Philosophiae Doctor - PhD / In this thesis I examine and explore whether and if Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) inspired water reforms respond to- and address the diverse realities of women and men in informal (and formal) rural economies of Sekororo, South Africa and Ward 17 in Gwanda, Zimbabwe which are both in the Limpopo basin. South Africa and Zimbabwe, like other southern African countries, embarked on IWRM inspired water reforms, culminating in the promulgation of the National Water Acts in 1998, four years after the attainment of South Africa's democracy in 1994 and 18 years after Zimbabwe attained independence in 1980. I argue that the adoption of IWRM, which emphasises second generation water issues such as demand management, water quality, environmental flow requirements etc, and not the development of water infrastructure, begs the question whether such reforms can make a meaningful contribution to the development agenda in countries where, during apartheid and colonialism, the water rights (among other rights) of millions of blacks were compromised because of unjust legislation and skewed underinvestment in water infrastructure. / South Africa

L’eau souterraine représente 98% de la ressource en eau douce liquide sur Terre. Vitale, avantageuse par ses propriétés spéciales mais, souvent, particulièrement vulnérable à long terme, face aux dégradations continues générées par l’ère anthropocène, elle devrait faire l’objet d’une réglementation exprimant toute la signification du « niveau élevé de protection de l’environnement » requis en droit primaire de l’Union européenne. C’est pourquoi la gestion intégrée des ressources en eau (GIRE) pratiquée par l’UE devrait tendre, pour cette eau, vers un degré supérieur de préservation d’un milieu hypogé singulièrement fragile, via une distinction plus marquée entre les notions de «gestion» et de «protection» intégrées, selon l’intensité de la préservation qu’elles emporteraient. A travers cette évolution de la gestion vers la protection intégrée, que l’on érigerait en mode d’intervention à part entière, le droit de l’UE définirait une nouvelle balance entre intérêts économiques et nécessités environnementales. Un tel renforcement du droit dérivé pertinent passerait avant tout par une conception rénovée des eaux souterraines, affranchie d’une conception trop sommaire, dans la directive-cadre sur l’eau et la directive 2006/118/CE, pour en appréhender toute la richesse. Ce, sous peine de ne les protéger que partiellement. Sans préjudice de l’unité du droit de l’eau, des aménagements spécifiques devraient ainsi être prévus pour les eaux souterraines, dont les dynamiques peuvent grandement différer, dans le temps et l’espace, de la surface. Les eaux souterraines ne pouvant être séparées de leur réceptacle (sol et sous-sol), leur protection intégrée requerrait en outre de transcender les limites de la politique de l’eau, et d’aller au-delà de l’intégration telle qu’on la connaissait dans le cadre de la GIRE. Cette dernière, en effet, n’efface pas toutes les contradictions entre politiques sectorielles. Aussi faudrait-il poursuivre la mise en cohérence desdites politiques concernées (environnementale, agricole, industrielle, énergétique…), dont la convergence devrait être accrue dans le sens d’une protection globale du milieu souterrain – une protection affermie pour laquelle pourraient se mobiliser l’ensemble des acteurs intéressés, s’ils étaient orientés vers cet objectif par des dispositifs plus appropriés. / Because groundwater, which represents 98% of the liquid freshwater on Earth, is vital, of particular benefit due to its special properties, but, often, especially vulnerable, in the long term, to the unceasing degra-dation caused by the anthropogenic era, it should be the subject of a regulation that would express the whole meaning of the “high level of protection of the environment” required in the European Union primary law. The integrated management of water resources management (IWRM) implemented by the EU should therefore, for this water, strive for a higher stage of preservation of a singularly fragile underground environment, through a sharper distinction between the concepts of integrated “management” and “protection”, according to the intensity of preservation they would respectively imply. Via such an evolution from integrated management to protection, the latter becoming an autonomous framework of action, the EU law would adopt a different position on the balance between economic interests and ecological necessities. This strengthening of the relevant secondary law must rest on, first and foremost, a new apprehension of groundwater, in the water framework directive and the directive 2006/118/EC, beyond a conception too perfunctory to comprehend the richness of it, otherwise it won’t be fully protected. So, without prejudice to the unity of water law, specific adjustments should be provided for, concerning ground waters, insofar as their dynamics may significantly differ, in time and space, from those of surface water. Since ground waters can’t be separated from its receptacle (soil and subsoil), its integrated protection would demand in addition to transcend the borders of the sectoral water policy and to go beyond the integration as we know it in the current IWRM, which doesn’t erase contradictions between sectoral policies. Thus has to be carried on the improvement of the coherence between relevant politics (environment, agriculture, industry, energy…), in order to build a complete protection of the underground environment. A new framework where would be mobilized all involved actors, converging towards this purpose thanks to more appropriate mechanisms.

