Submitted by Silvana Teresinha Dornelles Studzinski (sstudzinski) on 2016-12-23T10:42:58Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Cassio Binkowski_.pdf: 1965327 bytes, checksum: 87b7380f1bab367237fb868e0de20388 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2016-12-23T10:42:59Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Cassio Binkowski_.pdf: 1965327 bytes, checksum: 87b7380f1bab367237fb868e0de20388 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-09-14 / Nenhuma / A identificação de sistemas está longe de ser uma tarefa nova. Sendo inicialmente proposta na metade do século XX, foi extensamente desenvolvida para sistemas lineares, devido às exigências da época relacionadas à complexidade dos sistemas e também do poder computacional, atingindo excelente resultados. No entanto, com o aumento da complexidade dos sistemas e das exigências de controle, os modelos lineares não mais conseguiam representar os sistemas em toda a faixa de operação exigida, sendo assim requerendo uma aplicação dos modelos não-lineares. Visto que todos os sistemas presentes na natureza possuem certo grau de não linearidade, é correto afirmar que um modelo não-linear é capaz de representar as dinâmicas dos sistemas de forma mais compreensiva que um modelo linear. A identificação de sistemas não lineares foi então estudada e diversos modelos foram propostos, atingindo ótimos resultados. Nesse trabalho foi realizado um estudo de dois modelos não-lineares, NARMAX e Hammerstein-Wiener, aplicando esses modelos a dois processos simulados. Foram então derivados dois algoritmos para realizar a estimação dos parâmetros dos modelos NARMAX e Hammerstein-Wiener, utilizando um estimador ortogonal, e também um algoritmo para geração de sinais de entrada multinível. Os modelos foram então estimados para os sistemas simulados, e comparados utilizando os critérios AIC, FPE, Lipschitz e de correlação cruzada de alta ordem. Os melhores resultados foram obtidos com os modelos Hammerstein-Wiener-OLS e NARMAX-OLS, ao contrário do modelo NARMAX-RLS. No entanto, devido a resultados bastante divergentes entre os modelos, pode-se concluir que essa área ainda carece de desenvolvimento de técnicas precisas para comparação e avaliação de modelos, bem como quanto à quantificação do nível de não-linearidade do sistema em questão. / The task of system identification is far from being a new one. It was initially proposed in the mid of the 20th century, and had then been extensively developed for linear systems, due to the demands of that time concerning computational power, systems complexity and control requirements. It has achieved excellent results in this approach. However, due to the rise of systems complexity and control requirements, linear models were no longer able to meet the desired accuracy and larger operating range, and therefore the usage nonlinear models were pursued. As all systems in nature are nonlinear to some extent, it is correct to state that nonlinear models can represent a whole lot more of systems’ dynamics than linear models. Nonlinear models were then studied, and several techniques were presented, being able to achieve very good results. In this work, two of the available nonlinear models were studied, namely NARMAX and Hammerstein-Wiener, applying these models in two simulated systems. Two algorithms were then derived to estimate parameters for NARMAX and Hammerstein-Wiener models using an orthogonal estimator, and also an algorithm for generating multi-level input signals. The models were then estimated to the simulated systems, and compared using the AIC, FPE, Lipschitz and high-order cross-correlation criteria. The best results were obtained for the Hammerstein-Wiener-OLS and NARMAX-OLS models, as opposed to the NARMAX-RLS model. However, due to divergent observed results between models, it can be concluded that precise methods for model comparison and validation still needs to be developed, as well as a method for nonlinearity quantification for the system in hand.

