Prediction of flow is necessary for planning and management of water resources. The objective of this study is to estimate mean annual flows for the USA and mean monthly flows for the rivers of central Texas based on the precipitation and their watershed characteristics. Flow varies largely with topographic and climatic parameters and hence generalization of runoff models is difficult. This model aims at providing a prediction at ungaged locations with very few parameters that are easily available and measurable. Scatter in predicted data will be seen at the annual and monthly time scale in the range selected for each data. This model will work on annual and monthly means to reduce the scatter and produce better estimates.

Thesis describes a reporting inside an international company. First part of the thesis is dedicated to reports for management and for the employees. Second part is dedicated to the monthly closing. The objective of this thesis was a concept of by-laws.

Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited / This thesis presents a statistical analysis of the monthly rainfall for the Monterey Peninsula and the Carmel Valley in Central California. The analysis begins with the simple first-order autoregressive Markov model, which is found to be weak. Next, 2X2 contingency tables are used to identify predictors, one of which is found to be January rainfall. Finally, logistic analysis is used to quantify the predictive ability of January. This paper attempts to analyze rainfall time series in the statistical sense. No attempt is made to provide a physical explanation of the findings from the point of view of a meteorologist. / http://archive.org/details/statisticalanaly00davi / Captain, United States Army

Made available in DSpace on 2017-07-21T14:43:12Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Lucia Helena Souza Doniak.pdf: 4014101 bytes, checksum: 2b159c7a002f498c853ed36139574182 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014-04-03 / This present research is a case study of employed drivers in road freight transport in the municipality of Ponta Grossa, Paraná, and aims to identify the social and economic aspects and analyze the achievement of comprehensive working hours of these professionals after the Law n. 12.619/2012, which regulates the profession of the driver. The research of quantitative and qualitative character was made from the triangulation method, and the bibliographic and documentary allowed the systematization of theoretical and methodological framework from which the main analytical categories emerged: State, capitalism, work, occupation, wage, fight classes, salary and working hours. In the second phase of triangulation, a situational analysis was used to present the scenario that was established after the promulgation of the law, identifying key actors, the movements, the contradictions that arose from the significant event in this context understood as the enactment of law that shifted from the legislative to the society, especially for highways and for the category of professional drivers, the struggle and the class conflicts. The elements identified by the first two methods were used for the preparation of the interview questionnaire which was applied in the research field with the employed drivers. The data obtained from the interviews were collected and subsequently became the main information about the practice of professional life of the driver and also the socioeconomic profile of the professional in the city, whose information was correlated with the documentary evidence and the provisions of Law n. 12.619/2012. / A presente pesquisa é um estudo de caso dos motoristas empregados no transporte rodoviário de carga do Município de Ponta Grossa, Paraná, e tem por objetivo identificar os aspectos sociais e econômicos e analisar a realização das exaustivas jornadas de trabalho desses profissionais após a entrada em vigor da Lei n. 12.619/2012, que regulamentou a profissão do motorista. A pesquisa de caráter quanti-qualitativo foi realizada a partir da triangulação de métodos, sendo que o levantamento bibliográfico e documental possibilitou a sistematização do referencial teórico-metodológico de onde emergiram as principais categorias analíticas: Estado, capitalismo, trabalho, profissão, assalariamento, luta de classes, salário, jornada de trabalho. Na segunda fase da triangulação, a análise de conjuntura foi utilizada para apresentar o cenário que se estabeleceu a partir da promulgação da lei, identificando os principais atores, os movimentos, as contradições que surgiram a partir do acontecimento significativo, entendido nesse contexto, como a promulgação da lei, que deslocou do legislativo para a sociedade, especialmente para as rodovias e para a categoria dos motoristas profissionais, a luta e os conflitos de uma classe. Os elementos identificados por meio dos dois primeiros métodos foram utilizados para elaboração do questionário de entrevista que foi aplicado na pesquisa de campo junto aos motoristas empregados. Os dados obtidos nas entrevistas foram reunidos e posteriormente transformaram-se nas principais informações sobre a práxis da vida profissional do motorista e no perfil socioeconômico do desse no município, cujas informações foram correlacionadas com os dados documentais e as disposições da Lei n. 12.619/2012.