Le bassin hydrologique du Barada et de l’Awaj est le plus important et le plus intensément exploité de Syrie. Le sous bassin amont de la rivière Awaj occupe la partie sud-ouest de ce bassin. Dans cette région aride, l’eau souterraine représente la principale réserve et ressource de production d’eau. Dans l’optique de caractériser le fonctionnement du système hydrogéologique multicouche local et de calculer un bilan hydrologique pour l’aquifère superficiel, une méthodologie multi techniques couplant hydrochimie, isotopie et hydrodynamisme a été déployée. L’analyse détaillée des données hydrochimiques recueillies a mis en évidence la grande variabilité du fond géochimique local, directement fonction de la stratigraphie. Cette complexité stratigraphique induit une vision hydrogéologique complexe de nombreux corps aquifères. L’évolution de la chimie des eaux révèle la prépondérance du phénomène de dissolution/précipitation des roches carbonatées comme principal mécanisme de contrôle de l’hydrochimie, devant l’hydrolyse des silicates, la dissolution du gypse et l’échange ionique. En conséquence il n’a pas été possible de déduire de l’hydrochimie des eaux les preuves d’une recharge par drainance ascendante depuis l’aquifère du jurassique vers les aquifères superficiels, bien que la similarité des faciès hydrochimiques tend à consolider l’hypothèse d’une origine unique des eaux, sans toutefois permettre une identification des chemins d’écoulement. Les données isotopiques indiquent quant à elles, une infiltration importante et rapide des eaux météoritiques, avant qu’une importante phase d’évaporation n’ait lieu. Ainsi, l’important flux d’infiltration qui se produit essentiellement dans la partie montagneuse de la zone, représente la principale source de recharge du système aquifère multicouche régional. De ce fait la zone d’étude peut se subdiviser en deux sous régions : la première (A) se caractérise par une dissolution active et des flux de circulation d’eau souterraine fortement orientés verticalement vers la profondeur, alors que la seconde (B) est caractérisée par des écoulements peu profonds associés à des interactions hydrochimiques avec les roches encaissantes. Les résultats de la modélisation hydrodynamique du système mettent en évidence la connexion hydraulique entre l’aquifère profond du Jurassique et les aquifères surincombants par le biais d’une drainance ascendante. Le bilan hydrologique de l’aquifère se surface a ainsi pu être appréhendé : les principaux flux de recharge proviennent de l’infiltration des eaux météoritiques mais également de l’écoulement latéral du Jurassique dans la partie montagneuse. La drainance ascendante depuis le Jurassique dans la partie aval est également non négligeable. Du point de vue des sorties, le flux d’écoulement le plus important se situe en direction de l’est vers le centre du bassin. Ce constat permet de concevoir que La sous bassin amont de le rivière Awaj est la principale zone de recharge occidentale du bassin de Barada et Awaj. / Barada and Awaj basin is the most important and extensively used water basin in Syria. The upper part of Awaj River occupies the southwestern part of this basin. In this arid region, groundwater is considered to be as a main source of water supply. In order to assess the main features which characterize the hydrogeological system in this area and calculate the water budget of the first aquifer horizon, a multi approach methodology using hydrochemistry, environmental stable isotopes and groundwater modeling were used as integrated tools. The detailed description of hydrogeochemical conditions has underlined the very complex variability of the stratigraphic sequences and hence the numerous hydrogeological units within the study area. Hydrogeochemical evolution reveals the domination of dissolution/precipitation of carbonate rocks as a main mechanism controlling groundwater chemical composition and to less extend, the silicate hydrolysis, dissolution of gypsum and reverse ion exchange. Consequently, hydrochemical patterns did not give enough evidences for the expecting of huge feeding flow from the Jurassic aquifers towards the Neogene/Quaternary aquifer. The similarity in water type tends to express the existence of a unique hydrochemical system where the individualised groundwater flow paths are difficult to delineate. The isotope compositions imply an important rapid infiltration of atmospheric precipitation before significant evaporation takes place. Hence the infiltrated precipitation provides the main source of groundwater recharge all over the study area and mainly throughout the mountainous parts. The study area can be dividing into two main sub-regions. The sub-region (A) which characterizes by active dissolution phenomena and deep vertical groundwater flow. And sub-region (B) which characterizes by a shallow horizontal flow component associated with active interaction between groundwater and hosting rocks. The result of groundwater model indicates a hydraulic connection between the deep aquifers and the overlying first aquifer through the upward leakage of groundwater. The components of the water budget of the first aquifer had determined. The lateral discharge from the Jurassic aquifer as well as the meteoric recharge is the most important recharging component of this budget. The upward leakage of groundwater from deeper aquifers also plays an important role. However, the lateral discharge from the eastern boundary is the largest discharge component which indicates that the study area can be considered as a main recharge region of the western side of the Barada and Awaj Basin.

