Syftet med denna studie är att undersöka huruvida ett lands finansiella system har en effekt på företagssektorns finansiella risker Studien bygger på en kvantitativ ansats där vi samlat in data genom årsredovisningar och annan offentlig marknadsdata. I det empiriska material som togs fram presenterades en förutsägelse för konkurs på över 100 företag under totalt 467 observationer de senaste fem åren (2011-2015). Resultatet visade att företagen i de marknadsorienterade länderna påvisade en högre risk för att hamna i konkurs än de bankorienterade. / The purpose of this study is to investigate whether a country's financial system has an impact on the corporate sector's financial risks. The study is based on a quantitative approach in which we collected data from annual reports and other public market data. In the empirical material that was produced we presented a prediction of bankruptcy over 100 companies with a total of 467 observations over the past five years (2011-2015). The results showed that companies in the marketoriented countries have a higher risk of ending up in bankruptcy than in the bank-oriented countries.

L'examen des systèmes financiers publics des États de l'UEMOA a permis de constater que ces systèmes ont évolué dans le contexte contemporain de la nouvelle gouvernance financière publique. Le souci de la transparence, de la sincérité, de la responsabilité et de l'efficacité, principes cardinaux de la nouvelle gouvernance financière publique, a permis aux États de l'UEMOA sous l'égide de la Commission communautaire de renouveler les bases normatives et institutionnelles de leurs systèmes financiers publics. Les nouvelles normes introduisent une gestion financière publique axée sur les résultats avec une plus grande responsabilisation des acteurs. Elles confortent la suprématie budgétaire du Ministre des finances tout en investissant la direction du budget d'un rôle d'avant-gardiste programmatique en matière budgétaire et le contrôle financier d'une fonction d'évaluation de la dépense publique. Elles ont mis en perspective l'action du Parlement et des juridictions des comptes des États qui doivent mettre la veille à l'efficacité de la dépense publique au cœur de leurs actions. La mise en œuvre des nouvelles normes financières publiques change l'architecture et la méthode d'élaboration du budget qui passe d'une approche de moyen à une approche de résultat. Un ensemble de technicité et de rigueur entour désormais l'élaboration du budget dont les documents de programmation et les mécanismes de conception requièrent plus d'exigences. Les mécanismes et outils de pilotage de la gestion financière des États ont également changé. L'introduction de la responsabilité managériale a rendu nécessaire la mise en œuvre des outils de pilotage empruntés au secteur privé. Mais l'analyse des réalités sociologiques et des capacités internes des États révèle que la corruption, la non application délibérée des textes et l'insuffisance qualitative et quantitative des ressources humaines, matérielles et informationnelles constituent un blocage au bon fonctionnement des systèmes financiers publics. De même, au lieu d'être du "sur mesure" les nouvelles normes paraissent encore être du ''prêt à porter'' et ne tiennent pas toujours compte des réalités sociologiques des États. C'est pourquoi, la présente thèse propose de passer de l'imitation à l'innovation institutionnelle. Elle fait de la consolidation endogène des systèmes financiers publics une condition de réussite qui passe, entre autres, par l'instauration dans les États de la bisannualité budgétaire ; des profils des députés, du comité ordonnateur dans les ministères, de la responsabilisation solidaire du comptable et de l'ordonnateur et de l'instauration d'une responsabilité morale à travers l'implication de la chefferie traditionnelle et des confessions religieuses à la discipline financière. / The review of public financial systems of WAEMU (West African Economic and Monetary Union) States has shown that these systems evolved in the contemporary context of the new public financial governance. The concern for transparency, sincerity, responsibility and efficiency, the cardinal principles of the new public financial governance, allowed WAEMU States under the aegis of the Community Commission to renew the normative and institutional basis of their public financial systems. The new standards introduce a public financial management results-oriented with greater stakeholders accountability. They reinforce the budgetary supremacy of the Minister of Finance while investing the budget department of a pioneering programmatic role in budgetary matters and financial control of an evaluation function of public spending. They put into perspective the work of Parliament and the courts of accounts of States that should ensure the efficiency of public spending at the heart of their actions.The implementation of new public financial standards changes the architecture and the budgeting method that moves from a means approach to a results approach. A set of technicality and rigor now surrounds budgeting with programming documents and design mechanisms need more requirements. The mechanisms and management tools for the financial management of the States have also changed. The introduction of managerial responsibility necessitated the implementation of management tools borrowed from the private sector. But the analysis of sociological realities and internal capacities of the States reveals that corruption, not deliberate application of the texts and the qualitative and quantitative shortage of human, material and information resources are blocking the functioning of public financial systems. Similarly, instead of the "tailor" the new standards still seem to be the '' ready to wear '' and do not always reflect the sociological realities of the States. Therefore, this thesis proposes to move from imitation to institutional innovation. She makes endogenous consolidation of public financial systems a condition for success that goes by, among others, the establishment in the States of fiscal biannuality ; MPs profiles, the authorizing committee in the ministries, solidarity accountability of the accountant and of the authorizing, and establishing a moral responsibility through involvement of traditional chiefs and religious denominations discipline financial.

