Spelling suggestions: "subject:"task."" "subject:"tant.""
521 |
Kan inte alla samma språk? : Möjligheten till ett gemensamt GGIS på mekaniserade förband? / Can’t all talk the same language? : Possibility to a common GIS at mechanized units?Sandberg, Jonas January 2010 (has links)
<p>Försvarsmakten har under de senaste åren gått igenom radikala förändringar, som fortfarande inte är klara. Samtidigt som fokus ligger på personalförsörjning samt annat så går den teknologiska utvecklingen framåt. Jag vill med denna uppsats belysa vad ett gemensamt geografiskt informationssystem skulle kunna innebära för chefer på en lägre nivå inom mekaniserade bataljoner. Med denna uppsatts vill jag skapa förståelse utav gemensamma geografiska informationssystem och vilka möjligheter de skulle kunna bidra med. I uppsatsen tar jag reda på om systemen skulle kunna underlätta för chefer i sitt ledarskap på slagfälten, likväl vilka effekter det stridstekniskt skulle kunna bidra med. Jag tar också reda på om Försvarsmakten med dagens materiell och teknologi kan uppbringa ett sådant system. Slutsatsen som dras är att Försvarsmakten inte med dagens materiell kan uppbringa ett sådant system, materielen är föråldrad och den främsta begränsningen är dataöverförningskapacitet. Andra slutsatser är att system som dessa underlättar för chefer ur flertalet perspektiv. Främst så skulle systemen kunna bidraga till högre stridseffektivitet och underlätta för så kallade mixade förband.</p> / <p>The Swedish Armed forces have under the past years gone through some radical changes and some of them are still going on. As focus is set on manpower, the technologic development moves forward. I want to highlight what a common graphical information system could mean to commanders on lower command level at mechanized units. With this essay I want to create an understanding of common geographical information systems and what opportunities it could help with. In the essay I will find out if the systems could favor commanders in their leadership on the battlefield, as well which effects it could have on battle tactics. I also find out if the Swedish Armed forces with today’s equipment could procure such a system. Conclusions of the essay is that the Swedish Armed forces cant with today’s equipment procure such an system, because of the equipments obsolete status and the prominent restriction is data transfer rate. Other conclusions are that systems like these favor commanders in several perspectives. Most prominent, could system like these contribute to higher battle efficiency and favor for mechanized- mixed unit types.</p>
|
522 |
Stridsvagn 122 och Remote Weapon Station : Nya möjligheter till verkan och stridsteknikSellberg, Martin January 2010 (has links)
<p>Den här uppsatsen behandlar stridsvagn122 och Remote Weapon Station (RWS). Det finns ett verkansglapp mellan dagens kalibrar 120 mm och 7,62 mm. Observationsmöjligheterna i vissa situationer är begränsade. Syftet med uppsatsen är att undersöka vilka nya förmågor och möjligheter till ytterligare ett verkansalternativ en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform kan tillföra stridsvagn 122. De frågeställningarna som behandlas är: Vad kan en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform tillföra inom området stridsteknik? Vem i besättningen skall bemanna systemet? Vad kan en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform tillföra inom området graderad verkan? Metoden som används är kvalitativ textanalys. Materialet som analyseras består av reglementen ochinstruktionsböcker från Försvarsmakten, information från försvarsindustrin samt facklitteratur om vapen och stridsvagnar. Slutsatserna som dras är att en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform kan bidra med förbättringar inom området stridsteknik. Inom området graderad verkan kan en fjärrstyrdvapenplattform tillföra olika förmågor beroende på vilket vapensystem som väljs. Moduläriteten medför att verkan kan situationsanpassas. Jag bedömer att den i besättningen som lämpligen ska bemanna systemet är laddaren, men en större flexibilitet uppnås om även vagnchefen kan operera systemet, eftersom vissa situationer kräver att laddarens hela uppmärksamhet är fokuserad på kanonen.</p> / <p>This essay studies the Swedish main battle tank stridsvagn 122 and Remote Weapon Station. There is a gap between 120mm and 7.62mm. The observation possibilities in certain situations is limited. The purpose of this essay is to investigate which new abilities a remote weapons station can bring. The following issues are investigated: How does a Remote Weapon Station affect tactics on squad level? Who in the crew is most suited to man the system? Which scalable effects can a remote weapon station bring? The method used is qualitative text analysis. The analyzed material consists of regulations and manuals from the Armed Forces, information from the defence industry. Literature about Weapons and tanks written by civilian authors will be used in order to get a source from outside the Armed Forces. The conclusions drawn are that a remote weapons platform can contribute to enhancements of battle tactics on squad level. A Remote Weapons Station can introduce different new scalable effects depending on the weapon chosen for the specific task. I believe that the loader is the person in the crew that is most suited to man the RWS-system, but a higher degree of flexibility would be reached if also the tank commander could operate the system, since the loader in some situations must direct his full attention to the canon.</p>