Like coral reefs worldwide, the Florida Reef Tract has dramatically declined within the past two decades. Monitoring of 40 sites throughout the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary has undertaken a multiple-parameter approach to assess spatial and temporal changes in the status of the ecosystem. The objectives of the present study consist of the following: In chapter one, we review past coral reef studies; emphasis is placed on recent studies on the stony corals of reefs in the lower Florida Keys. We also review the economic impact of coral reefs on the state of Florida. In chapter two, we identify the underlying probability distribution function of the stony coral cover proportions and we obtain better estimates of the statistical properties of stony coral cover proportions. Furthermore, we improve present procedures in constructing confidence intervals of the true median and mean for the underlying probability distribution. In chapter three, we investigate the applicability of the normal probability distribution assumption made on the pseudovalues obtained from the jackknife procedure for the Shannon-Wiener diversity index used in previous studies. We investigate a new and more effective approach to estimating the Shannon-Wiener and Simpson's diversity index. In chapter four, we develop the best possible estimate of the probability distribution function of the jackknifing pseudovalues, obtained from the jackknife procedure for the Shannon-Wiener diversity index used in previous studies, using the xi nonparametric kernel density estimate method. This nonparametric procedure gives very effective estimates of the statistical measures for the jackknifing pseudovalues. Lastly, the present study develops a predictive statistical model for stony coral cover. In addition to identifying the attributable variables that influence the stony coral cover data of the lower Florida Keys, we investigate the possible interactions present. The final form of the developed statistical model gives good estimates of the stony coral cover given some information of the attributable variables. Our nonparametric and parametric approach to analyzing coral reef data provides a sound basis for developing efficient ecosystem models that estimate future trends in coral reef diversity. This will give the scientists and managers another tool to help monitor and maintain a healthy ecosystem.

La séparation de sources consiste à extraire des signaux appelés sources à partir seulement de mélanges observés de ces signaux appelés observations. De nombreuses approches ont été brièvement présentées dans ce manuscrit. La plupart de ces approches exploite l'hypothèse d'indépendance des sources.<br />Dans cette thèse, nous avons considéré le cas des mélanges linéaires convolutifs. Nous proposons de calculer les contributions des sources sur les capteurs afin d'optimiser la procédure de séparation.<br />L'estimation des contributions dans les observations est réalisée grâce à un critère quadratique optimisé par un filtre de Wiener. Ensuite, nous étudions deux approches de séparation de sources. <br />La première utilise l'information mutuelle comme critère d'indépendance et la seconde dite fonction de contraste est basée sur les statistiques d'ordre quatre. L'utilisation des contributions des sources sur les capteurs dans la phase de séparation nous permet de proposer deux algorithmes de séparation, qui constituent deux généralisations d'algorithmes classiques.

Nous étudions les processus de Dirichlet dont le paramètre est une mesure proportionnelle à la loi d'un processus temporel, par exemple un mouvement Brownien ou un processus de saut Markovien. Nous les utilisons pour proposer des modèles hiérarchiques bayésiens basés sur des équations différentielles stochastiques en milieu aléatoire. Nous proposons une méthode pour estimer les paramètres de tels modèles et nous l'illustrons sur l'équation de Black-Scholes en milieu aléatoire.

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The presence of vibration is an important problem in many engineering applications. Various passive techniques have traditionally been used in order to reduce waves and vibrations, and their harmful effects. Passive techniques are, however, difficult to apply in the low frequency region. In addition, the use of passive techniques often involve adding mass to the system, which is undesirable in many applications. As an alternative, active techniques can be used to manipulate system dynamics and to control the propagation of waves and vibrations. This thesis deals with modeling, estimation and active control of systems that have resonant dynamics. The systems are exposed to stochastic disturbances. Some of them excite the system and generate vibrational responses and other corrupt measured signals. Feedback control of a beam with attached piezoelectrical elements is studied. A detailed modeling approach is described and system identification techniques are employed for model order reduction. Disturbance attenuation of a non-measured variable shows to be difficult. This issue is further analyzed and the problems are shown to depend on fundamental design limitations. Feedforward control of traveling waves is also considered. A device with properties analogous to those of an electrical diode is introduced. An `ideal´ feedforward controller based on the mechanical properties of the system is derived. It has, however, poor noise rejection properties and it therefore needs to be modified. A number of feedforward controllers that treat the measurement noise in a statistically sound way are derived. Separation of overlapping traveling waves is another topic under investigation. This operation also is sensitive to measurement noise. The problem is thoroughly analyzed and Kalman filtering techniques are employed to derive wave estimators with high statistical performance. Finally, a nonlinear regression problem with close connections to unbalance estimation of rotating machinery is treated. Different estimation techniques are derived and analyzed with respect to their statistical accuracy. The estimators are evaluated using the example of separator balancing.

