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A model for the economic analysis of road projects in an urban network with interrelated incremental traffic assignment methodLloyd, Evan Robert January 2005 (has links)
[Truncated abstract] In an urban network, any change to the capacity of a road or an intersection will generally result in some traffic changing its route. In addition the presence of intersections creates the need for frequent stops. These stops increase the fuel consumption by anywhere between thirty to fifty percent as evidenced by published standardised vehicle fuel consumption figures for urban and for country driving. Other components of vehicle operating costs such as tyre and brake wear and time costs will also be increased by varying amounts. Yet almost all methods in use for economic evaluation of urban road projects use open road vehicle operating costs (sometimes factored to represent an average allowance for stopping at intersections) for one year or sometimes two years in the analysis period and then make assumptions about how the year by year road user benefits may change throughout the period in order to complete the analysis. This thesis will describe a system for estimating road user costs in an urban network that calculates intersection effects separately and then adds these effects to the travel costs of moving between intersections. Daily traffic estimates are used with a distribution of the flow rate throughout the twenty-four hours giving variable speed of travel according to the level of congestion at different times of the day. For each link, estimates of traffic flow at two points in time are used to estimate the year-by-year traffic flow throughout the analysis period by linear interpolation or extrapolation. The annual road user costs are then calculated from these estimates. Annual road user benefits are obtained by subtracting the annual road user costs for a modified network from the annual road user costs for an unmodified network. The change in the road network maintenance costs are estimated by applying an annual per lane maintenance cost to the change in lane-kilometres of road in the two networks. The Benefit Cost Ratio is calculated for three discount rates. An estimate of the likely range of error in the Benefit Cost Ratio is also calculated
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Developerský projekt na rozparcelování pozemků pro rodinné domy v Prostějově / A Development Project for Division of Land Intended for Houses in ProstějovNáhlík, Martin January 2017 (has links)
This master´s thesis focuses on the design and realization of a property development project. This work describes the steps from the preliminary plan to the sale of an individual construction plot for construction. The primary objective of this master´s thesis is the evaluation of project efficiency.
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Aplicación de la metodología del LCCA para la elección de sustitución de la superestructura del Puente Fortaleza / Application of the LCCA methodology for the replacement of the superstructure of the Fortaleza BridgeHinostroza Huanay, Luis Reynaldo, Berrospi Vicente, Rocio Belen 24 July 2020 (has links)
Actualmente, la elección de proyectos de puentes considera solo el costo de construcción inicial, no considera los costos ocurridos a lo largo del ciclo de vida, como el costo de mantenimiento, y no consideran la afectación que genera la construcción y el mantenimiento del puente en el usuario.
El puente Fortaleza, se encuentra intransitable desde el año 2017, por consecuencia del niño costero ocurrido en dicho año, que provocó que la cimentación del estribo derecho fallé por la erosión de la sección del río.
Por lo que la presente tesis tiene como fin desarrollar la metodología de evaluación de proyectos de puentes LCCA (Life cycle cost analysis). El LCCA es una metodología de evaluación económica de proyectos de puentes, que combina sólidos conocimientos técnicos de transporte con un sólido conocimiento de análisis económico, que incluye en su análisis todos los costos relevantes que ocurren durante el ciclo de vida de un proyecto de puente. Los tres costos considerados son: costo de construcción, costo de mantenimiento y costo de usuario.
Se cuantificó los costos y tiempos de construcción y mantenimiento de cada alternativa de sustitución. Y se cuantificó la afectación al usuario producto de los trabajos de construcción y mantenimiento sobre la vía del puente, lo que obligó a considerar un desvío de vehículos.
Finalmente, se analizaron los datos obtenidos, para escoger la alternativa de sustitución de la superestructura, se realizó la verificación de la infraestructura existente y se desarrolló el diseño de la superestructura escogida. / Nowadays, the choice of bridge projects considers only the initial construction cost, does not consider the costs incurred throughout the life cycle, such as the cost of maintenance, and does not consider the impact generated in the user by the construction and maintenance of the bridge.
The Fortaleza bridge has been closed since 2017, as a consequence of “Niño costero” phenomenon that occurred in that year, which caused the foundation of the right stirrup to fail due to the erosion of the river section.