|
523 |
Kan inte alla samma språk? : Möjligheten till ett gemensamt GGIS på mekaniserade förband? / Can’t all talk the same language? : Possibility to a common GIS at mechanized units?Sandberg, Jonas January 2010 (has links)
Försvarsmakten har under de senaste åren gått igenom radikala förändringar, som fortfarande inte är klara. Samtidigt som fokus ligger på personalförsörjning samt annat så går den teknologiska utvecklingen framåt. Jag vill med denna uppsats belysa vad ett gemensamt geografiskt informationssystem skulle kunna innebära för chefer på en lägre nivå inom mekaniserade bataljoner. Med denna uppsatts vill jag skapa förståelse utav gemensamma geografiska informationssystem och vilka möjligheter de skulle kunna bidra med. I uppsatsen tar jag reda på om systemen skulle kunna underlätta för chefer i sitt ledarskap på slagfälten, likväl vilka effekter det stridstekniskt skulle kunna bidra med. Jag tar också reda på om Försvarsmakten med dagens materiell och teknologi kan uppbringa ett sådant system. Slutsatsen som dras är att Försvarsmakten inte med dagens materiell kan uppbringa ett sådant system, materielen är föråldrad och den främsta begränsningen är dataöverförningskapacitet. Andra slutsatser är att system som dessa underlättar för chefer ur flertalet perspektiv. Främst så skulle systemen kunna bidraga till högre stridseffektivitet och underlätta för så kallade mixade förband. / The Swedish Armed forces have under the past years gone through some radical changes and some of them are still going on. As focus is set on manpower, the technologic development moves forward. I want to highlight what a common graphical information system could mean to commanders on lower command level at mechanized units. With this essay I want to create an understanding of common geographical information systems and what opportunities it could help with. In the essay I will find out if the systems could favor commanders in their leadership on the battlefield, as well which effects it could have on battle tactics. I also find out if the Swedish Armed forces with today’s equipment could procure such a system. Conclusions of the essay is that the Swedish Armed forces cant with today’s equipment procure such an system, because of the equipments obsolete status and the prominent restriction is data transfer rate. Other conclusions are that systems like these favor commanders in several perspectives. Most prominent, could system like these contribute to higher battle efficiency and favor for mechanized- mixed unit types.
|
524 |
Stridsvagn 122 och Remote Weapon Station : Nya möjligheter till verkan och stridsteknikSellberg, Martin January 2010 (has links)
Den här uppsatsen behandlar stridsvagn122 och Remote Weapon Station (RWS). Det finns ett verkansglapp mellan dagens kalibrar 120 mm och 7,62 mm. Observationsmöjligheterna i vissa situationer är begränsade. Syftet med uppsatsen är att undersöka vilka nya förmågor och möjligheter till ytterligare ett verkansalternativ en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform kan tillföra stridsvagn 122. De frågeställningarna som behandlas är: Vad kan en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform tillföra inom området stridsteknik? Vem i besättningen skall bemanna systemet? Vad kan en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform tillföra inom området graderad verkan? Metoden som används är kvalitativ textanalys. Materialet som analyseras består av reglementen ochinstruktionsböcker från Försvarsmakten, information från försvarsindustrin samt facklitteratur om vapen och stridsvagnar. Slutsatserna som dras är att en fjärrstyrd vapenplattform kan bidra med förbättringar inom området stridsteknik. Inom området graderad verkan kan en fjärrstyrdvapenplattform tillföra olika förmågor beroende på vilket vapensystem som väljs. Moduläriteten medför att verkan kan situationsanpassas. Jag bedömer att den i besättningen som lämpligen ska bemanna systemet är laddaren, men en större flexibilitet uppnås om även vagnchefen kan operera systemet, eftersom vissa situationer kräver att laddarens hela uppmärksamhet är fokuserad på kanonen. / This essay studies the Swedish main battle tank stridsvagn 122 and Remote Weapon Station. There is a gap between 120mm and 7.62mm. The observation possibilities in certain situations is limited. The purpose of this essay is to investigate which new abilities a remote weapons station can bring. The following issues are investigated: How does a Remote Weapon Station affect tactics on squad level? Who in the crew is most suited to man the system? Which scalable effects can a remote weapon station bring? The method used is qualitative text analysis. The analyzed material consists of regulations and manuals from the Armed Forces, information from the defence industry. Literature about Weapons and tanks written by civilian authors will be used in order to get a source from outside the Armed Forces. The conclusions drawn are that a remote weapons platform can contribute to enhancements of battle tactics on squad level. A Remote Weapons Station can introduce different new scalable effects depending on the weapon chosen for the specific task. I believe that the loader is the person in the crew that is most suited to man the RWS-system, but a higher degree of flexibility would be reached if also the tank commander could operate the system, since the loader in some situations must direct his full attention to the canon.