Stakeholders’ perceptions of social, environmental, and economic concerns in the Rookery Bay Estuary were examined through this research. The purpose of this study was to discover the shared value and common resolution responses for the people of the Rookery Bay area that can extend to other local environmental management scenarios. Using Stakeholder Theory, Rational Choice Theory, Symbolic Interactionism, and Systems Theory as theoretical foundation, the following research questions were considered: RQ1) What are the points of shared value of community stakeholders facing environmental management issues? RQ2) How do the perspectives of the community stakeholders toward the social, environmental, and economic issues relate to their local environmental decision-making? RQ3) What are the attitudes and behaviors toward water? Participants identified the importance of water and the natural environment on the community. Additionally, participants were aware of the social, economic, and environmental issues and noted tension between stakeholders; however, they have a limited understanding of the concept of shared value. This research illustrates the benefit of weaving concepts from various fields together to strengthen the conflict studies field.The findings and recommendations in this research offer an outline that provides a path from dispute to common value generation that leads through creating shared meanings, a shared understanding, a shared story, to shared value that is stable over time.

L’allocation de la ressource de manière optimale, dans un système dynamique étendu, consiste à la répartir et à l’acheminer aux bons endroits, aux bons moments et en bonne quantité. Les flux transportés sont caractérisés par des non-linéarités et sont soumis à des retards lors de leur transfert, mais aussi, à des déformations importantes lorsque la ressource est un fluide. Dans ce travail, nous proposons de prendre en compte, dans la modélisation de ces systèmes, l’ensemble de ces contraintes pour une gestion optimale de transport de fluide. Le système est modélisé par un réseau de transport étendu afin de représenter l’évolution de la ressource au cours du temps et d’intégrer les retards inhérents aux transferts des flux. Afin d’introduire dans le graphe la dynamique des écoulements des fluides à surface libre, nous définissons des sommets de répartition permettant la modélisation des phénomènes de propagation des flux. Les objectifs de gestion sont représentés par des coûts sur les arcs. L’allocation optimale de la ressource est obtenue par la recherche du flot de coût minimal sur le réseau de transport. A cette fin, un algorithme d’optimisation prenant en compte les contraintes additionnelles issues des sommets de répartition est proposé. Les méthodes et algorithmes développés sont appliqués au cas des systèmes hydrographiques et à la problématique de l'allocation de la ressource en eau associée. Cette dernière est devenue cruciale en raison des effets négatifs de l'anthropisation des espaces naturels, du changement climatique et de l’augmentation des besoins. Il s’agit de partager la ressource en eau entre différents usagers, conformément à un ensemble d’objectifs et de priorités. L'allocation de la ressource en eau est réalisée en trois étapes principales : le diagnostic de l'état de la ressource disponible sur le système hydrographique à l'instant initial, incluant la prévision de son évolution sur l'horizon de gestion ; la détermination des actions à réaliser sur le système hydraulique pour allouer la ressource en respectant les contraintes et les objectifs ; la surveillance des données mesurées fournissant des indicateurs reconstitués de l’état du système. Les performances de la démarche proposée sont évaluées sur divers systèmes hydrographiques soumis à de multiples régimes hydrologiques. / Optimal allocation of the resource, in a large scale system, consists in distributing it and delivering it to the right places, at the right time and in the right quantity. The transported flows are characterized by nonlinearities and are subject to delays during their transfer, but also to significant deformations when the resource is a fluid. In this work, we propose to take into account, all these constraints in the modeling of these systems, for an optimal management of fluid transport. The system is modeled by an expanded flow network in order to represent the evolution of the resource over time and to integrate the delays that are inherent in flow transfers. In order to introduce the flow dynamics of open-channel flows into the graph, we define distribution nodes allowing to model the flow propagation phenomena. The water allocation objectives are represented by costs on the network’s arcs. The optimal allocation of the resource is obtained by the search for the minimal cost flow on the network. To this end, an optimization algorithm taking into account the additional constraints resulting from the distribution nodes is proposed. The methods and algorithms developed, are applied to the case of hydrographic systems and to the water resources management problem. The latter has become crucial due to the negative effects of anthropisation of natural areas, climate change and increasing needs. Water allocation consists in sharing the water resource between different users, according to a combination of objectives and priorities. The allocation of the water resource is carried out in three main steps: the diagnosis of the state of the available resource on the hydrographic system at the initial time step, including the forecast of its evolution over the management horizon; the determination of operations to be carried out on the hydraulic system to allocate the resource according to the constraints and objectives; the monitoring of the measured data in order to provide reconstructed indicators of the system’s state. The performances of the proposed approach are evaluated on various hydrographic systems, subjected to multiple hydrological regimes.

