<p>Takeover is a business activity which really started in the beginning of the eighties and which still takes a strong part in the business and financial area all over the world. According to our studies as the desire for further acknowledgements and the desire of building a career around financial activities, this study has been naturally conducted in the banking area.</p><p>Regarding the steady use of acquisition like a powerful process with some positive and negative sides, we decided to implement a comparison of different mergers and acquisitions in the banking industry in the United States and Europe. This comparison has been supported and based on the third main topic of our study: performance.</p><p>These large and complex subjects combined together lead to the following hypotheses:</p><p>Hypothesis 1: Performance is not improved after takeover in the banking industry.</p><p>Hypothesis 2: The level of post takeover performance is the same in the U.S. as in the European bank acquisitions.</p><p>Based on the historical data and knowledge, the United States was the pioneer in the development of such gathers in the banking sector. Considering the United States as a reference, a first purpose was to compare them with the bank mergers and acquisitions in Europe. Stating on some possible differences as increasing our own knowledge have been some others purposes which have supported our work.</p><p>A first large part of our work was focused, through a large literature review, on the enhancement of our knowledge as the statements of the basis and support for the analysis.</p><p>To illustrate and to try to answer our research question, we have conducted our study based on a sample of 20 acquisitions which were achieved in the banking industry between March 1998 and May 2004. 10 of these acquisitions had been achieved in the United States as the 10 remaining acquisitions had been executed in Europe.</p><p>The analysis has been achieved by collecting data in Thomson Datastream Advance.</p><p>Based on a quantitative method, we applied two financial models: The Market Model (MM) and the Market-Adjusted Returns Model (MAR) supported by the Cumulative Abnormal Returns Method (CARs).</p><p>The post-takeover study has been delimited on a period of 42 months after the public announcement.</p><p>The study and the comparison between the United States and Europe have shown some differences between the two areas. Nevertheless it seems that negative abnormal returns are usually the case after such takeovers on the whole period studied. Some positive abnormal returns have been recorded at different points in the time into the studying period.</p><p>According to the models we applied, the US banks results seem to be better than the ones of European banks: the differences range from 5,58 to 16,65 points under the MM, and from 1,66 to 18,08 points under the MAR model.</p>

<p>Marknadens reaktion när ett företag informerar och annonserar om en eventuell nyemission sägs vara oförutsägbar. Enligt tidigare forskning pressas aktiekursen i de flesta fallen nedåt vid en nyemission. Under det senaste året har en del nyemissioner utförts i synnerhet på grund av den globala lågkonjunkturen då många företag haft för lite kapitalbas. Vad gäller företag på Stockholmsbörsen som valt att nyemittera aktier har även här de flesta fått se sin aktiekurs rasa.<strong><em></em></strong></p><p>Författarna till denna uppsats avser att studera hur marknaden reagerar på ett offentligt tillkännagivande av en kommande nyemission. Det undersöks även om det förefaller någon skillnad mellan tillkännagivanden av nyemissioner genomförda innan eller under lågkonjunkturen och skillnader branscher emellan.<strong><em></em></strong></p><p>Då vi ville se hur denna händelse påverkar ett företags aktiekurser valde vi att göra en eventstudie. En eventstudie ger oss möjligheten att mäta effekten av en specifik händelse. Datainsamlingen har endast bestått av sekundärdata som vetenskapliga artiklar, litteratur, tidigare forskning samt elektroniska databaser så som Avanza och OMX. Vi valde att ta med alla de företag som under tidsperioden 2005-01-01 till 2009-04-01 annonserat om en nyemission och som i dagsläget fortfarande är noterade på OMX, Stockholmsbörsen.<strong><em></em></strong></p><p>I studien ingick 21 tillkännagivanden varav hela 13 stycken, ca 62 % av dem, resulterade i en negativ kursreaktion och avkastning. Fyra av åtta tillkännagivanden om nyemission som offentliggjordes innan lågkonjunkturen uppvisade en nedåtgående kursreaktion på annonseringsdagen och därmed en negativ abnormal avkastning. Denna trend fortsätter att hålla i sig då även nio av 13 tillkännagivanden under lågkonjunkturen, visade på en negativ abnormal avkastning.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p> / <p>The market reaction when a company provides information about a possible equity issue is said to be unpredictable. According to previous research the stock price, in most cases, is pushed downward in case of an equity issue. Over the past year some equity issues has been implemented particular because of the global recession. This because many companies experience too small funds. As for companies on the Stockholm Stock Exchange that have chosen to do an equity issue most of them had also experienced a decline in the stock price.<strong><em></em></strong></p><p>The authors of this essay intend to study how the market reacts to a public announcement of an upcoming equity issue. They would also like to know if there is any differences between the announcements of an equity issue that's been done before or during the recession and if there is any differences between industries.<strong><em></em></strong></p><p>Thus we wanted to see how equity issues affect a company's stock price, we have chosen to do an event study. An event study enables us to measure the effect of a specific event. The data that we been using has only consisted of secondary data as scientific articles, literature, previous research and electronic databases such as Avanza and OMX. For our study we have chosen to include all of the companies that during the period 2005-01-01 to 2009-04-01 announced about an upcoming equity issue and are still listed at the OMX, on the Stockholm Stock Exchange.<strong><em></em></strong></p><p>The study included 21 public notices of which entirely 13 of them, about 62 %, resulted in a negative rate reaction and return. Four of the eight notices about an equity issue, which was announced before the recession, resulted in a declining rate reaction on the day of the announcement and also had a negative abnormal return. This trend continues thus nine of 13 notices, which announced an equity issue during the recession, also showed a negative abnormal return.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p>