Diarrheal disease has long been known to be a burden to children worldwide. Although child mortality rates as a result of diarrhea have decreased over the past two decades, overall diarrhea incidence has remained relatively stable. In Cambodia, diarrhea was the third most prevalent outpatient diagnosis for children under five in 2012, with a reported incidence rate of 12 per 100 children, up from 7 per 100 children in 2008 (Ministry of Planning Cambodia, 2012). Cambodia is an agricultural country with 80% of the population living in rural areas (National Institute of Statistics Ministry of Planning, 2013). Many are also poor, with 20.5% of the population living at or below the poverty line (Sobrado et al., 2014). As a result, a large portion of the population is vulnerable to changing climate patterns and seasonal rainfalls. These patterns have been shown to have an effect on the incidence of diarrhea in regions throughout the world. This research evaluated the relationship between seasonality and the incidence of diarrheal disease in children under five years old in the Rumduol district, Svay Rieng province of Cambodia. Using monthly under-five diarrhea data from a local health center and meteorological data from the Ministry of Water Resources and Meteorology (MoWRAM), Spearman’s Correlation was used to find associations between monthly rainfall, heavy rainfall (defined by the 90th percentile), maximum average monthly temperature, and minimum average monthly temperature. Additionally, household surveys, interviews, and observations were used to understand how seasonal behavior, age/gender, household practices, and caregiver perception of the disease affect decisions surrounding diagnosis and treatment of childhood diarrhea throughout the year. Based on the results of the analysis, the number of heavy rainfall days had a weak negative association with monthly under-five diarrhea incidence in the initial month and following month, referred to as lag 0 and lag 1 (rs(96) = -.216, p = .035 and rs(95) = -.219, p = .033). Minimum average monthly temperature was also shown to have weak negative association with monthly under-five diarrhea incidence at lag 0 and lag 1 (rs(96) = -.208, p = .042 and rs(95) = -.212, p = .039). The negative correlation between heavy rainfall and under-five diarrhea indicates that heavy rain can have a washing effect on the environment at lag 0 and lag 1 months. Higher diarrhea incidence in the cooler months suggest a possible link to rotavirus, however more research must be done to make confirm this. Monthly rainfall was seen to have a positive association with diarrhea within the lag 3 and lag 4 months (rs(93) = .250, p = .015; rs(92) = .222, p = .034). This indicates that increased rainfall could have a delayed effect on diarrhea by three or four months. Maximum temperature did not have statistically significant results. These results show that heavy rainfall and minimum temperature likely play role in under-five child diarrhea in the study area at shorter lags times, while monthly rainfall has a greater effect at longer lag times. Results of survey and interview data showed participants had sufficient knowledge on personal and food hygiene practices but often practiced improper environmental hygiene behavior, especially as it related to the handling of child and animal feces. Additionally, there were statistically significant results when looking at the relationship between environmental hygiene knowledge and practice and households where mothers migrate for work. Households with migrant mothers was common within the study area, with 51.9% of households having a mother who was currently working away from home or had plans to return to work soon. More data is needed to further investigate this relationship; however, this result suggests that hygiene knowledge and practice could suffer in households where the mother is absent, as added burden is placed on grandmothers to do domestic and childcare work.

Syftet med uppsatsen är att titta på om de stereotypa bilderna som tycks finnas av män och kvinnor i reklam stämmer; som att rosa drar till sig en kvinnas uppmärksamhet eller att en stilren bild attraherar män mer än kvinnor. Eftersom annonserna vi har valt kommer från en typisk herrtidning och en typisk damtidning hoppas vi på att kunna komma fram till att det finns distinkta skillnader i hur män och kvinnor reagerar på de sex annonser vi har valt ut. Vi vill försöka komma fram till detta genom att använda oss av de fråg<br>eställningar som är nämnda nedan. Vår huvudfrågeställning kommer att vara som följer: Finns det i svensk alkoholreklam en stereotyp bild av en manlig  respektive kvinnlig konsument av alkoholreklam och hur ser i så fall dessa ut? Vi kommer även att använda oss av underfrågor som kan kopplas till huvudfrågeställningen. Dessa kommer vara: Hur reagerar olika målgrupper på reklam som riktas mot dem samt andra målgrupper? Går det att genom enkäter hitta vad det är som män respektive kvinnor finner intressant och iögonfallande? Går det att genom att undersöka annonser se vilka element som är tänkta att attrahera ett visst kön? Går det att rikta alkoholannonser mot ett kön på ett sådant vis att det andra könet blir helt exkluderat? Genom dessa frågor hoppas vi på att kunna hitta vad en stereotypt manlig respektive kvinnlig konsument reagerar på i annonser för alkohol och vad de identifierar sig själva med i denna. Vi kommer även genom dessa frågor titta på om de som har skapat annonserna har lyckats med sin uppgift eller om de har dragit till sig en annan publik än den som var den huvudsakliga målgruppen. Ifall reklammakaren inte har lyckats med att nå sin målgrupp kommer vi att diskutera vad som kan ha varit anledningen till detta. Vi hoppas att uppsatsen ska kunna bli ett underlag till vidare diskussioner kring huruvida reklam når sin från början tänkta målgrupp. Kan de stereotyper som skapas i och med vår analys av reklamerna sägas stämma överens med den målgrupp som attraheras av reklamen eller är den stereotyp som tycks ha används vid produktionen av reklamen helt utdaterad?