The paper seeks to contribute to the empirical analysis of financial uncertainty and investment from a Post Keynesian perspective. The paper uses the volatility of the exchange rate, the volatility of the stock market index, and the real gold price as indicators for financial uncertainty. An increase in the volatility of a variable is a sufficient, but not a necessary condition for an increase in uncertainty (regarding this variable). The effects of changes in uncertainty on investment are investigated econometrically for the USA, the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, and France. Financial uncertainty has significant negative effects in the USA and the Netherlands. (author´s abstract) / Series: Department of Economics Working Paper Series

In recent years, trade activity in stock markets has increased substantially. This is mainly attributed to the development of powerful computers and intranets connecting traders to markets across the globe. The trades have to be carried out almost instantaneously and the systems in place that handle trades are burdened with millions of transactions a day, several thousand a minute. With increasing transactions the time to execute a single trade increases, and this can be seen as an impact on the performance. There is a need to model the performance of these systems and provide forecasts to give a heads up on when a system is expected to be overwhelmed by transactions. This was done in this study, in cooperation with Cinnober Financial Technologies, a firm which provides trading solutions to stock markets. To ensure that the models developed weren‟t biased, the dataset was cleansed, i.e. operational and other transactions were removed, and only valid trade transactions remained. For this purpose, a descriptive analysis of time series along with change point detection and LOESS regression were used. State space model with Kalman Filtering was further used to develop a time varying coefficient model for the performance, and this model was applied to make forecasts. Wavelets were also used to produce forecasts, and besides this high pass filters were used to identify low performance regions. The State space model performed very well to capture the overall trend in performance and produced reliable forecasts. This can be ascribed to the property of Kalman Filter to handle noisy data well. Wavelets on the other hand didn‟t produce reliable forecasts but were more efficient in detecting regions of low performance.

This paper examines the correlation between credit intermediated by financial systems and economic growth in developing countries. More specifically we have studied whether well-functioning financial markets result in economic growth. We base our study on data from 53 low- and lower-middle income countries in the period 2004-2011. By comparing the two different economic theories, Schumpeter’s growth theory and Austrian business cycle theory, we have analysed our results from two different perspectives. The results from this study show an insignificant relationship between financial systems and economic growth, contradicting much of the theory and results from previous studies that have been reviewed. Other variables outside of the financial system in this study, such as economic freedom and corruption, could be a reason for the non-existent correlation between financial development and economic growth in this study.

Cette thèse analyse les conséquences des transformations de la sphère financière sur les canaux de transmission des décisions de politique monétaire, au cours de ces dernières années dans les pays industrialisés. Elle observe que du fait de ces transformations, les établissements bancaires sont passés d’un modèle d’« octroi et détention du crédit » (originate to hold) à un modèle d’« octroi puis cession du crédit » (originate to distribute), ce qui leur permet de recourir davantage aux produits dérivés et à des instruments de transfert du risque de crédit. Elle démontre que ces techniques de gestion actif/passif ont complètement bouleversé les fondements théoriques des canaux traditionnels, en particulier, du canal du crédit. Pour expliquer ces bouleversements, l’analyse a été structurée en deux parties. La première met en évidence, à travers le principe d’accélérateur financier, la manière dont la déconnexion partielle entre la croissance de l’offre de crédits et celle des dépôts bancaires a tendance à renforcer le canal du crédit alors qu’on devait s’attendre à son affaiblissement du fait que toutes les hypothèses-clés mises en avant par Bernanke et Blinder (1988) ont été fragilisées par les innovations financières. La deuxième partie montre, en s’appuyant sur les études empiriques, comment le canal des taux d’intérêt s’est renforcé grâce à la financiarisation croissance des économies industrialisées et à la flexibilité du cadre opérationnel de la politique monétaire. / This dissertation analyses the consequences of transformations in the financial sphere on the transmission channels of decisions in monetary policy in industrialized countries over the past several years. We observe that as a result of these transformations, banking institutions have evolved from an originate to hold model to an originate to distribute model. This has enabled banks to turn more toward derivative products and credit risk transfer instruments. We demonstrate that these techniques of active/passive management have completely revolutionized the theoretical foundations of traditional channels and in particular the credit channel. Our analysis of these landmark changes is organized into two parts. The first part reveals, using the principle of the financial accelerator, the manner in which the partial disconnection between the growth of the credit offer and that of banking deposits tends to reinforce the credit channel. This reinforcement flies in the face of expectations, given that the key hypotheses formulated by Bernanke and Blinder (1988) have been undermined by financial innovations. The second part of the dissertation uses empirical studies to demonstrate how the interest rate channel has been reinforced thanks to growing financialization in the industrialized economies and to the flexibility of the operational framework of monetary policy.