The objective of the dissertation research is to investigate noise reduction methods for binaural hearing aids based on array and statistical signal processing and inspired by a human auditory model. In digital hearing aids, wide dynamic range compression (WDRC) is the most successful technique to deal with monaural hearing losses. This WDRC processing is usually performed after a monaural noise reduction algorithm. When hearing losses are present in both ears, i.e., a binaural hearing loss, independent monaural hearing aids have been shown not to be comfortable for most users, preferring a processing that involves synchronization between both hearing devices. In addition, psycho-acoustical studies have identified that under hostile environments, e.g., babble noise at very low SNR conditions, users prefer to use linear amplification rather than WDRC. In this sense, the noise reduction algorithm becomes an important component of a digital hearing aid to provide improvement in speech intelligibility and user comfort. Including a wireless link between both hearing aids offers new ways to implement more efficient methods to reduce the background noise and coordinate processing for the two ears. This approach, called binaural hearing aid, has been recently introduced in some commercial products but using very simple processing strategies. This research analyzes the existing binaural noise-reduction techniques, proposes novel perceptually-inspired methods based on blind source separation (BSS) and multichannel Wiener filter (MWF), and identifies different strategies for the real-time implementation of these methods. The proposed methods perform efficient spatial filtering, improve SNR and speech intelligibility, minimize block processing artifacts, and can be implemented in low-power architectures.

In this study, a P300 based Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) system design is realized by the implementation of the Spelling Paradigm. The main challenge in these systems is to improve the speed of the prediction mechanisms by the application of different signal processing and pattern classification techniques in BCI problems. The thesis study includes the design and implementation of a 10 channel Electroencephalographic (EEG) data acquisition system to be practically used in BCI applications. The electrical measurements are realized with active electrodes for continuous EEG recording. The data is transferred via USB so that the device can be operated by any computer. v Wiener filtering is applied to P300 Speller as a signal enhancement tool for the first time in the literature. With this method, the optimum temporal frequency bands for user specific P300 responses are determined. The classification of the responses is performed by using Support Vector Machines (SVM&rsquo / s) and Bayesian decision. These methods are independently applied to the row-column intensification groups of P300 speller to observe the differences in human perception to these two visual stimulation types. It is observed from the investigated datasets that the prediction accuracies in these two groups are different for each subject even for optimum classification parameters. Furthermore, in these datasets, the classification accuracy was improved when the signals are preprocessed with Wiener filtering. With this method, the test characters are predicted with 100% accuracy in 4 trial repetitions in P300 Speller dataset of BCI Competition II. Besides, only 8 trials are needed to predict the target character with the designed BCI system.