AimThe purpose of this study is to analyze factors that affect the price on tenant-owner apartments in the central parts of Uppsala. Special attention is put on analyzing how the monthly fee and the location affect the price. The hypotheses are that the monthly fee and the distance to the central part of the city have a negative effect on the price. A number of additional price affecting factors was taken in consideration during this study. Method This study is mainly based on data supplied to us by Mäklarstatistik. The supplied data consists of information about tenant-owner apartment sales in Uppsala during a year under 2008 and 2009. Before the Hedonic method was used in order to get the result, we added information, processed it and eliminated unwanted data. The Hedonic method makes it possible to describe the selling price as a function of several price affective factors. To investigate how the monthly fee affects the selling price, several regression equations were conducted. The data supplied to us was processed with the computer program Microsoft Excel. Result and conclusions The investigation shows that there is a negative correlation both between the monthly fee and the apartments selling price, as well as between the selling price and the distances to the Fyrisån and the Stora torget. Suggestions for future research The interest rate on the housing loan is one of the biggest contributing factors in the total monthly cost for most household owners. In this study we have not taken in consideration the effect of the present interest rate for household loan. Therefore we think it would be interesting to investigate its effects on the market. Contribution of the thesis   This study has strengthened the credibility of earlier studies. It has also given a deeper insight into how the monthly fee affects the price on apartments by using more variables than earlier studies.

Surface water availability models often use monthly simulation time steps for reasons of data availability, model parameter parsimony, and reduced computational time. Representing realistic streamflow variability, however, requires modeling time steps with sub-monthly or daily temporal resolution. Adding daily time step simulation capability to the Water Rights Analysis Package (WRAP) and the Texas Water Availability Modeling (WAM) System is a growing area of need and interest in water rights permitting, water supply planning, and environmental protection. This research consisted of the following tasks: 1. Key modeling issues are identified that are relevant to daily time step modeling, but are otherwise not considered with monthly simulations. These key modeling issues include disaggregating monthly naturalized flows into daily flows, routing changes to flow through the stream network, reducing impacts to water availability in a priority order based water right system through the use of streamflow forecasting, distributing water right targets from monthly to daily amounts, and integrating flood control reservoir operations into the existing conservation reservoir modeling framework. 2. Two new programs for WRAP are developed to address the key daily time step modeling issues. The new programs include a pre-processor program, DAY, and a daily simulation program, SIMD. 3. A case study of the Brazos River Basin WAM is presented using daily time steps with SIMD. The purpose of the case study is to present an implementation of the daily modeling capabilities. 4. The case study simulation results are used as a basis to draw conclusions regarding monthly versus daily simulation outcomes. The research, as presented through the Brazos River Basin WAM case study, illustrated that incorporating realistic daily streamflow variability into the simulation of a priority order based water allocation system can substantially affect the results obtained for time series of critical period reservoir storage contents, the determination of long-term water right reliability, and the distribution of unappropriated and regulated flows. The modeling capabilities developed by this research advance the state of water availability modeling with sub-monthly time steps by addressing the key modeling issues related to streamflow variability and routing.