|
525 |
Modeling And Stabilization Control Of A Main Battle TankKarayumak, Turker 01 September 2011 (has links) (PDF)
In this study, a parametric model for a main battle tank electric gun turret drive system
stabilization controller has been developed. Main scope was the study of the muzzle deviation
due to barrel flexibility. Traverse and elevation dynamics has been modeled to include the
drive-line and barrel flexibilities. Order of the models has been kept large enough to cover the
frequencies dominant in the interest scope but at the same time low enough to create a
parametric model which can be used in real-time fire control computers. Therefore a 5-dof
elevation and a 7-dof traverse models have been implemented. These models have been used
to design a classical feedback and feedforward controllers which performed good enough to
meet 0.5mrad stabilization accuracies.
After satisfactory results have been obtained from the stabilization controller, a special
coincidence algorithm has been implemented by time-series analysis of the disturbance signal
which is constantly being measured by the feedforward gyro. Necessity of predicting the
future muzzle angular orientation due to the latency in fire is discussed and by using
autoregressive modeling of the disturbance signal, future values of the disturbance signal has
been entered into the observer model. The prediction horizon has been set to the time delay
value between the trigger is pulled by the gunner and the ammunition exit from the muzzle.
By checking the future coincidence within a very narrow windowing (0.05mrad) a 100% first
round hit probability in theory has been achieved. This is assured since the coincidence
inhibited the fire signals which were to miss the aiming point with a large error.
|
526 |
Irrigation and persistence in the dry zone of Sri Lanka : a geoarchaeological studyGilliland, Krista January 2011 (has links)
This thesis presents an independent, sediment-based record of landscape change within an agricultural hinterland. Established historical and archaeological sequences document the primary occupation of Anuradhapura, Sri Lanka’s ancient capital, beginning ca. 400 BC and lasting until it was largely abandoned in AD 1017. Anuradhapura is located in the island’s dry zone, which depends almost completely on the unpredictable Northeastern Monsoon for water. Oral history and historical narratives have long held that large-scale irrigated rice cultivation took place in the hinterland to produce an agricultural surplus that sustained the urban and monastic populations. However, until the onset of the Anuradhapura Hinterland Project in 2005, the archaeological record of the hinterland was undocumented, leaving existing narratives untested. The geoarchaeological research presented here was undertaken as part of the Hinterland Project, in order to document the chronology and cultural and environmental processes that contributed to the formation of this irrigated landscape. Optical dating of sediments demonstrates that the onset of large-scale irrigation began ca. 400 BC, and the construction of new works continued until Anuradhapura’s late occupation period. Sampled reservoirs and channels began to infill, indicating widespread disuse, within ca. 100 years of Anuradhapura’s abandonment. Soil micromorphology and bulk sediment characterisation document hinterland habitation, water management, and cultivation activities prior to the establishment of large-scale irrigation. This work illustrates the coping strategies that people employed to deal with the vagaries of the dry zone environment and demonstrates that hinterland land use changed throughout the primary occupation period. Although largescale irrigation works infilled relatively rapidly, cultural activity and land use re-emerged following this period of disuse.
|
527 |
Untersuchungen zum dynamischen Verhalten schwimmender OffshoregründungenAdam, Frank 20 May 2015 (has links) (PDF)
Durch Umwandlung unterschiedlichster Formen von Energie in mechanische oder elektrische Energie wird die Menschheit seit Jahrhunderten bei der Umsetzung von Arbeitsprozessen im Alltag und bei der industriellen Nutzung unterstützt. Strömende Medien wie Wasser oder Wind gelten dabei als die ältesten Energielieferanten.