Facing the urgency of taking actions to guarantee the water supply to Brazil's Capital, the project called IWAS/ÁguaDF aims to provide scientific knowledge for the development of an Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) concept. The project is organized in multiple working groups wherein climate is considered as one of the main drivers. The water supply system of Distrito Federal (DF) is mainly dependent on three major complexes: river basins, waste water and drinking water. Anthropogenic climate change has the potential to affect these water complexes in a number of ways such as by losing storage capacity due to erosion and sedimentation, through altered persistency of dry events and due to increasing water demand. As a contribution to the IWAS/ÁguaDF project, this study focuses on the development of climate change projections for hydrological impact assessments at local/regional scale. The development of proper climate information is a challenging task. The level of complexity corresponds directly to the issues that concern impact modellers as well as technical aspects such as available observational data, human and computational resources. The identification of the needs for water-related issues gives the foundation for deriving proper climate projections. Before making projections, it is necessary to assess the current climate conditions, or baseline climate. Despite a better understanding of the regional aspects of the climate and the ongoing changes, the baseline climate provides the foundation for calibrating and validating climate models and downscaling methods. The General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the most preferred tools in simulating the response of the climate system to anthropogenic activities, like increasing greenhouse gases and aerosol emissions. However, the climate information required for regional impact studies, such as water resources management in DF, is of a spatial scale much finer than that provided by GCMs and therefore often demands a downscaling procedure. Hydrological models are usually sensitive to the temporal variability of precipitation at scales that are not well represented by GCMs. Statistical downscaling methods have the potential to bridge the mismatch between GCMs and impact models by adding local variability that is consistent with both the large-scale signal and local observations. The tool used (i.e., Statistical DownScaling Model - SDSM) is described as a hybrid of regression-based and stochastic weather generator. The systematic calibration adopted provides the appropriated predictors and model parameterization. The validation procedure takes into account the metrics relevant to the requirements of hydrological studies. Moreover, the downscaling approach considers several climate models (i.e., 18 GCMs) and emission scenarios (i.e., SRES A1B, A2, B1) in order to sample the widest sources of uncertainties available. In spite of the elevated level of uncertainties in the magnitude of change, most of the downscaled projections agree with positive changes in temperature and precipitation for the period of 2046-2065 when compared to the reference period (i.e., 1980-1999). Large ensembles are preferable but are often associated with massive amount of data which have limited application in hydrological impact studies. An alternative is to identify subsets of projections that are most likely and projections that have lower likelihood but higher impact. A set of representative climate projections is suggested for hydrological impact assessments. Although high resolution information is preferable, it relies on limited assumptions inherent to observations and coarse-resolution projections and, therefore, its use alone is not recommended. The combination of the baseline climate with large- and local-scale projections achieved in this study provides a wide envelope of climate information for assessing the sensitivity of hydrological systems in DF. A better understanding of the vulnerability of hydrological systems through the application of multiple sources of climate information and appropriate sampling of known uncertainties is perhaps the best way to contribute to the development of robust adaptation strategies. / Starkes Bevölkerungswachstum sowie Landnutzungs- und Klimawandel gefährden die Wasserversorgung der Metropolregion Brasília. Vor diesem Hintergrund soll das Projekt IWAS/ÁguaDF die wissenschaftlichen Grundlagen für ein Integriertes Wasserressourcen-Management (IWRM) im Distrito Federal (DF) erarbeiten. Das Projekt gliedert sich in drei klimasensitive Bereiche: Einzugsgebietsmanagement, Abwasseraufbereitung und Trinkwasserversorgung. Klimaänderungen können die Wasserversorgung im DF vielfältig beeinflussen, durch Veränderung der speicherbaren Wassermenge (Wasserdargebot, Speicherkapazität von Talsperren durch Sedimentation), der Dauer von Dürreperioden und des Wasserbedarfs (z.B. für