Therefore, this thesis aims to develop the methodology for evaluating LCCA (Life cycle cost analysis) bridge projects. The LCCA is a methodology for the economic evaluation of bridge projects, which combines solid transport technical knowledge with a solid knowledge of economic analysis, which includes in its analysis all the relevant costs that occur during the life cycle of a bridge project. The three costs considered are: construction cost, maintenance cost and user cost.
The construction and maintenance costs and times of each replacement alternative were quantified. And the affectation to the user was quantified product of the construction and maintenance works on the bridge road, which forced to consider a desviation of vehicles.
Finally, the data obtained were analyzed, to choose the replace alternative of the superstructure of the Fortaleza bridge, the existing infrastructure was verified and the design of the chosen superstructure was developed. / Tesis
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Primary Care and Behavioral Health Services in a Federally Qualified Health CenterArsov, Svetoslav A. 01 January 2019 (has links)
Between 2013 and 2016, 8.1% of U.S. adults 20 years and older suffered from depression, but only 29% of them sought help. This project addressed the low depression screening rate in a Federally Qualified Health Center (FQHC) that supported integrated care. The purpose of the project was to evaluate the integration of behavioral health into primary care in an FQHC through the rate of depression screenings. Two theoretical frameworks, the find-organize-clarify-understand-select/plan-do-study-act model and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's framework for program evaluation in public health were combined into a list of questions and data validity tests that were used to conduct the evaluation. This quality improvement (QI) project evaluated an existing QI initiative. Findings revealed that 75% of the patients seen, and not the initially reported 53%, received depression screenings, which indicated an improved outcome. Other findings were inadequate use of theoretical frameworks, poor data quality, and suboptimal effectiveness of QI team processes. The strategies and tools recommended in this project could be used by organizational leaders and QI teams to evaluate and improve QI initiatives. The project's contribution to awareness about depression through integrated care could increase patients' access to care, quality of life, and life expectancy, and positively impact social change.
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[pt] INDICADORES E MÉTRICAS: FERRAMENTAS PARA AVALIAÇÃO DE RESULTADOS DE PED VISANDO A INOVAÇÃO NO SETOR ELÉTRICO / [en] INDICATORS AND METRICS: TOOLS FOR ASSESSMENT OF RESULTS OF RANDD TOWARDS INNOVATION IN THE ELECTRICITY SECTORJOSE TENORIO BARRETO JUNIOR 08 February 2018 (has links)
[pt] O objetivo desta pesquisa de mestrado relaciona-se à proposição de indicadores para orientar a construção de métricas de monitoramento da atividade de PeD visando a agregação de valor aos seus resultados e a sua transposição à inovação. Na qualidade de Gerente do Programa de PeD da Light frente à Aneel, a motivação para desenvolvimento do trabalho reflete o interesse do autor em contribuir para que as empresas brasileiras do setor elétrico percebam o PeD como uma efetiva oportunidade de negócio e de promoção da inovação. O trabalho desenvolveu-se no contexto de um ambiente regulatório e empresarial específicos. A busca da sustentabilidade corporativa e de inovações tornam-se factíveis com a Lei 9991, que impõe às concessionárias distribuidoras de energia elétrica a aplicação de um percentual da sua receita operacional líquida no desenvolvimento de projetos de PeD. Assim, exigências impostas por diferentes segmentos (investidores, financiadores, reguladores, consumidores e governo) estimulam a melhoria da qualidade, a redução de custos e a promoção da inovação. Três são as vertentes que nortearam a metodologia de desenvolvimento do trabalho. Quanto aos fins, a pesquisa faz uso da metrologia como ferramenta para a construção de indicadores de avaliação da apropriação de resultados que permitirá a proposição de métricas. Quanto aos meios de investigação, elabora uma pesquisa bibliográfica em temas relacionados à gestão do PeD e da inovação, como base para encaminhamento do estudo de casos de sucesso e fracasso de experiências das concessionárias. De caráter qualitativo, a pesquisa desenvolve um diagnóstico da carteira de projetos de PeD da Light entrevistando gerentes e gestores de PeD das concessionárias associadas à ABRADEE. O trabalho avalia resultados e disponibiliza ferramentas para a avaliação da apropriação de resultados e monitoramento dos projetos de PeD. Como conclusão sugere um método de análise de projetos que incorpora as lições aprendidas e propõe indicadores como ferramenta gerencial do novo marco do programa de PeD da Aneel, orientado para a inovação. / [en] The main objective of this work is to a propose indicators for supporting the construction of monitoring metrics of RandD activities, with the aim of adding value to their results and of transforming them into innovation. As manager of Light s RandD Program with Aneel (Brazil s electricity regulatory agency) program, the author found the motivation to make a contribution towards assisting Brazilian firms in the electricity distribution sector to perceive RandD as effective business and innovation fostering opportunity. The research was undertaken in the context of particular regulatory and business environments. The pursuit of corporate sustainability and