Takeover is a business activity which really started in the beginning of the eighties and which still takes a strong part in the business and financial area all over the world. According to our studies as the desire for further acknowledgements and the desire of building a career around financial activities, this study has been naturally conducted in the banking area. Regarding the steady use of acquisition like a powerful process with some positive and negative sides, we decided to implement a comparison of different mergers and acquisitions in the banking industry in the United States and Europe. This comparison has been supported and based on the third main topic of our study: performance. These large and complex subjects combined together lead to the following hypotheses: Hypothesis 1: Performance is not improved after takeover in the banking industry. Hypothesis 2: The level of post takeover performance is the same in the U.S. as in the European bank acquisitions. Based on the historical data and knowledge, the United States was the pioneer in the development of such gathers in the banking sector. Considering the United States as a reference, a first purpose was to compare them with the bank mergers and acquisitions in Europe. Stating on some possible differences as increasing our own knowledge have been some others purposes which have supported our work. A first large part of our work was focused, through a large literature review, on the enhancement of our knowledge as the statements of the basis and support for the analysis. To illustrate and to try to answer our research question, we have conducted our study based on a sample of 20 acquisitions which were achieved in the banking industry between March 1998 and May 2004. 10 of these acquisitions had been achieved in the United States as the 10 remaining acquisitions had been executed in Europe. The analysis has been achieved by collecting data in Thomson Datastream Advance. Based on a quantitative method, we applied two financial models: The Market Model (MM) and the Market-Adjusted Returns Model (MAR) supported by the Cumulative Abnormal Returns Method (CARs). The post-takeover study has been delimited on a period of 42 months after the public announcement. The study and the comparison between the United States and Europe have shown some differences between the two areas. Nevertheless it seems that negative abnormal returns are usually the case after such takeovers on the whole period studied. Some positive abnormal returns have been recorded at different points in the time into the studying period. According to the models we applied, the US banks results seem to be better than the ones of European banks: the differences range from 5,58 to 16,65 points under the MM, and from 1,66 to 18,08 points under the MAR model.