Im Rahmen der Dissertation wird das Konzept einer zugspannungsverankerten Plattform für Offshore Windenergieanlagen (WEA) vorgestellt, wobei neben den, für diesen Plattformtyp typischen, vertikalen auch geneigte Verankerungselemente Verwendung finden. Diese Art der Verspannung einer zugspannungsverankerten Plattform, respektive ’Tension Leg Platfrom’ (TLP) ist bisher von keiner Quelle bekannt und stellt ein Alleinstellungsmerkmal dar. Folglich sollen Untersuchungen zum dynamischen Verhalten schwimmender Gründungen für Offshore WEA, im Speziellen zu einer TLP mit vertikalen und geneigten Ankerelementen, im Rahmen dieser Arbeit erstmalig vorgestellt werden.
Die Plattform ist ein modular gestaltetes Tragwerk bestehend aus großen Rohren und mit integrierten zylindrischen Auftriebskörpern. Diese erzeugen im Transportzustand der Plattform vom Hafen zum Einsatzort und im Betriebszustand innerhalb eines Windparks den nötigen Auftrieb. Infolge der speziellen Art der Verspannung werden die Bewegungen der TLP durch die, aus den Belastungen resultierenden, Seildehnungen dominiert. Damit stellte die TLP im Vergleich zu anderen schwimmenden Gründungen ein bewegungsarmes System dar.
Inhalt der hier vorgelegten Arbeit sind Untersuchungen zum dynamischen Verhalten schwimmender Offshoregründungen, im speziellen einer TLP für Windenergieanlagen. Es wurden unterschiedliche Tragstrukturen für TLP-Systeme entwickelt und im Rahmen von Modellversuchen getestet. Den Kern der Arbeit bildet der Vergleich des dynamischen Tragverhaltens der unterschiedlichen Plattformen unter Berücksichtigung der geometrischen und strukturellen Randbedingungen.
|
528 |
Simulação em CFP de um reator CSTR para produção de biodíesel. / CFP simulation of a CSTR reactor for biodiesel production.SANTOS, Tarcísio David KOnna Nunes. 20 March 2018 (has links)
Submitted by Johnny Rodrigues (johnnyrodrigues@ufcg.edu.br) on 2018-03-20T13:04:38Z
No. of bitstreams: 1
TARCISIO DAVID KONNA NUNES SANTOS - DISSERTAÇÃO PPGEQ 2016..pdf: 1645201 bytes, checksum: 6f9773a951b06aacdb26ff5287e21e18 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-03-20T13:04:38Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
TARCISIO DAVID KONNA NUNES SANTOS - DISSERTAÇÃO PPGEQ 2016..pdf: 1645201 bytes, checksum: 6f9773a951b06aacdb26ff5287e21e18 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2016-03-23 / Este trabalho propôs um modelo matemático para um reator do tipo CSTR (continuous stirred-tank reactor) partindo de dados experimentais da cinética da reação de transesterificação entre o óleo de soja e o acetato de metila, tendo como catalisador uma enzima, a Candida Antartica. Um volume foi proposto para reator para que o tempo médio de residência da mistura reacional fosse suficiente tal que o rendimento esperado, com base nos dados obtidos pelo Matlab®, fosse obtido na saída do reator. O estudo reacional fluidodinâmico foi feito utilizando o software comercial ANSYS® versão 15.0.