innovations became feasible with the decree law 9,991, requiring electricity distribution concessionaries the expenditure of a percentage of their net operational revenue in the development of RandD projects. Thus, multiple requirements from diverse segments (investors, finance, regulators, consumers and government) promote quality improvement, cost reduction and innovation pursuit. Three vectors guide the work methodology. In regard to the goals, the research, it makes use of metrology as a tool for the definition of results appropriation assessment indicators which will allow the proposition of corresponding metrics. In regard to the research means, it performs a literarure survey on themes related to the management of RandD and innovation, as a basis for the identification of indicators and selection of metrics for the study of cases of success and failure in the concessionaires experiences. Next, in view of the qualitative nature of the research, makes a summary diagnostic of Light s project portfolio, through a series of interviews with researchers and project managers of concessionary firms associated with ABRADEE, the electricity distribution segment trade association. Further, the work assesses results and delineates tools for the monitoring and evaluation of the appropriation of RandD projects results. In its conclusion, the dissertation proposes the contours of a methodology for project assessment which incorporates lessons learned and indicators management tools for the new, innovation-oriented, Aneel RandD program.
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Projektutvärdering inom offentlig sektor : En explorativ fallstudie om hur antaganden påverkar ett digitaliseringsprojekts nyttorealisering inom en svensk kommun.Andersson, Fredrik January 2022 (has links)
Digital transformation has the potential to fundamentally change society. Digitalisation, through new technological solutions and advances, is expected to play a central role in ensuring future prosperity. Although the role of digitisation in society has been recognised, the public sector in Sweden is experiencing problems in realising the identified benefits, with the result that a large proportion of the projects being implemented exceed the set framework, constraints, and resources. The aim of this work has been to evaluate a digitisation project in the public sector through a qualitative case study and a goal-oriented framework. The case study has investigated which assumptions emerge in a digitisation project and how the realisation of benefits is affected by these. The evaluation carried out has shown that two different types of assumptions have occurred in the project, these have been formal and informal assumptions. The study has shown that assumptions create legitimacy and conditions for realisation within a digitisation project, while at the same time they create tensions within the project. The tensions show both enabling and constraining dimensions that have affected the project's implementation and benefit realisation positively and negatively. This study has identified a need to extend the work on assumptions in the LFA and has therefore proposed a model that illustrates the relationship of the two types to each other and to the project and its benefit realisation. The evaluation of the digitisation project has shown that the project team prioritised ensuring relevance and sustainability over feasibility, which created tensions in project implementation that negatively affected the realisation of benefits within the project. This study has shown that assumptions are often a "necessary evil" in relation to a project's impact capture, but are facilitated by good structure and clear leadership. / Digital transformation har potential att förändra samhället i grunden. Digitalisering genom nya tekniska lösningar och framsteg, spås besitta en central roll när framtidens välfärd ska säkras. Trots att digitaliseringens roll i samhället är konstaterad, upplever offentlig sektor i Sverige problem med att realisera de identifierade nyttorna. Detta har medfört att en stor del av projekten som genomförs, överskrider uppsatta ramar, begränsningar och resurser. Syftet med detta arbete har varit att genom en kvalitativ fallstudie, via intervjuer, dokumentinsamling samt ett mål-orienterat ramverk, utvärdera ett digitaliseringsprojekt inom offentlig sektor. Fallstudien har utrett vilka antaganden som framträder i ett digitaliseringsprojekt och hur nyttorealiseringen påverkats av dessa. Utvärderingen som utförts har visat att två olika typer av antaganden förekommit inom projektet, dessa har varit formella- och informella antaganden. Studien har visat att antaganden skapar legitimering av- samt förutsättningar för realisering inom ett digitaliseringsprojekt, samtidigt som de skapar spänningar inom projektet. Spänningarna visar på både möjliggörande och begränsande dimensioner vilka påverkat projektets genomförande och nyttorealisering positivt samt negativt. Denna undersökning har identifierat ett behov, att i LFA utöka arbetet med antaganden och har därför föreslagit en modell vilken illustrerar de två typernas relation till varandra samt till projektet och dess nyttorealisering. Utvärderingen av digitaliseringsprojektet har visat att projektgruppen prioriterat säkring av relevans och varaktighet framför genomförbarhet, vilket skapat spänningar i projektgenomförandet som påverkat nyttorealiseringen inom projektet negativt. Denna studie har visat att antaganden ofta kan ses som ett ”nödvändigt ont” i relation till ett projekts effekthemtagning/nyttorealisering, men som underlättas av bra struktur och tydligt ledarskap.