Bewässerung). Klimaprojektionen für regionale hydrologische Impaktstudien stellen jedoch eine große Heraus-forderung dar. Ihre Komplexität richtet sich nach dem Bedarf des Impaktmodellierers und hängt zudem von technischen Voraussetzungen ab, wie der Verfügbarkeit von Beobachtungsdaten sowie von Personal- und Rechenressourcen. Die Ableitung geeigneter Maßnahmen für ein nachhaltiges Wasserressourcenmanagement im DF stellt hohe Ansprüche an die Qualität der zu entwickelnden Klimaprojektionen. Noch vor der Projektion müssen die gegenwärtigen klimatischen Bedingungen (Referenzklima) analysiert und bewertet werden. Die Analyse des Referenzklimas ermöglicht ein besseres Verständnis regionaler Unterschiede und aktueller Tendenzen und bildet die Grundlage für die Kalibrierung und Validierung von Klimamodellen und Downscaling-Methoden. Globale Klimamodelle (GCM) simulieren die Reaktion des Klimasystems auf anthropogene Treibhausgas- und Aerosolemissionen. Ihre räumliche Auflösung ist jedoch meist zu grob für regionale Klimaimpaktstudien. Zudem reagieren hydrologische Modelle meist sehr sensitiv auf zeitlich variable Niederschläge, welche in hoher zeitlicher Auflösung (Tagesschritte) ebenfalls nur unzureichend in GCM abgebildet werden. Statistische Downscaling-Verfahren können diese Inkohärenz zwischen GCM und Impaktmodellen reduzieren, indem sie das projizierte Klimasignal um lokale Variabilität (konsistent gegenüber den Beobachtungen) erweitern. Das in der vorliegenden Arbeit verwendete Tool, Statistical DownScaling Model - SDSM, vereint regressionsbasierte und stochastische Methoden der Wettergenerierung. Geeignete Prädiktoren und Modelparameter wurden durch systematische Kalibrierung bestimmt und anschließend validiert, wobei unter anderem auch hydrologisch relevante Gütekriterien verwendet wurden. Der gewählte Downscaling-Ansatz berücksichtigt zudem eine Vielzahl verschiedener Globalmodelle (18 GCM) und Emissionsszenarien (SRES A1B, A2 und B1) um die mit Klimaprojektionen verbundene hohe Unsicherheit möglichst breit abzudecken. Die Mehrheit der regionalen Projektionen weist auf eine Zunahme von Temperatur und Niederschlag hin (Zeitraum 2046 bis 2065 gegenüber Referenz-zeitraum, 1980 bis 1999), wenngleich die Stärke des Änderungssignals stark über das Ensemble variiert. Große Modellensemble sind zwar von Vorteil, sie sind jedoch auch mit einer erheblichen Datenmenge verbunden, welche für hydrologische Impaktstudien nur begrenzt nutzbar ist. Alternativ können einzelne „wahrscheinliche“ Projektionen verwendet werden sowie Projektionen, die weniger wahrscheinlich, aber mit einem starken Impakt verbunden sind. Ein solcher Satz repräsentativer Klimaprojektionen wurde für weitergehende Impaktstudien ausgewählt. Auch wenn in der Regel hochaufgelöste Klimaprojektionen angestrebt werden, ihr alleiniger Einsatz in Impaktstudien ist nicht zu empfehlen, aufgrund der vereinfachten Annahmen über die statistische Beziehung zwischen Beobachtungsdaten und den Modellergebnissen grob aufgelöster Globalmodelle. Der Vergleich des Referenzklimas mit großräumigen und lokalen Projektionen, wie er in dieser Arbeit durchgeführt wurde, liefert ein breites Spektrum an Klimainformationen zur Bewertung der Vulnerabilität hydrologischer Systeme im DF. Die Einbeziehung einer Vielzahl vorhandener Klimamodelle und die gezielte, den ermittelten Unsicherheitsbereich vollständig abdeckende Auswahl an Projektionen sollte die Entwicklung robuster Anpassungsstrategien bestmöglich unterstützen. / Diante do desafio de garantir o abastecimento de água potável da capital federal do Brasil, o projeto denominado IWAS/ÁguaDF tem como objetivo prover conhecimento científico para o desenvolvimento de um conceito de Gestão Integrada dos Recursos Hídricos (PGIRH). Afim de atingir esta proposta, o projeto é organizado em multiplos grupos de trabalho entre os quais o clima é considerado um dos principais fatores de influência. O sistema de abastecimento de água do Distrito Federal (DF) depende praticamente de três complexos: bacias hidrográficas, águas residuais e água potável. Mudanças climáticas causadas por ações antropogênicas apresentam um enorme potencial de impacto a estes complexos, por exemplo através de alterações no regime de chuvas, perda de volume dos reservatórios por assoriamento e aumento na demanda de água. Como contribuição ao projeto IWAS/ÁguaDF, este estudo tem como foco o desenvolvimento de projeções de mudanças climáticas para estudo de impacto nos recursos hídricos na escala local/regional. O nível de complexidade corresponde diretamente às questões levantadas pelos modeladores de impacto, bem como aspecto técnicos como a disponibilidade de dados observados e recursos humanos e computacionais. A identificação das necessidades de questões relacionadas à água no DF dão a base para derivar projeções climáticas adequadas. Antes de qualquer projeção futura, é indispensável avaliar as condições atuais do clima, também chamado