Duas configurações do reator foram propostas otimização, afim de tornar o processo o mais homogêneo possível, tentando atingir as configurações do reator de mistura perfeita. Os impelidores utilizados foram o tipo pás retas inclinadas e o ripo Ribbon (Âncora), afim de avaliar qual dos impelidores consegue o rendimento satisfatório com menor potência de operação. A potência requerida foi determinada através das equações para misturadores mecânicos, sendo avaliado apenas como variável a rotação das pás. / This work proposes a mathematical model to a reactor of CSTR-type
(Continuous Stirred-tank reactor) starting from experimental data of the kinetics
of transesterification of soybean oil and methyl acetate, with the catalyst
enzyme, Candida Antarctica. A reactor volume was proposed for the average
residence time of the reaction mixture was sufficient such that the expected
yield, based on data obtained by Matlab, was obtained in the reactor outlet. The
reaction fluid dynamic study was done using the commercial software ANSYS®
version 15.0. The optimization of the reactor was proposed by comparing the
reactor operation with two impellers separately in order to make the process
more homogeneous as possible, trying to achieve the perfect blend of reactor
configurations. The impellers used were the type inclined straight blades and
Ribbon RIPO (Anchor), to determine which of the impellers can the satisfactory
performance with lower power operation. The required power was determined
by the equations for mechanical mixers, being rated only as a variable rotation
of the blades
|
529 |
Automa??o da drenagem no teste de produ??o convencional em tanque cil?ndricoSilva, Paulo S?rgio e 28 November 2009 (has links)
Made available in DSpace on 2014-12-17T14:08:33Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
PauloSS.pdf: 794414 bytes, checksum: 7999790922c4cf74528e43d38c370e58 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2009-11-28 / This document aims to improve the quality of the production test in vertical tanks with free water drain pipes, through a device to control the draining system. This proposal consists of an interface detector close to the tank bottle and a control valve on the pipe-drain; they are attached to a remote supervisor system, which will be minimizing the human influence in the conclusion of the test result. And for more consciousness the work shows the importance of the wells production test in the attendance and diagnosis of the productive process, informing the large number of tests executed and problems of the procedure adopted in the field today. There are many possible sources of uncertainty in this kind of test as shown in the experiments realized in the field; the object prototype of this dissertation will be made in the field, based upon the definition of parameters and characteristics of the devices proposal. For a better definition of the draining process the action results of the assessment test are shown, especially changed some for the understand ing of the real process. It shows the proposal details and the configuration that will be used in the tank of Monte Alegre s field Production Station, explaining the interface detector kind and the control system. It is the base to a pilot project now in development, named as the new project classified in the status of the new technology and production improvement of PETROBRAS in Rio Grande do Norte and Cear?. This dissertation concludes that the automation of the conventional test with the draining system will bring benefits both economically as metrologically, because it reduces the uncertainty of the test procedures with free water draining, and also decreases the number of tests with problems / Este trabalho tem por objetivo melhorar a qualidade dos testes de produ??o em tanques verticais com drenagem da ?gua livre, atrav?s da instala??o de dispositivos para controle autom?tico do sistema de drenagem do tanque. Esta proposta de melhoria consiste na montagem de um detector de interface pr?ximo do fundo do tanque e uma v?lvula de controle no dreno, interligados a um sistema de supervis?o remota, reduzindo a influ?ncia humana na finaliza??o e resultados do teste. O trabalho mostra a import?ncia do teste de produ??o dos po?os para o acompanhamento e diagn?stico do processo produtivo, atrav?s da cita??o da grande quantidade de testes realizados e das dificuldades do procedimento atualmente adotado. Existem muitas poss?veis fontes de incerteza neste tipo de teste, que foram constatadas por experimentos realizados no campo. O prot?tipo do objeto desta disserta??o ser? montado no campo, tendo como base a defini??o dos par?metros e caracter?sticas dos dispositivos desta proposta. Para melhor definir o processo de drenagem s?o mostrados os resultados das a??es de acompanhamento de testes, especialmente modificados para entendimento da problem?tica do processo atual. Com base nos resultados das pesquisas foi poss?vel detalhar a proposi??o de melhoria, e definir a configura??o a ser montada no tanque de teste da Esta??o Coletora do campo de Monte Alegre, inclusive o tipo de detector de interface e o sistema de controle a ser adotado. O resultado deste trabalho serviu de base para o projeto do piloto atualmente em implanta??o, com conclus?o prevista para abril/2009. Este piloto est? registrado como o projeto classificado na categoria de novas tecnologias e melhoria da produ??o da PETROBRAS, Unidade de Neg?cios do Rio Grande do Norte e Cear?. Esta disserta??o conclui que a automa??o do sistema de drenagem do teste convencional trar? benef?cios tanto econ?micos como metrol?gicos ao minimizar a incerteza do procedimento de teste com drenagem da ?gua livre e conseq?ente redu??o do n?mero de testes falhos