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An assessment of the trees of the Greening Soweto Tree Planting Project in Johannesburg, South AfricaVan Staden, Elizabeth Margaret 11 1900 (has links)
The Greening Soweto Tree Planting project in the City of Johannesburg, South Africa, was a
greening initiative aimed at ensuring that benefits of the 2010 FIFA World Cup, presented that
year in the country, extended beyond the event. In assessing the trees of this project, it was
confirmed that the target number of trees consisting mainly of indigenous tree species were
planted predominantly as street and park trees in previously disadvantaged areas, traditionally
known to have the least trees in the city. The survival rate of the project is estimated to be
43.46%, implying inadequacies in tree planting and management of the project and
necessitating guidelines with recommendations to improve tree planting practices in the city.
Growth relationship equations for Olea europaea subsp. africana and Searsia lancea were
developed and the growth parameter analysis reveals that all trees grow better in parks but C.
africana trees should rather be planted on sidewalks than on medians, S. lancea trees should
preferably be planted on medians and C. erythrophyllum may be planted on sidewalks or
medians as they would grow well in both locations. It is estimated that this project contributed 30 390.11 tCO2 of standing carbon stocks valued at R3 646 812,87 or US$303,901.07
(assuming a CO2 price of US$10.00) in 2017 and could potentially contribute 387 170.93 tCO2
of sequestered carbon stocks valued at R46 460 511,82 or US$3,871,709.32 by 2031 as
mitigation action against climate change. A positive connection impacting the growth of the
trees has been identified between land use, land cover and maintenance, indicating that the
best locations for trees are maintained parks and formal residential areas as well as paved
areas where irrigation is provided. The presence of pests and diseases, conflict with overhead
structures and roads and a lack of pruning negatively impacted the growth of the trees.
Guidelines for new tree planting projects have been developed with recommendations to
maintain the canopy cover percentage in the established urban forest, enhance tree planting
in the previously disadvantaged regions, improve the survival rate of new tree planting projects
and establish community engagement forums to inform future tree planting of the city. / Environmental Sciences / Ph. D. (Environmental Management)
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[en] A FRAMEWORK TO SUPPORT BIDDING STRATEGIES IN OIL AND GAS E&P AUCTIONS BASED ON RISK AVERSION METRICS / [pt] UM FRAMEWORK PARA SUPORTE À ESTRATÉGIAS DE OFERTA EM LEILÃO DE E&P DE PETRÓLEO E GÁS BASEADO EM MÉTRICAS DE AVERSÃO À RISCOFERNANDA SILVA NUCCI 11 January 2023 (has links)
[pt] Em muitos países, uma área de Exploração e Produção de petróleo é adquirida através de um leilão. Embora o processo de liquidação do leilão seja tipicamente simples, sob a ótica do tomador de decisão a identificação da melhor oferta é complexa. Para sua valoração, deve ser pré-definido o modelo de
desenvolvimento com diversas alternativas associadas, alto grau de incertezas técnicas, de mercado e operacionais, e submetido a uma determinada condição fiscal. A decisão por uma determinada alternativa gera impactos e investimentos elevados para a empresa. O trabalho proposto visa a construção de um
framework para dar suporte ao processo de escolha da melhor oferta que maximize uma medida de valor para a empresa, auxiliando o tomador de decisão e considerando as incertezas envolvidas no processo. Foram utilizados os indicadores de performance apresentados na literatura: Valor Presente Líquido
(VPL), Conditional Value-at-Risk, Omega e Exposição Financeira. Afim de melhor quantificar risco/benefício financeiro no processo de tomada de decisão foram construídas medidas de risco: Mean-Weighted CVaR, Mean-Weighted Double-Sided CVaR, Beta e Negative-Positive cashflow ratio. Para ilustrar a aplicabilidade do framework proposto, um experimento numérico baseado em um caso hipotético é apresentado. Em decorrência deste experimento, foi identificado que alterações na configuração da produção alteram significativamente os resultados dos indicadores. Além disso, a partir de uma ponderação entre
probabilidade de ganho e o resultado do indicador Mean-Weighted CVaR, foi identificada a melhor oferta para a área, dada a condição fiscal do leilão. / [en] In many countries, an oil and gas area of Exploration and Production
is acquired through an auction. Although the auction settlement process is
typically simple, from the decision maker s point of view, identifying the best
offer is complex. For its valuation, the development model must be pre-defined
with several associated alternatives, a high degree of technical, market and
operational uncertainties, and submitted to a fiscal term. The decision for a
particular alternative generates high impacts and investments for the company.
