river floods and expected ground shaking from a M8 plate-boundary fault (Alpine fault) earthquake revealed the areas with the highest and lowest total susceptibilities. Areas characterized by the highest total susceptibility require to be prioritized in terms of hazard mitigation, and areas with very low total susceptibility may be suitable locations for future development. This doctoral research project contributes to the field of hazard research, and particularly to geomorphic hazard analyses in highly dynamic environments such as tectonically active mountains, aiming to inform land-use planning in the context of sustainable hazard mitigation.

Dans un contexte de changement climatique global et d'évolution locale de l'usage des terres, le devenir des paysages culturels des Alpes françaises, façonnés au cours des siècles par les interactions mutuelles entre sociétés et environnement, apparaît incertain. Dans le même temps, les écosystèmes qui les constituent abritent une biodiversité riche et sont à l'origine de nombreuses ressources naturelles et fonctions écologiques dont bénéficient les populations humaines. Ces ressources et fonctions sont conceptualisées sous le terme de « services écosystémiques » et font aujourd'hui l'objet d'une attention accrue dans la gestion et la protection des ressources environnementales, au même titre que la biodiversité. L'identification des facteurs liés à leur maintien, en termes écologiques, socio-culturels et politiques, est une étape nécessaire à leur gestion durable, bien qu'encore insuffisamment explorée. Mon projet de thèse visait à accroître la compréhension des interactions positives (synergies) et négatives (antagonismes) entre services écosystémiques et biodiversité via une approche multidimensionnelle du socio-écosystème des Alpes françaises. - Le Chapitre I propose une approche biophysique quantitative et spatialisée de la multifonctionnalité des écosystèmes. Suite à une étape de modélisation, les patrons spatiaux de synergie et d'antagonisme entre services et biodiversité ont été explorés statistiquement et reliés à des enjeux de gouvernance actuels à différentes échelles. Ce travail a permis d'identifier les bouquets de services écosystémiques représentatifs des différentes conditions biogéographiques, de gestion et de d'hétérogénéité du paysage représentées dans le massif. - Cette approche est complétée dans le Chapitre II par une représentation qualitative des relations d'influence entre services écosystémiques et biodiversité, ainsi que de leurs liens avec d'autres variables écologiques et sociales. Nous avons considéré explicitement les dimensions multiples englobées par le concept de service écosystémique (leurs ‘facettes') et proposons un cadre conceptuel pour en cartographier les réseaux d'influence. Ce cadre a servi de base à l'analyse d'un processus consultatif que nous avons mené auprès d'acteurs du territoire. Les analyses ont mis en lumière leur perception globale des relations d'influence importantes au sein du socio-écosystème. - Afin de mieux comprendre les régulations sociales appliquées à la gestion environnementale, nous testons dans le Chapitre III une méthodologie d'analyse de l'efficacité environnementale d'instruments de gouvernance. Notre analyse a privilégié un nombre restreint d'instruments qui encadrent actuellement les interactions entre agriculture, tourisme et biodiversité. L'utilisation d'un ensemble d'indicateurs de performance et d'adéquation avec le cadre socio-culturel et de gouvernance a souligné l'articulation complexe des instruments entre eux et a abouti à la production d'une synthèse pour les décideurs (‘policy brief'). - Le Chapitre IV explore enfin certains enjeux conceptuels et éthiques de la recherche dans le domaine des services écosystémiques. Après une réflexion générale sur les relations entre science et société, je propose une évaluation réflexive et personnelle des projets de recherche auxquels j'ai contribué. Pour conclure, je propose une vision transversale du socio-écosystème alpin mettant en lumière les enjeux majeurs identifiés par les différentes analyses. / In the context of global climate change and local land use changes, the future of the French Alps cultural landscapes, shaped through long-lasting and mutual interactions between human and their environment, appears uncertain. Simultaneously, the ecosystems constituting alpine landscapes host a rich biodiversity and provide the many natural resources and ecological functions that benefit to human societies. These resources and functions are conceptualised as “ecosystem services” and currently attract an increasing attention for the management and the conservation of environmental resources, along with biodiversity. Identifying the variables linked to their