|
530 |
O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanksLima, Marlos Correia de January 2010 (has links)
Submitted by Marcia Bacha (marcia.bacha@fgv.br) on 2012-01-17T13:29:04Z
No. of bitstreams: 1
1424287.pdf: 7196451 bytes, checksum: d4e957478d7a6933b40854ddb5fb097a (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Marcia Bacha (marcia.bacha@fgv.br) on 2012-01-17T13:29:15Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1
1424287.pdf: 7196451 bytes, checksum: d4e957478d7a6933b40854ddb5fb097a (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Marcia Bacha (marcia.bacha@fgv.br) on 2012-01-17T13:29:22Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1
1424287.pdf: 7196451 bytes, checksum: d4e957478d7a6933b40854ddb5fb097a (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2012-01-17T13:29:28Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
1424287.pdf: 7196451 bytes, checksum: d4e957478d7a6933b40854ddb5fb097a (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2010 / The objective of this study is to identify prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks, important information for the elaboration of prospective scenarios for these organizations. A qualitative approach was adopted. Data were collected from literature and from interviews with key executives from Fundação Getulio Vargas and international specialists were analyzed. A theoretical evaluation of the main think tanks definitions and classifications was performed, and the common elements across the definitions were identified and used to construct a suitable think tank definition that was considered in the subsequent phases of the study. The URCA Structural Analysis Model (MARQUES, 1988) was applied to evaluate 21 prospective variables selected from the collected data. The results indicate 8 prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks: 1) Think tanks internationalization; 2) Agenda globalization; 3) International projection of the nations; 4) Competition among think tanks; 5) Competition between think tanks and ONGs, advisers, web and other information providers; 6) Technical staff; 7) Leading group; and 8) Financiai diversification and sustainability. / EI objetivo de este trabajo es identificar las incertidumbres-críticas prospectivas para think tanks, un importante subsidio para la elaboración de escenarios prospectivos para esas organizaciones. EI enfoque es cualitativo: los datos, recolectados por medio de bibliografía y entrevistas con ejecutivos estratégicos de la Fundação Getulio Vargas y especialistas internacionales, fueron tratados por el método de Análisis Estructural. Para este fin, se utilizó el Modelo URCA (MARQUES, 1988). Creemos que se trata de un abordaje inédito en el área. La base teórica analiza las definiciones y clasificaciones de think tanks, identifica atributos comunes a tales conceptos y, a partir de esta referencial, presenta la definición think tank objeto de este estudio. A seguir, a partir de los datos recolectados, son descritas 21 variables prospectivas. Esta lista inicial de variables es sometida ai Modelo URCA de Análisis Estructural (MARQUES, 1988), indicando, como resultado, ocho incertidumbrescríticas prospectivas para think tanks: Internacionalización de think tanks; Globalización de la agenda; Proyección internacional de las naciones; Competencia entre think tanks; Competencia de ONGs, consultorías, redes y similares; Cuadro técnico; Cuerpo directivo; y Diversificación y sustentación financieras. / O objetivo deste trabalho é identificar as incertezas-críticas prospectivas para fhínk fanks, importante subsídio na elaboração de cenários prospectivos para essas organizações. O enfoque é qualitativo: os dados, coletados por bibliografia e em entrevistas com executivos estratégicos da Fundação Getulio Vargas e especialistas internacionais, foram tratados pelo método da Análise Estrutural. Para tanto, utilizouse o Modelo URCA (MARQUES, 1988). Acredita-se tratar de abordagem inédita na área, pois registro de Análises Prospectivas para thínk tanks não foram localizados. A base teórica analisa diversas definições e classificações de fhínk fanks, identifica atributos comuns a tais conceitos e, a partir deste referencial, apresenta a definição de thínk tank, objeto deste estudo. Em seguida, a partir dos dados coletados, são descritas 21 variáveis prospectivas. Essa lista inicial de variáveis é submetida ao Modelo URCA de Análise Estrutural, gerando, como resultado, oito incertezascríticas prospectivas para thínk fanks: Internacionalização de thínk fanks; Globalização da agenda; Projeção internacional das nações; Concorrência entre thínk tanks; Concorrência de organizações não-governamentais, consultorias, web e similares; Quadro técnico; Corpo dirigente; e Diversificação e sustentação financeiras.
|
Page generated in 0.0549 seconds