Submitted by Ana Maria Fiscina Sampaio (fiscina@bahia.fiocruz.br) on 2014-07-18T16:05:02Z No. of bitstreams: 2 Orlando Marcos Farias de Sousa, Estudo da infecção... 2013.pdf: 3775180 bytes, checksum: 1eb7cab3c5ef08df5a81ec9219afacbc (MD5) Orlando Marcos Farias de Sousa, Estudo da infecção... 2013.pdf: 3775180 bytes, checksum: 1eb7cab3c5ef08df5a81ec9219afacbc (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2014-07-18T16:05:02Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Orlando Marcos Farias de Sousa, Estudo da infecção... 2013.pdf: 3775180 bytes, checksum: 1eb7cab3c5ef08df5a81ec9219afacbc (MD5) Orlando Marcos Farias de Sousa, Estudo da infecção... 2013.pdf: 3775180 bytes, checksum: 1eb7cab3c5ef08df5a81ec9219afacbc (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014 / Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisa Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, BA, Brasil / No município de Camaçari, considerado área endêmica para leishmaniose visceral (LV), foi realizado estudo objetivando determinar a influência das variáveis climáticas sobre a flutuação mensal da população flebotomínica e a taxa de infecção natural desses flebotomíneos por Leishmania infantum. Para o levantamento entomológico foram realizadas capturas sistemáticas de flebotomíneos utilizando armadilhas tipo HP, tanto no peri como no intradomicílio. As residências foram selecionadas em bairros pertencentes a zona urbana orla e zona urbana sede, onde casos humanos de LV no foram registrados município. As capturas foram realizadas entre dezembro de 2011 e novembro de 2012. A relação entre pluviosidade, umidade relativa do ar e temperatura e a proporção de flebotomíneos foi calculada utilizando o coeficiente de Spearman. Para o estudo da infecção natural dos flebotomíneos foi utilizada a técnica de qPCR. Os pools avaliados foram compostos por flebotomíneos da mesma espécie, distribuídos pelas residências, ás quais foram investigadas no intra e peridomicilio. Além disso, os pools foram distribuídos de acordo com os 12 meses de coleta. Os resultados mostraram que a fauna flebotomínica é diversificada, sendo composta por quatro gêneros com ocorrência de cinco espécies. Espécimes de interesse epidemiológico foram encontrados com predominância para a espécie Lutzomyia (Lutzomyia) longipalpis (98,4%). Foi observada correlação positiva entre a densidade de flebotomíneos e a variável pluviosidade na zona urbana sede durante o período de coleta (r = 0,66, p <0,02). A correlação entre as variáveis bioclimáticas e a densidade dos flebotomíneos também foi avaliada em bairros que se destacaram individualmente pela densidade de flebotomíneos, sendo encontrado correlação positiva para a variável umidade relativa do ar (r = 0,58 p <0,04) e associação similar para a variável precipitação durante o período de coleta (r = 0,67 p <0,01). As análises moleculares mostraram infecção natural por Leishmania infantum em 10 pools de 78 de pools de Lutzomyia longipalpis analisados. Estes achados aliados à presença do vetor competente da LV, Lutzomyia longipalpis em elevada proporção, e os estudos das variáveis climáticas alertam para a necessidade de vigilância epidemiológica e constituem em ferramenta útil para o planejamento de medidas de controle contra LV no município de Camaçari. / In Camaçari city, considered an endemic area for visceral leishmaniasis (VL), the study was conducted aiming to determine the climatic variables influence on the sandflies monthly fluctuation and the natural infection rates by Leishmania infantum in the sandflies. The entomological inventory was performed with sandflies systematic captures using HP traps, both in peridomiciliar well as in intradomiciliar. The residences were selected in districts belonging to the coastline urban zone and headquarters urban zone, where human cases of VL were recorded in the city. Captures were performed between December 2011 and November 2012. The correlation between the number of sandflies and the different climatic variables was calculated using Spearman's coefficient. The sandfly natural infection was evaluated by qPCR technique. Pools reviews were composed by sand flies of the same species, distributed among households, which were investigated in peridomiciliare and intradomiciliare. Additionally, pools were distributed according to the 12-month sampling. The results showed that the phlebotomine fauna is diverse, consisting of four genera and five species. Specimens of epidemiological interest were found predominantly for Lutzomyia (Lutzomyia) longipalpis (98.4%). In addition, a positive correlation between sandfly density and pluviosity at headquarters urban zone was observed during the collection period. (r = 0.66, p <0.02). The correlation between bioclimatic variables and density of sandflies was also evaluated in neighborhoods that stood out individually by the sandfly density. A positive correlation was observed for the variable relative humidity during the collection period (r = 0.58 p <0.04) and similar association for precipitation variable in the same period (r = 0.67 p <0.01). Molecular analysis showed natural infection by Leishmania infantum in 10 pools of 78 pools of Lutzomyia Longipalpis analyzed. In summary, these findings combined with the presence of VL competent vector, Lutzomyia Longipalpis in high density, and studies of climate variables warn of the need for epidemiological surveillance and constitute a useful tool for planning control measures against VL in Camaçari. Keis

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