maintenance, in ecological, socio-cultural and political terms, is a necessary step of their sustainable management, and yet is still under-explored. My PhD project aimed at increasing the understanding of positive (synergies) and negative (trade-offs) interactions among ecosystem services and biodiversity through a multi-dimensional approach of the French Alps social-ecological system. - In Chapter I, I present a quantitative and spatially explicit biophysical assessment of ecosystem multifunctionality. After a modelling step, we explored spatial patterns of trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services and biodiversity using a series of statistical analyses of increasing complexity. Results were structured to provide insights for sound environmental governance at multiple scales. We identified various bundles of ecosystem services representative of the different conditions across the French Alps massif in terms of biogeography, management and landscape heterogeneity. - This approach is complemented in Chapter II by a qualitative representation of influence relationships among ecosystem services and biodiversity that also accounts for additional ecological and social variables. We explicitly considered the multiple dimensions encompassed by the ecosystem service concept (their ‘facets') and proposed an innovative conceptual framework to represent their influence networks. This framework was applied to analyse a consultative process that we carried out with stakeholders of regional expertise. This analysis highlighted their general perception of important influence relationships in the alpine social ecological system. - In order to better understand social regulations linked to environmental governance, we test in Chapter III a methodology for assessing the environmental effectiveness of policy instruments. We concentrated on a restricted set of instruments regulating the interactions between biodiversity, agriculture and outdoor tourism. The consideration of multiple indicators assessing the performance and the fit with the socio-cultural and governance setting highlighted the complex articulation of instruments within the broader policy mix. Results were synthesised in a policy brief targeting regional decision-makers. - Chapter IV is conceived as my personal exploration of the conceptual and ethical issues linked to research on ecosystem services. Following some general thinking on the relations between environmental sciences and society, I conducted a personal reflexive assessment of the research projects I contributed to. To conclude, I propose a synthetic vision of the alpine social-ecological system and discuss the major issues revealed throughout the analyses.

Dans un contexte de changement climatique global et d'évolution locale de l'usage des terres, le devenir des paysages culturels des Alpes françaises, façonnés au cours des siècles par les interactions mutuelles entre sociétés et environnement, apparaît incertain. Dans le même temps, les écosystèmes qui les constituent abritent une biodiversité riche et sont à l'origine de nombreuses ressources naturelles et fonctions écologiques dont bénéficient les populations humaines. Ces ressources et fonctions sont conceptualisées sous le terme de « services écosystémiques » et font aujourd'hui l'objet d'une attention accrue dans la gestion et la protection des ressources environnementales, au même titre que la biodiversité. L'identification des facteurs liés à leur maintien, en termes écologiques, socio-culturels et politiques, est une étape nécessaire à leur gestion durable, bien qu'encore insuffisamment explorée. Mon projet de thèse visait à accroître la compréhension des interactions positives (synergies) et négatives (antagonismes) entre services écosystémiques et biodiversité via une approche multidimensionnelle du socio-écosystème des Alpes françaises. - Le Chapitre I propose une approche biophysique quantitative et spatialisée de la multifonctionnalité des écosystèmes. Suite à une étape de modélisation, les patrons spatiaux de synergie et d'antagonisme entre services et biodiversité ont été explorés statistiquement et reliés à des enjeux de gouvernance actuels à différentes échelles. Ce travail a permis d'identifier les bouquets de services écosystémiques représentatifs des différentes conditions biogéographiques, de gestion et de d'hétérogénéité du paysage représentées dans le massif. - Cette approche est complétée dans le Chapitre II par une représentation qualitative des relations d'influence entre services écosystémiques et biodiversité, ainsi que de leurs liens avec d'autres variables écologiques et sociales. Nous avons considéré explicitement les dimensions multiples englobées par le concept de service écosystémique (leurs ‘facettes') et