Målet med detta arbete är att förbättra Spotifys processer när de gör förändringar internt som påverkar deras finansiella system. Arbetet har genomförts genom att kartlägga de team hos Spotify som skapar, påverkar och använder data i det finansiella systemet. Vidare har de olika teamens arbetssätt jämförts och skillnader i hur de arbetar identifierats. Baserat på de identifierade skillnaderna påvisas vilka utmaningar som finns när Spotify genomför förändringar där flera team är involverade. Kartläggningen visar att det finns både olika arbetssätt och grundinställning hos de olika teamen som skapar utmaningar i förändringsarbetet, speciellt i tvärfunktionella projekt. Slutsatser från resultatet presenteras i form av några olika förslag vilka kan hjälpa till att förbättra förändringsarbetet vid tvärfunktionella projekt hos Spotify. Skapa en koordinatorroll som fungerar som en gemensam kontakt för alla ärenden som genererar förändringar i det finansiella systemet. Genom den nya rollen tydliggör man informationsflödet. Skapa ett nytt team som ansvarar för alla förändringar som påverkar det finansiella systemet. Ett nytt team minskar beroenden mellan de olika teamen. Använda sig av tvärfunktionella projektledare som får dedikerade resurser att driva projekt där flera team är inblandade. Projektledaren kan då äga och ta ansvar för hela processen. Förändra så att alla inblandade team mäts på värdeskapandet för hela kedjan istället för att bedömas när de levererat sin del. Anordna en kortare workshop (1-5 dagar) med deltagare från de team som behöver interagera med varandra vid en förändring. Det blir ett effektivt sätt att minimera ledtiden mellan teamen. Skapa serviceavtal mellan de olika teamen, så att varje team effektivare kan planera sina resurser och veta vilka förutsättningar som gäller. / The objective of this thesis is to help Spotify to improve their internal change management process in their financial system. The work was done by charting the internal teams that create, influence and use data in the company’s financial system. Furthermore, the working methods of the different teams were compared and differences in how they work were identified. Our findings show that there are both different working processes and attitudes between the teams. This creates challenges in the change management process, especially in cross-functional projects. Conclusions from the results are presented as suggestions. These may help to improve the change management process in cross-functional projects at Spotify: Implement a coordinator role, which works as a single point of contact for everything that is related to changes in the financial system. The new role helps to improve the distribution of information. Create a new team that is responsible for all changes that affect the financial system. A new team reduces dependencies betweenthe different teams. Introduce cross-functional project managers who receive dedicated resources to implement projects where multiple teams are involved. The project manager can then take full responsibility for the entire process. Make sure the effectiveness/productivity of all involved teams is measured by the value created for the whole value chain rather than when their respective part has been delivered. Have a workshop (1-5 days) in which participants from the teams that needs to integrate components work together. This will be an effective way to minimize the waiting time between the teams. Create a service level agreement between the different teams, so that each team can efficiently plan their resources and know what to expect from other teams.