本研究以適用於民國九十九年九月修法前之「公開發行公司辦理私募有價證券應注意事項」辦理私募增資之上市櫃公司，並有內部人參與之私募案為研究對象，研究期間為民國九十四年十月十一日至九十九年八月三十一日，以探討私募應募人行為對經營績效與異常報酬之影響。 實證結果發現，當辦理私募公司前一年度為稅後淨損，並有內部人參與之私募案，若內部應募人於私募前後三個月內有老股出售之情事者，其私募後之會計經營績效較私募前差，但私募後之公司價值卻較佳。再將這類公司與其他私募案相比，其會計經營績效較差，公司價值仍較佳，皆顯示這類公司會計經營績效與公司股價於私募後未呈同向變化。另外，以事件研究法測試有內部人參與之私募案，發現其在董事會決議日前後確實有異常報酬，顯示私募訊息在董事會決議日前已走漏，陸續反映於股價。 / Based on firms’ net profit/loss before private placement and inside investors stock selling, this study classifies private placements with inside investors into four types to examine the effect of insiders’ activities and the operating condition on firm performance after private placement and the abnormal returns around private placement events. It’s shown that for firms with net loss before private placement while the insiders selling stocks around the event, the accounting performance worsens but Tobin’s Q gets better after the event. In addition, inside investors gain abnormal return around the board meeting. It implies that information leakage before board meeting is severe and the investors even gain abnormal return after the meeting.

Marknadens reaktion när ett företag informerar och annonserar om en eventuell nyemission sägs vara oförutsägbar. Enligt tidigare forskning pressas aktiekursen i de flesta fallen nedåt vid en nyemission. Under det senaste året har en del nyemissioner utförts i synnerhet på grund av den globala lågkonjunkturen då många företag haft för lite kapitalbas. Vad gäller företag på Stockholmsbörsen som valt att nyemittera aktier har även här de flesta fått se sin aktiekurs rasa. Författarna till denna uppsats avser att studera hur marknaden reagerar på ett offentligt tillkännagivande av en kommande nyemission. Det undersöks även om det förefaller någon skillnad mellan tillkännagivanden av nyemissioner genomförda innan eller under lågkonjunkturen och skillnader branscher emellan. Då vi ville se hur denna händelse påverkar ett företags aktiekurser valde vi att göra en eventstudie. En eventstudie ger oss möjligheten att mäta effekten av en specifik händelse. Datainsamlingen har endast bestått av sekundärdata som vetenskapliga artiklar, litteratur, tidigare forskning samt elektroniska databaser så som Avanza och OMX. Vi valde att ta med alla de företag som under tidsperioden 2005-01-01 till 2009-04-01 annonserat om en nyemission och som i dagsläget fortfarande är noterade på OMX, Stockholmsbörsen. I studien ingick 21 tillkännagivanden varav hela 13 stycken, ca 62 % av dem, resulterade i en negativ kursreaktion och avkastning. Fyra av åtta tillkännagivanden om nyemission som offentliggjordes innan lågkonjunkturen uppvisade en nedåtgående kursreaktion på annonseringsdagen och därmed en negativ abnormal avkastning. Denna trend fortsätter att hålla i sig då även nio av 13 tillkännagivanden under lågkonjunkturen, visade på en negativ abnormal avkastning. / The market reaction when a company provides information about a possible equity issue is said to be unpredictable. According to previous research the stock price, in most cases, is pushed downward in case of an equity issue. Over the past year some equity issues has been implemented particular because of the global recession. This because many companies experience too small funds. As for companies on the Stockholm Stock Exchange that have chosen to do an equity issue most of them had also experienced a decline in the stock price. The authors of this essay intend to study how the market reacts to a public announcement of an upcoming equity issue. They would also like to know if there is any differences between the announcements of an equity issue that's been done before or during the recession and if there is any differences between industries. Thus we wanted to see how equity issues affect a company's stock price, we have chosen to do an event study. An event study enables us to measure the effect of a specific event. The data that we been using has only consisted of secondary data as scientific articles, literature, previous research and electronic databases such as Avanza and OMX. For our study we have chosen to include all of the companies that during the period 2005-01-01 to 2009-04-01 announced about an upcoming equity issue and are still listed at the OMX, on the Stockholm Stock Exchange. The study included 21 public notices of which entirely 13 of them, about 62 %, resulted in a negative rate reaction and return. Four of the eight notices about an equity issue, which was announced before the recession, resulted in a declining rate reaction on the day of the announcement and also had a negative abnormal return. This trend continues thus nine of 13 notices, which announced an equity issue during the recession, also showed a negative abnormal return.