proposons un cadre conceptuel pour en cartographier les réseaux d'influence. Ce cadre a servi de base à l'analyse d'un processus consultatif que nous avons mené auprès d'acteurs du territoire. Les analyses ont mis en lumière leur perception globale des relations d'influence importantes au sein du socio-écosystème. - Afin de mieux comprendre les régulations sociales appliquées à la gestion environnementale, nous testons dans le Chapitre III une méthodologie d'analyse de l'efficacité environnementale d'instruments de gouvernance. Notre analyse a privilégié un nombre restreint d'instruments qui encadrent actuellement les interactions entre agriculture, tourisme et biodiversité. L'utilisation d'un ensemble d'indicateurs de performance et d'adéquation avec le cadre socio-culturel et de gouvernance a souligné l'articulation complexe des instruments entre eux et a abouti à la production d'une synthèse pour les décideurs (‘policy brief'). - Le Chapitre IV explore enfin certains enjeux conceptuels et éthiques de la recherche dans le domaine des services écosystémiques. Après une réflexion générale sur les relations entre science et société, je propose une évaluation réflexive et personnelle des projets de recherche auxquels j'ai contribué. Pour conclure, je propose une vision transversale du socio-écosystème alpin mettant en lumière les enjeux majeurs identifiés par les différentes analyses. / In the context of global climate change and local land use changes, the future of the French Alps cultural landscapes, shaped through long-lasting and mutual interactions between human and their environment, appears uncertain. Simultaneously, the ecosystems constituting alpine landscapes host a rich biodiversity and provide the many natural resources and ecological functions that benefit to human societies. These resources and functions are conceptualised as “ecosystem services” and currently attract an increasing attention for the management and the conservation of environmental resources, along with biodiversity. Identifying the variables linked to their maintenance, in ecological, socio-cultural and political terms, is a necessary step of their sustainable management, and yet is still under-explored. My PhD project aimed at increasing the understanding of positive (synergies) and negative (trade-offs) interactions among ecosystem services and biodiversity through a multi-dimensional approach of the French Alps social-ecological system. - In Chapter I, I present a quantitative and spatially explicit biophysical assessment of ecosystem multifunctionality. After a modelling step, we explored spatial patterns of trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services and biodiversity using a series of statistical analyses of increasing complexity. Results were structured to provide insights for sound environmental governance at multiple scales. We identified various bundles of ecosystem services representative of the different conditions across the French Alps massif in terms of biogeography, management and landscape heterogeneity. - This approach is complemented in Chapter II by a qualitative representation of influence relationships among ecosystem services and biodiversity that also accounts for additional ecological and social variables. We explicitly considered the multiple dimensions encompassed by the ecosystem service concept (their ‘facets') and proposed an innovative conceptual framework to represent their influence networks. This framework was applied to analyse a consultative process that we carried out with stakeholders of regional expertise. This analysis highlighted their general perception of important influence relationships in the alpine social ecological system. - In order to better understand social regulations linked to environmental governance, we test in Chapter III a methodology for assessing the environmental effectiveness of policy instruments. We concentrated on a restricted set of instruments regulating the interactions between biodiversity, agriculture and outdoor tourism. The consideration of multiple indicators assessing the performance and the fit with the socio-cultural and governance setting highlighted the complex articulation of instruments within the broader policy mix. Results were synthesised in a policy brief targeting regional decision-makers. - Chapter IV is conceived as my personal exploration of the conceptual and ethical issues linked to research on ecosystem services. Following some general thinking on the relations between environmental sciences and society, I conducted a personal reflexive assessment of the research projects I contributed to. To conclude, I propose a synthetic vision of the alpine social-ecological system and discuss the major issues revealed throughout the analyses.