The expansion of the Internet led to disruptive business and consumer processes, as existing regulations do not cover the scope and scale of emerging financial technologies. Using organization economic theory as the foundation, the purpose of this correlational study was to examine and compare the financial regulatory impact on traditional and emerging financial systems across a variety of factors including organizational type, predicted users, operational concerns, reasons for cost increases, and changes in business practices as a result of the regulatory environment. Data were collected through a survey of 227 adult Americans who engage in the financial sector and are familiar with the US regulatory environment. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, cross tabulations, and statistical significance was tested using Lambda and Kendall's Tau c. The key finding of this study is that the effects of regulations are different for the traditional and emerging financial systems, showing the need to develop and implement policies that are context specific to the emerging financial systems. The recommendations from the study include suggestions to regulatory agencies to regulate and support emerging financial systems in line with new technology that envisions efficiency and economic fairness. The positive social change implications for this study include the development of a strategy that can ensure economic stability, reduce irregularities, and strengthen investments with a view of protecting the financial system from breakdown.

The purpose of this thesis has been to analyse the managing of risks, insecurities and transactions costs that deterred economic exchange during the 1930’s and the 1940’s, within the Swedish-German bilateral clearing system, from a Swedish contractual theoretical perspective. In this thesis it has been shown that the clearing agreement was put in practice in 1934, on initiative of Sweden. In the agreement financial issues associated with risks and insecurities were to be reduced by formalising rules for the economic exchange. The basic principle was that Germany regularly had a trade surplus in relation to Sweden. The surplus was used for re-building the Reichsbank’s monetary reserves, as well as payments on financial claims. The agreement was designed in an incomplete way, to be adjusted ad hoc in a trial and error process. As both parties had different interests, they had to make concessions in order to sustain the clearing system. This was also reflected in the design of the agreement, which evolved from an incomplete to a specific, detailed agreement, due to the increasing risks and insecurities that had to be dealt with. The clearing system was ideal for wartime conditions since it maintained trade flows. It also became a line of defence: specific agreements allowed the dominant Germany less scope to assert preferential rights of interpretation of the rules and regulations. When the war intensified it was difficult for Germany to carry out its commitments to Sweden, and the Swedish party found reasons to distrust the German economy, which was entering a recession. At the same time Allied forces strengthened their political influence, and the victors would become the leaders of the future international economy. Sweden made a gradual exit from the clearing system, delivering the agreed upon exports to Germany, while keeping the Allied negotiators informed of the process. The Swedish-German clearing system collapsed in spring 1945.

This study looks at the price mechanism of the digital quasi-currency bitcoin. Through statistical analysis of secondary data a probable significant results regarding correlation and regression between price and different independent variables have been established. The final analysis is pointing towards network effects being a part of the determinants for the crypto-currency’s price. Complimentary to the quantitative study explained above, an implementation of hermeneutic analysis based on secondary theoretical sources, journalistic opinion and a professional qualified judgment has aided the author and study in conceptual understanding. This interpretation has semantic character, and takes a Socratic kickoff regarding the nature of bitcoin as a financial instrument. The analysis runs back and forth throughout the course of the study and finally intertwines with qualitative results in the discussion. It is the author’s impression that a significant dimorphism surrounds bitcoin, calling for a conceptual differentiation leading to practical rethinking. The study takes the shape of a case-study conducted over four months. The author’s location during the process of writing was Stockholm Sweden, but the gathered data is of transnational character. / Den här studien tittar på prismekanismen hos den digitala kvasi-valören bitcoin. Genom statistisk analys av sekundärdata har sannolikt signifikanta resultat angående korrelation och linjärregrission mellan pris och olika oberoende variabler ettablerats. Den slutgiltiga analysen pekar mot att nätverksvariabler är delaktiga i avgörandet av krypto-valutans pris. Komplimentärt till den kvantitativa studen förklarad ovanför så har en implementation av hermeneutisk analys basserad på sekundära källor, journalistiska åsikter och ett professionellt kvalifiserat uttalande hjälpt författaren samt studien i dess konceptuella förståelse. Denna tolkning har semantisk karaktär, och tar Sokratisk avstamp gällande bitcoins natur som ett finansielt instrument. Analysen går fram och tillbaka genom uppsatsens gång, för att slutligen sammanvävas med de kvantitativa resultaten i uppsatsens diskussion. Det är denna förfatares intryck att en signifikant dimorphism omsluter bitcoin och kallar för en konceptuel differensiering som leder till praktiskt nytänkande. Studen tar formen av en fallstudie som genomförts om loppet av fyra månader. Författarens plats genom skrivandeprocessen var Stockholm Sverige, men den samlade datan har transnationell karaktär.