The proposed work aims to build a framework to support the process of
choosing the best offer that maximizes a measure of value for the company,
helping the decision maker and considering the uncertainties involved in the
process. The performance indicators presented in the literature were used:
Net Present Value (NPV), Conditional Value-at-Risk, Omega and Financial
Exposure. In order to better quantify financial risk/benefit in the decisionmaking
process, risk measures were constructed: Mean-Weighted CVaR, Mean-
Weighted Double-Sided CVaR, Beta and Negative-Positive cashflow ratio. To
illustrate the applicability of the proposed framework, a numerical experiment
based on a hypothetical case is presented. As a result of this experiment, it was
identified that changes in the configuration of production significantly alter the
results of the indicators. In addition, from a weighting between the probability
of gain and the result of the Mean-Weighted CVaR measure, the best offer for
the area was identified, given the fiscal term of the bid.
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Implementing Strategy through PPM in an Internal Development DepartmentMillard, Simon January 2023 (has links)
The focus of strategy research has long revolved around strategy formulation rather thanstrategy implementation, despite the evidence indicating that intended strategies are rarelyachieved. Project portfolio management, PPM, assumes a crucial role in enabling strategyimplementation and can be regarded as a representation of the organization's actual pursuedstrategy. Existing research on PPM has predominantly centered around portfolios in the contextof new product development, NPD, and research and development, R&D. However, there hasbeen relatively less exploration of PPM within internal development departments, warrantingfurther investigation. To contribute to the understanding on strategy implementation throughPPM and its conditional factors, this qualitative case study expands the existing research bystudying the PPM process within an internal development department. The study wasconducted at the Business Improvement department, which oversees improvement projects forthe service branch of EnergyComp, a company specializing in the development of complexenergy solutions. Using an abductive research approach, a literature review was conducted inparallel with data collection and analysis. The empirical data was mainly collected throughsemi-structured interviews at the company, but also through meetings and companydocumentation. The results of the study show that PPM actions connected to projects, portfolio and resourceallocation are undertaken to effectively implement the organization's strategy within theinternal development department. Common to all areas is the importance of accurate andavailable information that effects the decisions connected to strategy implementation. On aproject level, Insufficient information poses challenges in accurately assessing project success,resulting in measurements that fail to cover all strategic objectives. In the context of theportfolio, the absence of project information and uncertainties can lead to a misalignmentbetween the actual prioritization criteria employed in the selection process and the strategicobjectives of the organization. Additionally, it may contribute to a less detailed and formalstrategic plan. Furthermore, the cost associated with adjusting the portfolio is directly linked tothe effort and expenses involved in obtaining project information. Regarding resources,insufficient information on supply and demand creates challenges in considering projectdependencies and synergies during the evaluation of project groups. Moreover, limitedtransparency across functional boundaries within the organization leads to a system wheredecision rules cannot be established at the portfolio level. Instead, it encourages bottom-uppriority decisions. Furthermore, a biased assessment by stakeholders in the functionaldepartments may result in an inadequate screening process, leading to an increased workloadin the portfolio structuring process. Finally, the large variation in project types, coupled withdiverse impact targets spanning individual and multiple functions, makes it difficult to createrelevant project categories for budgeting and portfolio structuring.
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