I denna uppsats undersöks om världshändelser skapar abnorma effekter hos oljebolags aktiekurser och om dessa effekter ter sig olika beroende på företagens olika storlek. Undersökningen utförs med hjälp av en eventstudie som genomförs på sex oljebolag med tre världshändelser som utgångspunkt. De valda världshändelserna bestod av två naturkatastrofer och en större ekonomisk händelse. Företagen som valdes delades in i två grupper om tre företag, där ena gruppen innehöll de större företagen och den andra gruppen de mindre. Slutsatserna som har kunnat dras av undersökningen är att händelserna i två av de tre undersökta fallen orsakade signifikanta abnorma under- eller överavkastningar hos oljebolagens aktier vilket bevisar en viss ineffektivitet hos marknaden. Det generella utfallet var att den ekonomiska händelsen visade sig ha en större påverkan på aktiekurserna än de två naturkatastroferna hade. Samtidigt kunde det påvisas en större skillnad mellan de större och de mindre företagens aktiekursers reaktioner gällande den ekonomiska händelsen. Resultaten visade att de mindre företagen drabbades hårdare. / This essay examines whether world events create abnormal effects of oil companies stock prices and whether these effects appear different depending on the companies’ different sizes. The analysis is performed using an event study conducted in six oil companies with three world events as a starting point. The selected world events consisted of two natural disasters and a greater economic event. The companies selected were divided into two groups of three companies, in which one group contained the larger companies and the second group the smaller ones. The conclusion that has been drawn from the study is that the events in two of the three cases studied caused significant abnormal deficit or excess returns of oil companies’ shares, which proves certain inefficiency of the market. The general outcome was that the economic event turned out to have a greater impact on the firms’ stock prices than the two natural disasters had. It was possible to distinguish a significant difference between the stock prices reactions of the larger and smaller firms regarding the economic event. The result showed that the smaller companies were affected to a larger extent.

Denna studie har undersökt huruvida det är möjligt att på Nasdaq OMX Stockholm generera systematiska överavkastningar i samband med att aktier börjar handlas exklusive rätt till utdelningar. Samtliga utdelningstillfällen har undersökts under perioden 2007-2011 vilket givit en total observationsmängd på 699 stycken tillfällen. Genom att ha tagit hänsyn till eventuella marknadsfluktueringar och vikta dessa med bolagets unika risk, i form av betatal, har resultaten även justerats för normalavkastningar under den undersökta dagen. Resultaten från Large Cap, Mid Cap samt Small Cap har sedan jämförts. Resultaten visar att överavkastningar är möjliga under dagen då aktien slutar handlas inklusive utdelning, samt att effekten är större för de mindre bolagen. / This study, has examined the possibility of achieving abnormal returns in the Swedish stock market on the day when stocks no longer trade with its dividend rights. All stocks on Nasdaq OMX Stockholm had been analyzed during 2007-2011, a total of 699 observations. By also including market fluctuations and weight of these fluctuations with the stock’s unique risk, the results have been adjusted for the normal return during the observed day. The results from Large Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap have then been compared to one another. The overall result shows that abnormal returns are possible on the day stocks no longer trade with the rights of dividends. The result also shows larger, abnormal returns for smaller companies.