de linha de base do clima. Além de fornecer a compreenção dos aspectos regionais do clima e mudaças em curso, a linha de base provê dados para a calibração e validação de modelos globais de clima e técnicas de regionalização (downscaling). Os Modelos de Circulação Geral (GCM) são as ferramentas mais adotadas na simulação da resposta do sistema climático às atividades antropogênicas, tais como aumento de emissões de gases do efeito estufa e aerosóis. No entanto, a informação necessária para estudos regionais de impacto, tais como gestão de recursos hídricos, é de escala espacial mais refinada do que a resolução espacial fornecida pelos GCMs e, dessa forma, técnicas de regionalização são frequentemente demandadas. Modelos hidrológicos são geralmente sensitivos à variabilidade temporal de precipitação em escalas não representadas pelos modelos globais. Métodos estatísticos de ‘downscaling’ apresentam um potencial para auxiliar no descompasso entre GCMs e modelos de impacto através da adição de variabilidade local consistente com o sinal de larga escala e as observações locais. A ferramenta utilizada (Statistical DownScaling Model - SDSM) é descrita como um híbrido entre regressão linear e gerador de tempo estocástico. A calibração sistemática adotada fornece apropriados preditores e uma parameterização consistente. O procedimento de validação do modelo leva em conta as métricas relevantes aos requerimentos dos estudos hidrológicos. Ainda, a abordagem aqui utilizada considera diversos modelos globais (isto é, 18 GCMs) e cenários de emissões (isto é, SRES A1B, A2 e B1) afim de contemplar as mais abrangentes fontes de incertezas disponíveis. Embora o elevado nível de incertezas na magnitude das mudançãs de clima, a grande maioria das projeções regionalizadas concordam com o aumento de temperatura e precipiatação para o período de 2046-2065 quando comparado com o período de referência (isto é, 1980-1999). Grandes conjuntos de projeções são preferíveis, mas são frequentement associados com uma quantidade exorbitante de dados os quais são de aplicação limiatada nos estudos de impacto. Uma alternativa é identificar sub-conjuntos de projeções que são as mais prováveis e projeções que são menos prováveis, porém apresentam maior impacto. Embora altas resoluções são preferíveis, estas baseiam-se em hipóteses inerentes às observações e projeções de larga escala e, dessa forma, não é recomendável o seu uso sozinho. A combinação do clima de base com projeções de resoluções baixas e altas fornece um amplo envelope de imformações climáticas para avaliar a sensitividade dos sistemas hidrológicos no DF. Um compreendimento mais apurado da vunerabilidade dos sistemas hidrológicos através da aplicação de multiplas fontes de informação e apropriada abordagem das incertezas conhecidas é talvez a melhor maneira para contribuir para o desenvolvimento de estratégias robustas de adaptação.

Le besoin d’agir face aux inondations n’a jamais été aussi pressant. Le Québec a connu dernièrement des épisodes exceptionnels qui rendent à l’évidence la vulnérabilité des communautés face aux inondations, notamment d’un point de vue des infrastructures. Il est temps de réaliser un virage vers des innovations de l’aménagement qui seront davantage inclusives de l’eau. Dans cet esprit, les infrastructures vertes et bleues pourraient offrir une solution complémentaire aux infrastructures plus traditionnelles, étant plus respectueuses de l’environnement ainsi que des personnes, caractérisées par une flexibilité qui vient compenser l’incertitude climatique présentement vécue. Ce mémoire de recherche vise à étudier et cadrer le concept d’infrastructures vertes et bleues afin de proposer un scénario adapté au contexte québécois. L’exercice a permis de proposer des interventions théoriques à deux échelles complémentaires, misant sur les réalisations des acteurs de l’eau ainsi que du laboratoire de recherche dans lequel ce mémoire prend place. / The need to act in the face of floods has never been more crucial. Quebec has recently experienced exceptional episodes that highlight the vulnerability of communities to flooding, particularly from an infrastructure point of view. It is time to shift towards planning innovations that will be more inclusive of water as a resource. In this spirit, green and blue infrastructures could offer a complementary solution to more traditional interventions, being more respectful of the environment as well as people and characterized by a flexibility that can potentially compensate for the climatic uncertainty currently experienced. This thesis aims to study and adapt de concept of green and blue infrastructure to the province of Quebec, by developing a project proposal. This exercise yielded the proposal of theoretical scenarios at two complementary scales, building off local and regional interventions as well as some of the work realized by the research group in which this project takes place.