The objective of the present study is to forecast annual rainfall taking into account the periodicities and structure of the stochastic component. This study has six Chapters. Chapter 1 presents introduction to the problem and objectives of the study. Chapter 2 consists of review of literature. Chapter 3 deals with the model formulation and development. Chapter 4 gives an account of the application of the model. Chapter 5 presents results and discussions. Chapter 6 gives the conclusions drawn from the study. In this thesis the following model formulations are presented in order to achieve the objective. Fourier analysis model is used to identify periodicities that are present in the rainfall series.1 These periodic components are used to obtain discrotized ranges which is an essential input for the Fourier series model. Auto power regression model is developed for estimation of rainfall and hence to compute the first order residuals errlt The parameters of the model are estimated using genetic algorithm. The auto power regression model is of the form, ( Refer the PDF File for Formula) where αi and βi are parameters and M indicates modular value. Fourier series model is formulated and solved through genetic algorithm to estimate the parameters amplitude R, phase Φ and periodic frequency wj for the residual series errlt. The ranges for the parameters R, Φ and wj were obtained from Fourier analysis model. errl't= /µerrlt+ Σj Rcos(wjt+ Φ) Further, an integrated auto power regression and Fourier series model developed (with parameters of the model being known from the above analysis) to estimate new rainfall series Zesťt=Zµ Σ t αi(ZMi-t ) βi+µerrl+ Σj Rcos(wjt+ Φ) and the second order residuals, err2t is computed using, err2t = (zt –Zesťt) Thus, the periodicities are removed in the errlt series and the second order residuals err'2f obtained represents the stochastic component of the actual rainfall series. Auto regressive model is formulated to study the structure of the stochastic component err2t. The auto regressive model of order two AR(2) is found to fit well. The parameters of the AR(2) model were estimated using method of least squares. An exponential weighting function is developed to compute the weight considering weight as a function of AR{2) parameters. The product of weight and Gaussian white noise N(0, óerr2) is termed as weighted stochastic component. Also, drought analysis is performed considering annual (January to December) and summer monsoon (June to September) rainfall totals, to determine average drought interval (idrt) which is used in assigning signs to the random component of the forecasting model. In the final form of the forecasting model. Zest”t = Z µ Σ t αi(ZMi-t ) βi+µerrl+ Σj Rcos(wjt+ Φ) ± WT(Φ1, Φ2)N(0, óerr2) The weighted stochastic component is added or subtracted considering two criteria. Criterion I is used for all rainfall series except all-India series for which criterion II is used. The criteria also consider average drought interval Further, it can be seen that a ± sign is introduced to add or subtract the weighted stochastic component, albeit the stochastic component itself can either be positive or negative. The introduction of ± sign on the already signed value (instead of absolute value) is found to improve the forecast in the sense of obtaining more number of point rainfall estimates within 20 percent error. Incorporating significant periodicities, and weighted stochastic component along with average drought interval into the forecasting formulation is the main feature of the model. Thus, in the process of rainfall prediction, the genetic algorithm is used as an efficient tool in estimating optimal parameters of the auto power regression and the Fourier series models, without the use of an expensive nonlinear least square algorithm. The model application is demonstrated considering different annual rainfall series relating to IMD-Regions (RI...R5), all-india (AI), IMD-Subdivisions (S1...S29), Zones (Z1...Z10) and all-Karnataka (AK). The results of the proposed model are encouraging in providing improved forecasts. The model considers periodicity, average critical drought frequency and weighted stochastic component in forecasting the rainfall series. The model performed well in achieving success-rate of 70 percent with percentage error less than 20 percent in 4 out of 5 IMD Regions (R2 to R5), all-India, 17 out of 29 IMD Subdivisions (S1 to S5, S7 to S9, S18, S19, S21, S24 to S29) and all-Karnataka rainfall series. The model performance for Zones was not that-satisfactory as only 2 out of 10 Zones [Z1 and Z2) met the criterion. In a separate study, an effort was made to forecast annual rainfall using IMSL subroutine SPWF -which estimates Wiener forecast parameters. Monthly data is considered for the study. The Wiener parameters obtained were used to estimate monthly rainfall. The annual estimates obtained by simple aggregation of the monthly estimates compared extremely well with the actual annual rainfall values. A success rate of more than 80 percent with percentage error less than 10 percent is achieved in 4 out of 5 IMD Regions (R2 to R5), all-India, 18 out of 29 IMD Subdivisions (S1 to S8, S14, S18, S19, S22 to S24, S26 to S29) and all-Karnataka rainfall series. Whereas a success rate of 80 percent within 20 percent error is achieved in 4 out of 5 IMD Regions (except R1), all-India, 25 outof 29 IMD Subdivisions (except S10, S11, S12 and S17), all- Karnataka and 8 out of 10 Zones (except Z6 and Z8)(Please refer PDF File for Formulas)

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