This study examines the relationship between the performances of US equity REITs and the market risk premium, SMB, HML, MOM as well as an industry index and a real estate index. The statistical significance of the abnormal returns and the beta coefficients of independent variables are examined. The REITs are categorized in seven groups according to their investment areas and the analysis results are compared. Daily return indexes of US equity REITs are collected for the period between 2005 and 2011. These data are then used to estimate the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) of Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), the Fama and French&rsquo / s 3-Factor Model (1993) and Carhart&rsquo / s 4-Factor Model (1995). These models are re-estimated by adding an industry and a real estate index. The empirical results show that these added independent variables improve the available models. Additionally, no abnormal return is detected for REITs and their returns have a positive correlation with the SMB and HML factors and a negative correlation with the MOM factor. Therefore,, the REITs are relatively small and have high book-to-market ratios. The negative MOM coefficients indicate that the losers will win and the winners will lose.

Syfte: Syftet med denna uppsats är att undersöka hur utvalda bolags aktieavkastning inom branscherna flyg, fordon samt olja reagerar vid signifikanta oljeprisförändringar. Teoretiskt perspektiv: Den teoretiska referensramen utgörs av den effektiva marknadshypotesen samt Behavioural Finance med undergrenarna prospect theory, herd behaviour och overconfidence. Metod: Studien utgår ifrån ett deduktivt inslag med en kvantitativ studie. Undersökningen utgörs av sex eventstudier som datainsamlingsmetod samt en intervju som applikation på det kvantitativa resultatet. Urvalskriterium består av tio bolag inom respektive bransch med en rangordning utefter högst omsättning samt företag med en koppling till svenskt näringsliv med högst omsättning. Empiri: Empirin presenteras utifrån diagram och tabeller över de utförda eventstudierna. Diagrammen syftar till att redovisa den avvikande avkastningen för respektive bolag. Tabellerna ger en redogörelse över eventuellt samband mellan respektive bransch och oljeprisförändringarna. Slutsats: Flygbolagen uppvisade samband med oljepriset vid fyra utav sex eventen. Fordonsbranschen uppvisade samband vid ett av de sex eventen och oljebranschen vid två utav de studerade eventen. Reaktionen på aktieavkastningen för bolagen med en koppling till svenskt näringsliv var i linje med de övriga internationella bolagen i branschen. Undantag visades för oljebranschen. Resultatet är en indikation på att andra variabler påverkade aktieavkastningen och detta skapar svårigheter för aktieinnehavare att förespå framtida avkastning.

The question many investors ask is whether or not it is possible to beat the market andearn money by being active on the stock market. In efficient markets this should not be possible, but several researches have come up with strategies that prove the opposite. There are certain market movements that cannot be explained by the arguments of the traditional efficient market hypothesis and such market movements are in the standard finance theory called anomalies. Two well-known anomalies are the P/E effect and the small firm effect. The P/E effect means that portfolios with low P/E stocks attain higher average risk-adjusted returns than portfolios with high P/E stocks. Similarly, the small firm effect means that companies with small market capitalization earn higher return than those with large market capitalization. Even though these anomalies were discovered in the US, they occur on other markets as well. However, most of the studies regarding these have focused on developed markets. Therefore, the focus in this study has been on emerging markets, more specifically the Baltic market. The problem we aimed to answer with this study is whether or not it is possible to attain abnormal returns on the Baltic stock market by using the P/E effect or the small firm effect. Further on, we found it interesting to investigate which one of the two anomalies that is the best investment strategy. By doing this, we have also been able examine if the Baltic market is efficient or not. The study investigates all listed firms (both active and dead) with available data on Nasdaq OMX Baltic between the years 2000-2014. There are two different samples, a P/E sample and a market capitalization sample. The firms in the samples are ranked and grouped into portfolios and then tested to see if there is significant evidence of the existence of the P/E effect and the small firm effect. The results of the tests show that the Baltic market is not completely efficient, since statistical support was found for the small firm effect. This implies that it is possible to attain abnormal returns on the Baltic market by investing in small capitalization stocks. However, the tests showed no significant evidence of the P/E effect. For this reason, with the assumptions made, we recommend the small firm effect as an investment strategy on the Baltic stock market.