The Water Resources Management Act 24 of 2004 will change the water regime in Namibia dramatically. Section 4 of the Water Resources Management Act provides for this change by excluding private ownership of water from the new water law dispensation. This study focused on section 4 of the Water Resources Management Act and the implication that this section will have on property rights in the Namibia. The dissertation firstly outlines the historical development of ownership of water in Namibia. It is indicated that private ownership of water was an established principle under Roman-Dutch law. A further examination of Roman-Dutch law reveals that surface water could be divided into private and public water. Public water belonged to the whole nation, while ownership of private rivers was vested in the land owner. Under South West Africa’s water legislation, the Irrigation and Water Conservation Act 8 of 1912 and the Water Act 54 of 1956 maintained the distinction between public and private water. However, the Water Act of 1956 expanded the definitions of both public and private water, and acknowledged that the land owner where the water found its source or flowed over, could exercise the exclusive use rights of such water. The Water Resources Management Act has been approved and published in the Government Gazette. However, it has not yet come into force as a date for commencement of the Act, as prescribed by section 138(1)(b), has not yet been determined by the Minister. Once the Act is in force, the Water Act will be repealed as a whole. Section 4 of the Water Resources Management Act will abolish the private ownership of water in Namibia. This is clearly in violation of article 16 of the Namibian Constitution of 1990, which provides for private ownership of water when read with article 100. Therefore, the research concludes that the Water Resources Management Act will dramatically affect property rights in Namibia. Under the Water Resources Management Act there will be no private ownership of water, and the affected person will have no recourse under the Act to claim compensation. / LLM (Environmental Law and Governance), North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2014

The Water Resources Management Act 24 of 2004 will change the water regime in Namibia dramatically. Section 4 of the Water Resources Management Act provides for this change by excluding private ownership of water from the new water law dispensation. This study focused on section 4 of the Water Resources Management Act and the implication that this section will have on property rights in the Namibia. The dissertation firstly outlines the historical development of ownership of water in Namibia. It is indicated that private ownership of water was an established principle under Roman-Dutch law. A further examination of Roman-Dutch law reveals that surface water could be divided into private and public water. Public water belonged to the whole nation, while ownership of private rivers was vested in the land owner. Under South West Africa’s water legislation, the Irrigation and Water Conservation Act 8 of 1912 and the Water Act 54 of 1956 maintained the distinction between public and private water. However, the Water Act of 1956 expanded the definitions of both public and private water, and acknowledged that the land owner where the water found its source or flowed over, could exercise the exclusive use rights of such water. The Water Resources Management Act has been approved and published in the Government Gazette. However, it has not yet come into force as a date for commencement of the Act, as prescribed by section 138(1)(b), has not yet been determined by the Minister. Once the Act is in force, the Water Act will be repealed as a whole. Section 4 of the Water Resources Management Act will abolish the private ownership of water in Namibia. This is clearly in violation of article 16 of the Namibian Constitution of 1990, which provides for private ownership of water when read with article 100. Therefore, the research concludes that the Water Resources Management Act will dramatically affect property rights in Namibia. Under the Water Resources Management Act there will be no private ownership of water, and the affected person will have no recourse under the Act to claim compensation. / LLM (Environmental Law and Governance), North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2014

O impacto de um lançamento de efluente na qualidade da água do corpo hídrico depende de características do lançamento e do corpo hídrico, a exemplo de suas condições hidrodinâmicas. O conhecimento das relações entre os fatores envolvidos permite avaliar os riscos envolvidos, alterar a forma de lançamento de efluentes de modo a reduzir seu impacto e reduzir os custos com as formas de controle da poluição, entre outras ações. Nesse contexto, o objetivo deste trabalho é compreender as relações entre os fatores dominantes das condições hidrodinâmicas e a dispersão de poluentes na região nordeste da Laguna dos Patos, buscando identificar formas de utilizar a modelagem hidrodinâmica para melhorar a gestão do corpo hídrico e de lançamento de efluentes. A área de estudo consiste na região nordeste da Laguna dos Patos, no Rio Grande do Sul, onde o vento e a vazão afluente são os fatores determinantes de circulação de água. O modelo utilizado (IPH-A) apresentou boa representação da variação de nível, exceto pelo posto mais próximo da região estuarina, e da circulação de água. O coeficiente de dispersão foi definido a partir da comparação visual da simulação da dispersão dos sedimentos em suspensão afluentes ao Lago Guaíba e a pluma do Guaíba observada em imagens de satélite. Cenários de vento e vazão foram determinados a partir da análise da série histórica de dados de vento na estação de Rio Grande e da vazão afluente ao Lago Guaíba.Os resultados dos ventos sudoeste e nordeste foram semelhantes ao verificado na literatura com uso de modelo bidimensional para o corpo lagunar. Na região nordeste, uma célula de circulação entre o Banco das Desertas e o Banco dos Abreus é observada no sentido horário (anti-horário) para os cenários com vento sudoeste (nordeste). O vento sudeste provoca o aumento do nível na margem oeste e redução na margem leste É observada uma maior renovação de água na região ao norte do Banco das Desertas e menor troca de água com a Lagoa do Casamento do que nos cenários anteriores. Nos cenários de vento nulo, as velocidades da água na região nordeste da laguna são bastante baixas. A vazão necessária para manutenção do nível na laguna dependeu do vento predominante. Os diferentes cenários de vento produziram diferentes plumas de dispersão do lançamento de efluente simulado, seguindo os padrões da circulação de água no local. As maiores concentrações foram observadas no local de lançamento do efluente para o cenário de vento nulo e a maior área de influência foi observada para os cenários de vento nordeste (maior velocidade de vento simulada). Para os cinco dias de simulação, foi observada pouca influência da vazão afluente no nível e na circulação de água do corpo lagunar e, consequentemente, na dispersão de poluentes. Os resultados evidenciam a necessidade de as concentrações de lançamento permitidas serem estabelecidas com base em estudo da dispersão física do efluente no corpo hídrico receptor, conforme determinado pela legislação nacional para corpos d’água onde não se aplica a vazão de referência. A consideração de uma zona de mistura onde as concentrações dos parâmetros podem estar em desacorpo com o enquadramento do corpo hídrico é debatida nas discussões. As simulações permitiram ainda identificar locais prioritários para monitoramento dos efeitos do efluente lançado na qualidade da água, cenários críticos para conflitos de uso da água considerando outros usos na região e verificar possíveis consequências do encurtamento ou alongamento do emissário. / The aim of this study is to understand the relationship between hydrodynamic and the pollutants dispersion in the northeast region of the Patos Lagoon, looking for identify ways of using hydrodynamic modeling to improve water resources and effluent discharge management. The study area is the northeastern region of Patos Lagoon, a chocked lagoon in the brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul, where winds and freshwater runoff drive water circulation. The model IPH-A performed well, except for the estuarine region. The dispersion coefficient was defined from the visual comparison between the dispersion of suspended sediments on Guaíba Lake simulated and observed in satellite images. The wind and freshwater runoff scenarios were determined by analyzing the historical wind data series at the Rio Grande station and the freshwater discharge of the main tributaries of Guaíba Lake. The results for the scenarios of the southwest and northeast winds were similar to those observed in the literature using a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model. In the northeast region, a circulation cell between the Banco das Desertas and Banco dos Abreus is observed clockwise (counter-clockwise) for the southwest (northeast) wind scenarios. The southeast wind increases water level in the west margin and reduces in the east margin. It is observed a more intense water exchange in the region to the north of the Banco das Desertas and less water exchange with the Casamento Lagoon than in the previous scenarios In null wind speed scenarios, the water velocities in the northeast region of the lagoon are quite low. The water inflow necessary to maintain the water level in the lagoon depends on the wind condition. Different wind scenarios produced different effluent plumes, following the local water circulation patterns. The highest concentrations were observed at the effluent discharge site for the scenario with null wind speed and the largest area of influence was observed for the northeast wind scenario (highest simulated wind speed). Due to the only 5-days period of simulation, little influence was observed of the freshwater runoff on the water level and on the lagoon circulation, and, consequently, on the dispersion of pollutants. This evidences the need for the maximum permitted concentrations of pollutants to be established based on a study of the physical dispersion of the effluent in the receiving water body, as determined by national legislation for water bodies where the reference flow does not apply. The simulations also allowed to identify priority sites for monitoring the effects of effluent discharge on water quality, critical scenarios for water use conflicts considering other uses, and to verify possible consequences of changes in emissary length.